Tearsheet

Annaly Capital Management (NLY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.845 | Market Cap: $15.0 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs

Annaly Capital Management (NLY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.845
Market Cap: $15.0 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Mortgage REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 15%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.3%, Dist 3Y High is -0.3%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 220%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 474%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -8.9%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 168%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 115%, CFO LTM is 2.9 Bil
  
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -43%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Housing & Mortgage Finance. Themes include Mortgage-Backed Securities Investment, Residential Real Estate Finance, and Capital Markets for Real Estate.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 15%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 474%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 168%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 115%, CFO LTM is 2.9 Bil
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -43%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Housing & Mortgage Finance. Themes include Mortgage-Backed Securities Investment, Residential Real Estate Finance, and Capital Markets for Real Estate.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.3%, Dist 3Y High is -0.3%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -8.9%
8 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 220%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NLY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Annaly Capital Management (NLY) experienced an upward movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Performance. Annaly Capital Management reported third-quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.73, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $0.72. The company's revenue of $1.55 billion also significantly exceeded analyst expectations of $493.55 million.

2. Attractive and Consistent Dividend Payouts. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.70 per share, with an ex-dividend date of September 30, 2025, and a payment date of October 31, 2025. This translates to an annualized dividend of $2.80 and an attractive dividend yield of 12.3%. Annaly had previously increased its cash dividend by 7.7% in March 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NLY Return2%2%-21%5%8%38%29%
Peers Return1%41%-18%15%-4%-4%24%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NLY Win Rate50%50%58%58%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate58%72%35%52%53%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NLY Max Drawdown-56%-4%-46%-23%-5%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-9%-30%-12%-14%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LAMR, EGP, CUBE, NNN, COLD. See NLY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven152.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-61.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven161.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-46.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven87.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to LAMR, EGP, CUBE, NNN, COLD


In The Past

Annaly Capital Management's stock fell -60.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/9/2021. A -60.4% loss requires a 152.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Annaly Capital Management (NLY)

Better Bets than Annaly Capital Management (NLY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NLY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Annaly Capital Management

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NLYLAMREGPCUBENNNCOLDMedian
NameAnnaly C.Lamar Ad.EastGrou.CubeSmartNNN REIT Americol. 
Mkt Price22.82132.23179.2437.0141.1111.0839.06
Mkt Cap15.013.49.58.57.73.29.0
Rev LTM1,7032,2506981,1089062,6101,406
Op Inc LTM-538279462557203462
FCF LTM1,953711470637659-148648
FCF 3Y Avg1,260674404620634-1627
CFO LTM2,857872470637659392648
CFO 3Y Avg1,976832404620634375627

Growth & Margins

NLYLAMREGPCUBENNNCOLDMedian
NameAnnaly C.Lamar Ad.EastGrou.CubeSmartNNN REIT Americol. 
Rev Chg LTM473.5%3.0%11.6%4.2%4.5%-2.6%4.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg143.3%4.2%14.6%4.5%6.0%-3.5%5.3%
Rev Chg Q637.1%3.8%11.8%5.2%5.3%-1.6%5.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM81.6%1.0%2.8%1.3%1.3%-0.4%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM-23.9%39.9%41.7%61.5%7.8%39.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-27.5%39.7%44.3%62.0%7.7%39.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.1%0.3%-1.7%-0.1%-0.4%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM167.8%38.8%67.3%57.5%72.7%15.0%62.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-38.2%64.4%57.8%73.6%14.1%57.8%
FCF/Rev LTM114.7%31.6%67.3%57.5%72.7%-5.7%62.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-31.0%64.4%57.8%73.6%-0.1%57.8%

Valuation

NLYLAMREGPCUBENNNCOLDMedian
NameAnnaly C.Lamar Ad.EastGrou.CubeSmartNNN REIT Americol. 
Mkt Cap15.013.49.58.57.73.29.0
P/S7.85.512.98.48.81.38.1
P/EBIT-20.032.420.113.648.420.1
P/E8.928.636.226.120.4-56.123.2
P/CFO4.614.219.114.612.18.913.2
Total Yield11.3%3.5%6.0%8.9%10.4%5.6%7.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%3.2%5.1%5.5%7.4%4.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.4%6.0%4.7%6.3%8.3%-0.8%6.2%
D/E2.20.40.20.40.61.20.5
Net D/E2.20.40.20.40.61.20.5

Returns

NLYLAMREGPCUBENNNCOLDMedian
NameAnnaly C.Lamar Ad.EastGrou.CubeSmartNNN REIT Americol. 
1M Rtn7.1%10.6%1.9%0.0%0.5%-14.0%1.2%
3M Rtn9.9%6.0%8.9%-8.2%-1.9%-18.7%2.1%
6M Rtn29.0%11.8%8.3%-11.0%2.2%-31.1%5.3%
12M Rtn33.1%5.5%9.3%-19.5%0.6%-49.4%3.0%
3Y Rtn58.4%55.2%25.0%1.7%4.9%-58.5%15.0%
1M Excs Rtn7.2%10.7%1.9%0.1%0.6%-13.9%1.2%
3M Excs Rtn3.0%-0.8%2.2%-13.9%-6.9%-24.3%-3.8%
6M Excs Rtn14.3%-2.9%-6.4%-25.7%-12.5%-45.8%-9.4%
12M Excs Rtn18.2%-9.6%-5.8%-35.1%-14.5%-64.6%-12.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-8.9%-17.0%-42.1%-63.5%-64.5%-129.6%-52.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment  2,720-585-1,992
Total  2,720-585-1,992


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Resi-credit (Residential Credit)30320   
Mortgage servicing rights (MSR)29081   
Corporate & Other-169-128   
Agency-2,2081,641   
Total-1,7851,615   


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Agency71,16765,080   
Resi-credit (Residential Credit)19,14914,153   
Mortgage servicing rights (MSR)2,5791,931   
Corporate & Other332686   
Total93,22781,851   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,027,831
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120257.5%
Average Daily Volume6,766,963
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.78
Basic Shares Quantity656,335,974
Short % of Basic Shares1.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024729202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021