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PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.76 | Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.76
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Mortgage REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 25%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.9%, Dist 3Y High is -3.9%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 664%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3231%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3232%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Real Estate & Mortgage Investment. Themes include Private Credit, Residential Mortgage Investing, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 25%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 20%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Real Estate & Mortgage Investment. Themes include Private Credit, Residential Mortgage Investing, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.9%, Dist 3Y High is -3.9%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 664%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3231%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3232%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PMT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT) reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced net income attributable to common shareholders of $47.8 million, or $0.55 per common share, on October 21, 2025. This diluted EPS of $0.55 substantially beat the consensus estimate of $0.38, representing a 46% positive surprise, while revenue of $215.6 million also significantly surpassed the $97.9 million consensus, indicating robust operational performance.

2. Management raised its medium-term earnings outlook, indicating confidence in future performance. Following the strong Q3 2025 results, management highlighted a projected run-rate EPS of approximately $0.42 per quarter, which is above the $0.40 quarterly dividend. This positive outlook, underpinned by platform advantages in private-label securitization, suggests sustained earnings power and growth potential.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PMT Return-13%8%-18%36%-5%12%12%
Peers Return-14%10%-19%2%6%2%-15%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PMT Win Rate58%58%50%58%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate53%57%50%45%55%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PMT Max Drawdown-75%-3%-31%-10%-11%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-64%-6%-34%-22%-11%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DX, IVR, RC, LOAN, NLY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPMTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-75.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven315.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-14.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven17.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven46 days120 days

Compare to DX, IVR, RC, LOAN, NLY


In The Past

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust's stock fell -45.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/21/2021. A -45.0% loss requires a 81.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT)

Better Bets than PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PMT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PMTDXIVRRCLOANNLYMedian
NamePennyMac.Dynex Ca.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
Mkt Price12.8913.898.192.784.7322.8210.54
Mkt Cap1.11.90.60.50.115.00.8
Rev LTM171230722271,703122
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-5,52912215947251,953140
FCF 3Y Avg-1,5977119632951,260133
CFO LTM-5,52812215947252,857140
CFO 3Y Avg-1,5877119632951,976133

Growth & Margins

PMTDXIVRRCLOANNLYMedian
NamePennyMac.Dynex Ca.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
Rev Chg LTM4.7%87.1%-29.9%-73.3%-3.5%473.5%0.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg45.3%63.4%241.0%-52.8%2.5%143.3%54.4%
Rev Chg Q74.1%309.0%27.8%-29.1%-9.2%637.1%51.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM18.3%113.8%21.1%-45.4%-2.2%81.6%19.7%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-3,231.4%52.8%220.1%2,181.7%71.0%167.8%119.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1,002.6%77.6%790.7%851.6%70.9%-77.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-3,232.1%52.8%220.1%2,181.7%71.0%114.7%92.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1,008.5%77.6%790.7%851.6%70.8%-77.6%

Valuation

PMTDXIVRRCLOANNLYMedian
NamePennyMac.Dynex Ca.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
Mkt Cap1.11.90.60.50.115.00.8
P/S6.27.37.129.38.87.87.5
P/EBIT-------
P/E8.79.09.6-2.011.98.99.0
P/CFO-0.213.73.21.312.44.63.9
Total Yield24.5%11.1%10.4%-27.7%16.8%11.3%11.2%
Dividend Yield13.1%0.0%0.0%21.4%8.4%0.0%4.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-147.5%6.8%40.1%36.2%8.5%11.4%9.9%
D/E8.00.00.06.00.22.21.2
Net D/E6.6-0.3-0.15.70.22.21.2

Returns

PMTDXIVRRCLOANNLYMedian
NamePennyMac.Dynex Ca.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
1M Rtn7.1%5.9%8.6%-4.1%-4.8%7.1%6.5%
3M Rtn7.5%14.6%8.1%-32.2%-10.4%9.9%7.8%
6M Rtn11.7%24.9%19.5%-29.7%-3.4%29.0%15.6%
12M Rtn8.7%30.4%19.1%-56.6%-6.1%33.1%13.9%
3Y Rtn22.4%60.5%3.7%-68.6%5.7%58.4%14.0%
1M Excs Rtn7.1%6.0%8.7%-4.1%-4.8%7.2%6.5%
3M Excs Rtn0.7%7.8%2.0%-38.0%-15.6%3.0%1.3%
6M Excs Rtn-3.0%10.1%4.8%-44.5%-18.1%14.3%0.9%
12M Excs Rtn-5.8%15.8%4.5%-70.9%-17.7%18.2%-0.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-48.4%-8.7%-65.4%-141.0%-64.9%-8.9%-56.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Credit sensitive strategies233-107323-305192
Interest rate sensitive strategies133298-20517551
Correspondent production56111299597243
Corporate72334
Total429304420469489


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Interest rate sensitive strategies10,2829,9927,3644,5934,994
Credit sensitive strategies1,6321,6151,8482,9212,365
Correspondent production7891,9374,3263,7814,217
Corporate411378235197196
Total13,11413,92213,77311,49211,771


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,704,882
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-10.6%
Average Daily Volume712,612
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.60
Basic Shares Quantity87,017,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021