Berto Acquisition II (GUAC)
Market Price (9/9/2026): $9.93 | Market Cap: $391.1 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings
Berto Acquisition II (GUAC)
Market Price (9/9/2026): $9.93Market Cap: $391.1 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Multi-Sector Holdings
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 2.6% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.1%, Dist 3Y High is -1.1% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71% | Key risksGUAC key risks include [1] its potential failure as a blank check company to complete a business combination, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 2.6% |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.1%, Dist 3Y High is -1.1% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71% |
| Key risksGUAC key risks include [1] its potential failure as a blank check company to complete a business combination, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Berto Acquisition II (GUAC) stock has remained largely at the same level since it went public on 7/6/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Nature of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC): Berto Acquisition II (GUAC) is a blank-check company, which means it has no core business operations and its stock value primarily reflects the cash held in its trust account per share until a business combination is announced. The company completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) at $10.00 per unit in May 2026, and since its ordinary shares began trading separately on or about July 6, 2026, the stock has traded within a narrow range, generally between $9.90 and $10.05. This stability is typical for a pre-deal SPAC, as its price often mirrors the IPO price and the underlying cash value.
2. Absence of Material Acquisition News or Operational Developments: Since the separate trading of shares commenced on July 6, 2026, Berto Acquisition II has not announced any definitive agreements for a business combination, identified a specific target, or reported any significant operational developments that would act as catalysts for substantial stock movement. The company's net income for fiscal Q2 2026 (ending June 30, 2026) was approximately $1.07 million, primarily generated from interest on its trust investments, which is standard for a SPAC prior to an acquisition. News during this period, such as the separation of units into ordinary shares and warrants (July 1, 2026) and a change in interim CFO (August 6, 2026), did not materially impact the stock's valuation as they are administrative or internal management adjustments for a non-operating entity.
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Berto Acquisition II (GUAC) stock has remained largely at the same level since it went public on 7/6/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Nature of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC): Berto Acquisition II (GUAC) is a blank-check company, which means it has no core business operations and its stock value primarily reflects the cash held in its trust account per share until a business combination is announced. The company completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) at $10.00 per unit in May 2026, and since its ordinary shares began trading separately on or about July 6, 2026, the stock has traded within a narrow range, generally between $9.90 and $10.05. This stability is typical for a pre-deal SPAC, as its price often mirrors the IPO price and the underlying cash value.
2. Absence of Material Acquisition News or Operational Developments: Since the separate trading of shares commenced on July 6, 2026, Berto Acquisition II has not announced any definitive agreements for a business combination, identified a specific target, or reported any significant operational developments that would act as catalysts for substantial stock movement. The company's net income for fiscal Q2 2026 (ending June 30, 2026) was approximately $1.07 million, primarily generated from interest on its trust investments, which is standard for a SPAC prior to an acquisition. News during this period, such as the separation of units into ordinary shares and warrants (July 1, 2026) and a change in interim CFO (August 6, 2026), did not materially impact the stock's valuation as they are administrative or internal management adjustments for a non-operating entity.
3. Limited External Analysis and Market Speculation: Berto Acquisition II currently lacks formal coverage from financial analysts, with no median analyst price targets available. This absence of external financial analysis and ratings means there are fewer speculative pressures or re-evaluations that could drive significant price fluctuations. With no substantive operational news or analyst guidance, the stock's movement remained closely tied to its IPO price, reflecting the intrinsic value of the cash held in trust rather than market-driven sentiment.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
5/31/2026 to 9/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GUAC | ||
| Market (SPY) | 1.3% | 23.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 11.1% | 25.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 9/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GUAC | ||
| Market (SPY) | 12.0% | 23.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 12.0% | 25.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 9/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GUAC | ||
| Market (SPY) | 19.8% | 23.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 7.4% | 25.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2023 to 9/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GUAC | ||
| Market (SPY) | 76.1% | 23.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 74.1% | 25.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GUAC Return | - | - | - | - | - | -1% | -1% |
| Peers Return | -0% | -0% | |||||
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GUAC Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 33% | ||||||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 56% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GUAC Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | |||||||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BCCQ, GCGR, AAC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
GUAC has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 80 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 270 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.5% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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GUAC has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.3% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 272 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 162 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.3% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 359.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2329 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Berto Acquisition II (GUAC)
Berto Acquisition II (GUAC) is a blank check company, also known as a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC), incorporated in July 2025. Its primary purpose is to identify, acquire, or merge with one or more existing private operating businesses, thereby facilitating their entry into the public market. Currently, GUAC has no operations, products, or services of its own and has not yet selected a specific target business for acquisition.
The company plans to utilize its management team's extensive experience in strategic investments to identify a suitable business combination partner. While its search for an acquisition target is broad, GUAC has a particular focus on opportunities within artificial intelligence (AI) and its supporting infrastructure and supply chain ecosystem. This includes, but is not limited to, businesses involved in mission-critical components, data, energy solutions (such as advanced nuclear technologies like small modular reactor (SMR) developers to power AI datacenters), and other cutting-edge technology companies positioned for long-term growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. It's like a **talent scout for the stock market**, actively searching for a promising private tech company (especially in AI and its infrastructure) to bring into the public eye.
2. Think of it as a **publicly traded 'acquisition shopping cart'**, funded by investors and specifically designed to find and acquire a single high-potential private company to bring onto the stock market.
3. It's like a **specialized "matchmaker" for businesses**, connecting a private, high-growth company (often in AI or related infrastructure) with public investors by facilitating its listing on the stock market.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Business Combination Facilitation: Berto Acquisition II operates as a blank check company whose sole purpose is to identify, acquire, and merge with a private operating business, taking it public.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Berto Acquisition II (GUAC) is a blank check company, also known as a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC). Its stated purpose is to effect a business combination with one or more businesses. As such, it does not currently have any operating business or products/services to sell, and therefore, it does not have major customers in the traditional sense.
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Harry You, Founder & CEO
Harry You is the founder and Chief Executive Officer of Berto Acquisition II. He has sponsored ten previous special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs), including Berto Acquisition Corp., Coliseum Acquisition Corp., dMY Technology Group, Inc. IV, dMY Technology Group, Inc. III, dMY Technology Group, Inc. II, dMY Technology Group, Inc., and GTY Technology Holdings Inc.. Mr. You served as a managing director in the Investment Banking Division of Morgan Stanley and two other firms from 1989 to 2001, where he executed several hundred investments and acquisitions. He was the Chief Financial Officer at Accenture from 2001 to 2004 and at Oracle from 2004 to 2005. From 2008 to 2016, he was the Executive Vice President in the Office of the Chairman, responsible for Merger & Acquisition and Corporate Development at EMC, where he helped architect the $67 billion buyout of EMC by Dell Technologies Inc.. He also serves as Chairman of Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco, Inc. and Chief Executive Officer and Executive Chairman of First Berto.
Robert You, President & CFO
Robert You has served as the President and Chief Financial Officer of Berto Acquisition II since April 2026. He previously worked as an Investment Banking Analyst at J.P. Morgan from June 2025 to April 2026, gaining experience in financial analysis and capital markets transactions. Mr. You also served as the Vice President of Corporate Development of First Berto from March 2025 until July 2025. He earned a B.A. in Economics from Yale University. Robert You is the son of Harry You.
Vikas Mittal, Executive Chairman
Vikas Mittal has served as the Executive Chairman of the board of directors of Berto Acquisition II since April 2026. He possesses nearly two decades of experience related to special purpose acquisition companies. Mr. Mittal has been the Chief Financial Officer of First Berto since June 2025. Since January 2022, he has served as the Managing Member and Chief Investment Officer of Meteora, an alternative investment firm. Meteora's principals have experience across the full lifecycle of SPACs, from initial public offerings to de-SPAC business combinations. Additionally, he has served as the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer of Investcorp Europe Acquisition Corp. I since December 2024. Mr. Mittal holds a B.S. in Finance from the University of Florida and an MBA from NYU Stern School of Business, and is a CFA charterholder.
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Key Risks to Berto Acquisition II (GUAC)
- Failure to Complete a Business Combination: As a blank check company, Berto Acquisition II's sole purpose is to effect a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, or similar business combination. If the company fails to identify and complete a suitable business combination within the required timeframe, it will be forced to liquidate, and investors may only receive their initial investment back, potentially without significant returns or even at a loss, especially if shares were purchased above the IPO price. The background mentions a related SPAC, dMY Technology Group, Inc. VI, that liquidated without completing a business combination, highlighting this inherent risk.
- Uncertainty of Target Business and Future Performance: Berto Acquisition II has not selected any specific business combination target. This means investors are purchasing shares without knowing which business the company will eventually acquire or merge with. The success of the investment largely depends on the management team's ability to identify a high-quality target and the acquired business's future operational and financial performance, which is unknown at this stage.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
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The expected drivers of future revenue growth for Berto Acquisition II (GUAC) over the next 2-3 years are primarily tied to its strategy of identifying and completing a business combination with a company in its target sectors.
- Accelerated demand for artificial intelligence (AI) and AI infrastructure solutions: Berto Acquisition II intends to capitalize on opportunities within the AI infrastructure and supply chain ecosystem. As AI adoption continues to grow, an acquired business in mission-critical components, data, energy, or infrastructure enabling AI scaling would experience increased demand for its products and services.
- Successful development and deployment of advanced nuclear technologies: The company has expressed particular interest in advanced nuclear technologies, such as small modular reactor (SMR) developers. The successful commercialization and widespread deployment of SMRs to meet growing energy demands, particularly from AI data centers, would be a significant revenue driver for an acquired entity in this space.
- Strategic inorganic growth opportunities: Following an initial business combination, the combined public company could serve as a platform for future inorganic growth by increasing its footprint, areas of activities, and extending services. This strategy of further acquisitions would contribute to expanded revenue streams.
- Expansion of market reach and customer base: An acquired operating business would pursue growth by expanding its customer base and penetrating new markets, whether in specialized AI solutions or the deployment of advanced energy technologies.
- Leveraging management team's expertise and industry relationships: Berto Acquisition II aims to combine with a business that can benefit from its management team’s established relationships and operating experience. This expertise is expected to facilitate growth through strategic direction, operational improvements, and enhanced market access for the acquired company.
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Share Issuance
- Berto Acquisition Corp. II completed its initial public offering (IPO) on May 18, 2026, issuing 31,510,000 units at $10.00 per unit, generating gross proceeds of $315,100,000.
- The gross proceeds of $315,100,000 from the IPO were placed into a trust account.
Inbound Investments
- Simultaneously with the IPO, a private placement of 3,500,000 warrants was made to the sponsor at $1.00 per warrant, raising an additional $3,500,000 in gross proceeds for the company.
Peer Outperformance in Multi-Sector Holdings
null| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment Banking & Brokerage | 13 | 7.7% | 133.2% | 144.2% | IBKR 492% · SNEX 244% · GS 189% |
| Reinsurance | 6 | 18.8% | 75.0% | 124.6% | SPNT 167% · RGA 134% · MTG 126% |
| Diversified Banks | 12 | 38.0% | 136.2% | 118.7% | CM 156% · JPM 152% · RY 144% |
| Life & Health Insurance | 20 | 14.7% | 55.5% | 96.7% | JXN 510% · UNM 316% · FG 218% |
| Multi-Sector Holdings ← | 5 | 4.3% | 55.1% | 81.6% | JONE 361% · JEF 86% · BRK-B 82% |
| Regional Banks | 265 | 25.4% | 85.8% | 68.6% | GCBC 361% · ESQ 353% · VBNK 321% |
| Property & Casualty Insurance | 42 | 8.9% | 73.2% | 64.8% | ASIC 2652900% · HRTG 439% · UVE 300% |
| Multi-line Insurance | 9 | 12.0% | 87.8% | 56.7% | GNW 189% · L 102% · SLF 90% |
| Consumer Finance | 30 | 9.2% | 86.6% | 34.4% | ENVA 593% · EZPW 398% · FCFS 173% |
| Financial Exchanges & Data | 15 | -4.4% | 18.5% | 26.7% | VIRT 214% · CBOE 152% · CME 77% |
| Insurance Brokers | 16 | -13.9% | -1.2% | 20.9% | LIFE 657% · ARX 89% · AJG 82% |
| Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance | 13 | -42.7% | 35.2% | 19.9% | FNMA 505% · FMCC 490% · ESNT 65% |
| Diversified Financial Services | 4 | 0.5% | 9.3% | 17.3% | FRHC 161% · EQH 94% · TMS -59% |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks | 83 | -10.9% | 17.0% | 14.6% | WT 334% · VCTR 291% · SII 289% |
| Specialized Finance | 3 | 15.7% | 47.8% | -3.0% | EFC 35% · CACC -3% · HASI -13% |
| Mortgage REITs | 33 | -11.7% | 10.8% | -12.5% | NREF 57% · RITM 51% · DX 41% |
| Diversified Capital Markets | 21 | -21.0% | -4.5% | -38.8% | BTCS 614% · OPY 209% · LPLA 145% |
| Transaction & Payment Processing Services | 15 | -0.2% | -3.6% | -45.2% | V 68% · MA 67% · CPAY 54% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.00 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| Rev LTM | - |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | - |
| FCF 3Y Avg | - |
| CFO LTM | - |
| CFO 3Y Avg | - |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | - |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Rev Chg Q | - |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
| FCF/Rev LTM | - |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
Price Behavior
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.05 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 0.04 | -0.01 |
| Up Beta | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.05 | -0.13 | 0.05 | 0.02 |
| Down Beta | -0.04 | -0.04 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.04 | -0.00 |
| Up Capture | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 32 | 68 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 5 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Down Capture | 7% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 59 | 113 | 324 |
| Stock -ve Days | 5 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GUAC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GUAC | -1.8% | 2.7% | -8.01 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.3% | 14.6% | 0.39 | 7.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.4% | 12.8% | 1.11 | 3.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.8% | 29.2% | 0.65 | 20.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 45.0% | 20.4% | 1.72 | -10.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.8% | 13.6% | 0.30 | -18.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -28.1% | 43.9% | -0.63 | 12.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GUAC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GUAC | -0.4% | 2.7% | -8.01 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.1% | 18.4% | 0.41 | 7.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.6% | 17.2% | 0.56 | 3.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.8% | 18.8% | 0.81 | 20.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.6% | 19.5% | 0.42 | -10.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.5% | 18.9% | -0.03 | -18.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.1% | 52.6% | 0.39 | 12.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GUAC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GUAC | -0.2% | 2.7% | -8.01 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.4% | 22.1% | 0.55 | 7.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 3.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.2% | 16.3% | 0.61 | 20.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.9% | 18.1% | 0.36 | -10.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.9% | 20.7% | 0.20 | -18.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 63.6% | 66.2% | 1.03 | 12.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Multi-Sector Holdings Resources |
| McKinsey & Company Insights |
| Harvard Business Review |
| ValueWalk |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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