General Catalyst Global Resilience Merger (GCGR)
Market Price (7/15/2026): $10.17 | Market Cap: $-Sector: Financials | Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings
General Catalyst Global Resilience Merger (GCGR)
Market Price (7/15/2026): $10.17Market Cap: $-Sector: FinancialsIndustry: Multi-Sector Holdings
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 8.3% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.5%, Dist 3Y High is -0.5% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 8.3% |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.5%, Dist 3Y High is -0.5% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72% |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
General Catalyst Global Resilience Merger (GCGR) stock has remained largely at the same level since it went public on 6/22/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Absence of a Definitive Merger Target: General Catalyst Global Resilience Merger Corp. (GCGR) operates as a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) and is a blank check company formed for the sole purpose of acquiring an existing business. During the specified period from June 22, 2026, to July 1, 2026, no definitive merger target or business combination was announced, which is the primary catalyst for significant stock price movement in a SPAC.
2. Trading Around Trust Value: SPAC shares typically trade close to their initial public offering (IPO) price, which represents the cash held in a trust account. GCGR's IPO units were priced at $10.00 per unit, raising $350 million (with total proceeds of $402.5 million including a private placement), with the net proceeds placed into a trust account. This trust generally provides a floor for the stock price, as public shareholders retain the option to redeem their shares for approximately the initial IPO price plus accrued interest.
Show more
General Catalyst Global Resilience Merger (GCGR) stock has remained largely at the same level since it went public on 6/22/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Absence of a Definitive Merger Target: General Catalyst Global Resilience Merger Corp. (GCGR) operates as a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) and is a blank check company formed for the sole purpose of acquiring an existing business. During the specified period from June 22, 2026, to July 1, 2026, no definitive merger target or business combination was announced, which is the primary catalyst for significant stock price movement in a SPAC.
2. Trading Around Trust Value: SPAC shares typically trade close to their initial public offering (IPO) price, which represents the cash held in a trust account. GCGR's IPO units were priced at $10.00 per unit, raising $350 million (with total proceeds of $402.5 million including a private placement), with the net proceeds placed into a trust account. This trust generally provides a floor for the stock price, as public shareholders retain the option to redeem their shares for approximately the initial IPO price plus accrued interest.
3. Early Stage Post-Separate Trading: The period under review is extremely short, covering just over a week since GCGR's Class A ordinary shares began trading separately on June 22, 2026. In this early stage of public trading for the separated shares, it is typical for a SPAC to exhibit stable pricing close to its IPO value, awaiting substantial corporate developments.
4. Limited Speculative Interest Pre-Deal Announcement: Without the identification and announcement of a specific and compelling merger candidate, the speculative interest that could drive the stock price significantly above its underlying trust value remains constrained. Significant price appreciation in SPACs often occurs only after a "solid deal" is announced, enabling investors to evaluate the prospects of the target company.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GCGR | ||
| Market (SPY) | 15.6% | 46.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 13.8% | 37.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GCGR | ||
| Market (SPY) | 10.6% | 46.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 3.1% | 37.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GCGR | ||
| Market (SPY) | 22.7% | 46.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 8.6% | 37.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GCGR | ||
| Market (SPY) | 75.6% | 46.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 74.1% | 37.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GCGR Return | - | - | - | - | - | -1% | -1% |
| Peers Return | 0% | 0% | |||||
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 100% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GCGR Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | ||||||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 57% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GCGR Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | |||||||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AACP, ACGC, AMAN, ARCL, CAES.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/14/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
GCGR has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 80 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 270 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.5% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
GCGR has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.3% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 272 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 162 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.3% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 359.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2329 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.03 |
| Mkt Cap | - |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -0 |
| FCF LTM | - |
| FCF 3Y Avg | - |
| CFO LTM | - |
| CFO 3Y Avg | - |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | - |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Rev Chg Q | - |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
| FCF/Rev LTM | - |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| NDA221287 | AIR | air | gas | 2022026 | |||||
| NDA220634 | CARBON DIOXIDE, USP | carbon dioxide | gas | 6162025 | |||||
| NDA216307 | HELIUM, USP | helium | gas | 7262021 | |||||
| NDA209927 | MEDICAL AIR, USP | medical air | gas | 12252016 | |||||
| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| NDA221287 | AIR | air | gas | 2022026 | |||||
| NDA220634 | CARBON DIOXIDE, USP | carbon dioxide | gas | 6162025 | |||||
| NDA216307 | HELIUM, USP | helium | gas | 7262021 | |||||
| NDA209927 | MEDICAL AIR, USP | medical air | gas | 12252016 | |||||
Price Behavior
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.15 | 0.45 | -0.41 | 0.44 | -0.00 | -0.12 |
| Up Beta | 0.17 | -0.09 | 0.14 | -0.23 | 0.08 | -0.02 |
| Down Beta | 0.42 | 1.31 | -1.43 | -0.19 | 0.27 | 0.06 |
| Up Capture | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Down Capture | 19% | 15% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GCGR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCGR | -0.2% | 8.8% | -0.89 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.0% | 14.7% | 0.37 | 39.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.7% | 12.6% | 1.28 | 44.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.5% | 27.9% | 0.65 | 76.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 27.3% | 18.9% | 1.14 | 26.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.0% | 13.9% | 0.64 | 2.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -47.0% | 42.7% | -1.37 | 47.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GCGR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCGR | -0.0% | 8.8% | -0.89 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.9% | 18.6% | 0.46 | 39.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 44.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.2% | 18.4% | 0.76 | 76.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 19.5% | 0.33 | 26.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.7% | 18.9% | 0.04 | 2.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.8% | 53.4% | 0.42 | 47.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GCGR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCGR | -0.0% | 8.8% | -0.89 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.8% | 22.1% | 0.57 | 39.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 44.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.2% | 16.1% | 0.57 | 76.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.3% | 18.0% | 0.27 | 26.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 2.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.3% | 66.2% | 0.97 | 47.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Multi-Sector Holdings Resources |
| McKinsey & Company Insights |
| Harvard Business Review |
| ValueWalk |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.