AGNC Investment (AGNC)


Market Price (11/13/2026): $8.24 | Market Cap: $10.5 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs

AGNC Investment (AGNC)


Market Price (11/13/2026): $8.24
Market Cap: $10.5 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Mortgage REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, Dividend Yield is 18%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 12%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 482%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 482%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Financial Markets Evolution. Themes include Mortgage Market Dynamics, Securitized Real Estate Investment, and Financial Market Volatility & Hedging.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 42x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 96x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -75%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -259%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 694%

Key risks
AGNC key risks include [1] its business model's high sensitivity to interest rate and spread fluctuations, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, Dividend Yield is 18%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 12%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 482%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 482%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Financial Markets Evolution. Themes include Mortgage Market Dynamics, Securitized Real Estate Investment, and Financial Market Volatility & Hedging.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 42x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 96x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -75%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -259%
8 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 694%
9 Key risks
AGNC key risks include [1] its business model's high sensitivity to interest rate and spread fluctuations, Show more.

AGNC in ETFs

Weight = AGNC's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
IJH0.31%
VB0.14%
IYR0.77%
NUSC0.74%
MDYG0.45%
+18 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Prices as of 11/12/2026

Down 24.7% since its Jul 16 high (S&P 500 up 0.9%)
The stock declined without clear company news, while the S&P 500 rose. The biggest daily drops occurred on September 10 and October 19, without specific company catalysts.

Oct 20: up 4.3% the day after its Oct 19 earnings report (S&P 500 up 0.3%)
The stock gained after third quarter 2026 financial results missed estimates and showed significant declines, with reports highlighting attractive Agency MBS valuations offering upside.

Show more
Prices as of 11/12/2026

Down 24.7% since its Jul 16 high (S&P 500 up 0.9%)
The stock declined without clear company news, while the S&P 500 rose. The biggest daily drops occurred on September 10 and October 19, without specific company catalysts.

Oct 20: up 4.3% the day after its Oct 19 earnings report (S&P 500 up 0.3%)
The stock gained after third quarter 2026 financial results missed estimates and showed significant declines, with reports highlighting attractive Agency MBS valuations offering upside.

Show less
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -20.1% change in AGNC stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -90.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)731202611122026Change
Stock Price ($)10.278.20-20.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,401236-90.2%
Net Income Margin (%)94.4%43.6%-53.8%
P/E Multiple5.295.61721.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,1581,200-3.6%
Cumulative Contribution-20.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AGNC-20.1% 
Market (SPY)1.4%25.5%
Sector (XLF)2.2%44.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -20.1% change in AGNC stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -86.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)430202611122026Change
Stock Price ($)10.278.20-20.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,797236-86.9%
Net Income Margin (%)92.9%43.6%-53.0%
P/E Multiple6.795.61326.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,0901,200-9.2%
Cumulative Contribution-20.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AGNC-20.1% 
Market (SPY)5.6%32.6%
Sector (XLF)12.1%45.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -5.9% change in AGNC stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -75.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)1031202511122026Change
Stock Price ($)8.728.20-5.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)956236-75.3%
Net Income Margin (%)87.7%43.6%-50.2%
P/E Multiple11.095.6772.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,0531,200-12.3%
Cumulative Contribution-5.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AGNC-5.9% 
Market (SPY)11.9%40.7%
Sector (XLF)12.5%40.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 71.9% change in AGNC stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 118.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)1031202311122026Change
Stock Price ($)4.778.2071.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)108236118.5%
Net Income Margin (%)27.8%43.6%57.1%
P/E Multiple95.295.60.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5991,200-50.1%
Cumulative Contribution71.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AGNC71.9% 
Market (SPY)87.3%49.9%
Sector (XLF)87.8%47.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
AGNC Return5%-22%10%9%35%-14%14%
Peers Return19%-19%23%3%19%-23%11%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%11%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AGNC Win Rate58%42%42%67%83%36% 
Peers Win Rate54%52%56%58%58%34% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%45% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AGNC Max Drawdown-18%-48%-37%-11%-21%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-14%-34%-27%-13%-17%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NLY, STWD, BXMT, RITM, N/A. See AGNC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/12/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventAGNCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-20.5%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven132 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-30.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven50 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-20.8%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven215 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-47.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven91.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven709 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-51.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven105.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven391 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-15.0%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven56 days62 days

Compare to NLY, STWD, BXMT, RITM, ARI

In The Past

AGNC Investment's stock fell -20.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 25.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventAGNCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-20.5%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven132 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-30.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven50 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-20.8%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven215 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-47.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven91.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven709 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-51.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven105.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven391 days140 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-36.7%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven58.1%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven1209 days1 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-26.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.0%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven60 days1085 days

Compare to NLY, STWD, BXMT, RITM, ARI

In The Past

AGNC Investment's stock fell -20.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 25.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AGNC Investment (AGNC)

```html

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) primarily focused on the U.S. mortgage market. The company specializes in investing in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), which include both pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations. A key characteristic of AGNC's investments is their security: the principal and interest payments for these securities are guaranteed by agencies of the U.S. government or government-sponsored enterprises, such as Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.

AGNC funds its substantial portfolio of mortgage-backed securities primarily through collateralized borrowings, structured as repurchase agreements. As a REIT, AGNC is legally structured to pass through most of its earnings directly to shareholders. This means the company avoids federal corporate income taxes by distributing at least 90% of its taxable income, making it a distinct investment vehicle often attractive to those seeking regular income from the mortgage sector.

```

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe AGNC Investment:

  • It's like a real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests in mortgages, similar to how Simon Property Group invests in malls, but AGNC buys government-guaranteed mortgage bonds instead of physical properties.
  • Imagine the part of a large bank, like JPMorgan Chase, that manages its portfolio of mortgage securities, but AGNC does this exclusively for government-backed mortgages, using significant borrowed money.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Investment in Residential Mortgage Pass-Through Securities: The company acquires securities representing ownership in pools of residential mortgage loans, with principal and interest payments guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprises or agencies.
  • Investment in Collateralized Mortgage Obligations (CMOs): AGNC invests in debt obligations backed by pools of mortgages, structured to provide various payment streams, and guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprises or agencies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Major Customers of AGNC Investment (AGNC)

AGNC Investment Corp. operates as a mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT). Its core business model involves investing in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and generating income from the net interest margin between its investment portfolio and its funding costs.

Due to this investment-centric business model, AGNC does not have traditional "customers" who purchase products or services from the company in the way a typical manufacturing or service-oriented business would. Its revenue is derived primarily from the interest payments on the mortgage-backed securities it holds.

These principal and interest payments are guaranteed by U.S. government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) such as Fannie Mae (OTCMKTS: FNMA) and Freddie Mac (OTCMKTS: FMCC), or by U.S. government agencies like Ginnie Mae. While these entities are crucial to AGNC's revenue stream by guaranteeing the payments, they are not customers purchasing a service or product from AGNC. Rather, they are guarantors of the financial assets AGNC holds.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA)
  • Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (FMCC)
  • Government National Mortgage Association

AI Analysis | Feedback

Peter J. Federico, President and Chief Executive Officer

Peter J. Federico has served as a Director and Chief Executive Officer of AGNC Investment Corp. since July 2021, and as President since March 2018. He also assumed the role of Chief Investment Officer in March 2025. Prior to his CEO appointment, he held various leadership positions at AGNC, including Chief Operating Officer from 2018 to 2021, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer from 2016 to 2018, and Senior Vice President and Chief Risk Officer from 2011 to 2016. Before joining AGNC Investment Corp., Mr. Federico spent over two decades at Freddie Mac, where he served as Executive Vice President and Treasurer from 2010 to 2011, overseeing a $1.2 trillion interest-rate derivatives portfolio and debt issuance programs. He also held roles as Senior Vice President, Asset & Liability Management at Freddie Mac. Additionally, he was President & Chief Operating Officer for MTGE Investment Corp. and held positions at The Freddie Mac Foundation, Inc.

Bernice E. Bell, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Bernice E. Bell has been Executive Vice President of AGNC Investment Corp. since January 2022 and Chief Financial Officer since March 2018. She also serves as Chief Financial Officer & Vice President of American Capital AGNC Management LLC. Her tenure at AGNC includes roles as Senior Vice President from 2016 to 2022, Chief Accounting Officer from 2016 to 2018, Vice President from 2011 to 2016, and Controller from 2008 to 2015. Before AGNC, Ms. Bell served as Vice President and Controller of American Capital, Ltd. from 2003 to 2009. She was also Vice President and Controller for privately-held telecommunications and software development companies from 1998 to 2003 and worked at Price Waterhouse, LLP from 1994 to 1998. She is a Certified Public Accountant.

Gary D. Kain, Executive Chair

Gary D. Kain has served as the Executive Chair of AGNC Investment Corp.'s Board of Directors since July 2021 and has been a Director since March 2016. Previously, he held the titles of Chief Executive Officer from 2016 to 2021 and Chief Investment Officer from 2009 to 2021. He also served as President from 2011 to 2018. Prior to joining AGNC Investment Corp., Mr. Kain held senior mortgage investment leadership positions at Freddie Mac, including Senior Vice President of Investments & Capital Markets from 2008 to 2009, and Senior Vice President of Mortgage Investments & Structuring from 2005 to 2008, where he managed mortgage investment activities for a $700 billion retained portfolio. He was an early investment lead at AGNC when it was formed by American Capital Ltd. in 2008. He also served as Director, CEO, President, and CIO of MTGE Investment Corp.

Christopher J. Kuehl, Executive Vice President and Chief Investment Officer

Christopher J. Kuehl serves as Executive Vice President and Chief Investment Officer of AGNC Investment Corp., a role he assumed in July 2021. He joined AGNC in August 2010 and previously served as Executive Vice President – Agency Portfolio Investments since November 2016, and as Senior Vice President from 2012 to 2016. Mr. Kuehl has extensive experience investing in mortgage-backed securities and has worked alongside Peter Federico and Gary Kain at AGNC for over 12 years.

Kenneth L. Pollack, Executive Vice President, General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer, and Secretary

Kenneth L. Pollack holds the titles of Executive Vice President, General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer, and Secretary at AGNC Investment Corp. He joined American Capital in 2004 as Vice President and Associate General Counsel. Before his time at American Capital, Mr. Pollack was a member of the Corporate & Securities and Real Estate practice groups at Arnold & Porter LLP. His practice there focused on public and private mergers and acquisitions, buyouts, private equity, and secured lending transactions across various business sectors. He also provided counsel on corporate governance issues and regulatory compliance matters.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) primarily stem from its business model as a mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT), which involves investing in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) using significant leverage.

  1. Interest Rate Risk: AGNC's profitability is highly sensitive to changes in interest rates. As an mREIT, the company borrows funds short-term (primarily through repurchase agreements) and invests in longer-term residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations. Rising interest rates can lead to increased funding costs and a decrease in the value of its existing fixed-rate MBS portfolio, which can squeeze profit margins and erode book value. Conversely, while falling rates can reduce borrowing costs, they also introduce prepayment risk. Interest rate volatility itself can negatively impact the company's performance.
  2. Leverage Risk: AGNC employs substantial leverage to enhance its returns, with its "at-risk" leverage ratio often being significant (e.g., 7.5x tangible net book value as of Q3 2025). While leverage can amplify gains when market conditions are favorable, it also magnifies losses during periods of adverse market movements, particularly those driven by interest rate fluctuations. This amplified exposure can lead to increased volatility in the company's book value and potential reductions in dividend payments.
  3. MBS Spread Volatility (including Prepayment and Extension Risk): AGNC's business is exposed to fluctuations in the spreads between the yields on its mortgage-backed securities and its funding costs. This encompasses two related risks:
    • Prepayment Risk: When interest rates decline, homeowners are more likely to refinance their mortgages, leading to earlier-than-anticipated principal payments on AGNC's MBS. This forces the company to reinvest the returned capital at potentially lower prevailing interest rates, thereby reducing its overall portfolio yield.
    • Extension Risk: Conversely, if interest rates rise, homeowners may delay refinancing, causing the average life of AGNC's MBS to extend. This can lock the company into lower-yielding assets for a longer duration, potentially missing opportunities to invest in new, higher-yielding securities.
    These risks directly impact the valuation of AGNC's MBS portfolio and its ability to generate consistent returns.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable market for AGNC Investment Corp.'s main products and services, which consist of residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations guaranteed by United States government-sponsored enterprises or government agencies (known as Agency MBS), is estimated to be approximately USD 13.85 trillion in the U.S..

The overall Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) market in the United States is estimated at USD 15.55 trillion in 2025. Within this, the non-agency Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) market, which does not carry a government guarantee, has over USD 1.7 trillion in outstanding securities. By subtracting the non-agency portion from the total MBS market, the addressable market for Agency MBS is determined for the U.S. region.

AI Analysis | Feedback

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of favorable macroeconomic conditions and strategic operational initiatives. The company's focus as a real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) means its performance is closely tied to interest rate environments and effective portfolio management.

  1. Favorable Interest Rate Environment and Yield Curve Normalization: A significant driver of revenue growth for AGNC is the expectation of a more favorable interest rate environment, characterized by potential federal fund rate cuts and a normalizing or positively sloped yield curve. This shift is expected to reduce AGNC's borrowing costs, which are primarily structured as repurchase agreements, thereby improving its net interest margin (NIM) and overall profitability. Analysts and company executives have indicated that the Federal Reserve's pivot to a more accommodative monetary policy, including anticipated rate cuts in 2025 and 2026, will create beneficial conditions for high-quality fixed-income instruments like Agency MBS.
  2. Stable and Attractive Agency MBS Spreads: The core of AGNC's profitability lies in the spread between the yields on its Agency MBS assets and its funding costs. The company's future revenue growth is highly dependent on these spreads remaining stable and attractive. Management commentary frequently highlights that a consistent and favorable trading range for Agency MBS spreads to benchmark rates is crucial for generating strong economic returns. While some volatility may occur, the outlook points towards spreads remaining in a range that offers appealing levered returns for Agency REITs.
  3. Growth of Investment Portfolio through Opportunistic Capital Raises: AGNC has a demonstrated strategy of opportunistic capital raises, primarily through at-the-market (ATM) equity offerings. These capital infusions provide the company with the necessary funds to expand its investment portfolio by purchasing new Agency MBS. A larger asset base directly translates to increased potential for interest income, which is a primary component of AGNC's revenue. For instance, in Q3 2024, AGNC added about $5 billion in Agency MBS, growing its portfolio to $72.1 billion, and continued significant capital raising in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025.
  4. Active Portfolio Management and Strategic Asset Allocation: AGNC's proactive and dynamic approach to managing its investment portfolio, including strategic asset allocation, is expected to enhance revenue. This involves optimizing existing holdings, rotating towards higher-coupon securities, and carefully managing prepayment risk to stabilize cash flows and enhance net interest income. The company's strategy includes increasing exposure to higher-coupon securities to provide greater stability in cash flows, especially during periods of fluctuating interest rates.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • AGNC Investment Corp.'s board of directors authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $1 billion in October 2024, set to continue through December 31, 2026.
  • As of September 30, 2025, the full $1 billion authorization for share repurchases remained available.
  • Management's strategy is to repurchase shares only when they trade below the tangible net book value.

Share Issuance

  • For the full year 2025, AGNC issued 208.2 million shares of common equity through at-the-market (ATM) offerings, resulting in net proceeds of $2.0 billion.
  • In 2025, the company also issued $345 million of 8.75% Series H Fixed-Rate preferred equity.
  • During the third quarter of 2025, AGNC issued 31.0 million shares of common equity through ATM offerings, generating net proceeds of $309 million.

Outbound Investments

  • AGNC's core business involves investing in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations, primarily Agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS).
  • As of December 31, 2025, the company's investment portfolio totaled $94.8 billion, predominantly consisting of Agency MBS and TBA (to-be-announced) securities.

Peer Outperformance in Mortgage REITs

AGNC has outperformed 85% of its 33 Mortgage REITs peers over 5Y. Mortgage REITs ranks 17th of 18 industries in Financials by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Mortgage REITs constituents that AGNC has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
91%
of 35 industry peers · -7.8% return
3Y
94%
of 34 industry peers · 50.3% return
5Y
85%
of 33 industry peers · 3.6% return
No Mortgage REITs peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten AGNC by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Financials sector, ranked by 5Y. Mortgage REITs is AGNC's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Reinsurance 6 32.7%70.1%120.1% SPNT 197% · RGA 170% · RNR 135%
Diversified Banks 12 29.4%142.4%90.8% CM 145% · JPM 133% · RY 128%
Multi-Sector Holdings 4 17.4%64.3%87.4% BRK-B 106% · VOYA 69% · JEF 31%
Investment Banking & Brokerage 13 -6.1%93.4%86.8% IBKR 355% · SNEX 172% · GS 155%
Life & Health Insurance 20 10.5%53.3%80.5% JXN 431% · UNM 245% · FG 214%
Property & Casualty Insurance 42 13.9%74.2%68.1% TRV 182% · PGR 174% · ACGL 173%
Multi-line Insurance 9 8.1%72.8%60.5% AIZ 118% · L 99% · GNW 94%
Regional Banks 266 29.7%90.4%46.1% CBC 275% · FCNCA 182% · NIC 142%
Insurance Brokers 15 0.6%8.2%18.1% LIFE 284% · ARX 89% · WTW 52%
Financial Exchanges & Data 15 17.0%33.5%13.5% CBOE 201% · VIRT 152% · CME 73%
Asset Management & Custody Banks 85 -8.2%18.2%8.1% VCTR 271% · WT 239% · AAMI 213%
Diversified Financial Services 4 -9.8%16.5%7.0% FRHC 126% · EQH 82%
Consumer Finance 30 -2.8%75.5%0.3% ENVA 289% · FCFS 145% · ECPG 86%
Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance 14 -45.6%13.0%-3.7% FNMA 338% · FMCC 287% · ACT 161%
Specialized Finance 3 13.2%27.4%-22.3% HASI -22% · CACC -25%
Transaction & Payment Processing Services 17 15.4%9.7%-29.6% V 106% · CPAY 89% · MA 85%
Mortgage REITs ← 34 -24.5%-11.9%-42.1% RITM 32% · DX 9% · AGNC 4%
Diversified Capital Markets 20 -45.7%-25.5%-67.3% LPLA 81% · TW 40% · RIOT -60%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AGNCNLYSTWDBXMTRITMARIMedian
NameAGNC Inv.Annaly C.Starwood.Blacksto.Rithm Ca.N/A  
Mkt Price8.2417.6411.4910.839.03-10.83
Mkt Cap9.913.54.21.85.0-5.0
Rev LTM2361,3557015553,846-701
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM1,1372,659367353-1,432-367
FCF 3Y Avg5721,597473323-1,991-473
CFO LTM1,1373,718984353-1,428-984
CFO 3Y Avg5722,485711323-1,946-572

Growth & Margins

AGNCNLYSTWDBXMTRITMARIMedian
NameAGNC Inv.Annaly C.Starwood.Blacksto.Rithm Ca.N/A  
Rev Chg LTM-75.3%-20.4%-8.6%9.2%27.1%--8.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg42.3%189.5%-9.0%-6.7%21.1%-21.1%
Rev Chg Q-259.0%-205.1%-54.5%-41.2%75.1%--54.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-90.2%-57.3%-13.6%-9.0%16.3%--13.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM-------
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM481.8%274.3%140.4%63.6%-37.1%-140.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg181.0%246.2%92.3%60.5%-65.4%-92.3%
FCF/Rev LTM481.8%196.2%52.4%63.6%-37.2%-63.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg181.0%123.7%59.1%60.5%-67.3%-60.5%

Valuation

AGNCNLYSTWDBXMTRITMARIMedian
NameAGNC Inv.Annaly C.Starwood.Blacksto.Rithm Ca.N/A  
Mkt Cap9.913.54.21.85.0-5.0
P/S41.99.96.03.31.3-6.0
P/Op Inc-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E96.012.1-17.8-4.910.1-10.1
P/CFO8.73.64.25.2-3.5-4.2
Total Yield19.4%24.8%11.5%-3.1%23.7%-19.4%
Dividend Yield18.4%16.5%17.1%17.5%13.8%-17.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.3%11.6%7.6%12.4%-35.0%-7.6%
D/E0.03.13.17.87.5-3.1
Net D/E-0.03.13.07.66.3-3.1

Returns

AGNCNLYSTWDBXMTRITMARIMedian
NameAGNC Inv.Annaly C.Starwood.Blacksto.Rithm Ca.N/A  
1M Rtn-3.0%-2.9%-7.9%0.8%6.2%--2.9%
3M Rtn-22.0%-21.7%-27.3%-22.3%-10.3%--22.0%
6M Rtn-16.2%-13.9%-28.6%-37.2%2.6%--16.2%
12M Rtn-7.3%-7.4%-27.9%-34.0%-10.8%--10.8%
3Y Rtn51.0%54.7%-18.0%-28.9%23.5%-23.5%
1M Excs Rtn-1.7%-1.6%-5.9%3.7%9.4%--1.6%
3M Excs Rtn-19.8%-19.3%-24.9%-20.1%-8.2%--19.8%
6M Excs Rtn-17.7%-15.5%-30.2%-38.8%1.1%--17.7%
12M Excs Rtn-19.7%-19.6%-39.9%-45.4%-21.3%--21.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-23.7%-21.6%-90.2%-103.4%-52.4%--52.4%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment1,797973251-1,116837
Total1,797973251-1,116837


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$8.20 
Market Cap ($ Bil)9.8 
First Trading Date05/15/2008 
Distance from 52W High-24.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$9.05$9.77
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-9.4%-16.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility25.1%22.7%
Downside Capture112.9388.85
Upside Capture11.0671.02
Correlation (S&P 500)23.7%42.6%
AGNC Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.100.520.510.610.730.72
Up Beta-3.71-0.05-0.000.230.550.59
Down Beta0.430.210.450.550.760.78
Up Capture-16%4%21%45%65%55%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days8142153118390
Down Capture36%146%124%103%89%91%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days13273968124331

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AGNC
AGNC-8.8%22.7%-0.49-
Sector ETF (XLF)10.8%15.3%0.4540.2%
Equity (SPY)11.8%13.7%0.5542.2%
Gold (GLD)-6.6%28.9%-0.2441.4%
Commodities (DBC)32.8%21.3%1.22-22.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)9.8%14.2%0.4152.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-28.5%43.4%-0.6619.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AGNC
AGNC0.7%26.3%0.01-
Sector ETF (XLF)9.6%18.4%0.3850.7%
Equity (SPY)11.6%17.3%0.5054.0%
Gold (GLD)16.2%19.2%0.6820.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%19.6%0.306.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.4%18.9%-0.0461.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)3.7%51.5%0.2521.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AGNC
AGNC3.8%25.7%0.16-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.6%22.1%0.5549.9%
Equity (SPY)15.5%18.0%0.7351.2%
Gold (GLD)11.1%16.6%0.5419.5%
Commodities (DBC)7.6%18.1%0.3315.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.2%20.7%0.2557.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.4%66.3%0.9816.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity150.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 1015202615.8%
Average Daily Volume26.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity1,200.5 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares12.5%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 10/28/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/19/20264.3%4.0% 
7/20/2026-1.3%-2.6%1.1%
4/20/20261.3%3.1%-4.9%
1/26/20263.1%-4.4%-3.4%
10/20/2025-0.5%2.0%1.3%
7/21/20251.5%4.9%5.4%
4/10/20252.8%2.7%12.3%
1/27/20250.8%2.9%8.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171614
# Negative8910
Median Positive1.8%3.0%8.1%
Median Negative-1.3%-2.6%-5.0%
Max Positive7.1%20.2%30.7%
Max Negative-3.6%-7.1%-10.6%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/19/20264.3%4.0% 
7/20/2026-1.3%-2.6%1.1%
4/20/20261.3%3.1%-4.9%
1/26/20263.1%-4.4%-3.4%
10/20/2025-0.5%2.0%1.3%
7/21/20251.5%4.9%5.4%
4/10/20252.8%2.7%12.3%
1/27/20250.8%2.9%8.6%
10/21/2024-3.6%-7.1%-5.7%
7/22/20240.7%-1.5%-0.1%
4/22/20241.8%1.7%8.8%
1/22/20240.5%2.3%-1.1%
10/30/20236.3%20.2%30.7%
7/24/20231.4%0.5%-6.7%
4/24/2023-3.0%-3.6%-9.2%
1/30/20232.8%2.0%-5.1%
10/24/20223.8%9.5%26.6%
7/25/2022-1.2%4.3%1.4%
5/2/20227.1%9.5%9.7%
1/31/2022-1.4%-3.8%-10.6%
10/25/2021-0.2%-1.5%-2.4%
7/26/20210.0%-1.0%2.2%
4/26/20212.2%4.3%7.5%
1/25/2021-0.6%-1.5%2.8%
10/26/20201.1%0.1%12.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171614
# Negative8910
Median Positive1.8%3.0%8.1%
Median Negative-1.3%-2.6%-5.0%
Max Positive7.1%20.2%30.7%
Max Negative-3.6%-7.1%-10.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202610/29/202610-Q
06/30/202607/31/202610-Q
03/31/202605/04/202610-Q
12/31/202502/23/202610-K
09/30/202510/31/202510-Q
06/30/202508/01/202510-Q
03/31/202505/02/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/08/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202610/29/202610-Q
06/30/202607/31/202610-Q
03/31/202605/04/202610-Q
12/31/202502/23/202610-K
09/30/202510/31/202510-Q
06/30/202508/01/202510-Q
03/31/202505/02/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/08/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/07/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q
12/31/202102/23/202210-K
09/30/202111/05/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/07/202110-Q
12/31/202002/26/202110-K
09/30/202011/05/202010-Q
06/30/202008/07/202010-Q
03/31/202005/11/202010-Q
12/31/201902/25/202010-K

Insider Activity

Updated 10/27/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Federico, Peter JDirector, President, CEO, CIODirectSell102720268.7767,794594,55315,595,593Form
2Federico, Peter JDirector, President, CEO, CIODirectSell102720268.8767,794601,33316,374,755Form
3Federico, Peter JDirector, President, CEO, CIODirectSell102720268.8967,794602,68917,014,365Form
4Bell, BerniceEVP, CFODirectSell821202611.0715,000166,0004,367,343Form
5Bell, BerniceEVP, CFODirectSell730202611.005,00055,0004,476,422Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Federico, Peter JDirector, President, CEO, CIODirectSell102720268.7767,794594,55315,595,593Form
2Federico, Peter JDirector, President, CEO, CIODirectSell102720268.8767,794601,33316,374,755Form
3Federico, Peter JDirector, President, CEO, CIODirectSell102720268.8967,794602,68917,014,365Form
4Bell, BerniceEVP, CFODirectSell821202611.0715,000166,0004,367,343Form
5Bell, BerniceEVP, CFODirectSell730202611.005,00055,0004,476,422Form
6Bell, BerniceEVP, CFODirectSell514202610.7910,000107,9204,387,601Form
7Blank, Donna DirectSell507202610.7822,000237,0501,039,476Form
8Mullings, Paul E DirectSell505202610.746,80073,0321,609,776Form
9Federico, Peter JDirector, President, CEO, CIODirectSell428202611.0864,412713,62121,350,151Form
10Federico, Peter JDirector, President, CEO, CIODirectSell428202611.0364,411710,38921,964,197Form
11Federico, Peter JDirector, President, CEO, CIODirectSell428202610.9164,411702,59522,425,821Form
12Bell, BerniceEVP, CFODirectSell219202611.3615,000170,4004,172,869Form
13Bell, BerniceEVP, CFODirectSell219202611.2935,397399,6364,316,506Form
14Kain, Gary DDirector, Executive ChairDirectSell130202611.91700,0008,336,30026,069,886Form
15Bell, BerniceEVP, CFODirectSell130202612.1425,000303,5005,969,582Form
16Pollack, Kenneth LEVP and General CounselDirectSell130202612.1150,000605,5006,688,317Form
17Bell, BerniceEVP, CFODirectSell1110202510.3210,000103,2003,505,903Form
18Bell, BerniceEVP, CFODirectSell1110202510.2110,000102,1503,572,383Form
19Federico, Peter JDirector, Pres., CEO and CIODirectSell1028202510.3045,798471,60915,565,882Form
20Federico, Peter JDirector, Pres., CEO and CIODirectSell1028202510.2745,798470,20815,989,835Form
21Federico, Peter JDirector, Pres., CEO and CIODirectSell1028202510.1645,797465,16016,283,691Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 13, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
King Street Capital Management, L.P.$6.2 Mil1.9%11TRIM -81.1%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
King Street Capital Management, L.P.$6.2 Mil1.9%11TRIM -81.1%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
King Street Capital Management, L.P.$6.2 Mil1.9%11TRIM -81.1%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/12/2026