Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%, FCF Yield is 9.5%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Private Credit, and Consumer Debt Management.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -5.0%, Dist 3Y High is -5.0%

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -6.0%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 218%

Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 110%

Key risks
ECPG key risks include [1] a history of significant regulatory actions and financial penalties from bodies like the CFPB and [2] persistent operational challenges and impairments requiring restructuring in its European markets.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%, FCF Yield is 9.5%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Private Credit, and Consumer Debt Management.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -5.0%, Dist 3Y High is -5.0%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -6.0%
7 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 218%
8 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 110%
9 Key risks
ECPG key risks include [1] a history of significant regulatory actions and financial penalties from bodies like the CFPB and [2] persistent operational challenges and impairments requiring restructuring in its European markets.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Encore Capital (ECPG) stock has gained about 45% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong First Quarter 2026 Financial Performance and Upgraded Outlook. Encore Capital Group reported exceptional financial results for the first quarter of 2026, significantly surpassing expectations. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) doubled to $3.86, representing a 100% increase compared to $1.93 in the prior year, building on a previous quarter where EPS of $3.37 significantly beat estimates of $2.20. Total revenue for the quarter reached $475.4 million, up 21% year-over-year. Global collections also hit a record $718.4 million, marking a 19% increase. Driven by favorable purchasing conditions in the U.S. market, which saw $316 million in U.S. portfolio purchases, the company subsequently raised its full-year 2026 guidance. The revised outlook targets approximately $2.8 billion in global collections, an 8% increase, and an EPS of $13.00, representing a 19% rise.

2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Increased Price Targets. The company benefited from a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating from multiple brokerages, with an average price target of $80.50. Several analysts reiterated or upgraded their ratings and increased price targets for ECPG shares during the period. For instance, Truist Financial set a $100.00 price objective in April, and Citizens Jmp increased their price target from $75.00 to $90.00 while issuing a "market outperform" rating in February. Additionally, Wall Street Zen upgraded Encore Capital Group from a "buy" to a "strong-buy" rating.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 45.3% change in ECPG stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120265252026Change
Stock Price ($)55.2080.2045.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,5611,85118.6%
P/S Multiple0.80.914.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)23226.9%
Cumulative Contribution45.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ECPG45.3% 
Market (SPY)8.1%29.4%
Sector (XLF)-2.3%39.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 92.9% change in ECPG stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 41.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255252026Change
Stock Price ($)41.5880.2092.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,4681,85126.2%
P/S Multiple0.70.941.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)24228.2%
Cumulative Contribution92.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ECPG92.9% 
Market (SPY)9.9%26.8%
Sector (XLF)0.0%29.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 133.1% change in ECPG stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 50.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020255252026Change
Stock Price ($)34.4080.20133.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,3161,85140.6%
P/S Multiple0.60.950.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)242210.1%
Cumulative Contribution133.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ECPG133.1% 
Market (SPY)36.0%31.2%
Sector (XLF)8.2%34.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 56.1% change in ECPG stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 32.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020235252026Change
Stock Price ($)51.3880.2056.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,3981,85132.4%
Net Income Margin (%)13.9%16.0%15.0%
P/E Multiple6.25.9-5.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)24228.3%
Cumulative Contribution56.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ECPG56.1% 
Market (SPY)86.3%45.8%
Sector (XLF)64.4%45.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ECPG Return59%-23%6%-6%14%50%109%
Peers Return31%-39%96%35%20%-16%115%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%98%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ECPG Win Rate75%42%58%25%58%80% 
Peers Win Rate63%38%55%57%62%32% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ECPG Max Drawdown-24%-38%-35%-25%-47%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-50%-41%-25%-39%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PRAA, AXP, COF, SYF, AFRM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/22/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventECPGS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-47.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven88.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven231 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-30.1%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven768 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-25.1%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven982 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-26.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1225 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-51.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven105.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven74 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-36.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven58.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven137 days105 days

Compare to PRAA, AXP, COF, SYF, AFRM

In The Past

Encore Capital's stock fell -47.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 88.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventECPGS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-47.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven88.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven231 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-30.1%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven768 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-25.1%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven982 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-26.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1225 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-51.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven105.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven74 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-36.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven58.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven137 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-59.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven146.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven563 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-62.6%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven167.4%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven622 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-31.9%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.8%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven302 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-21.1%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.7%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven195 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-69.8%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven231.5%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven53 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-23.8%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.3%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven358 days47 days

Compare to PRAA, AXP, COF, SYF, AFRM

In The Past

Encore Capital's stock fell -47.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 88.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Encore Capital (ECPG)

Encore Capital Group, Inc., a specialty finance company, provides debt recovery solutions and other related services for consumers across financial assets worldwide. The company purchases portfolios of defaulted consumer receivables at deep discounts to face value, as well as manages them by working with individuals as they repay their obligations and works toward financial recovery. It is also involved in the provision of early stage collection, business process outsourcing, and contingent collection services, as well as debt servicing and other portfolio management services to credit originator for non-performing loans. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Like an Ollie's Bargain Outlet, but instead of physical goods, they buy portfolios of defaulted consumer debt at deep discounts and then work to recover value.
  • Imagine a Capital One or other major credit card issuer, but instead of issuing new credit, Encore Capital specializes in buying and recovering value from the loans that have already gone bad and been written off by those original lenders.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Debt Portfolio Purchase & Management: Acquires portfolios of defaulted consumer receivables at a discount and manages the recovery process from individuals.
  • Collection Services: Provides various collection services including early-stage and contingent collections for clients.
  • Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) for Collections: Offers outsourced services related to debt collection and portfolio management to credit originators.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Encore Capital (ECPG) primarily serves individuals who owe defaulted consumer debt. While the company also provides services to credit originators, its core business and the significant portion of its revenue generation involve working directly with consumers to repay obligations on portfolios of defaulted debt that Encore Capital has purchased.

The categories of customers (individuals) that Encore Capital serves include:

  1. Consumers with defaulted credit card debt: These are individuals who have outstanding, unpaid balances on credit card accounts.
  2. Consumers with defaulted personal loans, auto loans, and other consumer finance products: This category includes individuals who have failed to make payments on various types of personal financing.
  3. Consumers with defaulted telecommunications, utility, and other similar service-related debts: These are individuals with overdue bills from service providers such as phone companies, internet providers, or utility companies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Ashish Masih President and Chief Executive Officer
Ashish Masih joined Encore Capital Group in 2009 and was appointed President and CEO in June 2017. He previously served as President of Midland Credit Management (MCM), Encore's largest business unit, and held other roles in operations and corporate development at Encore. Prior to joining Encore, Mr. Masih was Vice President at Capital One Financial Corp., where he held senior roles in its U.S. credit card business. Before Capital One, he worked at McKinsey & Company and KPMG Consulting. Mr. Masih also oversaw Encore's Asset Reconstruction Company in India, a joint venture with the International Finance Corporation (IFC) and a private equity firm. Tomas C. Hernanz Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Tomas C. Hernanz was appointed Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer of Encore Capital Group, effective April 1, 2025. Before this role, he served as CFO of Cabot Credit Management, Encore's European business unit, since October 2022. Mr. Hernanz has held various senior strategy and financial roles with Encore since joining the organization in 2016. Prior to his time at Encore, he was a partner at Ondra Partners, a financial advisory firm, and held positions at Goldman Sachs and Citigroup. Ryan Bell President, Midland Credit Management
Ryan Bell has been the President of Midland Credit Management (MCM), Encore's U.S. debt purchasing line of business, since January 2020. He joined Encore in 2011 as a Vice President. Before joining Encore, Mr. Bell spent 11 years in marketing and analysis at Capital One Financial Corp., primarily in the auto finance line of business, where his experience included marketing strategy, credit policy, new product development, business development, and operations strategy. He previously led Encore's decision science group, responsible for asset valuation, predictive model development, and financial forecasting, and as Senior Vice President of Operations, he led Encore's internal legal, legal outsourcing, and bankruptcy operations. John Yung President, International and Cabot Credit Management
John Yung serves as President, International and Cabot Credit Management for Encore Capital Group. He is responsible for Encore's international operations and the Cabot Credit Management subsidiary. Andrew Asch Senior Vice President, General Counsel & Government Affairs
Andrew Asch is the Senior Vice President, General Counsel & Government Affairs at Encore Capital Group. He is responsible for the company's legal, government affairs, and corporate secretary functions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Encore Capital Group (ECPG) in order from most significant to least significant:

  1. High Debt Levels and Sensitivity to Interest Rates: Encore Capital Group carries significant indebtedness, with total long-term outstanding debt reported to be approximately $3.7 billion to $3.97 billion. Portions of this debt bear variable interest rates. Consequently, increases in interest rates directly lead to higher interest expenses, which can adversely affect the company's financial results and operating income. Furthermore, elevated interest rates increase the cost of capital for acquiring new portfolios of defaulted consumer receivables, thereby compressing the expected returns on these investments and impacting profitability.
  2. Macroeconomic Conditions and Consumer Repayment Ability: The profitability of Encore Capital Group's business is highly dependent on overall financial and economic conditions. Adverse economic factors, such as high unemployment, significant inflation, reduced credit availability, or general financial disruptions, can place considerable financial pressure on consumers. This directly reduces consumers' ability to repay their obligations, which, in turn, negatively impacts the company's collections, the value of its consumer receivable portfolios, and its cash flow.
  3. Legal and Regulatory Challenges: The debt recovery industry is subject to extensive and evolving legal and regulatory oversight. Changes in regulations or new rules from consumer protection bodies, such as the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), can restrict collection methods, increase operational costs, and reduce the value of certain types of debt. Non-compliance with these complex laws can expose Encore Capital Group to significant legal liabilities, including lawsuits, regulatory penalties, and reputational damage. Additionally, managing large volumes of sensitive consumer data exposes the company to cybersecurity risks, where breaches could lead to legal and financial repercussions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Encore Capital Group, Inc. (ECPG) operates within several key addressable markets related to debt recovery and portfolio management.

Debt Recovery Solutions (Purchasing Defaulted Consumer Receivables, Early Stage Collection, Contingent Collection Services)

  • Globally, the Debt Collection Services market is estimated at approximately USD 30.52 billion in 2025, with projections indicating growth to USD 38.67 billion by 2033. Other estimates for the global debt collection agencies market also show it growing from USD 30.19 billion in 2025 to USD 31.2 billion in 2026. Another report projects the global debt collection agencies market size to reach around USD 41.7 billion by 2033, up from USD 31.3 billion in 2023.
  • In the U.S., the Debt Collection Agencies market size is valued at $13.6 billion in 2025. North America, largely driven by the U.S., accounted for approximately USD 12.5 billion in revenue in 2023 within the debt collection agencies market.
  • Specifically, the global Debt Purchase Service market, which involves acquiring portfolios of defaulted debt, is projected to reach $8.35 billion by 2025.

Debt Servicing and Other Portfolio Management Services for Non-Performing Loans (NPLs)

  • The global Non-Performing Loan (NPL) Management market was sized at USD 109.45 billion in 2024. This market is projected for significant growth, expected to increase to approximately USD 2.17 trillion by 2031, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 53.20% from 2024 to 2031.
  • In North America, the NPL Management market held a significant share, with a market size of USD 43.78 billion in 2024.

Business Process Outsourcing (BPO)

Encore Capital's early stage collection and contingent collection services, as well as some debt servicing, fall within the broader Business Process Outsourcing market.

  • The global Business Process Outsourcing market was valued at USD 347.95 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach approximately USD 906.27 billion by 2035. Another estimate places the global market at USD 328.37 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 695.77 billion by 2033.
  • The U.S. Business Process Outsourcing market is substantial, with North America (dominated by the U.S.) holding 37.4% of the global market revenue share in 2025. U.S. companies are projected to spend approximately $50 billion on outsourcing services in the next 12 months.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Encore Capital (ECPG)

  • Sustained Favorable U.S. Purchasing Environment and Strategic Capital Allocation: Encore Capital anticipates continued strong revenue growth driven by a highly favorable purchasing environment in the U.S. market. This is characterized by elevated supply of non-performing loans and advantageous credit conditions, which are fueling the expansion of Encore's debt portfolios. The company has strategically increased its capital allocation to the U.S., with 80% of its global portfolio purchases in Q1 2024 concentrated in this market due to higher return opportunities. Management expects global portfolio purchases to be between $1.4 billion and $1.5 billion in 2026.
  • Operational Innovation and Enhanced Digital Capabilities: The deployment of new technologies, enhanced digital capabilities, and continuous operational innovation are key drivers for improved collections performance. These advancements enable Encore to reach more consumers and facilitate increased payments, particularly impacting the early stages of the portfolio life cycle and leading to overperformance of recent vintages.
  • Growth in Global Collections and Stable Consumer Payment Behavior: Encore Capital projects an increase in global collections, with an expectation to reach $2.7 billion in 2026, representing a 5% increase. This growth is supported by strong portfolio purchases in recent quarters, focused execution, operational improvements, and a stable consumer payment environment in its key markets, returning to pre-pandemic normalcy.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Encore Capital Group repurchased approximately $89.5 million of its shares outstanding in 2025, representing about 9% of total shares.
  • In Q3 2025, the company repurchased $10 million of shares, with an additional $25 million in Q4 2025 (as of November 5, 2025), totaling approximately $60 million year-to-date.
  • The board authorized an additional $300 million under the share repurchase program in Q3 2025.

Outbound Investments

  • Global portfolio purchases, which are investments in defaulted consumer receivables, increased 4% to $1.41 billion in 2025, including $1.17 billion allocated to the U.S.
  • The company anticipates global portfolio purchases for 2026 to be in the range of $1.4 billion to $1.5 billion.
  • In Q3 2025, global portfolio purchases were $346 million, with 75% of deployed capital directed towards the U.S. market.

Capital Expenditures

  • Encore Capital Group's capital expenditures were -$26.27 million in 2025.
  • Capital expenditures were -$29.01 million in 2024 and -$24.81 million in 2023.
  • The company has focused on the deployment of new technologies and enhanced digital capabilities to improve collections performance, implying capital allocation to these areas.

Better Bets vs. Encore Capital (ECPG)

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ECPG_12312022_Short_Squeeze12312022ECPGEncore CapitalSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
1.4%5.9%-21.9%
ECPG_6302022_Short_Squeeze06302022ECPGEncore CapitalSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-17.6%-15.8%-25.4%
ECPG_4302021_Short_Squeeze04302021ECPGEncore CapitalSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
37.3%46.9%0.0%
ECPG_7312020_Short_Squeeze07312020ECPGEncore CapitalSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-18.7%29.6%-18.7%
ECPG_1312020_Short_Squeeze01312020ECPGEncore CapitalSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
7.6%-12.5%-50.4%
ECPG_7312019_Short_Squeeze07312019ECPGEncore CapitalSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-2.6%-0.8%-53.2%
ECPG_12312017_Short_Squeeze12312017ECPGEncore CapitalSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-13.1%-44.2%-48.6%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ECPGPRAAAXPCOFSYFAFRMMedian
NameEncore C.PRA American.Capital .Synchron.Affirm  
Mkt Price80.2014.64311.78187.7971.8365.2276.02
Mkt Cap1.70.6213.6116.924.622.023.3
Rev LTM1,8511,25974,17158,66514,9613,9729,466
Op Inc LTM681275---769681
FCF LTM166-1314,32427,2919,8347875,310
FCF 3Y Avg134-7316,17721,8079,5305585,044
CFO LTM190-817,46829,0749,8341,0095,422
CFO 3Y Avg170-6818,40623,1619,5307415,135

Growth & Margins

ECPGPRAAAXPCOFSYFAFRMMedian
NameEncore C.PRA American.Capital .Synchron.Affirm  
Rev Chg LTM34.1%10.6%10.5%47.6%-0.6%32.1%21.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.9%12.9%10.2%20.3%7.6%38.2%14.4%
Rev Chg Q21.0%16.7%11.4%52.3%-0.5%32.6%18.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.7%3.7%2.7%9.8%-0.1%6.9%4.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM111.4%27.7%---293.1%111.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg43.2%1,480.9%---163.7%163.7%
Op Mgn LTM36.8%21.9%---19.4%21.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg27.8%13.8%---1.3%13.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.4%1.8%---1.4%1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM10.3%-0.6%23.6%49.6%65.7%25.4%24.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.6%-6.9%27.6%51.6%64.7%23.9%25.8%
FCF/Rev LTM9.0%-1.1%19.3%46.5%65.7%19.8%19.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.0%-7.3%24.4%48.6%64.7%17.8%21.1%

Valuation

ECPGPRAAAXPCOFSYFAFRMMedian
NameEncore C.PRA American.Capital .Synchron.Affirm  
Mkt Cap1.70.6213.6116.924.622.023.3
P/S0.90.42.92.01.65.51.8
P/Op Inc2.62.0---28.62.6
P/EBIT2.6-5.3---26.32.6
P/E5.9-2.019.036.36.857.512.9
P/CFO9.2-70.012.24.02.521.86.6
Total Yield17.0%-50.0%5.3%4.3%16.4%1.7%4.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%1.5%1.8%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.1%-8.0%9.0%28.5%47.2%3.9%10.5%
D/E2.36.80.30.40.70.40.6
Net D/E2.26.40.0-0.2-0.30.30.2

Returns

ECPGPRAAAXPCOFSYFAFRMMedian
NameEncore C.PRA American.Capital .Synchron.Affirm  
1M Rtn-4.2%-30.8%-0.7%-1.5%-5.5%2.4%-2.8%
3M Rtn41.7%40.5%-2.6%-0.7%4.7%38.4%21.5%
6M Rtn62.0%-3.6%-11.9%-9.3%-2.8%-2.5%-3.2%
12M Rtn110.1%7.4%10.5%3.0%28.7%32.3%19.6%
3Y Rtn72.5%-25.2%105.5%91.6%147.8%363.2%98.5%
1M Excs Rtn-9.8%-34.5%-7.3%-9.2%-11.0%-1.6%-9.5%
3M Excs Rtn32.4%31.2%-11.9%-10.0%-4.6%29.1%12.2%
6M Excs Rtn55.5%-22.1%-21.6%-19.0%-12.7%-12.7%-15.8%
12M Excs Rtn81.2%-19.9%-17.7%-25.6%-0.3%10.2%-9.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-6.0%-102.4%32.7%28.4%86.6%315.9%30.6%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Debt purchasing and recovery segment1,3161,223   
Corporate and other unallocated00   
Changes in recoveries  93199 
Other revenues  874
Revenue from receivable portfolios  1,2021,2881,375
Servicing revenue  95121115
Changes in expected current and future recoveries    7
Total1,3161,2231,3981,6141,501


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Debt purchasing and recovery segment21575   
Operating expenses-58    
Total15775   


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$80.20 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.8 
First Trading Date07/09/1999 
Distance from 52W High-5.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$77.35$57.12
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA3.7%40.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility33.8%34.7%
Downside Capture-2.4035.11
Upside Capture126.79111.78
Correlation (SPY)29.1%34.3%
ECPG Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.740.770.670.751.071.28
Up Beta0.460.190.350.801.281.47
Down Beta0.200.811.120.881.171.29
Up Capture149%157%171%176%159%136%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days16243772132375
Down Capture-64%46%-36%-15%55%104%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days6192751116371

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ECPG
ECPG113.4%34.6%2.25-
Sector ETF (XLF)4.9%14.5%0.1136.3%
Equity (SPY)29.5%12.0%1.8633.4%
Gold (GLD)35.5%26.8%1.11-1.4%
Commodities (DBC)42.9%18.7%1.77-3.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)15.2%13.1%0.8229.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-31.3%41.8%-0.7819.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ECPG
ECPG13.8%37.8%0.44-
Sector ETF (XLF)8.4%18.6%0.3338.9%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.0%0.6437.6%
Gold (GLD)18.8%18.0%0.851.8%
Commodities (DBC)10.4%19.4%0.427.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.8%18.8%0.1035.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)11.6%55.3%0.4115.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ECPG
ECPG12.1%48.5%0.42-
Sector ETF (XLF)12.9%22.1%0.5342.7%
Equity (SPY)15.7%17.9%0.7536.7%
Gold (GLD)13.0%16.0%0.671.8%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%17.9%0.3512.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.5%20.7%0.2333.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.7%66.9%1.068.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 415202626.7%
Average Daily Volume0.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity21.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares6.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/6/2026-2.4%-6.2% 
2/25/20268.1%24.6%19.5%
11/5/202510.5%13.5%25.8%
8/6/20255.4%11.4%18.8%
5/7/202523.8%24.3%16.7%
2/26/2025-21.9%-30.9%-28.3%
11/6/20240.1%-1.7%-1.1%
8/7/202411.4%7.3%5.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141315
# Negative11129
Median Positive8.6%11.4%16.7%
Median Negative-6.2%-6.2%-11.1%
Max Positive23.8%24.6%25.8%
Max Negative-21.9%-30.9%-28.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/25/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/26/202510-K
09/30/202411/06/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Collections 2.80 Bil 3.7% RaisedGuidance: 2.70 Bil for 2026
2026 Collections Growth 8.0% 60.0%3.0%RaisedGuidance: 5.0% for 2026
2026 EPS 13 8.3% RaisedGuidance: 12 for 2026
2026 EPS Growth 19.0% 90.0%9.0%RaisedGuidance: 10.0% for 2026
2026 Portfolio Purchases1.40 Bil1.45 Bil1.50 Bil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 1.45 Bil for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Global Portfolio Purchases1.40 Bil1.45 Bil1.50 Bil7.4% Higher NewActual: 1.35 Bil for 2025
2026 Global Collections 2.70 Bil 5.9% Higher NewActual: 2.55 Bil for 2025
2026 EPS 12    
2026 EPS Growth 10.0%    

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Bell, Ryan BPresident, MCMDirectSell304202668.6226017,8413,287,584Form
2Bell, Ryan BPresident, MCMDirectSell304202669.047,240499,8443,325,619Form
3Bell, Ryan BPresident, MCMDirectSell1211202555.002,500137,5003,047,550Form
4Olle, Laura DirectSell1204202552.791,42375,1201,848,917Form
5Yung, JohnPresident, Intl. and CabotDirectSell1126202552.001,00052,0002,943,668Form