Tearsheet

Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.76 | Market Cap: $3.4 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs

Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.76
Market Cap: $3.4 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Mortgage REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.5%, FCF Yield is 7.1%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 488%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.5%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.29
Short seller report
Muddy Waters Research report on 12/6/2023.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Private Credit, and ESG REITs.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.5%, FCF Yield is 7.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Private Credit, and ESG REITs.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.29
7 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 488%
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.5%
9 Short seller report
Muddy Waters Research report on 12/6/2023.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BXMT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the stock movement for Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Strong Third-Quarter 2025 Earnings and Revenue Beat: Blackstone Mortgage Trust reported a net income of $63.4 million for the third quarter of 2025. The company's revenue increased by 18.6% year-over-year to $133.6 million, surpassing Wall Street expectations, although Distributable EPS modestly missed consensus estimates. Distributable EPS prior to charge-offs stood at $0.48, adequately covering the $0.47 dividend per share.

2. Improved Credit Performance and Portfolio Health: The company demonstrated improved credit performance, with 96% of its loan portfolio performing and no new impaired loans reported. Blackstone Mortgage Trust successfully resolved $0.4 billion of impaired loans above their aggregate carrying value, and CECL (Current Expected Credit Losses) reserves declined to $712 million, supporting a book value per share of $20.99. The impaired loan balance decreased by 71% compared to its peak in the previous year.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BXMT Return-18%20%-24%13%-8%21%-5%
Peers Return-9%28%-21%13%18%5%29%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BXMT Win Rate50%67%58%50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate47%66%47%57%58%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BXMT Max Drawdown-65%-6%-25%-19%-19%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-4%-35%-19%-8%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RITM, PECO, CUZ, IRT, NLY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBXMTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-49.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-67.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven211.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-11.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven13.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven121 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-98.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven6252.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to RITM, PECO, CUZ, IRT, NLY


In The Past

Blackstone Mortgage Trust's stock fell -49.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/11/2021. A -49.2% loss requires a 96.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT)

Better Bets than Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BXMT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
BXMT_6302024_Short_Squeeze06302024BXMTBlackstone Mortgage TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
5.3%22.0%-1.9%
BXMT_12312023_Short_Squeeze12312023BXMTBlackstone Mortgage TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-12.4%-8.8%-18.9%
BXMT_6302023_Short_Squeeze06302023BXMTBlackstone Mortgage TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.1%-5.3%-12.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
BXMT_6302024_Short_Squeeze06302024BXMTBlackstone Mortgage TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
5.3%22.0%-1.9%
BXMT_12312023_Short_Squeeze12312023BXMTBlackstone Mortgage TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-12.4%-8.8%-18.9%
BXMT_6302023_Short_Squeeze06302023BXMTBlackstone Mortgage TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.1%-5.3%-12.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Blackstone Mortgage Trust

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BXMTRITMPECOCUZIRTNLYMedian
NameBlacksto.Rithm Ca.Phillips.Cousins .Independ.Annaly C. 
Mkt Price19.7611.4234.8725.5917.2522.8221.29
Mkt Cap3.46.24.44.34.015.04.3
Rev LTM5082,9817129646521,703838
Op Inc LTM--191219122-191
FCF LTM224-2,936201-801271,953164
FCF 3Y Avg365-1,260208156691,260182
CFO LTM224-2,9313364172852,857311
CFO 3Y Avg365-1,2163133832671,976339

Growth & Margins

BXMTRITMPECOCUZIRTNLYMedian
NameBlacksto.Rithm Ca.Phillips.Cousins .Independ.Annaly C. 
Rev Chg LTM-4.6%25.7%10.7%16.4%0.8%473.5%13.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.5%-3.7%7.9%8.5%6.7%143.3%7.3%
Rev Chg Q21.1%45.4%10.4%18.7%4.4%637.1%19.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.8%8.0%2.5%4.2%1.1%81.6%4.5%
Op Mgn LTM--26.8%22.7%18.8%-22.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--25.6%22.4%20.7%-22.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--1.2%0.0%-0.4%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM44.1%-98.3%47.2%43.2%43.8%167.8%44.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg61.8%-41.9%48.1%44.4%41.0%-44.4%
FCF/Rev LTM44.1%-98.5%28.2%-8.3%19.4%114.7%23.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg61.8%-43.8%32.0%19.8%10.6%-19.8%

Valuation

BXMTRITMPECOCUZIRTNLYMedian
NameBlacksto.Rithm Ca.Phillips.Cousins .Independ.Annaly C. 
Mkt Cap3.46.24.44.34.015.04.3
P/S6.22.16.15.05.97.86.0
P/EBIT--21.823.337.9-23.3
P/E29.57.052.784.4171.88.941.1
P/CFO14.1-2.112.811.713.44.612.2
Total Yield13.6%14.4%5.5%5.5%4.5%11.3%8.4%
Dividend Yield10.2%0.0%3.6%4.3%3.9%0.0%3.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.6%-19.8%4.8%4.8%1.9%11.4%4.8%
D/E5.05.30.60.70.62.21.5
Net D/E4.93.60.60.70.62.21.4

Returns

BXMTRITMPECOCUZIRTNLYMedian
NameBlacksto.Rithm Ca.Phillips.Cousins .Independ.Annaly C. 
1M Rtn6.5%3.2%3.2%-0.6%7.8%7.1%4.9%
3M Rtn4.3%-5.5%-0.7%-11.3%-1.1%9.9%-0.9%
6M Rtn10.7%6.5%-0.3%-8.4%-5.0%29.0%3.1%
12M Rtn16.1%11.9%-7.6%-13.4%-16.3%33.1%2.2%
3Y Rtn13.9%70.3%19.8%14.3%7.4%58.4%17.0%
1M Excs Rtn6.6%3.2%3.3%-0.6%7.8%7.2%4.9%
3M Excs Rtn-2.9%-12.4%-7.7%-16.8%-7.3%3.0%-7.5%
6M Excs Rtn-4.0%-8.2%-15.0%-23.1%-19.7%14.3%-11.6%
12M Excs Rtn0.1%-2.5%-22.1%-29.4%-31.7%18.2%-12.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-60.2%1.3%-49.4%-55.1%-60.9%-8.9%-52.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Originates and acquires commercial mortgage loans and related investments671628514432424
Total671628514432424


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,010,202
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.8%
Average Daily Volume1,069,943
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.29
Basic Shares Quantity171,812,685
Short % of Basic Shares6.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022208202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021209202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Marone Anthony F. JRChief Financial Officer9032025Sell19.275069,7481,224,792Form
1Keenan Katharine ACEO & President9032025Sell19.252,31544,5724,516,875Form
2Keenan Katharine ACEO & President6182025Sell19.136,931132,6014,532,544Form
3URBASZEK MARCINDeputy Chief Financial Officer6182025Sell19.1480015,316231,444Form
4Marone Anthony F. JRChief Financial Officer6182025Sell19.201,51729,1331,230,669Form