Cboe Global Markets (CBOE)


Market Price (8/21/2026): $297.98 | Market Cap: $31.2 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Financials | Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

Cboe Global Markets (CBOE)


Market Price (8/21/2026): $297.98
Market Cap: $31.2 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 6.1%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, AI in Financial Services, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Cryptocurrency Exchanges, Show more.

Key risks
CBOE key risks include [1] the potential for lower trading volumes in its flagship VIX products during periods of reduced market volatility.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, AI in Financial Services, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Cryptocurrency Exchanges, Show more.
4 Key risks
CBOE key risks include [1] the potential for lower trading volumes in its flagship VIX products during periods of reduced market volatility.

CBOE in ETFs

Weight = CBOE's share of each fund

SPY0.05%
VOO0.04%
IVV0.05%
VTI0.05%
ITOT0.04%
IWB0.04%
RSP0.18%
VTV0.12%
+32 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/5/2026

Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Decline in Market Volatility Reduced Trading Enthusiasm.

The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) fell more than 1.5 points in May 2026, closing the month at 15.32, marking one of its lowest levels year-to-date. This general macroeconomic trend of lower market volatility often correlates with decreased trading activity in options and derivatives, which are crucial to Cboe's revenue, accounting for approximately 60% of its total revenue. Despite strong Q2 2026 derivatives volume, sustained low volatility could signal a potential slowdown in this high-growth segment for subsequent fiscal quarters, contributing to investor caution and a post-earnings decline.

2. Increased Competition Announced in the U.S. Options Market.

News on August 4, 2026, highlighted that "Options Xchange Group Plans to Enter U.S. Listed Options Market as an Exchange Operator." The prospect of a new significant competitor in the U.S. listed options market, a core business area for Cboe, likely introduced uncertainty regarding future market share and profitability, contributing to selling pressure on CBOE stock.

Show more
Updated on 8/5/2026

Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Decline in Market Volatility Reduced Trading Enthusiasm.

The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) fell more than 1.5 points in May 2026, closing the month at 15.32, marking one of its lowest levels year-to-date. This general macroeconomic trend of lower market volatility often correlates with decreased trading activity in options and derivatives, which are crucial to Cboe's revenue, accounting for approximately 60% of its total revenue. Despite strong Q2 2026 derivatives volume, sustained low volatility could signal a potential slowdown in this high-growth segment for subsequent fiscal quarters, contributing to investor caution and a post-earnings decline.

2. Increased Competition Announced in the U.S. Options Market.

News on August 4, 2026, highlighted that "Options Xchange Group Plans to Enter U.S. Listed Options Market as an Exchange Operator." The prospect of a new significant competitor in the U.S. listed options market, a core business area for Cboe, likely introduced uncertainty regarding future market share and profitability, contributing to selling pressure on CBOE stock.

3. Cautious Analyst Sentiment Persisted Despite Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings.

Cboe reported robust financial results for fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) on July 31, 2026, with record net revenue of $732 million, representing a 25% year-over-year increase, and adjusted diluted EPS of $3.56, surpassing consensus estimates by $0.07. However, the stock experienced a decline in the days following the initial post-earnings bump, indicating that a "Hold" consensus rating from analysts as of August 1, 2026, likely tempered enthusiasm. Bearish analyst commentary cited concerns about the firm's significant reliance on its options exchange and potential future headwinds for revenue generation.

4. Strategic Divestiture of Cboe Australia.

Cboe completed the sale of Cboe Australia to TMX Group on August 2, 2026. While Cboe stated this was a strategic move to refocus on core strengths and invest in compelling growth opportunities, the divestiture of an international asset, which contributed approximately $20 million in net revenue through July 2026, may have been perceived by some investors as a reduction in the company's global footprint or a signal of less aggressive international expansion, leading to investor uncertainty.

Show less
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -1.8% change in CBOE stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -20.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268202026Change
Stock Price ($)299.46294.11-1.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,7145,0617.4%
Net Income Margin (%)23.3%26.7%14.6%
P/E Multiple28.522.8-20.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1051050.0%
Cumulative Contribution-1.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CBOE-1.8% 
Market (SPY)6.1%-18.4%
Sector (XLF)9.2%-14.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 11.5% change in CBOE stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 25.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120268202026Change
Stock Price ($)263.85294.1111.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,6185,0619.6%
Net Income Margin (%)21.3%26.7%25.6%
P/E Multiple28.122.8-18.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)105105-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution11.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CBOE11.5% 
Market (SPY)10.5%-15.5%
Sector (XLF)7.1%-7.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 23.3% change in CBOE stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 43.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120258202026Change
Stock Price ($)238.54294.1123.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,3325,06116.8%
Net Income Margin (%)18.6%26.7%43.7%
P/E Multiple31.022.8-26.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1051050.0%
Cumulative Contribution23.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CBOE23.3% 
Market (SPY)21.7%-14.8%
Sector (XLF)10.0%-3.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 118.0% change in CBOE stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 255.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120238202026Change
Stock Price ($)134.89294.11118.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,9725,06127.4%
Net Income Margin (%)7.5%26.7%255.4%
P/E Multiple47.822.8-52.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1061051.1%
Cumulative Contribution118.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CBOE118.0% 
Market (SPY)72.5%-14.0%
Sector (XLF)68.4%-0.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CBOE Return42%-2%44%11%30%12%225%
Peers Return38%-23%26%21%14%-4%77%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CBOE Win Rate58%33%75%50%75%62% 
Peers Win Rate62%37%62%55%65%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CBOE Max Drawdown-13%-19%-8%-14%-9%-37% 
Peers Max Drawdown-10%-35%-17%-10%-19%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CME, ICE, NDAQ, SPGI, MCO. See CBOE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/20/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventCBOES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-18.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven167 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-36.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven58.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven460 days140 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-19.7%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven24.6%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven884 days125 days

Compare to CME, ICE, NDAQ, SPGI, MCO

In The Past

Cboe Global Markets's stock fell -2.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 2.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventCBOES&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-36.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven58.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven460 days140 days

Compare to CME, ICE, NDAQ, SPGI, MCO

In The Past

Cboe Global Markets's stock fell -2.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 2.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cboe Global Markets (CBOE)

Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) is a prominent global exchange operator that facilitates the trading of a wide range of financial products across various asset classes. Headquartered in Chicago and founded in 1973, the company provides essential infrastructure for financial markets worldwide, serving as a critical intermediary where participants can buy, sell, and list financial instruments.

The company's diverse offerings are segmented across multiple geographies. Cboe operates significant platforms for options trading, particularly for listed market indices. It also provides marketplaces for trading U.S. and Canadian equities, exchange-traded products (ETPs), and futures. Expanding its global reach, Cboe facilitates trading in equities, derivatives, and commodities across Europe and Asia Pacific, additionally offering ETP listings and clearing services in these regions.

Furthermore, Cboe features a dedicated Global FX segment, which provides institutional foreign exchange (FX) trading and non-deliverable forward FX transactions. This comprehensive suite of services positions Cboe Global Markets as a key partner for institutional investors, brokers, traders, and other financial market participants seeking access to liquid, transparent, and regulated markets for derivatives, equities, currencies, and various investment vehicles globally.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Nasdaq for global options, futures, and FX trading.

Like CME Group, but also operating major stock exchanges worldwide.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Options Trading: Facilitates the trading of listed options, including those on market indices.
  • Equities Trading: Operates exchanges for trading U.S., Canadian, and pan-European listed equities.
  • Futures Trading: Provides platforms for trading various futures contracts.
  • Exchange-Traded Products (ETP) Trading: Offers transaction services for a wide range of exchange-traded products.
  • Foreign Exchange (FX) Trading: Delivers institutional foreign exchange trading and non-deliverable forward FX transaction services.
  • Listing Services: Provides services for listing exchange-traded products, equities, and other financial instruments.
  • Clearing Services: Offers clearing services for various traded instruments, particularly in European and Asia Pacific markets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) operates as a global exchange. Its primary customers are not individual retail investors but rather a broad range of financial institutions and market participants who utilize its trading platforms and listing services. Due to the nature of an exchange business, Cboe serves a vast network of participants rather than having a few named "major customers" in the traditional sense.

The major categories of customers Cboe serves are:

  • Broker-Dealer Firms and Financial Institutions: These entities connect investors (both institutional and retail) to Cboe's markets, executing trades in options, equities, futures, and foreign exchange. They pay transaction fees, market data fees, and other service charges for accessing Cboe's platforms.
  • Professional Trading Firms and Market Makers: These firms actively participate on Cboe's exchanges to provide liquidity and engage in proprietary trading across various asset classes. Their high trading volumes contribute significantly to Cboe's transaction-based revenues.
  • Exchange-Traded Product (ETP) Issuers: Companies that create and offer exchange-traded products, such as ETPs, exchange-traded commodities, and international depository receipts, list these products on Cboe's exchanges and pay listing fees and associated service charges.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • MSCI Inc. (MSCI)
  • DJI Opco, LLC
  • FTSE International Limited
  • Frank Russell Company
  • S&P Dow Jones Indices, LLC

AI Analysis | Feedback

Craig Donohue

Chief Executive Officer and President

Craig Donohue became the Chief Executive Officer of Cboe Global Markets in May 2025, also assuming the title of President upon the departure of David Howson in August 2025. Prior to joining Cboe, Donohue served as Chairman of the Board of Directors at OCC (Options Clearing Corporation) from January 2024, after being Executive Chairman and CEO of OCC for three years starting in 2016. He initially joined OCC as Executive Chairman in January 2014. Before his time at OCC, Donohue was the Chief Executive Officer of CME Group from January 2004 until May 2012. During his tenure at CME Group, he spearheaded mergers and acquisitions totaling over $20 billion, including the significant merger with the Chicago Board of Trade in 2007 and the acquisition of both the New York Mercantile Exchange and the Commodity Exchange Inc. in 2008.

Jill Griebenow

Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

Jill Griebenow is the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at Cboe Global Markets, a role she assumed effective July 10, 2023. In this position, she is responsible for all financial activities of the company, encompassing accounting, finance, tax, investor relations, treasury, and capital markets. Prior to her appointment as CFO, Griebenow served as the Senior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer at Cboe since 2018. She also held the position of Chief Financial Officer of Cboe Europe. Griebenow began her career at Cboe in 2011 as a Financial Reporting Specialist. Before joining Cboe, she was a Senior Manager at Ernst & Young (EY), where her work focused on auditing public companies within the asset management and financial services sectors. She has over two decades of experience in the financial and public accounting industries.

Scott Johnston

Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer

Scott Johnston was appointed Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer of Cboe Global Markets, effective March 6, 2026. He assumed this role after Chris Isaacson retired.

Patrick Sexton

Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

Patrick Sexton has served as Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary at Cboe Global Markets since March 1, 2018. Before this, he was the Deputy General Counsel of the company's subsidiary, Cboe Exchange, Inc., a position he held since July 2013. Sexton has accumulated extensive experience as legal, regulatory, and compliance counsel since joining Cboe in 1997. He played a key role in Cboe's demutualization in 2010 and the acquisition of Bats Global Markets in 2017.

Prashant Bhatia

Executive Vice President, Head of Enterprise Strategy & Corporate Development

Prashant Bhatia serves as the Executive Vice President, Head of Enterprise Strategy & Corporate Development at Cboe Global Markets. In this capacity, he collaborates with the executive leadership team to formulate and implement the company's enterprise business strategy, focusing on identifying opportunities for growth to enhance Cboe's market leadership. Bhatia brings over three decades of experience in the financial services industry, having previously held positions as a Finance Manager at Morgan Stanley & Co. and a Senior Associate at Coopers & Lybrand L.L.P.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) include intense market competition, the evolving regulatory landscape, and the potential loss of exclusive rights to its key proprietary products.

  1. Market Competition and Off-Exchange Trading: Cboe operates within a highly competitive financial exchange industry, facing rivalry from other established exchanges, emerging fintech firms, and the increasing prevalence of off-exchange trading. This intense competition can lead to a decline in market share, as seen in its U.S. Equities segment, and exert downward pressure on pricing and profitability. The existence of "copycat OTC options" further exemplifies this risk, as these off-exchange, privately-negotiated agreements can divert liquidity away from Cboe's listed markets.
  2. Regulatory Changes and Scrutiny: As an exchange operator, Cboe is subject to a complex and dynamic regulatory environment. Changes in regulations or increased scrutiny can significantly impact its business model and revenue streams. Specific concerns include potential regulatory caps on Zero-Days-to-Expiration (0DTE) options, which have been a significant driver of trading volumes, and the European Union's ban on Payment for Order Flow (PFOF) which could disrupt retail liquidity in its European operations. Additionally, Cboe's attempts to define what constitutes a "facility" of the exchange have triggered debate regarding regulatory oversight.
  3. Loss of Exclusive Rights to Key Proprietary Products: A substantial portion of Cboe's earnings is derived from its proprietary products, such as S&P 500 Index (SPX) options and Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) options. There is a specific risk that Cboe may not be able to maintain its exclusive trading rights for S&P 500 options. Its current agreement with S&P Global is in place through 2032, but renewal is not guaranteed, and S&P Global could potentially seek less favorable terms, which would negatively impact Cboe's future revenue.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Addressable Market Sizes for Cboe Global Markets' Main Products and Services

  • Options Segment:
    • Global listed options trading volume: 108.2 billion contracts in 2023.
    • U.S. listed options trading volume: 15.2 billion contracts in 2025.
    • U.S. index options average daily volume: 5 million contracts in 2025.
  • North American Equities Segment:
    • U.S. stock market capitalization: $60.1 trillion as of February 2025.
    • Canadian equities market capitalization: $2.75 trillion USD in 2023.
    • Global Exchange-Traded Products (ETP) assets under management (AUM): $19.85 trillion at the end of December 2025.
  • Futures Segment:
    • Global listed futures trading volume: 29.1 billion contracts in 2023.
    • Global futures trading service market size: $5.2 billion in 2023, projected to reach $10.8 billion by 2032.
  • Europe and Asia Pacific Segment:
    • European stock markets market capitalization: Approximately €22.71 trillion in 2025 (approximately $24.75 trillion USD, using an approximate conversion rate of 1 EUR = 1.09 USD).
    • Asia Pacific public equity market capitalization: $34.4 trillion in 2024.
    • Specific current European ETP AUM: Null
    • Specific current Asia Pacific ETP AUM: Null
    • Specific European or Asia Pacific derivatives market size (notional/volume): Null (global listed options and futures figures apply, see Options and Futures segments above).
  • Global FX Segment:
    • Global daily foreign exchange (FX) turnover: Over $7.5 trillion per day in 2022.
    • Global Over-The-Counter (OTC) FX derivatives notional outstanding: $155 trillion in June 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives and strong performance in key business areas.

1. Expansion and Innovation in Derivatives Trading: Cboe anticipates continued growth in its Derivatives segment, particularly through proprietary index options such as SPX and VIX, and the increasing adoption of Zero-Days-to-Expiration (0DTE) options. This segment has shown significant revenue increases and strong trading volumes, with 0DTE options demonstrating a substantial rise in average daily volume.

2. Geographical Expansion and International Market Penetration: The company is actively pursuing a strategy of global expansion, focusing on increasing its footprint and market share in regions like Europe and Asia Pacific. Initiatives include expanding clearing services (e.g., into the German market via Cboe Clear Europe) and onboarding more brokers in the EMEA and APAC regions. The Europe and Asia Pacific segment has already shown record net revenue growth.

3. Growth of the Data Vantage Business: Cboe's Data Vantage segment, which encompasses market data, access solutions, indices, and risk and market analytics, is a consistent revenue driver. Growth in this area is largely fueled by strong demand for new units and new sales, indicating sustained interest in their comprehensive data offerings. Cboe targets mid-to-high single-digit organic net revenue growth for Data Vantage in 2026.

4. Strategic Product Innovation and Emerging Opportunities: Cboe is committed to enhancing its product suite and exploring new growth avenues. This includes continuously developing new derivatives offerings, such as S&P 500 Equal Weight Index (EWI) options, and actively exploring emerging opportunities in event and prediction markets, as well as digital asset derivatives like Bitcoin and Ether futures.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • In August 2024, Cboe Global Markets authorized an additional $500 million for share repurchases, with $179.8 million remaining under existing authorizations as of July 31, 2024.
  • In October 2023, the company authorized an additional $250 million for share repurchases, with approximately $139.8 million of availability remaining under existing authorizations as of June 30, 2023.

Share Issuance

  • Cboe Global Markets has experienced a decline in shares outstanding over the last few years, with a 0.19% decline in 2025, a 0.85% decline in 2024, and a 0.47% decline in 2023, indicating net share repurchases.

Outbound Investments

  • Cboe completed the acquisition of Eris Digital Holdings, LLC (ErisX) in May 2022, which provided the company with entry into digital asset spot and derivatives markets.
  • In January 2021, Cboe completed its acquisition of BIDS Trading, a registered broker-dealer and operator of the largest block-trading ATS in the U.S., to expand its U.S. equities offerings.
  • In 2020, Cboe acquired risk analytics provider Hanweck Associates and the portfolio management platform FT Options, which were subsequently integrated into its Risk and Market Analytics Group by April 2022.

Capital Expenditures

  • Cboe Global Markets expects capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 to be in the range of $73 million to $83 million.
  • Actual capital expenditures were $74 million in 2025, $61 million in 2024, and $45 million in 2023.

Better Bets vs. Cboe Global Markets (CBOE)

Peer Outperformance in Financial Exchanges & Data

CBOE has outperformed 93% of its 14 Financial Exchanges & Data peers over 5Y. Financial Exchanges & Data ranks 12th of 18 industries in Financials by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Financial Exchanges & Data constituents that CBOE has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
93%
of 14 industry peers · 18.0% return
3Y
86%
of 14 industry peers · 102.2% return
5Y
93%
of 14 industry peers · 142.3% return
No Financial Exchanges & Data peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten CBOE by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Financials sector, ranked by 5Y. Financial Exchanges & Data is CBOE's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Investment Banking & Brokerage 13 5.6%125.2%134.3% IBKR 496% · SNEX 237% · GS 186%
Reinsurance 6 20.4%86.2%118.2% SPNT 141% · MTG 131% · RGA 131%
Diversified Banks 12 40.3%126.0%106.8% JPM 157% · CM 155% · RY 139%
Life & Health Insurance 19 13.4%53.9%87.2% UNM 298% · FG 198% · MFC 172%
Regional Banks 262 31.7%82.8%66.3% GCBC 393% · ESQ 355% · NBN 283%
Property & Casualty Insurance 42 12.3%74.4%65.6% ASIC 2528900% · HRTG 428% · UVE 272%
Multi-line Insurance 9 14.4%80.9%58.4% GNW 194% · L 105% · SLF 87%
Multi-Sector Holdings 6 1.7%17.4%34.4% JEF 84% · BRK-B 74% · VOYA 67%
Consumer Finance 30 13.1%82.2%33.2% ENVA 656% · EZPW 356% · AGM 164%
Insurance Brokers 15 -10.7%11.5%32.6% LIFE 630% · AJG 91% · ARX 86%
Asset Management & Custody Banks 83 -6.0%20.7%27.2% SII 332% · WT 299% · VCTR 281%
Financial Exchanges & Data ← 15 -2.3%17.0%21.4% VIRT 188% · CBOE 142% · CME 68%
Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance 12 -28.4%19.1%6.4% FNMA 532% · FMCC 504% · ESNT 63%
Specialized Finance 3 21.7%55.4%1.0% EFC 38% · CACC 1% · HASI -9%
Mortgage REITs 34 -7.4%14.1%-12.3% RITM 73% · NREF 57% · DX 42%
Diversified Capital Markets 21 -25.2%0.5%-38.9% BTCS 564% · OPY 178% · LPLA 154%
Transaction & Payment Processing Services 15 2.3%7.4%-39.3% MA 67% · V 64% · CPAY 60%
Diversified Financial Services 5 -5.7%61.6%-58.4% FRHC 172% · EQH 83% · TMS -58%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CBOECMEICENDAQSPGIMCOMedian
NameCboe Glo.CME Intercon.Nasdaq S&P Glob.Moodys  
Mkt Price294.11270.87158.6197.55432.16498.77282.49
Mkt Cap30.897.789.555.0127.786.888.1
Rev LTM5,0616,77313,4268,75116,1218,1608,456
Op Inc LTM1,7854,4095,5482,6616,7003,7624,086
FCF LTM1,8744,2134,6411,9515,5732,9673,590
FCF 3Y Avg1,5503,9374,0221,8745,2322,4743,206
CFO LTM1,9634,3095,5142,2465,7293,3193,814
CFO 3Y Avg1,6194,0254,7772,1045,3882,7993,412

Growth & Margins

CBOECMEICENDAQSPGIMCOMedian
NameCboe Glo.CME Intercon.Nasdaq S&P Glob.Moodys  
Rev Chg LTM11.7%5.1%6.9%7.7%9.7%11.7%8.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.5%9.0%12.0%13.0%10.2%13.9%11.1%
Rev Chg Q22.9%0.8%10.7%20.5%10.4%15.1%12.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.6%0.2%2.7%5.2%2.5%3.6%3.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM35.6%4.8%15.8%21.2%16.2%21.1%18.7%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg22.0%11.9%13.7%16.4%22.5%25.3%19.2%
Op Mgn LTM35.3%65.1%41.3%30.4%41.6%46.1%41.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg31.4%64.4%39.4%28.6%38.9%43.2%39.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%-0.5%-0.4%0.0%0.6%1.3%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM38.8%63.6%41.1%25.7%35.5%40.7%39.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg38.3%63.4%38.8%26.9%36.7%38.0%38.1%
FCF/Rev LTM37.0%62.2%34.6%22.3%34.6%36.4%35.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg36.8%62.1%32.7%24.0%35.6%33.5%34.6%

Valuation

CBOECMEICENDAQSPGIMCOMedian
NameCboe Glo.CME Intercon.Nasdaq S&P Glob.Moodys  
Mkt Cap30.897.789.555.0127.786.888.1
P/S6.114.46.76.37.910.67.3
P/Op Inc17.222.216.120.719.123.119.9
P/EBIT15.816.914.619.817.822.517.4
P/E22.822.822.228.025.931.124.4
P/CFO15.722.716.224.522.326.222.5
Total Yield5.4%8.6%5.8%4.7%4.8%4.0%5.1%
Dividend Yield1.0%4.2%1.3%1.2%0.9%0.8%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.7%4.8%4.9%4.3%3.8%3.0%4.6%
D/E0.10.00.20.20.10.10.1
Net D/E-0.00.00.20.10.10.10.1

Returns

CBOECMEICENDAQSPGIMCOMedian
NameCboe Glo.CME Intercon.Nasdaq S&P Glob.Moodys  
1M Rtn7.2%14.1%14.4%8.1%0.2%1.8%7.6%
3M Rtn-16.3%-5.9%5.1%8.3%4.2%12.2%4.6%
6M Rtn3.2%-8.3%3.6%20.6%4.2%11.8%3.9%
12M Rtn18.0%2.5%-11.4%4.5%-21.8%-2.3%0.1%
3Y Rtn102.2%52.0%44.6%96.3%17.0%57.4%54.7%
1M Excs Rtn2.5%6.8%9.4%5.4%-1.2%0.2%3.9%
3M Excs Rtn-21.1%-9.0%2.1%6.0%1.1%9.7%1.6%
6M Excs Rtn-8.1%-19.6%-7.7%9.3%-7.2%0.4%-7.4%
12M Excs Rtn1.6%-15.5%-29.1%-13.9%-40.6%-20.9%-18.2%
3Y Excs Rtn31.7%-22.1%-27.9%28.9%-57.8%-18.2%-20.1%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Options2,4342,0031,9401,8231,505
North American Equities1,6721,5471,3531,6821,570
Europe and Asia Pacific379324281265240
Futures136141129120121
Global FX9480756958
Corporate Items and Eliminations00000
Digital0-0-400
Total4,7144,0943,7743,9583,495


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Options1,113878851740538
North American Equities188169118147156
Futures7499865566
Europe and Asia Pacific5442333856
Global FX46332593
Digital0-112-47-4910
Corporate Items and Eliminations-8-10-8-8-13
Total1,4671,0981,058490806


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Options739581576480
North American Equities164149105126
Futures63705313
Corporate Items and Eliminations54-1418-45
Global FX4633249
Europe and Asia Pacific33252023
Digital0-79-34-371
Total1,100765761235


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$294.11 
Market Cap ($ Bil)30.8 
First Trading Date06/15/2010 
Distance from 52W High-19.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$276.42$281.84
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA6.4%4.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility50.1%32.8%
Downside Capture-86.76-47.98
Upside Capture-156.47-18.46
Correlation (SPY)-22.1%-13.2%
CBOE Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-1.31-0.68-0.50-0.34-0.30-0.22
Up Beta-2.58-0.44-0.57-0.54-0.33-0.25
Down Beta0.160.580.31-0.01-0.26-0.20
Up Capture50%-127%-52%-13%-7%-0%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days17243570136408
Down Capture-381%-113%-112%-83%-86%-151%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days5192856116343

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CBOE
CBOE20.8%32.9%0.61-
Sector ETF (XLF)9.6%14.6%0.41-2.2%
Equity (SPY)20.3%12.9%1.16-14.2%
Gold (GLD)36.2%28.7%1.07-8.8%
Commodities (DBC)44.1%20.2%1.6911.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.3%13.8%0.6614.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-38.8%43.2%-1.01-3.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CBOE
CBOE19.9%24.4%0.71-
Sector ETF (XLF)9.8%18.4%0.4016.1%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.2%0.5710.8%
Gold (GLD)20.4%18.6%0.89-0.0%
Commodities (DBC)10.2%19.6%0.405.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.4%18.9%0.0220.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.3%52.7%0.367.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CBOE
CBOE17.3%26.0%0.63-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.4%22.0%0.5534.6%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7229.8%
Gold (GLD)12.4%16.2%0.631.8%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%18.1%0.3712.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2033.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)61.0%66.1%1.016.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7152026-21.2%
Average Daily Volume1.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity104.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/11/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/31/20264.6%-2.5% 
5/1/20269.0%12.8%0.5%
2/6/2026-0.7%-1.7%9.0%
10/31/20253.7%6.7%7.7%
8/1/20252.8%3.5%-1.8%
5/2/20252.3%3.1%4.8%
2/7/20252.0%0.6%6.1%
11/1/2024-1.7%-6.5%-0.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171618
# Negative896
Median Positive2.8%4.2%6.9%
Median Negative-1.4%-3.2%-1.5%
Max Positive9.0%12.8%15.8%
Max Negative-5.8%-7.5%-4.2%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/31/20264.6%-2.5% 
5/1/20269.0%12.8%0.5%
2/6/2026-0.7%-1.7%9.0%
10/31/20253.7%6.7%7.7%
8/1/20252.8%3.5%-1.8%
5/2/20252.3%3.1%4.8%
2/7/20252.0%0.6%6.1%
11/1/2024-1.7%-6.5%-0.5%
8/2/20244.3%9.9%10.9%
5/3/20243.2%5.1%0.8%
2/2/2024-1.1%-0.3%2.8%
11/3/20234.1%8.3%12.0%
8/4/20234.0%6.0%7.8%
5/5/2023-0.4%1.4%-1.1%
2/3/20232.8%4.0%4.1%
11/4/20222.7%-3.2%2.3%
7/29/2022-1.8%-5.2%-4.2%
4/29/2022-2.0%-3.5%-2.5%
2/4/20223.1%3.8%0.2%
10/29/20210.6%1.0%-0.8%
7/30/20212.2%4.4%8.2%
4/30/20211.0%3.8%8.1%
2/5/2021-5.8%-7.5%11.3%
10/30/20202.6%4.8%15.8%
8/3/2020-0.9%-0.9%4.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171618
# Negative896
Median Positive2.8%4.2%6.9%
Median Negative-1.4%-3.2%-1.5%
Max Positive9.0%12.8%15.8%
Max Negative-5.8%-7.5%-4.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/31/202610-Q
03/31/202605/01/202610-Q
12/31/202502/20/202610-K
09/30/202510/31/202510-Q
06/30/202508/01/202510-Q
03/31/202505/02/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202408/02/202410-Q
03/31/202405/03/202410-Q
12/31/202302/16/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/17/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/31/202610-Q
03/31/202605/01/202610-Q
12/31/202502/20/202610-K
09/30/202510/31/202510-Q
06/30/202508/01/202510-Q
03/31/202505/02/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202408/02/202410-Q
03/31/202405/03/202410-Q
12/31/202302/16/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/17/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
06/30/202207/29/202210-Q
03/31/202204/29/202210-Q
12/31/202102/18/202210-K
09/30/202110/29/202110-Q
06/30/202107/30/202110-Q
03/31/202104/30/202110-Q
12/31/202002/19/202110-K
09/30/202010/30/202010-Q
06/30/202007/31/202010-Q
03/31/202005/01/202010-Q
12/31/201902/21/202010-K
09/30/201911/01/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/1/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/31/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Organic Total Net Revenue Growth15.0%17.0%  4.5%RaisedGuidance: 12.5% for 2026
2026 Data Vantage Organic Net Revenue Growth11.0%12.0%  2.0%RaisedGuidance: 10.0% for 2026
2026 Adjusted Operating Expenses838.00 Mil845.50 Mil853.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 845.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Depreciation and Amortization54.00 Mil56.00 Mil58.00 Mil  LoweredGuidance: 58.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Effective Tax Rate27.5%28.5%29.5%00AffirmedGuidance: 28.5% for 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures98.00 Mil103.00 Mil108.00 Mil  RaisedGuidance: 78.00 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/1/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Organic Total Net Revenue Growth10.0%12.5%15.0%150.0%7.5%RaisedGuidance: 5.0% for 2026
2026 Data Vantage Organic Net Revenue Growth 10.0% 42.9%3.0%RaisedGuidance: 7.0% for 2026
2026 Adjusted Operating Expenses838.00 Mil845.50 Mil853.00 Mil-3.0% LoweredGuidance: 871.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Depreciation and Amortization Expense56.00 Mil58.00 Mil60.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 58.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Effective Tax Rate on Adjusted Earnings27.5%28.5%29.5%00AffirmedGuidance: 28.5% for 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures73.00 Mil78.00 Mil83.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 78.00 Mil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Organic Total Net Revenue Growth 5.0% -60.0%-7.5%Lower NewGuidance: 12.5% for 2025
2026 Data Vantage Organic Net Revenue Growth 7.0% -26.3%-2.5%Lower NewGuidance: 9.5% for 2025
2026 Adjusted Operating Expenses864.00 Mil871.50 Mil879.00 Mil4.4% Higher NewGuidance: 834.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Depreciation and Amortization Expense56.00 Mil58.00 Mil60.00 Mil11.5% Higher NewGuidance: 52.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Effective Tax Rate on Adjusted Earnings27.5%28.5%29.5% -1.0%Lower NewGuidance: 29.5% for 2025
2026 Capital Expenditures73.00 Mil78.00 Mil83.00 Mil0 Same NewGuidance: 78.00 Mil for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/31/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Organic Total Net Revenue Growth10.0%12.5% 47.1%4.0%RaisedGuidance: 8.5% for 2025
2025 Data Vantage Organic Net Revenue Growth7.0%9.5% 26.7%2.0%RaisedGuidance: 7.5% for 2025
2025 Adjusted Operating Expenses827.00 Mil834.50 Mil842.00 Mil-0.6% LoweredGuidance: 839.50 Mil for 2025
2025 Depreciation and Amortization Expense50.00 Mil52.00 Mil54.00 Mil-5.5% LoweredGuidance: 55.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Effective Tax Rate on Adjusted Earnings28.5%29.5%30.5% 0AffirmedGuidance: 29.5% for 2025
2025 Capital Expenditures73.00 Mil78.00 Mil83.00 Mil-2.5% LoweredGuidance: 80.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 8/14/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Froetscher, Janet PDirectSell8142026278.95937261,3763,590,086Form
2Froetscher, Janet PDirectSell5202026358.091,223437,9444,944,149Form
3Wilkinson, AllenSVP, CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICERDirectSell2252026292.7924872,612120,044Form
4Matturri, Alexander JRDirectSell2202026285.361,500428,0401,358,599Form
5Fitzpatrick, Edward JDirectSell2202026285.873,9471,128,3293,693,726Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Froetscher, Janet PDirectSell8142026278.95937261,3763,590,086Form
2Froetscher, Janet PDirectSell5202026358.091,223437,9444,944,149Form
3Wilkinson, AllenSVP, CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICERDirectSell2252026292.7924872,612120,044Form
4Matturri, Alexander JRDirectSell2202026285.361,500428,0401,358,599Form
5Fitzpatrick, Edward JDirectSell2202026285.873,9471,128,3293,693,726Form
6Isaacson, Christopher AEVP, COODirectSell9042025236.665,0001,183,3008,893,683Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 21, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Caldwell Investment Management Ltd.$33.4 Mil13.1%57Hold13F
Martin Investment Management, LLC$9.1 Mil2.7%46Hold13F
First Washington CORP$6.5 Mil1.8%50ADD +33.0%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
First Washington CORP$6.5 Mil1.8%50ADD +33.0%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
FFG Partners, LLC$15.6 Mil4.5%39Exited13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Caldwell Investment Management Ltd.$33.4 Mil13.1%57Hold13F
Martin Investment Management, LLC$9.1 Mil2.7%46Hold13F
First Washington CORP$6.5 Mil1.8%50ADD +33.0%13F

CBOE Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

High Conviction

CONVICTION RATIONALE

Conviction is high as Cboe is capitalizing on a powerful, secular rise in derivatives trading with its exclusive, high-margin products. Growth in its core index options is accelerating, with volume up 32% in the latest quarter. This is driving significant operating leverage, with margins at a five-year peak, and management has raised its full-year 2026 revenue growth outlook.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Hybrid Transactional & Recurring

Revenue = (Index Options ADV * Index RPC) + (Multi-List Options ADV * Multi-List RPC) + (Data & Access Subscriptions * Price) Growth in Average Daily Volume (ADV) of proprietary, exclusively-licensed index options (SPX, VIX), which carry significantly higher margins than other products.

Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Can Cboe's exclusive products capture the secular boom in derivatives?

Evidence suggests Cboe is successfully monetizing accelerating demand for its proprietary index options, driving high-margin growth.

Mechanism: Capturing accelerating index options volume (ADV +32% YoY) at higher revenue per contract (+6% YoY), driving margin expansion.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Index options average daily volume grew 32% YoY to 6.2 million contracts in Q2 2026.
  • Options revenue per contract rose 6% YoY in 2026.
  • Raised 2026 organic net revenue growth guidance to the 'mid-to-high teens' range.
  • TTM operating margin reached a five-year peak of 35.3%, up 6.3 percentage points YoY.
  • Data Vantage recurring revenue grew 15% YoY, providing a stable base.
PRIMARY RISK
Peak Growth and Regulatory Risk

The core 0DTE-driven growth could saturate while new products fail to gain traction, and upcoming market structure rules could pressure the equities segment.

Mechanism: A sharp deceleration in index options ADV growth would signal the core thesis is breaking.
Supporting Evidence:
  • New SEC rules on Tick Size and Access Fees are expected in November 2026.
  • Competition in multi-listed options is intensifying, with two new exchanges expected in 2026.
  • Accounts receivable grew 33.5% YoY, outpacing revenue growth of 22.9% in Q2.
  • The options market prices unusually high uncertainty, at the 92nd percentile of its range.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Status Rationale
Index Options Average Daily Volume (ADV)6.2 million contracts per day in Q2 2026 - AcceleratingThe growth trajectory for index options remains robust, driven by strong retail engagement, particularly in 0DTE products. Management noted that the repeal of the pattern day trader rule provided an immediate tailwind in June, boosting volumes and the retail share of trading. This suggests structural growth drivers are intact, even with some quarter-to-quarter volatility in the growth rate.
Data Vantage Net Revenue Growth15% year-over-year growth in Q2 2026 - StableThe Data Vantage segment continues to show strong, durable growth. The company emphasized that growth was broad-based and driven by new subscriptions and unit sales, not just price increases. International demand was also a key contributor, with 50% of the quarter's sales coming from customers outside the U.S.
SPX 0DTE ADV as a % of SPX Volume57% retail share of 0DTE volume in June 2026 (Q2 2026)This indicates the penetration and growth of ultra-short-dated options, a key secular trend. The high and growing retail share highlights the company's successful expansion into this investor segment.
Core Investment Debate

Proprietary Growth vs. Commodity Competition

BULL VIEW

The powerful growth in high-margin, exclusive index options (ADV +32%) will continue to drive overall results, making competitive pressures in other segments secondary.

CORE TENSION

Can accelerating, high-margin index options growth (+32% ADV) continue to offset intense competition in commoditized markets, where two new exchanges are launching?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
BULLISH

The latest evidence favors the bull view. Cboe raised its full-year revenue guidance, indicating the high-margin growth engine is more than offsetting other pressures.

BEAR VIEW

Intensifying competition in equities and multi-list options, plus new regulations, will erode profits faster than the high-margin segments can grow, especially if 0DTE adoption slows.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
August 2026
SEC Rule 605 Implementation
Watch: Implementation of SEC Rule 605, which relates to disclosure of order execution information, is expected.
second half of September, early October
Company KPI Product Launch
Watch: Launch of company-specific KPI event contracts is targeted, pending regulatory approval.
10/19/2026 - 10/28/2026
Peer Earnings Signal Volume Trends
Watch: Commentary from CME or ICE on derivatives market share, pricing pressure, or a slowdown in retail activity.
10/19/2026
Nasdaq Earnings Report
Watch: Peer Nasdaq (NDAQ) is scheduled to report quarterly earnings.
10/20/2026
Moodys and CME Earnings
Watch: Peers Moodys (MCO) and CME (CME) are scheduled to report quarterly earnings.
10/28/2026
SPGI and ICE Earnings
Watch: Peers S&P Global (SPGI) and Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) are scheduled to report quarterly earnings.
10/29/2026
Divestiture Execution and Guidance
Watch: Details on transition service costs, any change to full-year guidance, and the accounting for discontinued operations.
10/29/2026
Company Earnings Report
Watch: Cboe Global Markets is scheduled to report its next quarterly earnings.
November 2026
Equity Market Structure Rule Impact
Watch: Company commentary or pre-emptive fee schedule changes in the North American Equities segment ahead of the deadline.
November 2026
SEC Tick Size Rule Implementation
Watch: Implementation of SEC proposals regarding Tick Size and Access Fee Caps is expected.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
2026-07-31
Q2 Earnings and Guidance Raise
Details: Cboe reported 2026 results with record net revenue. The company raised its 2026 guidance for Organic Total Net Revenue Growth.
+0.4%
$296.52 -> $297.83
2026-06-23
Cboe Predicts Product Launch
Details: The company launched the first products in its new prediction markets suite, Cboe Predicts, including binary option contracts based on the Mini-S&P 500 Index (XSP).
-2.5%
$255.98 -> $249.59
2026-05-01
Q1 2026 Earnings Beat
Details: The company reported first-quarter 2026 earnings, resulting in a two-day stock reaction of +13.0% versus 0.0% for the S&P 500.
+12.9%
$299.46 -> $338.20
2026-04-22
Australia and Canada Divestiture
Details: The company announced a definitive agreement to sell its Cboe Australia and Cboe Canada businesses to TMX Group for.
+0.3%
$298.62 -> $299.49
2026-03-31
CNBC Collaboration Announced
Details: Cboe and CNBC announced a multi-year collaboration to deliver daily live market coverage from Cboe's Chicago trading floor, which began on April 6.
-0.7%
$281.71 -> $279.70
2026-02-06
Q4 2025 Earnings Report
Details: The company reported fourth-quarter 2025 earnings. The two-day stock reaction around the earnings call was +2.0%.
+2.0%
$274.03 -> $279.60
Risk Management
Position Sizing

2% - 4%

REDUCED POSITION

Sizing is volatility-based: CBOE trades at roughly 37% annualized options-implied volatility versus about 13% for the S&P 500 (2.8x the market), around the 92nd percentile of its own trailing year. A 2% - 4% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.

Diversification Alternatives
CME - CME Group
Different Derivatives Exposure

CME offers dominant exposure to interest rate, energy, and agricultural futures, which are driven by different macroeconomic factors than Cboe's equity-focused volatility products.

Core Thesis: A play on global institutional risk management across a broader set of non-equity asset classes.
ICE - Intercontinental Exchange
Integrated Data & Scale

ICE is a larger, more diversified operator with a significant recurring revenue business in fixed income data and a larger mortgage technology segment, offering less reliance on transactional volumes.

Core Thesis: A more diversified financial infrastructure provider with a larger recurring revenue base.
How Is The Market Pricing CBOE?

Cboe is a derivatives-centric financial utility whose exclusive, high-margin index products (SPX, VIX) are capturing powerful secular growth from retail investors and global demand for U.S. market exposure.

The company is successfully leveraging its exclusive rights to the S&P 500 and its proprietary VIX index to dominate the high-growth derivatives market, particularly with 0DTE options. A strategic realignment is sharpening its focus on these core, high-margin businesses while shedding non-core assets. Future growth is tied to expanding its derivatives franchise into new areas like event contracts and capitalizing on the increasing role of retail investors in the market.

What will confirm the thesis

Sustained double-digit growth in index options ADV, successful launch and adoption of new event contracts (Cboe Predicts), and continued expansion of the retail share of trading volumes.

What will damage the thesis

Loss of exclusivity for the S&P 500 license, a significant regulatory crackdown on 0DTE options or retail trading, or successful launch of a directly competitive volatility product by a peer.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Short-term fluctuations in multi-list options market share or quarterly volatility in cash equities volumes, as the primary profit engine is proprietary derivatives.

Repricing Catalyst

The successful launch and scaling of its new 'Cboe Predicts' event contracts and company-specific KPI products, which could open a new, large addressable market and further leverage its derivatives infrastructure.

What CBOE Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on fiscal year 2025 filings (the latest reported segment data)
Options
$2.4B TTM (52% of Total) · 46% Margin
What It Is

This segment offers trading in options on market indices (e.g., SPX, VIX), individual stocks, and exchange-traded products (ETPs) to financial institutions, professional traders, and retail investors via broker-dealers. It also includes revenues from market data, index licensing, and access fees.

Who Pays & How

Broker-dealers, trading firms, and other market participants pay transaction fees to execute options trades for risk management, hedging, income generation, and speculation. They also pay for market data and access to Cboe's four U.S. options exchanges.

Transaction-based fees per contract traded, which vary by product (proprietary vs. multi-listed), customer type, and volume. The segment also charges monthly fees for market data, access, and capacity.
Competition
14 other U.S. options exchanges as of year-end 2025, with two more anticipated in 2026. Competitors include other exchange holding companies.
Competitors use aggressive pricing (fees and rebates) and partnerships with market participants to attract order flow for multi-listed options.
Exclusive licenses to list options on major indices like the S&P 500, which are substantial revenue contributors, and its proprietary VIX products. The license for S&P 500 options extends through 2032.
North American Equities
$1.7B TTM (35% of Total) · 11% Margin
What It Is

This segment provides U.S. and Canadian equities and ETP transaction services on its electronic exchanges (BZX, BYX, EDGX, EDGA) and BIDS block-trading platforms. It also offers ETP listing services and sells market data and access.

Who Pays & How

Broker-dealers and other market participants pay transaction fees to execute stock trades. They also pay for market data from consolidated tape plans and proprietary feeds, as well as for connectivity to the exchanges.

Transaction-based fees, often using maker-taker or taker-maker pricing models where liquidity providers may receive rebates. It also charges monthly fees for market data, listings, and access.
Competition
13 other U.S. equities exchanges and over 25 alternative trading systems (ATSs) and single-dealer platforms as of year-end 2025.
Market participants have numerous venues for execution, including other national exchanges and off-exchange venues like ATSs and broker-dealers that internalize orders.
Operates as the third-largest equities exchange operator in the U.S. and owns a leading block-trading ATS (BIDS), providing a diversified set of trading venues and models.
Europe and Asia Pacific
$379M TTM (8% of Total) · 14% Margin
What It Is

This segment operates pan-European equities and derivatives exchanges, including one of the largest equities exchanges in Europe by value traded. It also owns Cboe Clear Europe, a pan-European clearinghouse, and operates an exchange in Australia.

Who Pays & How

European brokerage and proprietary trading firms pay transaction and clearing fees to trade and clear European equities and other instruments. They also pay for market data and access services.

Transaction and clearing fees based on trading and clearing volumes, supplemented by recurring revenue from market data and access fees.
Competition
National stock exchanges, other pan-European multilateral trading facilities (MTFs), systematic internalizers, and other European clearinghouses.
Competitors include established national exchanges and other pan-European platforms that compete for order flow and clearing services.
Operates one of the largest equities exchanges in Europe and a leading pan-European clearinghouse, offering a comprehensive ecosystem for trading and clearing.
Futures
$136M TTM (3% of Total) · 54% Margin
What It Is

This segment operates a fully electronic futures exchange (CFE) offering trading in products like VIX futures. It also includes the Cboe Digital Exchange and Cboe Clear U.S. clearinghouse, which handle cash-settled Bitcoin and Ether futures.

Who Pays & How

Banks, futures commission merchants, hedge funds, and proprietary trading firms pay transaction fees to trade futures contracts for hedging and speculation. They also pay for proprietary market data and access.

Transaction-based fees per contract traded, along with monthly fees for market data and access services.
Competition
Other futures exchanges and swap execution facilities that offer similar products.
Competitors offer similar products that can serve as alternatives for managing volatility and other exposures.
Proprietary products based on the VIX Index methodology, which Cboe created and owns, providing a unique tool for trading volatility.
Global FX
$94M TTM (2% of Total) · 49% Margin
What It Is

This segment provides institutional foreign exchange (FX) trading services on a fully electronic platform, as well as trading in non-deliverable forwards (NDFs) and U.S. government securities.

Who Pays & How

Institutional customers, including banks, broker-dealers, hedge funds, and asset managers, pay transaction fees to execute FX trades.

Transaction-based fees, supplemented by revenue from proprietary market data and access services.
Competition
A small number of similarly situated electronic communication networks (ECNs) and competing interbank platforms.
The global FX market is severely fragmented, with numerous venues competing for market share. Some customers still prefer traditional trading methods over electronic platforms.
Operates a transparent, automated marketplace that challenges traditional interbank platforms.
CBOE Evolution: Price Return by Era
2021-2024 · Diversified Exchange Operator
+124%
Cboe operated a broad portfolio of exchanges across multiple asset classes and geographies, including significant operations in North American Equities, Europe, Asia Pacific, Canada, and Australia. The Options segment was the largest but coexisted with a wider range of businesses.
2025-Present · Strategic Realignment to Derivatives Core
+45%
The company initiated a comprehensive strategic review, leading to the wind-down of its Japanese equities and European derivatives (CEDX) businesses and initiating sales processes for its Australian and Canadian exchanges. This realignment sharpens focus and directs resources toward its core, high-growth derivatives franchise and new initiatives like event contracts.
Market Appears To Be Acting Against Core Thesis
Price structure is in a downtrend. Multiple SMA levels broken and declining. Thesis requires reclaiming 200D before any bull case is credible. Relative to SPY: Lagging the market on the 63D window, but 'relative strength' is beginning to stabilize; watch for inflection. Volume and momentum show mild distribution. The selling pressure is present but not overwhelming. Earnings history is clearly negative. The market punished the print and the drift confirms distribution. Thesis is under pressure.
① Structure
-4
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
-1
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
-2
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
-7 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Potential Bottoming · Death Cross
2 Momentum Mixed
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Mild Underperformance
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Mild Distribution
5 Volatility Normal
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Rising
7 Earnings Reaction History Diminishing Reward
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/20/2026