Tearsheet

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $156.85 | Market Cap: $89.9 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $156.85
Market Cap: $89.9 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, Sustainable Finance, and Artificial Intelligence. Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, Sustainable Finance, and Artificial Intelligence. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ICE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Based on the available information for Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, there is no indication of a -10.9% stock movement. The provided search results highlight strong financial performance and positive market indicators for ICE during this period. 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Intercontinental Exchange reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with consolidated net revenues of $2.4 billion, a 3% year-over-year increase. GAAP diluted EPS rose by 25% to $1.42, and adjusted diluted EPS increased by 10% to $1.71. 2. Increased Trading Volumes and Open Interest: ICE experienced significant growth in trading activity. August 2025 statistics showed a 13% year-over-year increase in total open interest, reaching a record 106.1 million lots. Similarly, November 2025 saw a 5% year-over-year increase in total average daily volume and a 14% rise in open interest, including a record 112.9 million lots on November 21.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ICE Return26%20%-24%27%17%5%81%
Peers Return13%33%-13%12%10%13%81%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ICE Win Rate58%50%42%67%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate57%55%45%58%53%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ICE Max Drawdown-28%-5%-34%-7%-3%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-10%-30%-19%-12%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SCHW, CME, NDAQ, CBOE, MKTX. See ICE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventICES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven615 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven137 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-13.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven15.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven148 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven283.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1786 days1480 days

Compare to SCHW, CME, NDAQ, CBOE, MKTX


In The Past

Intercontinental Exchange's stock fell -34.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/2/2021. A -34.9% loss requires a 53.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ICE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
ICE_3312023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312023ICEIntercontinental ExchangeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.3%33.7%0.0%
ICE_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022ICEIntercontinental ExchangeDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%23.7%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
ICE_3312023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312023ICEIntercontinental ExchangeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.3%33.7%0.0%
ICE_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022ICEIntercontinental ExchangeDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%23.7%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Intercontinental Exchange

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ICESCHWCMENDAQCBOEMKTXMedian
NameIntercon.Charles .CME Nasdaq Cboe Glo.MarketAx. 
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Growth & Margins

ICESCHWCMENDAQCBOEMKTXMedian
NameIntercon.Charles .CME Nasdaq Cboe Glo.MarketAx. 
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Valuation

ICESCHWCMENDAQCBOEMKTXMedian
NameIntercon.Charles .CME Nasdaq Cboe Glo.MarketAx. 
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Returns

ICESCHWCMENDAQCBOEMKTXMedian
NameIntercon.Charles .CME Nasdaq Cboe Glo.MarketAx. 
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Exchanges6,3556,4155,8785,8394,652
Fixed Income and Data Services2,2312,0921,8831,8101,756
Mortgage Technology1,3171,1291,407595139
Total9,9039,6369,1688,2446,547


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Exchanges3,1592,8622,5232,3892,167
Fixed Income and Data Services811719529492439
Mortgage Technology-2765739715267
Total3,6943,6383,4493,0332,673


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,312,668
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.7%
Average Daily Volume3,368,698
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.87
Basic Shares Quantity573,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022202202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-K 12/31/2021