Accelerant (ARX)


Market Price (10/5/2026): $19.74 | Market Cap: $4.3 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Insurance Brokers

Accelerant (ARX)


Market Price (10/5/2026): $19.74
Market Cap: $4.3 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Insurance Brokers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -51%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Insurtech Platforms, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 94x

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -35%

Key risks
ARX key risks include [1] executing its pivot to a capital-light risk exchange model amid operational cash flow challenges, Show more.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -51%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Insurtech Platforms, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 94x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -35%
6 Key risks
ARX key risks include [1] executing its pivot to a capital-light risk exchange model amid operational cash flow challenges, Show more.

ARX in ETFs

Weight = ARX's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
IWM0.04%
VB0.01%
IWN0.78%
IWO0.07%
VTWO0.04%
VBR0.02%
IWV0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 10/1/2026

Accelerant (ARX) stock has gained about 70% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Definitive Acquisition Agreement by Thoma Bravo.

Accelerant's stock surged significantly following the announcement on August 13, 2026, of a definitive agreement to be acquired by Thoma Bravo Discover Fund V in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $4 billion. Class A and Class B stockholders are set to receive $20.25 per share, representing a substantial 49% premium over Accelerant's closing share price on August 12, 2026. The stock experienced a 43% increase in a single day after this news. The "go-shop" period expired on September 23, 2026, without any rival bids, indicating the high likelihood of the deal closing in the first half of 2027.

2. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat.

The company reported robust fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on August 13, 2026, which substantially exceeded analyst expectations. Accelerant announced an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.32, a 100% positive surprise compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.16 per share. Additionally, quarterly revenue reached $356.9 million, surpassing analyst estimates by 30% and marking a 74% increase from fiscal Q2 2025. This strong financial performance underscored the company's operational strength and contributed to investor confidence.

Show more
Updated on 10/1/2026

Accelerant (ARX) stock has gained about 70% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Definitive Acquisition Agreement by Thoma Bravo.

Accelerant's stock surged significantly following the announcement on August 13, 2026, of a definitive agreement to be acquired by Thoma Bravo Discover Fund V in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $4 billion. Class A and Class B stockholders are set to receive $20.25 per share, representing a substantial 49% premium over Accelerant's closing share price on August 12, 2026. The stock experienced a 43% increase in a single day after this news. The "go-shop" period expired on September 23, 2026, without any rival bids, indicating the high likelihood of the deal closing in the first half of 2027.

2. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat.

The company reported robust fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on August 13, 2026, which substantially exceeded analyst expectations. Accelerant announced an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.32, a 100% positive surprise compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.16 per share. Additionally, quarterly revenue reached $356.9 million, surpassing analyst estimates by 30% and marking a 74% increase from fiscal Q2 2025. This strong financial performance underscored the company's operational strength and contributed to investor confidence.

3. Enhanced Strategic Partnerships and Market Expansion.

Accelerant solidified its market position through key strategic partnerships in the period. On July 1, 2026, the company announced an enhanced partnership with Lloyd's of London, launching the ARX Consortium backed by seven syndicates to support a diversified specialty risk portfolio. Concurrently, Hippo Holdings and Incline P&C Group expanded their collaborations with Accelerant, committing to act as fronting carriers for over US$500 million in annual gross written premiums across Accelerant's U.S. specialty portfolio, with programs launching in the second half of 2026. These partnerships signify significant business growth and an expanded footprint in the specialty insurance market.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 68.3% change in ARX stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 41.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)630202610042026Change
Stock Price ($)11.7219.7368.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9791,14316.7%
P/S Multiple2.73.841.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2222181.6%
Cumulative Contribution68.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2026 to 10/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ARX68.3% 
Market (SPY)3.1%9.3%
Sector (XLF)-0.2%25.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 47.7% change in ARX stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)331202610042026Change
Stock Price ($)13.3619.7347.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)�1,1430.0%
P/S Multiple�3.80.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)162218-25.6%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 10/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ARX47.7% 
Market (SPY)18.6%-3.5%
Sector (XLF)8.7%24.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 32.5% change in ARX stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 166.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)930202510042026Change
Stock Price ($)14.8919.7332.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4301,143166.1%
P/S Multiple5.63.8-33.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)162218-25.6%
Cumulative Contribution32.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 10/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ARX32.5% 
Market (SPY)16.5%3.2%
Sector (XLF)0.5%27.3%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

9/30/2023 to 10/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ARX87.9% 
Market (SPY)86.2%3.0%
Sector (XLF)68.3%24.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ARX Return0%0%0%0%56%21%88%
Peers Return27%19%12%34%3%-14%101%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%104%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ARX Win Rate0%0%0%0%25%44% 
Peers Win Rate67%57%50%62%53%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ARX Max Drawdown0%0%0%0%-62%-43% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-23%-21%-19%-22%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RYAN, KNSL, MKL, WRB, ACGL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventARXS&P 500
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-16.7%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.1%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven35 days1 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-46.7%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven87.5%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven5089 days123 days

Compare to RYAN, KNSL, MKL, WRB, ACGL

In The Past

Accelerant's stock fell -0.7% during the 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse. Such a loss loss requires a 0.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventARXS&P 500
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-46.7%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven87.5%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven5089 days123 days

Compare to RYAN, KNSL, MKL, WRB, ACGL

In The Past

Accelerant's stock fell -0.7% during the 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse. Such a loss loss requires a 0.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Accelerant (ARX)

Accelerant (ARX) operates a proprietary, data-driven "Risk Exchange" designed to modernize and streamline the specialty insurance value chain. Its core business connects carefully selected specialty insurance underwriters, primarily Managing General Agents (MGAs) referred to as "Members," with a diverse group of risk capital partners, including insurers, reinsurers, and institutional investors. By leveraging advanced technology and high-fidelity data, Accelerant aims to reduce inefficiencies, information asymmetry, and operational barriers inherent in traditional insurance models, thereby simplifying the process of transferring risk.

On the supply side of its platform, Accelerant provides Members with a comprehensive suite of services, including insights and analytics, distribution management, operational resources, and stable underwriting capacity, enabling them to focus on profitable underwriting of low-limit, low-hazard, specialty commercial risks. On the demand side, risk capital partners pay recurring fees to Accelerant for sourcing, managing, and monitoring a diversified portfolio of specialty insurance premiums. These portfolios are characterized by attractive, uncorrelated returns and a track record of lower-than-industry average loss ratios. Accelerant also operates an MGA Operations segment, which includes an MGA incubator and strategic equity investments in select Members, and an Underwriting segment where it retains a small portion of premium for strategic flexibility and alignment.

Accelerant's highly selective approach to onboarding Members, powerful data capabilities, and global reach across 22 countries have fueled significant growth, attracting a robust network of 232 Members and 96 risk capital partners as of March 31, 2025. This capital-light model allows Accelerant to offer a compelling value proposition to both underwriters and capital providers, consistently achieving strong financial performance and driving innovation within the specialty insurance market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Shopify for specialty insurance MGAs.

Stripe for insurance risk transactions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Accelerant (ARX) provides the following major services:

  • Specialty Insurance Risk Exchange Platform: A data-driven technology platform that connects specialty insurance underwriters (MGAs) with diverse risk capital partners to streamline the insurance value chain.
  • MGA Partnership and Support: Comprehensive services for specialty underwriters, including analytics, operational resources, distribution management, stable underwriting capacity, an MGA incubator, and strategic equity investments.
  • Risk Capital Facilitation: Offers risk capital partners access to carefully curated, diversified portfolios of specialty insurance premium, along with risk sourcing, management, and monitoring services.
  • Balance Sheet Underwriting: Accelerant Underwriting retains a strategic portion of the risk written through the Exchange, aligning incentives and providing operational flexibility for the platform.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Accelerant (ARX) sells primarily to other companies rather than individuals. The company operates a "Risk Exchange" connecting specialty insurance underwriters (referred to as "Members") with risk capital partners. While Accelerant provides services to its Members, the background explicitly states that **risk capital partners pay Accelerant recurring fees** to source, manage, and monitor risks on their behalf. Therefore, the major customers of Accelerant are its risk capital partners. The background information does not provide specific names of the customer companies that are Accelerant's risk capital partners. However, it categorizes these partners as follows: * **Insurance companies**: Third-party insurance companies join the platform to access the Risk Exchange directly. * **Reinsurance companies**: These companies access the Risk Exchange by reinsuring business from Accelerant Underwriting. * **Institutional investors**: These investors contribute capital to Flywheel Re, a reinsurance sidecar, which then accesses the Risk Exchange.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Jeff Radke, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

Jeff Radke has nearly 30 years of experience in the insurance industry, beginning his career as an intern at Guy Carpenter. Prior to co-founding Accelerant in December 2018, he spent a decade at Argo Group, where he drove strategic initiatives, and previously served as CEO of the PXRE Group. His extensive background in the insurance industry inspired him to address critical pain points in the underwriting sector by creating Accelerant's data-driven approach. Under his leadership, Accelerant achieved unicorn status within four years of its founding, and the company completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in July 2025.

Linda Huber, Chief Financial Officer

Linda Huber was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Accelerant, effective March 31, 2026. She oversees the company's global finance organization and brings over 20 years of experience as a finance and operations executive. Ms. Huber previously served as global CFO at three large-cap information services companies. Her past roles include Executive Vice President and CFO of FactSet from 2021 to 2024, CFO and Treasurer of MSCI, and Executive Vice President and CFO of Moody's Corporation. She also served as a Board Director of Bank of Montreal.

Chris Lee-Smith, Co-Founder and Head of Distribution

Chris Lee-Smith is a Co-Founder and the Head of Distribution for Accelerant. Before Accelerant, he was the Global Head of Alternative Distribution for Argo Group, where he managed Mergers and Acquisitions, digital distribution channels, and affinity and broker schemes. His previous experience also includes serving as Head of Growth Strategies for AON, and before that, as COO of Willis and Head of Change Management for Guy Carpenter. He co-founded Accelerant with a passion for improving the insurance industry.

Frank O'Neill, Co-Founder and Chief Underwriting Officer

Frank O'Neill is a Co-Founder and the Chief Underwriting Officer at Accelerant, bringing a long history of leading reinsurance relationships globally. Prior to joining Accelerant, he spent over two decades at Swiss Re, where he held significant leadership positions, including CEO of the UK and Ireland market, and for Africa and the Middle East. Earlier in his career at Swiss Re, he led the Life and Health sectors for the U.S. market for five years and Southeast Asia for two years.

Matt Sternberg, Chief Operating Officer, Risk Exchange

Matt Sternberg serves as the Chief Operating Officer of the Risk Exchange at Accelerant. Before joining Accelerant, he worked at Boston Consulting Group for over a decade, where he was a Managing Director and Partner and co-led the firm's North American insurance practice. His earlier career experience includes working in Goldman Sachs' Investment Banking Division.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Business Risks for Accelerant (ARX)

  1. Reliance on Risk Capital Partners: Accelerant's business model, particularly its "capital light model," is heavily dependent on its ability to attract and retain a diverse pool of risk capital partners, including insurers, reinsurers, and institutional investors. A reduction in the availability of capital from these partners, or their decision to withdraw from the platform, would severely limit Accelerant's capacity to provide stable underwriting support to its Members, thereby undermining its core value proposition and operational flexibility.
  2. Dependence on Member Performance and Retention: The success of Accelerant's Risk Exchange is intrinsically linked to the profitable underwriting performance and retention of its specialty MGA Members. A decline in the underwriting quality of its Members or an increase in Member churn could diminish the attractiveness of the risk portfolio to capital partners, potentially leading to less favorable pricing or reduced capacity, and negatively impacting Accelerant's reputation and financial results.
  3. Technology and Data Infrastructure Risk: Accelerant's operations are underpinned by its proprietary, data-driven risk exchange technology, which ingests and analyzes extensive policy and third-party data. Any significant disruptions, failures, or security breaches within this technology infrastructure, or an inability to continuously innovate and scale the platform, could impair its ability to provide actionable insights, compromise data integrity, and diminish its value proposition to both Members and risk capital partners.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Accelerant (ARX) operates within the global specialty insurance and Managing General Agent (MGA) markets, connecting specialty underwriters with risk capital partners through its Risk Exchange. The addressable markets for Accelerant's core services are substantial and are projected for continued growth.

Global Managing General Agent (MGA) Market

The global Managing General Agent (MGA) market reached approximately $160 billion in gross written premium in 2025. Another estimate places the MGA segment at around $150 billion in gross written premium. Looking ahead, the global MGA market, which was valued at $63.4 billion in 2025, is projected to grow to $128.7 billion by 2034, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.2%.

Global Specialty Insurance Market

The global specialty insurance market was valued at approximately $139.74 billion in 2025. This market is predicted to expand significantly, reaching an estimated $362.14 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 9.99% from 2026. Other projections indicate the market will grow from approximately $142 billion in 2024 to nearly $279 billion by 2031. Historically, the global specialty insurance market was valued at $104.7 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach $279 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 10.6% over that decade.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Accelerant (ARX) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market dynamics:

  1. Expansion of Risk Exchange Members and Capital Partners: Accelerant anticipates continued growth in the number of specialty insurance underwriters (Members) and risk capital partners (insurers, reinsurers, and institutional investors) leveraging its platform. The company's strong independent third-party Net Promoter Score of 89 from Members and a churn rate of less than 1% since inception suggest a robust pipeline and high retention of participants, leading to a larger base for premium generation and associated fees.

  2. Increased Engagement and Organic Growth from Existing Members: Existing Members significantly contribute to revenue growth through organic expansion. On average, Members grow gross premiums written through the Risk Exchange by 52% in their first two years, or at an annual rate of 39% on a weighted-average basis. This sustained expansion by existing underwriters on the platform directly translates into higher transaction volumes and fee income for Accelerant.

  3. Expansion of Third-Party Insurance Company Partners Directly Accessing the Risk Exchange: A key driver will be the increasing number of third-party insurance companies joining the platform and directly accessing the Risk Exchange. Accelerant began with five such partners in 2023, added eight more in 2024, and expects that the majority of its Risk Exchange premium will eventually be written by new and existing third-party insurance company partners. These partnerships generate recurring fees for Accelerant by sourcing, managing, and monitoring risks.

  4. Growth through the MGA Operations Segment: The MGA Operations segment, which includes Mission Underwriters (an incubator supporting the formation of new MGAs) and equity ownership in other Members, is designed to expand Accelerant's addressable market. This segment actively cultivates new MGAs and deepens alignment with existing ones, thereby contributing to the overall Exchange Written Premium growth.

  5. Continued Geographic and Product Diversification: Accelerant has a history of expanding its reach, growing from 7 countries and 60 products in 2019 to 22 countries and over 500 specialty insurance products by March 31, 2025. The company explicitly states its use of the Underwriting segment to "broaden the risk capital pool... and expedite the onboarding of new Members and the launch of new products", indicating an ongoing strategy to enter new regions and offer a broader range of specialty insurance products, which will fuel further revenue growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Outbound Investments

  • Accelerant's MGA Operations segment includes Mission Underwriters, an MGA incubator that has supported the formation of 31 MGAs (Mission Members).
  • Accelerant owns an equity ownership interest in 16 additional Members, referred to as "Owned Members."
  • In total, Accelerant owns an equity ownership interest, either directly or through Mission Underwriters, in 47 of its 232 Members.

Peer Outperformance in Insurance Brokers

ARX has outperformed 93% of its 15 Insurance Brokers peers over 5Y. Insurance Brokers ranks 12th of 18 industries in Financials by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Insurance Brokers constituents that ARX has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
94%
of 16 industry peers · 32.4% return
3Y
87%
of 15 industry peers · 87.9% return
5Y
93%
of 15 industry peers · 87.9% return
No Insurance Brokers peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten ARX by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Financials sector, ranked by 5Y. Insurance Brokers is ARX's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Reinsurance 6 15.9%64.6%115.6% SPNT 160% · RNR 142% · RGA 135%
Investment Banking & Brokerage 13 -3.8%100.8%100.0% IBKR 441% · SNEX 231% · HOOD 168%
Diversified Banks 12 28.5%131.2%96.2% CM 145% · RY 131% · JPM 122%
Life & Health Insurance 20 6.1%51.5%90.5% JXN 532% · UNM 286% · FG 191%
Multi-Sector Holdings 4 3.8%52.4%74.5% JONE 361% · BRK-B 81% · VOYA 68%
Property & Casualty Insurance 42 3.1%71.0%60.8% ASIC 2616900% · HRTG 408% · UVE 305%
Multi-line Insurance 9 4.5%70.2%53.8% GNW 135% · L 92% · AIZ 82%
Regional Banks 264 26.4%92.0%52.2% GCBC 319% · ESQ 310% · PBAM 251%
Financial Exchanges & Data 15 -2.9%15.3%30.0% VIRT 182% · CBOE 140% · CME 64%
Diversified Financial Services 4 -8.4%23.4%19.4% FRHC 175% · EQH 95% · TMS -56%
Consumer Finance 30 -0.7%86.0%17.9% ENVA 388% · EZPW 296% · FCFS 159%
Insurance Brokers ← 16 -25.2%-10.1%11.7% LIFE 300% · ARX 88% · CRD-A 62%
Asset Management & Custody Banks 83 -8.0%20.3%11.4% WT 356% · VCTR 285% · AAMI 265%
Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance 14 -53.1%25.2%1.0% FNMA 460% · FMCC 422% · ACT 172%
Specialized Finance 3 8.6%37.5%-13.7% EFC 16% · HASI -14% · CACC -14%
Mortgage REITs 33 -18.7%4.8%-29.8% NREF 54% · RITM 33% · DX 22%
Transaction & Payment Processing Services 17 -4.3%-7.1%-45.0% V 67% · MA 66% · CPAY 51%
Diversified Capital Markets 20 -36.2%14.6%-58.2% OPY 180% · LPLA 100% · GOLD 59%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ARXRYANKNSLMKLWRBACGLMedian
NameAccelera.Ryan Spe.Kinsale .Markel WR Berkl.Arch Cap. 
Mkt Price19.7437.67329.751,737.1568.9893.5881.28
Mkt Cap4.34.77.521.826.832.114.7
Rev LTM1,1433,2181,99616,66914,91818,5959,068
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM24971,0012,1183,4706,0551,560
FCF 3Y Avg3784829522,2823,4006,2821,617
CFO LTM465591,0362,3253,6036,1001,681
CFO 3Y Avg4135399822,5263,5016,3301,754

Growth & Margins

ARXRYANKNSLMKLWRBACGLMedian
NameAccelera.Ryan Spe.Kinsale .Markel WR Berkl.Arch Cap. 
Rev Chg LTM58.9%14.4%15.8%2.5%4.8%0.2%9.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-19.5%25.1%3.6%8.7%17.5%17.5%
Rev Chg Q78.0%7.2%16.8%17.8%2.7%-9.7%12.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM16.7%1.9%4.1%4.9%0.7%-2.5%3.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM-------
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM4.0%17.4%51.9%14.0%24.2%32.8%20.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg68.1%19.7%58.0%15.4%25.1%36.9%31.0%
FCF/Rev LTM0.2%15.4%50.1%12.7%23.3%32.6%19.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg63.1%17.6%56.4%13.9%24.4%36.7%30.5%

Valuation

ARXRYANKNSLMKLWRBACGLMedian
NameAccelera.Ryan Spe.Kinsale .Markel WR Berkl.Arch Cap. 
Mkt Cap4.34.77.521.826.832.114.7
P/S3.81.53.81.31.81.71.8
P/Op Inc-------
P/EBIT-3.69.410.36.910.66.08.1
P/E-3.347.713.29.513.96.811.4
P/CFO94.18.57.29.47.55.38.0
Total Yield-30.1%3.5%7.8%10.5%9.0%14.6%8.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.4%0.3%0.0%1.8%0.0%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg14.7%7.6%10.7%9.9%13.4%17.7%12.0%
D/E0.00.80.00.20.10.10.1
Net D/E-0.50.8-0.4-0.3-1.0-0.3-0.3

Returns

ARXRYANKNSLMKLWRBACGLMedian
NameAccelera.Ryan Spe.Kinsale .Markel WR Berkl.Arch Cap. 
1M Rtn-0.7%-10.1%-11.6%-4.9%-0.1%-4.6%-4.8%
3M Rtn43.4%-10.1%-7.0%-12.2%-4.2%-8.4%-7.7%
6M Rtn47.2%13.2%-4.3%-8.5%5.6%-3.3%1.2%
12M Rtn32.5%-34.0%-29.1%-10.5%-7.8%3.1%-9.1%
3Y Rtn88.0%-20.0%-22.9%18.7%74.0%20.6%19.6%
1M Excs Rtn-0.5%-11.8%-13.2%-5.1%0.7%-5.4%-5.3%
3M Excs Rtn46.5%-10.8%-7.4%-14.6%-5.1%-10.5%-9.0%
6M Excs Rtn29.9%-4.1%-21.6%-25.8%-11.7%-20.6%-16.1%
12M Excs Rtn24.2%-45.0%-35.9%-22.9%-21.0%-11.4%-22.0%
3Y Excs Rtn7.3%-101.5%-101.7%-64.8%-7.0%-59.3%-62.0%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Underwriting43134120112345
Exchange Services33522312310249
Managing general agent (MGA) Operations2491501126026
Corporate and Other1621640
Consolidation and elimination adjustments-118-132-99-70-19
Total913603344219101


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Underwriting7,3075,590
Exchange Services904654
Managing general agent (MGA) Operations479303
Corporate and eliminations-427-452
Total8,2636,095


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$19.73 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.3 
First Trading Date07/24/2025 
Distance from 52W High-0.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$17.77$20.72
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA11.1%-4.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility101.6%72.6%
Downside Capture13.85-5.47
Upside Capture198.5628.08
Correlation (SPY)10.5%3.5%
ARX Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.071.860.91-0.240.190.04
Up Beta0.64-1.02-2.10-1.52-0.33-0.45
Down Beta-0.10-0.564.460.741.000.14
Up Capture3%494%230%29%15%8%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days7233564123143
Down Capture2%-24%-99%-100%-25%17%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days9122254121147

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ARX
ARX39.4%72.7%0.73-
Sector ETF (XLF)1.4%14.8%-0.1327.0%
Equity (SPY)16.2%13.0%0.883.4%
Gold (GLD)6.8%29.6%0.22-12.8%
Commodities (DBC)44.9%20.8%1.67-6.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.5%13.6%-0.1521.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-28.9%44.3%-0.649.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ARX
ARX-5.7%74.6%-0.03-
Sector ETF (XLF)8.7%18.3%0.3424.1%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.2%0.583.0%
Gold (GLD)18.4%18.9%0.79-12.7%
Commodities (DBC)10.3%19.6%0.41-6.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.7%18.8%-0.0717.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)14.6%52.2%0.456.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ARX
ARX-2.9%74.6%-0.03-
Sector ETF (XLF)12.6%22.1%0.5224.1%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.723.0%
Gold (GLD)11.5%16.4%0.57-12.7%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%18.1%0.37-6.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.2%20.7%0.1617.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)64.1%66.2%1.046.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 8312026-7.7%
Average Daily Volume1.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity218.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/16/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/13/202643.4%43.6%45.8%
5/13/202616.6%33.2%4.0%
3/18/20264.5%10.7%20.8%
11/12/20259.2%6.2%22.1%
8/28/2025-26.4%-29.8%-49.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive444
# Negative111
Median Positive12.9%22.0%21.5%
Median Negative-26.4%-29.8%-49.4%
Max Positive43.4%43.6%45.8%
Max Negative-26.4%-29.8%-49.4%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/13/202643.4%43.6%45.8%
5/13/202616.6%33.2%4.0%
3/18/20264.5%10.7%20.8%
11/12/20259.2%6.2%22.1%
8/28/2025-26.4%-29.8%-49.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive444
# Negative111
Median Positive12.9%22.0%21.5%
Median Negative-26.4%-29.8%-49.4%
Max Positive43.4%43.6%45.8%
Max Negative-26.4%-29.8%-49.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/13/202610-Q
03/31/202605/13/202610-Q
12/31/202503/18/202610-K
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202508/28/202510-Q
03/31/202507/25/2025424B4
09/30/202311/29/2023DRS/A
12/31/202210/20/2023DRS
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/13/202610-Q
03/31/202605/13/202610-Q
12/31/202503/18/202610-K
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202508/28/202510-Q
03/31/202507/25/2025424B4
09/30/202311/29/2023DRS/A
12/31/202210/20/2023DRS

Insider Activity

Updated 8/25/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Meriwether, Karen Sue DirectSell825202619.6254210,631409,328Form
2Oneill, Francis JamesCo-Founder, Chief U/W OfficerFamed Ventures LimitedSell812202612.4189,2191,107,21779,043,526Form
3Oneill, Francis JamesCo-Founder, Chief U/W OfficerFamed Ventures LimitedSell812202612.0763,616767,66777,936,120Form
4Radke, Jeffrey LCo-Founder, CEOLLCSell811202612.0980,000967,096333,550,673Form
5Radke, Jeffrey LCo-Founder, CEOLLCSell804202612.0680,000964,528333,629,500Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Meriwether, Karen Sue DirectSell825202619.6254210,631409,328Form
2Oneill, Francis JamesCo-Founder, Chief U/W OfficerFamed Ventures LimitedSell812202612.4189,2191,107,21779,043,526Form
3Oneill, Francis JamesCo-Founder, Chief U/W OfficerFamed Ventures LimitedSell812202612.0763,616767,66777,936,120Form
4Radke, Jeffrey LCo-Founder, CEOLLCSell811202612.0980,000967,096333,550,673Form
5Radke, Jeffrey LCo-Founder, CEOLLCSell804202612.0680,000964,528333,629,500Form
6Oneill, Francis JamesCo-Founder, Chief U/W OfficerFamed Ventures LimitedSell729202614.56104,6471,523,45194,949,096Form
7Oneill, Francis JamesCo-Founder, Chief U/W OfficerFamed Ventures LimitedSell729202614.63110,4671,616,22196,954,976Form
8Radke, Jeffrey LCo-Founder, CEOLLCSell728202614.6095,2231,390,533405,259,229Form
9Sternberg, Matthew DavidCOO, Risk ExchangeDirectSell727202614.6417,568257,2068,732,854Form
10Radke, Jeffrey LCo-Founder, CEOLLCSell720202613.5180,0001,080,544376,126,048Form
11Radke, Jeffrey LCo-Founder, CEOLLCSell720202614.3014,777211,279399,296,977Form
12Oneill, Francis JamesCo-Founder, Chief U/W OfficerFamed Ventures LimitedSell716202612.7182,7671,052,05185,637,045Form
13Oneill, Francis JamesCo-Founder, Chief U/W OfficerFamed Ventures LimitedSell716202612.8483,1191,067,63987,600,931Form
14Radke, Jeffrey LCo-Founder, CEOLLCSell714202613.1880,0001,054,096368,168,577Form
15Radke, Jeffrey LCo-Founder, CEOLLCSell706202613.3380,0001,066,224373,470,799Form
16Oneill, Francis JamesCo-Founder, Chief U/W OfficerFamed Ventures LimitedSell629202613.1873,500968,89990,999,065Form
17Oneill, Francis JamesCo-Founder, Chief U/W OfficerFamed Ventures LimitedSell629202613.0673,500959,77891,102,165Form
18Hasley, Nancy DirectSell625202613.1135,000458,94817,863,869Form
19Radke, Jeffrey LCo-Founder, CEOLLCSell625202613.1180,0001,048,608369,397,584Form
20Oneill, Francis JamesCo-Founder, Chief U/W OfficerFamed Ventures LimitedSell624202613.1176,4641,002,42892,425,729Form
21Oneill, Francis JamesCo-Founder, Chief U/W OfficerFamed Ventures LimitedSell624202613.2170,536931,58394,122,286Form
22Green, Jay MichaelChief Financial OfficerDirectSell324202612.7750,000638,28515,007,216Form
23Lee-Smith, ChristopherCo-Founder, Head of Distrib.DirectBuy1217202513.4214,700197,240236,894,579Form
24Meriwether, Karen Sue DirectBuy1209202514.675427,951143,057Form
25Gaynor, Samuel DirectBuy1120202513.447,500100,774100,774Form
26Oneill, Francis JamesCo-Founder, Chief U/W OfficerDirectBuy1120202513.3438,000506,81096,495,586Form
27Sternberg, Matthew DavidCOO, Risk ExchangeDirectBuy1119202513.105,70074,6962,070,039Form
28Radke, Jeffrey LCo-Founder, CEOLLCBuy1118202513.4874,110999,366381,109,421Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Oct 5, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Keenan Capital, LLC$53.3 Mil11.3%9ADD +27.2%13F
Azora Capital LP$26.5 Mil1.7%45TRIM -18.8%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Keenan Capital, LLC$53.3 Mil11.3%9ADD +27.2%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Azora Capital LP$26.5 Mil1.7%45TRIM -18.8%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Keenan Capital, LLC$53.3 Mil11.3%9ADD +27.2%13F
Azora Capital LP$26.5 Mil1.7%45TRIM -18.8%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 10/4/2026