Accelerant (ARX)
Market Price (10/5/2026): $19.74 | Market Cap: $4.3 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Insurance Brokers
Accelerant (ARX)
Market Price (10/5/2026): $19.74Market Cap: $4.3 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Insurance Brokers
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -51% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Insurtech Platforms, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.8% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 94x Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -35% Key risksARX key risks include [1] executing its pivot to a capital-light risk exchange model amid operational cash flow challenges, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -51% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Insurtech Platforms, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.8% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 94x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -35% |
| Key risksARX key risks include [1] executing its pivot to a capital-light risk exchange model amid operational cash flow challenges, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Accelerant (ARX) stock has gained about 70% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Definitive Acquisition Agreement by Thoma Bravo.
Accelerant's stock surged significantly following the announcement on August 13, 2026, of a definitive agreement to be acquired by Thoma Bravo Discover Fund V in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $4 billion. Class A and Class B stockholders are set to receive $20.25 per share, representing a substantial 49% premium over Accelerant's closing share price on August 12, 2026. The stock experienced a 43% increase in a single day after this news. The "go-shop" period expired on September 23, 2026, without any rival bids, indicating the high likelihood of the deal closing in the first half of 2027.
2. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat.
The company reported robust fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on August 13, 2026, which substantially exceeded analyst expectations. Accelerant announced an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.32, a 100% positive surprise compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.16 per share. Additionally, quarterly revenue reached $356.9 million, surpassing analyst estimates by 30% and marking a 74% increase from fiscal Q2 2025. This strong financial performance underscored the company's operational strength and contributed to investor confidence.
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Accelerant (ARX) stock has gained about 70% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Definitive Acquisition Agreement by Thoma Bravo.
Accelerant's stock surged significantly following the announcement on August 13, 2026, of a definitive agreement to be acquired by Thoma Bravo Discover Fund V in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $4 billion. Class A and Class B stockholders are set to receive $20.25 per share, representing a substantial 49% premium over Accelerant's closing share price on August 12, 2026. The stock experienced a 43% increase in a single day after this news. The "go-shop" period expired on September 23, 2026, without any rival bids, indicating the high likelihood of the deal closing in the first half of 2027.
2. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat.
The company reported robust fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on August 13, 2026, which substantially exceeded analyst expectations. Accelerant announced an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.32, a 100% positive surprise compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.16 per share. Additionally, quarterly revenue reached $356.9 million, surpassing analyst estimates by 30% and marking a 74% increase from fiscal Q2 2025. This strong financial performance underscored the company's operational strength and contributed to investor confidence.
3. Enhanced Strategic Partnerships and Market Expansion.
Accelerant solidified its market position through key strategic partnerships in the period. On July 1, 2026, the company announced an enhanced partnership with Lloyd's of London, launching the ARX Consortium backed by seven syndicates to support a diversified specialty risk portfolio. Concurrently, Hippo Holdings and Incline P&C Group expanded their collaborations with Accelerant, committing to act as fronting carriers for over US$500 million in annual gross written premiums across Accelerant's U.S. specialty portfolio, with programs launching in the second half of 2026. These partnerships signify significant business growth and an expanded footprint in the specialty insurance market.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 68.3% change in ARX stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 41.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302026 | 10042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.72 | 19.73 | 68.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 979 | 1,143 | 16.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.7 | 3.8 | 41.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 222 | 218 | 1.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 68.3% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2026 to 10/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARX | 68.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.1% | 9.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | -0.2% | 25.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 47.7% change in ARX stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 10042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.36 | 19.73 | 47.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 1,143 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 3.8 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 162 | 218 | -25.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 10/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARX | 47.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 18.6% | -3.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 8.7% | 24.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 32.5% change in ARX stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 166.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 10042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.89 | 19.73 | 32.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 430 | 1,143 | 166.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 5.6 | 3.8 | -33.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 162 | 218 | -25.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 32.5% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 10/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARX | 32.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.5% | 3.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 0.5% | 27.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
9/30/2023 to 10/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARX | 87.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 86.2% | 3.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 68.3% | 24.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ARX Return | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 56% | 21% | 88% |
| Peers Return | 27% | 19% | 12% | 34% | 3% | -14% | 101% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 104% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ARX Win Rate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 44% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 57% | 50% | 62% | 53% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 44% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ARX Max Drawdown | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -62% | -43% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -23% | -21% | -19% | -22% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RYAN, KNSL, MKL, WRB, ACGL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ARX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -16.7% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.1% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -46.7% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.5% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5089 days | 123 days |
In The Past
Accelerant's stock fell -0.7% during the 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse. Such a loss loss requires a 0.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | ARX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -46.7% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.5% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5089 days | 123 days |
In The Past
Accelerant's stock fell -0.7% during the 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse. Such a loss loss requires a 0.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Accelerant (ARX)
Accelerant (ARX) operates a proprietary, data-driven "Risk Exchange" designed to modernize and streamline the specialty insurance value chain. Its core business connects carefully selected specialty insurance underwriters, primarily Managing General Agents (MGAs) referred to as "Members," with a diverse group of risk capital partners, including insurers, reinsurers, and institutional investors. By leveraging advanced technology and high-fidelity data, Accelerant aims to reduce inefficiencies, information asymmetry, and operational barriers inherent in traditional insurance models, thereby simplifying the process of transferring risk.
On the supply side of its platform, Accelerant provides Members with a comprehensive suite of services, including insights and analytics, distribution management, operational resources, and stable underwriting capacity, enabling them to focus on profitable underwriting of low-limit, low-hazard, specialty commercial risks. On the demand side, risk capital partners pay recurring fees to Accelerant for sourcing, managing, and monitoring a diversified portfolio of specialty insurance premiums. These portfolios are characterized by attractive, uncorrelated returns and a track record of lower-than-industry average loss ratios. Accelerant also operates an MGA Operations segment, which includes an MGA incubator and strategic equity investments in select Members, and an Underwriting segment where it retains a small portion of premium for strategic flexibility and alignment.
Accelerant's highly selective approach to onboarding Members, powerful data capabilities, and global reach across 22 countries have fueled significant growth, attracting a robust network of 232 Members and 96 risk capital partners as of March 31, 2025. This capital-light model allows Accelerant to offer a compelling value proposition to both underwriters and capital providers, consistently achieving strong financial performance and driving innovation within the specialty insurance market.
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Shopify for specialty insurance MGAs.
Stripe for insurance risk transactions.
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Accelerant (ARX) provides the following major services:
- Specialty Insurance Risk Exchange Platform: A data-driven technology platform that connects specialty insurance underwriters (MGAs) with diverse risk capital partners to streamline the insurance value chain.
- MGA Partnership and Support: Comprehensive services for specialty underwriters, including analytics, operational resources, distribution management, stable underwriting capacity, an MGA incubator, and strategic equity investments.
- Risk Capital Facilitation: Offers risk capital partners access to carefully curated, diversified portfolios of specialty insurance premium, along with risk sourcing, management, and monitoring services.
- Balance Sheet Underwriting: Accelerant Underwriting retains a strategic portion of the risk written through the Exchange, aligning incentives and providing operational flexibility for the platform.
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Jeff Radke, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer
Jeff Radke has nearly 30 years of experience in the insurance industry, beginning his career as an intern at Guy Carpenter. Prior to co-founding Accelerant in December 2018, he spent a decade at Argo Group, where he drove strategic initiatives, and previously served as CEO of the PXRE Group. His extensive background in the insurance industry inspired him to address critical pain points in the underwriting sector by creating Accelerant's data-driven approach. Under his leadership, Accelerant achieved unicorn status within four years of its founding, and the company completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in July 2025.
Linda Huber, Chief Financial Officer
Linda Huber was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Accelerant, effective March 31, 2026. She oversees the company's global finance organization and brings over 20 years of experience as a finance and operations executive. Ms. Huber previously served as global CFO at three large-cap information services companies. Her past roles include Executive Vice President and CFO of FactSet from 2021 to 2024, CFO and Treasurer of MSCI, and Executive Vice President and CFO of Moody's Corporation. She also served as a Board Director of Bank of Montreal.
Chris Lee-Smith, Co-Founder and Head of Distribution
Chris Lee-Smith is a Co-Founder and the Head of Distribution for Accelerant. Before Accelerant, he was the Global Head of Alternative Distribution for Argo Group, where he managed Mergers and Acquisitions, digital distribution channels, and affinity and broker schemes. His previous experience also includes serving as Head of Growth Strategies for AON, and before that, as COO of Willis and Head of Change Management for Guy Carpenter. He co-founded Accelerant with a passion for improving the insurance industry.
Frank O'Neill, Co-Founder and Chief Underwriting Officer
Frank O'Neill is a Co-Founder and the Chief Underwriting Officer at Accelerant, bringing a long history of leading reinsurance relationships globally. Prior to joining Accelerant, he spent over two decades at Swiss Re, where he held significant leadership positions, including CEO of the UK and Ireland market, and for Africa and the Middle East. Earlier in his career at Swiss Re, he led the Life and Health sectors for the U.S. market for five years and Southeast Asia for two years.
Matt Sternberg, Chief Operating Officer, Risk Exchange
Matt Sternberg serves as the Chief Operating Officer of the Risk Exchange at Accelerant. Before joining Accelerant, he worked at Boston Consulting Group for over a decade, where he was a Managing Director and Partner and co-led the firm's North American insurance practice. His earlier career experience includes working in Goldman Sachs' Investment Banking Division.
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Key Business Risks for Accelerant (ARX)
- Reliance on Risk Capital Partners: Accelerant's business model, particularly its "capital light model," is heavily dependent on its ability to attract and retain a diverse pool of risk capital partners, including insurers, reinsurers, and institutional investors. A reduction in the availability of capital from these partners, or their decision to withdraw from the platform, would severely limit Accelerant's capacity to provide stable underwriting support to its Members, thereby undermining its core value proposition and operational flexibility.
- Dependence on Member Performance and Retention: The success of Accelerant's Risk Exchange is intrinsically linked to the profitable underwriting performance and retention of its specialty MGA Members. A decline in the underwriting quality of its Members or an increase in Member churn could diminish the attractiveness of the risk portfolio to capital partners, potentially leading to less favorable pricing or reduced capacity, and negatively impacting Accelerant's reputation and financial results.
- Technology and Data Infrastructure Risk: Accelerant's operations are underpinned by its proprietary, data-driven risk exchange technology, which ingests and analyzes extensive policy and third-party data. Any significant disruptions, failures, or security breaches within this technology infrastructure, or an inability to continuously innovate and scale the platform, could impair its ability to provide actionable insights, compromise data integrity, and diminish its value proposition to both Members and risk capital partners.
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Accelerant (ARX) operates within the global specialty insurance and Managing General Agent (MGA) markets, connecting specialty underwriters with risk capital partners through its Risk Exchange. The addressable markets for Accelerant's core services are substantial and are projected for continued growth.
Global Managing General Agent (MGA) Market
The global Managing General Agent (MGA) market reached approximately $160 billion in gross written premium in 2025. Another estimate places the MGA segment at around $150 billion in gross written premium. Looking ahead, the global MGA market, which was valued at $63.4 billion in 2025, is projected to grow to $128.7 billion by 2034, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.2%.
Global Specialty Insurance Market
The global specialty insurance market was valued at approximately $139.74 billion in 2025. This market is predicted to expand significantly, reaching an estimated $362.14 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 9.99% from 2026. Other projections indicate the market will grow from approximately $142 billion in 2024 to nearly $279 billion by 2031. Historically, the global specialty insurance market was valued at $104.7 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach $279 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 10.6% over that decade.
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Accelerant (ARX) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market dynamics:
-
Expansion of Risk Exchange Members and Capital Partners: Accelerant anticipates continued growth in the number of specialty insurance underwriters (Members) and risk capital partners (insurers, reinsurers, and institutional investors) leveraging its platform. The company's strong independent third-party Net Promoter Score of 89 from Members and a churn rate of less than 1% since inception suggest a robust pipeline and high retention of participants, leading to a larger base for premium generation and associated fees.
-
Increased Engagement and Organic Growth from Existing Members: Existing Members significantly contribute to revenue growth through organic expansion. On average, Members grow gross premiums written through the Risk Exchange by 52% in their first two years, or at an annual rate of 39% on a weighted-average basis. This sustained expansion by existing underwriters on the platform directly translates into higher transaction volumes and fee income for Accelerant.
-
Expansion of Third-Party Insurance Company Partners Directly Accessing the Risk Exchange: A key driver will be the increasing number of third-party insurance companies joining the platform and directly accessing the Risk Exchange. Accelerant began with five such partners in 2023, added eight more in 2024, and expects that the majority of its Risk Exchange premium will eventually be written by new and existing third-party insurance company partners. These partnerships generate recurring fees for Accelerant by sourcing, managing, and monitoring risks.
-
Growth through the MGA Operations Segment: The MGA Operations segment, which includes Mission Underwriters (an incubator supporting the formation of new MGAs) and equity ownership in other Members, is designed to expand Accelerant's addressable market. This segment actively cultivates new MGAs and deepens alignment with existing ones, thereby contributing to the overall Exchange Written Premium growth.
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Continued Geographic and Product Diversification: Accelerant has a history of expanding its reach, growing from 7 countries and 60 products in 2019 to 22 countries and over 500 specialty insurance products by March 31, 2025. The company explicitly states its use of the Underwriting segment to "broaden the risk capital pool... and expedite the onboarding of new Members and the launch of new products", indicating an ongoing strategy to enter new regions and offer a broader range of specialty insurance products, which will fuel further revenue growth.
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Outbound Investments
- Accelerant's MGA Operations segment includes Mission Underwriters, an MGA incubator that has supported the formation of 31 MGAs (Mission Members).
- Accelerant owns an equity ownership interest in 16 additional Members, referred to as "Owned Members."
- In total, Accelerant owns an equity ownership interest, either directly or through Mission Underwriters, in 47 of its 232 Members.
Peer Outperformance in Insurance Brokers
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinsurance | 6 | 15.9% | 64.6% | 115.6% | SPNT 160% · RNR 142% · RGA 135% |
| Investment Banking & Brokerage | 13 | -3.8% | 100.8% | 100.0% | IBKR 441% · SNEX 231% · HOOD 168% |
| Diversified Banks | 12 | 28.5% | 131.2% | 96.2% | CM 145% · RY 131% · JPM 122% |
| Life & Health Insurance | 20 | 6.1% | 51.5% | 90.5% | JXN 532% · UNM 286% · FG 191% |
| Multi-Sector Holdings | 4 | 3.8% | 52.4% | 74.5% | JONE 361% · BRK-B 81% · VOYA 68% |
| Property & Casualty Insurance | 42 | 3.1% | 71.0% | 60.8% | ASIC 2616900% · HRTG 408% · UVE 305% |
| Multi-line Insurance | 9 | 4.5% | 70.2% | 53.8% | GNW 135% · L 92% · AIZ 82% |
| Regional Banks | 264 | 26.4% | 92.0% | 52.2% | GCBC 319% · ESQ 310% · PBAM 251% |
| Financial Exchanges & Data | 15 | -2.9% | 15.3% | 30.0% | VIRT 182% · CBOE 140% · CME 64% |
| Diversified Financial Services | 4 | -8.4% | 23.4% | 19.4% | FRHC 175% · EQH 95% · TMS -56% |
| Consumer Finance | 30 | -0.7% | 86.0% | 17.9% | ENVA 388% · EZPW 296% · FCFS 159% |
| Insurance Brokers ← | 16 | -25.2% | -10.1% | 11.7% | LIFE 300% · ARX 88% · CRD-A 62% |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks | 83 | -8.0% | 20.3% | 11.4% | WT 356% · VCTR 285% · AAMI 265% |
| Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance | 14 | -53.1% | 25.2% | 1.0% | FNMA 460% · FMCC 422% · ACT 172% |
| Specialized Finance | 3 | 8.6% | 37.5% | -13.7% | EFC 16% · HASI -14% · CACC -14% |
| Mortgage REITs | 33 | -18.7% | 4.8% | -29.8% | NREF 54% · RITM 33% · DX 22% |
| Transaction & Payment Processing Services | 17 | -4.3% | -7.1% | -45.0% | V 67% · MA 66% · CPAY 51% |
| Diversified Capital Markets | 20 | -36.2% | 14.6% | -58.2% | OPY 180% · LPLA 100% · GOLD 59% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| 7-Day Rally Sends Accelerant Stock Up 38% | 05/23/2026 | |
| Accelerant Stock On Fire: Up 33% With 5-Day Winning Streak | 05/21/2026 | |
| Can Accelerant Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 81.28 |
| Mkt Cap | 14.7 |
| Rev LTM | 9,068 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 1,560 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,617 |
| CFO LTM | 1,681 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,754 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 17.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 31.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 19.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underwriting | 431 | 341 | 201 | 123 | 45 |
| Exchange Services | 335 | 223 | 123 | 102 | 49 |
| Managing general agent (MGA) Operations | 249 | 150 | 112 | 60 | 26 |
| Corporate and Other | 16 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| Consolidation and elimination adjustments | -118 | -132 | -99 | -70 | -19 |
| Total | 913 | 603 | 344 | 219 | 101 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Underwriting | 7,307 | 5,590 |
| Exchange Services | 904 | 654 |
| Managing general agent (MGA) Operations | 479 | 303 |
| Corporate and eliminations | -427 | -452 |
| Total | 8,263 | 6,095 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $19.73 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/24/2025 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -0.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $17.77 | $20.72 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 11.1% | -4.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 101.6% | 72.6% |
| Downside Capture | 13.85 | -5.47 |
| Upside Capture | 198.56 | 28.08 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 10.5% | 3.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.07 | 1.86 | 0.91 | -0.24 | 0.19 | 0.04 |
| Up Beta | 0.64 | -1.02 | -2.10 | -1.52 | -0.33 | -0.45 |
| Down Beta | -0.10 | -0.56 | 4.46 | 0.74 | 1.00 | 0.14 |
| Up Capture | 3% | 494% | 230% | 29% | 15% | 8% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 6 | 16 | 27 | 66 | 132 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 23 | 35 | 64 | 123 | 143 |
| Down Capture | 2% | -24% | -99% | -100% | -25% | 17% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 16 | 26 | 37 | 60 | 120 | 328 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 12 | 22 | 54 | 121 | 147 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARX | 39.4% | 72.7% | 0.73 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 1.4% | 14.8% | -0.13 | 27.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.2% | 13.0% | 0.88 | 3.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 6.8% | 29.6% | 0.22 | -12.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 44.9% | 20.8% | 1.67 | -6.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.5% | 13.6% | -0.15 | 21.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -28.9% | 44.3% | -0.64 | 9.3% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARX | -5.7% | 74.6% | -0.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.7% | 18.3% | 0.34 | 24.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.2% | 0.58 | 3.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.4% | 18.9% | 0.79 | -12.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.3% | 19.6% | 0.41 | -6.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.7% | 18.8% | -0.07 | 17.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.6% | 52.2% | 0.45 | 6.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARX | -2.9% | 74.6% | -0.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.6% | 22.1% | 0.52 | 24.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 3.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.5% | 16.4% | 0.57 | -12.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 18.1% | 0.37 | -6.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.2% | 20.7% | 0.16 | 17.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 64.1% | 66.2% | 1.04 | 6.5% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 9/16/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/13/2026 | 43.4% | 43.6% | 45.8% |
| 5/13/2026 | 16.6% | 33.2% | 4.0% |
| 3/18/2026 | 4.5% | 10.7% | 20.8% |
| 11/12/2025 | 9.2% | 6.2% | 22.1% |
| 8/28/2025 | -26.4% | -29.8% | -49.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| # Negative | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Median Positive | 12.9% | 22.0% | 21.5% |
| Median Negative | -26.4% | -29.8% | -49.4% |
| Max Positive | 43.4% | 43.6% | 45.8% |
| Max Negative | -26.4% | -29.8% | -49.4% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/13/2026 | 43.4% | 43.6% | 45.8% |
| 5/13/2026 | 16.6% | 33.2% | 4.0% |
| 3/18/2026 | 4.5% | 10.7% | 20.8% |
| 11/12/2025 | 9.2% | 6.2% | 22.1% |
| 8/28/2025 | -26.4% | -29.8% | -49.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| # Negative | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Median Positive | 12.9% | 22.0% | 21.5% |
| Median Negative | -26.4% | -29.8% | -49.4% |
| Max Positive | 43.4% | 43.6% | 45.8% |
| Max Negative | -26.4% | -29.8% | -49.4% |
Insider Activity
Updated 8/25/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meriwether, Karen Sue | Direct | Sell | 8252026 | 19.62 | 542 | 10,631 | 409,328 | Form | |
| 2 | Oneill, Francis James | Co-Founder, Chief U/W Officer | Famed Ventures Limited | Sell | 8122026 | 12.41 | 89,219 | 1,107,217 | 79,043,526 | Form |
| 3 | Oneill, Francis James | Co-Founder, Chief U/W Officer | Famed Ventures Limited | Sell | 8122026 | 12.07 | 63,616 | 767,667 | 77,936,120 | Form |
| 4 | Radke, Jeffrey L | Co-Founder, CEO | LLC | Sell | 8112026 | 12.09 | 80,000 | 967,096 | 333,550,673 | Form |
| 5 | Radke, Jeffrey L | Co-Founder, CEO | LLC | Sell | 8042026 | 12.06 | 80,000 | 964,528 | 333,629,500 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meriwether, Karen Sue | Direct | Sell | 8252026 | 19.62 | 542 | 10,631 | 409,328 | Form | |
| 2 | Oneill, Francis James | Co-Founder, Chief U/W Officer | Famed Ventures Limited | Sell | 8122026 | 12.41 | 89,219 | 1,107,217 | 79,043,526 | Form |
| 3 | Oneill, Francis James | Co-Founder, Chief U/W Officer | Famed Ventures Limited | Sell | 8122026 | 12.07 | 63,616 | 767,667 | 77,936,120 | Form |
| 4 | Radke, Jeffrey L | Co-Founder, CEO | LLC | Sell | 8112026 | 12.09 | 80,000 | 967,096 | 333,550,673 | Form |
| 5 | Radke, Jeffrey L | Co-Founder, CEO | LLC | Sell | 8042026 | 12.06 | 80,000 | 964,528 | 333,629,500 | Form |
| 6 | Oneill, Francis James | Co-Founder, Chief U/W Officer | Famed Ventures Limited | Sell | 7292026 | 14.56 | 104,647 | 1,523,451 | 94,949,096 | Form |
| 7 | Oneill, Francis James | Co-Founder, Chief U/W Officer | Famed Ventures Limited | Sell | 7292026 | 14.63 | 110,467 | 1,616,221 | 96,954,976 | Form |
| 8 | Radke, Jeffrey L | Co-Founder, CEO | LLC | Sell | 7282026 | 14.60 | 95,223 | 1,390,533 | 405,259,229 | Form |
| 9 | Sternberg, Matthew David | COO, Risk Exchange | Direct | Sell | 7272026 | 14.64 | 17,568 | 257,206 | 8,732,854 | Form |
| 10 | Radke, Jeffrey L | Co-Founder, CEO | LLC | Sell | 7202026 | 13.51 | 80,000 | 1,080,544 | 376,126,048 | Form |
| 11 | Radke, Jeffrey L | Co-Founder, CEO | LLC | Sell | 7202026 | 14.30 | 14,777 | 211,279 | 399,296,977 | Form |
| 12 | Oneill, Francis James | Co-Founder, Chief U/W Officer | Famed Ventures Limited | Sell | 7162026 | 12.71 | 82,767 | 1,052,051 | 85,637,045 | Form |
| 13 | Oneill, Francis James | Co-Founder, Chief U/W Officer | Famed Ventures Limited | Sell | 7162026 | 12.84 | 83,119 | 1,067,639 | 87,600,931 | Form |
| 14 | Radke, Jeffrey L | Co-Founder, CEO | LLC | Sell | 7142026 | 13.18 | 80,000 | 1,054,096 | 368,168,577 | Form |
| 15 | Radke, Jeffrey L | Co-Founder, CEO | LLC | Sell | 7062026 | 13.33 | 80,000 | 1,066,224 | 373,470,799 | Form |
| 16 | Oneill, Francis James | Co-Founder, Chief U/W Officer | Famed Ventures Limited | Sell | 6292026 | 13.18 | 73,500 | 968,899 | 90,999,065 | Form |
| 17 | Oneill, Francis James | Co-Founder, Chief U/W Officer | Famed Ventures Limited | Sell | 6292026 | 13.06 | 73,500 | 959,778 | 91,102,165 | Form |
| 18 | Hasley, Nancy | Direct | Sell | 6252026 | 13.11 | 35,000 | 458,948 | 17,863,869 | Form | |
| 19 | Radke, Jeffrey L | Co-Founder, CEO | LLC | Sell | 6252026 | 13.11 | 80,000 | 1,048,608 | 369,397,584 | Form |
| 20 | Oneill, Francis James | Co-Founder, Chief U/W Officer | Famed Ventures Limited | Sell | 6242026 | 13.11 | 76,464 | 1,002,428 | 92,425,729 | Form |
| 21 | Oneill, Francis James | Co-Founder, Chief U/W Officer | Famed Ventures Limited | Sell | 6242026 | 13.21 | 70,536 | 931,583 | 94,122,286 | Form |
| 22 | Green, Jay Michael | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3242026 | 12.77 | 50,000 | 638,285 | 15,007,216 | Form |
| 23 | Lee-Smith, Christopher | Co-Founder, Head of Distrib. | Direct | Buy | 12172025 | 13.42 | 14,700 | 197,240 | 236,894,579 | Form |
| 24 | Meriwether, Karen Sue | Direct | Buy | 12092025 | 14.67 | 542 | 7,951 | 143,057 | Form | |
| 25 | Gaynor, Samuel | Direct | Buy | 11202025 | 13.44 | 7,500 | 100,774 | 100,774 | Form | |
| 26 | Oneill, Francis James | Co-Founder, Chief U/W Officer | Direct | Buy | 11202025 | 13.34 | 38,000 | 506,810 | 96,495,586 | Form |
| 27 | Sternberg, Matthew David | COO, Risk Exchange | Direct | Buy | 11192025 | 13.10 | 5,700 | 74,696 | 2,070,039 | Form |
| 28 | Radke, Jeffrey L | Co-Founder, CEO | LLC | Buy | 11182025 | 13.48 | 74,110 | 999,366 | 381,109,421 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Oct 5, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Insurance Brokers Resources |
| Insurance Business America |
| A.M. Best |
| National Underwriter |
| Insurance News |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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