WR Berkley (WRB)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $70.81 | Market Cap: $28.1 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance
WR Berkley (WRB)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $70.81Market Cap: $28.1 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, and ESG Investing & Green Bonds. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, and ESG Investing & Green Bonds. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
WRB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining W.R. Berkley's stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, with HTML formatting: 1. 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Exceeded Expectations. W.R. Berkley reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 20, 2025, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $1.10, surpassing analysts' consensus estimate of $1.07. Revenue also beat expectations at $3.77 billion, an increase of 10.8% year-over-year. This positive financial performance likely contributed to overall investor confidence and could have supported slight upward movements or mitigated declines in the stock price. 2. 2. Mixed Analyst Ratings and Price Target Adjustments. Throughout the period, W.R. Berkley received varied analyst ratings and price target adjustments. For example, Wells Fargo lowered its price target from $69.00 to $66.00 in October 2025 while maintaining an "Equal-Weight" rating, and Jefferies Financial Group also lowered its price target from $76.00 to $75.00 with a "hold" rating. Conversely, UBS Group reissued a "neutral" rating with an $87.00 price objective in November 2025. Such mixed analyst sentiment can lead to minor fluctuations in stock price as the market digests these differing outlooks. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WRB Return | -3% | 27% | 34% | 0% | 28% | 26% | 167% |
| Peers Return | -10% | 39% | 13% | 5% | 25% | 9% | 103% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WRB Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 67% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 63% | 58% | 60% | 65% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WRB Max Drawdown | -37% | -7% | -1% | -23% | 0% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -54% | -2% | -10% | -21% | -1% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TRV, MET, AIG, HIG, PRU. See WRB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WRB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -27.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 236 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 382 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -14.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 146 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -47.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1113 days | 1480 days |
Compare to TRV, MET, AIG, HIG, PRU
In The Past
WR Berkley's stock fell -27.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/30/2022. A -27.0% loss requires a 37.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to WRB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| 07312022 | WRB | WR Berkley | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 11.8% | -0.0% | -9.9% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| 07312022 | WRB | WR Berkley | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 11.8% | -0.0% | -9.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for WR Berkley
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Returns
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Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
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