Tearsheet

Ryan Specialty (RYAN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $53.03 | Market Cap: $6.8 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Insurance Brokers

Ryan Specialty (RYAN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $53.03
Market Cap: $6.8 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Insurance Brokers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -34%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 104x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -30%
  Key risks
RYAN key risks include [1] pricing pressure from softening P&C markets impacting its organic growth guidance and [2] expense management challenges that threaten its ability to meet profitability targets.
3 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.9%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, AI in Financial Services, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Software Security, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -30%
3 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.9%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, AI in Financial Services, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Software Security, Show more.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -34%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 104x
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%
9 Key risks
RYAN key risks include [1] pricing pressure from softening P&C markets impacting its organic growth guidance and [2] expense management challenges that threaten its ability to meet profitability targets.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RYAN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Decelerating Organic Growth

Concerns surrounding a deceleration in Ryan Specialty's organic growth were identified as a contributing factor to stock declines, including a 5.3% drop observed around December 2025. This issue was also highlighted earlier in 2025, following the company's Q4 2024 earnings report, where a slowdown in organic revenue growth was noted despite overall revenue increases, leading to a stock decrease of 4.78% at the time. 2. Property Market Headwinds

Challenges within the property market, including rising reinsurance costs and elevated loss activity, have created a difficult environment for insurers, impacting Ryan Specialty's stock performance. These headwinds were specifically mentioned in relation to the 5.3% stock slide in December 2025 and also cited as a reason for a 2.09% dip in aftermarket trading after Q2 2025 earnings. Wildfire-driven insurance challenges, a component of property market difficulties, contributed to a 7.83% plunge in July 2025. 3. Scrutiny Over Q4 2024 Financials and Net Income Decline

Renewed scrutiny regarding Ryan Specialty's Q4 2024 financials, which revealed a decrease in net income despite overall revenue growth, contributed to negative stock movements. This financial performance was a factor in a 4.78% stock decrease in February 2025. 4. Divergent Analyst Ratings and Cautious Outlook

Divergent analyst ratings and a generally more cautious outlook on Ryan Specialty's future performance have also influenced stock drops. For instance, in July 2025, adjustments to target prices by firms like Barclays and Wells Fargo, signaling a cautious sentiment, were associated with a 1.16% decline in the stock. 5. Broader Market Sentiment or Algorithmic Trading

In instances where no direct company-specific catalysts were immediately identified for significant drops, broader market sentiment or algorithmic trading activity were suggested as potential drivers. This was mentioned in the context of an 8.40% plunge on July 29, 2025, indicating that wider market dynamics can play a role in sudden stock movements.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RYAN Return3%4%51%-17%
Peers Return39%-1%12%28%-7%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RYAN Win Rate100%50%42%75%42% 
Peers Win Rate59%68%42%55%72%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RYAN Max Drawdown-20%-14%-2%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-7%-18%-8%-2%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AJG, BRO, MMC, AON, WTW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRYANS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-30.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven284 days464 days

Compare to FNF, EQH, RGA, CNA, AFG


In The Past

Ryan Specialty's stock fell -30.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/15/2022. A -30.2% loss requires a 43.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ryan Specialty (RYAN)

Better Bets than Ryan Specialty (RYAN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RYAN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.4%4.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.5%-10.5%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.4%4.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.5%-10.5%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ryan Specialty

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RYANAJGBROMMCAONWTWMedian
NameRyan Spe.Arthur J.Brown & .Marsh & .Aon Willis T. 
Mkt Price53.07250.9080.62186.36352.03329.84218.63
Mkt Cap6.879.526.791.575.932.354.1
Rev LTM2,96313,0305,34426,45317,0289,80711,418
Op Inc LTM-2,6821,4716,1464,4542,2682,682
FCF LTM5721,7671,2994,8253,0401,3811,574
FCF 3Y Avg4761,9721,0844,0572,9561,1761,574
CFO LTM6401,9161,3675,0873,2841,6031,760
CFO 3Y Avg5192,1331,1574,3983,1991,4121,773

Growth & Margins

RYANAJGBROMMCAONWTWMedian
NameRyan Spe.Arthur J.Brown & .Marsh & .Aon Willis T. 
Rev Chg LTM24.3%15.6%17.4%10.5%14.1%-0.0%14.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg21.1%15.3%16.3%8.3%11.1%3.5%13.2%
Rev Chg Q24.8%19.9%34.2%11.5%7.4%-0.0%15.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.3%4.5%8.0%2.5%1.6%-0.0%3.5%
Op Mgn LTM-20.6%27.5%23.2%26.2%23.1%23.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-19.5%28.0%23.1%27.1%21.0%23.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.5%-1.2%-0.3%0.5%0.6%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM21.6%14.7%25.6%19.2%19.3%16.3%19.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.3%19.1%24.8%18.1%21.5%14.6%20.2%
FCF/Rev LTM19.3%13.6%24.3%18.2%17.9%14.1%18.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.6%17.7%23.2%16.7%19.9%12.2%18.6%

Valuation

RYANAJGBROMMCAONWTWMedian
NameRyan Spe.Arthur J.Brown & .Marsh & .Aon Willis T. 
Mkt Cap6.879.526.791.575.932.354.1
P/S2.46.15.83.74.53.54.1
P/EBIT13.5-19.715.318.011.415.3
P/E104.249.631.124.028.316.029.7
P/CFO11.341.522.719.523.421.121.9
Total Yield1.8%2.4%3.8%5.8%4.3%7.0%4.1%
Dividend Yield0.8%0.4%0.6%1.7%0.8%0.8%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.9%-4.1%4.0%4.1%4.1%4.1%
D/E0.5-0.30.20.20.20.2
Net D/E0.5-0.20.20.10.10.2

Returns

RYANAJGBROMMCAONWTWMedian
NameRyan Spe.Arthur J.Brown & .Marsh & .Aon Willis T. 
1M Rtn-6.2%-3.0%-0.1%3.0%0.6%3.5%0.2%
3M Rtn-0.4%-14.0%-12.4%-5.2%-1.5%-0.5%-3.3%
6M Rtn-20.1%-20.5%-25.3%-12.3%0.8%11.5%-16.2%
12M Rtn-18.3%-10.5%-21.4%-11.2%-1.1%7.4%-10.9%
3Y Rtn34.7%38.4%48.1%18.0%20.7%42.6%36.6%
1M Excs Rtn-7.0%-3.7%-0.8%2.3%-0.2%2.8%-0.5%
3M Excs Rtn-1.2%-16.6%-13.4%-5.9%-1.3%-1.6%-3.8%
6M Excs Rtn-32.4%-32.9%-37.7%-24.7%-11.6%-0.9%-28.6%
12M Excs Rtn-32.0%-22.1%-33.2%-23.0%-12.8%-4.0%-22.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-34.2%-35.3%-26.7%-55.8%-51.2%-28.5%-34.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single segment2,078   
Fiduciary investment income 1312
Net commissions and fees 1,7121,4321,017
Total2,0781,7251,4331,018


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,028,030
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.0%
Average Daily Volume978,161
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.21
Basic Shares Quantity127,940,211
Short % of Basic Shares6.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20258.1%12.4%11.6%
7/31/2025-5.5%-2.7%-7.4%
5/1/20253.2%8.2%11.2%
2/20/2025-4.7%2.1%3.7%
10/30/2024-4.5%-0.0%9.5%
8/1/20249.7%4.7%3.6%
2/27/20247.5%13.4%18.7%
11/2/20232.1%3.0%4.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive6810
# Negative864
Median Positive5.7%6.1%7.0%
Median Negative-4.6%-4.2%-7.1%
Max Positive9.7%13.4%18.7%
Max Negative-23.2%-22.1%-9.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0RYAN PATRICK GExecutive Chairman9142025Buy51.84276,63414,340,264710,183,955Form
1BOLGER DAVID P6052025Sell70.805,000353,9755,059,506Form
2BICKHAM JEREMIAH RAWLINSPresident5192025Sell70.0950,0003,504,705151,333Form
3Kuczinski Anthony J5132025Buy70.3730021,111140,177Form
4RYAN PATRICK G JR3122025Buy69.50755,21217,634,444Form