Lincoln National (LNC)


Market Price (9/12/2026): $43.84 | Market Cap: $8.5 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Multi-line Insurance

Lincoln National (LNC)


Market Price (9/12/2026): $43.84
Market Cap: $8.5 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Multi-line Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 32%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 28%

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -385%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, AI for Fraud Detection, Show more.

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.8%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.8%

Key risks
LNC key risks include [1] vulnerability to financial strength rating downgrades due to concerns over its capital and RBC ratio, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 32%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 28%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -385%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, AI for Fraud Detection, Show more.
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.8%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.8%
5 Key risks
LNC key risks include [1] vulnerability to financial strength rating downgrades due to concerns over its capital and RBC ratio, Show more.

LNC in ETFs

Weight = LNC's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
IJR0.41%
VYM0.03%
VB0.11%
VIOV0.84%
SLYV0.84%
+15 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/8/2026

Lincoln National (LNC) stock has gained about 25% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat and Segment Performance.

Lincoln National reported robust fiscal Q2 2026 results on July 30, 2026, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company announced adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.24, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.96 by $0.28. Quarterly revenue also rose 12.3% year-over-year to $4.93 billion, beating the $4.89 billion consensus. This marked the eighth consecutive quarter of year-over-year adjusted operating income growth. Key drivers included a 78% year-over-year increase in Life Insurance operating income to $57 million due to favorable mortality trends, and a 32% year-over-year rise in Retirement Plan Services earnings to $49 million, bolstered by favorable equity markets.

2. Transformative Reinsurance Deal to Enhance Capital Efficiency.

On July 31, 2026, Lincoln National announced a substantial $5.8 billion reinsurance transaction involving its legacy guaranteed universal life policies and $500 million in funding agreements. This strategic move is aimed at improving the company's capital efficiency and de-risking its balance sheet by offloading low-margin legacy liabilities. This action was viewed positively by the market as a step towards a more streamlined and profitable business model.

Show more
Updated on 9/8/2026

Lincoln National (LNC) stock has gained about 25% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat and Segment Performance.

Lincoln National reported robust fiscal Q2 2026 results on July 30, 2026, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company announced adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.24, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.96 by $0.28. Quarterly revenue also rose 12.3% year-over-year to $4.93 billion, beating the $4.89 billion consensus. This marked the eighth consecutive quarter of year-over-year adjusted operating income growth. Key drivers included a 78% year-over-year increase in Life Insurance operating income to $57 million due to favorable mortality trends, and a 32% year-over-year rise in Retirement Plan Services earnings to $49 million, bolstered by favorable equity markets.

2. Transformative Reinsurance Deal to Enhance Capital Efficiency.

On July 31, 2026, Lincoln National announced a substantial $5.8 billion reinsurance transaction involving its legacy guaranteed universal life policies and $500 million in funding agreements. This strategic move is aimed at improving the company's capital efficiency and de-risking its balance sheet by offloading low-margin legacy liabilities. This action was viewed positively by the market as a step towards a more streamlined and profitable business model.

3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Attractive Valuation.

Analyst sentiment improved during the period, with Barclays upgrading Lincoln National's stock rating to "Overweight" from "Equalweight" on July 6, 2026, and raising its price target to $45.00 from $42.00. This upgrade was based on the company nearing the completion of its capital-building process, a favorable operating outlook for life insurance and variable annuity businesses, improving cash flow generation, and an attractive valuation with a low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. The consensus price target from analysts ranged from $47.07 to $48.30.

4. Favorable Macroeconomic Environment for the Insurance Sector.

The broader macroeconomic landscape provided a tailwind for Lincoln National and the insurance sector. Projections for 2026 indicated continued macroeconomic and financial stability, fostering a favorable environment for insurance demand, particularly in life insurance, with estimated premium growth of 6.05%. Sustained high interest rates continued to boost financial income for insurers, and strong equity market performance, with the S&P 500 gaining 15.2% in fiscal Q2 2026, positively impacted LNC's annuity and retirement plan services segments.

Show less
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 25.7% change in LNC stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 33.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)53120269112026Change
Stock Price ($)34.8943.8425.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)18,94919,4582.7%
Net Income Margin (%)9.1%12.1%33.1%
P/E Multiple3.93.6-7.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)192193-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution25.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LNC25.7% 
Market (SPY)1.0%27.9%
Sector (XLF)11.0%56.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 31.0% change in LNC stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 89.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)22820269112026Change
Stock Price ($)33.4743.8431.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)18,34219,4586.1%
Net Income Margin (%)6.4%12.1%89.1%
P/E Multiple4.53.6-20.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)158193-18.0%
Cumulative Contribution31.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LNC31.0% 
Market (SPY)11.7%40.5%
Sector (XLF)11.9%63.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 6.9% change in LNC stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 92.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)83120259112026Change
Stock Price ($)41.0043.846.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)18,06319,4587.7%
Net Income Margin (%)6.3%12.1%92.8%
P/E Multiple6.43.6-43.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)177193-8.1%
Cumulative Contribution6.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LNC6.9% 
Market (SPY)19.5%41.0%
Sector (XLF)7.3%66.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 101.8% change in LNC stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 81.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120239112026Change
Stock Price ($)21.7243.84101.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)15,41219,45826.3%
P/S Multiple0.20.481.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)170193-12.1%
Cumulative Contribution101.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LNC101.8% 
Market (SPY)75.7%55.1%
Sector (XLF)74.0%70.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
LNC Return39%-54%-6%25%48%1%15%
Peers Return36%4%8%18%6%24%139%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%11%102%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LNC Win Rate67%25%42%58%67%56% 
Peers Win Rate63%53%58%57%58%64% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LNC Max Drawdown-19%-60%-46%-17%-26%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-24%-27%-16%-23%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PRU, MET, PFG, EQH, VOYA. See LNC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/11/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventLNCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven114 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-21.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.5%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven50 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-44.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven79.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven378 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-72.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven256.7%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven341 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-29.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven815 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-44.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven81.4%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven272 days62 days

Compare to PRU, MET, PFG, EQH, VOYA

In The Past

Lincoln National's stock fell -25.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 35.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventLNCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven114 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-21.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.5%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven50 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-44.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven79.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven378 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-72.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven256.7%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven341 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-29.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven815 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-44.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven81.4%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven272 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-42.6%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven74.1%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven271 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-48.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven94.1%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven457 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-31.2%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.4%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven966 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-91.0%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven1012.9%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven1942 days1085 days

Compare to PRU, MET, PFG, EQH, VOYA

In The Past

Lincoln National's stock fell -25.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 35.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lincoln National (LNC)

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) is a diversified financial services company operating in the United States, specializing in insurance and retirement solutions. The company aims to help individuals and employers achieve financial security and manage risks through its comprehensive offerings across four main business segments: Annuities, Retirement Plan Services, Life Insurance, and Group Protection.

The Annuities segment provides a variety of options, including fixed, variable, and indexed variable annuities, designed to assist individuals in saving for and securing their retirement income. Its Retirement Plan Services segment offers extensive solutions for employers, primarily focusing on defined contribution plans, which include individual and group annuities, mutual fund-based programs, and administrative support such as recordkeeping and participant education. The Life Insurance segment delivers a broad spectrum of life insurance products, ranging from term insurance to various universal life policies, often supplemented with critical illness and long-term care riders.

Furthermore, Lincoln National's Group Protection segment caters to the employer market by providing non-medical insurance benefits like short and long-term disability, term life, dental, vision, and critical illness, alongside absence management services. These plans can be employer-paid or employee-paid. The company distributes its products and services to individuals and employers through a wide network of financial intermediaries, including consultants, brokers, agents, and financial advisors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. A Prudential Financial offering comprehensive life insurance, annuities, and retirement services.

2. A Principal Financial Group that also provides extensive individual life insurance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Annuities: Offers fixed, variable, and indexed variable annuities for retirement savings.
  • Retirement Plan Services: Provides employers with retirement plan products and services, including variable/fixed annuities and mutual fund-based programs, alongside recordkeeping and compliance.
  • Life Insurance Products: Includes term, universal, variable universal, and indexed universal life insurance, with optional critical illness and long-term care riders.
  • Group Non-Medical Insurance Products: Offers short and long-term disability, group term life, dental, vision, accident, and critical illness benefits to employers.
  • Absence Management Services: Administers statutory disability and paid family medical leave, along with general absence management services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Major Customers of Lincoln National (LNC)

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) serves a diverse range of customers, primarily falling into two broad categories: individuals and employers.

  • Individuals seeking retirement income solutions: This includes individuals looking for annuities (fixed, variable, and indexed variable) to save for and generate income during retirement. These customers are typically served through financial advisors, planners, and agents.
  • Individuals seeking personal and family financial protection: This encompasses individuals purchasing life insurance products (term, universal life, variable universal life, indexed universal life) as well as critical illness and long-term care riders to protect their financial future and their families. These products are also distributed through consultants, brokers, and agents.
  • Employers providing employee benefits: This category includes companies and organizations that purchase retirement plan services (defined contribution plans, recordkeeping, compliance testing, participant education) and group protection products (short and long-term disability, statutory disability and paid family medical leave administration, term life, dental, vision, accident, and critical illness benefits) for their employees. Lincoln National serves this "employer marketplace" through consultants, brokers, and third-party administrators.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Ellen G. Cooper

Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Ellen G. Cooper assumed the role of President and CEO of Lincoln Financial Group in May 2022 and became Chairman in May 2023. She joined Lincoln in 2012 as Executive Vice President and Chief Investment Officer, later expanding her responsibilities to include Head of Enterprise Risk and Head of the Annuity Solutions group. In these roles, she was critical in shaping and executing Lincoln’s investment strategy, overseeing over $300 billion in assets and managing the company’s hedging program. Before joining Lincoln, Cooper served as Managing Director and Global Head of Insurance Strategy for Goldman Sachs Asset Management. Her earlier career included serving as Chief Risk Officer for AEGON Americas, and holding insurance consulting positions as a Principal at Ernst & Young LLP and at Towers Perrin. Cooper holds a Bachelor of Business Administration in Actuarial Science from Temple University.

Christopher Neczypor

Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Christopher Neczypor was appointed Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, effective February 17, 2023.

Jayson R. Bronchetti

Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, Head of Hedging and Sustainability

Jayson R. Bronchetti serves as Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, and Head of Hedging and Sustainability for Lincoln Financial Group.

Kenneth S. Solon

Executive Vice President, Chief Information Officer and Head of IT, Digital and Enterprise Services

Kenneth S. Solon is Executive Vice President, Chief Information Officer, and Head of IT, Digital and Enterprise Services at Lincoln Financial Group, and a member of the company's senior management committee. He joined Lincoln in 2008, bringing extensive experience in domestic and global strategy, planning, and information systems. Previously, Solon was Head of Shared Services, responsible for Customer Service for Lincoln's Individual Life, Individual Annuity, and Retirement Plan Services business lines. Before Lincoln, he spent 13 years at Chase Manhattan Banking Corporation, where he managed Operations and Information Technology functions across domestic, European, and Asian markets. He then spent nine years at Prudential Financial Inc., where he led Operations and Information Technology for the company's conversion to a publicly traded organization and oversaw customer service for Individual Life Insurance.

Sean N. Woodroffe

Executive Vice President, Chief People, Culture and Communications Officer

Sean N. Woodroffe was hired as Executive Vice President, Chief People, Culture and Communications Officer in 2023.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Lincoln National (LNC):

  1. Market Volatility and Interest Rate Risk: Lincoln National's performance is highly susceptible to fluctuations in financial markets and interest rates. The company faces significant investment risks, including potential losses in its investment portfolio due to stock market declines or unrealized bond securities losses. For example, a substantial increase in the 10-year Treasury rate could significantly impact LNC's tangible book value. A prolonged low-interest-rate environment can diminish investment yields, putting pressure on payouts from products like annuities, while sharp increases can also create challenges. The company has also increased allocations to private credit and real estate, introducing concentration and liquidity risks.
  2. Actuarial Risks and Underwriting Assumptions: As an insurance company, Lincoln National is exposed to the risk that actual claims and experience (such as mortality and morbidity rates) deviate significantly from its actuarial assumptions. Historically, changes in assumptions regarding certain annuity and life insurance products, like guaranteed universal life policies, have led to substantial losses and required significant adjustments to life insurance reserves. Increased benefit expenses due to higher policy payouts or adverse mortality trends can negatively impact future margins and financial stability.
  3. Regulatory, Legal, and Competitive Pressures (including AI Disruption): The insurance and retirement services industry is heavily regulated, meaning changes in government regulations, such as increased capital reserve requirements, can strain operations and profitability. Lincoln National also faces ongoing legal proceedings that could result in financial damages and heightened scrutiny. Furthermore, the industry is intensely competitive, with new entrants and existing players exerting constant pressure on pricing and product offerings. The emergence of artificial intelligence (AI) poses a disruptive competitive threat, as AI-driven underwriting, claims management, and direct-to-consumer channels could compress margins and challenge traditional distribution models.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The clear emerging threats to Lincoln National (LNC) are:

  • The rise of direct-to-consumer (D2C) Insurtech platforms that leverage advanced data analytics, AI, and streamlined digital interfaces to offer life insurance products directly to consumers, bypassing traditional agents and brokers. This threatens LNC's reliance on intermediary distribution channels, potentially leading to market share erosion and pricing pressure in its Life Insurance and Group Protection segments.
  • The increasing prevalence of AI-driven and highly automated retirement plan administration platforms that offer lower-cost and more efficient recordkeeping and administrative services for employers. These solutions could appeal to businesses seeking to reduce costs and complexity, potentially disrupting LNC's Retirement Plan Services segment and its traditional service model.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for Lincoln National's main products and services in the U.S. are substantial across its various segments:

  • Annuities: The total U.S. annuity sales reached $461.3 billion in 2025.
  • Retirement Plan Services: Americans held $13.9 trillion in all employer-based defined contribution (DC) retirement plans as of September 30, 2025.
  • Life Insurance: The U.S. life insurance market size was estimated at USD 1.93 trillion in 2024. For group life insurance, specifically, the U.S. market size was approximately $145.67 billion in 2025.
  • Group Protection:
    • Disability Insurance: The U.S. disability insurance market size is projected to be $20.2 billion in 2025.
    • Dental Insurance: The U.S. dental insurance market size is calculated at USD 97.7 billion in 2025.
    • Vision Insurance: The market size of the Vision Insurance in the U.S. is estimated at $50.6 billion in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies across its core business segments and strategic initiatives.

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:

  1. Growth in Annuities Segment with a Focus on Spread-Based Products: Lincoln National is prioritizing the expansion of its annuities business, particularly through fixed annuities and Registered Index-Linked Annuities (RILAs). Annuities sales demonstrated robust growth in 2025, with RILA sales increasing by 35% and variable annuity sales by 27%. The company's strategy involves shifting towards spread-based products to achieve more stable earnings and reduce market sensitivity. Recent product launches, such as the Lincoln FlexAdvantage Income and Lincoln OptiBlend Income fixed indexed annuities (FIAs) in March 2026, are designed to offer guaranteed growth for future income and lifetime income, further supporting growth in this segment. The annuities segment is highlighted as Lincoln National's largest operational component, with significant volume growth in spread-based products.
  2. Enhanced Performance and Strategic Realignment in Life Insurance: The Life Insurance segment is expected to contribute to revenue growth through a focus on accumulation products and executive benefits. The company saw a significant 50% year-over-year increase in life insurance sales in Q4 2025, with executive benefits sales reaching $265 million, a notable rise from $59 million in 2024. Lincoln National anticipates continued growth in Core Life sales in 2026, building from a strong baseline. The company is also undertaking a strategic realignment in its Life business to emphasize products with greater risk sharing, aiming for profitable growth.
  3. Expansion and Profitability in Group Protection: Lincoln National is focused on expanding its Group Protection business and improving its profitability. The segment's earnings, excluding the annual assumption review, increased by 16% year-over-year in Q4 2025, with premium growth of nearly 7% and supplemental health sales growing over 40%. The company is targeting an 8%+ margin in Group Protection and expects sustained premium growth and underlying earnings improvement in 2026. Favorable macroeconomic conditions and strong utilization rates are also seen as drivers for this segment.
  4. Strategic Investments and Partnerships: Strategic investments and collaborations are crucial for accelerating future growth. A key development is the significant investment from Bain Capital, finalized in June 2025, which includes a 9.9% equity stake. This partnership is intended to optimize legacy liabilities in life insurance and fuel Lincoln's growth initiatives, particularly in expanding spread-based earnings and enhancing its life insurance portfolio. Such strategic alliances and strong distribution partnerships are anticipated to bolster overall future revenue growth.
  5. Innovation and Service Expansion in Retirement Plan Services: The Retirement Plan Services segment is positioned for growth through new product solutions and an enhanced, personalized service model. Total deposits in this segment were up 13% year-over-year in Q4 2025, with first-year sales increasing by 32%. Lincoln National has introduced expanded product solutions like Pooled Employer Plans (PEPs), innovations in in-plan guaranteed income, stable value solutions, and its financial wellness platform, WellnessPATH®. The company has also broadened its Lincoln PathBuilder Income® powered by YourPath® product to offer a lifetime income guarantee, catering to the increasing demand for secure retirement options. The focus remains on improving the earnings profile and diversifying revenue streams within the existing customer base.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Capital Allocation Decisions (2021-2025)

Share Repurchases

  • In November 2021, Lincoln National's Board of Directors authorized an increase to the company's securities repurchase authorization, bringing the total aggregate authorization to $1.5 billion, with no specified expiration date.
  • The company suspended its share buyback program in 2023 to aid in recovery following a significant $2.6 billion loss reported in the third quarter of 2022.
  • Analysts anticipate Lincoln National will resume share repurchases in 2026, with the volume of buybacks expected to increase in 2027 and 2028.

Share Issuance

  • In April 2025, Lincoln National issued 18,759,497 shares of common stock to Bain Capital as part of an $825 million strategic growth investment. This issuance represented approximately 9.9% of the outstanding common stock on a post-issuance basis.

Inbound Investments

  • Bain Capital made an $825 million strategic growth investment in Lincoln Financial in April 2025, acquiring a 9.9% ownership stake in the company.
  • The partnership with Bain Capital also includes a 10-year investment management fee commitment of $1.4 billion in Assets Under Management (AUM) at or shortly after closing, with a minimum AUM commitment of $20 billion by the end of year six.

Peer Outperformance in Multi-line Insurance

LNC has trailed 88% of its 8 Multi-line Insurance peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are L, SLF and AIZ. Multi-line Insurance ranks 8th of 18 industries in Financials by median 5Y return.
Share of Multi-line Insurance constituents that LNC has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
50%
of 8 industry peers · 8.9% return
3Y
88%
of 8 industry peers · 106.7% return
5Y
13%
of 8 industry peers · -13.3% return
Multi-line Insurance peers with revenue growth within 4pp of LNC's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
LNC Lincoln National 9.5% 3.6x 8.9%106.7%-13.3%
L Loews 7.4% 13.3x 11.2%71.4%106.8% +120pp
SLF Sun Life Financial 9.8% 12.3x 39.1%83.4%91.2% +104pp
AIZ Assurant 8.4% 13.2x 34.3%109.7%82.9% +96pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Financials sector, ranked by 5Y. Multi-line Insurance is LNC's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Investment Banking & Brokerage 13 4.2%117.4%135.5% IBKR 498% · SNEX 259% · GS 188%
Reinsurance 6 17.8%73.7%129.4% SPNT 173% · RGA 140% · MTG 130%
Diversified Banks 12 37.5%132.3%122.2% JPM 157% · CM 152% · RY 141%
Life & Health Insurance 20 8.3%54.0%100.9% JXN 545% · UNM 326% · FG 203%
Multi-Sector Holdings 4 3.5%56.3%81.7% JONE 361% · BRK-B 84% · VOYA 80%
Regional Banks 265 25.5%87.7%67.5% GCBC 373% · ESQ 363% · VBNK 332%
Property & Casualty Insurance 42 9.6%70.6%67.0% ASIC 2746900% · HRTG 454% · UVE 306%
Multi-line Insurance ← 9 8.9%81.8%61.6% GNW 206% · L 107% · SLF 91%
Consumer Finance 30 3.4%85.9%30.1% ENVA 598% · EZPW 388% · FCFS 177%
Financial Exchanges & Data 15 -7.6%14.3%29.9% VIRT 209% · CBOE 138% · CME 80%
Diversified Financial Services 4 1.9%14.0%23.3% FRHC 171% · EQH 105% · TMS -58%
Insurance Brokers 16 -17.9%-3.4%18.8% LIFE 634% · ARX 89% · AJG 76%
Asset Management & Custody Banks 83 -11.8%15.8%13.3% WT 328% · SII 291% · VCTR 288%
Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance 12 -47.4%27.3%3.9% FNMA 485% · FMCC 449% · ESNT 68%
Specialized Finance 3 15.1%41.0%0.5% EFC 31% · CACC 0% · HASI -14%
Mortgage REITs 33 -14.3%9.7%-14.4% NREF 53% · RITM 48% · DX 38%
Diversified Capital Markets 21 -32.2%3.8%-38.9% BTCS 569% · OPY 214% · LPLA 151%
Transaction & Payment Processing Services 15 1.3%-9.3%-42.8% V 71% · MA 69% · CPAY 57%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LNCPRUMETPFGEQHVOYAMedian
NameLincoln .Prudenti.MetLife Principa.EquitableVoya Fin. 
Mkt Price43.84119.2497.14116.1753.34103.41100.28
Mkt Cap8.541.362.425.114.89.420.0
Rev LTM19,45864,86477,66515,69310,6158,01817,576
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-1,32810,96915,5584,8521,3051,1923,079
FCF 3Y Avg-1,4727,35715,0874,3601,1991,2892,825
CFO LTM-1,32810,96915,5585,0121,3571,1923,184
CFO 3Y Avg-1,4727,35715,0874,4661,2931,2892,880

Growth & Margins

LNCPRUMETPFGEQHVOYAMedian
NameLincoln .Prudenti.MetLife Principa.EquitableVoya Fin. 
Rev Chg LTM7.7%9.0%7.3%3.7%-22.1%3.3%5.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.5%0.5%3.3%3.7%5.6%7.1%4.6%
Rev Chg Q12.5%13.7%9.9%6.4%-29.8%-1.3%8.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.7%3.0%2.2%1.5%-6.2%-0.3%1.9%
Op Inc Chg LTM-------
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-6.8%16.9%20.0%31.9%12.8%14.9%15.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-10.4%11.6%20.7%28.8%10.9%16.6%14.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-6.8%16.9%20.0%30.9%12.3%14.9%15.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10.4%11.6%20.7%28.1%10.1%16.6%14.1%

Valuation

LNCPRUMETPFGEQHVOYAMedian
NameLincoln .Prudenti.MetLife Principa.EquitableVoya Fin. 
Mkt Cap8.541.362.425.114.89.420.0
P/S0.40.60.81.61.41.21.0
P/Op Inc-------
P/EBIT2.7-10.5--38.79.56.1
P/E3.610.517.216.1-16.015.413.0
P/CFO-6.43.84.05.010.97.94.5
Total Yield32.0%14.2%8.2%9.0%-4.1%8.4%8.7%
Dividend Yield4.1%4.7%2.4%2.8%2.1%1.9%2.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-26.7%18.8%28.6%22.1%8.5%17.6%18.2%
D/E0.80.60.30.20.50.30.4
Net D/E-3.9-1.5-1.6-1.1-2.8-2.6-2.1

Returns

LNCPRUMETPFGEQHVOYAMedian
NameLincoln .Prudenti.MetLife Principa.EquitableVoya Fin. 
1M Rtn-0.6%-1.7%0.5%2.9%2.8%4.4%1.7%
3M Rtn18.9%11.2%10.0%5.3%21.9%13.6%12.4%
6M Rtn37.8%32.9%44.9%37.5%45.3%57.7%41.3%
12M Rtn8.9%17.4%24.4%46.4%1.6%38.2%20.9%
3Y Rtn106.7%42.9%65.9%69.9%98.7%60.2%67.9%
1M Excs Rtn0.6%-0.5%1.7%4.1%4.0%5.6%2.8%
3M Excs Rtn17.6%9.7%8.0%3.2%19.5%10.7%10.2%
6M Excs Rtn23.1%17.7%28.4%22.1%31.1%44.8%25.8%
12M Excs Rtn-6.7%1.6%8.9%32.9%-13.3%22.7%5.2%
3Y Excs Rtn31.4%-25.1%-3.5%-1.9%30.3%-7.5%-2.7%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Group Protection6,0995,7115,5535,3044,995
Life Insurance5,8996,2884,9296,7457,387
Annuities4,8594,7027325,5094,691
Retirement Plan Services1,3311,2781,2741,2581,322
Other Operations24463-843-6181
Changes in fair value of guaranteed living benefit (GLB) and guaranteed death benefit (GDB) hedge    67
Credit loss-related adjustments    110
Investment gains (losses) Changes in the fair value of reinsurance-related embedded derivatives    658
Revenue adjustments from annuity and life insurance product features    -1,696
Total18,21218,44211,64518,81017,715


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20072006200120001999
Individual Markets1,123905   
Employer Markets349352   
Investment Management7655331125
Lincoln UK4639118-24-18
Lincoln Financial Media 44   
Annuities  573415 
Life Insurance  660429 
Other Operations  177  
Reinsurance   18134
Life Insurance and Annuities    504
Total1,5941,3951,5601,013544


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20232021202020192018
Annuities1,0731,3379839541,102
Group Protection299-16443238187
Retirement Plan Services171248168172171
Life Insurance-159487-34259645
Other Operations-411-371-295-268-225
Benefit ratio unlocking, after-tax  194277-136
Excluded realized gain (loss), after-tax  -570-627-37
Gain (loss) on modification or early extinguishment of debt, after-tax  -12-33-18
Net impact from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act  371719
Transaction and integration costs related to mergers, acquisitions and divestitures, after-tax  -15-103-67
Total9731,5374998861,641


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20232022202120202019
Annuities185,599167,206201,732184,678167,443
Life Insurance108,93295,410105,208101,94192,561
Retirement Plan Services46,79341,88647,62545,37240,184
Other Operations21,37521,13322,21423,75625,106
Group Protection9,7149,80210,52210,2019,467
Total372,413335,437387,301365,948334,761


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$43.84 
Market Cap ($ Bil)8.5 
First Trading Date10/05/1984 
Distance from 52W High-6.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$42.94$38.86
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA2.1%12.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility38.4%34.3%
Downside Capture69.75130.30
Upside Capture145.07116.21
Correlation (SPY)36.6%41.0%
LNC Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.321.780.660.951.071.34
Up Beta1.352.921.461.411.401.49
Down Beta2.151.09-0.470.110.451.42
Up Capture45%212%128%123%113%181%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days10233869128403
Down Capture255%83%35%90%120%105%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days11192658122343

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LNC
LNC10.5%34.3%0.34-
Sector ETF (XLF)9.0%14.6%0.3766.2%
Equity (SPY)18.3%12.8%1.0341.0%
Gold (GLD)19.0%29.2%0.59-2.2%
Commodities (DBC)50.4%20.6%1.88-24.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.6%13.6%0.2927.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-32.6%43.8%-0.7829.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LNC
LNC-3.5%42.9%0.05-
Sector ETF (XLF)10.2%18.4%0.4271.3%
Equity (SPY)12.5%17.2%0.5557.9%
Gold (GLD)18.7%18.8%0.81-3.0%
Commodities (DBC)11.7%19.5%0.4710.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.7%18.9%-0.0746.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.3%52.6%0.3623.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LNC
LNC3.0%46.6%0.24-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.2%22.1%0.5482.0%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7266.9%
Gold (GLD)12.3%16.3%0.62-3.5%
Commodities (DBC)8.9%18.1%0.4024.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.7%20.7%0.1955.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.2%66.2%1.0317.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 815202633.4%
Average Daily Volume1.8 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity192.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.2%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/1/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/30/202611.1%13.2%5.0%
5/7/2026-4.5%-9.4%-7.7%
2/12/20265.6%4.2%-15.3%
10/30/20251.6%1.9%2.0%
7/31/202511.4%15.3%25.1%
5/8/2025-1.8%1.5%-1.7%
2/6/20255.9%15.3%5.4%
10/31/20243.5%9.7%5.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131512
# Negative11912
Median Positive3.5%5.8%11.6%
Median Negative-4.5%-7.6%-12.5%
Max Positive11.4%17.9%56.2%
Max Negative-33.1%-37.0%-27.4%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/30/202611.1%13.2%5.0%
5/7/2026-4.5%-9.4%-7.7%
2/12/20265.6%4.2%-15.3%
10/30/20251.6%1.9%2.0%
7/31/202511.4%15.3%25.1%
5/8/2025-1.8%1.5%-1.7%
2/6/20255.9%15.3%5.4%
10/31/20243.5%9.7%5.8%
8/1/20242.3%-13.2%-3.5%
5/2/2024-2.7%5.8%19.1%
2/8/2024-2.5%0.6%-0.0%
11/1/20237.8%5.3%12.5%
8/2/20230.5%-4.4%-7.9%
5/9/2023-3.9%-7.6%12.0%
2/8/2023-2.9%-1.0%-27.4%
11/2/2022-33.1%-37.0%-25.5%
8/3/2022-9.2%-6.5%-11.1%
5/4/2022-9.3%-17.8%-14.4%
2/2/2022-6.3%2.6%-14.0%
11/3/2021-5.7%-5.4%-13.9%
8/4/20217.4%15.0%11.2%
5/5/20213.4%0.5%7.2%
2/3/20212.8%7.6%20.4%
11/4/20202.5%17.9%56.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131512
# Negative11912
Median Positive3.5%5.8%11.6%
Median Negative-4.5%-7.6%-12.5%
Max Positive11.4%17.9%56.2%
Max Negative-33.1%-37.0%-27.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/30/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/30/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202102/17/202210-K
09/30/202111/04/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/06/202110-Q
12/31/202002/18/202110-K
09/30/202011/05/202010-Q
06/30/202008/06/202010-Q
03/31/202005/07/202010-Q
12/31/201902/20/202010-K
09/30/201910/31/201910-Q

Insider Activity

Updated 8/26/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Woodroffe, SeanEVP, Ch Ppl Comms Ent Srvc OffDirectSell818202645.2811,000498,0805,431,200Form
2Kelly, Gary CDirectSell814202626.5015,007  Form
3Beazer, Craigt TEVP & General CounselDirectSell608202634.4530,0001,033,5003,579,562Form
4Woodroffe, SeanEVP, Ch Ppl Comms Ent Srvc OffDirectSell603202634.7525,000868,7504,524,068Form
5Charters, JenniferEVP, Chief Information OfficerDirectBuy316202632.613009,7831,232,528Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Woodroffe, SeanEVP, Ch Ppl Comms Ent Srvc OffDirectSell818202645.2811,000498,0805,431,200Form
2Kelly, Gary CDirectSell814202626.5015,007  Form
3Beazer, Craigt TEVP & General CounselDirectSell608202634.4530,0001,033,5003,579,562Form
4Woodroffe, SeanEVP, Ch Ppl Comms Ent Srvc OffDirectSell603202634.7525,000868,7504,524,068Form
5Charters, JenniferEVP, Chief Information OfficerDirectBuy316202632.613009,7831,232,528Form
6Woodroffe, SeanEVP, Ch Ppl Comms Ent Srvc OffDirectSell309202632.748,000261,9206,487,726Form
7Woodroffe, SeanEVP, Ch Ppl Comms Ent Srvc OffDirectSell302202634.4610,000344,6007,104,239Form
8Reid, James WaltmanEVP Workplace SolutionsDirectSell219202641.813,050127,5204,957,286Form
9Kennedy, John ChristopherEVP, Chief Dist. & Brand OffDirectSell1211202544.153,519155,3645,253,167Form
10Ryan, OwenDirectBuy1114202542.172,00084,340506,040Form
11Woodroffe, SeanEVP, Ch Ppl Culture Comms OffDirectSell819202540.9016,164661,1086,379,683Form
12Kroll, BrianEVP, Head of Life & AnnuitiesDirectSell819202540.876,362260,0152,033,533Form
13Kennedy, John ChristopherEVP, Chief Dist. & Brand OffDirectSell808202539.295,000196,4504,864,711Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Sep 12, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Philadelphia Financial Management of San Francisco, LLC$10.1 Mil3.2%42New13F
Cander Asset Management LP$13.9 Mil2.5%43New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Cander Asset Management LP$13.9 Mil2.5%43New13F
Philadelphia Financial Management of San Francisco, LLC$10.1 Mil3.2%42New13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Cander Asset Management LP$13.9 Mil2.5%43New13F
Philadelphia Financial Management of San Francisco, LLC$10.1 Mil3.2%42New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/11/2026