Lincoln National (LNC)
Market Price (7/14/2026): $40.86 | Market Cap: $7.8 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Multi-line Insurance
Lincoln National (LNC)
Market Price (7/14/2026): $40.86Market Cap: $7.8 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Multi-line Insurance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 26%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 22% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -362% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, AI for Fraud Detection, Show more. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 32x Key risksLNC key risks include [1] vulnerability to financial strength rating downgrades due to concerns over its capital and RBC ratio, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 26%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 22% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -362% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, AI for Fraud Detection, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 32x |
| Key risksLNC key risks include [1] vulnerability to financial strength rating downgrades due to concerns over its capital and RBC ratio, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Lincoln National (LNC) stock has gained about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Lincoln National's fiscal Q1 2026 earnings significantly exceeded analyst expectations, signaling successful operational execution.
The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.66 for fiscal Q1 2026, which surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of $1.60 by 3.75%. This earnings beat was accompanied by a 16% year-over-year increase in adjusted operating income, highlighting effective turnaround strategies and disciplined expense management.
2. The company demonstrated substantial improvement in its net loss and achieved notable revenue growth in fiscal Q1 2026.
Lincoln National narrowed its net loss to $172 million in fiscal Q1 2026, a significant improvement from a $722 million loss in the prior-year quarter. Concurrently, total revenues increased by 13.1% year-over-year to $4.87 billion, driven by stronger net investment income and realized gains.
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Lincoln National (LNC) stock has gained about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Lincoln National's fiscal Q1 2026 earnings significantly exceeded analyst expectations, signaling successful operational execution.
The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.66 for fiscal Q1 2026, which surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of $1.60 by 3.75%. This earnings beat was accompanied by a 16% year-over-year increase in adjusted operating income, highlighting effective turnaround strategies and disciplined expense management.
2. The company demonstrated substantial improvement in its net loss and achieved notable revenue growth in fiscal Q1 2026.
Lincoln National narrowed its net loss to $172 million in fiscal Q1 2026, a significant improvement from a $722 million loss in the prior-year quarter. Concurrently, total revenues increased by 13.1% year-over-year to $4.87 billion, driven by stronger net investment income and realized gains.
3. Positive analyst upgrades and increased price targets reflected growing confidence in Lincoln National's outlook.
Several financial analysts upgraded their ratings and raised price targets for LNC during the period. For instance, Barclays upgraded Lincoln National from an "equal weight" to an "overweight" rating and increased its price target from $42.00 to $45.00 on July 6, 2026. Wells Fargo also raised its price target to $47.00 from $44.00, maintaining an "overweight" rating on July 9, 2026.
4. Strategic initiatives, including product-mix shifts and strong life sales, contributed to improved performance.
Management emphasized a continued focus on optimizing its product mix, with spread-based products representing 64% of annuity sales, aimed at reducing market sensitivity. Additionally, life insurance sales saw a robust increase of over 30% year-over-year, further supporting the company's profitable growth objectives.
5. Strong capital and liquidity positions underscored Lincoln National's financial stability.
The company reported a solid financial foundation, maintaining its estimated Risk-Based Capital (RBC) ratio above the 420% target buffer and improving its leverage ratio to the long-term target of 25%. Holding-company liquidity stood at approximately $805 million, providing flexibility for capital deployment.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 17.9% change in LNC stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 42.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 34.64 | 40.85 | 17.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 18,342 | 18,949 | 3.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.4% | 9.1% | 42.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 4.7 | 4.5 | -2.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 158 | 192 | -17.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 17.9% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LNC | 17.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.2% | 14.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 13.6% | 61.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -5.0% change in LNC stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -20.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 43.01 | 40.85 | -5.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 18,456 | 18,949 | 2.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.4% | 9.1% | -20.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 3.7 | 4.5 | 23.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 180 | 192 | -6.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -5.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LNC | -5.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.2% | 34.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 2.9% | 69.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 25.3% change in LNC stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 27.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 32.61 | 40.85 | 25.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 18,591 | 18,949 | 1.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.2% | 9.1% | 27.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 4.2 | 4.5 | 8.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 171 | 192 | -10.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 25.3% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LNC | 25.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.3% | 36.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 8.3% | 63.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 90.7% change in LNC stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 105.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.43 | 40.85 | 90.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 18,059 | 18,949 | 4.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 0.4 | 105.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 169 | 192 | -11.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 90.7% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LNC | 90.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.0% | 55.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 73.8% | 71.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LNC Return | 39% | -54% | -6% | 25% | 48% | -8% | 4% |
| Peers Return | 36% | 4% | 8% | 18% | 6% | 17% | 125% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 102% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LNC Win Rate | 67% | 25% | 42% | 58% | 67% | 57% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 53% | 58% | 57% | 58% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 57% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LNC Max Drawdown | -19% | -60% | -46% | -17% | -26% | -29% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -15% | -24% | -27% | -16% | -23% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PRU, MET, PFG, EQH, VOYA. See LNC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LNC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 114 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.5% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -44.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.6% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 378 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -72.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 256.7% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 341 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.7% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 815 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -44.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.4% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 272 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Lincoln National's stock fell -25.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 35.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | LNC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 114 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.5% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -44.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.6% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 378 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -72.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 256.7% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 341 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.7% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 815 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -44.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.4% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 272 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -42.6% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.1% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 271 days | 15 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -48.5% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.1% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 457 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.4% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 966 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -91.0% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1012.9% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1942 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Lincoln National's stock fell -25.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 35.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Lincoln National (LNC)
Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) is a diversified financial services company operating in the United States, specializing in insurance and retirement solutions. The company aims to help individuals and employers achieve financial security and manage risks through its comprehensive offerings across four main business segments: Annuities, Retirement Plan Services, Life Insurance, and Group Protection.
The Annuities segment provides a variety of options, including fixed, variable, and indexed variable annuities, designed to assist individuals in saving for and securing their retirement income. Its Retirement Plan Services segment offers extensive solutions for employers, primarily focusing on defined contribution plans, which include individual and group annuities, mutual fund-based programs, and administrative support such as recordkeeping and participant education. The Life Insurance segment delivers a broad spectrum of life insurance products, ranging from term insurance to various universal life policies, often supplemented with critical illness and long-term care riders.
Furthermore, Lincoln National's Group Protection segment caters to the employer market by providing non-medical insurance benefits like short and long-term disability, term life, dental, vision, and critical illness, alongside absence management services. These plans can be employer-paid or employee-paid. The company distributes its products and services to individuals and employers through a wide network of financial intermediaries, including consultants, brokers, agents, and financial advisors.
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1. A Prudential Financial offering comprehensive life insurance, annuities, and retirement services.
2. A Principal Financial Group that also provides extensive individual life insurance.
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- Annuities: Offers fixed, variable, and indexed variable annuities for retirement savings.
- Retirement Plan Services: Provides employers with retirement plan products and services, including variable/fixed annuities and mutual fund-based programs, alongside recordkeeping and compliance.
- Life Insurance Products: Includes term, universal, variable universal, and indexed universal life insurance, with optional critical illness and long-term care riders.
- Group Non-Medical Insurance Products: Offers short and long-term disability, group term life, dental, vision, accident, and critical illness benefits to employers.
- Absence Management Services: Administers statutory disability and paid family medical leave, along with general absence management services.
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Major Customers of Lincoln National (LNC)
Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) serves a diverse range of customers, primarily falling into two broad categories: individuals and employers.
- Individuals seeking retirement income solutions: This includes individuals looking for annuities (fixed, variable, and indexed variable) to save for and generate income during retirement. These customers are typically served through financial advisors, planners, and agents.
- Individuals seeking personal and family financial protection: This encompasses individuals purchasing life insurance products (term, universal life, variable universal life, indexed universal life) as well as critical illness and long-term care riders to protect their financial future and their families. These products are also distributed through consultants, brokers, and agents.
- Employers providing employee benefits: This category includes companies and organizations that purchase retirement plan services (defined contribution plans, recordkeeping, compliance testing, participant education) and group protection products (short and long-term disability, statutory disability and paid family medical leave administration, term life, dental, vision, accident, and critical illness benefits) for their employees. Lincoln National serves this "employer marketplace" through consultants, brokers, and third-party administrators.
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Ellen G. Cooper
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Ellen G. Cooper assumed the role of President and CEO of Lincoln Financial Group in May 2022 and became Chairman in May 2023. She joined Lincoln in 2012 as Executive Vice President and Chief Investment Officer, later expanding her responsibilities to include Head of Enterprise Risk and Head of the Annuity Solutions group. In these roles, she was critical in shaping and executing Lincoln’s investment strategy, overseeing over $300 billion in assets and managing the company’s hedging program. Before joining Lincoln, Cooper served as Managing Director and Global Head of Insurance Strategy for Goldman Sachs Asset Management. Her earlier career included serving as Chief Risk Officer for AEGON Americas, and holding insurance consulting positions as a Principal at Ernst & Young LLP and at Towers Perrin. Cooper holds a Bachelor of Business Administration in Actuarial Science from Temple University.
Christopher Neczypor
Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Christopher Neczypor was appointed Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, effective February 17, 2023.
Jayson R. Bronchetti
Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, Head of Hedging and Sustainability
Jayson R. Bronchetti serves as Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, and Head of Hedging and Sustainability for Lincoln Financial Group.
Kenneth S. Solon
Executive Vice President, Chief Information Officer and Head of IT, Digital and Enterprise Services
Kenneth S. Solon is Executive Vice President, Chief Information Officer, and Head of IT, Digital and Enterprise Services at Lincoln Financial Group, and a member of the company's senior management committee. He joined Lincoln in 2008, bringing extensive experience in domestic and global strategy, planning, and information systems. Previously, Solon was Head of Shared Services, responsible for Customer Service for Lincoln's Individual Life, Individual Annuity, and Retirement Plan Services business lines. Before Lincoln, he spent 13 years at Chase Manhattan Banking Corporation, where he managed Operations and Information Technology functions across domestic, European, and Asian markets. He then spent nine years at Prudential Financial Inc., where he led Operations and Information Technology for the company's conversion to a publicly traded organization and oversaw customer service for Individual Life Insurance.
Sean N. Woodroffe
Executive Vice President, Chief People, Culture and Communications Officer
Sean N. Woodroffe was hired as Executive Vice President, Chief People, Culture and Communications Officer in 2023.
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Here are the key risks to Lincoln National (LNC):
- Market Volatility and Interest Rate Risk: Lincoln National's performance is highly susceptible to fluctuations in financial markets and interest rates. The company faces significant investment risks, including potential losses in its investment portfolio due to stock market declines or unrealized bond securities losses. For example, a substantial increase in the 10-year Treasury rate could significantly impact LNC's tangible book value. A prolonged low-interest-rate environment can diminish investment yields, putting pressure on payouts from products like annuities, while sharp increases can also create challenges. The company has also increased allocations to private credit and real estate, introducing concentration and liquidity risks.
- Actuarial Risks and Underwriting Assumptions: As an insurance company, Lincoln National is exposed to the risk that actual claims and experience (such as mortality and morbidity rates) deviate significantly from its actuarial assumptions. Historically, changes in assumptions regarding certain annuity and life insurance products, like guaranteed universal life policies, have led to substantial losses and required significant adjustments to life insurance reserves. Increased benefit expenses due to higher policy payouts or adverse mortality trends can negatively impact future margins and financial stability.
- Regulatory, Legal, and Competitive Pressures (including AI Disruption): The insurance and retirement services industry is heavily regulated, meaning changes in government regulations, such as increased capital reserve requirements, can strain operations and profitability. Lincoln National also faces ongoing legal proceedings that could result in financial damages and heightened scrutiny. Furthermore, the industry is intensely competitive, with new entrants and existing players exerting constant pressure on pricing and product offerings. The emergence of artificial intelligence (AI) poses a disruptive competitive threat, as AI-driven underwriting, claims management, and direct-to-consumer channels could compress margins and challenge traditional distribution models.
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The clear emerging threats to Lincoln National (LNC) are:
- The rise of direct-to-consumer (D2C) Insurtech platforms that leverage advanced data analytics, AI, and streamlined digital interfaces to offer life insurance products directly to consumers, bypassing traditional agents and brokers. This threatens LNC's reliance on intermediary distribution channels, potentially leading to market share erosion and pricing pressure in its Life Insurance and Group Protection segments.
- The increasing prevalence of AI-driven and highly automated retirement plan administration platforms that offer lower-cost and more efficient recordkeeping and administrative services for employers. These solutions could appeal to businesses seeking to reduce costs and complexity, potentially disrupting LNC's Retirement Plan Services segment and its traditional service model.
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The addressable markets for Lincoln National's main products and services in the U.S. are substantial across its various segments:
- Annuities: The total U.S. annuity sales reached $461.3 billion in 2025.
- Retirement Plan Services: Americans held $13.9 trillion in all employer-based defined contribution (DC) retirement plans as of September 30, 2025.
- Life Insurance: The U.S. life insurance market size was estimated at USD 1.93 trillion in 2024. For group life insurance, specifically, the U.S. market size was approximately $145.67 billion in 2025.
- Group Protection:
- Disability Insurance: The U.S. disability insurance market size is projected to be $20.2 billion in 2025.
- Dental Insurance: The U.S. dental insurance market size is calculated at USD 97.7 billion in 2025.
- Vision Insurance: The market size of the Vision Insurance in the U.S. is estimated at $50.6 billion in 2025.
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Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies across its core business segments and strategic initiatives.
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:
- Growth in Annuities Segment with a Focus on Spread-Based Products: Lincoln National is prioritizing the expansion of its annuities business, particularly through fixed annuities and Registered Index-Linked Annuities (RILAs). Annuities sales demonstrated robust growth in 2025, with RILA sales increasing by 35% and variable annuity sales by 27%. The company's strategy involves shifting towards spread-based products to achieve more stable earnings and reduce market sensitivity. Recent product launches, such as the Lincoln FlexAdvantage Income and Lincoln OptiBlend Income fixed indexed annuities (FIAs) in March 2026, are designed to offer guaranteed growth for future income and lifetime income, further supporting growth in this segment. The annuities segment is highlighted as Lincoln National's largest operational component, with significant volume growth in spread-based products.
- Enhanced Performance and Strategic Realignment in Life Insurance: The Life Insurance segment is expected to contribute to revenue growth through a focus on accumulation products and executive benefits. The company saw a significant 50% year-over-year increase in life insurance sales in Q4 2025, with executive benefits sales reaching $265 million, a notable rise from $59 million in 2024. Lincoln National anticipates continued growth in Core Life sales in 2026, building from a strong baseline. The company is also undertaking a strategic realignment in its Life business to emphasize products with greater risk sharing, aiming for profitable growth.
- Expansion and Profitability in Group Protection: Lincoln National is focused on expanding its Group Protection business and improving its profitability. The segment's earnings, excluding the annual assumption review, increased by 16% year-over-year in Q4 2025, with premium growth of nearly 7% and supplemental health sales growing over 40%. The company is targeting an 8%+ margin in Group Protection and expects sustained premium growth and underlying earnings improvement in 2026. Favorable macroeconomic conditions and strong utilization rates are also seen as drivers for this segment.
- Strategic Investments and Partnerships: Strategic investments and collaborations are crucial for accelerating future growth. A key development is the significant investment from Bain Capital, finalized in June 2025, which includes a 9.9% equity stake. This partnership is intended to optimize legacy liabilities in life insurance and fuel Lincoln's growth initiatives, particularly in expanding spread-based earnings and enhancing its life insurance portfolio. Such strategic alliances and strong distribution partnerships are anticipated to bolster overall future revenue growth.
- Innovation and Service Expansion in Retirement Plan Services: The Retirement Plan Services segment is positioned for growth through new product solutions and an enhanced, personalized service model. Total deposits in this segment were up 13% year-over-year in Q4 2025, with first-year sales increasing by 32%. Lincoln National has introduced expanded product solutions like Pooled Employer Plans (PEPs), innovations in in-plan guaranteed income, stable value solutions, and its financial wellness platform, WellnessPATH®. The company has also broadened its Lincoln PathBuilder Income® powered by YourPath® product to offer a lifetime income guarantee, catering to the increasing demand for secure retirement options. The focus remains on improving the earnings profile and diversifying revenue streams within the existing customer base.
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Capital Allocation Decisions (2021-2025)
Share Repurchases
- In November 2021, Lincoln National's Board of Directors authorized an increase to the company's securities repurchase authorization, bringing the total aggregate authorization to $1.5 billion, with no specified expiration date.
- The company suspended its share buyback program in 2023 to aid in recovery following a significant $2.6 billion loss reported in the third quarter of 2022.
- Analysts anticipate Lincoln National will resume share repurchases in 2026, with the volume of buybacks expected to increase in 2027 and 2028.
Share Issuance
- In April 2025, Lincoln National issued 18,759,497 shares of common stock to Bain Capital as part of an $825 million strategic growth investment. This issuance represented approximately 9.9% of the outstanding common stock on a post-issuance basis.
Inbound Investments
- Bain Capital made an $825 million strategic growth investment in Lincoln Financial in April 2025, acquiring a 9.9% ownership stake in the company.
- The partnership with Bain Capital also includes a 10-year investment management fee commitment of $1.4 billion in Assets Under Management (AUM) at or shortly after closing, with a minimum AUM commitment of $20 billion by the end of year six.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 96.00 |
| Mkt Cap | 19.1 |
| Rev LTM | 17,204 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 2,531 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,705 |
| CFO LTM | 2,589 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,750 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group Protection | 6,099 | 5,711 | 5,563 | 5,304 | 4,996 |
| Life Insurance | 5,899 | 6,288 | 6,907 | 7,126 | 8,137 |
| Annuities | 4,859 | 4,702 | 3,002 | 4,776 | 5,002 |
| Retirement Plan Services | 1,331 | 1,278 | 1,310 | 1,274 | 1,324 |
| Other Operations | 24 | 463 | -755 | 158 | 180 |
| Changes in fair value of guaranteed living benefit (GLB) and guaranteed death benefit (GDB) hedge | -802 | ||||
| Credit loss-related adjustments | -80 | ||||
| Investment gains (losses) Changes in the fair value of reinsurance-related embedded derivatives | -959 | ||||
| Revenue adjustments from annuity and life insurance product features | -2,541 | ||||
| Amortization of deferred front-end loads (DFEL) associated with benefit ratio unlocking, pre-tax | -16 | 2 | |||
| Excluded realized gain (loss), pre-tax | 144 | -411 | |||
| Total | 18,212 | 18,442 | 11,645 | 18,766 | 19,230 |
| $ Mil | 2007 | 2006 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Individual Markets | 1,123 | 905 | |||
| Employer Markets | 349 | 352 | |||
| Investment Management | 76 | 55 | 33 | 11 | 25 |
| Lincoln UK | 46 | 39 | 118 | -24 | -18 |
| Lincoln Financial Media | 44 | ||||
| Annuities | 573 | 415 | |||
| Life Insurance | 660 | 429 | |||
| Other Operations | 177 | ||||
| Reinsurance | 181 | 34 | |||
| Life Insurance and Annuities | 504 | ||||
| Total | 1,594 | 1,395 | 1,560 | 1,013 | 544 |
| $ Mil | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annuities | 1,073 | 1,246 | 1,283 | 983 | 954 |
| Group Protection | 299 | 102 | -127 | 43 | 238 |
| Retirement Plan Services | 171 | 210 | 235 | 168 | 172 |
| Life Insurance | -159 | -1,965 | 535 | -34 | 259 |
| Other Operations | -411 | -496 | -375 | -295 | -268 |
| Benefit ratio unlocking, after-tax | -820 | 196 | 194 | 277 | |
| Excluded realized gain (loss), after-tax | 116 | -325 | -570 | -627 | |
| Impairment of intangibles | -634 | ||||
| Gain (loss) on modification or early extinguishment of debt, after-tax | -6 | -12 | -33 | ||
| Transaction and integration costs related to mergers, acquisitions and divestitures, after-tax | -11 | -15 | -103 | ||
| Net impact from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act | 37 | 17 | |||
| Total | 973 | -2,241 | 1,405 | 499 | 886 |
| $ Mil | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annuities | 185,599 | 167,210 | 201,732 | 184,678 | 167,443 |
| Life Insurance | 108,932 | 95,413 | 105,208 | 101,941 | 92,561 |
| Retirement Plan Services | 46,793 | 41,887 | 47,625 | 45,372 | 40,184 |
| Other Operations | 21,375 | 20,796 | 22,214 | 23,756 | 25,106 |
| Group Protection | 9,714 | 9,802 | 10,522 | 10,201 | 9,467 |
| Total | 372,413 | 335,108 | 387,301 | 365,948 | 334,761 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $40.85 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 7.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/05/1984 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -9.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $35.98 | $37.79 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 13.5% | 8.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 30.0% | 34.2% |
| Downside Capture | 20.37 | 113.65 |
| Upside Capture | 81.13 | 114.87 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 15.9% | 38.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.29 | -0.01 | 0.53 | 0.93 | 1.01 | 1.33 |
| Up Beta | 0.02 | 0.49 | 1.15 | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.44 |
| Down Beta | -1.62 | -1.41 | -1.33 | -0.23 | 0.49 | 1.41 |
| Up Capture | 10% | 9% | 56% | 85% | 109% | 170% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 23 | 35 | 62 | 131 | 399 |
| Down Capture | 8% | 68% | 95% | 149% | 118% | 106% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 18 | 28 | 63 | 120 | 347 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LNC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LNC | 25.0% | 34.1% | 0.70 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 7.7% | 14.8% | 0.29 | 64.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 20.8% | 12.6% | 1.23 | 37.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.0% | 27.9% | 0.64 | -3.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 27.6% | 18.9% | 1.16 | -19.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.3% | 13.9% | 0.66 | 28.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.8% | 42.7% | -1.28 | 32.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LNC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LNC | -3.7% | 42.8% | 0.05 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.5% | 18.6% | 0.44 | 72.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.0% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 58.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.0% | 18.3% | 0.75 | -3.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.8% | 19.5% | 0.29 | 13.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 18.9% | 0.06 | 46.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 13.6% | 53.5% | 0.44 | 24.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LNC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LNC | 4.6% | 46.5% | 0.27 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.7% | 22.1% | 0.57 | 82.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 66.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.3% | 16.1% | 0.57 | -4.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.3% | 18.0% | 0.28 | 25.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 55.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.7% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 17.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/10/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -4.5% | -9.4% | -7.7% |
| 2/12/2026 | 5.6% | 4.2% | -15.3% |
| 10/30/2025 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% |
| 7/31/2025 | 11.4% | 15.3% | 25.1% |
| 5/8/2025 | -1.8% | 1.5% | -1.7% |
| 2/6/2025 | 5.9% | 15.3% | 5.4% |
| 10/31/2024 | 3.5% | 9.7% | 5.8% |
| 8/1/2024 | 2.3% | -13.2% | -3.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| # Negative | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 3.4% | 5.5% | 12.0% |
| Median Negative | -5.1% | -7.1% | -11.1% |
| Max Positive | 11.4% | 17.9% | 56.2% |
| Max Negative | -33.1% | -37.0% | -27.4% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -4.5% | -9.4% | -7.7% |
| 2/12/2026 | 5.6% | 4.2% | -15.3% |
| 10/30/2025 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% |
| 7/31/2025 | 11.4% | 15.3% | 25.1% |
| 5/8/2025 | -1.8% | 1.5% | -1.7% |
| 2/6/2025 | 5.9% | 15.3% | 5.4% |
| 10/31/2024 | 3.5% | 9.7% | 5.8% |
| 8/1/2024 | 2.3% | -13.2% | -3.5% |
| 5/2/2024 | -2.7% | 5.8% | 19.1% |
| 2/8/2024 | -2.5% | 0.6% | -0.0% |
| 11/1/2023 | 7.8% | 5.3% | 12.5% |
| 8/2/2023 | 0.5% | -4.4% | -7.9% |
| 5/9/2023 | -3.9% | -7.6% | 12.0% |
| 2/8/2023 | -2.9% | -1.0% | -27.4% |
| 11/2/2022 | -33.1% | -37.0% | -25.5% |
| 8/3/2022 | -9.2% | -6.5% | -11.1% |
| 5/4/2022 | -9.3% | -17.8% | -14.4% |
| 2/2/2022 | -6.3% | 2.6% | -14.0% |
| 11/3/2021 | -5.7% | -5.4% | -13.9% |
| 8/4/2021 | 7.4% | 15.0% | 11.2% |
| 5/5/2021 | 3.4% | 0.5% | 7.2% |
| 2/3/2021 | 2.8% | 7.6% | 20.4% |
| 11/4/2020 | 2.5% | 17.9% | 56.2% |
| 8/5/2020 | -7.9% | -0.5% | -8.5% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| # Negative | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 3.4% | 5.5% | 12.0% |
| Median Negative | -5.1% | -7.1% | -11.1% |
| Max Positive | 11.4% | 17.9% | 56.2% |
| Max Negative | -33.1% | -37.0% | -27.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/17/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/04/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/18/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/05/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/20/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 10/31/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/01/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 7/2/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beazer, Craigt T | EVP & General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 6082026 | 34.45 | 30,000 | 1,033,500 | 3,579,562 | Form |
| 2 | Woodroffe, Sean | EVP, Ch Ppl Comms Ent Srvc Off | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 34.75 | 25,000 | 868,750 | 4,524,068 | Form |
| 3 | Charters, Jennifer | EVP, Chief Information Officer | Direct | Buy | 3162026 | 32.61 | 300 | 9,783 | 1,232,528 | Form |
| 4 | Woodroffe, Sean | EVP, Ch Ppl Comms Ent Srvc Off | Direct | Sell | 3092026 | 32.74 | 8,000 | 261,920 | 6,487,726 | Form |
| 5 | Woodroffe, Sean | EVP, Ch Ppl Comms Ent Srvc Off | Direct | Sell | 3022026 | 34.46 | 10,000 | 344,600 | 7,104,239 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beazer, Craigt T | EVP & General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 6082026 | 34.45 | 30,000 | 1,033,500 | 3,579,562 | Form |
| 2 | Woodroffe, Sean | EVP, Ch Ppl Comms Ent Srvc Off | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 34.75 | 25,000 | 868,750 | 4,524,068 | Form |
| 3 | Charters, Jennifer | EVP, Chief Information Officer | Direct | Buy | 3162026 | 32.61 | 300 | 9,783 | 1,232,528 | Form |
| 4 | Woodroffe, Sean | EVP, Ch Ppl Comms Ent Srvc Off | Direct | Sell | 3092026 | 32.74 | 8,000 | 261,920 | 6,487,726 | Form |
| 5 | Woodroffe, Sean | EVP, Ch Ppl Comms Ent Srvc Off | Direct | Sell | 3022026 | 34.46 | 10,000 | 344,600 | 7,104,239 | Form |
| 6 | Reid, James Waltman | EVP Workplace Solutions | Direct | Sell | 2192026 | 41.81 | 3,050 | 127,520 | 4,957,286 | Form |
| 7 | Kennedy, John Christopher | EVP, Chief Dist. & Brand Off | Direct | Sell | 12112025 | 44.15 | 3,519 | 155,364 | 5,253,167 | Form |
| 8 | Ryan, Owen | Direct | Buy | 11142025 | 42.17 | 2,000 | 84,340 | 506,040 | Form | |
| 9 | Woodroffe, Sean | EVP, Ch Ppl Culture Comms Off | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 40.90 | 16,164 | 661,108 | 6,379,683 | Form |
| 10 | Kroll, Brian | EVP, Head of Life & Annuities | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 40.87 | 6,362 | 260,015 | 2,033,533 | Form |
| 11 | Kennedy, John Christopher | EVP, Chief Dist. & Brand Off | Direct | Sell | 8082025 | 39.29 | 5,000 | 196,450 | 4,864,711 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Jul 14, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank and community-bank filers are excluded.
| Active Manager |
|---|
Lincoln National — Investor Video Playlist



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