Tearsheet

Lincoln National (LNC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $45.29 | Market Cap: $8.1 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Multi-line Insurance

Lincoln National (LNC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $45.29
Market Cap: $8.1 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Multi-line Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 33%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 29%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.1%, Dist 3Y High is -2.1%
Key risks
LNC key risks include [1] vulnerability to financial strength rating downgrades due to concerns over its capital and RBC ratio, Show more.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -388%
  
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, AI for Fraud Detection, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 33%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 29%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -388%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, AI for Fraud Detection, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.1%, Dist 3Y High is -2.1%
6 Key risks
LNC key risks include [1] vulnerability to financial strength rating downgrades due to concerns over its capital and RBC ratio, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LNC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the stock movement for Lincoln National (LNC) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Lincoln National's Q3 2025 Earnings Beat Expectations. The company reported mixed third-quarter 2025 results on October 30, 2025, surpassing analyst estimates for earnings per share (EPS) with an adjusted operating income of $2.04 per diluted share, exceeding the $1.88 consensus. This earnings beat, despite a revenue miss, led to a notable positive market reaction, with LNC shares rising significantly in pre-market trading.

2. Strong Performance Across Key Business Segments. The company demonstrated "broad-based momentum" in its Q3 2025 results. Annuities delivered increased operating income and robust sales growth, up 32% year-over-year. Life Insurance showed solid results, and Group Protection saw a 38% increase in sales year-over-year, alongside higher premiums, all contributing to the company's strong performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LNC Return-11%39%-54%-6%25%51%2%
Peers Return-3%36%4%8%18%9%90%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LNC Win Rate50%67%25%42%58%67% 
Peers Win Rate60%63%53%58%57%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LNC Max Drawdown-71%-9%-56%-36%-3%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-3%-15%-19%-4%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PRU, MET, PFG, EQH, VOYA. See LNC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLNCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-74.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven298.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-72.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven258.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven355 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-93.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1386.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3,132 days1,480 days

Compare to TRV, MET, AIG, HIG, PRU


In The Past

Lincoln National's stock fell -74.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/3/2021. A -74.9% loss requires a 298.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lincoln National (LNC)

Better Bets than Lincoln National (LNC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LNC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lincoln National

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LNCPRUMETPFGEQHVOYAMedian
NameLincoln .Prudenti.MetLife Principa.EquitableVoya Fin. 
Mkt Price45.27115.6882.5389.3748.1675.1878.86
Mkt Cap8.141.154.919.914.37.217.1
Rev LTM18,45657,92670,76015,80112,0157,90417,128
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-1785,27414,6274,1721,1923762,682
FCF 3Y Avg-1,2965,78113,5454,0297817092,405
CFO LTM-1785,27414,6274,2521,2683762,760
CFO 3Y Avg-1,2965,78113,5454,1179097092,513

Growth & Margins

LNCPRUMETPFGEQHVOYAMedian
NameLincoln .Prudenti.MetLife Principa.EquitableVoya Fin. 
Rev Chg LTM35.5%-21.0%0.2%12.3%9.4%2.5%5.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.1%1.9%1.3%-4.1%4.1%11.5%2.5%
Rev Chg Q9.4%-8.2%-7.7%22.2%-52.8%7.5%-0.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.2%-2.7%-2.0%4.4%-11.9%1.9%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-1.0%9.1%20.7%26.9%10.6%4.8%9.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-9.5%9.4%19.6%28.1%8.0%9.4%9.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.0%9.1%20.7%26.4%9.9%4.8%9.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-9.5%9.4%19.6%27.5%6.8%9.4%9.4%

Valuation

LNCPRUMETPFGEQHVOYAMedian
NameLincoln .Prudenti.MetLife Principa.EquitableVoya Fin. 
Mkt Cap8.141.154.919.914.37.217.1
P/S0.40.60.81.21.30.90.8
P/EBIT--9.2--174.96.86.8
P/E3.414.114.311.7-22.311.711.7
P/CFO-40.77.03.74.311.919.15.7
Total Yield33.4%12.3%9.8%12.2%-2.4%10.9%11.6%
Dividend Yield4.4%5.2%2.8%3.7%2.1%2.4%3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-23.1%15.0%25.3%21.8%5.6%9.5%12.2%
D/E0.80.60.40.20.40.40.4
Net D/E-3.9-1.3-1.7-1.5-2.4-3.5-2.1

Returns

LNCPRUMETPFGEQHVOYAMedian
NameLincoln .Prudenti.MetLife Principa.EquitableVoya Fin. 
1M Rtn15.0%11.8%9.3%11.4%12.9%10.3%11.6%
3M Rtn16.3%13.8%5.7%11.6%-9.5%-0.5%8.6%
6M Rtn39.9%14.0%6.6%19.9%-7.9%14.4%14.2%
12M Rtn47.0%2.4%4.5%19.7%5.6%13.3%9.5%
3Y Rtn86.8%37.2%26.7%17.3%80.2%34.7%35.9%
1M Excs Rtn14.3%11.0%8.5%10.6%12.1%9.5%10.8%
3M Excs Rtn13.7%11.5%3.8%9.0%-12.3%-3.1%6.4%
6M Excs Rtn27.5%1.6%-5.7%7.5%-20.3%2.0%1.8%
12M Excs Rtn33.7%-10.1%-8.8%6.6%-7.5%-0.6%-4.0%
3Y Excs Rtn0.3%-37.5%-44.7%-58.1%2.7%-40.1%-38.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Annuities185,599167,210201,732184,678167,443
Life Insurance108,93295,413105,208101,94192,561
Retirement Plan Services46,79341,88747,62545,37240,184
Other Operations21,37520,79622,21423,75625,106
Group Protection9,7149,80210,52210,2019,467
Total372,413335,108387,301365,948334,761


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,227,132
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-7.8%
Average Daily Volume1,474,708
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.54
Basic Shares Quantity179,845,834
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20251.6%1.9%2.0%
7/31/202511.4%15.3%25.1%
5/8/2025-1.8%1.5%-1.7%
2/6/20255.9%15.3%5.4%
10/31/20243.5%9.7%5.8%
8/1/20242.3%-13.2%-3.5%
5/2/2024-2.7%5.8%19.1%
2/8/2024-2.5%0.6%-0.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131612
# Negative11812
Median Positive3.4%5.2%11.9%
Median Negative-5.7%-6.0%-12.5%
Max Positive16.2%17.9%58.0%
Max Negative-33.1%-37.0%-34.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021