Tearsheet

Lincoln National (LNC)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $42.75 | Market Cap: $7.7 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Multi-line Insurance

Lincoln National (LNC)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $42.75
Market Cap: $7.7 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Multi-line Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 33%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 29%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.6%, Dist 3Y High is -0.6%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -388%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -39%
 
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, AI for Fraud Detection, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 33%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 29%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -388%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, AI for Fraud Detection, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.6%, Dist 3Y High is -0.6%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -39%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LNC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Lincoln National's (LNC) stock movement, based on the most recent available information up to December 5, 2025: 1. Lincoln National reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter 2025 earnings, surpassing analyst estimates. The company posted a net profit for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, which exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings per share. This positive earnings surprise contributed to a pre-market stock increase of 3.83% following the report on October 30, 2025.

2. The company's fourth-quarter 2024 financial results also exceeded analyst expectations for adjusted operating earnings and revenue. Reported on February 6, 2025, these strong results for Q4 2024 contributed to positive performance across various business segments and highlighted momentum in building a solid capital foundation and operational efficiency.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LNC Return-11%39%-54%-6%25%41%-4%
Peers Return-10%39%13%5%25%9%103%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LNC Win Rate50%67%25%42%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate58%63%58%60%65%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LNC Max Drawdown-71%-9%-56%-36%-3%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-2%-10%-21%-1%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TRV, MET, AIG, HIG, PRU. See LNC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLNCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-74.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven298.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-72.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven258.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven355 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-93.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1386.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3132 days1480 days

Compare to TRV, MET, AIG, HIG, PRU


In The Past

Lincoln National's stock fell -74.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/3/2021. A -74.9% loss requires a 298.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lincoln National (LNC)

Better Bets than Lincoln National (LNC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LNC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lincoln National

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LNCTRVMETAIGHIGPRUMedian
NameLincoln .Traveler.MetLife American.Hartford.Prudenti. 
Mkt Price42.54282.8578.0377.28131.86110.2594.14
Mkt Cap7.763.451.942.837.039.141.0
Rev LTM18,45648,40970,76027,39027,69257,92638,050
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-1789,98514,6272,8035,8655,2745,570
FCF 3Y Avg-1,2968,68213,5454,1204,9225,7815,351
CFO LTM-1789,98514,6272,8035,9885,2745,631
CFO 3Y Avg-1,2968,68213,5454,1205,1095,7815,445

Growth & Margins

LNCTRVMETAIGHIGPRUMedian
NameLincoln .Traveler.MetLife American.Hartford.Prudenti. 
Rev Chg LTM35.5%6.7%0.2%2.9%6.9%-21.0%4.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.1%10.1%1.3%9.8%8.6%1.9%5.8%
Rev Chg Q9.4%4.8%-7.7%-5.2%6.4%-8.2%-0.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.2%1.2%-2.0%-1.3%1.6%-2.7%-0.0%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-1.0%20.6%20.7%10.2%21.6%9.1%15.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-9.5%19.4%19.6%21.6%19.6%9.4%19.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.0%20.6%20.7%10.2%21.2%9.1%15.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-9.5%19.4%19.6%21.6%18.9%9.4%19.1%

Valuation

LNCTRVMETAIGHIGPRUMedian
NameLincoln .Traveler.MetLife American.Hartford.Prudenti. 
Mkt Cap7.763.451.942.837.039.141.0
P/S0.41.30.81.61.40.61.0
P/EBIT-8.19.28.48.1-8.3
P/E3.410.714.313.310.514.112.0
P/CFO-40.76.33.715.56.37.06.3
Total Yield33.4%10.2%9.8%9.7%11.1%12.3%10.6%
Dividend Yield4.4%0.8%2.8%2.3%1.6%5.2%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-23.1%17.2%25.3%9.2%15.8%15.0%15.4%
D/E0.80.10.40.20.10.60.3
Net D/E-3.9-1.4-1.7-0.6-0.5-1.3-1.4

Returns

LNCTRVMETAIGHIGPRUMedian
NameLincoln .Traveler.MetLife American.Hartford.Prudenti. 
1M Rtn5.5%2.0%-1.8%-4.2%3.5%6.3%2.8%
3M Rtn-0.5%1.6%-3.9%-4.9%-1.7%2.6%-1.1%
6M Rtn32.9%5.2%0.8%-8.5%3.8%9.1%4.5%
12M Rtn28.4%9.8%-6.0%3.9%11.2%-7.9%6.9%
3Y Rtn35.7%60.1%13.6%34.3%87.2%22.2%35.0%
1M Excs Rtn4.2%0.7%-3.1%-5.5%2.3%5.1%1.5%
3M Excs Rtn-3.6%-2.6%-6.9%-7.7%-5.2%-0.1%-4.4%
6M Excs Rtn17.4%-10.2%-14.6%-24.0%-11.6%-6.4%-10.9%
12M Excs Rtn13.9%-4.3%-21.0%-9.5%-2.8%-23.1%-6.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-38.9%-13.2%-60.7%-38.8%12.1%-53.2%-38.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Annuities185,599167,210201,732184,678167,443
Life Insurance108,93295,413105,208101,94192,561
Retirement Plan Services46,79341,88747,62545,37240,184
Other Operations21,37520,79622,21423,75625,106
Group Protection9,7149,80210,52210,2019,467
Total372,413335,108387,301365,948334,761


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,669,665
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.1%
Average Daily Volume1,649,617
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.44
Basic Shares Quantity179,845,834
Short % of Basic Shares3.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021