Novagold Resources (NG)


Market Price (7/22/2026): $5.63 | Market Cap: $2.3 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold

Novagold Resources (NG)


Market Price (7/22/2026): $5.63
Market Cap: $2.3 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Gold

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Resource & Commodity Security. Themes include Precious Metals & Store of Value, Commodity Investment, and Sustainable & Responsible Mining.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36%

Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.8%

Key risks
NG key risks include [1] securing substantial financing and overcoming development hurdles for its capital-intensive Donlin Gold project and [2] navigating ongoing legal, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Resource & Commodity Security. Themes include Precious Metals & Store of Value, Commodity Investment, and Sustainable & Responsible Mining.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36%
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.8%
5 Key risks
NG key risks include [1] securing substantial financing and overcoming development hurdles for its capital-intensive Donlin Gold project and [2] navigating ongoing legal, Show more.

NG in ETFs

Weight = NG's share of each fund

VTWO0.06%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/16/2026

Novagold Resources (NG) stock has lost about 35% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Decline in Gold Prices Driven by Macroeconomic Factors. The price of gold, a key determinant for gold development companies like Novagold, retreated to approximately US$4,000 per ounce in fiscal Q2 2026, experiencing significant volatility within a range of US$3,960 to US$4,850 per ounce. This decline, which saw gold trading at about $4,038 per ounce as of July 13, 2026 (down approximately 28% from its January 29, 2026, intraday high of $5,595.47), was primarily driven by a stronger US dollar and persistently elevated treasury yields, reducing the appeal of non-yielding assets. Furthermore, the belief in a potential resolution to the US-Iran conflict also impacted gold prices, and institutional forecasters, including Goldman Sachs, revised their year-end 2026 price targets downward to $4,900 from $5,400 due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot.

2. Q2 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Miss and Increased Operating Expenditures. Novagold Resources reported its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on June 23, 2026, for the period ending May 31, 2026. The company posted a loss per share (EPS) of -$0.06, which missed analyst estimates of -$0.0523 by 14.72% and -$0.0436 by approximately 37.6%. This earnings miss contributed to a stock decline of 5.26% immediately following the announcement, with some reports indicating a 13.78% drop from the previous close. The wider loss reflects ongoing exploration and administrative expenses associated with the company's flagship Donlin Gold project. Operating loss for the quarter totaled $25.8 million, an increase from $12.3 million in fiscal Q2 2025, largely due to higher equity losses from Donlin Gold, and corporate general and administrative expenses rose to $8.9 million from $5.8 million year-over-year.

Show more
Updated on 7/16/2026

Novagold Resources (NG) stock has lost about 35% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Decline in Gold Prices Driven by Macroeconomic Factors. The price of gold, a key determinant for gold development companies like Novagold, retreated to approximately US$4,000 per ounce in fiscal Q2 2026, experiencing significant volatility within a range of US$3,960 to US$4,850 per ounce. This decline, which saw gold trading at about $4,038 per ounce as of July 13, 2026 (down approximately 28% from its January 29, 2026, intraday high of $5,595.47), was primarily driven by a stronger US dollar and persistently elevated treasury yields, reducing the appeal of non-yielding assets. Furthermore, the belief in a potential resolution to the US-Iran conflict also impacted gold prices, and institutional forecasters, including Goldman Sachs, revised their year-end 2026 price targets downward to $4,900 from $5,400 due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot.

2. Q2 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Miss and Increased Operating Expenditures. Novagold Resources reported its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on June 23, 2026, for the period ending May 31, 2026. The company posted a loss per share (EPS) of -$0.06, which missed analyst estimates of -$0.0523 by 14.72% and -$0.0436 by approximately 37.6%. This earnings miss contributed to a stock decline of 5.26% immediately following the announcement, with some reports indicating a 13.78% drop from the previous close. The wider loss reflects ongoing exploration and administrative expenses associated with the company's flagship Donlin Gold project. Operating loss for the quarter totaled $25.8 million, an increase from $12.3 million in fiscal Q2 2025, largely due to higher equity losses from Donlin Gold, and corporate general and administrative expenses rose to $8.9 million from $5.8 million year-over-year.

3. Extended Development Timeline and Significant Future Capital Requirements for Donlin Gold. As a development-stage company without revenue-generating production, Novagold's stock performance is highly sensitive to progress and financing of its Donlin Gold project. The Bankable Feasibility Study (BFS) for Donlin Gold is not expected to be completed until 2027, with a final investment decision and commencement of construction projected between 2027 and 2031, indicating a long lead time before potential gold production. The company's anticipated operating expenditures for fiscal year 2026 remain at approximately $98.5 million, with $78.8 million specifically allocated to funding the Donlin Gold project. Novagold's share of Donlin Gold expenditures is expected to increase over the next 15 to 21 months as BFS activities advance, leading to investor concerns regarding ongoing cash burn and the prolonged development timeline. Additionally, permitting progress faces regulatory uncertainties, with a supplemental Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) expected in September, but no definitive clearance date, posing ongoing project timeline risks.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -37.3% change in NG stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -2.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)33120267212026Change
Stock Price ($)8.985.63-37.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)407415-2.0%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/21/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NG-37.3% 
Market (SPY)15.1%59.4%
Sector (XLB)0.3%55.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -39.6% change in NG stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -2.1% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)123120257212026Change
Stock Price ($)9.325.63-39.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)407415-2.1%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/21/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NG-39.6% 
Market (SPY)10.0%46.5%
Sector (XLB)11.0%54.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 37.7% change in NG stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020257212026Change
Stock Price ($)4.095.6337.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)350415-15.6%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/21/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NG37.7% 
Market (SPY)22.1%39.0%
Sector (XLB)15.8%45.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 41.1% change in NG stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020237212026Change
Stock Price ($)3.995.6341.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)334415-19.5%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/21/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NG41.1% 
Market (SPY)74.8%30.1%
Sector (XLB)27.6%40.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NG Return-29%-13%-37%-11%180%-44%-46%
Peers Return18%-13%2%8%131%-13%128%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%98%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NG Win Rate42%50%33%33%50%29% 
Peers Win Rate37%47%53%47%68%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NG Max Drawdown-37%-50%-52%-40%-36%-64% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-53%-37%-39%-35%-46% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SA, NAK, GLDG, NEM, GOLD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/21/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNGS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-28.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven14 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-26.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven217 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-35.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.0%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven754 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-38.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven126 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-38.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven61.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven27 days140 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-32.7%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.6%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven52 days6 days

Compare to SA, NAK, GLDG, NEM, GOLD

In The Past

Novagold Resources's stock fell -28.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 39.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventNGS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-28.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven14 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-26.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven217 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-35.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.0%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven754 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-38.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven126 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-38.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven61.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven27 days140 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-32.7%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.6%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven52 days6 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-38.0%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven61.2%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven90 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-20.8%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.3%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven12 days1 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-39.6%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven65.4%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven44 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-24.5%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.4%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven48 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-94.8%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven1837.6%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven513 days1085 days

Compare to SA, NAK, GLDG, NEM, GOLD

In The Past

Novagold Resources's stock fell -28.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 39.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Novagold Resources (NG)

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NovaGold Resources Inc. (NG) is a mineral exploration and development company primarily focused on gold. Its core business involves identifying, exploring, and advancing gold mineral properties with the ultimate goal of bringing them into production. The company's principal asset and strategic focus is the Donlin Gold project, a significant gold deposit located in the Kuskokwim region of southwestern Alaska, United States. This project encompasses a vast area of approximately 29,008 hectares.

While NovaGold is currently in the development phase and not yet a producer, its main "product" will ultimately be refined gold extracted from the Donlin project. This gold would then be sold into the global gold market. The primary customers and markets it serves are broad, including institutional investors, central banks, industrial users, and the jewelry industry, all of whom seek gold as a commodity, store of value, or industrial input. NovaGold's strategy is centered on methodically developing this large-scale gold asset to capitalize on the ongoing demand for precious metals.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for NovaGold Resources:

  • Like a future Newmont (a major gold producer) focused on developing one giant mine.
  • Think of it as a pre-production Barrick Gold (another major gold miner), entirely dedicated to building out its flagship Alaskan project.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • Gold Exploration: The company identifies and evaluates potential gold deposits in mineral properties.
  • Gold Mineral Property Development: The company advances identified gold deposits towards potential mining operations.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

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Greg Lang, President & Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Lang has over 35 years of diverse experience in mine operations, project development, and evaluation. He served as President of Barrick Gold North America, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Barrick Gold Corporation. Prior to his 10-year tenure with Barrick, he held progressively responsible operating and project development positions with Homestake Mining Company and International Corona Corporation, both now part of Barrick. He assumed the role of President and Chief Executive Officer of NOVAGOLD in January 2012.

Peter Adamek, Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Adamek was appointed Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective July 15, 2024. He is a highly experienced financial executive with over 20 years of expertise in corporate finance, capital markets, financial reporting, tax, and information technology in the mining sector. Prior to joining NOVAGOLD, he held progressively senior management roles at Hudbay Minerals Inc., including CFO for the Arizona Business Unit, and then Vice President, Finance. He also worked in equity research at RBC Capital Markets Global Mining division and at KPMG's Toronto Audit practice, focusing on global mining and manufacturing sectors.

Richard Williams, Vice President & Chief Operating Officer

Mr. Williams is Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, responsible for the engineering and technical advancement of the Donlin Gold Project. He spent over 30 years with Barrick Gold developing and operating major mines, including serving as Project Director of the Pueblo Viejo project in the Dominican Republic. He is a knowledgeable and experienced leader in autoclave technology, which is planned for use at Donlin Gold.

Mélanie Hennessey, Vice President, Corporate Communications

Ms. Hennessey is responsible for NOVAGOLD's internal and external communications and investor relations. She has extensive experience in investor relations, corporate communications, crisis management, and mergers and acquisitions within the precious metals mining industry. Prior to NOVAGOLD, she served in various executive and senior roles with Goldcorp Inc., New Gold Inc., and Hecla Mining Company.

Ben Machlis, Vice President & General Counsel

Mr. Machlis is an experienced natural resources and environmental attorney. Before joining NOVAGOLD, he was a partner at Dorsey & Whitney, where he chaired its regulatory affairs practice group, representing mining, renewable development, and other industrial companies on permitting, project development, operational compliance, closure, and remediation issues.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to NovaGold Resources (NG) are primarily concentrated around the development and successful execution of its principal asset, the Donlin Gold project, coupled with external market factors and stakeholder opposition.

  1. Single Asset Dependency and Project Execution Risks: NovaGold is a development-stage company with its entire value proposition tied to the Donlin Gold project. Any adverse developments at this sole material mineral property would have a significant negative impact on the company. The project faces a lengthy development timeline, with a construction decision targeted for 2027 and commercial production not projected until around 2031, leaving many years for potential delays, cost overruns, or unforeseen technical challenges. As a company with no current revenue stream, NovaGold is entirely dependent on its ability to raise substantial capital to fund its share of the Donlin Gold budget, and there is an ongoing need for additional capital for the Bankable Feasibility Study and subsequent construction. The remote location in Alaska also presents significant logistical hurdles that could affect the project's timeline and budget.

  2. Environmental, Regulatory, and Social Opposition Risks: The Donlin Gold project faces considerable opposition from indigenous communities and environmental groups due to concerns about its potential adverse environmental and cultural impacts. The proposed large-scale open-pit mine, located along the Kuskokwim River, could lead to contamination of water with mercury and cyanide, destruction of wetlands, and the creation of massive tailings dams, which pose long-term environmental hazards. Ongoing legal challenges have resulted in court-ordered supplemental environmental studies, which can cause project delays and increase regulatory scrutiny. Incomplete state and local permitting processes also introduce regulatory uncertainty and potential for further delays. This strong opposition and the associated environmental and permitting complexities could significantly impede the project's advancement or even its ultimate approval.

  3. Gold Price Volatility: As a gold exploration and development company, NovaGold's financial viability and the economic feasibility of the Donlin Gold project are highly sensitive to fluctuations in global gold prices. Gold prices are influenced by various factors beyond the company's control, such as geopolitical events, shifts in monetary policy, and general market sentiment. A significant or sustained downturn in gold prices could adversely affect the project's projected profitability and the company's overall financial stability, potentially rendering the massive capital investment less attractive or uneconomical.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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The addressable market for Novagold Resources' main product, gold, is the global gold mining market. The global gold mining market size was valued at approximately USD 294.81 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 327.8 billion in 2026. Other estimates place the global gold mining market at around USD 308.07 billion in 2025, or exceeding USD 250 billion in 2025. This market is expected to reach USD 765.85 billion by 2034.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) is a development-stage gold company primarily focused on its Donlin Gold project in Alaska. As such, the company is not currently generating revenue, and analysts project zero revenue for fiscal years 2025, 2026, and 2027. Therefore, the expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years are related to advancing the Donlin Gold project towards production, which is anticipated to begin around 2031.

The key drivers of future revenue growth for Novagold Resources (NG) include:

  1. Completion of the Bankable Feasibility Study (BFS) for the Donlin Gold project: The selection of Fluor to lead the BFS in February 2026 is a critical step towards securing financing and advancing the development of the Donlin Gold project. A successful completion of this study is considered a "green light" for the project's progression, providing an integrated engineering, cost, and schedule framework.
  2. Securing project financing for the Donlin Gold project: Novagold is actively working on securing the necessary financing for the Donlin Gold project, with efforts to obtain capital beginning in tandem with the Bankable Feasibility Study. The company has recently strengthened its financial position through public and private offerings, generating significant proceeds to advance the project.
  3. Achieving a final investment or construction decision for the Donlin Gold project: Novagold has indicated a target for a construction decision on the Donlin project by 2027. This pivotal decision would mark the definitive commitment to build the mine and initiate the major capital expenditures required for construction, ultimately leading to future gold production and revenue.
  4. Continued positive permitting and regulatory approvals for the Donlin Gold project: The Donlin Gold project has made progress in the permitting process, including acceptance into the FAST-41 federal permitting program and favorable rulings from the Alaska Supreme Court on key state permits in November 2025. Ongoing and timely receipt of all necessary permits and regulatory approvals are essential to avoid delays and ensure the smooth advancement of construction and operations.
  5. Sustained favorable gold prices: While not a direct operational driver, a robust and sustained gold price environment significantly enhances the economic viability of the Donlin Gold project. Analysts have noted a positive outlook for gold prices, which could substantially increase the net present value of the project and its attractiveness to investors and financiers. A strong gold market is perceived to be entering a major bull market, which would benefit the project's future revenue potential.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • NovaGold Resources' 3-Month Share Buyback Ratio was -1.80% as of August 2025, and -6.8 according to another source, indicating no share repurchases or potential share issuance.

Share Issuance

  • In June 2025, NovaGold completed a public offering, issuing approximately 48 million common shares for $195.2 million, with an additional 7.2 million common shares from an overallotment option.
  • A private placement concurrent with the May 2025 public offering resulted in the issuance of approximately 17.2 million common shares for $64.4 million.
  • In February 2026, NovaGold closed an upsized bought deal private placement of 31,020,000 common shares at $10.00 per share, generating gross proceeds of approximately $310 million, intended for Donlin Gold activities, settlement of a promissory note with Barrick, and general corporate purposes.

Inbound Investments

  • On June 3, 2025, NovaGold increased its economic interest in the Donlin Gold project to 60% by acquiring an additional 10% from Barrick for $200 million, as part of a $1 billion transaction where Paulson Advisers LLC acquired the remaining 40% interest.
  • As consideration for providing a backstop commitment on April 22, 2025, NovaGold issued Backstop Warrants with an estimated aggregate fair value of $39.6 million to three institutional investors, including Electrum.

Capital Expenditures

  • Donlin Gold's board approved a fiscal 2026 budget of $131.4 million, with NovaGold's share at $78.8 million, to advance the Bankable Feasibility Study, permitting, community relations, and environmental work.
  • NovaGold's net annual cash expenditures in 2025 were $36.5 million, which included $22.5 million to fund its share of the Donlin Gold project.
  • In 2024, net annual cash expenditures were $24.5 million, with $12.4 million allocated to NovaGold's share of the Donlin Gold project. NovaGold's anticipated expenditures for fiscal year 2024 included approximately $14.3 million for the Donlin Gold project.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NGSANAKGLDGNEMGOLDMedian
NameNovagold.Seabridg.Northern.GoldMini.Newmont Gold.com  
Mkt Price5.6326.351.730.8692.4939.9415.99
Mkt Cap2.32.81.00.2100.41.11.7
Rev LTM000024,96623,0200
Op Inc LTM-29-24-24-3113,492140-24
FCF LTM-14-163-23-279,238207-19
FCF 3Y Avg-12-167-21-244,51585-16
CFO LTM-14-18-23-2712,088220-16
CFO 3Y Avg-12-17-21-247,58898-14

Growth & Margins

NGSANAKGLDGNEMGOLDMedian
NameNovagold.Seabridg.Northern.GoldMini.Newmont Gold.com  
Rev Chg LTM----26.9%109.4%68.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg----30.0%47.0%38.5%
Rev Chg Q----45.8%244.0%144.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM----10.1%46.8%28.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM-22.8%-11.7%-23.7%-21.0%93.6%201.5%-16.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-13.6%-3.8%3.4%-18.2%195.9%34.0%-0.2%
Op Mgn LTM----54.0%0.6%27.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg----32.7%0.7%16.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM----5.4%0.3%2.8%
CFO/Rev LTM----48.4%1.0%24.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg----36.8%0.5%18.7%
FCF/Rev LTM----37.0%0.9%19.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg----19.7%0.4%10.1%

Valuation

NGSANAKGLDGNEMGOLDMedian
NameNovagold.Seabridg.Northern.GoldMini.Newmont Gold.com  
Mkt Cap2.32.81.00.2100.41.11.7
P/S----4.00.02.0
P/Op Inc-79.9-118.4-41.0-6.07.47.8-23.5
P/EBIT-27.1-32.2-23.2-5.97.46.4-14.6
P/E-23.1-40.1-22.6-8.511.913.6-15.5
P/CFO-169.0-155.8-41.3-6.88.35.0-24.1
Total Yield-4.3%-2.5%-4.4%-11.8%9.5%9.2%-3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%1.9%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.8%-11.1%-5.7%-14.6%5.2%11.2%-3.2%
D/E0.10.20.00.00.10.70.1
Net D/E-0.10.1-0.1-0.4-0.00.5-0.0

Returns

NGSANAKGLDGNEMGOLDMedian
NameNovagold.Seabridg.Northern.GoldMini.Newmont Gold.com  
1M Rtn-27.8%-11.1%-17.6%-9.7%-10.9%-5.5%-11.0%
3M Rtn-40.0%-14.3%-11.3%-28.3%-15.2%-12.4%-14.7%
6M Rtn-45.8%-20.2%-16.0%-46.2%-21.9%-4.4%-21.1%
12M Rtn-3.8%61.0%91.1%6.8%56.2%84.0%58.6%
3Y Rtn27.4%103.9%581.1%-8.0%128.7%8.6%65.7%
1M Excs Rtn-27.9%-11.2%-17.7%-9.9%-11.0%-5.6%-11.1%
3M Excs Rtn-53.3%-25.9%-24.0%-41.0%-24.9%-23.1%-25.4%
6M Excs Rtn-51.9%-22.8%-17.6%-52.3%-26.8%-12.1%-24.8%
12M Excs Rtn-14.8%48.5%47.1%-7.0%41.4%66.6%44.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-36.0%34.2%493.1%-74.1%53.0%-55.4%-0.9%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20082007200620052004
Land and gravel operations2    
Other0   0
Mineral properties0    
Land and gravel sales 1 22
SAND AND GRAVEL OPERATIONS  1  
Total21122


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20082005200420032002
Land and gravel operations2    
Other0 0 0
Mineral properties-154    
Land and gravel sales 1210
MINERAL PROPERTIES -0   
Gold exploration  -0-1 
Mineral Properties    -0
Total-15312-10


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment336110133159199
Total336110133159199


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$5.63 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.3 
First Trading Date12/04/2003 
Distance from 52W High-60.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$7.20$9.03
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-21.8%-37.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility74.4%74.9%
Downside Capture551.91288.14
Upside Capture187.96223.94
Correlation (SPY)55.2%38.6%
NG Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.293.233.552.892.281.34
Up Beta2.022.973.353.052.451.36
Down Beta1.712.042.111.861.310.95
Up Capture57%244%257%354%580%360%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days7142654128377
Down Capture367%413%464%252%175%110%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days14273770119355

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NG
NG4.5%75.3%0.38-
Sector ETF (XLB)12.7%17.6%0.5346.0%
Equity (SPY)20.3%12.6%1.1938.9%
Gold (GLD)21.6%28.1%0.6970.8%
Commodities (DBC)31.4%19.1%1.307.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)15.0%14.0%0.7623.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.6%42.9%-1.2526.8%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NG
NG-7.6%60.4%0.11-
Sector ETF (XLB)6.0%19.0%0.2140.3%
Equity (SPY)12.9%17.1%0.5829.5%
Gold (GLD)17.3%18.4%0.7656.4%
Commodities (DBC)8.9%19.5%0.3520.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%18.9%0.0529.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)14.9%53.4%0.4618.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NG
NG-2.7%56.3%0.18-
Sector ETF (XLB)10.0%20.6%0.4327.9%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7220.8%
Gold (GLD)11.2%16.1%0.5757.2%
Commodities (DBC)7.2%17.9%0.3217.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2119.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.7%66.2%0.9914.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity19.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 615202628.3%
Average Daily Volume5.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity415.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 7/6/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
6/24/2026-14.1%-17.3% 
4/1/20264.2%3.1%-10.2%
1/22/20265.0%13.1%7.8%
10/1/202515.0%14.4%-8.0%
6/25/2025-5.1%6.4%37.4%
4/1/20252.1%-11.6%44.9%
1/23/2025-2.2%-4.3%-5.6%
10/2/2024-13.3%-19.5%-17.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8109
# Negative161414
Median Positive4.6%6.5%10.1%
Median Negative-5.6%-6.4%-10.1%
Max Positive15.0%14.4%44.9%
Max Negative-14.1%-19.5%-24.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
6/24/2026-14.1%-17.3% 
4/1/20264.2%3.1%-10.2%
1/22/20265.0%13.1%7.8%
10/1/202515.0%14.4%-8.0%
6/25/2025-5.1%6.4%37.4%
4/1/20252.1%-11.6%44.9%
1/23/2025-2.2%-4.3%-5.6%
10/2/2024-13.3%-19.5%-17.6%
6/27/2024-4.7%-0.8%30.3%
4/3/2024-8.2%-5.1%-9.4%
1/24/2024-6.3%-19.2%-24.3%
10/3/2023-2.3%4.8%-1.4%
6/28/2023-1.8%-0.8%10.1%
4/4/2023-7.9%-5.2%-13.3%
1/25/2023-6.5%-7.6%-20.9%
10/4/2022-6.1%-10.7%-12.1%
6/29/2022-10.4%-15.8%-9.1%
4/5/2022-0.5%1.4%-23.7%
1/26/2022-5.1%-1.5%9.0%
9/29/20213.9%13.1%15.6%
6/29/20210.3%6.0%0.4%
3/31/20216.3%9.6%2.6%
1/27/20219.7%6.6%-3.2%
10/1/2020-3.5%-4.2%-9.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8109
# Negative161414
Median Positive4.6%6.5%10.1%
Median Negative-5.6%-6.4%-10.1%
Max Positive15.0%14.4%44.9%
Max Negative-14.1%-19.5%-24.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
02/28/202604/01/202610-Q
11/30/202501/22/202610-K
08/31/202510/01/202510-Q
05/31/202506/25/202510-Q
02/28/202504/01/202510-Q
11/30/202401/23/202510-K
08/31/202410/02/202410-Q
05/31/202406/26/202410-Q
02/29/202404/03/202410-Q
11/30/202301/24/202410-K
08/31/202310/03/202310-Q
05/31/202306/27/202310-Q
02/28/202304/04/202310-Q
11/30/202201/25/202310-K
08/31/202210/04/202210-Q
05/31/202206/29/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
02/28/202604/01/202610-Q
11/30/202501/22/202610-K
08/31/202510/01/202510-Q
05/31/202506/25/202510-Q
02/28/202504/01/202510-Q
11/30/202401/23/202510-K
08/31/202410/02/202410-Q
05/31/202406/26/202410-Q
02/29/202404/03/202410-Q
11/30/202301/24/202410-K
08/31/202310/03/202310-Q
05/31/202306/27/202310-Q
02/28/202304/04/202310-Q
11/30/202201/25/202310-K
08/31/202210/04/202210-Q
05/31/202206/29/202210-Q
02/28/202204/05/202210-Q
11/30/202101/26/202210-K
08/31/202109/29/202110-Q
05/31/202106/29/202110-Q
02/28/202103/31/202110-Q
11/30/202001/27/202110-K
08/31/202009/30/202010-Q
05/31/202006/24/202010-Q
02/29/202004/01/202010-Q
11/30/201901/22/202010-K
08/31/201910/01/201910-Q
05/31/201906/26/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/12/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 6/24/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Operating Expenditures 98.50 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 98.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Donlin Gold Project Funding 78.80 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 78.80 Mil for 2026
2026 Corporate General and Administrative Costs 19.70 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 19.70 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/1/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Operating Expenditures 98.50 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 98.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Donlin Gold Project Funding 78.80 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 78.80 Mil for 2026
2026 Corporate General and Administrative Costs 19.70 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 19.70 Mil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/22/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Anticipated Expenditures 98.50 Mil    
2026 Donlin Gold Project Funding 78.80 Mil 228.3% Higher NewActual: 24.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Corporate General and Administrative Costs 19.70 Mil 9.4% Higher NewActual: 18.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 7/2/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Muniz, Quintanilla DanielDirectBuy21020268.9422,470200,882402,488Form
2Whittaker, Dawn PatriciaRRSP AccountBuy20620269.364,00037,44037,440Form
3Dorward-King, Elaine JDirectSell129202610.4111115367,285Form
4Schutt, EthanDirectBuy72920255.233,82420,000270,574Form
5Kyle, Hume DDirectBuy70120254.1010,00041,00091,627Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Muniz, Quintanilla DanielDirectBuy21020268.9422,470200,882402,488Form
2Whittaker, Dawn PatriciaRRSP AccountBuy20620269.364,00037,44037,440Form
3Dorward-King, Elaine JDirectSell129202610.4111115367,285Form
4Schutt, EthanDirectBuy72920255.233,82420,000270,574Form
5Kyle, Hume DDirectBuy70120254.1010,00041,00091,627Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 22, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Electrum Group LLC$834.3 Mil77.1%8Hold13F
Paulson & Co. Inc.$244.6 Mil7.9%9Hold13F
Lingotto Investment Management LLP$330.8 Mil6.6%34Hold13F
Kopernik Global Investors, LLC$58.5 Mil4.1%27TRIM -22.7%13F
Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC$6.2 Mil0.3%43TRIM -13.4%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Kopernik Global Investors, LLC$58.5 Mil4.1%27TRIM -22.7%13F
Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC$6.2 Mil0.3%43TRIM -13.4%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Electrum Group LLC$834.3 Mil77.1%8Hold13F
Lingotto Investment Management LLP$330.8 Mil6.6%34Hold13F
Paulson & Co. Inc.$244.6 Mil7.9%9Hold13F
Kopernik Global Investors, LLC$58.5 Mil4.1%27TRIM -22.7%13F
Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC$6.2 Mil0.3%43TRIM -13.4%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/21/2026