Novagold Resources (NG)
Market Price (7/22/2026): $5.63 | Market Cap: $2.3 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold
Novagold Resources (NG)
Market Price (7/22/2026): $5.63Market Cap: $2.3 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Gold
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Resource & Commodity Security. Themes include Precious Metals & Store of Value, Commodity Investment, and Sustainable & Responsible Mining. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.8% Key risksNG key risks include [1] securing substantial financing and overcoming development hurdles for its capital-intensive Donlin Gold project and [2] navigating ongoing legal, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Resource & Commodity Security. Themes include Precious Metals & Store of Value, Commodity Investment, and Sustainable & Responsible Mining. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.8% |
| Key risksNG key risks include [1] securing substantial financing and overcoming development hurdles for its capital-intensive Donlin Gold project and [2] navigating ongoing legal, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Novagold Resources (NG) stock has lost about 35% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Decline in Gold Prices Driven by Macroeconomic Factors. The price of gold, a key determinant for gold development companies like Novagold, retreated to approximately US$4,000 per ounce in fiscal Q2 2026, experiencing significant volatility within a range of US$3,960 to US$4,850 per ounce. This decline, which saw gold trading at about $4,038 per ounce as of July 13, 2026 (down approximately 28% from its January 29, 2026, intraday high of $5,595.47), was primarily driven by a stronger US dollar and persistently elevated treasury yields, reducing the appeal of non-yielding assets. Furthermore, the belief in a potential resolution to the US-Iran conflict also impacted gold prices, and institutional forecasters, including Goldman Sachs, revised their year-end 2026 price targets downward to $4,900 from $5,400 due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot.
2. Q2 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Miss and Increased Operating Expenditures. Novagold Resources reported its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on June 23, 2026, for the period ending May 31, 2026. The company posted a loss per share (EPS) of -$0.06, which missed analyst estimates of -$0.0523 by 14.72% and -$0.0436 by approximately 37.6%. This earnings miss contributed to a stock decline of 5.26% immediately following the announcement, with some reports indicating a 13.78% drop from the previous close. The wider loss reflects ongoing exploration and administrative expenses associated with the company's flagship Donlin Gold project. Operating loss for the quarter totaled $25.8 million, an increase from $12.3 million in fiscal Q2 2025, largely due to higher equity losses from Donlin Gold, and corporate general and administrative expenses rose to $8.9 million from $5.8 million year-over-year.
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Novagold Resources (NG) stock has lost about 35% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Decline in Gold Prices Driven by Macroeconomic Factors. The price of gold, a key determinant for gold development companies like Novagold, retreated to approximately US$4,000 per ounce in fiscal Q2 2026, experiencing significant volatility within a range of US$3,960 to US$4,850 per ounce. This decline, which saw gold trading at about $4,038 per ounce as of July 13, 2026 (down approximately 28% from its January 29, 2026, intraday high of $5,595.47), was primarily driven by a stronger US dollar and persistently elevated treasury yields, reducing the appeal of non-yielding assets. Furthermore, the belief in a potential resolution to the US-Iran conflict also impacted gold prices, and institutional forecasters, including Goldman Sachs, revised their year-end 2026 price targets downward to $4,900 from $5,400 due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot.
2. Q2 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Miss and Increased Operating Expenditures. Novagold Resources reported its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on June 23, 2026, for the period ending May 31, 2026. The company posted a loss per share (EPS) of -$0.06, which missed analyst estimates of -$0.0523 by 14.72% and -$0.0436 by approximately 37.6%. This earnings miss contributed to a stock decline of 5.26% immediately following the announcement, with some reports indicating a 13.78% drop from the previous close. The wider loss reflects ongoing exploration and administrative expenses associated with the company's flagship Donlin Gold project. Operating loss for the quarter totaled $25.8 million, an increase from $12.3 million in fiscal Q2 2025, largely due to higher equity losses from Donlin Gold, and corporate general and administrative expenses rose to $8.9 million from $5.8 million year-over-year.
3. Extended Development Timeline and Significant Future Capital Requirements for Donlin Gold. As a development-stage company without revenue-generating production, Novagold's stock performance is highly sensitive to progress and financing of its Donlin Gold project. The Bankable Feasibility Study (BFS) for Donlin Gold is not expected to be completed until 2027, with a final investment decision and commencement of construction projected between 2027 and 2031, indicating a long lead time before potential gold production. The company's anticipated operating expenditures for fiscal year 2026 remain at approximately $98.5 million, with $78.8 million specifically allocated to funding the Donlin Gold project. Novagold's share of Donlin Gold expenditures is expected to increase over the next 15 to 21 months as BFS activities advance, leading to investor concerns regarding ongoing cash burn and the prolonged development timeline. Additionally, permitting progress faces regulatory uncertainties, with a supplemental Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) expected in September, but no definitive clearance date, posing ongoing project timeline risks.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -37.3% change in NG stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -2.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.98 | 5.63 | -37.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 407 | 415 | -2.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NG | -37.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.1% | 59.4% |
| Sector (XLB) | 0.3% | 55.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -39.6% change in NG stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -2.1% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.32 | 5.63 | -39.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 407 | 415 | -2.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NG | -39.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.0% | 46.5% |
| Sector (XLB) | 11.0% | 54.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 37.7% change in NG stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.09 | 5.63 | 37.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 350 | 415 | -15.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NG | 37.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.1% | 39.0% |
| Sector (XLB) | 15.8% | 45.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 41.1% change in NG stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.99 | 5.63 | 41.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 334 | 415 | -19.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NG | 41.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.8% | 30.1% |
| Sector (XLB) | 27.6% | 40.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NG Return | -29% | -13% | -37% | -11% | 180% | -44% | -46% |
| Peers Return | 18% | -13% | 2% | 8% | 131% | -13% | 128% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NG Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 29% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 37% | 47% | 53% | 47% | 68% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NG Max Drawdown | -37% | -50% | -52% | -40% | -36% | -64% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -42% | -53% | -37% | -39% | -35% | -46% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SA, NAK, GLDG, NEM, GOLD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 14 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 217 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -35.5% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 754 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -38.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 126 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -38.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 27 days | 140 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -32.7% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.6% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 52 days | 6 days |
In The Past
Novagold Resources's stock fell -28.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 39.5% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | NG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 14 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 217 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -35.5% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 754 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -38.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 126 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -38.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 27 days | 140 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -32.7% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.6% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 52 days | 6 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -38.0% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.2% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 90 days | 15 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -20.8% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.3% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 12 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -39.6% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.4% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 44 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -24.5% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.4% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 48 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -94.8% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1837.6% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 513 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Novagold Resources's stock fell -28.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 39.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Novagold Resources (NG)
NovaGold Resources Inc. (NG) is a mineral exploration and development company primarily focused on gold. Its core business involves identifying, exploring, and advancing gold mineral properties with the ultimate goal of bringing them into production. The company's principal asset and strategic focus is the Donlin Gold project, a significant gold deposit located in the Kuskokwim region of southwestern Alaska, United States. This project encompasses a vast area of approximately 29,008 hectares.
While NovaGold is currently in the development phase and not yet a producer, its main "product" will ultimately be refined gold extracted from the Donlin project. This gold would then be sold into the global gold market. The primary customers and markets it serves are broad, including institutional investors, central banks, industrial users, and the jewelry industry, all of whom seek gold as a commodity, store of value, or industrial input. NovaGold's strategy is centered on methodically developing this large-scale gold asset to capitalize on the ongoing demand for precious metals.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for NovaGold Resources:
- Like a future Newmont (a major gold producer) focused on developing one giant mine.
- Think of it as a pre-production Barrick Gold (another major gold miner), entirely dedicated to building out its flagship Alaskan project.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Gold Exploration: The company identifies and evaluates potential gold deposits in mineral properties.
- Gold Mineral Property Development: The company advances identified gold deposits towards potential mining operations.
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Greg Lang, President & Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Lang has over 35 years of diverse experience in mine operations, project development, and evaluation. He served as President of Barrick Gold North America, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Barrick Gold Corporation. Prior to his 10-year tenure with Barrick, he held progressively responsible operating and project development positions with Homestake Mining Company and International Corona Corporation, both now part of Barrick. He assumed the role of President and Chief Executive Officer of NOVAGOLD in January 2012.
Peter Adamek, Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Adamek was appointed Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective July 15, 2024. He is a highly experienced financial executive with over 20 years of expertise in corporate finance, capital markets, financial reporting, tax, and information technology in the mining sector. Prior to joining NOVAGOLD, he held progressively senior management roles at Hudbay Minerals Inc., including CFO for the Arizona Business Unit, and then Vice President, Finance. He also worked in equity research at RBC Capital Markets Global Mining division and at KPMG's Toronto Audit practice, focusing on global mining and manufacturing sectors.
Richard Williams, Vice President & Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Williams is Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, responsible for the engineering and technical advancement of the Donlin Gold Project. He spent over 30 years with Barrick Gold developing and operating major mines, including serving as Project Director of the Pueblo Viejo project in the Dominican Republic. He is a knowledgeable and experienced leader in autoclave technology, which is planned for use at Donlin Gold.
Mélanie Hennessey, Vice President, Corporate Communications
Ms. Hennessey is responsible for NOVAGOLD's internal and external communications and investor relations. She has extensive experience in investor relations, corporate communications, crisis management, and mergers and acquisitions within the precious metals mining industry. Prior to NOVAGOLD, she served in various executive and senior roles with Goldcorp Inc., New Gold Inc., and Hecla Mining Company.
Ben Machlis, Vice President & General Counsel
Mr. Machlis is an experienced natural resources and environmental attorney. Before joining NOVAGOLD, he was a partner at Dorsey & Whitney, where he chaired its regulatory affairs practice group, representing mining, renewable development, and other industrial companies on permitting, project development, operational compliance, closure, and remediation issues.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to NovaGold Resources (NG) are primarily concentrated around the development and successful execution of its principal asset, the Donlin Gold project, coupled with external market factors and stakeholder opposition.
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Single Asset Dependency and Project Execution Risks: NovaGold is a development-stage company with its entire value proposition tied to the Donlin Gold project. Any adverse developments at this sole material mineral property would have a significant negative impact on the company. The project faces a lengthy development timeline, with a construction decision targeted for 2027 and commercial production not projected until around 2031, leaving many years for potential delays, cost overruns, or unforeseen technical challenges. As a company with no current revenue stream, NovaGold is entirely dependent on its ability to raise substantial capital to fund its share of the Donlin Gold budget, and there is an ongoing need for additional capital for the Bankable Feasibility Study and subsequent construction. The remote location in Alaska also presents significant logistical hurdles that could affect the project's timeline and budget.
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Environmental, Regulatory, and Social Opposition Risks: The Donlin Gold project faces considerable opposition from indigenous communities and environmental groups due to concerns about its potential adverse environmental and cultural impacts. The proposed large-scale open-pit mine, located along the Kuskokwim River, could lead to contamination of water with mercury and cyanide, destruction of wetlands, and the creation of massive tailings dams, which pose long-term environmental hazards. Ongoing legal challenges have resulted in court-ordered supplemental environmental studies, which can cause project delays and increase regulatory scrutiny. Incomplete state and local permitting processes also introduce regulatory uncertainty and potential for further delays. This strong opposition and the associated environmental and permitting complexities could significantly impede the project's advancement or even its ultimate approval.
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Gold Price Volatility: As a gold exploration and development company, NovaGold's financial viability and the economic feasibility of the Donlin Gold project are highly sensitive to fluctuations in global gold prices. Gold prices are influenced by various factors beyond the company's control, such as geopolitical events, shifts in monetary policy, and general market sentiment. A significant or sustained downturn in gold prices could adversely affect the project's projected profitability and the company's overall financial stability, potentially rendering the massive capital investment less attractive or uneconomical.
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Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) is a development-stage gold company primarily focused on its Donlin Gold project in Alaska. As such, the company is not currently generating revenue, and analysts project zero revenue for fiscal years 2025, 2026, and 2027. Therefore, the expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years are related to advancing the Donlin Gold project towards production, which is anticipated to begin around 2031.
The key drivers of future revenue growth for Novagold Resources (NG) include:
- Completion of the Bankable Feasibility Study (BFS) for the Donlin Gold project: The selection of Fluor to lead the BFS in February 2026 is a critical step towards securing financing and advancing the development of the Donlin Gold project. A successful completion of this study is considered a "green light" for the project's progression, providing an integrated engineering, cost, and schedule framework.
- Securing project financing for the Donlin Gold project: Novagold is actively working on securing the necessary financing for the Donlin Gold project, with efforts to obtain capital beginning in tandem with the Bankable Feasibility Study. The company has recently strengthened its financial position through public and private offerings, generating significant proceeds to advance the project.
- Achieving a final investment or construction decision for the Donlin Gold project: Novagold has indicated a target for a construction decision on the Donlin project by 2027. This pivotal decision would mark the definitive commitment to build the mine and initiate the major capital expenditures required for construction, ultimately leading to future gold production and revenue.
- Continued positive permitting and regulatory approvals for the Donlin Gold project: The Donlin Gold project has made progress in the permitting process, including acceptance into the FAST-41 federal permitting program and favorable rulings from the Alaska Supreme Court on key state permits in November 2025. Ongoing and timely receipt of all necessary permits and regulatory approvals are essential to avoid delays and ensure the smooth advancement of construction and operations.
- Sustained favorable gold prices: While not a direct operational driver, a robust and sustained gold price environment significantly enhances the economic viability of the Donlin Gold project. Analysts have noted a positive outlook for gold prices, which could substantially increase the net present value of the project and its attractiveness to investors and financiers. A strong gold market is perceived to be entering a major bull market, which would benefit the project's future revenue potential.
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Share Repurchases
- NovaGold Resources' 3-Month Share Buyback Ratio was -1.80% as of August 2025, and -6.8 according to another source, indicating no share repurchases or potential share issuance.
Share Issuance
- In June 2025, NovaGold completed a public offering, issuing approximately 48 million common shares for $195.2 million, with an additional 7.2 million common shares from an overallotment option.
- A private placement concurrent with the May 2025 public offering resulted in the issuance of approximately 17.2 million common shares for $64.4 million.
- In February 2026, NovaGold closed an upsized bought deal private placement of 31,020,000 common shares at $10.00 per share, generating gross proceeds of approximately $310 million, intended for Donlin Gold activities, settlement of a promissory note with Barrick, and general corporate purposes.
Inbound Investments
- On June 3, 2025, NovaGold increased its economic interest in the Donlin Gold project to 60% by acquiring an additional 10% from Barrick for $200 million, as part of a $1 billion transaction where Paulson Advisers LLC acquired the remaining 40% interest.
- As consideration for providing a backstop commitment on April 22, 2025, NovaGold issued Backstop Warrants with an estimated aggregate fair value of $39.6 million to three institutional investors, including Electrum.
Capital Expenditures
- Donlin Gold's board approved a fiscal 2026 budget of $131.4 million, with NovaGold's share at $78.8 million, to advance the Bankable Feasibility Study, permitting, community relations, and environmental work.
- NovaGold's net annual cash expenditures in 2025 were $36.5 million, which included $22.5 million to fund its share of the Donlin Gold project.
- In 2024, net annual cash expenditures were $24.5 million, with $12.4 million allocated to NovaGold's share of the Donlin Gold project. NovaGold's anticipated expenditures for fiscal year 2024 included approximately $14.3 million for the Donlin Gold project.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Novagold Resources (-10%): Gold Price Reversal Slams Mining Sector | 03/04/2026 | |
| Novagold Resources Earnings Notes | 12/29/2026 | |
| Novagold Resources (NG) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Novagold Resources (NG) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Novagold Resources (NG) Operating Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Novagold Resources (NG) Net Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Novagold Resources (NG) EBITDA Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | 07/22/2025 | |
| NG Stock Up 23% after 7-Day Win Streak | 07/18/2025 |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.99 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -24 |
| FCF LTM | -19 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -16 |
| CFO LTM | -16 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -14 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 68.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 38.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 144.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 28.5% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -16.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -0.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 27.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 24.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 19.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.1% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Land and gravel operations | 2 | ||||
| Other | 0 | 0 | |||
| Mineral properties | 0 | ||||
| Land and gravel sales | 1 | 2 | 2 | ||
| SAND AND GRAVEL OPERATIONS | 1 | ||||
| Total | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| $ Mil | 2008 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Land and gravel operations | 2 | ||||
| Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Mineral properties | -154 | ||||
| Land and gravel sales | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| MINERAL PROPERTIES | -0 | ||||
| Gold exploration | -0 | -1 | |||
| Mineral Properties | -0 | ||||
| Total | -153 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 336 | 110 | 133 | 159 | 199 |
| Total | 336 | 110 | 133 | 159 | 199 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.63 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/04/2003 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -60.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $7.20 | $9.03 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -21.8% | -37.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 74.4% | 74.9% |
| Downside Capture | 551.91 | 288.14 |
| Upside Capture | 187.96 | 223.94 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 55.2% | 38.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.29 | 3.23 | 3.55 | 2.89 | 2.28 | 1.34 |
| Up Beta | 2.02 | 2.97 | 3.35 | 3.05 | 2.45 | 1.36 |
| Down Beta | 1.71 | 2.04 | 2.11 | 1.86 | 1.31 | 0.95 |
| Up Capture | 57% | 244% | 257% | 354% | 580% | 360% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 14 | 26 | 54 | 128 | 377 |
| Down Capture | 367% | 413% | 464% | 252% | 175% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 14 | 27 | 37 | 70 | 119 | 355 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NG | 4.5% | 75.3% | 0.38 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 12.7% | 17.6% | 0.53 | 46.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 20.3% | 12.6% | 1.19 | 38.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.6% | 28.1% | 0.69 | 70.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 31.4% | 19.1% | 1.30 | 7.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 15.0% | 14.0% | 0.76 | 23.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.6% | 42.9% | -1.25 | 26.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NG | -7.6% | 60.4% | 0.11 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 6.0% | 19.0% | 0.21 | 40.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.1% | 0.58 | 29.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.3% | 18.4% | 0.76 | 56.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.9% | 19.5% | 0.35 | 20.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 18.9% | 0.05 | 29.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.9% | 53.4% | 0.46 | 18.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NG | -2.7% | 56.3% | 0.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 10.0% | 20.6% | 0.43 | 27.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 20.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.2% | 16.1% | 0.57 | 57.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.2% | 17.9% | 0.32 | 17.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 19.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.7% | 66.2% | 0.99 | 14.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 7/6/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/24/2026 | -14.1% | -17.3% | |
| 4/1/2026 | 4.2% | 3.1% | -10.2% |
| 1/22/2026 | 5.0% | 13.1% | 7.8% |
| 10/1/2025 | 15.0% | 14.4% | -8.0% |
| 6/25/2025 | -5.1% | 6.4% | 37.4% |
| 4/1/2025 | 2.1% | -11.6% | 44.9% |
| 1/23/2025 | -2.2% | -4.3% | -5.6% |
| 10/2/2024 | -13.3% | -19.5% | -17.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| # Negative | 16 | 14 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 6.5% | 10.1% |
| Median Negative | -5.6% | -6.4% | -10.1% |
| Max Positive | 15.0% | 14.4% | 44.9% |
| Max Negative | -14.1% | -19.5% | -24.3% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/24/2026 | -14.1% | -17.3% | |
| 4/1/2026 | 4.2% | 3.1% | -10.2% |
| 1/22/2026 | 5.0% | 13.1% | 7.8% |
| 10/1/2025 | 15.0% | 14.4% | -8.0% |
| 6/25/2025 | -5.1% | 6.4% | 37.4% |
| 4/1/2025 | 2.1% | -11.6% | 44.9% |
| 1/23/2025 | -2.2% | -4.3% | -5.6% |
| 10/2/2024 | -13.3% | -19.5% | -17.6% |
| 6/27/2024 | -4.7% | -0.8% | 30.3% |
| 4/3/2024 | -8.2% | -5.1% | -9.4% |
| 1/24/2024 | -6.3% | -19.2% | -24.3% |
| 10/3/2023 | -2.3% | 4.8% | -1.4% |
| 6/28/2023 | -1.8% | -0.8% | 10.1% |
| 4/4/2023 | -7.9% | -5.2% | -13.3% |
| 1/25/2023 | -6.5% | -7.6% | -20.9% |
| 10/4/2022 | -6.1% | -10.7% | -12.1% |
| 6/29/2022 | -10.4% | -15.8% | -9.1% |
| 4/5/2022 | -0.5% | 1.4% | -23.7% |
| 1/26/2022 | -5.1% | -1.5% | 9.0% |
| 9/29/2021 | 3.9% | 13.1% | 15.6% |
| 6/29/2021 | 0.3% | 6.0% | 0.4% |
| 3/31/2021 | 6.3% | 9.6% | 2.6% |
| 1/27/2021 | 9.7% | 6.6% | -3.2% |
| 10/1/2020 | -3.5% | -4.2% | -9.9% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| # Negative | 16 | 14 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 6.5% | 10.1% |
| Median Negative | -5.6% | -6.4% | -10.1% |
| Max Positive | 15.0% | 14.4% | 44.9% |
| Max Negative | -14.1% | -19.5% | -24.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 02/28/2026 | 04/01/2026 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2025 | 01/22/2026 | 10-K |
| 08/31/2025 | 10/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2025 | 06/25/2025 | 10-Q |
| 02/28/2025 | 04/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2024 | 01/23/2025 | 10-K |
| 08/31/2024 | 10/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2024 | 06/26/2024 | 10-Q |
| 02/29/2024 | 04/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2023 | 01/24/2024 | 10-K |
| 08/31/2023 | 10/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2023 | 06/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 02/28/2023 | 04/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2022 | 01/25/2023 | 10-K |
| 08/31/2022 | 10/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2022 | 06/29/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 02/28/2026 | 04/01/2026 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2025 | 01/22/2026 | 10-K |
| 08/31/2025 | 10/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2025 | 06/25/2025 | 10-Q |
| 02/28/2025 | 04/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2024 | 01/23/2025 | 10-K |
| 08/31/2024 | 10/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2024 | 06/26/2024 | 10-Q |
| 02/29/2024 | 04/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2023 | 01/24/2024 | 10-K |
| 08/31/2023 | 10/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2023 | 06/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 02/28/2023 | 04/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2022 | 01/25/2023 | 10-K |
| 08/31/2022 | 10/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2022 | 06/29/2022 | 10-Q |
| 02/28/2022 | 04/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2021 | 01/26/2022 | 10-K |
| 08/31/2021 | 09/29/2021 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2021 | 06/29/2021 | 10-Q |
| 02/28/2021 | 03/31/2021 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2020 | 01/27/2021 | 10-K |
| 08/31/2020 | 09/30/2020 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2020 | 06/24/2020 | 10-Q |
| 02/29/2020 | 04/01/2020 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2019 | 01/22/2020 | 10-K |
| 08/31/2019 | 10/01/2019 | 10-Q |
| 05/31/2019 | 06/26/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/12/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 6/24/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Operating Expenditures | 98.50 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 98.50 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Donlin Gold Project Funding | 78.80 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 78.80 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Corporate General and Administrative Costs | 19.70 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 19.70 Mil for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/1/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Operating Expenditures | 98.50 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 98.50 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Donlin Gold Project Funding | 78.80 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 78.80 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Corporate General and Administrative Costs | 19.70 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 19.70 Mil for 2026 | |||
Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/22/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Anticipated Expenditures | 98.50 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Donlin Gold Project Funding | 78.80 Mil | 228.3% | Higher New | Actual: 24.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
| 2026 Corporate General and Administrative Costs | 19.70 Mil | 9.4% | Higher New | Actual: 18.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Updated 7/2/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Muniz, Quintanilla Daniel | Direct | Buy | 2102026 | 8.94 | 22,470 | 200,882 | 402,488 | Form | |
| 2 | Whittaker, Dawn Patricia | RRSP Account | Buy | 2062026 | 9.36 | 4,000 | 37,440 | 37,440 | Form | |
| 3 | Dorward-King, Elaine J | Direct | Sell | 1292026 | 10.41 | 11 | 115 | 367,285 | Form | |
| 4 | Schutt, Ethan | Direct | Buy | 7292025 | 5.23 | 3,824 | 20,000 | 270,574 | Form | |
| 5 | Kyle, Hume D | Direct | Buy | 7012025 | 4.10 | 10,000 | 41,000 | 91,627 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Muniz, Quintanilla Daniel | Direct | Buy | 2102026 | 8.94 | 22,470 | 200,882 | 402,488 | Form | |
| 2 | Whittaker, Dawn Patricia | RRSP Account | Buy | 2062026 | 9.36 | 4,000 | 37,440 | 37,440 | Form | |
| 3 | Dorward-King, Elaine J | Direct | Sell | 1292026 | 10.41 | 11 | 115 | 367,285 | Form | |
| 4 | Schutt, Ethan | Direct | Buy | 7292025 | 5.23 | 3,824 | 20,000 | 270,574 | Form | |
| 5 | Kyle, Hume D | Direct | Buy | 7012025 | 4.10 | 10,000 | 41,000 | 91,627 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Jul 22, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electrum Group LLC | $834.3 Mil | 77.1% | 8 | Hold | 13F |
| Paulson & Co. Inc. | $244.6 Mil | 7.9% | 9 | Hold | 13F |
| Lingotto Investment Management LLP | $330.8 Mil | 6.6% | 34 | Hold | 13F |
| Kopernik Global Investors, LLC | $58.5 Mil | 4.1% | 27 | TRIM -22.7% | 13F |
| Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC | $6.2 Mil | 0.3% | 43 | TRIM -13.4% | 13F |
| Active Manager |
|---|
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electrum Group LLC | $834.3 Mil | 77.1% | 8 | Hold | 13F |
| Lingotto Investment Management LLP | $330.8 Mil | 6.6% | 34 | Hold | 13F |
| Paulson & Co. Inc. | $244.6 Mil | 7.9% | 9 | Hold | 13F |
| Kopernik Global Investors, LLC | $58.5 Mil | 4.1% | 27 | TRIM -22.7% | 13F |
| Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC | $6.2 Mil | 0.3% | 43 | TRIM -13.4% | 13F |
Industry Resources
| Materials Resources |
| Chemical & Engineering News (C&EN) |
| Mining.com |
| Plastics News |
| Gold Resources |
| Kitco News |
| World Gold Council |
| Mining Journal |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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