Tearsheet

Vulcan Materials (VMC)


Market Price (12/22/2025): $292.285 | Market Cap: $38.6 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Construction Materials

Vulcan Materials (VMC)


Market Price (12/22/2025): $292.285
Market Cap: $38.6 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Construction Materials

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -9.3%
Key risks
VMC key risks include [1] financial and reputational exposure from specific environmental liabilities, Show more.
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Renewable Energy Equipment, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Renewable Energy Equipment, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -9.3%
4 Key risks
VMC key risks include [1] financial and reputational exposure from specific environmental liabilities, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VMC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The closing stock price for Vulcan Materials (VMC) on August 30, 2025, was approximately $281.59. As of December 19, 2025, the latest closing price for VMC was $291.87. This represents a percentage change of approximately 3.65% over the specified period, not 0.4%. Given the discrepancy in the requested stock movement percentage, a precise explanation for a 0.4% change cannot be provided. However, several key events and outlooks for Vulcan Materials during the broader late 2024 and 2025 period have been identified that would influence its stock performance.

1. Strong Q4 2024 Earnings and Optimistic 2025 Outlook: Vulcan Materials reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter 2024 earnings on February 18, 2025, with adjusted earnings per share of $2.17 against a consensus estimate of $1.78. Revenue also surpassed expectations at $1.85 billion. The company provided an optimistic outlook for 2025, projecting net earnings of $1.01 billion to $1.17 billion and Adjusted EBITDA between $2.35 billion and $2.55 billion, anticipating a third consecutive year of double-digit year-over-year growth in Aggregates segment cash gross profit per ton.

2. Positive Pricing Environment and Moderating Inflation: Management highlighted a positive pricing environment and moderating inflationary pressures, which were expected to contribute to further expansion in aggregates cash gross profit per ton. The company anticipated aggregates shipments growth of 3% to 5% in 2025, with freight-adjusted price improvement of 5% to 7%.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VMC Return4%41%-15%31%14%13%111%
Peers Return29%6%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VMC Win Rate58%83%42%50%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate68%58%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VMC Max Drawdown-47%-2%-32%-8%-3%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-4%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MLM, CRH, EXP, KNF. See VMC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVMCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven363 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven204 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven291 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-72.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven257.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,681 days1,480 days

Compare to MLM, AWI, AMWD, RMIX, CRH


In The Past

Vulcan Materials's stock fell -32.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -32.8% loss requires a 48.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Vulcan Materials (VMC)

Better Bets than Vulcan Materials (VMC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VMC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.6%7.6%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.2%0.2%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
47.0%47.0%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
24.2%24.2%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.6%7.6%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.2%0.2%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
47.0%47.0%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
24.2%24.2%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Vulcan Materials

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VMCMLMCRHEXPKNFMedian
NameVulcan M.Martin M.CRH Eagle Ma.Knife Ri. 
Mkt Price291.87633.94124.42217.5573.46217.55
Mkt Cap38.638.283.67.04.238.2
Rev LTM7,8827,29636,9012,3023,0487,296
Op Inc LTM1,5851,7395,1085852651,585
FCF LTM1,0551,0072,605244-811,007
FCF 3Y Avg828764-37688570
CFO LTM1,7101,8425,4405242551,710
CFO 3Y Avg1,5391,524-5653031,045

Growth & Margins

VMCMLMCRHEXPKNFMedian
NameVulcan M.Martin M.CRH Eagle Ma.Knife Ri. 
Rev Chg LTM6.5%16.5%4.3%1.5%5.5%5.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.2%6.1%5.7%4.1%-4.9%
Rev Chg Q14.4%12.4%5.3%2.5%8.9%8.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.8%2.9%1.5%0.7%3.3%2.9%
Op Mgn LTM20.1%23.8%13.8%25.4%8.7%20.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.4%29.5%12.9%27.1%10.1%18.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%0.7%0.1%-0.5%-0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM21.7%25.2%14.7%22.8%8.4%21.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.1%22.5%-25.0%10.6%21.3%
FCF/Rev LTM13.4%13.8%7.1%10.6%-2.6%10.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.8%11.2%-16.7%3.2%11.0%

Valuation

VMCMLMCRHEXPKNFMedian
NameVulcan M.Martin M.CRH Eagle Ma.Knife Ri. 
Mkt Cap38.638.283.67.04.238.2
P/S4.95.22.33.11.43.1
P/EBIT23.321.815.911.515.115.9
P/E34.533.224.215.728.128.1
P/CFO22.520.815.413.416.316.3
Total Yield3.6%3.0%4.4%6.6%3.6%3.6%
Dividend Yield0.7%0.0%0.3%0.2%0.0%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.5%2.4%-5.1%2.6%2.5%
D/E0.10.20.20.20.30.2
Net D/E0.10.20.20.20.30.2

Returns

VMCMLMCRHEXPKNFMedian
NameVulcan M.Martin M.CRH Eagle Ma.Knife Ri. 
1M Rtn1.4%5.2%13.0%3.8%4.0%4.0%
3M Rtn-1.8%2.6%10.4%-5.8%-2.8%-1.8%
6M Rtn14.4%18.1%42.1%10.8%-5.3%14.4%
12M Rtn11.7%19.5%34.8%-12.0%-30.5%11.7%
3Y Rtn71.6%92.0%229.8%68.0%-81.8%
1M Excs Rtn-0.2%3.5%10.4%4.0%3.1%3.5%
3M Excs Rtn-4.3%0.3%6.7%-6.6%-5.1%-4.3%
6M Excs Rtn-1.2%1.7%25.9%-5.2%-22.8%-1.2%
12M Excs Rtn-5.1%4.1%16.9%-30.9%-42.9%-5.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-9.3%5.4%158.7%-12.6%--1.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Aggregates5,9195,2734,3453,9443,990
Concrete1,2491,594767384396
Asphalt1,141990778793856
Aggregates intersegment sales-527-550-344-271-321
Calcium 8788
Total7,7827,3155,5524,8574,929


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Aggregates11,75311,57510,9189,4599,334
Concrete9621,4361,680306325
Cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash9491622421,198275
Asphalt613598602573558
General corporate assets268460237148153
Calcium 4434
Total14,54614,23513,68311,68710,649


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,725,554
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202516.2%
Average Daily Volume1,032,940
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.57
Basic Shares Quantity132,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-1.7%-3.2%-0.9%
7/31/20250.7%3.2%6.9%
4/30/20256.9%8.9%8.3%
2/18/20250.9%-7.0%-12.4%
10/30/20246.4%5.2%10.5%
8/6/2024-4.4%-6.0%-8.6%
5/2/20241.8%3.2%-1.4%
2/16/20245.2%6.1%11.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141515
# Negative111010
Median Positive3.7%4.7%6.9%
Median Negative-2.1%-6.8%-3.8%
Max Positive6.9%12.4%13.7%
Max Negative-7.2%-11.4%-36.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021