Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Resource & Commodity Security. Themes include Precious Metals & Store of Value, Commodity Investment, and Sustainable & Responsible Mining.
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -8.1%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 169%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 201%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.4%
4   Key risks
NG key risks include [1] securing substantial financing and overcoming development hurdles for its capital-intensive Donlin Gold project and [2] navigating ongoing legal, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Resource & Commodity Security. Themes include Precious Metals & Store of Value, Commodity Investment, and Sustainable & Responsible Mining.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -8.1%
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 169%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 201%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.4%
6 Key risks
NG key risks include [1] securing substantial financing and overcoming development hurdles for its capital-intensive Donlin Gold project and [2] navigating ongoing legal, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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Between August 31, 2025, and December 25, 2025, Novagold Resources (NG) experienced significant movements in its stock, driven by strategic developments, project advancements, and analyst sentiment. Notably, the stock was reported to be up by 10.91% on October 1, 2025, and had risen over 155% since an April 2025 transaction. However, there are also forecasts suggesting a potential drop of -2.62% by January 21, 2026, and a general negative forecast for the next 30 days from December 23, 2025, with an average analyst price target representing a -0.92% decrease from the current price. Here are five key points explaining the stock's movement during this approximate period:

1. Acquisition of Barrick's Stake in Donlin Gold: The most significant development was the transformative $1 billion acquisition of Barrick Mining Corporation's 50% interest in the Donlin Gold project, completed on June 3, 2025. This increased Novagold's stake to 60%, with Paulson Advisers securing a 40% interest. This strategic partnership with Paulson Advisers, which brings significant gold sector expertise, was a major catalyst for the stock's strong performance, with shares rising over 155% since the announcement in April 2025.

2. Strong Donlin Gold Drill Program Results: Novagold's 2025 Donlin Gold Drill Program consistently yielded exceptional high-grade drill results, confirming robust mineralization across multiple zones and strengthening resource conversion. This underpinned the project's vast potential and supported the progression toward a Bankable Feasibility Study (BFS).

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 29.4% change in NG stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
924202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)7.689.9429.43%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.000.00�
P/S Multiple∞∞�
Shares Outstanding (Mil)350.21406.51-16.07%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
NG29.4% 
Market (SPY)4.4%27.6%
Sector (XLB)3.0%25.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 168.6% change in NG stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
625202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)3.709.94168.65%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.000.00�
P/S Multiple∞∞�
Shares Outstanding (Mil)350.21406.51-16.07%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
NG168.6% 
Market (SPY)14.0%24.0%
Sector (XLB)6.1%27.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 201.2% change in NG stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1224202412242025Change
Stock Price ($)3.309.94201.21%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.000.00�
P/S Multiple∞∞�
Shares Outstanding (Mil)334.52406.51-21.52%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
NG201.2% 
Market (SPY)15.8%26.2%
Sector (XLB)8.8%32.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 61.4% change in NG stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1225202212242025Change
Stock Price ($)6.169.9461.36%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.000.00�
P/S Multiple∞∞�
Shares Outstanding (Mil)333.34406.51-21.95%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
NG169.4% 
Market (SPY)48.9%25.7%
Sector (XLB)10.6%34.8%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NG Return8%-29%-13%-37%-11%203%13%
Peers Return85%18%-13%2%8%153%430%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NG Win Rate33%42%50%33%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%37%47%53%47%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NG Max Drawdown-34%-32%-40%-45%-39%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-18%-33%-22%-24%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SA, NAK, GLDG, NEM, GOLD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-68.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven212.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven673 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-38.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven27 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven586 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-97.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4553.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM

In The Past

Novagold Resources's stock fell -68.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2021. A -68.0% loss requires a 212.7% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Novagold Resources (NG)

NovaGold Resources Inc. explores for and develops gold mineral properties in the United States. Its principal asset is the Donlin Gold project consisting of 493 mining claims covering an area of approximately 29,008 hectares located in the Kuskokwim region of southwestern Alaska. The company was formerly known as NovaCan Mining Resources (1985) Limited and changed its name to NovaGold Resources Inc. in March 1987. NovaGold Resources Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

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Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Novagold Resources (NG):

  • It's like a future Barrick Gold or Newmont, but focused entirely on developing a single, massive gold deposit that isn't yet producing.
  • Similar to a biotech company whose value is primarily tied to successfully developing a single, blockbuster drug in late-stage clinical trials.

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  • Development of the Donlin Gold Project: Novagold Resources is focused on advancing its 50% owned Donlin Gold project, one of the world's largest undeveloped gold deposits in Alaska, towards commercial production.

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Novagold Resources (NG)

Novagold Resources (NG) is a gold exploration and development company, primarily focused on advancing the Donlin Gold project in Alaska. As such, it does not currently have "major customers" in the traditional sense of selling a finished product, as it is in the pre-production stage and is not yet producing gold.

However, if the Donlin Gold project were to go into production, Novagold (along with its joint venture partner) would primarily sell unrefined or refined gold to other companies. These potential major customers typically include:

  • Gold Refineries: These companies specialize in processing raw gold doré bars (an alloy of gold and silver) from mines into high-purity gold bars. Examples include Metalor Technologies SA, Argor-Heraeus SA, and Valcambi SA (these are typically private companies or subsidiaries of larger groups).
  • Bullion Banks and Major Financial Institutions: These institutions act as significant purchasers, traders, and holders of physical gold for investment, hedging, and other financial purposes. Examples include:
    • JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM)
    • HSBC Holdings plc (NYSE: HSBC)
    • UBS Group AG (NYSE: UBS)
  • Large Industrial Users or Manufacturers: While direct sales from a mine to these entities are less common, the refined gold output eventually finds its way to industries such as jewelry manufacturing, electronics, and dentistry, typically through refiners and dealers.

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Gregory A. Lang, President & Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Lang has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Novagold Resources Inc. since 2012. Prior to joining Novagold, he was the President and Chief Executive Officer of Barrick Gold North America. He also held various operating and project development positions at Homestake Mining Co and International Corona Corp, both of which are now part of Barrick Gold. Mr. Lang is currently a Director of Trilogy Metals Inc.

Peter Adamek, Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Adamek was appointed Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Novagold Resources Inc. in 2024. Before his role at Novagold, he served as the Chief Financial Officer for the Arizona Business Unit and Vice President of Finance at Hudbay Minerals Inc. His professional background also includes work in equity research at RBC Capital Markets Global Mining division and in the Toronto Audit practice of KPMG, focusing on the global mining and manufacturing sectors.

Dr. Thomas S. Kaplan, Chairman of the Board

Dr. Kaplan has been the Chairman of Novagold Resources Inc. since 2011. He is also the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of The Electrum Group LLC, a privately held global natural resources investment management company. Dr. Kaplan founded Leor Exploration & Production LLC in 2003, a natural gas exploration and development company, and subsequently sold its natural gas assets to EnCana Oil & Gas USA Inc. for $2.55 billion in 2007. He also founded Apex Silver Mines, which was initially backed by George Soros, though Dr. Kaplan sold his stake before the mine was fully developed. The Electrum Group, his private equity firm, made a significant investment in Novagold in 2009.

Richard Williams, Vice President & Chief Operating Officer

Mr. Williams serves as Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Novagold. He brings over 30 years of experience from Barrick Gold, where he was involved in developing and operating major mines. Notably, he served as the Project Director for the Pueblo Viejo project in the Dominican Republic.

Mélanie Hennessey, Vice President, Corporate Communications

Ms. Hennessey is Novagold's Vice President, Corporate Communications. She possesses extensive experience in investor relations, corporate communications, crisis management, and mergers and acquisitions within the precious metals mining industry. Her previous roles include senior positions at Goldcorp Inc., New Gold Inc., and Hecla Mining Company.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Novagold Resources (NG) primarily revolve around the advanced development stage of its flagship Donlin Gold project. The most significant risks include:

  1. Project Development and Capital Intensity: Novagold's primary asset, the Donlin Gold project, is a large-scale, capital-intensive undertaking that requires substantial funding for its development and construction. The company is currently pre-production and operates at a net loss, relying on equity offerings and strategic partnerships for financing. The estimated capital needed to bring the mine into production is projected to be well over $10 billion in inflation-adjusted dollars. Risks include potential cost overruns, delays in completing the Bankable Feasibility Study (BFS), and challenges in securing the necessary future financing, which could lead to significant shareholder dilution.
  2. Permitting, Regulatory, and Environmental Challenges: Despite having secured many federal and state permits, the Donlin Gold project faces ongoing legal and regulatory hurdles, as well as considerable opposition from indigenous groups and local communities. Concerns are focused on the potential adverse environmental impacts, such as chemical contamination from a proposed tailings dam, damage to wild salmon habitats, and the risks associated with transporting hazardous chemicals via river. Delays in obtaining all required regulatory approvals, adverse court rulings, or sustained opposition could significantly impact project timelines and overall feasibility.
  3. Commodity Price Volatility (Gold Price): As a company primarily focused on gold development, Novagold's future profitability and the economic viability of the Donlin Gold project are highly sensitive to fluctuations in the price of gold. A significant decline in gold prices could make the substantial capital investment required for the project less attractive or even unfeasible, potentially leading to a decrease in Novagold's share price and a re-evaluation of the project's development.

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The increasing adoption and institutional acceptance of cryptocurrencies, particularly those positioned as "digital gold," which could erode physical gold's long-standing appeal as a primary store of value and safe haven asset.

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Novagold Resources (symbol: NG) is a company primarily focused on the exploration and development of gold mining properties, with its principal asset being a 50% interest in the Donlin Gold project in Alaska, United States. Therefore, the main product for Novagold Resources is gold. The addressable market for gold is global. The global gold market was valued at approximately USD 291.68 billion in 2024. This market is projected to reach around USD 400 billion by the end of 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.51% during the forecast period of 2025-2030. Another estimate indicates the global gold market is projected to reach USD 457.91 billion by 2032.

Addressable Market for Novagold Resources' Main Product (Gold)

  • Main Product: Gold
  • Market Region: Global
  • Market Size: The global gold market was valued at approximately USD 291.68 billion in 2024.
  • Projected Market Size: The global gold market is projected to reach around USD 400 billion by the end of 2030 and USD 457.91 billion by 2032.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Novagold Resources (NG) is a development-stage company with no current revenue, focused primarily on its flagship Donlin Gold project in Alaska. Therefore, expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years are intrinsically linked to the successful advancement and eventual production of this project.

Here are 4 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Novagold Resources:

  1. Advancement and Completion of the Donlin Gold Bankable Feasibility Study (BFS): A critical near-term driver is the progression and completion of a fully updated Bankable Feasibility Study (BFS) for the Donlin Gold project. Requests for Proposals (RFPs) have been issued to leading engineering firms, with work anticipated to commence before the end of 2025. This study, expected to take approximately two years to complete by the end of 2027 and cost around $80 million, is crucial for de-risking the project, refining capital and operating costs, and securing future financing for construction.

  2. Increased Ownership Stake in the Donlin Gold Project: Novagold successfully acquired an additional 10% interest in the Donlin Gold project on June 3, 2025, raising its total ownership stake to 60%. This significant increase in ownership means that once the mine is in production, Novagold will be entitled to a larger share of the gold output and associated revenues, providing a foundational boost to future financial performance.

  3. Sustained Favorable Gold Market Conditions: As a gold development company, Novagold's future revenue potential is heavily reliant on prevailing gold market conditions. Strong and sustained high gold prices, as highlighted in recent company presentations and analyst commentary, significantly enhance the economic viability and attractiveness of the Donlin Gold project, making it more conducive for investment and development.

  4. Continued Permitting Progress and Strong Stakeholder Relationships: The ongoing advancement of the Donlin Gold project's permitting process, including state and federal permits, coupled with strong relationships with local communities and Alaska Native corporations, is fundamental to the project's ability to move towards construction and ultimately production. Maintaining its "social license" through continuous engagement is vital for the long-term, sustainable development necessary to generate future revenue.

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Share Issuance

  • In May 2025, Novagold closed an upsized public offering and concurrent private placement, generating approximately $234.1 million in net proceeds.
  • In June 2025, the underwriters fully exercised their option, raising an additional $25.6 million in net proceeds.
  • The total proceeds from these offerings, approximately $260 million, were primarily used to fund the Donlin Gold acquisition and for general corporate purposes.

Outbound Investments

  • In June 2025, Novagold acquired an additional 10% ownership interest in Donlin Gold LLC from Barrick Gold Corporation for $200 million, increasing its stake in the project to 60%.

Capital Expenditures

  • For fiscal year 2025, Novagold's revised share of the Donlin Gold project funding is $24 million, part of Donlin Gold's overall $43 million budget, with a focus on advancing the project, including a drill program and an updated Feasibility Study.
  • In fiscal year 2024, net annual cash expenditures totaled $24.5 million, which included $12.4 million for Novagold's share of the Donlin Gold project.
  • In fiscal year 2023, Novagold's share of funding for the Donlin Gold project was $17.752 million, primarily directed towards project planning, fieldwork, permitting, environmental, and community relations activities.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to NG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.1%7.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.2%-1.2%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
48.2%48.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
27.4%27.4%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Novagold Resources

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NGSANAKGLDGNEMGOLDMedian
NameNovagold.Seabridg.Northern.GoldMini.Newmont Gold.com  
Mkt Price9.9430.962.241.36104.7334.7920.45
Mkt Cap4.03.21.20.3114.90.92.2
Rev LTM000021,50311,9440
Op Inc LTM-23-22-22-249,35942-22
FCF LTM-10-126-20-216,122463-15
FCF 3Y Avg-10-182-21-222,63620-16
CFO LTM-10-10-20-219,224475-10
CFO 3Y Avg-10-15-21-215,61633-13

Growth & Margins

NGSANAKGLDGNEMGOLDMedian
NameNovagold.Seabridg.Northern.GoldMini.Newmont Gold.com  
Rev Chg LTM----26.6%20.3%23.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg----23.9%14.5%19.2%
Rev Chg Q----20.0%35.6%27.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM----4.5%8.8%6.6%
Op Mgn LTM----43.5%0.4%21.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg----23.9%0.9%12.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM----4.5%-0.1%2.2%
CFO/Rev LTM----42.9%4.0%23.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg----32.6%0.1%16.3%
FCF/Rev LTM----28.5%3.9%16.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg----13.8%-0.1%6.9%

Valuation

NGSANAKGLDGNEMGOLDMedian
NameNovagold.Seabridg.Northern.GoldMini.Newmont Gold.com  
Mkt Cap4.03.21.20.3114.90.92.2
P/S----5.30.12.7
P/EBIT-53.7-71.7-15.1-10.411.014.4-12.7
P/E-44.9-63.2-14.9-17.816.0116.2-16.4
P/CFO-403.1-312.2-60.2-12.812.51.8-36.5
Total Yield-2.2%-1.6%-6.7%-5.6%7.2%2.0%-1.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.0%1.1%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.6%-15.1%-9.2%-12.5%3.6%5.2%-4.9%
D/E0.00.20.00.00.00.80.0
Net D/E0.00.1-0.0-0.0-0.00.70.0

Returns

NGSANAKGLDGNEMGOLDMedian
NameNovagold.Seabridg.Northern.GoldMini.Newmont Gold.com  
1M Rtn14.3%23.7%43.6%-2.2%21.4%33.6%22.6%
3M Rtn29.4%46.0%105.5%15.3%25.8%31.3%30.4%
6M Rtn168.6%116.8%44.5%85.3%81.5%64.2%83.4%
12M Rtn201.2%161.3%335.0%73.0%178.0%38.5%169.6%
3Y Rtn61.4%152.7%903.1%19.3%137.4%12.4%99.4%
1M Excs Rtn10.9%20.4%40.2%-5.5%18.0%30.2%19.2%
3M Excs Rtn20.2%38.6%106.4%13.3%20.6%31.1%25.8%
6M Excs Rtn126.6%98.6%32.6%69.7%65.2%48.6%67.4%
12M Excs Rtn179.8%144.2%315.0%45.0%161.3%22.5%152.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-8.1%97.6%822.5%-69.2%67.5%-68.0%29.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment133159199224246
Total133159199224246


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$9.94 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.0 
First Trading Date12/04/2003 
Distance from 52W High-5.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$9.12$6.11
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA9.0%62.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility65.2%75.3%
Downside Capture153.3040.22
Upside Capture244.10144.34
Correlation (SPY)28.3%26.4%
NG Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.751.601.751.001.020.96
Up Beta2.651.771.830.521.241.02
Down Beta2.86-0.260.040.610.770.87
Up Capture497%303%416%363%194%88%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days10183271130379
Down Capture177%191%175%1%63%98%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days9212851109347

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of NG With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 NGSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return202.1%10.6%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.4%
Annualized Volatility74.9%20.0%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio1.770.390.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 32.9%26.1%35.1%22.2%25.9%25.1%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of NG With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 NGSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-1.1%7.3%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.6%
Annualized Volatility55.3%18.9%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.190.290.700.970.510.170.59
Correlation With Other Assets 38.4%28.3%50.9%24.2%31.1%18.4%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of NG With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 NGSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return8.3%9.8%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.2%
Annualized Volatility54.0%20.8%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.360.430.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 24.6%17.7%55.3%20.0%18.9%13.4%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,594,216
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-8.9%
Average Daily Volume2,655,561
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.99
Basic Shares Quantity406,508,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/1/202515.0%14.4%-8.0%
6/25/2025-5.1%6.4%37.4%
1/23/2025-2.2%-4.3%-5.6%
10/2/2024-13.3%-19.5%-17.6%
6/27/2024-4.7%-0.8%30.3%
4/3/2024-8.2%-5.1%-9.4%
1/24/2024-6.3%-19.2%-24.3%
10/3/2023-2.3%4.8%-1.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive699
# Negative141111
Median Positive5.5%6.6%10.1%
Median Negative-5.1%-5.1%-9.4%
Max Positive15.0%21.2%48.4%
Max Negative-13.3%-19.5%-24.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251001202510-Q 8/31/2025
5312025625202510-Q 5/31/2025
2282025401202510-Q 2/28/2025
11302024123202510-K 11/30/2024
83120241002202410-Q 8/31/2024
5312024626202410-Q 5/31/2024
2292024403202410-Q 2/29/2024
11302023124202410-K 11/30/2023
83120231003202310-Q 8/31/2023
5312023627202310-Q 5/31/2023
2282023404202310-Q 2/28/2023
11302022125202310-K 11/30/2022
83120221004202210-Q 8/31/2022
5312022629202210-Q 5/31/2022
2282022405202210-Q 2/28/2022
11302021126202210-K 11/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Schutt Ethan7292025Buy5.233,82420,000270,574Form
1Electrum Strategic Resources L.P. 5092025Buy3.7513,333,33450,000,002348,385,549Form