Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Renewable Energy Transition, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Renewable Energy Transition, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NEM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the 21.2% stock movement for Newmont (NEM) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance: Newmont reported exceptional third-quarter 2025 results, with revenue increasing 20% year-over-year, adjusted earnings doubling, and a record $1.6 billion in free cash flow, marking its fourth consecutive quarter with over $1 billion in free cash flow. This performance significantly surpassed analyst expectations for EPS, revenue, and EBITDA.

2. Surging Gold Prices: The significant rally in gold prices, which climbed to record highs above $4,000 per ounce by early October 2025 and averaged $3,539 per ounce in Q3 (up 41% year-over-year), substantially boosted Newmont's profitability as the world's largest gold producer.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NEM Return40%7%-21%-9%-8%147%148%
Peers Return32%-7%-11%8%18%142%236%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NEM Win Rate50%42%50%58%58%90% 
Peers Win Rate45%48%42%58%52%82% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NEM Max Drawdown-9%-9%-37%-26%-28%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-21%-32%-19%-19%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AEM, FNV, KGC, NEM, B. See NEM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNEMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven151.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven692 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-24.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven27 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven469 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-61.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven161.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven561 days1480 days

Compare to AEM, FNV, KGC, NEM, B


In The Past

Newmont's stock fell -60.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/18/2022. A -60.3% loss requires a 151.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Newmont (NEM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NEM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
NEM_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025NEMNewmontQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
8.8%8.8%-5.7%
NEM_1312024_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper01312024NEMNewmontMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
44.2%28.0%-13.5%
NEM_2282023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282023NEMNewmontMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.6%-28.7%-28.8%
NEM_8312022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE08312022NEMNewmontDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.3%-0.4%-7.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
NEM_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025NEMNewmontQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
8.8%8.8%-5.7%
NEM_1312024_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper01312024NEMNewmontMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
44.2%28.0%-13.5%
NEM_2282023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282023NEMNewmontMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.6%-28.7%-28.8%
NEM_8312022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE08312022NEMNewmontDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.3%-0.4%-7.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Newmont

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NEMAEMFNVKGCBMedian
NameNewmont Agnico E.Franco-N.Kinross .Barrick . 
Mkt Price------
Mkt Cap------
Rev LTM------
Op Inc LTM------
FCF LTM------
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CFO 3Y Avg------

Growth & Margins

NEMAEMFNVKGCBMedian
NameNewmont Agnico E.Franco-N.Kinross .Barrick . 
Rev Chg LTM------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg------
Rev Chg Q------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM------
Op Mgn LTM------
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QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM------
CFO/Rev LTM------
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg------
FCF/Rev LTM------
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Valuation

NEMAEMFNVKGCBMedian
NameNewmont Agnico E.Franco-N.Kinross .Barrick . 
Mkt Cap------
P/S------
P/EBIT------
P/E------
P/CFO------
Total Yield------
Dividend Yield------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg------
D/E------
Net D/E------

Returns

NEMAEMFNVKGCBMedian
NameNewmont Agnico E.Franco-N.Kinross .Barrick . 
1M Rtn------
3M Rtn------
6M Rtn------
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Nevada Gold Mines (NGM)2,2712,098   
Boddington1,8141,763   
Ahafo1,1301,023   
Peñasquito9012,189   
Tanami867878   
Merian625723   
Akyem574749   
Yanacocha537451   
Cerro Negro510508   
Porcupine503504   
Éléonore453391   
Cadia422    
Musselwhite351305   
Cripple Creek & Victor Gold Mining Company LLC (CC&V)332333   
Lihir266    
Telfer152    
Brucejack72    
Red Chris32    
Corporate and Other00   
Gold Sales from Doré Production  8,4908,5347,975
Sales from Concentrate and Other Production  3,7322,9631,765
Total11,81211,91512,22211,4979,740


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Corporate and Other9,8448,369   
Nevada Gold Mines (NGM)7,4017,419   
Cadia6,351    
Peñasquito4,7386,430   
Brucejack4,006    
Lihir3,909    
Ahafo2,8232,619   
Boddington2,3762,264   
Red Chris2,178    
Yanacocha2,1172,225   
Tanami1,8961,585   
Cerro Negro1,6461,659   
Porcupine1,4731,401   
Akyem1,069998   
Musselwhite1,0181,294   
Merian927923   
Éléonore7771,010   
Telfer574    
Cripple Creek & Victor Gold Mining Company LLC (CC&V)383286   
Total55,50638,482   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21,002,213
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.1%
Average Daily Volume9,411,109
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.23
Basic Shares Quantity1,097,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024429202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023720202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022725202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022422202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Brook Bruce R 11052025Sell80.962,080168,3972,816,517Form
1Palmer Thomas RonaldCEO11052025Sell81.345,000406,70022,768,937Form