Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Resource Security & Value Preservation. Themes include Precious Metals Mining, Strategic Mineral Resources, and Inflation Hedge Assets.
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.7%, Dist 3Y High is -4.7%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -22 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 124%
3   Key risks
SA key risks include [1] its dependence on securing a partner or financing for its capital-intensive projects before exhausting its funds, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Resource Security & Value Preservation. Themes include Precious Metals Mining, Strategic Mineral Resources, and Inflation Hedge Assets.
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.7%, Dist 3Y High is -4.7%
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -22 Mil
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 124%
5 Key risks
SA key risks include [1] its dependence on securing a partner or financing for its capital-intensive projects before exhausting its funds, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Significant Exploration Success and Expansion at Iskut's Snip North Deposit: Seabridge Gold reported further 2025 drilling results from the Snip North Deposit at its Iskut project, continuing to define a large and robust copper-gold porphyry system. Mineralization was defined over a strike length of 2,100 meters, a 600-meter dip projection, and up to 700 meters in width, with high-grade gold and copper intervals. The company aims for a maiden resource estimate in early 2026, highlighting the substantial potential of this asset.

2. Strategic Spin-Out of the Courageous Lake Gold Project: On December 16, 2025, Seabridge Gold announced its intention to spin out its wholly-owned Courageous Lake Gold Project into a new public company named Valor Gold. This move is designed to unlock value from Courageous Lake, which management noted had been "overshadowed for too long" by the larger KSM project. Shares of Valor Gold are planned to be distributed to existing Seabridge shareholders and listed on a major stock exchange, offering more optionality around this significant gold asset, which holds measured and indicated resources of 11.0 million ounces of gold.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SA Return52%-22%-24%-4%-6%150%107%
Peers Return29%-23%-38%6%54%263%263%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SA Win Rate58%42%42%50%50%75% 
Peers Win Rate46%31%35%44%46%69% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SA Max Drawdown-54%-29%-38%-22%-22%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-28%-48%-25%-28%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NG, NAK, TMQ, THM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-56.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven130.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven726 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven123.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven47 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-27.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven303 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven450.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM


In The Past

Seabridge Gold's stock fell -56.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/6/2021. A -56.6% loss requires a 130.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Seabridge Gold (SA)

Better Bets than Seabridge Gold (SA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Seabridge Gold

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SANGNAKTMQTHMMedian
NameSeabridg.Novagold.Northern.Trilogy .Internat. 
Mkt Price29.219.692.084.421.884.42
Mkt Cap2.53.90.70.70.40.7
Rev LTM000000
Op Inc LTM-22-23-22-8-4-22
FCF LTM-126-10-20-3-3-10
FCF 3Y Avg-182-10-21-3-3-10
CFO LTM-10-10-20-3-3-10
CFO 3Y Avg-15-10-21-3-3-10

Growth & Margins

SANGNAKTMQTHMMedian
NameSeabridg.Novagold.Northern.Trilogy .Internat. 
Rev Chg LTM------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg------
Rev Chg Q------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM------
Op Mgn LTM------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM------
CFO/Rev LTM------
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg------
FCF/Rev LTM------
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg------

Valuation

SANGNAKTMQTHMMedian
NameSeabridg.Novagold.Northern.Trilogy .Internat. 
Mkt Cap2.53.90.70.70.40.7
P/S------
P/EBIT--47.5--45.4-80.2-47.5
P/E-49.3-39.8-8.0-37.6-79.6-39.8
P/CFO-243.5-356.8-32.2-129.5-100.6-129.5
Total Yield-2.0%-2.5%-12.5%-2.7%-1.3%-2.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--0.6%--2.7%-2.7%-2.7%
D/E-0.0-0.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.0--0.1-0.0-0.0

Returns

SANGNAKTMQTHMMedian
NameSeabridg.Novagold.Northern.Trilogy .Internat. 
1M Rtn22.8%12.4%22.4%25.6%13.3%22.4%
3M Rtn50.3%35.7%150.4%109.5%19.0%50.3%
6M Rtn97.4%120.7%60.0%227.4%108.4%108.4%
12M Rtn124.3%183.3%299.1%287.7%290.0%287.7%
3Y Rtn160.1%69.1%813.5%689.3%363.6%363.6%
1M Excs Rtn21.8%11.4%21.4%24.6%12.3%21.4%
3M Excs Rtn48.8%34.6%150.6%106.4%24.0%48.8%
6M Excs Rtn83.7%107.1%46.3%213.7%94.7%94.7%
12M Excs Rtn100.8%159.1%288.9%278.8%255.4%255.4%
3Y Excs Rtn71.2%-10.3%696.7%589.2%223.2%223.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,3511,096748648449
Total1,3511,096748648449


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,964,161
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.6%
Average Daily Volume986,749
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.04
Basic Shares Quantity102,328,754
Short % of Basic Shares5.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025111220256-K 9/30/2025
331202551420256-K 3/31/2025
12312024328202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024111420246-K 9/30/2024
630202481420246-K 6/30/2024
331202451320246-K 3/31/2024
12312023329202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023111420236-K 9/30/2023
630202381520236-K 6/30/2023
331202351520236-K 3/31/2023
12312022331202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022111620226-K 9/30/2022
630202281620226-K 6/30/2022
331202251720226-K 3/31/2022
12312021325202240-F 12/31/2021
9302021111020216-K 9/30/2021