Seabridge Gold (SA)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $29.37 | Market Cap: $3.0 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold
Seabridge Gold (SA)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $29.37Market Cap: $3.0 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Gold
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Resource Security & Value Preservation. Themes include Precious Metals Mining, Strategic Mineral Resources, and Inflation Hedge Assets. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.7%, Dist 3Y High is -4.7% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -22 Mil | ||
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 124% | ||
| Key risksSA key risks include [1] its dependence on securing a partner or financing for its capital-intensive projects before exhausting its funds, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Resource Security & Value Preservation. Themes include Precious Metals Mining, Strategic Mineral Resources, and Inflation Hedge Assets. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.7%, Dist 3Y High is -4.7% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -22 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 124% |
| Key risksSA key risks include [1] its dependence on securing a partner or financing for its capital-intensive projects before exhausting its funds, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Significant Exploration Success and Expansion at Iskut's Snip North Deposit: Seabridge Gold reported further 2025 drilling results from the Snip North Deposit at its Iskut project, continuing to define a large and robust copper-gold porphyry system. Mineralization was defined over a strike length of 2,100 meters, a 600-meter dip projection, and up to 700 meters in width, with high-grade gold and copper intervals. The company aims for a maiden resource estimate in early 2026, highlighting the substantial potential of this asset.
2. Strategic Spin-Out of the Courageous Lake Gold Project: On December 16, 2025, Seabridge Gold announced its intention to spin out its wholly-owned Courageous Lake Gold Project into a new public company named Valor Gold. This move is designed to unlock value from Courageous Lake, which management noted had been "overshadowed for too long" by the larger KSM project. Shares of Valor Gold are planned to be distributed to existing Seabridge shareholders and listed on a major stock exchange, offering more optionality around this significant gold asset, which holds measured and indicated resources of 11.0 million ounces of gold.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SA Return | 52% | -22% | -24% | -4% | -6% | 150% | 107% |
| Peers Return | 29% | -23% | -38% | 6% | 54% | 263% | 263% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 110% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SA Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 46% | 31% | 35% | 44% | 46% | 69% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SA Max Drawdown | -54% | -29% | -38% | -22% | -22% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -28% | -48% | -25% | -28% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NG, NAK, TMQ, THM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 130.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 726 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 123.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 47 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -27.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 303 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -81.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 450.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM
In The Past
Seabridge Gold's stock fell -56.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/6/2021. A -56.6% loss requires a 130.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Seabridge Gold
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 4.42 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -22 |
| FCF LTM | -10 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -10 |
| CFO LTM | -10 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -10 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | - |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Rev Chg Q | - |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
| FCF/Rev LTM | - |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| P/S | - |
| P/EBIT | -47.5 |
| P/E | -39.8 |
| P/CFO | -129.5 |
| Total Yield | -2.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.7% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 22.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 50.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 108.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 287.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 363.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 21.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 48.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 94.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 255.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 223.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11122025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5142025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3282025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5132024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3292024 | 40-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 40-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11162022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8162022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5172022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3252022 | 40-F 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11102021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |