Tearsheet

Silgan (SLGN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $41.05 | Market Cap: $4.4 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers

Silgan (SLGN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $41.05
Market Cap: $4.4 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -86%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 99%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.4%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands.
  Key risks
SLGN key risks include [1] its significant debt load from strategic acquisitions and [2] challenges in generating organic growth.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -86%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 99%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.4%
6 Key risks
SLGN key risks include [1] its significant debt load from strategic acquisitions and [2] challenges in generating organic growth.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SLGN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -11.7% stock movement for Silgan (SLGN) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

**1. Lowered Full-Year 2025 Earnings Guidance After Q3 Results:** Silgan announced its third quarter 2025 results on October 29, 2025, reporting net sales of $2.01 billion and adjusted net income per diluted share of $1.22, which slightly exceeded analyst estimates. However, the company revised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance for 2025 downwards from a range of $3.85-$4.05 to $3.66-$3.76, signaling a more cautious outlook. This revised guidance, representing only a 3% increase at the midpoint from 2024, was a primary driver for a significant stock selloff, with the stock down approximately 10.6% in pre-market trading on the day of the announcement.

**2. Volume Shortfalls and Weak North American Consumer Demand:** A major factor contributing to the lowered guidance was a $25 million headwind stemming from volume shortfalls in the dispensing and custom container businesses. This decline was attributed to proactive inventory reductions by customers and weaker-than-anticipated North American consumer demand for personal and home care products. Additionally, volumes for food and beverage closures decreased by 5%, mainly due to a double-digit decline in North American hot fill sports drink products.

**3. Increased Interest and Tax Expenses Impacting Earnings:** The revised full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance was negatively impacted by higher income tax expense, approximately $0.03 per diluted share, and increased interest expense, approximately $0.04 per diluted share. Silgan increased its estimate for interest and other debt expense in 2025 from $185 million to $190 million, primarily due to a recent unsecured euro notes issuance. The company also adjusted its expected tax rate for 2025 from 24% to 24.5% due to changes in the geographic mix of profit, linked to reduced volume expectations in North America.

**4. Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions:** Following the Q3 2025 earnings report and the cautious outlook, several research firms adjusted their ratings and price targets for Silgan. For example, on October 30, 2025, Wells Fargo & Company lowered its price objective from $55.00 to $52.00, and Zacks Research downgraded Silgan from a "hold" rating to a "strong sell." On October 31, 2025, Citigroup lowered its price target from $60 to $49, while Raymond James downgraded the stock from "Strong Buy" to "Buy" and reduced its target price from $60 to $53. These negative revisions from analysts likely contributed to the downward pressure on the stock price.

**5. Elevated Debt Levels as a Risk Factor:** An article on October 31, 2025, highlighted concerns regarding Silgan's elevated debt levels as a significant risk. While these debt levels supported recent acquisitions and EPS growth, they were noted as potentially restricting flexibility for future research and development or strategic pivots if industry conditions were to worsen. This ongoing concern about debt could have contributed to investor caution and played a role in the stock's performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SLGN Return21%17%23%-11%17%-21%43%
Peers Return26%9%-12%5%3%2%33%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SLGN Win Rate33%67%50%50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate67%57%42%50%55%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SLGN Max Drawdown-18%-3%-9%-24%-8%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-11%-26%-12%-10%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CCK, BALL, ATR, AMCR, GEF. See SLGN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSLGNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-29.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven393 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-22.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven24 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven421 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-33.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven498 days1,480 days

Compare to GEF, OI, MYE, BALL, ATR


In The Past

Silgan's stock fell -29.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/2/2023. A -29.6% loss requires a 42.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Silgan (SLGN)

Better Bets than Silgan (SLGN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SLGN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.9%5.9%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.6%0.6%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
45.1%45.1%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.6%6.6%-2.5%
SLGN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025SLGNSilganDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%-2.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.9%5.9%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.6%0.6%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
45.1%45.1%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.6%6.6%-2.5%
SLGN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025SLGNSilganDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%-2.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Silgan

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SLGNCCKBALLATRAMCRGEFMedian
NameSilgan Crown Ball AptarGro.Amcor Greif  
Mkt Price41.04104.3052.07123.638.3769.3460.70
Mkt Cap4.412.014.18.119.44.010.1
Rev LTM6,42612,14112,6943,66317,4014,8939,283
Op Inc LTM6401,6531,3625241,5344071,001
FCF LTM651,008140306853335321
FCF 3Y Avg243916111297805336317
CFO LTM3721,3385515651,526490558
CFO 3Y Avg5021,4528515921,366532722

Growth & Margins

SLGNCCKBALLATRAMCRGEFMedian
NameSilgan Crown Ball AptarGro.Amcor Greif  
Rev Chg LTM11.1%3.3%7.4%2.5%28.4%22.1%9.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.4%-2.1%-4.4%3.1%6.5%-6.6%-0.9%
Rev Chg Q15.1%4.2%9.6%5.7%71.3%-2.6%7.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.3%1.1%2.4%1.4%15.9%-0.6%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM10.0%13.6%10.7%14.3%8.8%8.3%10.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.1%12.2%9.8%13.5%9.4%8.6%9.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.0%-0.1%-0.3%0.0%0.2%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM5.8%11.0%4.3%15.4%8.8%10.0%9.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.4%12.1%7.6%16.6%9.0%11.0%10.0%
FCF/Rev LTM1.0%8.3%1.1%8.4%4.9%6.8%5.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.1%7.6%1.0%8.3%5.3%6.8%6.1%

Valuation

SLGNCCKBALLATRAMCRGEFMedian
NameSilgan Crown Ball AptarGro.Amcor Greif  
Mkt Cap4.412.014.18.119.44.010.1
P/S0.70.91.12.41.10.81.0
P/EBIT7.86.111.415.615.812.411.9
P/E14.511.820.120.932.521.220.5
P/CFO12.38.324.815.612.48.212.4
Total Yield8.7%9.6%6.6%6.1%8.1%7.8%8.0%
Dividend Yield1.9%1.1%1.6%1.4%5.1%3.1%1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.5%8.2%0.9%3.2%5.1%9.1%4.8%
D/E1.10.60.50.10.80.70.7
Net D/E1.00.50.50.10.80.70.6

Returns

SLGNCCKBALLATRAMCRGEFMedian
NameSilgan Crown Ball AptarGro.Amcor Greif  
1M Rtn9.8%9.8%10.0%3.6%0.6%15.1%9.8%
3M Rtn-4.5%10.1%6.6%-7.8%2.6%15.5%4.6%
6M Rtn-22.9%2.3%-6.0%-16.9%-4.6%11.0%-5.3%
12M Rtn-22.0%23.5%-8.4%-23.3%-8.9%10.7%-8.7%
3Y Rtn-17.7%34.0%5.9%19.5%-19.0%14.2%10.0%
1M Excs Rtn9.1%9.0%9.3%2.9%-0.2%14.4%9.1%
3M Excs Rtn-5.8%8.4%4.9%-9.1%0.9%13.4%2.9%
6M Excs Rtn-35.2%-10.1%-18.4%-29.3%-17.0%-1.4%-17.7%
12M Excs Rtn-34.9%8.9%-20.3%-37.5%-21.6%-3.2%-20.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-86.4%-32.4%-67.1%-49.7%-90.0%-56.5%-61.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Metal Containers3,1413,3722,8082,5582,473
Dispensing and Specialty Closures2,2212,3172,1601,7121,406
Custom Containers626723709652611
Corporate00   
Total5,9886,4115,6774,9224,490


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Dispensing and Specialty Closures341360262224 
Metal Containers282282254247 
Custom Containers63879288 
Costs attributed to announced acquisitions0    
Equity in earnings of affiliates, net of tax0    
European Commission settlement0    
Purchase accounting write-up of inventory0    
Other pension (income) for United states (U.S.) pension plans-447   
Corporate-26-22-32-46 
Acquired intangible asset amortization expense-53-53   
Rationalization charges -25   
Total604676576512 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Dispensing and Specialty Closures4,4384,3924,4293,6182,263
Metal Containers2,1781,9652,3201,9741,854
Custom Containers899898889814723
Other assets5047987056
Corporate4644343535
Total7,6117,3467,7716,5124,931


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,245,274
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520257.8%
Average Daily Volume1,248,071
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.41
Basic Shares Quantity106,620,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-1.0%1.8%2.3%
7/30/2025-1.6%-1.9%-1.1%
4/30/20252.1%4.2%6.6%
1/29/20250.7%-1.4%-2.6%
10/30/2024-1.3%3.0%9.8%
7/31/20242.4%-5.3%0.7%
5/2/20242.0%3.1%3.6%
1/31/20240.9%-4.1%-4.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171515
# Negative799
Median Positive1.5%3.1%4.5%
Median Negative-1.0%-1.6%-2.6%
Max Positive5.2%6.1%13.8%
Max Negative-1.9%-5.3%-7.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Ulmer Kimberly IreneSVP & Chief Accounting Officer11102025Buy38.111,00038,1104,013,783Form
1Greenlee Adam JPresident and CEO11032025Buy38.197,000267,29812,531,074Form