Tearsheet

Northern Dynasty Minerals (NAK)


Market Price (6/27/2026): $1.915 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Northern Dynasty Minerals (NAK)


Market Price (6/27/2026): $1.915
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more.

Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.4%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 114%

Key risks
NAK key risks include [1] overcoming intense political opposition and the EPA's regulatory veto of its sole Pebble Project, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
1 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil
3 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.4%
4 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 114%
5 Key risks
NAK key risks include [1] overcoming intense political opposition and the EPA's regulatory veto of its sole Pebble Project, Show more.

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 6/24/2026

Northern Dynasty Minerals (NAK) stock has gained about 20% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Renewed Investor Optimism from Positive Legal Developments for the Pebble Project. Northern Dynasty Minerals experienced a significant stock rebound driven by crucial legal actions in its ongoing dispute with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) concerning the Pebble Project. Following an initial decline in mid-February 2026 when the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) formally defended the EPA's 2023 veto, the company and co-plaintiffs filed response briefs by April 14, 2026, directly challenging the DOJ's position. This was further bolstered when the Alaska Federal District Court quickly scheduled oral arguments for June 25, 2026, accelerating the judicial timeline and reigniting investor confidence in a potential resolution to the litigation.

2. Fiscal Q1 2026 Net Income Turnaround. Northern Dynasty Minerals reported a significant financial turnaround in its fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026. The company posted a net income of CA$21.13 million, marking a substantial improvement compared to a net loss of CA$40.37 million in the same period of the prior fiscal year. This positive earnings swing drew fresh attention to the stock and contributed to its upward momentum.

Show more
Updated on 6/24/2026

Northern Dynasty Minerals (NAK) stock has gained about 20% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Renewed Investor Optimism from Positive Legal Developments for the Pebble Project. Northern Dynasty Minerals experienced a significant stock rebound driven by crucial legal actions in its ongoing dispute with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) concerning the Pebble Project. Following an initial decline in mid-February 2026 when the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) formally defended the EPA's 2023 veto, the company and co-plaintiffs filed response briefs by April 14, 2026, directly challenging the DOJ's position. This was further bolstered when the Alaska Federal District Court quickly scheduled oral arguments for June 25, 2026, accelerating the judicial timeline and reigniting investor confidence in a potential resolution to the litigation.

2. Fiscal Q1 2026 Net Income Turnaround. Northern Dynasty Minerals reported a significant financial turnaround in its fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026. The company posted a net income of CA$21.13 million, marking a substantial improvement compared to a net loss of CA$40.37 million in the same period of the prior fiscal year. This positive earnings swing drew fresh attention to the stock and contributed to its upward momentum.

3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets. As of June 23, 2026, NAK has a "Strong Buy" consensus rating from analysts. The average analyst price target for Northern Dynasty Minerals is $2.50, implying a potential upside of approximately 28.87% from its June 24, 2026, trading price of $1.94.

4. Enduring Value of the Pebble Project's Critical Mineral Deposits. Investor interest was also driven by the long-term value of the Pebble Project's world-class critical mineral deposits, including copper, gold, molybdenum, and silver. Broader macroeconomic factors, such as U.S. strategic supply priorities and increasing AI-driven demand for copper and other metals, elevated investor appetite for domestic critical mineral assets like the Pebble Project.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 21.3% change in NAK stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820266262026Change
Stock Price ($)1.551.8821.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)550560-1.8%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 6/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NAK21.3% 
Market (SPY)6.6%62.7%
Sector (XLB)-3.0%57.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -2.1% change in NAK stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -1.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)113020256262026Change
Stock Price ($)1.921.88-2.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)550560-1.8%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 6/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NAK-2.1% 
Market (SPY)7.3%35.0%
Sector (XLB)16.5%37.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 77.4% change in NAK stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)53120256262026Change
Stock Price ($)1.061.8877.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)538560-3.9%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2025 to 6/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NAK77.4% 
Market (SPY)25.1%27.2%
Sector (XLB)21.9%23.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 747.2% change in NAK stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)53120236262026Change
Stock Price ($)0.221.88747.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)530560-5.4%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2023 to 6/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NAK747.2% 
Market (SPY)81.3%23.3%
Sector (XLB)45.9%21.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NAK Return1%-32%46%80%239%-8%462%
Peers Return289%-26%-16%74%178%-20%839%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%7%96%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NAK Win Rate25%33%58%50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate40%38%47%52%70%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NAK Max Drawdown-67%-55%-26%-40%-68%-55% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-58%-46%-38%-38%-48% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NG, SA, WRN, TMQ, PPTA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/26/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNAKS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-16.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven8 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-32.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven351 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-44.4%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven80.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven46 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-17.0%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.5%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven7 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-22.5%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.0%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven19 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-32.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.1%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven22 days62 days

Compare to NG, SA, WRN, TMQ, PPTA

In The Past

Northern Dynasty Minerals's stock fell -16.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 19.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventNAKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-32.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven351 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-44.4%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven80.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven46 days140 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-22.5%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.0%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven19 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-32.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.1%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven22 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-69.0%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven222.8%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven197 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-69.5%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven228.0%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven971 days1 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-39.0%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.0%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven161 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-86.9%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven666.1%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven786 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-24.8%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.0%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven50 days47 days

Compare to NG, SA, WRN, TMQ, PPTA

In The Past

Northern Dynasty Minerals's stock fell -16.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 19.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Northern Dynasty Minerals (NAK)

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NAK) is a mineral exploration company singularly focused on advancing its principal asset, the Pebble Copper-Gold-Molybdenum-Silver-Rhenium project. This significant mineral property is located in southwest Alaska, encompassing a vast area of approximately 274 square miles. The company's core business involves the exploration and development of this substantial deposit, aiming to transition it from a mineral claim into a future large-scale mining operation.

The main "products" of the Pebble project, once operational, would be a diverse suite of metals crucial for various industries. These include copper, an essential industrial metal used in construction and electronics; gold and silver, widely recognized as precious metals for investment and jewelry; and molybdenum and rhenium, strategic metals with specialized applications in high-tech manufacturing. As an exploration and development company, Northern Dynasty Minerals is ultimately targeting global industrial markets and investment sectors that demand these raw materials, either through direct sales following mine development or via partnerships with larger mining enterprises.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Northern Dynasty Minerals (NAK):

  1. It's like a Freeport-McMoRan (major copper miner) trying to develop its next giant mine, but it's been unable to get environmental and regulatory approval for years.

  2. Imagine a Barrick Gold (major gold miner) that owns a potentially massive new gold and copper deposit, but its development has been entirely stalled by environmental and permitting issues.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Copper: A base metal intended for future extraction from the Pebble Project.
  • Gold: A precious metal intended for future extraction from the Pebble Project.
  • Molybdenum: A refractory metal intended for future extraction from the Pebble Project.
  • Silver: A precious metal intended for future extraction from the Pebble Project.
  • Rhenium: A rare metal intended for future extraction from the Pebble Project.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Ronald Thiessen, President, CEO and Director

Mr. Thiessen is a Chartered Professional Accountant (FPCA, FCA) with more than 25 years of corporate development experience. He leads Northern Dynasty's corporate development and financing activities, having served as President and CEO since 2000 or 2001. Mr. Thiessen is also the President and CEO of Hunter Dickinson Inc. and a Director of the Pebble Limited Partnership.

Mark Peters, Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Peters is a Chartered Professional Accountant (CPA, CA) with over 18 years of experience in financial reporting and taxation, primarily with Canadian and US public corporations. He has served as CFO for Hunter Dickinson Services Inc. ("HDI") since 2016 and a TSX Venture-listed company since 2012. Before joining HDI in 2007, Mr. Peters worked for PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP in both audit and tax groups.

Bruce Jenkins, Executive Vice President Environment and Sustainability

Mr. Jenkins is a corporate and environmental science executive with over 40 years of experience in project and corporate management. He oversees environmental affairs and sustainable development for Northern Dynasty and is also Executive Vice President, Environment and Sustainability for Hunter Dickinson Inc.

Adam Chodos, Executive Vice President, Corporate Development

Mr. Chodos is a senior executive with over 19 years of experience in Corporate Development and Investment Banking advisory. He previously held roles as Director of Corporate Development for Teck Resources and as a Group Executive with Newmont's Corporate Development team. Prior to that, he spent nine years as an Investment Banker with J.P. Morgan Securities Inc., specializing in the Natural Resources sector, where he was involved in over US$28 billion in transactions. He is also Executive Vice President, Corporate Development for Hunter Dickinson Services Inc.

Trevor Thomas, General Counsel and Secretary

Mr. Thomas has practiced in corporate commercial, corporate finance, securities, and mining law since 1995, working in private practice and in-house positions. He is currently the in-house General Counsel for Hunter Dickinson Inc.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Northern Dynasty Minerals (symbol: NAK) primarily stem from its sole significant asset, the Pebble Copper-Gold-Molybdenum-Silver-Rhenium project in southwest Alaska. These risks are heavily interconnected:

  1. Regulatory and Permitting Risk: The most significant risk to Northern Dynasty Minerals is the ongoing regulatory and permitting challenges for its Pebble Project. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) issued a final determination in January 2023 under Section 404(c) of the Clean Water Act, effectively blocking the project due to concerns about "unacceptable adverse environmental effects" on the region's fisheries. The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) has since defended the EPA's veto in court, signaling a prolonged and complex legal battle. This federal opposition has been consistent across different administrations, and the company's future hinges on a favorable court ruling to overturn the EPA's veto and other permit denials.
  2. Financing and Liquidity Risk: As an exploration-stage company, Northern Dynasty Minerals has no operational revenue and is entirely dependent on external financing to fund its operations and legal challenges. The estimated development cost for the Pebble Project is substantial, ranging from $5 to $6 billion, which is a significant hurdle given its current market capitalization. The company has reported considerable net losses and faces tight liquidity, with its financial health highly dependent on its ability to raise capital through financing activities, such as royalty and stream financing or equity. The regulatory uncertainty surrounding the Pebble Project exacerbates this risk by making it more challenging to secure the necessary funding.
  3. Environmental and Social Opposition: The Pebble Project faces strong and long-standing opposition from environmental groups, local communities, and Alaska Native organizations due to its location in the Bristol Bay watershed, a globally renowned sockeye salmon fishery. Concerns about potential impacts on water quality, salmon habitats, and the subsistence-based lifestyle of indigenous communities have driven this opposition. This persistent environmental and social resistance has contributed significantly to the regulatory hurdles and is likely to continue to be a factor even if the project were to overcome its current legal obstacles.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The increasing effectiveness of environmental and regulatory opposition, culminating in the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) final determination under the Clean Water Act to effectively block the development of the Pebble project, represents a clear emerging threat. This regulatory action directly impedes Northern Dynasty Minerals' ability to develop its primary mineral asset, challenging the fundamental viability of its business model tied to this project.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NAK) is primarily engaged in the exploration of the Pebble Copper-Gold-Molybdenum-Silver-Rhenium project in southwest Alaska. The addressable markets for their main products are as follows:

  • Copper: The global copper market size was estimated at USD 241.88 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 339.95 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.5% from 2025 to 2030. The U.S. copper market size was estimated at USD 14.39 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 19.68 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.0% from 2025 to 2030.

  • Gold: The global gold market size was valued at USD 291.68 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 400 billion by the end of 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.51% over the forecast period of 2025-2030. In terms of volume, the global gold market stood at 4,890.0 Tons in 2025 and is expected to grow to 7,424.4 Tons by 2034, recording a CAGR of 4.70% during the forecast period. The U.S. gold market is likely to reach 343.7 tons in 2026. The U.S. gold bullion market size was USD 59.3 billion in 2026.

  • Molybdenum: The global molybdenum market size is estimated to be valued at USD 4.82 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 7.55 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.4% from 2025 to 2032. The U.S. molybdenum market value is forecast to hit USD 2.4 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of +1.6%, with market volume expected to reach 42K tons by 2035.

  • Silver: The global silver market size was valued at USD 87.12 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow from USD 95.20 billion in 2025 to USD 202.07 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 9.86% during the forecast period (2025-2033). The U.S. silver market is projected to grow at a 3.19% CAGR from 2025 to 2035, reaching a value of USD 4.2 billion by 2035.

  • Rhenium: The global rhenium market size was valued at USD 647.5 million in 2024 and is poised to grow from USD 685.05 million in 2025 to USD 1075.49 million by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 5.8% during the forecast period (2026–2033). North America holds the largest share of the global rhenium market, primarily due to robust aerospace and defense industries. The consumption of rhenium in the U.S. amounted to 32,000 kgs in 2021.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

For Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NAK), an exploration-stage company, future "revenue growth" over the next 2-3 years is primarily driven by key advancements in the development and permitting of its flagship Pebble Copper-Gold-Molybdenum-Silver-Rhenium project, rather than traditional sales of mined products. The company's financial trajectory hinges on a series of catalysts that could unlock the significant value of its mineral assets and attract substantial investment.

  1. Successful Resolution of Regulatory and Legal Challenges for the Pebble Project: The most significant driver of potential future revenue is overcoming the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) 2023 veto and securing the necessary federal and state permits for the Pebble Project. A favorable outcome in ongoing litigation and a successful permitting process would de-risk the project substantially, enabling its advancement towards development and eventual monetization.
  2. Securing a Strategic Development Partner: Attracting a major mining company as a strategic partner to invest in and develop the Pebble Project is a crucial driver. Such a partnership would provide substantial capital, technical expertise, and credibility, potentially leading to joint venture agreements, royalty buyouts, or other financial inflows for Northern Dynasty Minerals.
  3. Advancement of Project Engineering and Feasibility Studies: The successful completion of updated feasibility studies and detailed engineering for the Pebble Project would demonstrate its economic viability and technical feasibility. These milestones are essential for de-risking the project further, making it significantly more attractive for external financing and partnership, thereby contributing to the company's ability to secure future funding.
  4. Favorable Governmental Policy and Support for Critical Mineral Development: The current administration's stated prioritization of Alaska as a crucial source for critical minerals could lead to supportive policy changes. A more conducive regulatory environment could accelerate the permitting process and alleviate legal hurdles for the Pebble Project, positively impacting the project's timeline and Northern Dynasty's financial prospects.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

Northern Dynasty Minerals does not pay dividends or conduct share buybacks, consistent with its development-stage nature and lack of operating cash flow.

Share Issuance

  • The number of shares outstanding for Northern Dynasty Minerals has generally increased over the past few years, from 474 million in FY2020 to 541 million for the trailing twelve months ending September 30, 2025.
  • In November 2025, Kopernik Global Investors filed an amended Schedule 13D, reporting beneficial ownership of 74,575,588 common shares, including 36,165,308 issuable upon conversion of $15,000,000 convertible notes.
  • The company received several million dollars from the exercise of stock options and warrants during the summer of 2025.

Inbound Investments

  • Northern Dynasty Minerals has secured a royalty financing agreement dated July 26, 2022, for its Pebble Project, totaling $60 million.
  • The company received a fourth tranche payment of $12 million under this royalty agreement in September 2025, bringing the total to $48 million received.
  • The fifth and final $12 million tranche of this royalty investment was received in October 2025, bringing the total to $60 million. This funding is projected to extend the company's financial runway to cover operations until the end of 2027 or 2028.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital allocation for Northern Dynasty Minerals focuses entirely on sustaining operations and funding legal and regulatory efforts to advance the Pebble Project.
  • Exploration expenses were CAD 5.65 million in 2024, CAD 7.73 million in 2023, and CAD 9.27 million in 2022.
  • The company's primary focus for capital has been on the legal and permitting fight related to the EPA veto of the Pebble Project.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NAKNGSAWRNTMQPPTAMedian
NameNorthern.Novagold.Seabridg.Western .Trilogy .Perpetua. 
Mkt Price1.886.3626.152.203.3621.344.86
Mkt Cap1.12.62.80.50.62.71.8
Rev LTM0000000
Op Inc LTM-24-29-24-8-11-160-24
FCF LTM-23-14-163-22-5--22
FCF 3Y Avg-21-12-167-22-3--21
CFO LTM-23-14-18-2-5--14
CFO 3Y Avg-21-12-17-3-3--12

Growth & Margins

NAKNGSAWRNTMQPPTAMedian
NameNorthern.Novagold.Seabridg.Western .Trilogy .Perpetua. 
Rev Chg LTM-------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-------
Rev Chg Q-------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
Op Inc Chg LTM-23.7%-22.8%-11.7%12.5%-52.7%-684.9%-23.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg3.4%-13.6%-3.8%-19.9%-16.5%-231.2%-15.1%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-------
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-------
FCF/Rev LTM-------
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-------

Valuation

NAKNGSAWRNTMQPPTAMedian
NameNorthern.Novagold.Seabridg.Western .Trilogy .Perpetua. 
Mkt Cap1.12.62.80.50.62.71.8
P/S-------
P/Op Inc-44.5-90.2-117.5-55.9-53.1-16.6-54.5
P/EBIT-25.3-30.6-32.0-55.9-53.1-16.6-31.3
P/E-24.6-26.1-39.8-92.5-12.6-18.9-25.4
P/CFO-44.9-190.9-154.6-199.6-110.2--154.6
Total Yield-4.1%-3.8%-2.5%-1.1%-7.9%-5.3%-3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.0%-0.9%-10.8%-7.3%-1.7%--6.0%
D/E0.00.10.20.00.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.10.1-0.3-0.1-0.3-0.1

Returns

NAKNGSAWRNTMQPPTAMedian
NameNorthern.Novagold.Seabridg.Western .Trilogy .Perpetua. 
1M Rtn-13.4%-21.1%-15.5%-22.0%-23.3%-18.5%-19.8%
3M Rtn46.9%-22.3%0.9%-8.3%0.0%-19.3%-4.2%
6M Rtn-13.8%-37.5%-16.0%-26.4%-27.7%-17.7%-22.1%
12M Rtn22.1%53.3%78.6%77.4%133.3%65.6%71.5%
3Y Rtn703.4%39.2%120.9%43.8%479.4%479.9%300.1%
1M Excs Rtn-11.2%-18.9%-13.2%-19.8%-21.1%-16.3%-17.6%
3M Excs Rtn38.1%-31.3%-9.6%-20.3%-12.6%-29.0%-16.5%
6M Excs Rtn-25.4%-43.4%-23.9%-29.5%-37.0%-29.4%-29.4%
12M Excs Rtn0.6%51.2%62.4%59.6%119.3%43.2%55.4%
3Y Excs Rtn661.9%-35.4%44.2%-31.0%442.3%378.7%211.4%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Acquisition, exploration and development of mineral properties121137144145159
Total121137144145159


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$1.88 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.1 
First Trading Date10/09/2003 
Distance from 52W High-31.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$2.07$1.82
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-9.2%3.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility78.3%114.4%
Downside Capture486.76297.61
Upside Capture390.57258.15
Correlation (SPY)69.0%27.1%
NAK Betas & Captures as of 5/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.894.093.072.232.301.37
Up Beta0.182.533.243.553.751.72
Down Beta4.146.042.400.080.451.19
Up Capture430%577%483%305%580%482%
Bmk +ve Days13283667141432
Stock +ve Days11253259122369
Down Capture632%570%252%195%169%97%
Bmk -ve Days7132757109318
Stock -ve Days8152960116364

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NAK
NAK-3.8%111.4%0.53-
Sector ETF (XLB)20.7%17.5%0.9226.7%
Equity (SPY)21.2%12.4%1.2629.1%
Gold (GLD)21.8%27.7%0.7029.2%
Commodities (DBC)21.8%18.6%0.92-1.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)16.1%13.6%0.854.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.7%42.5%-1.2720.0%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NAK
NAK23.9%83.0%0.64-
Sector ETF (XLB)7.2%19.0%0.2721.5%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.1%0.6122.9%
Gold (GLD)17.8%18.3%0.7920.1%
Commodities (DBC)7.4%19.5%0.2813.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.9%0.089.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.7%54.0%0.3916.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NAK
NAK15.8%97.5%0.61-
Sector ETF (XLB)10.3%20.7%0.4419.9%
Equity (SPY)15.2%18.0%0.7218.8%
Gold (GLD)11.8%16.1%0.6017.5%
Commodities (DBC)5.9%18.0%0.2614.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.2311.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)54.6%66.4%0.958.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 5312026-11.9%
Average Daily Volume7.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity559.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.8%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/2/2026
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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/15/20266-K
12/31/202503/31/202640-F
09/30/202511/14/20256-K
06/30/202508/14/20256-K
03/31/202505/13/20256-K
12/31/202403/28/202540-F
09/30/202411/15/20246-K
06/30/202408/15/20246-K
03/31/202405/16/20246-K
12/31/202304/02/202440-F
09/30/202311/15/20236-K
06/30/202308/15/20236-K
03/31/202305/15/20236-K
12/31/202204/03/202340-F
09/30/202211/15/20226-K
06/30/202208/16/20226-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/15/20266-K
12/31/202503/31/202640-F
09/30/202511/14/20256-K
06/30/202508/14/20256-K
03/31/202505/13/20256-K
12/31/202403/28/202540-F
09/30/202411/15/20246-K
06/30/202408/15/20246-K
03/31/202405/16/20246-K
12/31/202304/02/202440-F
09/30/202311/15/20236-K
06/30/202308/15/20236-K
03/31/202305/15/20236-K
12/31/202204/03/202340-F
09/30/202211/15/20226-K
06/30/202208/16/20226-K
03/31/202205/16/20226-K
12/31/202104/04/202240-F
09/30/202111/16/20216-K
06/30/202108/17/20216-K
03/31/202105/19/20216-K
12/31/202004/01/202140-F
09/30/202011/19/20206-K
06/30/202008/18/20206-K
03/31/202005/21/20206-K
12/31/201903/31/202040-F
09/30/201911/22/20196-K
06/30/201908/19/20196-K
Core Cache Last Updated: 6/26/2026