Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.5%, Dist 3Y High is -3.5%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 4.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.5 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Electrification of Everything, Battery Technology & Metals, and Sustainable Resource Management. Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 4.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.5 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Electrification of Everything, Battery Technology & Metals, and Sustainable Resource Management. Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.5%, Dist 3Y High is -3.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SCCO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Southern Copper (SCCO) stock moved by approximately 49.2% in the recent period: 1. Strong Earnings Performance and Production Growth: Southern Copper reported robust financial results, including a 46% year-over-year improvement in adjusted earnings per share for Q3 2024, exceeding analyst expectations. The company also saw significant production increases, with mined copper production rising 12% year-over-year and zinc production surging 91% in Q3 2024, driven by enhanced ore grades and new concentrator contributions. 2. Favorable Copper Market Conditions and Price Increases: Copper prices experienced an uptrend, with a 10% year-over-year increase in Q3 2024, reaching $4.2 per pound. The market outlook for copper remained bullish due to anticipated demand from the energy transition, electric vehicles, and renewable energy infrastructure, with expectations of prices potentially reaching new highs. By November 2025, copper prices were probing new all-time highs amid solid demand and supply concerns.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SCCO Return59%-1%4%50%9%67%351%
Peers Return97%69%6%3%-7%58%430%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SCCO Win Rate67%58%50%58%33%67% 
Peers Win Rate62%54%56%54%46%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SCCO Max Drawdown-44%-11%-27%0%-9%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-3%-26%-19%-18%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FCX, TECK, NEM, GOLD. See SCCO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSCCOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven128 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven126 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-49.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven690 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-80.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven412.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven753 days1480 days

Compare to NEM, HBM, TGB, SCCO, FCX


In The Past

Southern Copper's stock fell -45.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/1/2022. A -45.2% loss requires a 82.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Southern Copper (SCCO)

Better Bets than Southern Copper (SCCO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SCCO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
40.6%40.6%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%4.7%-2.5%
SCCO_3312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312025SCCOSouthern CopperMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
31.7%55.9%-19.1%
SCCO_6302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302022SCCOSouthern CopperDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
27.2%51.7%-12.7%
SCCO_9302021_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302021SCCOSouthern CopperDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
39.5%-14.3%-18.2%
SCCO_2292020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02292020SCCOSouthern CopperDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
47.1%121.4%-29.3%
SCCO_11302018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11302018SCCOSouthern CopperDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%20.6%-12.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
40.6%40.6%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%4.7%-2.5%
SCCO_3312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312025SCCOSouthern CopperMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
31.7%55.9%-19.1%
SCCO_6302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302022SCCOSouthern CopperDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
27.2%51.7%-12.7%
SCCO_9302021_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302021SCCOSouthern CopperDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
39.5%-14.3%-18.2%
SCCO_2292020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02292020SCCOSouthern CopperDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
47.1%121.4%-29.3%
SCCO_11302018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11302018SCCOSouthern CopperDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%20.6%-12.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Southern Copper

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SCCOFCXTECKNEMGOLDMedian
NameSouthern.Freeport.Teck Res.Newmont Gold.com  
Mkt Price142.4147.3843.1898.1431.7247.38
Mkt Cap117.268.121.1107.70.668.1
Rev LTM12,33526,00210,48421,50311,94412,335
Op Inc LTM6,1996,9341,2439,359426,199
FCF LTM3,4801,625-3286,1224631,625
FCF 3Y Avg3,0351,419-8942,636201,419
CFO LTM4,6186,3531,5089,2244754,618
CFO 3Y Avg4,1126,1422,6755,616334,112

Growth & Margins

SCCOFCXTECKNEMGOLDMedian
NameSouthern.Freeport.Teck Res.Newmont Gold.com  
Rev Chg LTM12.7%1.4%29.1%26.6%20.3%20.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.1%4.1%-12.0%23.9%14.5%7.1%
Rev Chg Q15.2%2.7%18.4%20.0%35.6%18.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.8%0.7%5.3%4.5%8.8%4.5%
Op Mgn LTM50.3%26.7%11.9%43.5%0.4%26.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg47.3%27.3%13.2%23.9%0.9%23.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%-0.1%0.5%4.5%-0.1%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM37.4%24.4%14.4%42.9%4.0%24.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg36.6%24.7%26.0%32.6%0.1%26.0%
FCF/Rev LTM28.2%6.2%-3.1%28.5%3.9%6.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg27.0%5.6%-7.9%13.8%-0.1%5.6%

Valuation

SCCOFCXTECKNEMGOLDMedian
NameSouthern.Freeport.Teck Res.Newmont Gold.com  
Mkt Cap117.268.121.1107.70.668.1
P/S8.12.22.04.30.12.2
P/EBIT15.77.911.68.9-10.2
P/E26.127.217.112.986.426.1
P/CFO21.68.914.210.01.310.0
Total Yield6.1%5.2%7.0%9.0%2.7%6.1%
Dividend Yield2.3%1.5%1.2%1.2%1.5%1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.8%2.3%-3.9%3.6%-2.9%
D/E0.10.20.40.1-0.1
Net D/E0.00.10.2-0.0-0.1

Returns

SCCOFCXTECKNEMGOLDMedian
NameSouthern.Freeport.Teck Res.Newmont Gold.com  
1M Rtn9.0%18.0%5.0%12.1%26.7%12.1%
3M Rtn35.0%6.3%3.1%24.2%18.5%18.5%
6M Rtn52.5%16.5%12.4%70.6%45.2%45.2%
12M Rtn46.7%15.7%-1.4%148.1%15.3%15.7%
3Y Rtn166.6%29.2%21.3%133.6%7.5%29.2%
1M Excs Rtn4.5%13.7%-0.9%6.1%21.9%6.1%
3M Excs Rtn27.2%1.0%-0.3%20.8%14.8%14.8%
6M Excs Rtn38.3%2.3%-1.9%56.3%30.9%30.9%
12M Excs Rtn30.0%-0.4%-17.4%127.4%1.5%1.5%
3Y Excs Rtn92.4%-45.7%-49.2%52.0%-71.4%-45.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mexican Open-pit5,5625,7736,1094,4123,964
Peruvian Operations3,8543,9084,3713,1542,940
Mexican Industrial Minera Mexico, S.A. de C.V. and subsidiaries (IMMSA) Unit631666454419382
Corporate, other and eliminations-152-300   
Total9,89610,04810,9347,9857,286


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mexican Open-pit2,7752,9553,6981,9811,918
Peruvian Operations1,4731,4682,3331,098855
Mexican Industrial Minera Mexico, S.A. de C.V. and subsidiaries (IMMSA) Unit-461898615
Corporate, other and eliminations-52-47-55-45-36
Total4,1924,4366,0653,1212,753


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mexican Open-pit8,6968,8368,5607,2368,082
Peruvian Operations4,6364,8714,9335,1705,018
Corporate, other and eliminations2,2282,4703,8073,5732,470
Mexican Industrial Minera Mexico, S.A. de C.V. and subsidiaries (IMMSA) Unit1,1661,101998967838
Total16,72517,27718,29816,94616,407


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,572,005
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-9.4%
Average Daily Volume1,344,306
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.38
Basic Shares Quantity822,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-1.1%-4.1%-4.3%
7/29/2025-6.3%-2.2%0.4%
4/25/2025-1.6%-6.3%-2.9%
2/12/20252.4%4.7%0.3%
10/22/20241.9%2.2%-7.1%
7/19/20240.6%1.1%1.6%
4/26/20243.3%-1.3%4.5%
2/2/2024-2.5%-3.4%-1.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9813
# Negative141510
Median Positive1.8%3.0%6.0%
Median Negative-1.4%-2.2%-5.3%
Max Positive3.3%14.0%27.1%
Max Negative-6.3%-6.5%-18.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221031202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021307202210-K 12/31/2021