Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%, Dividend Yield is 2.0%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.6%, Dist 3Y High is -3.6%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 24x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 50%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 4.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.5 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%, Dividend Yield is 2.0%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 50%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 4.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.5 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.6%, Dist 3Y High is -3.6%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 24x

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

SCCO Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SCCO Return59%-1%4%50%9%53%314%
Peers Return38%22%4%21%-12%70%215%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SCCO Win Rate67%58%50%58%33%70% 
Peers Win Rate55%52%52%60%42%82% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SCCO Max Drawdown-44%-11%-27%0%-9%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-11%-22%-16%-25%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RIO, NEM, VALE, CCJ, MT. See SCCO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/7/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSCCOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven128 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven126 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-49.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven690 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-80.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven412.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven753 days1480 days

Compare to RIO, NEM, VALE, CCJ, MT


In The Past

Southern Copper's stock fell -45.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/1/2022. A -45.2% loss requires a 82.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Southern Copper (SCCO)

Better Bets than Southern Copper (SCCO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SCCO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.2%0.2%-2.5%
SLGN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025SLGNSilganDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.1%-1.1%-1.1%
TGLS_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025TGLSTecnoglassDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-17.1%-17.1%-17.1%
NEM_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025NEMNewmontQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0% 
RGLD_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025RGLDRoyal GoldQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.6%-3.6%-7.3%
SCCO_3312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312025SCCOSouthern CopperMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
31.7%48.5%-19.1%
SCCO_6302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302022SCCOSouthern CopperDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
27.2%51.7%-12.7%
SCCO_9302021_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302021SCCOSouthern CopperDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
39.5%-14.3%-18.2%
SCCO_2292020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02292020SCCOSouthern CopperDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
47.1%121.4%-29.3%
SCCO_11302018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11302018SCCOSouthern CopperDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%20.6%-12.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.2%0.2%-2.5%
SLGN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025SLGNSilganDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.1%-1.1%-1.1%
TGLS_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025TGLSTecnoglassDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-17.1%-17.1%-17.1%
NEM_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025NEMNewmontQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0% 
RGLD_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025RGLDRoyal GoldQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.6%-3.6%-7.3%
SCCO_3312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312025SCCOSouthern CopperMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
31.7%48.5%-19.1%
SCCO_6302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302022SCCOSouthern CopperDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
27.2%51.7%-12.7%
SCCO_9302021_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302021SCCOSouthern CopperDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
39.5%-14.3%-18.2%
SCCO_2292020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02292020SCCOSouthern CopperDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
47.1%121.4%-29.3%
SCCO_11302018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11302018SCCOSouthern CopperDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%20.6%-12.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Southern Copper

Financials

SCCORIONEMVALECCJMTMedian
NameSouthern.Rio TintoNewmont Vale Cameco ArcelorM. 
Mkt Price136.6169.3383.3912.1592.2639.1676.36
Mkt Cap112.4-91.551.940.229.851.9
Rev LTM12,335-21,50337,4673,46461,09521,503
Op Inc LTM6,199-9,35910,9086461,7706,199
FCF LTM3,480-6,1222,871973582,871
FCF 3Y Avg3,035-2,6364,1915931,4452,636
CFO LTM4,618-9,2249,0141,2614,2814,618
CFO 3Y Avg4,112-5,61610,1828015,9815,616

Growth & Margins

SCCORIONEMVALECCJMTMedian
NameSouthern.Rio TintoNewmont Vale Cameco ArcelorM. 
Rev Chg LTM12.7%-26.6%-8.6%23.9%-1.9%12.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.1%-23.9%-5.8%24.2%-9.8%7.1%
Rev Chg Q15.2%-20.0%9.1%-14.7%3.0%9.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.8%-4.5%2.4%-3.0%0.8%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM50.3%-43.5%29.1%18.6%2.9%29.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg47.3%-23.9%33.3%13.3%3.1%23.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%-4.5%1.0%0.3%-0.2%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM37.4%-42.9%24.1%36.4%7.0%36.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg36.6%-32.6%25.6%27.3%9.1%27.3%
FCF/Rev LTM28.2%-28.5%7.7%28.1%0.1%28.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg27.0%-13.8%10.5%20.1%2.1%13.8%

Valuation

SCCORIONEMVALECCJMTMedian
NameSouthern.Rio TintoNewmont Vale Cameco ArcelorM. 
Mkt Cap112.4-91.551.940.229.851.9
P/S9.1-4.31.411.60.54.3
P/EBIT17.7-8.87.151.513.213.2
P/E29.4-12.79.476.411.512.7
P/CFO24.3-9.95.831.97.09.9
Total Yield5.4%-9.1%10.6%1.3%8.7%8.7%
Dividend Yield2.0%-1.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.8%-3.6%8.1%2.3%6.9%3.8%
D/E0.1-0.10.40.00.50.1
Net D/E0.0--0.00.30.00.30.0

Returns

SCCORIONEMVALECCJMTMedian
NameSouthern.Rio TintoNewmont Vale Cameco ArcelorM. 
1M Rtn9.2%5.9%-2.1%13.0%6.5%5.3%6.2%
3M Rtn37.6%14.8%21.3%18.9%19.9%16.5%19.4%
6M Rtn54.1%18.4%55.7%34.2%81.9%30.5%44.2%
12M Rtn30.5%14.2%88.9%24.4%75.9%52.9%41.7%
3Y Rtn170.6%37.7%96.6%12.2%286.6%62.6%79.6%
1M Excs Rtn-------
3M Excs Rtn34.9%5.8%13.1%10.7%10.4%10.2%10.5%
6M Excs Rtn50.7%15.0%52.3%30.8%78.5%27.1%40.8%
12M Excs Rtn10.5%-0.5%72.0%9.0%67.5%45.6%28.1%
3Y Excs Rtn161.8%0.4%72.5%-36.7%244.5%30.1%51.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mexican Open-pit5,5625,7736,1094,4123,964
Peruvian Operations3,8543,9084,3713,1542,940
Mexican Industrial Minera Mexico, S.A. de C.V. and subsidiaries (IMMSA) Unit631666454419382
Corporate, other and eliminations-152-300   
Total9,89610,04810,9347,9857,286


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mexican Open-pit2,7752,9553,6981,9811,918
Peruvian Operations1,4731,4682,3331,098855
Mexican Industrial Minera Mexico, S.A. de C.V. and subsidiaries (IMMSA) Unit-461898615
Corporate, other and eliminations-52-47-55-45-36
Total4,1924,4366,0653,1212,753


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mexican Open-pit8,6968,8368,5607,2368,082
Peruvian Operations4,6364,8714,9335,1705,018
Corporate, other and eliminations2,2282,4703,8073,5732,470
Mexican Industrial Minera Mexico, S.A. de C.V. and subsidiaries (IMMSA) Unit1,1661,101998967838
Total16,72517,27718,29816,94616,407


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,275,170
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020251.3%
Average Daily Volume2,057,868
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.51
Basic Shares Quantity822,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-1.1%-4.1% 
7/29/2025-6.3%-2.2%0.4%
4/25/2025-1.6%-6.3%-2.9%
2/12/20252.4%4.7%0.3%
10/22/20241.9%2.2%-7.1%
7/19/20240.6%1.1%1.6%
4/26/20244.6%1.1%6.2%
2/2/2024-2.5%-1.9%-1.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111012
# Negative121311
Median Positive1.8%2.8%6.3%
Median Negative-1.2%-2.7%-4.3%
Max Positive4.6%14.0%27.1%
Max Negative-6.3%-8.0%-20.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221031202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021307202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL9042025Sell101.0021421,614213,413Form
1PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL8122025Sell100.0041441,400232,700Form
2PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL8112025Sell97.5040039,000267,248Form
3PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL6102025Sell95.0040038,000260,395Form
4PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL3142025Sell90.251009,025244,848Form