Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF)
Market Price (10/6/2026): $10.925 | Market Cap: $708.7 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF)
Market Price (10/6/2026): $10.925Market Cap: $708.7 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 26%, Dividend Yield is 17%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 21%, FCF Yield is 19% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 170%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 170% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 23% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 196% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.0x Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -37% Key risksBCSF key risks include [1] its complex and evolving regulatory framework as a business development company and [2] the use of leverage on a highly illiquid portfolio of middle-market loans. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 26%, Dividend Yield is 17%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 21%, FCF Yield is 19% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 170%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 170% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 23% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 196% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.0x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -37% |
| Key risksBCSF key risks include [1] its complex and evolving regulatory framework as a business development company and [2] the use of leverage on a highly illiquid portfolio of middle-market loans. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) stock has lost about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Decline in Net Asset Value (NAV) and increased non-accruals.
Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) reported a decrease in its Net Asset Value (NAV) per share to $16.65 as of June 30, 2026, down from $16.86 on March 31, 2026. Concurrently, non-accrual loans, which are no longer generating interest income, significantly increased to 3.2% of the total investment portfolio at amortized cost by June 30, 2026, compared to 1.4% in the prior fiscal quarter. This rise in non-accruals signals emerging credit stress within BCSF's portfolio.
2. Q2 2026 revenue miss despite NII beat.
For the fiscal second quarter ended June 30, 2026, BCSF announced net investment income (NII) of $0.44 per share, surpassing analysts' consensus estimate of $0.42 per share. However, the company's revenue for the quarter was reported at $47.80 million, falling short of analyst expectations, which were around $64.44 million. This revenue shortfall indicated weaker top-line performance despite a stronger NII.
Show more
Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) stock has lost about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Decline in Net Asset Value (NAV) and increased non-accruals.
Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) reported a decrease in its Net Asset Value (NAV) per share to $16.65 as of June 30, 2026, down from $16.86 on March 31, 2026. Concurrently, non-accrual loans, which are no longer generating interest income, significantly increased to 3.2% of the total investment portfolio at amortized cost by June 30, 2026, compared to 1.4% in the prior fiscal quarter. This rise in non-accruals signals emerging credit stress within BCSF's portfolio.
2. Q2 2026 revenue miss despite NII beat.
For the fiscal second quarter ended June 30, 2026, BCSF announced net investment income (NII) of $0.44 per share, surpassing analysts' consensus estimate of $0.42 per share. However, the company's revenue for the quarter was reported at $47.80 million, falling short of analyst expectations, which were around $64.44 million. This revenue shortfall indicated weaker top-line performance despite a stronger NII.
3. Analyst downgrades and reduced price targets.
Following the Q2 2026 results and throughout Q3 2026, several analysts either initiated coverage with a "Hold" rating or downgraded their outlook and reduced price targets for BCSF. For instance, in August 2026, Bank of America Securities maintained a "Hold" but lowered its price target from $14 to $13, and KBW downgraded BCSF from "Buy" to "Hold" while cutting its price target from $15 to $13. Wells Fargo also reiterated a "Hold" and reduced its target from $13 to $12. This negative shift in analyst sentiment and downward revisions in price targets likely contributed to the stock's underperformance.
4. Broader macroeconomic headwinds for Business Development Companies (BDCs).
The BDC sector, including BCSF, faced increasing pressure throughout 2026 due to macroeconomic factors. Fitch Ratings maintained a "deteriorating" outlook for BDCs, citing concerns over sustained pressure on net investment income, reduced funding flexibility, and non-accruals remaining elevated sector-wide. Furthermore, middle-market companies, the primary borrowers for BDCs, are contending with challenges such as wage inflation, rising input costs, and slower revenue growth, which increase default risks. Expectations of declining short-term interest rates could also pressure NII for BDCs, as most of their investments are in floating-rate loans.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.6% change in BCSF stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302026 | 10052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.06 | 10.90 | -9.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 89 | 78 | -11.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 83.0% | 81.6% | -1.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.6 | 11.1 | 4.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 65 | 65 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -9.6% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2026 to 10/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BCSF | -9.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.8% | 37.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 0.5% | 28.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -5.7% change in BCSF stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -31.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 10052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.56 | 10.90 | -5.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 115 | 78 | -31.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 86.2% | 81.6% | -5.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.6 | 11.1 | 45.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 65 | 65 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -5.7% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 10/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BCSF | -5.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 19.4% | 35.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 9.5% | 32.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -11.3% change in BCSF stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -37.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 10052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.29 | 10.90 | -11.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 125 | 78 | -37.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 85.7% | 81.6% | -4.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.4 | 11.1 | 49.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 65 | 65 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -11.3% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 10/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BCSF | -11.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.3% | 38.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.2% | 39.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 3.1% change in BCSF stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 83.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302023 | 10052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.58 | 10.90 | 3.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 126 | 78 | -37.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 89.6% | 81.6% | -8.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.0 | 11.1 | 83.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 65 | 65 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 3.1% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2023 to 10/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BCSF | 3.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 87.5% | 50.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 69.6% | 52.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BCSF Return | 37% | -13% | 42% | 29% | -10% | -12% | 74% |
| Peers Return | 29% | -11% | 31% | 13% | -5% | -5% | 53% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 106% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BCSF Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 50% | 83% | 50% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 72% | 47% | 70% | 67% | 53% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BCSF Max Drawdown | -7% | -24% | -15% | -9% | -26% | -17% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -26% | -13% | -11% | -23% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ARCC, OBDC, FSK, TSLX, GSBD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/5/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BCSF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -11.7% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 32 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -19.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 248 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -62.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 163.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 646 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -12.3% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.1% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Bain Capital Specialty Finance's stock fell -6.7% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 7.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | BCSF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -62.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 163.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 646 days | 140 days |
In The Past
Bain Capital Specialty Finance's stock fell -6.7% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 7.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF)
Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. (BCSF) operates as a Business Development Company (BDC) primarily focused on providing direct lending solutions to middle-market companies. As a BDC, BCSF's core business involves originating and managing a diversified portfolio of debt investments, generating income through interest payments from these loans.
The company's investment strategy encompasses a wide range of debt instruments tailored to its target borrowers. This includes senior investments with first or second liens on collateral, stretch senior, senior first lien, senior second lien, and unitranche loans. BCSF also invests in more junior forms of capital such as mezzanine debt, other junior securities, and engages in secondary purchases of assets or portfolios predominantly consisting of middle-market corporate debt.
BCSF primarily serves middle-market companies across various industries. Its typical borrowers are established businesses with earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) generally ranging from $10 million to $150 million. By providing flexible financing options, BCSF acts as a crucial capital provider for this segment of the corporate market, supporting their growth and operational needs.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
- A specialized public bank for private, middle-market companies.
- Like the credit arm of Blackstone or Apollo Global Management, but packaged as a publicly traded investment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Senior Secured Loans: These are debt facilities secured by a first or second lien on a borrower's assets, offering a senior position in the capital structure.
- Stretch Senior Loans: A form of senior debt that often combines features of traditional senior and unitranche loans, typically involving higher leverage and an extended maturity.
- Unitranche Debt: A single debt instrument that blends senior and subordinated debt into one facility, simplifying the capital structure for middle-market borrowers.
- Mezzanine Debt: Subordinated debt that ranks below senior debt but above equity, often including an equity component like warrants or options.
- Junior Investments: Debt or equity instruments that are lower in priority within a company's capital structure compared to senior and mezzanine debt.
- Secondary Debt Purchases: The acquisition of existing middle-market corporate debt or portfolios of such debt from other investors in the secondary market.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) operates as a business development company (BDC) that specializes in providing direct loans to middle-market companies. Therefore, its "customers" are the companies it lends money to.
BCSF does not sell products or services in the traditional sense but rather provides financing. Its investment strategy focuses on private middle-market companies with EBITDA between $10 million and $150 million. Due to the private nature of these companies and BCSF's diversified investment approach across numerous borrowers, it is not feasible to identify specific "major customers" that are publicly traded companies with symbols. BCSF's portfolio consists of a broad range of private companies across various industries to which it provides debt financing.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
- Bain Capital Credit, LP
- State Street Corporation (STT)
- Deloitte & Touche LLP
- Ropes & Gray LLP
AI Analysis | Feedback
Michael A. Ewald, Chief Executive Officer
Michael A. Ewald serves as the Chief Executive Officer and a Director for Bain Capital Specialty Finance. He joined Bain Capital Credit in 1998 and is a Managing Director, Global Head of the Private Credit Group, Portfolio Manager for the Middle Market Credit and Senior Direct Lending strategies, and a Credit Committee member for Bain Capital Credit. Prior to his time at Bain Capital, Mr. Ewald was an Associate Consultant at Bain & Company for three years, focusing on strategy consulting to the Financial Services, Manufacturing, and Consumer Products industries. He also worked as an analyst at Credit Suisse First Boston in the Regulated Industries group.
Michael J. Boyle, President
Michael J. Boyle is the President and a Director for Bain Capital Specialty Finance. He joined Bain Capital Credit in 2007 and is a Partner and Portfolio Manager in the Private Credit Group. In this role, he is responsible for Bain Capital Credit's Senior Direct Lending strategy and Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. Mr. Boyle previously held the positions of Vice President and Treasurer for Bain Capital Specialty Finance. His career at Bain Capital Credit has included being a member of the portfolio analytics team, the Industry Research team, and the Liquid Credit portfolio management team.
Amit Joshi, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer
Amit Joshi serves as the Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer for Bain Capital Specialty Finance. He plays a key role in the company's financial management and has commented on the company's strategies for managing tax and RIC distribution requirements.
Katherine Schneider, Secretary
Katherine Schneider was appointed as the Secretary of Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. effective April 28, 2025. She joined Bain Capital in 2020 and is a Managing Director on the Investor Relations team. Prior to joining Bain Capital, Ms. Schneider was a Vice President at Goldman Sachs Asset Management.
James Goldman, Chief Compliance Officer
James Goldman is the Chief Compliance Officer for Bain Capital Specialty Finance. He also holds the position of Head of Compliance, Capital Markets for Bain Capital.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF)
The primary risks for Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF), a business development company (BDC) specializing in direct loans to middle-market companies, are predominantly linked to the credit quality of its borrowers, interest rate fluctuations, and the inherent illiquidity and valuation challenges of its private investments.
- Credit Risk and Economic Downturns: As a direct lender to middle-market companies, BCSF is highly susceptible to the credit risk of its portfolio companies. Middle-market companies often possess less financial resilience than larger corporations, making them more vulnerable during economic downturns. A prolonged period of economic uncertainty or recession could lead to increased default rates on the loans BCSF holds, negatively impacting its portfolio quality, investment income, and overall profitability. This risk is amplified by the fact that BDCs often lend to companies that are considered below investment grade and may struggle to obtain financing from traditional banks.
- Interest Rate Risk: BCSF's business model is significantly exposed to interest rate fluctuations. While a substantial portion of its debt investments (93%) bear floating interest rates, positioning it favorably in a rising rate environment, changes in interest rates can still pose significant risks. Specifically, rising interest rates can increase BCSF's own borrowing costs, thereby reducing its net investment income. Conversely, a future shift to a lower interest rate environment could also impact investment income if liability costs rise or existing fixed-rate debt structures mature. Furthermore, rising rates can make it more challenging for BCSF's portfolio companies to service their debt obligations, increasing the risk of default.
- Liquidity and Valuation Risk of Private Investments: BCSF invests primarily in privately held, non-publicly traded companies. These direct loans are inherently illiquid, meaning they cannot be easily traded or liquidated quickly. This illiquidity makes it difficult to accurately assess the true value of these investments and poses challenges if BCSF needs to sell assets rapidly, potentially leading to significantly less than their recorded value. The lack of transparency in private companies also makes it harder to assess a BDC's true risk-reward profile.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Growth in Investment Portfolio through New Originations: Bain Capital Specialty Finance is positioned to grow its investment portfolio through increased new deal activity, particularly in the middle market. The company has recently observed a pickup in new leveraged buyout (LBO) and add-on activities, which are constructive indicators for new investment opportunities. For instance, gross originations saw a significant year-over-year increase of 73% in Q2 2025.
2. Strategic Focus on First Lien Senior Secured Loans with Attractive Spreads: BCSF consistently emphasizes investing in first lien senior secured loans, which form a substantial portion of its portfolio and new fundings (e.g., 90% of Q1 2025 fundings). This disciplined investment approach aims to generate stable contractual cash income. The company has demonstrated its ability to originate new first lien deals at attractive weighted average spreads, such as 535 basis points in Q4 2025, which is favorable compared to the broader market average.
3. Reinvestment of Strong Net Investment Income and Spillover Income: The company's robust net investment income (NII) and significant spillover income are key levers for future NII enhancement. For example, as of Q4 2025, BCSF had spillover income of $1.29 per share, which is more than three times its regular dividend level. The strategic deployment and reinvestment of this available capital are expected to fuel further portfolio growth and generate additional interest income.
4. Favorable Middle-Market Lending Environment: BCSF expects to benefit from a constructive broader market environment for middle-market lending. The company believes its platform and focus are well-suited to navigate the current market and capitalize on future opportunities, driven by underlying economic indicators that support new investments. While acknowledging potential headwinds from a lower interest rate environment, BCSF's largely floating-rate debt portfolio (93% of debt investments) also positions it favorably if interest rates remain stable or rise.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. has an existing share buyback program in place but has not actively utilized it recently.
- The company intends to implement a share repurchase program, though only a limited number of shares would be eligible, and repurchases would be subject to available liquidity and other restrictions.
Share Issuance
- In 2025, Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. issued and sold common stock through 'at the market' offerings, raising approximately $4.6 million.
Outbound Investments
- For the three months ended December 31, 2025, Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. invested $167.9 million across 93 portfolio companies, including $68.3 million in 11 new companies and $99.6 million in 82 existing companies.
- As of September 30, 2025, the company had invested approximately $9,688.5 million in aggregate principal amount of debt and equity investments since its operations began in October 2016.
- The company's investment strategy primarily focuses on originating and investing in senior secured loans, including first or second lien on collateral, to middle-market companies with EBITDA typically between $10 million and $150 million.
Peer Outperformance in Asset Management & Custody Banks
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinsurance | 6 | 15.3% | 63.9% | 114.2% | SPNT 161% · RGA 136% · RNR 133% |
| Investment Banking & Brokerage | 13 | -2.7% | 102.8% | 103.3% | IBKR 428% · SNEX 235% · HOOD 171% |
| Diversified Banks | 12 | 27.7% | 128.4% | 95.7% | CM 143% · RY 130% · JPM 120% |
| Life & Health Insurance | 20 | 7.1% | 50.0% | 89.4% | JXN 528% · UNM 292% · FG 193% |
| Multi-Sector Holdings | 4 | 3.6% | 52.8% | 74.5% | JONE 361% · BRK-B 80% · VOYA 69% |
| Property & Casualty Insurance | 42 | 3.9% | 71.6% | 61.2% | ASIC 2572900% · HRTG 399% · UVE 308% |
| Regional Banks | 264 | 25.9% | 89.3% | 52.1% | GCBC 310% · ESQ 307% · PBAM 249% |
| Multi-line Insurance | 9 | 4.3% | 68.4% | 50.9% | GNW 139% · L 90% · AIZ 80% |
| Financial Exchanges & Data | 15 | -0.3% | 15.8% | 31.0% | VIRT 189% · CBOE 143% · CME 68% |
| Consumer Finance | 30 | 0.4% | 86.5% | 22.0% | ENVA 400% · EZPW 303% · FCFS 162% |
| Diversified Financial Services | 4 | -8.1% | 21.6% | 20.9% | FRHC 173% · EQH 100% · TMS -58% |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks ← | 83 | -10.1% | 18.2% | 11.4% | WT 361% · VCTR 288% · AAMI 267% |
| Insurance Brokers | 16 | -24.5% | -9.7% | 11.0% | LIFE 324% · ARX 88% · CRD-A 66% |
| Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance | 13 | -58.4% | 16.7% | -0.9% | FNMA 473% · FMCC 449% · ACT 174% |
| Specialized Finance | 3 | 9.4% | 35.5% | -13.2% | EFC 15% · CACC -13% · HASI -14% |
| Mortgage REITs | 33 | -14.5% | 10.1% | -26.9% | NREF 52% · RITM 33% · DX 19% |
| Transaction & Payment Processing Services | 17 | -2.1% | -5.5% | -42.4% | V 70% · MA 67% · CPAY 54% |
| Diversified Capital Markets | 20 | -37.4% | 16.1% | -61.2% | OPY 180% · LPLA 109% · GOLD 55% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.82 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.3 |
| Rev LTM | 105 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 119 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 168 |
| CFO LTM | 119 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 168 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -47.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -12.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -36.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -13.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 114.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 104.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 114.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 104.4% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $10.90 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/15/2018 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -17.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $11.58 | $11.96 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -5.9% | -8.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 20.0% | 22.7% |
| Downside Capture | 121.88 | 87.48 |
| Upside Capture | 46.25 | 59.51 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 40.0% | 38.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.82 | 0.95 | 0.73 | 0.63 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| Up Beta | 1.80 | 1.86 | 0.58 | 0.39 | 0.46 | 0.71 |
| Down Beta | 0.83 | 0.45 | 0.79 | 0.69 | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| Up Capture | 54% | 40% | 51% | 46% | 51% | 24% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 6 | 16 | 27 | 66 | 132 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 21 | 31 | 63 | 124 | 386 |
| Down Capture | 110% | 130% | 113% | 96% | 92% | 87% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 16 | 26 | 37 | 60 | 120 | 328 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 20 | 32 | 60 | 122 | 346 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BCSF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BCSF | -11.0% | 22.7% | -0.59 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 2.2% | 14.8% | -0.07 | 39.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.8% | 13.0% | 0.92 | 38.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 7.0% | 29.6% | 0.23 | 2.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 45.9% | 20.9% | 1.71 | -16.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.6% | 13.6% | -0.14 | 31.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -30.1% | 44.3% | -0.68 | 20.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BCSF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BCSF | 5.5% | 20.6% | 0.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.6% | 18.3% | 0.33 | 52.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.3% | 17.2% | 0.59 | 50.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.3% | 18.9% | 0.78 | 5.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.0% | 19.6% | 0.39 | 11.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.9% | 18.8% | -0.06 | 44.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.9% | 52.2% | 0.45 | 21.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BCSF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BCSF | 4.0% | 30.7% | 0.22 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.8% | 22.1% | 0.53 | 55.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 50.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.5% | 16.4% | 0.57 | 3.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 18.1% | 0.38 | 18.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.1% | 20.7% | 0.16 | 54.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 64.0% | 66.2% | 1.04 | 14.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 9/11/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/10/2026 | -0.8% | -6.9% | -10.9% |
| 5/12/2026 | -0.6% | -2.9% | -4.5% |
| 2/27/2026 | 1.3% | 1.3% | -2.2% |
| 11/10/2025 | -1.4% | -2.6% | 4.2% |
| 8/5/2025 | 2.6% | 2.7% | 6.0% |
| 5/5/2025 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% |
| 2/5/2025 | -0.1% | 0.0% | -2.7% |
| 11/5/2024 | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 16 | 14 |
| # Negative | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 1.3% | 1.7% | 4.0% |
| Median Negative | -1.0% | -2.7% | -2.5% |
| Max Positive | 5.6% | 7.6% | 24.6% |
| Max Negative | -3.0% | -6.9% | -10.9% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/10/2026 | -0.8% | -6.9% | -10.9% |
| 5/12/2026 | -0.6% | -2.9% | -4.5% |
| 2/27/2026 | 1.3% | 1.3% | -2.2% |
| 11/10/2025 | -1.4% | -2.6% | 4.2% |
| 8/5/2025 | 2.6% | 2.7% | 6.0% |
| 5/5/2025 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% |
| 2/5/2025 | -0.1% | 0.0% | -2.7% |
| 11/5/2024 | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% |
| 8/6/2024 | -2.5% | -0.5% | 9.0% |
| 5/6/2024 | -1.5% | -2.0% | 0.1% |
| 2/27/2024 | 0.0% | 1.0% | 3.7% |
| 11/7/2023 | -0.4% | -0.4% | 0.2% |
| 8/8/2023 | 2.1% | 0.8% | 5.7% |
| 5/9/2023 | 5.6% | 7.6% | 15.8% |
| 2/28/2023 | 1.3% | 1.8% | -6.2% |
| 11/9/2022 | 3.8% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| 8/3/2022 | -1.1% | 0.3% | -0.3% |
| 5/5/2022 | 0.8% | -3.3% | -5.2% |
| 2/23/2022 | -3.0% | 1.6% | -0.2% |
| 11/3/2021 | 1.3% | 1.1% | -0.3% |
| 8/4/2021 | 0.3% | 2.1% | -0.3% |
| 5/5/2021 | -0.4% | -4.6% | 0.0% |
| 2/24/2021 | 0.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% |
| 11/5/2020 | 0.9% | 6.3% | 24.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 16 | 14 |
| # Negative | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 1.3% | 1.7% | 4.0% |
| Median Negative | -1.0% | -2.7% | -2.5% |
| Max Positive | 5.6% | 7.6% | 24.6% |
| Max Negative | -3.0% | -6.9% | -10.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/10/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/10/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/23/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/03/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/04/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/24/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/05/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/05/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/04/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/26/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/06/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 10/4/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/10/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2026 Dividends | Reported | 0.42 | 0 | Same New | Guidance: 0.42 for Q2 2026 | |||
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Dividends | Reported | 0.42 | 0 | Same New | Actual: 0.42 for Q1 2026 | |||
Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/27/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Dividends | Reported | 0.42 | 0 | Same New | Actual: 0.42 for Q4 2025 | |||
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/10/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Dividends | Reported | 0.42 | 0.0% | Same New | Actual: 0.42 for Q3 2025 | |||
| Q4 2025 Additional Dividend | Reported | 0.03 | 0.0% | Same New | Actual: 0.03 for Q3 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Updated 4/26/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rusnak-Carlson, Sabrina | General Counsel | Direct | Buy | 3032026 | 12.55 | 2,300 | 28,865 | 119,978 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rusnak-Carlson, Sabrina | General Counsel | Direct | Buy | 3032026 | 12.55 | 2,300 | 28,865 | 119,978 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Oct 6, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks Resources |
| Pensions & Investments |
| Institutional Investor |
| Ignites |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.