Tearsheet

Blue Owl Capital (OBDC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $12.915 | Market Cap: $6.6 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Blue Owl Capital (OBDC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $12.915
Market Cap: $6.6 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, Dividend Yield is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 21%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -21%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 142%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 184%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 184%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.8x
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit.
  Key risks
OBDC key risks include [1] vulnerability from an elevated long-term debt-to-capital ratio and [2] investment valuation and markdown concerns highlighted by its terminated merger with Blue Owl Capital Corporation II.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, Dividend Yield is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 21%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 184%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 184%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -21%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 142%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.8x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%
8 Key risks
OBDC key risks include [1] vulnerability from an elevated long-term debt-to-capital ratio and [2] investment valuation and markdown concerns highlighted by its terminated merger with Blue Owl Capital Corporation II.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OBDC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for Blue Owl Capital (OBDC) stock movement, from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is a future period. Therefore, an analysis of a specific -7.4% stock movement and its causes during this timeframe cannot be factually provided as such events have not yet occurred.

1. The specified time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is in the future.

2. Analyzing the reasons for a stock's past movement requires historical data within the requested timeframe.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OBDC Return-20%22%-9%44%15%-7%37%
Peers Return-11%29%27%-3%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OBDC Win Rate42%75%58%75%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate80%40%70%73%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OBDC Max Drawdown-54%-3%-21%0%-2%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-2%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ARCC, BXSL, MAIN, FSK, GBDC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOBDCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-31.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven511 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven116.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days

Compare to VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS


In The Past

Blue Owl Capital's stock fell -31.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/14/2022. A -31.9% loss requires a 46.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Blue Owl Capital (OBDC)

Better Bets than Blue Owl Capital (OBDC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OBDC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Blue Owl Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OBDCARCCBXSLMAINFSKGBDCMedian
NameBlue Owl.Ares Cap.Blacksto.Main Str.FS KKR C.Golub Ca. 
Mkt Price12.9120.1927.7460.5315.0213.5417.61
Mkt Cap6.614.36.45.44.23.65.9
Rev LTM7421,551647623362408635
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM1,365-1,558-1,1333181,375-114102
FCF 3Y Avg770-1,089-7101271,459142135
CFO LTM1,365-1,558-1,1333181,375-114102
CFO 3Y Avg770-1,089-7101271,459142135

Growth & Margins

OBDCARCCBXSLMAINFSKGBDCMedian
NameBlue Owl.Ares Cap.Blacksto.Main Str.FS KKR C.Golub Ca. 
Rev Chg LTM5.7%-11.2%-10.7%9.8%-39.6%52.3%-2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg18.9%20.8%21.1%27.6%61.4%39.8%24.3%
Rev Chg Q-0.7%5.5%-9.3%-0.2%34.1%10.7%2.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.1%1.6%-2.3%-0.0%19.1%2.5%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM183.8%-100.5%-175.2%51.0%379.8%-27.9%11.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg98.6%-63.3%-95.5%22.2%274.7%57.3%39.8%
FCF/Rev LTM183.8%-100.5%-175.2%51.0%379.8%-27.9%11.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg98.6%-63.3%-95.5%22.2%274.7%57.3%39.8%

Valuation

OBDCARCCBXSLMAINFSKGBDCMedian
NameBlue Owl.Ares Cap.Blacksto.Main Str.FS KKR C.Golub Ca. 
Mkt Cap6.614.36.45.44.23.65.9
P/S8.89.39.99.111.68.89.2
P/EBIT-------
P/E9.810.610.710.615.49.610.6
P/CFO4.8-9.3-5.617.93.0-31.7-1.3
Total Yield21.3%18.0%19.8%15.3%25.3%20.7%20.2%
Dividend Yield11.1%8.6%10.4%5.9%18.7%10.2%10.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.8%-7.6%-10.7%2.7%29.1%4.4%3.6%
D/E1.51.11.20.41.81.41.3
Net D/E1.41.01.20.41.71.41.3

Returns

OBDCARCCBXSLMAINFSKGBDCMedian
NameBlue Owl.Ares Cap.Blacksto.Main Str.FS KKR C.Golub Ca. 
1M Rtn8.9%5.0%5.8%6.4%2.6%2.3%5.4%
3M Rtn-3.3%-2.0%3.7%-6.4%-2.0%-1.3%-2.0%
6M Rtn-6.4%-1.8%-7.1%7.1%-20.3%-2.8%-4.6%
12M Rtn-4.7%3.7%-3.5%17.0%-17.7%0.7%-1.4%
3Y Rtn54.1%45.9%66.6%108.9%35.5%47.0%50.5%
1M Excs Rtn8.1%4.3%5.1%5.7%1.9%1.6%4.7%
3M Excs Rtn-5.4%-4.9%0.4%-8.2%-2.3%-3.3%-4.1%
6M Excs Rtn-18.8%-14.2%-19.5%-5.3%-32.7%-15.2%-17.0%
12M Excs Rtn-17.0%-9.3%-14.9%5.9%-29.5%-11.1%-13.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-20.8%-25.2%-6.4%38.2%-38.8%-24.8%-22.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,6261,1161,165303718
Total1,6261,1161,165303718


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,035,970
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202511.8%
Average Daily Volume9,048,057
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.22
Basic Shares Quantity511,048,237
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/1/2025-2.0%-1.8%2.3%
7/1/20250.3%0.4%-0.4%
4/3/2025-7.6%-9.1%-3.9%
1/16/2025-0.1%-0.9%3.1%
10/2/20240.5%3.1%5.1%
7/3/2024-0.2%-0.3%-0.8%
4/8/20240.6%-0.3%5.6%
1/12/20240.2%-0.1%-1.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131416
# Negative11108
Median Positive0.5%1.3%3.3%
Median Negative-1.6%-1.4%-2.9%
Max Positive1.9%30.8%18.6%
Max Negative-7.6%-9.1%-7.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021