Eldorado Gold (EGO)
Market Price (9/27/2026): $41.92 | Market Cap: $10.5 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold
Eldorado Gold (EGO)
Market Price (9/27/2026): $41.92Market Cap: $10.5 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Gold
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Resource Management, and Inflation & Wealth Preservation. Themes include Precious Metals Mining, Sustainable Mining Practices, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 53% Key risksEGO key risks include [1] execution delays and cost overruns at its critical Skouries project in Greece and [2] geopolitical and regulatory uncertainty in key jurisdictions like Greece and Turkey, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Resource Management, and Inflation & Wealth Preservation. Themes include Precious Metals Mining, Sustainable Mining Practices, Show more. |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 53% |
| Key risksEGO key risks include [1] execution delays and cost overruns at its critical Skouries project in Greece and [2] geopolitical and regulatory uncertainty in key jurisdictions like Greece and Turkey, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Eldorado Gold (EGO) stock has gained about 25% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Elevated Gold Prices. A significant macroeconomic tailwind for Eldorado Gold was the sustained high price of gold. The average realized gold price in fiscal Q2 2026 was $4,379 per ounce, an increase from $3,270 per ounce in fiscal Q2 2025. This upward trend in gold prices has continued into 2026, with gold reaching an all-time high of approximately $5,600 per troy ounce in January 2026. As of early September 2026, gold was trading around $4,366 to $4,405 per ounce.
2. Skouries Project Advancement. Eldorado Gold achieved a major company-specific milestone by announcing the first copper-gold concentrate production at its wholly-owned Skouries Project in Greece on September 8, 2026. Commercial production for the project is anticipated in fiscal Q4 2026. This project is expected to contribute significantly to the company's future output, with an average annual production of 140,000 ounces of gold and 67 million pounds of copper over its mine life.
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Eldorado Gold (EGO) stock has gained about 25% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Elevated Gold Prices. A significant macroeconomic tailwind for Eldorado Gold was the sustained high price of gold. The average realized gold price in fiscal Q2 2026 was $4,379 per ounce, an increase from $3,270 per ounce in fiscal Q2 2025. This upward trend in gold prices has continued into 2026, with gold reaching an all-time high of approximately $5,600 per troy ounce in January 2026. As of early September 2026, gold was trading around $4,366 to $4,405 per ounce.
2. Skouries Project Advancement. Eldorado Gold achieved a major company-specific milestone by announcing the first copper-gold concentrate production at its wholly-owned Skouries Project in Greece on September 8, 2026. Commercial production for the project is anticipated in fiscal Q4 2026. This project is expected to contribute significantly to the company's future output, with an average annual production of 140,000 ounces of gold and 67 million pounds of copper over its mine life.
3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgrades. Analyst confidence in Eldorado Gold strengthened significantly within the period. On September 22, 2026, Bank of America upgraded Eldorado Gold to a "Buy" rating from "Underperform" and substantially raised its price target to $54.00 from $32.00. This upgrade was driven by positive operational insights from site visits to the Skouries project and Olympias mine, with analysts anticipating commercial production at Skouries by fiscal Q4 2026 and projecting a 29% increase in gold output and a 24% reduction in sustaining costs by 2027. Other firms also raised their price targets, including Stifel Nicolaus to C$70.00, ATB Cormark Capital Markets to C$64.00, and Canaccord Genuity Group to C$63.00.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 24.4% change in EGO stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 49.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312026 | 9262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.70 | 41.92 | 24.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,981 | 2,016 | 1.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 28.8% | 30.1% | 4.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.7 | 17.4 | 49.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 198 | 251 | -21.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 24.4% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2026 to 9/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| EGO | 24.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.2% | 40.3% |
| Sector (XLB) | -2.3% | 54.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.3% change in EGO stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -31.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 9262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 46.24 | 41.92 | -9.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,678 | 2,016 | 20.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 22.1% | 30.1% | 35.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.2 | 17.4 | -31.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 203 | 251 | -19.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -9.3% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 9/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| EGO | -9.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.0% | 46.3% |
| Sector (XLB) | -6.0% | 59.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 70.1% change in EGO stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 41.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 9262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.64 | 41.92 | 70.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,575 | 2,016 | 28.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 26.1% | 30.1% | 15.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.3 | 17.4 | 41.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 205 | 251 | -18.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 70.1% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 9/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| EGO | 70.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 20.9% | 36.8% |
| Sector (XLB) | 9.9% | 52.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 340.5% change in EGO stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 2896.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 8312023 | 9262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.52 | 41.92 | 340.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 923 | 2,016 | 118.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.0% | 30.1% | 2896.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 194.1 | 17.4 | -91.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 189 | 251 | -24.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 340.5% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2023 to 9/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| EGO | 340.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 77.8% | 26.2% |
| Sector (XLB) | 27.3% | 40.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EGO Return | -30% | -11% | 55% | 15% | 142% | 18% | 219% |
| Peers Return | 20% | 1% | 16% | 25% | 127% | 9% | 333% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EGO Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 83% | 44% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 62% | 53% | 78% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 56% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EGO Max Drawdown | -47% | -58% | -30% | -22% | -19% | -44% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -31% | -44% | -31% | -28% | -22% | -42% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GOLD, NEM, AEM, KGC, AGI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/25/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EGO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 32 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -43.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -32.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 20 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -37.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 103 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -35.8% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.8% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3095 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -49.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.6% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 95 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Eldorado Gold's stock fell -7.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 7.8% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | EGO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 32 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -43.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -32.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 20 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -37.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 103 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -35.8% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.8% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3095 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -49.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.6% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 95 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -74.6% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 293.0% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3648 days | 15 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -27.2% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.3% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 190 days | 1 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -49.8% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 99.3% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 30 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Eldorado Gold's stock fell -7.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 7.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Eldorado Gold (EGO)
Eldorado Gold Corporation (EGO) is a Vancouver, Canada-based mining company primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and sale of mineral products. The company's core business revolves around extracting precious and base metals from the earth. Its main product is gold, serving the global gold market, but it also produces and sells silver, lead, and zinc.
Eldorado Gold operates a diverse portfolio of mines and development projects across several international markets. Its key assets include wholly-owned gold mines in western Turkey (Kisladag and Efemcukuru), Canada (Lamaque), and Greece (Olympias, Stratoni, Skouries, Perama Hill, Sapes). Additionally, the company holds an 80.5% interest in the Certej development project located in Romania, further expanding its geographic footprint in the mineral products industry.
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A global gold mining company, much like a smaller Barrick Gold or Newmont.
Imagine an ExxonMobil, but focused on digging for gold and other precious metals instead of oil.
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- Gold: The company's primary mineral product, extracted from its various gold mines.
- Silver: A valuable byproduct mineral produced alongside gold and other base metals.
- Lead: A base metal product extracted from its mining operations.
- Zinc: Another base metal product derived from its mining activities.
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Eldorado Gold (EGO) is a mining company that extracts and produces mineral products such as gold, silver, lead, and zinc. As such, it operates within the commodities market, selling its raw or semi-processed materials to other businesses rather than directly to individual consumers.
Due to the nature of commodity sales, mining companies typically do not have a small, defined list of "major customers" in the traditional sense, as their output is sold to a diverse global market. Specific customer names are generally not disclosed publicly. Instead, Eldorado Gold's primary customers fall into the following categories:
- Metal Refiners and Smelters: These companies purchase the gold doré bars, silver, lead, and zinc concentrates produced by Eldorado Gold. They then process and purify these materials into marketable forms (e.g., pure gold bullion, refined base metals) for onward sale to various industries.
- Bullion Banks and Commodity Traders: These financial institutions and trading firms act as intermediaries in the global metals market. They buy precious and base metals from producers like Eldorado Gold, facilitate transactions, and sell to investors, industrial users, or other market participants.
- Industrial End-Users: While often purchasing through refiners or traders, the ultimate consumers of Eldorado Gold's products include manufacturers in industries such as jewelry, electronics, automotive, and other sectors that utilize gold, silver, lead, and zinc as raw materials.
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George Burns, President & Chief Executive Officer
George Burns joined Eldorado Gold in February 2017 and assumed the role of President & Chief Executive Officer in April 2017. Prior to his time at Eldorado, he served as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Goldcorp, and as Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Centerra Gold. Mr. Burns is slated to retire in the third quarter of 2026.
Paul Ferneyhough, Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Paul Ferneyhough was appointed Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer in January 2024, having joined Eldorado Gold in May 2021. Previously, he held the positions of Executive Vice President, Chief Strategy & Commercial Officer, and Senior Vice President, Chief Growth & Integration Officer at Eldorado. Before joining Eldorado Gold, Mr. Ferneyhough spent nearly two decades with Repsol SA (and Talisman Energy), where he most recently served as Executive Director leading Repsol's North American upstream oil and gas division. During his tenure at Repsol, he held various senior leadership roles in corporate, line, and functional areas, including finance, investor relations, strategy, commercial, planning, and business performance management. He is a Chartered Accountant and a member of the Institute of Chartered Accountants of England and Wales.
Christian Milau, President
Christian Milau was appointed President of Eldorado Gold in August 2025. He is expected to assume the role of Chief Executive Officer in the third quarter of 2026. Before joining Eldorado, Mr. Milau was a founder and Chief Executive Officer of Saudi Discovery Company, a private copper and gold exploration firm. From 2016 to 2022, he served as Chief Executive Officer of Equinox Gold, overseeing its growth from a single-asset developer to a multi-mine producer. His earlier career also includes roles as Chief Executive Officer at True Gold Mining, Chief Financial Officer of Endeavour Mining, and Vice President, Treasurer at New Gold.
Simon Hille, Executive Vice President, Technical Services & Operations
Simon Hille was appointed Executive Vice President, Technical Services & Operations in November 2023, having joined Eldorado Gold in November 2020. He brings over 30 years of experience in gold and base metals, with a focus on leading high-performance, cross-functional technical and operational teams. Prior to his time at Eldorado, Mr. Hille was the Group Executive, Technical Engineering & Global Projects at Newmont (Goldcorp).
Niklas Frank, Senior Vice President, Operations
Niklas Frank was appointed Senior Vice President, Operations at Eldorado Gold in November 2023, after joining the company in July 2023. In this role, he is responsible for operational support and acts as the primary lead for the site general managers in Quebec and Türkiye, as well as providing operations support in Greece. Mr. Frank has more than 26 years of experience in the international mining industry, having managed and overseen mining operations across various countries, including Canada, the United States, Peru, the Democratic Republic of Congo, and Cuba.
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Project Delays and Execution Risks, particularly with the Skouries Project
Eldorado Gold faces significant risks related to delays and execution challenges for its key development projects, most notably the Skouries project in Greece. The Skouries project has experienced delays, which could impact production timelines and financial performance. Specific issues cited include labor market tightness in Greece, which has slowed workforce ramp-up and progress in certain areas. Operational disruptions or delays to production from current mines are also a risk, such as past metallurgical problems at the Olympias mine. Any further delays or cost overruns at Skouries, which is a major growth catalyst for the company, could significantly impact its future financial performance and investor confidence.
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Fluctuations in Commodity Prices
As a mining company primarily producing gold, and also silver, lead, and zinc, Eldorado Gold is highly susceptible to the volatility of commodity prices. Significant fluctuations in the market prices of gold and copper, which is a growing part of its portfolio with the Skouries project, can directly impact the company's revenue, profitability, and cash flow. While higher gold prices can be beneficial, a downturn could adversely affect financial results.
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Geopolitical, Regulatory, and Cost Inflation Risks
Eldorado Gold operates in several international jurisdictions, including Turkey, Greece, Canada, and Romania, exposing it to geopolitical uncertainties and regulatory changes. Changes in government policies, mining regulations, and an increase in royalty expenses, particularly in Turkey, can significantly affect profitability. Furthermore, rising costs for labor, materials, and essential consumables are a persistent challenge, pressuring margins and impacting overall operational efficiency and project economics.
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The addressable markets for Eldorado Gold's main products are as follows:
- Gold: The global gold market was valued at USD 291.68 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 400 billion by the end of 2030.
- Silver: The global silver market size was valued at USD 87.12 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow from USD 95.20 billion in 2025 to USD 202.07 billion by 2033.
- Lead: The global lead market was valued at USD 29.9 billion in 2025, estimated to reach USD 31.2 billion in 2026 and USD 47.1 billion by 2036.
- Zinc: The global zinc mining market size was valued at USD 77.07 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow from USD 81.13 billion in 2026 to USD 122.25 billion by 2034.
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Eldorado Gold (EGO) Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth
Eldorado Gold Corporation (EGO) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives and market factors:
- Initial Production and Ramp-up of the Skouries Project: The Skouries copper-gold project in Greece is a significant expected driver of revenue growth and diversification. First production of copper-gold concentrate is anticipated in Q1 2026, with commercial production expected by mid-2026 or Q4 2026. This project is projected to produce an average of 140,000 ounces of gold and 67 million pounds of copper annually over its initial 20-year mine life, positioning Eldorado Gold to become a diversified copper/gold major.
- Increased Gold Production from Optimized Operations: Eldorado Gold has provided 2026 guidance for consolidated gold production between 490,000 and 590,000 ounces and aims for approximately 40% higher gold production by 2027 compared to 2025 levels. This growth is supported by ongoing operational improvements and resource conversion efforts at existing mines such as the Lamaque Complex in Canada, which has seen a 25% increase in reserves. Kisladag in Turkey has also demonstrated increased gold production.
- Favorable Gold and Copper Price Environment: Sustained higher average realized gold prices have significantly contributed to Eldorado Gold's revenue and operating cash flow in recent periods. The profitability and revenue generation from the new Skouries project are also closely linked to the prevailing copper prices. A continued strong commodity price environment for both gold and copper is expected to bolster future revenue.
- Advancement and Expansion of Other Greek Projects: Beyond Skouries, Eldorado Gold's other projects in Greece, specifically the Olympias expansion and the ongoing advancement of the Perama Hill project, are expected to deliver meaningful growth. These developments contribute to the overall increase in the company's production profile and revenue-generating capacity.
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Share Repurchases
- Eldorado Gold announced an amended normal course issuer bid (NCIB) in May 2025, significantly increasing the maximum number of shares it can repurchase from 350,000 to 10,245,474 shares (approximately 5% of total outstanding shares). As of April 30, 2025, the company had repurchased 224,000 shares at an average price of $22.60 per share under this NCIB, which runs from November 8, 2024, to July 31, 2025.
- The company repurchased approximately $204 million of shares during 2025 through its NCIB program, with about $80 million purchased and canceled in Q4 2025.
- Under a previous NCIB that commenced November 8, 2024 and terminated July 31, 2025, Eldorado purchased 3,198,353 Common Shares at a volume-weighted average price of C$27.68 per share. The company expects to renew its NCIB for a further one-year period upon its expiration on July 31, 2025.
Share Issuance
- In Q2 2023, Eldorado Gold completed a bought deal financing, resulting in a cash increase of $101.1 million.
Inbound Investments
- In Q2 2023, Eldorado Gold received a strategic equity investment of $61.3 million from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD).
Outbound Investments
- In February 2026, Eldorado Gold announced an agreement to acquire Foran Mining Corporation in a transaction valued at approximately C$3.8 billion ($2.79 billion), aiming to create a diversified gold-copper mining company. This acquisition is expected to give existing Eldorado shareholders approximately 76% of the combined company.
- In Q3 2022, Eldorado Gold made a $20 million investment in the G Mining Ventures Corp. equity financing.
- In July 2024, Eldorado signed a definitive option agreement with TRU Precious Metals to earn an 80% ownership interest in TRU's Golden Rose gold-copper project in Newfoundland, Canada.
Capital Expenditures
- Total capital expenditures reached $978.9 million in 2025, including $475.2 million invested at the Skouries copper-gold project in Greece. For 2025, project capital for Skouries was revised upward to between $440 million and $470 million.
- In Q1 2025, the capital cost estimate for Skouries was revised to $1.06 billion. Cumulative project capital invested towards phase 2 of Skouries construction totaled $980.0 million as of December 31, 2025.
- Growth capital at operating mines in 2025 was $218.3 million, primarily focused on Kisladag for waste stripping and construction of the second phase of the North Heap Leach Pad, and at the Lamaque Complex for underground development, equipment rebuilds, and tailings management facility expansion. Sustaining capital for 2026 is expected to range between $70 million and $80 million.
Peer Outperformance in Gold
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Copper | 7 | 83.2% | 115.3% | 324.3% | COPR 153400% · TGB 368% · HBM 337% |
| Gold ← | 38 | 19.7% | 224.8% | 164.2% | AUGO 967% · IAG 783% · AU 611% |
| Silver | 6 | 72.0% | 338.1% | 159.9% | AYA 378% · HL 233% · SVM 197% |
| Steel | 13 | 17.8% | 34.1% | 156.3% | HCC 344% · STLD 308% · NWPX 307% |
| Aluminum | 4 | 49.8% | 102.1% | 44.8% | CENX 171% · KALU 62% · CSTM 28% |
| Construction Materials | 9 | -22.8% | 16.5% | 43.0% | USLM 374% · CRH 83% · SMID 73% |
| Diversified Metals & Mining | 24 | -21.0% | -15.7% | 14.1% | ATLX 192757% · USAR 50840% · TII 702% |
| Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials | 7 | 12.3% | 10.9% | -8.0% | PKG 91% · CCK 11% · SON 0% |
| Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers | 12 | 2.4% | 13.5% | -15.1% | KRT 207% · MYE 81% · GEF 49% |
| Specialty Chemicals | 42 | 11.9% | 3.8% | -18.2% | ODC 470% · NEU 192% · CMT 100% |
| Precious Metals & Minerals | 8 | 14.7% | 182.2% | -27.7% | ASM 618% · PPTA 361% · MTA 46% |
| Diversified Chemicals | 4 | -0.6% | -25.2% | -28.8% | CBT 71% · ASH -15% · CC -43% |
| Commodity Chemicals | 12 | 12.4% | -18.0% | -31.4% | HWKN 287% · KOP 47% · MEOH 33% |
| Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals | 10 | -12.1% | -9.5% | -43.6% | CF 127% · CTVA 91% · NTR 30% |
| Paper Products | 4 | -29.0% | -52.8% | -70.5% | SLVM 23% · CLW -45% · ITP -96% |
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Peer Comparisons
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Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 42.94 |
| Mkt Cap | 29.9 |
| Rev LTM | 8,471 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,409 |
| FCF LTM | 3,082 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,920 |
| CFO LTM | 4,456 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,107 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 39.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 32.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 29.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 87.8% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 122.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 55.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 36.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 49.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 45.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 31.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold revenue - dore | 1,245 | 891 | 646 | 552 | 588 |
| Gold revenue - concentrate | 458 | 347 | 277 | 243 | 253 |
| Silver revenue - concentrate | 53 | 41 | 37 | 23 | 29 |
| Zinc concentrate | 22 | 24 | 19 | 30 | 43 |
| Provisional adjustments on current year concentrate sales | 19 | -2 | |||
| Lead concentrate | 17 | 20 | 25 | 19 | 27 |
| Silver revenue - dore | 9 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Provisional adjustments on prior year concentrate sales | -3 | -4 | |||
| (Loss) gain on revaluation of derivatives in trade receivables - gold | 1 | -1 | -2 | ||
| Gain on revaluation of derivatives in trade receivables - other metals | -3 | 1 | -1 | ||
| Total | 1,819 | 1,323 | 1,009 | 872 | 941 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $41.92 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 10.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/23/2003 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -15.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $39.36 | $36.76 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 6.5% | 14.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 64.0% | 60.3% |
| Downside Capture | 63.68 | 178.11 |
| Upside Capture | 187.36 | 189.65 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 23.8% | 37.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.08 | 1.45 | 2.05 | 2.16 | 1.68 | 0.81 |
| Up Beta | -0.61 | 0.52 | 1.77 | 1.95 | 1.84 | 0.69 |
| Down Beta | 4.78 | 3.08 | 2.87 | 2.46 | 1.30 | 0.79 |
| Up Capture | 472% | 290% | 285% | 233% | 323% | 146% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 32 | 68 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 20 | 29 | 58 | 134 | 405 |
| Down Capture | -360% | -13% | 115% | 196% | 135% | 89% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 59 | 113 | 324 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 22 | 35 | 69 | 116 | 340 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with EGO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EGO | 50.5% | 60.1% | 0.91 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 13.5% | 17.9% | 0.55 | 52.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 17.7% | 13.0% | 0.98 | 36.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.7% | 29.3% | 0.46 | 74.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 44.3% | 20.7% | 1.66 | 5.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.5% | 13.6% | 0.07 | 15.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -25.9% | 44.8% | -0.54 | 33.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with EGO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EGO | 38.6% | 47.6% | 0.84 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 6.2% | 19.1% | 0.21 | 42.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.3% | 17.2% | 0.59 | 27.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.2% | 18.8% | 0.83 | 69.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.8% | 19.6% | 0.43 | 23.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.9% | 18.9% | -0.06 | 25.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.2% | 52.6% | 0.41 | 17.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with EGO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EGO | 8.3% | 55.7% | 0.37 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 9.9% | 20.7% | 0.42 | 26.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 19.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.4% | 0.61 | 57.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.5% | 18.1% | 0.38 | 22.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 17.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 63.8% | 66.2% | 1.03 | 12.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 07/30/2026 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2026 | 04/30/2026 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/27/2026 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/28/2025 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/25/2024 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/25/2024 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/28/2024 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/26/2023 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/28/2023 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/27/2023 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/30/2023 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/27/2022 | 6-K |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 07/30/2026 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2026 | 04/30/2026 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/27/2026 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/28/2025 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/25/2024 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/25/2024 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/28/2024 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/26/2023 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/28/2023 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/27/2023 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/30/2023 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/27/2022 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/29/2022 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/29/2022 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/31/2022 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2021 | 10/28/2021 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2021 | 07/30/2021 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/07/2021 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/31/2021 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/04/2020 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2020 | 07/31/2020 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/01/2020 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/30/2020 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/01/2019 | 6-K |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Sep 27, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L1 Capital Pty Ltd | $358.4 Mil | 14.1% | 22 | ADD +8.3% | 13F |
| Carrhae Capital LLP | $168.1 Mil | 11.9% | 21 | ADD +22.1% | 13F |
| TT International Asset Management LTD | $67.8 Mil | 7.4% | 48 | ADD +162.7% | 13F |
| Cape Ann Asset Management Ltd | $26.0 Mil | 5.9% | 11 | New | 13F |
| Aegis Financial Corp | $13.3 Mil | 2.3% | 37 | Hold | 13F |
| Gemsstock Ltd. | $10.8 Mil | 1.1% | 28 | New | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cape Ann Asset Management Ltd | $26.0 Mil | 5.9% | 11 | New | 13F |
| Gemsstock Ltd. | $10.8 Mil | 1.1% | 28 | New | 13F |
| TT International Asset Management LTD | $67.8 Mil | 7.4% | 48 | ADD +162.7% | 13F |
| Carrhae Capital LLP | $168.1 Mil | 11.9% | 21 | ADD +22.1% | 13F |
| L1 Capital Pty Ltd | $358.4 Mil | 14.1% | 22 | ADD +8.3% | 13F |
| Active Manager |
|---|
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L1 Capital Pty Ltd | $358.4 Mil | 14.1% | 22 | ADD +8.3% | 13F |
| Carrhae Capital LLP | $168.1 Mil | 11.9% | 21 | ADD +22.1% | 13F |
| TT International Asset Management LTD | $67.8 Mil | 7.4% | 48 | ADD +162.7% | 13F |
| Cape Ann Asset Management Ltd | $26.0 Mil | 5.9% | 11 | New | 13F |
| Aegis Financial Corp | $13.3 Mil | 2.3% | 37 | Hold | 13F |
| Gemsstock Ltd. | $10.8 Mil | 1.1% | 28 | New | 13F |
Industry Resources
| Materials Resources |
| Chemical & Engineering News (C&EN) |
| Mining.com |
| Plastics News |
| Gold Resources |
| Kitco News |
| World Gold Council |
| Mining Journal |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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