Tearsheet

Smurfit WestRock (SW)


Market Price (6/15/2026): $43.33 | Market Cap: $22.7 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Smurfit WestRock (SW)


Market Price (6/15/2026): $43.33
Market Cap: $22.7 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%, Dividend Yield is 4.0%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 3.4 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 60x

Key risks
SW key risks include [1] complex post-merger integration challenges in realizing over $400 million in targeted synergies and [2] managing the substantial debt load incurred from the transaction.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%, Dividend Yield is 4.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 3.4 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 60x
7 Key risks
SW key risks include [1] complex post-merger integration challenges in realizing over $400 million in targeted synergies and [2] managing the substantial debt load incurred from the transaction.

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 6/1/2026

Smurfit WestRock (SW) stock has lost about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Weaker-than-expected First Quarter 2026 Financial Performance.

Smurfit WestRock reported a significant decline in net income for Q1 2026, falling sharply to $63 million from $382 million in the prior year, with margins dropping to 0.8%. Adjusted EBITDA also decreased to $1.08 billion compared to $1.25 billion in the same period last year. The diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS) declined to $0.12 from $0.73, and the reported EPS of $0.33 missed the analyst forecast of $0.41, representing a 19.51% negative surprise. This profitability pressure occurred despite net sales slightly increasing to $7.712 billion from $7.656 billion, primarily due to positive foreign currency impact offsetting weaker volumes.

2. Significant Operational Challenges and Cost Headwinds.

The company's Q1 2026 results were heavily impacted by adverse weather events, particularly in its North American business, which negatively affected Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA by an estimated $65 million. Additionally, unplanned downtime in North America further strained operations, costing $74 million, with roughly half attributed to weather issues. Overall cost of goods sold rose by $365 million, contributing to the earnings decline despite flat sales.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -6.8% change in SW stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -45.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)22820266142026Change
Stock Price ($)46.4843.32-6.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)31,17931,2350.2%
Net Income Margin (%)2.2%1.2%-45.7%
P/E Multiple34.959.670.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5255230.4%
Cumulative Contribution-6.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 6/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SW-6.8% 
Market (SPY)8.4%62.7%
Sector (XLB)-1.9%77.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 23.9% change in SW stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 144.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020256142026Change
Stock Price ($)34.9843.3223.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)31,13831,2350.3%
Net Income Margin (%)2.4%1.2%-49.4%
P/E Multiple24.459.6144.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)522523-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution23.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 6/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SW23.9% 
Market (SPY)9.2%47.9%
Sector (XLB)17.9%70.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 4.3% change in SW stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 242.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120256142026Change
Stock Price ($)41.5343.324.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,51831,235171.2%
Net Income Margin (%)5.4%1.2%-77.3%
P/E Multiple17.459.6242.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)259523-50.5%
Cumulative Contribution4.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2025 to 6/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SW4.3% 
Market (SPY)27.3%43.5%
Sector (XLB)23.2%68.3%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

5/31/2023 to 6/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SW  
Market (SPY)84.5%51.9%
Sector (XLB)47.5%67.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
SW Return---18%-25%13%-1%
Peers Return5%7%10%13%-9%-10%15%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%8%97%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SW Win Rate---67%33%67% 
Peers Win Rate52%55%47%55%45%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SW Max Drawdown-----39%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-28%-26%-21%-32%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: IP, PKG, GPK, SON, OI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/12/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventSWS&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-15.2%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.0%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven14 days18 days

Compare to IP, PKG, GPK, SON, OI

In The Past

Smurfit WestRock's stock fell -15.2% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 18.0% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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Event

Compare to IP, PKG, GPK, SON, OI

In The Past

Smurfit WestRock's stock fell -15.2% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 18.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Smurfit WestRock (SW)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Smurfit WestRock (SW):

  • The Procter & Gamble of industrial packaging.
  • The Intel for the global supply chain, but for packaging.
  • The Weyerhaeuser of paper-based packaging.

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  • Containerboard and Paperboard: Manufactures various grades of paperboard, including containerboard for corrugated packaging and different types of paperboard for consumer packaging.
  • Corrugated Packaging: Designs and produces a wide range of corrugated boxes, displays, and other packaging solutions for industrial, agricultural, and e-commerce applications.
  • Consumer Packaging: Provides folding cartons, partitions, and other paper-based packaging solutions primarily for food, beverage, and other consumer product markets.
  • Specialty Packaging Solutions: Offers specialized packaging solutions such as Bag-in-Box systems for liquids and innovative designs for unique product requirements.
  • Recycling Services: Collects, processes, and sells recyclable materials, supporting sustainable packaging and circular economy initiatives.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Smurfit WestRock (SW) is a global leader in sustainable packaging solutions, which primarily serves other businesses (B2B).

Due to the highly diversified nature of the packaging industry and Smurfit WestRock's extensive customer base across numerous sectors (such as food and beverage, consumer goods, e-commerce, and industrial markets), the company does not typically have a small number of "major customers" that individually account for a significant portion of its consolidated net sales.

Public disclosures from its predecessor companies, such as WestRock's SEC filings, generally indicate that no single customer accounted for more than 10% of consolidated net sales in recent fiscal years. This broad customer base is characteristic of large-scale packaging providers.

Therefore, it is not possible to identify and list specific major customer companies by name and their public symbols, as the company's revenue is derived from a very broad and fragmented portfolio of business clients rather than a few dominant accounts.

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Anthony Smurfit, President & Group Chief Executive Officer

Anthony Smurfit, born in 1963 in Wigan, United Kingdom, earned a Bachelor of Science degree in management from the University of Scranton in 1985. He joined Jefferson Smurfit, a predecessor entity, in the 1980s and was appointed director in 1989. Smurfit held various management positions in the United States and Europe, including heading Smurfit France. He became Chief Operating Officer (COO) of the company's European division in 1999, then COO of the entire company in November 2002. In September 2015, he was appointed CEO of Smurfit Kappa. He notably led the combination of Smurfit Kappa and WestRock in 2024 to form Smurfit WestRock, creating a world leader in sustainable packaging. Smurfit has also served on the boards of the Confederation of European Paper Industries and Ibec, and was previously a board member of Aer Rianta (1996–2001) and C&C Group (2012–2016). He was recognized as "Forest Products International CEO of the Year" by Fastmarkets in 2025.

Ken Bowles, Executive Vice President & Group Chief Financial Officer

Ken Bowles joined the Smurfit Kappa Group in 1994. Throughout his career there, he held a number of finance roles, including Head of Tax from 2007 to 2010 and the company's first Head of Compliance in 2004. He was appointed Group Chief Financial Officer of Smurfit Kappa in April 2016 and subsequently became Executive Vice President & Group Chief Financial Officer of Smurfit WestRock in 2024 following the merger. Bowles holds a first-class MBA from the UCD Graduate School of Business. He has been instrumental in the company's global growth, strategic mergers, and leadership in sustainability efforts.

Saverio Mayer, President & Chief Executive Officer, Europe, MEA & APAC

Saverio Mayer has had a distinguished and extensive career with Smurfit WestRock, and previously with Smurfit Kappa, where he held CEO positions in Italy, Poland, and Russia. He is recognized for his commitment to plant-level autonomy and has been pivotal in fostering a strong company culture, high employee engagement, and advancing sustainability practices. Mayer was honored as "Forest Products European CEO of the Year" by Fastmarkets in 2025.

Laurent Sellier, President & Chief Executive Officer, North America (Including Mexico)

Laurent Sellier serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer for Smurfit WestRock's North American operations, which includes Mexico. He is a key member of the company's executive leadership team.

Ben Garren, Executive Vice President & Group General Counsel

Ben Garren holds the position of Executive Vice President and Group General Counsel for Smurfit WestRock, playing a crucial role in the company's legal and governance frameworks as part of the leadership team.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The public company Smurfit WestRock (symbol: SW) faces several key risks, primarily stemming from its recent formation through a major merger, its sensitivity to economic cycles, and exposure to volatile operating costs.

  1. Integration Challenges and Associated Costs from the Merger: Smurfit WestRock was formed by the merger of Smurfit Kappa and WestRock Company, primarily in 2024. This significant integration presents ongoing operational and cultural challenges as the company works to harmonize systems, processes, and corporate cultures. The merger has also resulted in substantial transaction, integration, and restructuring costs, including those associated with closing underperforming facilities and streamlining operations. These costs are expected to impact profitability and free cash flow in the near term.
  2. Economic Downturns and Weakness in Demand: As a global provider of packaging solutions, Smurfit WestRock's business performance is closely linked to overall economic conditions and consumer activity. A slowdown in the global economy, adverse geopolitical developments, or trade tensions and tariffs can lead to reduced demand for its packaging products, consequently impacting sales and profitability. For example, there has been a noted slump in US corrugated box demand since 2022, partly attributed to the impact of US tariffs on trading partners.
  3. Volatility in Operating Costs and Supply Chain Disruptions: Smurfit WestRock is vulnerable to fluctuations in the prices of key raw materials, such as paperboard, containerboard, wood, and recovered fiber, as well as energy, freight, wages, and chemicals. These rising costs, alongside potential labor shortages and broader supply chain issues, can put pressure on the company's margins if it cannot effectively or fully pass these increases on to its customers.

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Smurfit WestRock (symbol: SW) operates in several significant addressable markets globally for its main products and services. The company is a leading provider of sustainable packaging solutions, primarily focused on corrugated packaging, consumer packaging, containerboard, and paperboard. The addressable markets for Smurfit WestRock's key products are as follows:
  • Corrugated Packaging: The global corrugated packaging market size was valued at approximately USD 325.37 billion in 2025. Other estimates for the global corrugated packaging market indicate a value of USD 233.8 billion in 2024, projected to grow to around USD 380 billion by 2034. The global corrugated boxes market alone was estimated at USD 162.82 billion in 2023.
  • Consumer Packaging: The global consumer packaging market was valued at an estimated USD 690.23 billion in 2025. Other reports show the global consumer packaging market size was approximately USD 661.60 billion in 2024 and USD 658.76 billion in 2025.
  • Containerboard: The global containerboard market size was valued at USD 141.43 billion in 2025 and USD 150.9 billion in 2024. It is projected to reach USD 175.89 billion by 2034.
  • Paper and Paperboard Packaging: The global market for paper and paperboard packaging was valued at approximately USD 381.4 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 620.6 billion by 2034. Another source indicates the global paperboard packaging market size was USD 191.23 billion in 2025. The broader global paperboard market was valued at USD 426.92 billion in 2024.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Smurfit WestRock (SW) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Realizing Merger Synergies and Expanded Global Footprint: The 2023 merger of Smurfit Kappa Group and WestRock Company to form Smurfit WestRock PLC (SW) is a significant driver. The integration of operations and leveraging the combined global footprint across more than 30 countries are expected to enhance profitability and support revenue growth. The company projects achieving over $400 million in annual pre-tax run-rate cost synergies within the first full year post-merger, and $400-$500 million within three years, which, while cost-focused, allows for competitive pricing and investment in growth. The merger already contributed to a substantial increase in net sales in Q1 2025.
  2. Growing Demand for Sustainable Packaging Solutions: Smurfit WestRock is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing global demand for sustainable packaging. The company's strategic direction includes a focus on using 100% renewable or recyclable materials in its products and investing in fiber-based replacements for single-use plastics. This aligns with eco-conscious consumer preferences and market trends.
  3. Geographic Expansion and Strong Performance in Latin America: The company is focused on geographic expansion as a key strategic priority. Latin America, in particular, has been identified as a region presenting significant opportunities for superior organic and inorganic growth. Smurfit WestRock aims for market growth of 2.0% in Latin America by 2030, building on reported strong growth in corrugated volumes in this region.
  4. Innovation in Products and Automated Packaging Solutions: Innovation is a core driver of growth for Smurfit WestRock. This includes offering specialized packaging solutions for niche markets such as luxury, healthcare, and pharmaceutical products. Furthermore, the company is investing in and scaling its packaging machinery and automated packaging systems. This strategy aims to deepen customer relationships, increase the adoption of consumables, and enhance margin resilience.
  5. Strategic Capital Investments and Operational Efficiency: Smurfit WestRock plans significant capital investments (projected $2.4 billion to $2.8 billion annually) to fund growth initiatives, including mill expansions and new converting machinery. The company is focused on operational improvements and asset optimization, especially within its North American business unit, which is considered the largest value creation opportunity. These efforts are expected to drive margin expansion and overall financial performance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Capital Allocation Decisions for Smurfit WestRock (SW)

Share Repurchases

  • Smurfit WestRock has indicated capacity for future share buybacks starting from 2027.

Share Issuance

  • Upon the completion of the merger on July 5, 2024, Smurfit Kappa shareholders received 261,094,836 ordinary shares in Smurfit WestRock.
  • WestRock stockholders received 258,228,403 Smurfit WestRock shares as part of the merger consideration.
  • As of December 31, 2025, Smurfit WestRock had 523,404,255 shares outstanding, marking a 35.11% increase from 2024.

Inbound Investments

  • Capital International Investors acquired a new stake in Smurfit WestRock in Q3, purchasing 388,544 shares valued at approximately $16.54 million.
  • Norges Bank acquired a new stake in Smurfit WestRock in the second quarter of 2024, valued at approximately $749.7 million.
  • Vanguard Group Inc. increased its position in Smurfit WestRock by 1.6% in Q2, bringing its total to 80,421,330 shares valued at approximately $3.47 billion.

Outbound Investments

  • Smurfit WestRock Plc acquired CARTOMANABI S.A., a corrugated packaging company in Ecuador.

Capital Expenditures

  • Smurfit WestRock anticipates annual capital expenditures between $2.4 billion and $2.8 billion.
  • Expected capital expenditures for 2025 are projected to be between $2.2 billion and $2.4 billion.
  • The focus of these capital expenditures includes mill upgrades, automation, and sustainability projects aimed at improving cost structure and supporting ESG objectives.

Better Bets vs. Smurfit WestRock (SW)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SWIPPKGGPKSONOIMedian
NameSmurfit .Internat.Packagin.Graphic .Sonoco P.O-I Glass 
Mkt Price43.3236.15228.2310.7050.579.1739.73
Mkt Cap22.719.220.23.25.01.412.1
Rev LTM31,23524,9669,2168,6537,4866,3998,935
Op Inc LTM1,9272151,235702712532707
FCF LTM1,02255370215321738385
FCF 3Y Avg469460697-742877374
CFO LTM3,3612,5971,5489025304771,225
CFO 3Y Avg2,1111,8251,3718846476021,127

Growth & Margins

SWIPPKGGPKSONOIMedian
NameSmurfit .Internat.Packagin.Graphic .Sonoco P.O-I Glass 
Rev Chg LTM20.9%39.5%7.9%-0.2%31.2%-1.6%14.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg58.2%9.5%3.7%-3.5%10.4%-2.9%6.6%
Rev Chg Q0.7%13.4%10.6%1.7%-1.9%-1.7%1.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.2%2.9%2.5%0.4%-0.4%-0.4%0.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM11.3%-51.5%-1.0%-33.9%55.9%12.5%5.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg32.9%-47.1%-2.3%-14.4%9.5%-8.8%-5.6%
Op Mgn LTM6.2%0.9%13.4%8.1%9.5%8.3%8.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.0%2.3%13.8%11.1%9.0%8.4%8.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%0.9%-0.6%-1.7%0.0%-1.0%-0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM10.8%10.4%16.8%10.4%7.1%7.5%10.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.5%9.3%16.1%9.9%11.4%9.1%9.7%
FCF/Rev LTM3.3%2.2%7.6%1.8%2.9%0.6%2.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.3%2.5%8.3%-0.9%5.2%0.1%2.4%

Valuation

SWIPPKGGPKSONOIMedian
NameSmurfit .Internat.Packagin.Graphic .Sonoco P.O-I Glass 
Mkt Cap22.719.220.23.25.01.412.1
P/S0.70.82.20.40.70.20.7
P/Op Inc11.889.416.44.57.12.69.4
P/EBIT15.1-7.718.75.35.06.45.8
P/E59.6-5.727.311.64.9-7.58.3
P/CFO6.77.413.13.59.52.97.1
Total Yield5.7%-12.3%5.9%12.7%24.4%-13.3%5.8%
Dividend Yield4.0%5.1%2.2%4.1%4.2%0.0%4.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.0%3.9%0.1%5.2%0.9%3.0%
D/E0.60.50.21.81.03.50.8
Net D/E0.60.40.21.80.93.30.8

Returns

SWIPPKGGPKSONOIMedian
NameSmurfit .Internat.Packagin.Graphic .Sonoco P.O-I Glass 
1M Rtn15.6%21.2%7.6%11.0%8.3%9.8%10.4%
3M Rtn10.2%-1.5%6.4%10.0%-4.2%-13.7%2.4%
6M Rtn18.9%-3.9%12.6%-30.1%21.5%-40.6%4.4%
12M Rtn7.7%-17.5%23.2%-48.1%19.1%-32.4%-4.9%
3Y Rtn0.8%30.0%84.8%-56.8%-5.1%-56.6%-2.1%
1M Excs Rtn8.5%14.9%4.8%9.4%1.8%2.3%6.6%
3M Excs Rtn-1.8%-13.6%-5.7%-2.1%-16.2%-25.7%-9.6%
6M Excs Rtn11.0%-13.2%6.1%-34.7%15.1%-45.9%-3.6%
12M Excs Rtn-19.2%-42.9%-2.4%-73.0%-6.3%-57.9%-31.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-73.3%-45.4%12.2%-131.0%-84.0%-133.1%-78.6%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Packaging25,04917,25310,55411,5109,699
Paper6,1303,8561,5392,2331,745
Total31,17921,10912,09313,74311,443


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$43.32 
Market Cap ($ Bil)22.7 
First Trading Date07/08/2024 
Distance from 52W High-15.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$40.15$40.27
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA7.9%7.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility49.0%42.1%
Downside Capture206.00120.74
Upside Capture157.4496.89
Correlation (SPY)60.3%43.8%
SW Betas & Captures as of 5/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.942.351.941.561.39-0.16
Up Beta3.782.682.181.671.870.10
Down Beta5.454.662.112.371.940.04
Up Capture299%100%117%137%76%36%
Bmk +ve Days13283667141432
Stock +ve Days10192658119231
Down Capture474%318%224%117%115%96%
Bmk -ve Days7132757109318
Stock -ve Days10223766131244

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SW
SW4.2%42.0%0.21-
Sector ETF (XLB)21.0%17.5%0.9368.6%
Equity (SPY)24.9%12.3%1.5243.8%
Gold (GLD)25.5%27.4%0.8115.9%
Commodities (DBC)30.1%19.0%1.25-18.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.5%13.5%0.6944.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-41.7%42.2%-1.1617.5%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SW
SW0.2%41.1%0.11-
Sector ETF (XLB)5.8%19.0%0.2067.8%
Equity (SPY)13.5%17.1%0.6151.9%
Gold (GLD)16.8%18.2%0.7512.9%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%19.4%0.334.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.8%18.8%0.0545.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.6%54.4%0.4421.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SW
SW0.1%41.1%0.11-
Sector ETF (XLB)10.4%20.7%0.4567.8%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7351.9%
Gold (GLD)12.5%16.1%0.6412.9%
Commodities (DBC)6.7%18.0%0.294.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%20.7%0.2445.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)60.3%66.8%1.0021.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date5292026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity27.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 51520261.6%
Average Daily Volume4.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity523.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.2%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/30/2026-3.3%5.6%4.9%
2/11/20269.9%14.3%-12.4%
10/29/2025-12.2%-15.7%-15.9%
7/30/2025-1.7%-8.4%-4.3%
5/1/2025-3.7%-4.8%4.1%
2/12/2025-5.1%4.0%-18.4%
10/30/202412.0%15.9%23.2%
7/30/2024-4.1%-13.7%1.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive244
# Negative644
Median Positive10.9%9.9%4.5%
Median Negative-3.9%-11.0%-14.2%
Max Positive12.0%15.9%23.2%
Max Negative-12.2%-15.7%-18.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/01/202610-Q
12/31/202502/27/202610-K
09/30/202511/07/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/09/202510-Q
12/31/202403/07/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 5/31/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/30/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.10 Bil1.15 Bil1.20 Bil   
2026 Adjusted EBITDA5.00 Bil5.15 Bil5.30 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 5.15 Bil for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/11/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.10 Bil1.15 Bil1.20 Bil   
2026 Adjusted EBITDA5.00 Bil5.15 Bil5.30 Bil   

Insider Activity

Updated 6/12/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Bowles, KenExecutive VP and Group CFODirectSell220202651.2610,000512,6007,773,271Form
2Smurfit, Anthony P JPresident and Group CEODirectSell220202651.5440,0002,061,60084,660,119Form
3Sellier, LaurentSee remarksDirectSell220202650.2415,562781,8655,794,853Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 6/14/2026