Eldorado Gold (EGO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $30.7 | Market Cap: $6.2 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold
Eldorado Gold (EGO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $30.7Market Cap: $6.2 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Gold
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.8%, Dist 3Y High is -1.8% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% | ||
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Resource Management, and Inflation & Wealth Preservation. Themes include Precious Metals Mining, Sustainable Mining Practices, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Resource Management, and Inflation & Wealth Preservation. Themes include Precious Metals Mining, Sustainable Mining Practices, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.8%, Dist 3Y High is -1.8% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EGO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for Eldorado Gold's (EGO) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to today:
1. Strong Q2 and Q3 2025 Financial and Operational Results.
Eldorado Gold reported robust financial performance for both the second and third quarters of 2025. In Q2 2025, the company announced strong financial and operational results, with revenue surging by 52% year-over-year to $452 million, driven by a 40% rise in the average realized gold price to $3,270 per ounce. Net earnings attributable to shareholders from continuing operations reached $139 million. Following this, Q3 2025 also saw solid results with revenue increasing to $434.7 million from $331.8 million in Q3 2024, again primarily due to a higher average realized gold price, despite a decrease in net earnings compared to Q3 2024 due to a one-time gain in the prior year.
2. Continued Advancement and Positive Outlook for the Skouries Project.
The Skouries Project in Greece remained a significant focus, with consistent updates indicating it is on track for first production of copper-gold concentrate in Q1 2026 and commercial production in mid-2026. This transformational project is expected to position Eldorado as a major copper producer in the European Union, diversifying its revenue streams. Significant capital investment continued into the project, with approximately $705.7 million invested in construction capital through June 30, 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EGO Return | 65% | -30% | -11% | 55% | 15% | 107% | 283% |
| Peers Return | 41% | -14% | -6% | -1% | 9% | 128% | 178% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EGO Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 45% | 48% | 52% | 47% | 78% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EGO Max Drawdown | -36% | -43% | -45% | 0% | -22% | -10% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -28% | -32% | -22% | -21% | -0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EGO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 175.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 553 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 112.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 112 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -86.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 629.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2270 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -69.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 226.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 119 days | 1480 days |
Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM
In The Past
Eldorado Gold's stock fell -63.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2021. A -63.7% loss requires a 175.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EGO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Eldorado Gold
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 65.08 |
| Mkt Cap | 54.3 |
| Rev LTM | 6,123 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,146 |
| FCF LTM | 226 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 124 |
| CFO LTM | 1,310 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,056 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 38.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 24.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 34.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 41.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 27.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 43.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 41.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 54.3 |
| P/S | 3.9 |
| P/EBIT | 10.0 |
| P/E | 14.3 |
| P/CFO | 10.0 |
| Total Yield | 7.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 13.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 20.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 44.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 95.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 150.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 13.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 15.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 29.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 87.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 106.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold revenue - dore | 646 | 552 | 588 | 660 | 321 |
| Gold revenue - concentrate | 277 | 243 | 253 | 283 | 207 |
| Silver revenue - concentrate | 37 | 23 | 29 | 28 | 18 |
| Lead concentrate | 25 | 19 | 27 | 18 | 25 |
| Zinc concentrate | 19 | 30 | 43 | 37 | 43 |
| Silver revenue - dore | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| (Loss) gain on revaluation of derivatives in trade receivables - gold | 1 | -1 | -2 | ||
| Gain on revaluation of derivatives in trade receivables - other metals | -3 | 1 | -1 | ||
| Gain (loss) on revaluation of derivatives in trade receivables | -3 | 2 | |||
| Total | 1,009 | 872 | 941 | 1,027 | 618 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3282025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3282024 | 40-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3302023 | 40-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3312022 | 40-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |