Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.8%, Dist 3Y High is -1.8%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%
  
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Resource Management, and Inflation & Wealth Preservation. Themes include Precious Metals Mining, Sustainable Mining Practices, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Resource Management, and Inflation & Wealth Preservation. Themes include Precious Metals Mining, Sustainable Mining Practices, Show more.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.8%, Dist 3Y High is -1.8%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EGO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for Eldorado Gold's (EGO) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to today: 1. Strong Q2 and Q3 2025 Financial and Operational Results. Eldorado Gold reported robust financial performance for both the second and third quarters of 2025. In Q2 2025, the company announced strong financial and operational results, with revenue surging by 52% year-over-year to $452 million, driven by a 40% rise in the average realized gold price to $3,270 per ounce. Net earnings attributable to shareholders from continuing operations reached $139 million. Following this, Q3 2025 also saw solid results with revenue increasing to $434.7 million from $331.8 million in Q3 2024, again primarily due to a higher average realized gold price, despite a decrease in net earnings compared to Q3 2024 due to a one-time gain in the prior year.

2. Continued Advancement and Positive Outlook for the Skouries Project. The Skouries Project in Greece remained a significant focus, with consistent updates indicating it is on track for first production of copper-gold concentrate in Q1 2026 and commercial production in mid-2026. This transformational project is expected to position Eldorado as a major copper producer in the European Union, diversifying its revenue streams. Significant capital investment continued into the project, with approximately $705.7 million invested in construction capital through June 30, 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EGO Return65%-30%-11%55%15%107%283%
Peers Return41%-14%-6%-1%9%128%178%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EGO Win Rate50%42%42%50%50%80% 
Peers Win Rate48%45%48%52%47%78% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EGO Max Drawdown-36%-43%-45%0%-22%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-28%-32%-22%-21%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEGOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-63.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven175.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven553 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-52.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven112.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven112 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-86.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven629.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2270 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-69.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven226.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven119 days1480 days

Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM


In The Past

Eldorado Gold's stock fell -63.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2021. A -63.7% loss requires a 175.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Eldorado Gold (EGO)

Better Bets than Eldorado Gold (EGO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EGO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Eldorado Gold

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EGOBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameEldorado.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Price30.7540.50202.459.5589.65169.1865.08
Mkt Cap6.269.539.02.998.385.054.3
Rev LTM1,67813,8241,5461,35221,50310,5686,123
Op Inc LTM6605,3511,0694269,3595,2233,146
FCF LTM-86--8562266,1223,645226
FCF 3Y Avg-45--161242,6362,041124
CFO LTM724-1,3104559,2245,8371,310
CFO 3Y Avg531-1,0563395,6163,8831,056

Growth & Margins

EGOBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameEldorado.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Rev Chg LTM41.0%16.9%41.1%68.1%26.6%35.2%38.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg24.9%5.9%7.7%26.7%23.9%26.0%24.4%
Rev Chg Q31.0%16.4%76.9%38.3%20.0%41.9%34.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.5%3.9%15.9%5.4%4.5%9.4%6.0%
Op Mgn LTM39.3%38.7%69.1%31.5%43.5%49.4%41.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg26.5%29.4%64.1%22.0%23.9%36.0%27.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.0%3.2%0.8%2.9%4.5%3.6%3.1%
CFO/Rev LTM43.1%-84.7%33.7%42.9%55.2%43.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg41.0%-81.3%35.4%32.6%45.6%41.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.1%--55.4%16.7%28.5%34.5%16.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.3%-4.6%11.7%13.8%22.7%11.7%

Valuation

EGOBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameEldorado.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Cap6.269.539.02.998.385.054.3
P/S3.52.627.82.04.38.03.9
P/EBIT11.16.336.75.98.916.210.0
P/E15.812.946.711.912.924.614.3
P/CFO8.1-32.86.010.014.510.0
Total Yield6.3%9.2%2.4%8.4%9.0%4.9%7.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.4%0.3%0.0%1.2%0.8%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.2%-0.4%6.2%3.6%3.9%3.6%
D/E0.20.00.00.10.10.00.0
Net D/E0.00.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

EGOBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameEldorado.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
1M Rtn19.2%23.0%7.8%16.2%10.2%4.3%13.2%
3M Rtn20.6%50.0%6.8%22.8%19.6%14.0%20.1%
6M Rtn46.8%103.1%14.8%41.7%63.2%37.6%44.2%
12M Rtn89.5%134.8%66.7%92.2%119.3%99.3%95.7%
3Y Rtn270.0%155.4%43.6%144.9%102.1%250.1%150.1%
1M Excs Rtn19.2%23.1%7.8%16.2%10.2%4.4%13.2%
3M Excs Rtn16.7%44.0%1.2%20.0%14.7%8.9%15.7%
6M Excs Rtn32.1%88.4%0.1%27.0%48.5%22.8%29.5%
12M Excs Rtn78.6%122.9%53.2%86.2%103.8%89.4%87.8%
3Y Excs Rtn254.3%109.7%-22.8%103.2%49.2%204.6%106.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Gold revenue - dore646552588660321
Gold revenue - concentrate277243253283207
Silver revenue - concentrate3723292818
Lead concentrate2519271825
Zinc concentrate1930433743
Silver revenue - dore54532
(Loss) gain on revaluation of derivatives in trade receivables - gold1-1-2  
Gain on revaluation of derivatives in trade receivables - other metals-31-1  
Gain (loss) on revaluation of derivatives in trade receivables   -32
Total1,0098729411,027618


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,306,679
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202530.3%
Average Daily Volume1,731,083
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.64
Basic Shares Quantity202,742,582
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025103020256-K 9/30/2025
630202573120256-K 6/30/2025
331202550120256-K 3/31/2025
12312024328202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110120246-K 9/30/2024
630202472520246-K 6/30/2024
331202442520246-K 3/31/2024
12312023328202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023102620236-K 9/30/2023
630202372820236-K 6/30/2023
331202342720236-K 3/31/2023
12312022330202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022102720226-K 9/30/2022
630202272920226-K 6/30/2022
331202242920226-K 3/31/2022
12312021331202240-F 12/31/2021