Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 134%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39%
  Key risks
EGO key risks include [1] execution delays and cost overruns at its critical Skouries project in Greece and [2] geopolitical and regulatory uncertainty in key jurisdictions like Greece and Turkey, Show more.
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Resource Management, and Inflation & Wealth Preservation. Themes include Precious Metals Mining, Sustainable Mining Practices, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Resource Management, and Inflation & Wealth Preservation. Themes include Precious Metals Mining, Sustainable Mining Practices, Show more.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
7 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 134%
8 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%
9 Key risks
EGO key risks include [1] execution delays and cost overruns at its critical Skouries project in Greece and [2] geopolitical and regulatory uncertainty in key jurisdictions like Greece and Turkey, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EGO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 21, 2025, Eldorado Gold's stock moved by 43.4% due to several key factors:

1. Significant Surge in Gold Prices: The price of gold experienced a substantial increase during this period. On August 31, 2025, gold was priced at $3,447.73 per ounce, and by December 19, 2025, it had risen to $4,342.73 per ounce. This represents an approximate 25.9% increase in the price of gold within the specified timeframe, with gold reaching an all-time high of $4,381.58 in October 2025. This bullish trend in the commodity market significantly boosted the profitability and outlook for gold producers like Eldorado Gold.

2. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance: Eldorado Gold reported solid financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025 on October 30, 2025. The company's revenue increased to $434.7 million in Q3 2025, up from $331.8 million in Q3 2024, primarily driven by a 44% increase in the average realized gold price. Adjusted net earnings also rose to $82.3 million ($0.41 adjusted earnings per share) in Q3 2025. These strong results showcased the company's ability to capitalize on the higher gold prices.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EGO Return65%-30%-11%55%15%133%331%
Peers Return80%20%1%16%25%124%607%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EGO Win Rate50%42%42%50%50%83% 
Peers Win Rate55%50%50%62%53%77% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EGO Max Drawdown-36%-43%-45%0%-22%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-18%-29%-17%-20%-5% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GOLD, NEM, AEM, KGC, AGI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEGOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-63.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven175.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven553 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-52.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven112.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven112 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-86.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven629.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,270 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-69.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven226.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven119 days1,480 days

Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM


In The Past

Eldorado Gold's stock fell -63.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2021. A -63.7% loss requires a 175.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Eldorado Gold (EGO)

Better Bets than Eldorado Gold (EGO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EGO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.6%7.6%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.2%0.2%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
47.0%47.0%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
24.2%24.2%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.6%7.6%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.2%0.2%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
47.0%47.0%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
24.2%24.2%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Eldorado Gold

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EGOGOLDNEMAEMKGCAGIMedian
NameEldorado.Gold.com Newmont Agnico E.Kinross .Alamos G. 
Mkt Price35.5333.16101.29174.2128.5938.4837.00
Mkt Cap7.20.8111.187.534.716.225.5
Rev LTM1,67811,94421,50310,5686,4441,6098,506
Op Inc LTM660429,3595,2232,6087101,659
FCF LTM-864636,1223,6452,2412321,352
FCF 3Y Avg-45202,6362,0411,274188731
CFO LTM7244759,2245,8373,3487372,042
CFO 3Y Avg531335,6163,8832,3805941,487

Growth & Margins

EGOGOLDNEMAEMKGCAGIMedian
NameEldorado.Gold.com Newmont Agnico E.Kinross .Alamos G. 
Rev Chg LTM41.0%20.3%26.6%35.2%32.9%31.3%32.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg24.9%14.5%23.9%26.0%29.5%26.7%25.4%
Rev Chg Q31.0%35.6%20.0%41.9%25.8%28.1%29.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.5%8.8%4.5%9.4%6.1%6.7%6.6%
Op Mgn LTM39.3%0.4%43.5%49.4%40.5%44.1%42.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg26.5%0.9%23.9%36.0%25.0%36.3%25.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.0%-0.1%4.5%3.6%1.8%4.5%2.8%
CFO/Rev LTM43.1%4.0%42.9%55.2%52.0%45.8%44.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg41.0%0.1%32.6%45.6%45.2%46.4%43.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.1%3.9%28.5%34.5%34.8%14.4%21.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.3%-0.1%13.8%22.7%23.1%14.6%14.2%

Valuation

EGOGOLDNEMAEMKGCAGIMedian
NameEldorado.Gold.com Newmont Agnico E.Kinross .Alamos G. 
Mkt Cap7.20.8111.187.534.716.225.5
P/S4.30.15.28.35.410.15.3
P/EBIT13.613.710.616.713.020.013.7
P/E19.4110.715.525.419.730.022.6
P/CFO10.01.712.015.010.422.011.2
Total Yield5.2%2.1%7.5%4.8%5.5%3.4%5.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.2%1.0%0.8%0.4%0.1%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.2%5.2%3.6%3.9%8.8%2.3%3.8%
D/E0.20.80.10.00.00.00.0
Net D/E0.00.7-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

EGOGOLDNEMAEMKGCAGIMedian
NameEldorado.Gold.com Newmont Agnico E.Kinross .Alamos G. 
1M Rtn32.5%28.2%23.9%10.1%18.2%19.3%21.6%
3M Rtn27.3%24.6%24.3%8.3%21.9%19.1%23.1%
6M Rtn70.6%60.7%75.0%44.7%85.2%45.7%65.6%
12M Rtn133.9%32.9%169.1%125.7%211.5%110.6%129.8%
3Y Rtn327.6%5.2%132.1%256.9%611.8%291.6%274.3%
1M Excs Rtn22.3%26.0%13.2%1.2%9.1%10.7%12.0%
3M Excs Rtn22.6%21.2%19.2%6.2%16.0%13.5%17.6%
6M Excs Rtn55.7%49.1%58.0%29.7%69.2%30.7%52.4%
12M Excs Rtn109.9%12.8%145.9%102.9%188.1%89.5%106.4%
3Y Excs Rtn262.2%-60.8%62.1%183.7%532.4%223.7%203.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Gold revenue - dore646552588660321
Gold revenue - concentrate277243253283207
Silver revenue - concentrate3723292818
Lead concentrate2519271825
Zinc concentrate1930433743
Silver revenue - dore54532
(Loss) gain on revaluation of derivatives in trade receivables - gold1-1-2  
Gain on revaluation of derivatives in trade receivables - other metals-31-1  
Gain (loss) on revaluation of derivatives in trade receivables   -32
Total1,0098729411,027618


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,452,533
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-9.0%
Average Daily Volume1,368,266
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.98
Basic Shares Quantity202,742,582
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025103020256-K 9/30/2025
630202573120256-K 6/30/2025
331202550120256-K 3/31/2025
12312024328202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110120246-K 9/30/2024
630202472520246-K 6/30/2024
331202442520246-K 3/31/2024
12312023328202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023102620236-K 9/30/2023
630202372820236-K 6/30/2023
331202342720236-K 3/31/2023
12312022330202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022102720226-K 9/30/2022
630202272920226-K 6/30/2022
331202242920226-K 3/31/2022
12312021331202240-F 12/31/2021