Eldorado Gold (EGO)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $34.4 | Market Cap: $7.0 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold
Eldorado Gold (EGO)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $34.4Market Cap: $7.0 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Gold
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.1%, Dist 3Y High is -2.1% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 116% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1% | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39% | Key risksEGO key risks include [1] execution delays and cost overruns at its critical Skouries project in Greece and [2] geopolitical and regulatory uncertainty in key jurisdictions like Greece and Turkey, Show more. | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Resource Management, and Inflation & Wealth Preservation. Themes include Precious Metals Mining, Sustainable Mining Practices, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Resource Management, and Inflation & Wealth Preservation. Themes include Precious Metals Mining, Sustainable Mining Practices, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.1%, Dist 3Y High is -2.1% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 116% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1% |
| Key risksEGO key risks include [1] execution delays and cost overruns at its critical Skouries project in Greece and [2] geopolitical and regulatory uncertainty in key jurisdictions like Greece and Turkey, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EGO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining Eldorado Gold's stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Positive Q3 2025 Financial and Operational Results.
Eldorado Gold reported solid Q3 2025 financial and operational results on October 30, 2025, with revenue reaching $434.7 million and net earnings attributable to shareholders from continuing operations at $56.5 million. The company's cash and cash equivalents increased by $187.1 million compared to Q4 2024, primarily due to higher gold prices, contributing to investor confidence. The Skouries project was also confirmed to be on track for first production in Q1 2026.
2. Stronger Production Outlook and Updated Mineral Reserve Statement.
On November 26, 2025, Eldorado Gold released an updated Mineral Reserve and Mineral Resource Statement, which demonstrated the offsetting of depletion and an increase in mineral reserves at key operations. This statement also highlighted a stronger decade-long production outlook with an average mine life of 13 years and a 21% boost in Inferred Resources from additions in Greece and Canada, signaling long-term growth potential.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EGO Return | 65% | -30% | -11% | 55% | 15% | 131% | 329% |
| Peers Return | 80% | 20% | 1% | 16% | 25% | 122% | 599% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EGO Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 83% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 50% | 50% | 62% | 53% | 75% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EGO Max Drawdown | -36% | -43% | -45% | 0% | -22% | -10% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -18% | -29% | -17% | -20% | -5% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GOLD, NEM, AEM, KGC, AGI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EGO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 175.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 553 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 112.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 112 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -86.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 629.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,270 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -69.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 226.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 119 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM
In The Past
Eldorado Gold's stock fell -63.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2021. A -63.7% loss requires a 175.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EGO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Eldorado Gold
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 36.00 |
| Mkt Cap | 24.9 |
| Rev LTM | 8,506 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,659 |
| FCF LTM | 1,352 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 731 |
| CFO LTM | 2,042 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,487 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 32.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 25.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 29.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 42.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 25.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 44.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 43.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 21.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 24.9 |
| P/S | 4.5 |
| P/EBIT | 11.3 |
| P/E | 20.9 |
| P/CFO | 9.5 |
| Total Yield | 5.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 14.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 24.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 60.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 111.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 274.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 13.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 22.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 47.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 97.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 200.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold revenue - dore | 646 | 552 | 588 | 660 | 321 |
| Gold revenue - concentrate | 277 | 243 | 253 | 283 | 207 |
| Silver revenue - concentrate | 37 | 23 | 29 | 28 | 18 |
| Lead concentrate | 25 | 19 | 27 | 18 | 25 |
| Zinc concentrate | 19 | 30 | 43 | 37 | 43 |
| Silver revenue - dore | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| (Loss) gain on revaluation of derivatives in trade receivables - gold | 1 | -1 | -2 | ||
| Gain on revaluation of derivatives in trade receivables - other metals | -3 | 1 | -1 | ||
| Gain (loss) on revaluation of derivatives in trade receivables | -3 | 2 | |||
| Total | 1,009 | 872 | 941 | 1,027 | 618 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3282025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3282024 | 40-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3302023 | 40-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3312022 | 40-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |