MP Materials (MP)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $51.59 | Market Cap: $9.2 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining
MP Materials (MP)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $51.59Market Cap: $9.2 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -145 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -65% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 41x | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -20%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14% | ||
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -69%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -146% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.8% | ||
| Key risksMP key risks include [1] substantial execution risk in its vertical integration strategy to become a magnet producer and [2] significant customer concentration with a small group of key partners. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -145 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -65% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 41x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -20%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -69%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -146% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.8% |
| Key risksMP key risks include [1] substantial execution risk in its vertical integration strategy to become a magnet producer and [2] significant customer concentration with a small group of key partners. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. MP Materials reported a significant revenue miss in its Q4 2025 earnings, despite an EPS beat.
On February 26, 2026, MP Materials announced Q4 2025 revenue of $52.69 million, which fell 13.6% year-over-year and was 41.41% below analyst estimates of $76.06 million. This revenue shortfall was primarily attributed to the cessation of third-party concentrate sales, despite the company reporting an EPS of $0.09, which beat consensus estimates of $0.02.
2. Increased domestic competition and substantial capital expenditure plans raised investor concerns.
The U.S. government's financing package for a domestic competitor, USA Rare Earth, introduced investor apprehension about a potentially more competitive U.S. rare-earth supply chain. This development could impact MP Materials' ability to secure long-term offtake agreements and obtain financing for its own large-scale projects, such as the planned "10X" rare earth magnet manufacturing campus in Northlake, Texas, which is expected to require an investment exceeding $1.25 billion.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -16.4% change in MP stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 61.95 | 51.80 | -16.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 233 | 224 | -3.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 46.6 | 41.0 | -11.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 175 | 178 | -1.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -16.4% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MP | -16.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | 37.5% |
| Sector (XLB) | 10.0% | 31.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -27.2% change in MP stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -14.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 71.14 | 51.80 | -27.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 242 | 224 | -7.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 48.1 | 41.0 | -14.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 164 | 178 | -7.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -27.2% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MP | -27.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 29.2% |
| Sector (XLB) | 7.1% | 25.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 115.7% change in MP stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 113.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.01 | 51.80 | 115.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 204 | 224 | 10.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 19.2 | 41.0 | 113.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 163 | 178 | -8.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 115.7% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MP | 115.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 22.1% |
| Sector (XLB) | 12.4% | 21.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 48.0% change in MP stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 250.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 35.00 | 51.80 | 48.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 528 | 224 | -57.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 11.7 | 41.0 | 250.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 177 | 178 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 48.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MP | 48.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 28.7% |
| Sector (XLB) | 26.8% | 31.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MP Return | 41% | -47% | -18% | -21% | 224% | 2% | 61% |
| Peers Return | 139% | -11% | 2% | -22% | 8052% | 11% | 15299% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MP Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 35% | 15% | 35% | 30% | 57% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MP Max Drawdown | -24% | -48% | -38% | -47% | 0% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -2% | -16% | -23% | -30% | -30% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: USAR, UUUU, NB, CODI, METC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -74.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 290.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 614 days | 464 days |
Compare to USAR, UUUU, NB, CODI, METC
In The Past
MP Materials's stock fell -74.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/4/2022. A -74.4% loss requires a 290.0% gain to breakeven.
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About MP Materials (MP)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for MP Materials:
- MP Materials is like the 'ExxonMobil' of rare earth minerals for the Western Hemisphere, extracting and processing these vital materials that are essential for modern technology and green energy.
- MP Materials is like the 'TSMC' of rare earth minerals, serving as a crucial, foundational supplier for high-tech manufacturing in the Western world.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Cerium: A rare earth mineral offered by the company.
- Lanthanum: A rare earth mineral offered by the company.
- Neodymium: A rare earth mineral offered by the company.
- Praseodymium: A rare earth mineral offered by the company.
- Samarium: A rare earth mineral offered by the company.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Major Customers of MP Materials (MP)
MP Materials sells primarily to other companies (B2B model).
The company's major customer for its rare earth concentrate is:
- Shenghe Resources Holding Co., Ltd. (not publicly traded in the U.S.) - A Chinese rare earth company that purchases the majority of MP Materials' rare earth concentrate for further processing and distribution into the global rare earth supply chain.
As MP Materials expands its capabilities to produce separated rare earth oxides and metals (beyond concentrate), its customer base is expected to broaden to include magnet manufacturers and other industrial users in various high-tech sectors, particularly those seeking a Western supply chain for critical materials.
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James Litinsky
Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
James Litinsky has led MP Materials since its inception in 2017 as Founder, Chairman, and Chief Executive Officer. He also founded JHL Capital Group in 2006, a multibillion-dollar alternative investment firm, where he served as CEO and CIO. Litinsky was instrumental in the acquisition of the Mountain Pass mine in 2017 through a consortium that included JHL Capital Group. He previously worked at Fortress Investment Group, served as Director of Finance at Omnicom Group, Inc., and was a merchant banker at Allen & Company. He took MP Materials public in 2020 through a SPAC merger with Fortress Value Acquisition Corporation. JHL Capital Group was a key institutional investor in the acquisition and relaunch of the Mountain Pass mine, indicating his involvement with private equity-backed ventures.
Ryan Corbett
Chief Financial Officer
Ryan Corbett joined MP Materials as Chief Financial Officer in 2019. Prior to MP Materials, he was a Managing Director at JHL Capital Group, where he focused on the firm's initial investment in MP Materials. Before JHL, he led strategic investments at Brahman Capital Corp. and King Street Capital Management, focusing on special situations across the capital structure. He began his career in investment banking and corporate finance at Morgan Stanley. His roles at JHL Capital Group, Brahman Capital Corp., and King Street Capital Management suggest a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity or alternative investment firms.
Michael Rosenthal
Founder & Chief Operating Officer
Michael Rosenthal is a Founder and the Chief Operating Officer of MP Materials. He co-founded the company with James Litinsky and has managed the Mountain Pass operation since the company acquired the site in 2017. Before MP Materials, he was a Partner at QVT Financial, an investment management firm, where he focused on investments in the global automotive sector and in China. Prior to QVT, he worked as a senior high-yield credit analyst at Shenkman Capital Management. QVT Financial was also a key institutional investor in the acquisition and relaunch of the Mountain Pass mine.
Elliot Hoops
General Counsel and Secretary
Elliot Hoops joined MP Materials as its General Counsel and Secretary in May 2021. Prior to joining MP Materials, he served as Vice President and Deputy General Counsel at Penn National Gaming, Inc. (now PENN Entertainment, Inc.) from January 2019 to May 2021, where he was responsible for various legal matters, including commercial transactions, financings, corporate governance, securities law, and gaming regulatory compliance.
Zachary Lehman
Chief Technology Officer
Zachary Lehman serves as the Chief Technology Officer of MP Materials.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to MP Materials' business are primarily driven by the unique characteristics of the rare earth industry, including geopolitical factors, the complexities of vertical integration, and significant environmental and regulatory hurdles.
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Geopolitical and Market Volatility due to China's Dominance: MP Materials faces significant competitive and geopolitical headwinds due to China's continued dominance in the global rare earth supply chain. China controls a substantial portion of global rare earth processing, which can lead to market volatility, including fluctuations in the prices of rare earth elements like Neodymium-Praseodymium (NdPr) oxide. Historically, China has also implemented export quotas, causing price spikes and supply chain disruptions for critical materials.
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Operational and Financial Execution Risks of Vertical Integration: MP Materials is undertaking a strategic pivot towards a high-value, vertically integrated U.S. supply chain, which involves the commissioning of new downstream facilities, such as the Independence Facility in Texas for magnet manufacturing. The successful and timely completion of these complex technical processes and the associated substantial capital expenditures present significant operational and financial execution risks. Delays or failures in these projects could negatively impact the company's financial condition and its anticipated return to profitability.
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Environmental and Regulatory Compliance Costs: The rare earth mining and processing industry is highly capital-intensive and inherently carries significant environmental challenges. These include the generation of radioactive waste streams, the risk of water contamination, and heavy metal contamination. Operating in Western jurisdictions, MP Materials is subject to stringent environmental laws and regulations, which can impose substantial compliance costs, potentially adding a significant percentage to operational expenses compared to less regulated regions.
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MP Materials Corp. produces several rare earth elements. The addressable markets for their main products are as follows:
- Cerium: The global cerium market size was valued at approximately USD 2.92 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to about USD 4.29 billion by 2034.
- Lanthanum: The global lanthanum market was valued at USD 75 million in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 129.2 million by 2034.
- Neodymium: The global neodymium market size was valued at USD 6.07 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 9.76 billion by 2034.
- Praseodymium: The global praseodymium market size was approximately USD 4.5 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 7.2 billion by 2032.
- Samarium: The global samarium market size was valued at approximately USD 2.1 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 3.5 billion by 2032.
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MP Materials (MP) is expected to experience significant revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key initiatives and market dynamics:
- Vertical Integration into Rare Earth Magnet Manufacturing: MP Materials is strategically advancing its vertical integration by moving beyond the production of rare earth concentrates and oxides into the manufacturing of high-performance rare earth magnets (NdFeB magnets). This includes the commencement of NdPr metal production in the U.S. in December 2024 and trial production of automotive-grade magnets in Q4 2024, with initial deliveries anticipated by year-end 2025. The Fort Worth magnetics facility began pilot output in 2024 and aims for commercial sintered NdFeB shipments in 2025. Furthermore, the company plans to construct a second magnet manufacturing facility, known as the "10X Facility," with commissioning expected to begin in 2028, which could increase total U.S. rare earth magnet manufacturing capacity to an estimated 10,000 metric tons annually. Analysts project that the launch of the 10X facility could quadruple MP Materials' annual revenue to over $1 billion by 2028.
- Strategic Partnerships and Offtake Agreements: Key partnerships are set to secure demand and provide financial backing for MP Materials' expanded capabilities. A public-private partnership with the Department of Defense (DoD) involves a $400 million convertible preferred equity investment, a $150 million low-interest loan, and a price floor of $110 per kilogram for all NdPr-containing products, effective from Q4 2025. The DoD has also committed to purchasing 100% of the magnets produced at the new 10X Facility under a cost-plus arrangement, including a $140 million minimum EBITDA guarantee. Additionally, a long-term contract with Apple, valued at over $500 million, ensures demand for magnets starting in 2027, supported by $200 million in milestone-based prepayments to aid recycling and production expansion.
- Increased Production and Sales Volume of Separated Rare Earth Products: The company is focused on scaling up its production of higher-value separated rare earth products, particularly neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide. MP Materials reported record NdPr oxide output and a 226% year-over-year increase in NdPr sales volumes in Q2 2025. The Mountain Pass facility reached commercial NdPr separation in 2024 and aims for a steady-state separated NdPr oxide output of 5,000–6,000 metric tons per year. The company is also targeting an increase in annual Rare Earth Oxide (REO) production to 60,000 metric tons through its 'Upstream 60K' strategy within three years. This strategy includes a shift away from selling lower-margin rare earth concentrate to third parties, which ceased in Q2 2025, to prioritize domestic processing and sales of higher-value separated products.
- Robust Market Demand for Rare Earths and Magnets: MP Materials is poised to benefit from the strong and growing global demand for rare earth elements and magnets, driven by key industries such as electric vehicles (EVs), wind turbines, and defense applications. The U.S. market alone imported 10,000 tons of rare earth magnets in 2024, with total demand projected to exceed 50,000 tons by 2030, providing substantial market space for MP Materials. The company's focus on supporting the energy transition and defense needs aligns with the increasing criticality of domestic rare earth production.
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Share Repurchases
- MP Materials authorized a share repurchase program of up to $300 million in March 2024.
- The program was expanded by an additional $300 million in August 2024, increasing the total authorization to $600 million and extending it through August 30, 2026.
- In 2024, the company repurchased approximately $225.1 million of its common stock, accounting for about 8.6% of its shares.
Share Issuance
- In July 2025, MP Materials completed an upsized underwritten public offering, selling 11,818,181 shares of common stock at $55.00 per share, which generated approximately $650 million in gross proceeds.
- The proceeds from this offering are earmarked for accelerating and expanding operations, including the 10X Facility, as well as for strategic growth opportunities and general corporate purposes.
Inbound Investments
- The U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) invested $400 million in MP Materials in July 2025, acquiring a series of preferred stock convertible into common stock, giving the Pentagon a 15% stake in the company.
- Apple entered into a long-term agreement in July 2025 to purchase high-performance magnets from MP Materials and provided a $200 million prepayment to support magnet production and recycling capabilities.
- MP Materials secured approximately $200 million in state and local incentives and grants for its 10X magnetics facility located in Northlake, Texas.
Outbound Investments
- In November 2025, MP Materials, in partnership with the U.S. Department of War, formed a joint venture with the Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden) to develop a rare earth refinery in Saudi Arabia; MP Materials will hold a 49% stake in this venture.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures totaled $172.38 million in 2025. Historically, capital expenditures were $186.4 million in fiscal year 2024, $261.9 million in fiscal year 2023, and $326.6 million in fiscal year 2022.
- For 2026, MP Materials projects capital expenditures between $500 million and $600 million.
- These projected capital expenditures are primarily focused on accelerating the 10X magnetics facility, which is expected to begin commissioning in 2028, along with other expansion, recycling, and heavy rare earth separation initiatives.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| MP Stock (+8.3%): $1.25B Texas Plant & DOD Deal Signals Major De-risking | 03/03/2026 | |
| MP Stock Surges 24% With A 5-day Winning Spree On Technical Breakout | 01/08/2026 | |
| MP Materials Earnings Notes | 12/29/2026 | |
| With MP Materials Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | 11/11/2025 | |
| How MP Materials Stock Gained 170% | 11/08/2025 | |
| Why MP Materials Stock Jumped 170%? | 11/08/2025 | |
| Is 24.9% Fall In MP Materials (MP) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | 10/22/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Why Has MP Stock Halved? | 03/26/2026 | |
| MP Stock (+8.3%): $1.25B Texas Plant & DOD Deal Signals Major De-risking | 03/03/2026 | |
| MP Materials Stock Surged 170%, Here’s Why | 11/08/2025 | |
| What A U.S.-China Trade Deal Means For MP Materials Stock? | 10/28/2025 | |
| What’s Next After MP Stock’s 5X Surge? | 10/22/2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to MP.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01312026 | IP | International Paper | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 01302026 | B | Barrick Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 11.7% | 11.7% | -4.0% |
| 12312025 | AMR | Alpha Metallurgical Resources | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | -18.6% | -18.6% | -18.6% |
| 12262025 | EMN | Eastman Chemical | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.9% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| 12122025 | AMCR | Amcor | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 19.2% | 19.2% | -0.5% |
| 04302023 | MP | MP Materials | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -23.9% | -24.2% | -39.8% |
| 09302022 | MP | MP Materials | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.3% | -30.0% | -31.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.49 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.3 |
| Rev LTM | 145 |
| Op Inc LTM | -43 |
| FCF LTM | -67 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -92 |
| CFO LTM | -15 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -27 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -5.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | -19.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -5.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -37.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -23.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -34.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -7.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -80.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -54.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.3 |
| P/S | 21.5 |
| P/EBIT | -14.0 |
| P/E | -14.5 |
| P/CFO | -53.0 |
| Total Yield | -7.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -5.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -13.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -17.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 109.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 39.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -12.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 8.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -20.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 100.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -18.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Materials | 204 | 253 | |||
| Magnetics | 0 | 0 | |||
| Neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide and metal | 0 | ||||
| Other revenue | 10 | 3 | |||
| Rare earth concentrate | 517 | 329 | |||
| Product sales | 134 | ||||
| Total | 204 | 253 | 528 | 332 | 134 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accretion of asset retirement and environmental obligations | -1 | -1 | |||
| Loss on disposals of long-lived assets, net | -1 | -6 | |||
| Loss on environmental obligation | -2 | ||||
| Initial start-up costs | -5 | -21 | |||
| Transaction-related and other costs | -8 | -11 | |||
| Magnetics | -12 | -7 | |||
| Materials | -14 | 130 | |||
| Stock-based compensation expense | -23 | -25 | |||
| Corporate expenses and other | -24 | -21 | |||
| Depreciation, depletion and amortization | -78 | -56 | |||
| Total | -169 | -18 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $51.80 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 9.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/22/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -47.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $59.94 | $60.37 |
| DMA Trend | up | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | -13.6% | -14.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 71.4% | 97.7% |
| Downside Capture | 1.52 | 0.94 |
| Upside Capture | 326.77 | 184.18 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 37.1% | 19.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.42 | 1.44 | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.02 | 1.32 |
| Up Beta | 4.30 | 0.89 | 0.09 | 2.92 | 0.68 | 0.96 |
| Down Beta | -0.05 | 0.45 | 0.40 | 0.07 | 0.80 | 1.05 |
| Up Capture | 204% | 290% | 300% | 182% | 320% | 527% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 33 | 63 | 130 | 363 |
| Down Capture | 312% | 143% | 262% | 205% | 109% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 28 | 60 | 119 | 382 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MP | 107.8% | 97.4% | 1.16 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 14.6% | 20.9% | 0.55 | 18.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 18.9% | 0.59 | 19.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.2% | 27.7% | 1.46 | 18.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.8% | 17.6% | 0.85 | 12.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.4% | 16.4% | -0.15 | 12.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.7% | 44.2% | -0.49 | 21.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MP | 4.1% | 69.9% | 0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 6.7% | 18.9% | 0.25 | 40.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.8% | 17.0% | 0.54 | 38.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.7% | 17.7% | 0.96 | 17.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.50 | 18.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.0% | 18.8% | 0.07 | 29.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 56.6% | 0.29 | 21.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MP | 18.6% | 72.5% | 0.72 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 10.1% | 20.6% | 0.44 | 37.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 36.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.3% | 15.8% | 0.70 | 16.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 19.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.7% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 28.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.4% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 20.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/26/2026 | -1.9% | -2.5% | -13.7% |
| 11/6/2025 | 12.8% | 10.8% | 15.1% |
| 8/7/2025 | 4.6% | 7.8% | -11.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | -8.0% | -10.6% | 16.1% |
| 2/20/2025 | 4.8% | 1.2% | 11.7% |
| 11/7/2024 | -2.4% | -7.1% | 2.7% |
| 8/1/2024 | -11.9% | -13.5% | 1.7% |
| 5/2/2024 | -3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.7% |
| Median Negative | -3.4% | -8.6% | -12.3% |
| Max Positive | 18.2% | 15.2% | 91.9% |
| Max Negative | -11.9% | -14.3% | -27.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corbett, Ryan | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12102025 | 60.00 | 38,146 | 2,288,760 | 9,399,960 | Form |
| 2 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 12052025 | 62.94 | 385,000 | 24,232,308 | 824,903,335 | Form |
| 3 | Litinsky, James H | Chairman and CEO | Held by James Henry Litinsky, Trustee of James Henry Litinsky Revocable Trust u/a/d 10/19/2011 | Sell | 11202025 | 63.86 | 248,411 | 15,864,583 | 853,843,645 | Form |
| 4 | Corbett, Ryan | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 11192025 | 57.72 | 20,000 | 1,154,400 | 11,244,549 | Form |
| 5 | Rosenthal, Michael Stuart | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 8292025 | 72.02 | 150,000 | 10,802,838 | 92,501,752 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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