International Paper (IP)


Market Price (11/9/2026): $34.53 | Market Cap: $18.3 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Materials | Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

International Paper (IP)


Market Price (11/9/2026): $34.53
Market Cap: $18.3 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 5.4%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.4 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.4%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%

Key risks
IP key risks include [1] significant integration challenges and financial underperformance following its DS Smith acquisition and [2] material legal exposure from an Italian anti-competition case and a US price-fixing lawsuit.

0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 5.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.4 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.4%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%
8 Key risks
IP key risks include [1] significant integration challenges and financial underperformance following its DS Smith acquisition and [2] material legal exposure from an Italian anti-competition case and a US price-fixing lawsuit.

IP in ETFs

Weight = IP's share of each fund

SPY0.03%
VOO0.03%
IVV0.03%
VTI0.02%
ITOT0.03%
IWB0.03%
RSP0.21%
VTV0.03%
+26 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 11/5/2026

International Paper (IP) stock has lost about 15% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Non-Cash Goodwill Impairment Charge: International Paper reported a net loss of $1.126 billion, or $2.13 per diluted share, in fiscal Q3 2026, primarily due to a substantial non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $1.377 billion related to its Packaging Solutions EMEA business segment. This impairment reflects challenges in the European market and is linked to the company's ongoing strategic separation of its EMEA packaging business.

2. Reduced Full-Year Guidance and Persistent Input Cost Inflation: The company lowered the midpoint of its full-year fiscal 2026 adjusted EBITDA outlook for Packaging Solutions North America by approximately $110 million, now projected to be $2.27 billion-$2.31 billion. This reduction was driven by approximately $145 million in incremental headwinds, largely stemming from macroeconomic factors such as higher diesel and distribution costs, along with increased employee medical expenses. In fiscal Q3 2026, input costs, including diesel, OCC, and energy, were unfavorable by $55 million in North America.

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Updated on 11/5/2026

International Paper (IP) stock has lost about 15% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Non-Cash Goodwill Impairment Charge: International Paper reported a net loss of $1.126 billion, or $2.13 per diluted share, in fiscal Q3 2026, primarily due to a substantial non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $1.377 billion related to its Packaging Solutions EMEA business segment. This impairment reflects challenges in the European market and is linked to the company's ongoing strategic separation of its EMEA packaging business.

2. Reduced Full-Year Guidance and Persistent Input Cost Inflation: The company lowered the midpoint of its full-year fiscal 2026 adjusted EBITDA outlook for Packaging Solutions North America by approximately $110 million, now projected to be $2.27 billion-$2.31 billion. This reduction was driven by approximately $145 million in incremental headwinds, largely stemming from macroeconomic factors such as higher diesel and distribution costs, along with increased employee medical expenses. In fiscal Q3 2026, input costs, including diesel, OCC, and energy, were unfavorable by $55 million in North America.

3. Revenue Miss and Soft Packaging Demand: International Paper's net sales for fiscal Q3 2026 were $6.197 billion, slightly below the $6.222 billion reported in fiscal Q3 2025 and missing Wall Street's consensus estimate of $6.3 billion. This constrained top-line growth was compounded by soft demand in the packaging sector, with North America box shipments declining approximately 2% year-over-year in fiscal Q3 2026, attributed in part to West Coast agriculture disruption and protein market weakness.

4. Negative Free Cash Flow: The company experienced negative free cash flow of $267 million in fiscal Q3 2026, highlighting challenges in converting earnings into cash. This indicates operational and financial pressures impacting liquidity despite an adjusted EPS beat.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -14.5% change in IP stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -14.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)731202611082026Change
Stock Price ($)40.3734.53-14.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)24,34124,178-0.7%
P/S Multiple0.90.8-14.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5325300.4%
Cumulative Contribution-14.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IP-14.5% 
Market (SPY)-1.6%37.1%
Sector (XLB)3.0%68.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 16.5% change in IP stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)430202611082026Change
Stock Price ($)29.6434.5316.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)23,63424,1782.3%
P/S Multiple0.70.814.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)528530-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution16.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IP16.5% 
Market (SPY)2.6%38.3%
Sector (XLB)1.3%73.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -6.2% change in IP stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -24.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202511082026Change
Stock Price ($)36.8234.53-6.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)19,30724,17825.2%
P/S Multiple1.00.8-24.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)528530-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution-6.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IP-6.2% 
Market (SPY)8.7%35.3%
Sector (XLB)22.9%64.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 16.9% change in IP stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 43.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202311082026Change
Stock Price ($)29.5434.5316.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)19,44824,17824.3%
P/S Multiple0.50.843.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)346530-34.7%
Cumulative Contribution16.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IP16.9% 
Market (SPY)81.9%37.0%
Sector (XLB)44.0%55.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
IP Return3%-23%10%55%-24%-9%-6%
Peers Return5%-6%5%26%-16%11%22%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IP Win Rate50%58%42%58%42%55% 
Peers Win Rate54%48%44%60%43%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%45% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IP Max Drawdown-26%-35%-28%-18%-38%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-28%-22%-14%-31%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KMB, PKG, SW, AMCR, IP. See IP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventIPS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-23.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.8%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven183 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-30.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven588 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-37.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven59.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven176 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-21.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven58 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-31.6%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.3%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven198 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-29.9%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.7%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven172 days15 days

Compare to KMB, PKG, SW, AMCR, IP

In The Past

International Paper's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventIPS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-23.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.8%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven183 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-30.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven588 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-37.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven59.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven176 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-21.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven58 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-31.6%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.3%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven198 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-29.9%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.7%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven172 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-25.8%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.8%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven94 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-25.4%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.1%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven210 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-86.6%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven644.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven710 days1085 days

Compare to KMB, PKG, SW, AMCR, IP

In The Past

International Paper's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About International Paper (IP)

International Paper (IP) is a global packaging company operating primarily across North America, Europe, and other international regions. The company's business is divided into two core segments: Industrial Packaging and Global Cellulose Fibers, allowing it to cater to a broad spectrum of industrial and consumer needs.

The Industrial Packaging segment is dedicated to manufacturing various containerboards, which are the foundational materials for corrugated packaging. These products include different grades of linerboard, medium, whitetop, and saturating kraft, including recycled options. These materials are primarily sold to end users and converters who transform them into boxes and other packaging solutions essential for shipping and protecting goods across countless industries.

The Global Cellulose Fibers segment produces fluff, market, and specialty pulps. These pulps are vital components for a diverse array of products, most notably absorbent hygiene items like baby diapers, feminine care products, and adult incontinence products, as well as tissue and paper products. Additionally, these pulps are utilized in non-absorbent applications such as textiles, filtration, construction materials, paints, coatings, and reinforced plastics. International Paper distributes these products directly to end users and converters, as well as through agents, resellers, and paper distributors.

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International Paper is like the 'Intel inside' for cardboard boxes and hygiene products, providing the essential paper and pulp materials that underpin countless consumer goods.

Think of International Paper as a 'Dow Chemical for the forest industry,' providing foundational paper and pulp materials used in everything from packaging to absorbent products.

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  • Containerboards: Materials used to manufacture packaging, including various types of linerboard and medium.
  • Fluff Pulp: A type of cellulose fiber primarily used in absorbent hygiene products like baby diapers and feminine care.
  • Market Pulp: Pulp sold on the open market, used in various paper and tissue products.
  • Specialty Pulps: Customized cellulose fibers designed for specific non-absorbent applications such as textiles, filtration, and construction materials.

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Major Customers of International Paper (IP)

International Paper (symbol: IP) primarily sells its products to other businesses (B2B) rather than directly to individual consumers.

Based on the provided company description, specific names of major customer companies are not disclosed. However, the nature of International Paper's product segments indicates that its major customers are manufacturers and converters across various industries. These include:

  • Customers of the Industrial Packaging Segment: These are primarily companies that convert containerboards (such as linerboard, medium, whitetop, recycled linerboard, recycled medium, and saturating kraft) into finished packaging materials like corrugated boxes. This also includes industrial end-users that utilize these containerboards for their own product packaging needs across a wide range of sectors.
  • Customers of the Global Cellulose Fibers Segment: These are manufacturers that use fluff, market, and specialty pulps as raw materials in their production processes. This category broadly includes:
    • Manufacturers of absorbent hygiene products, such as baby diapers, feminine care products, and adult incontinence products.
    • Manufacturers of tissue and other paper products.
    • Companies involved in non-absorbent end applications, including textiles, filtration systems, construction materials, paints and coatings, and reinforced plastics.

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Andrew Silvernail, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Andrew Silvernail joined International Paper as Chief Executive Officer on May 1, 2024, and became chairman of the Board of Directors on October 1, 2024. He brings two decades of experience leading global companies in the manufacturing and technology sectors. Prior to joining IP, Silvernail served as an executive advisor at KKR & Co., Inc., a global investment firm. He was also the Chairman and CEO of Madison Industries, one of the world's largest privately held companies, and Chairman and CEO of IDEX Corporation from 2011 to 2020, where total shareholder return grew by over 500% during his tenure. He previously held executive positions at Rexnord Industries, Newell Rubbermaid, and Danaher Corporation. Silvernail serves on the Board of Directors of Stryker Corporation.

Lance Loeffler, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Lance Loeffler joined International Paper as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer on April 1, 2025. He has more than 25 years of experience in finance, strategy, and business leadership roles. Before joining IP, Loeffler spent over a decade at Halliburton, where his roles included Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for four years, and most recently, Senior Vice President of the Middle East North Africa business. Prior to Halliburton, he held director positions at Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc., and UBS Investment Bank, focusing on oil and gas clients.

Melissa Flores, Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer

Melissa Flores joined International Paper on January 5, 2026, as Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer, with leadership responsibility for the company's global human resources strategy and functions. Before IP, she worked at IDEX Corporation for 15 years in various leadership roles of increasing responsibility, including Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer. She also held roles in talent acquisition and recruiting at The Right Thing and Capital H Group.

Thomas Hamic, Executive Vice President and President of North American Packaging Solutions

Thomas Hamic joined International Paper in 1991 and has held various sales, marketing, finance, strategic planning, and leadership roles in the United States and Europe. He was named a company officer in 2009 and elected senior vice president in 2018. From 2020 to 2022, Hamic led IP's Global Cellulose Fibers business and the company's commercial efforts. In 2023, he was named senior vice president, North American Container and Chief Commercial Officer.

Joseph R. Saab, Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

Joseph R. Saab joined International Paper in 2001 as legal counsel for Environment, Health and Safety. From 2005 to 2010, he held various positions in the corporate law group, including chief counsel – global governance and compliance and general counsel, Paper the Americas. In 2014, he was named associate general counsel – Industrial Packaging, Europe, Middle East and Africa. He became vice president, deputy general counsel, and assistant corporate secretary in 2019, and was elected senior vice president, general counsel & corporate secretary on July 1, 2022.

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International Paper (IP) faces several key risks impacting its business segments of Industrial Packaging and Global Cellulose Fibers.

  1. Macroeconomic Conditions and Demand Fluctuation

    International Paper's business is highly sensitive to global macroeconomic conditions, which directly influence demand for its packaging and pulp products. The Industrial Packaging segment, producing containerboards, is particularly exposed to global trade and manufacturing activity. Recent trends show a slowdown in demand for packaging, with global paper and board figures dropping by 3.1% in 2023 from 2022 due to overinvestment in capacity and reduced demand. For instance, U.S. linerboard prices experienced a notable $20 per ton decrease, contrary to expected increases. Similarly, the Global Cellulose Fibers segment is impacted by consumer spending on hygiene and paper products. The pulp market, for example, saw declining revenues and prices in 2024 due to oversupply and reduced demand. Overall, the paper sector experienced a significant revenue decline of approximately 14% on average in 2023, with a modest recovery in 2024, driven by weakening global economic conditions. Continued economic deterioration could lead to further pressure on free cash flows for International Paper.

  2. Raw Material and Energy Price Volatility

    Both the Industrial Packaging and Global Cellulose Fibers segments are energy-intensive and heavily reliant on raw materials, primarily wood pulp and various chemicals. Fluctuations in the cost and availability of these inputs can significantly compress profit margins and affect operational stability. Global wood pulp prices rose by approximately 30% in 2023, driven by tightening forest resources and higher transportation costs. Energy prices, including electricity and natural gas, also saw a global increase of over 20% in 2022, particularly impacting European operations where higher energy costs could not always be passed on to customers. While input costs can stabilize, as seen with lower energy and chemical costs being offset by higher wood costs in some periods, overall sensitivity remains high.

  3. Environmental Regulations and Sustainability Trends

    As a major player in the forest products industry, International Paper faces significant risks associated with evolving environmental regulations and increasing pressure for sustainable practices. Issues such as deforestation, excessive water consumption, and the ecological impact of large-scale tree harvesting pose reputational risks and can lead to stricter regulatory scrutiny. The paper industry generates air, water, and soil pollution due to its high energy and resource consumption. Compliance with increasingly stringent environmental laws and sustainability standards, such as those in the EU prohibiting certain environmental marketing claims and considering new "Green Claims Directives," requires continuous investment in cleaner technologies and process upgrades, adding to operational complexity and capital expenditure. International Paper has set ambitious sustainability goals, including reducing water usage and greenhouse gas emissions, but has acknowledged significant challenges in achieving these, particularly in operational decarbonization and water conservation at some facilities.

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The increasing consumer adoption of reusable absorbent hygiene products (such as cloth diapers and washable feminine care items) poses a clear emerging threat to International Paper's Global Cellulose Fibers segment. This trend, driven by environmental consciousness and sustainability concerns, directly reduces the market demand for disposable absorbent products that utilize the fluff, market, and specialty pulps produced by International Paper, thus threatening a core application for this segment's offerings.

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International Paper (IP) operates in two primary segments: Industrial Packaging and Global Cellulose Fibers. The addressable markets for these segments are as follows:

Industrial Packaging (Containerboards)

The global containerboard market size was valued at approximately USD 131.33 billion in 2025 and is projected to increase to about USD 166.23 billion by 2035. Another source indicates the global containerboard market was USD 141.43 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 175.89 billion by 2034. The Asia Pacific region holds the largest share of this market, with North America also being a significant contributor, holding 18.85% of the global market share in 2025, valued at USD 26.66 billion.

Global Cellulose Fibers (Pulp, including fluff, market, and specialty pulps)

The global cellulose fiber market size was estimated at USD 40.22 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 62.92 billion by 2030. Another estimate places the global cellulose fiber market at USD 40.9 billion in 2025, growing to USD 61.37 billion by 2034. For the broader pulp market, which includes various types of pulp such as fluff, market, and specialty pulps, the global market size was valued at USD 273.46 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach USD 415.94 billion by 2035. The Asia Pacific region dominates the cellulose fiber market.

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International Paper (IP) is poised for future revenue growth over the next two to three years, driven by several strategic initiatives and market adjustments:

  1. Acquisition and Integration of DS Smith: A primary driver of growth is International Paper's acquisition of DS Smith, completed in January 2025. This strategic move is expected to significantly expand the company's global footprint and capabilities, particularly in sustainable packaging across North America and EMEA regions. The integration is projected to yield substantial operational synergies, contributing to increased revenue.
  2. Strategic Focus on Sustainable Packaging Solutions: International Paper is actively transforming its business to become a leading global provider of sustainable packaging solutions. This involves prioritizing innovation in paper-based alternatives, aligning with consumer preferences for eco-friendly products, and optimizing operations to support this core strategic direction.
  3. Operational Streamlining and Cost Reduction Initiatives: The company is undertaking significant restructuring efforts, including exiting non-core businesses such as the molded fiber segment and exploring strategic options for its Global Cellulose Fibers business. Additionally, International Paper is closing less efficient facilities and investing in higher-value packaging operations. These actions are designed to improve operational efficiency, reduce structural costs, enhance service delivery, and ultimately drive profitability, which underpins revenue growth in its core packaging segments.
  4. Targeted Capital Investments: International Paper is making targeted capital investments to modernize and enhance its manufacturing capabilities. An example includes the conversion of a machine at its Riverdale mill for containerboard production, which is expected to be operational by Q3 2026. These investments aim to improve product quality, reliability, and service delivery, supporting sustained revenue growth in its key packaging markets.
  5. Commercial Excellence and Price Adjustments: The company continues to implement commercial excellence initiatives focused on improving its product mix and margins. Despite a challenging market environment, International Paper is executing price adjustments and contract restructuring in its North American box business to enhance financial performance and contribute to revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • International Paper returned $1.93 billion to shareholders in 2022, which included $1.26 billion in share repurchases.
  • In 2023, the company returned approximately $840 million to shareholders through dividends and stock repurchases.
  • Over five years, International Paper returned a total of $6.4 billion to shareholders through dividends and stock repurchases.

Share Issuance

  • International Paper's shares outstanding significantly increased in 2025 to 528 million, representing a 49.07% year-over-year increase, largely due to the all-stock acquisition of DS Smith Plc.
  • Shares outstanding were 506 million in 2025, a 42.77% increase from 2024.
  • In 2024, shares outstanding were 354 million, a 1.46% increase from 2023, following a 4.88% decline in 2023 from 2022.

Outbound Investments

  • International Paper completed the acquisition of London-listed packaging company DS Smith Plc around January 2025, an all-stock deal that created one of the world's largest sustainable packaging companies.
  • The company divested its Global Cellulose Fibers business for $1.5 billion, as part of its strategy to reposition around renewable fiber-based packaging.
  • To satisfy regulatory requirements stemming from the DS Smith acquisition, International Paper divested five European corrugated box plants to PALM Group in July 2025, including facilities in France, Portugal, and Spain.

Capital Expenditures

  • From 2021 through 2025, International Paper's total capital expenditures amounted to approximately $5.4 billion.
  • Capital expenditures in 2025 were $1.9 billion, and are planned to increase to roughly $2.0–$2.1 billion in 2026.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures includes upgrading assets, expanding capacity, investing in the box system, adding new converting lines, upgrading equipment, and opening new facilities to address capacity constraints and improve productivity, particularly in North America where spending per mill is up 50% for 2025-2027.

Better Bets vs. International Paper (IP)

Peer Outperformance in Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

IP has trailed 83% of its 6 Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it is PKG. Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials ranks 8th of 15 industries in Materials by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials constituents that IP has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
14%
of 7 industry peers · -4.9% return
3Y
67%
of 6 industry peers · 18.5% return
5Y
17%
of 6 industry peers · -12.4% return
Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials peers with revenue growth within 4pp of IP's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
IP International Paper 10.9% -5.3x -4.9%18.5%-12.4% —
PKG Packaging of America 7.8% 30.4x 27.7%73.1%115.3% +128pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Materials sector, ranked by 5Y. Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials is IP's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Copper 7 31.6%115.9%133.4% SCCO 236% · TGB 208% · HBM 191%
Steel 14 14.3%39.2%108.4% HCC 311% · STLD 259% · RS 174%
Gold 38 17.5%190.2%102.1% IAG 509% · OGC 372% · AGI 313%
Silver 6 37.5%293.2%82.3% AYA 284% · HL 149% · EXK 47%
Construction Materials 6 -14.7%16.8%34.3% USLM 338% · CRH 104% · VMC 43%
Aluminum 3 6.8%110.3%16.5% CENX 142% · AA -15%
Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers 11 16.9%21.4%8.0% GEF 24% · ATR 16% · SLGN 9%
Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials ← 7 19.6%17.6%-5.6% PKG 115% · CCK 21% · SON 1%
Diversified Metals & Mining 23 -52.8%-2.8%-7.6% SKE 179% · MTRN 105% · MP -15%
Diversified Chemicals 3 18.4%4.4%-14.4% CBT 34% · ASH -14%
Specialty Chemicals 42 11.0%10.0%-21.3% PRM 146% · NEU 128% · ECL 38%
Commodity Chemicals 13 18.3%-22.8%-31.0% HWKN 318% · MEOH 53% · DOW -30%
Precious Metals & Minerals 7 -0.9%137.5%-31.4% PPTA 309%
Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals 10 5.2%10.4%-42.8% CF 112% · CTVA 80% · NTR 23%
Paper Products 4 -40.8%-62.4%-81.3%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IPKMBPKGSWAMCRMedian
NameInternat.Kimberly.Packagin.Smurfit .Amcor  
Mkt Price34.53108.65249.7743.5345.1145.11
Mkt Cap18.336.122.122.820.822.1
Rev LTM24,17816,5669,82331,48423,89023,890
Op Inc LTM5232,4091,3091,7112,1771,711
FCF LTM751,944687852772772
FCF 3Y Avg2022,173668600766668
CFO LTM2,3813,3801,6243,0381,7572,381
CFO 3Y Avg1,7813,2111,4202,4431,4901,781

Growth & Margins

IPKMBPKGSWAMCRMedian
NameInternat.Kimberly.Packagin.Smurfit .Amcor  
Rev Chg LTM12.2%0.6%12.0%1.1%37.3%12.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.9%-5.6%7.8%48.4%19.9%10.9%
Rev Chg Q-0.4%-0.4%12.5%2.0%6.7%2.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.1%-0.1%3.0%0.5%1.6%0.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM530.1%6.4%1.0%-23.7%41.9%6.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg126.7%-7.0%4.6%21.8%18.4%18.4%
Op Mgn LTM2.2%14.5%13.3%5.4%9.1%9.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.5%15.5%13.9%6.7%9.3%9.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.9%-0.6%0.3%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM9.8%20.4%16.5%9.6%7.4%9.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.1%20.1%15.9%9.1%8.3%9.1%
FCF/Rev LTM0.3%11.7%7.0%2.7%3.2%3.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.5%13.7%7.5%2.1%4.4%4.4%

Valuation

IPKMBPKGSWAMCRMedian
NameInternat.Kimberly.Packagin.Smurfit .Amcor  
Mkt Cap18.336.122.122.820.822.1
P/S0.82.22.30.70.90.9
P/Op Inc35.015.016.913.39.615.0
P/EBIT-5.815.220.115.110.715.1
P/E-5.310.930.448.219.219.2
P/CFO7.710.713.67.511.910.7
Total Yield-13.6%13.8%5.4%6.1%11.0%6.1%
Dividend Yield5.4%4.7%2.1%4.1%5.8%4.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.4%5.4%3.4%2.6%4.2%3.4%
D/E0.60.20.20.60.80.6
Net D/E0.50.10.20.60.70.5

Returns

IPKMBPKGSWAMCRMedian
NameInternat.Kimberly.Packagin.Smurfit .Amcor  
1M Rtn7.5%11.3%8.4%5.4%8.1%8.1%
3M Rtn-16.0%0.2%-1.8%-9.0%-4.4%-4.4%
6M Rtn7.3%13.4%12.7%6.9%16.5%12.7%
12M Rtn-4.9%10.0%27.7%26.7%14.3%14.3%
3Y Rtn18.5%2.3%73.2%2.2%18.3%18.3%
1M Excs Rtn13.3%16.2%13.6%10.0%12.7%13.3%
3M Excs Rtn-10.7%6.7%3.5%-2.9%2.0%2.0%
6M Excs Rtn7.6%13.7%13.0%7.2%16.8%13.0%
12M Excs Rtn-8.8%5.6%20.1%17.4%10.0%10.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-56.8%-71.3%1.4%-70.9%-52.4%-56.8%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Packaging Solutions North America (PS NA)15,17514,29314,293  
Packaging Solutions Europe, Middle East and Africa (PS EMEA)8,4511,3551,398  
Other external sales197302437  
Elimination of intersegment sales-189-115-95  
Corporate and Intrasegment Sales   483305
Global Cellulose Fibers   3,2272,732
Industrial Packaging   17,45116,326
Total23,63415,83516,03321,16119,363


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Packaging Solutions North America (PS NA)572891839  
Packaging Solutions Europe, Middle East and Africa (PS EMEA)-2366080  
Global Cellulose Fibers   106-3
Industrial Packaging   1,7421,638
Total3369519191,8481,635


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Packaging Solutions North America (PS NA)16,49814,501   
Packaging Solutions Europe, Middle East and Africa (PS EMEA)15,4391,276   
Global Cellulose Fibers6,0277,0233,3693,6253,521
Corporate and other  3,8323,8905,475
Industrial Packaging  16,06016,42516,247
Total37,96422,80023,26123,94025,243


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$34.53 
Market Cap ($ Bil)18.3 
First Trading Date01/02/1970 
Distance from 52W High-27.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$34.38$36.56
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA0.4%-5.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility33.8%42.7%
Downside Capture120.53120.47
Upside Capture54.31108.63
Correlation (S&P 500)32.7%35.4%
IP Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.020.891.001.271.150.91
Up Beta-3.871.090.810.801.150.96
Down Beta-0.34-0.56-0.601.021.260.96
Up Capture116%123%119%179%104%51%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days12202863115381
Down Capture-36%137%175%127%113%97%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days10233663135367

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with IP
IP-0.2%42.7%0.10-
Sector ETF (XLB)23.7%18.2%1.0164.2%
Equity (SPY)9.5%13.6%0.4035.6%
Gold (GLD)1.6%28.7%0.0516.5%
Commodities (DBC)38.4%21.2%1.42-33.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.3%14.2%0.5142.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-27.2%43.6%-0.6112.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with IP
IP-2.7%34.1%-0.02-
Sector ETF (XLB)6.1%19.2%0.2058.5%
Equity (SPY)11.3%17.3%0.4843.0%
Gold (GLD)17.5%19.1%0.746.4%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%19.6%0.303.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.3%18.9%-0.0441.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.0%51.6%0.2614.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with IP
IP2.2%32.9%0.14-
Sector ETF (XLB)10.5%20.7%0.4467.2%
Equity (SPY)15.0%18.0%0.7054.7%
Gold (GLD)11.9%16.5%0.592.1%
Commodities (DBC)7.5%18.1%0.3315.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.9%20.7%0.2449.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)60.0%66.3%1.0010.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity46.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020264.3%
Average Daily Volume5.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity529.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares8.8%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 11/6/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/20263.3%5.2% 
7/30/20261.2%-0.9%-5.4%
4/30/2026-9.4%-0.2%1.2%
1/29/2026-6.0%7.7%6.0%
10/30/2025-12.7%-17.9%-10.3%
7/31/2025-12.8%-13.6%-7.8%
4/30/2025-4.1%-6.7%1.6%
1/30/2025-1.6%-7.1%-2.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91114
# Negative15139
Median Positive1.2%5.2%5.0%
Median Negative-4.1%-5.5%-5.4%
Max Positive13.3%20.0%29.7%
Max Negative-12.8%-17.9%-10.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/20263.3%5.2% 
7/30/20261.2%-0.9%-5.4%
4/30/2026-9.4%-0.2%1.2%
1/29/2026-6.0%7.7%6.0%
10/30/2025-12.7%-17.9%-10.3%
7/31/2025-12.8%-13.6%-7.8%
4/30/2025-4.1%-6.7%1.6%
1/30/2025-1.6%-7.1%-2.0%
10/31/202413.3%20.0%21.0%
7/24/20240.8%0.0%6.0%
4/25/2024-2.6%2.5%29.7%
2/1/2024-4.1%-5.5%-0.9%
10/26/2023-0.7%1.5%0.9%
7/27/20234.8%8.4%1.2%
4/27/2023-4.5%-6.5%-10.1%
1/31/202310.7%7.3%-1.8%
10/27/2022-0.7%-1.5%11.9%
7/28/20220.9%-0.0%4.0%
4/28/20220.3%2.4%3.8%
1/27/2022-1.9%0.8%-3.0%
10/27/2021-5.4%-7.7%-9.5%
7/29/2021-0.8%-1.3%1.8%
4/29/20210.8%5.3%11.5%
2/4/2021-7.6%-4.4%8.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91114
# Negative15139
Median Positive1.2%5.2%5.0%
Median Negative-4.1%-5.5%-5.4%
Max Positive13.3%20.0%29.7%
Max Negative-12.8%-17.9%-10.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202611/04/202610-Q
06/30/202608/05/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/27/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202407/26/202410-Q
03/31/202404/26/202410-Q
12/31/202302/16/202410-K
09/30/202310/27/202310-Q
06/30/202307/28/202310-Q
03/31/202304/28/202310-Q
12/31/202202/17/202310-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202611/04/202610-Q
06/30/202608/05/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/27/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202407/26/202410-Q
03/31/202404/26/202410-Q
12/31/202302/16/202410-K
09/30/202310/27/202310-Q
06/30/202307/28/202310-Q
03/31/202304/28/202310-Q
12/31/202202/17/202310-K
09/30/202210/28/202210-Q
06/30/202207/29/202210-Q
03/31/202204/29/202210-Q
12/31/202102/18/202210-K
09/30/202110/28/202110-Q
06/30/202107/30/202110-Q
03/31/202104/30/202110-Q
12/31/202002/19/202110-K
09/30/202010/30/202010-Q
06/30/202007/31/202010-Q
03/31/202005/01/202010-Q
12/31/201902/19/202010-K

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 10/29/2026

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 10/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 Packaging Solutions North America Business Segment Operating ProfitReported460.00 Mil480.00 Mil500.00 Mil   
Q4 2026 Packaging Solutions North America Depreciation and AmortizationReported 245.00 Mil    
Q4 2026 Packaging Solutions North America Adjusted EBITDAReported700.00 Mil720.00 Mil740.00 Mil   
Q4 2026 Recycling Business EBITDAReported 5.00 Mil    
2026 Packaging Solutions North America Business Segment Operating ProfitReported1.34 Bil1.36 Bil1.39 Bil   
2026 Packaging Solutions North America Depreciation and AmortizationReported 943.00 Mil    
2026 Packaging Solutions North America Adjusted EBITDAReported2.27 Bil2.29 Bil2.31 Bil   
2026 Recycling Business EBITDAReported 18.00 Mil    


Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/30/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported780.00 Mil805.00 Mil830.00 Mil47.7% Higher NewGuidance: 545.00 Mil for Q2 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported3.20 Bil3.30 Bil3.40 Bil-1.5% LoweredGuidance: 3.35 Bil for 2026

Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/30/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported520.00 Mil545.00 Mil570.00 Mil   
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported3.20 Bil3.35 Bil3.50 Bil-6.9% LoweredGuidance: 3.60 Bil for 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 10/5/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Hamic, William ThomasExec. VP & PresidentDirectSell810202641.2024,5001,009,3984,406,412Form
2Goughnour, Holly GVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell804202641.963,500146,8601,437,046Form
3Tozier, Scott DirectBuy501202631.3010,000313,009313,792Form
4Gustafsson, Anders DirectBuy312202637.8313,217500,012987,086Form
5Gustafsson, Anders DirectBuy312202638.8412,875500,024500,024Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Hamic, William ThomasExec. VP & PresidentDirectSell810202641.2024,5001,009,3984,406,412Form
2Goughnour, Holly GVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell804202641.963,500146,8601,437,046Form
3Tozier, Scott DirectBuy501202631.3010,000313,009313,792Form
4Gustafsson, Anders DirectBuy312202637.8313,217500,012987,086Form
5Gustafsson, Anders DirectBuy312202638.8412,875500,024500,024Form
6Connor, Christopher M DirectBuy202202640.3725,0001,009,2501,009,250Form
7Silvernail, Andrew KChief Executive OfficerDirectBuy130202639.9850,0001,998,9651,998,965Form
8Ellis, Clay RSenior Vice PresidentPlanSell1217202536.8518,819  Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 9, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Atlas FRM LLC$271.0 Mil17.7%41ADD +51.8%13F
Hill City Capital, LP$149.9 Mil5.4%23ADD +72.8%13F
Slate Path Capital LP$120.7 Mil1.8%44ADD +31.1%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Hill City Capital, LP$149.9 Mil5.4%23ADD +72.8%13F
Atlas FRM LLC$271.0 Mil17.7%41ADD +51.8%13F
Slate Path Capital LP$120.7 Mil1.8%44ADD +31.1%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Atlas FRM LLC$271.0 Mil17.7%41ADD +51.8%13F
Hill City Capital, LP$149.9 Mil5.4%23ADD +72.8%13F
Slate Path Capital LP$120.7 Mil1.8%44ADD +31.1%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/8/2026