Tearsheet

International Paper (IP)


Market Price (5/19/2026): $30.405 | Market Cap: $16.2 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

International Paper (IP)


Market Price (5/19/2026): $30.405
Market Cap: $16.2 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%, CFO LTM is 2.6 Bil

Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 6.0%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%

Key risks
IP key risks include [1] significant integration challenges and financial underperformance following its DS Smith acquisition and [2] material legal exposure from an Italian anti-competition case and a US price-fixing lawsuit.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%, CFO LTM is 2.6 Bil
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 6.0%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%
7 Key risks
IP key risks include [1] significant integration challenges and financial underperformance following its DS Smith acquisition and [2] material legal exposure from an Italian anti-competition case and a US price-fixing lawsuit.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

International Paper (IP) stock has lost about 25% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Weaker-than-expected Q1 2026 Earnings and Reduced Full-Year Guidance.

International Paper reported its first-quarter 2026 earnings on April 30, 2026, with an adjusted operating EPS of $0.15, which, while beating a $0.14 forecast, missed the consensus estimate of $0.18 per share. Quarterly revenue of $5.97 billion also fell short of the consensus estimate of $6.02 billion. More significantly, the company lowered its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance for its North America business from $2.5 billion-$2.6 billion to $2.35 billion-$2.5 billion, and for its EMEA business from $1 billion-$1.1 billion to $900 million-$1 billion. Full-year demand expectations were also revised from flat to up 1% to simply flat. This news led to an immediate decline in share price, with shares plunging 8.64% in pre-market trading.

2. Persistent Macroeconomic Headwinds and Elevated Operating Costs.

The company's first-quarter performance was significantly impacted by challenging macroeconomic factors, including a severe winter storm and ongoing inflation, which led to elevated input costs. International Paper specifically quantified the impact of the winter weather at $53 million, with $35 million attributed to natural gas and utility cost spikes and $18 million to operational disruptions. Additionally, rising diesel costs and a tight freight market created substantial headwinds for its North American packaging segment. These broader market conditions contributed to margin pressure, with adjusted EBITDA margin contracting to 11.3% from 12.6% sequentially.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -23.9% change in IP stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -31.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120265182026Change
Stock Price ($)39.9230.40-23.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)22,17524,96612.6%
P/S Multiple1.00.6-31.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)528532-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution-23.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IP-23.9% 
Market (SPY)7.0%34.8%
Sector (XLB)2.4%50.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -19.6% change in IP stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -35.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255182026Change
Stock Price ($)37.7930.40-19.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)19,93224,96625.3%
P/S Multiple1.00.6-35.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)528532-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution-19.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IP-19.6% 
Market (SPY)8.9%34.3%
Sector (XLB)18.4%55.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -30.6% change in IP stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -34.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020255182026Change
Stock Price ($)43.8230.40-30.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)17,25424,96644.7%
P/S Multiple0.90.6-26.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)348532-34.7%
Cumulative Contribution-30.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IP-30.6% 
Market (SPY)34.7%36.6%
Sector (XLB)22.1%55.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 5.0% change in IP stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 34.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020235182026Change
Stock Price ($)28.9430.405.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)20,94424,96619.2%
P/S Multiple0.50.634.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)349532-34.3%
Cumulative Contribution5.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
IP5.0% 
Market (SPY)84.5%36.7%
Sector (XLB)32.2%51.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
IP Return3%-23%10%55%-24%-22%-20%
Peers Return14%-11%12%24%-15%-8%11%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%8%97%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IP Win Rate50%58%42%58%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate54%46%44%58%42%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IP Max Drawdown-26%-35%-28%-18%-38%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-30%-20%-14%-31%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KMB, PKG, SW, IP, AVY. See IP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/18/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventIPS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-23.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.8%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven183 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-30.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven588 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-37.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven59.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven176 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-21.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven58 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-31.6%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.3%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven198 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-29.9%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.7%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven172 days15 days

Compare to KMB, PKG, SW, IP, AVY

In The Past

International Paper's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventIPS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-23.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.8%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven183 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-30.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven588 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-37.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven59.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven176 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-21.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven58 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-31.6%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.3%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven198 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-29.9%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.7%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven172 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-25.8%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.8%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven94 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-25.4%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.1%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven210 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-86.6%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven644.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven710 days1085 days

Compare to KMB, PKG, SW, IP, AVY

In The Past

International Paper's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About International Paper (IP)

International Paper Company operates as a packaging company primarily in United States, the Middle East, Europe, Africa, Pacific Rim, Asia, and rest of the Americas. It operates through two segments: Industrial Packaging and Global Cellulose Fibers. The Industrial Packaging segment manufactures containerboards, including linerboard, medium, whitetop, recycled linerboard, recycled medium, and saturating kraft. The Global Cellulose Fibers segment provides fluff, market, and specialty pulps that are used in absorbent hygiene products, such as baby diapers, feminine care, adult incontinence, and other non-woven products; tissue and paper products; and non-absorbent end applications, including textiles, filtration, construction material, paints and coatings, reinforced plastics, and other applications. It sells its products directly to end users and converters, as well as through agents, resellers, and paper distributors. The company was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

AI Analysis | Feedback

International Paper is like the 'Intel inside' for cardboard boxes and hygiene products, providing the essential paper and pulp materials that underpin countless consumer goods.

Think of International Paper as a 'Dow Chemical for the forest industry,' providing foundational paper and pulp materials used in everything from packaging to absorbent products.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Containerboards: Materials used to manufacture packaging, including various types of linerboard and medium.
  • Fluff Pulp: A type of cellulose fiber primarily used in absorbent hygiene products like baby diapers and feminine care.
  • Market Pulp: Pulp sold on the open market, used in various paper and tissue products.
  • Specialty Pulps: Customized cellulose fibers designed for specific non-absorbent applications such as textiles, filtration, and construction materials.

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Major Customers of International Paper (IP)

International Paper (symbol: IP) primarily sells its products to other businesses (B2B) rather than directly to individual consumers.

Based on the provided company description, specific names of major customer companies are not disclosed. However, the nature of International Paper's product segments indicates that its major customers are manufacturers and converters across various industries. These include:

  • Customers of the Industrial Packaging Segment: These are primarily companies that convert containerboards (such as linerboard, medium, whitetop, recycled linerboard, recycled medium, and saturating kraft) into finished packaging materials like corrugated boxes. This also includes industrial end-users that utilize these containerboards for their own product packaging needs across a wide range of sectors.
  • Customers of the Global Cellulose Fibers Segment: These are manufacturers that use fluff, market, and specialty pulps as raw materials in their production processes. This category broadly includes:
    • Manufacturers of absorbent hygiene products, such as baby diapers, feminine care products, and adult incontinence products.
    • Manufacturers of tissue and other paper products.
    • Companies involved in non-absorbent end applications, including textiles, filtration systems, construction materials, paints and coatings, and reinforced plastics.

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Andrew Silvernail, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Andrew Silvernail joined International Paper as Chief Executive Officer on May 1, 2024, and became chairman of the Board of Directors on October 1, 2024. He brings two decades of experience leading global companies in the manufacturing and technology sectors. Prior to joining IP, Silvernail served as an executive advisor at KKR & Co., Inc., a global investment firm. He was also the Chairman and CEO of Madison Industries, one of the world's largest privately held companies, and Chairman and CEO of IDEX Corporation from 2011 to 2020, where total shareholder return grew by over 500% during his tenure. He previously held executive positions at Rexnord Industries, Newell Rubbermaid, and Danaher Corporation. Silvernail serves on the Board of Directors of Stryker Corporation.

Lance Loeffler, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Lance Loeffler joined International Paper as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer on April 1, 2025. He has more than 25 years of experience in finance, strategy, and business leadership roles. Before joining IP, Loeffler spent over a decade at Halliburton, where his roles included Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for four years, and most recently, Senior Vice President of the Middle East North Africa business. Prior to Halliburton, he held director positions at Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc., and UBS Investment Bank, focusing on oil and gas clients.

Melissa Flores, Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer

Melissa Flores joined International Paper on January 5, 2026, as Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer, with leadership responsibility for the company's global human resources strategy and functions. Before IP, she worked at IDEX Corporation for 15 years in various leadership roles of increasing responsibility, including Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer. She also held roles in talent acquisition and recruiting at The Right Thing and Capital H Group.

Thomas Hamic, Executive Vice President and President of North American Packaging Solutions

Thomas Hamic joined International Paper in 1991 and has held various sales, marketing, finance, strategic planning, and leadership roles in the United States and Europe. He was named a company officer in 2009 and elected senior vice president in 2018. From 2020 to 2022, Hamic led IP's Global Cellulose Fibers business and the company's commercial efforts. In 2023, he was named senior vice president, North American Container and Chief Commercial Officer.

Joseph R. Saab, Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

Joseph R. Saab joined International Paper in 2001 as legal counsel for Environment, Health and Safety. From 2005 to 2010, he held various positions in the corporate law group, including chief counsel – global governance and compliance and general counsel, Paper the Americas. In 2014, he was named associate general counsel – Industrial Packaging, Europe, Middle East and Africa. He became vice president, deputy general counsel, and assistant corporate secretary in 2019, and was elected senior vice president, general counsel & corporate secretary on July 1, 2022.

AI Analysis | Feedback

International Paper (IP) faces several key risks impacting its business segments of Industrial Packaging and Global Cellulose Fibers.

  1. Macroeconomic Conditions and Demand Fluctuation

    International Paper's business is highly sensitive to global macroeconomic conditions, which directly influence demand for its packaging and pulp products. The Industrial Packaging segment, producing containerboards, is particularly exposed to global trade and manufacturing activity. Recent trends show a slowdown in demand for packaging, with global paper and board figures dropping by 3.1% in 2023 from 2022 due to overinvestment in capacity and reduced demand. For instance, U.S. linerboard prices experienced a notable $20 per ton decrease, contrary to expected increases. Similarly, the Global Cellulose Fibers segment is impacted by consumer spending on hygiene and paper products. The pulp market, for example, saw declining revenues and prices in 2024 due to oversupply and reduced demand. Overall, the paper sector experienced a significant revenue decline of approximately 14% on average in 2023, with a modest recovery in 2024, driven by weakening global economic conditions. Continued economic deterioration could lead to further pressure on free cash flows for International Paper.

  2. Raw Material and Energy Price Volatility

    Both the Industrial Packaging and Global Cellulose Fibers segments are energy-intensive and heavily reliant on raw materials, primarily wood pulp and various chemicals. Fluctuations in the cost and availability of these inputs can significantly compress profit margins and affect operational stability. Global wood pulp prices rose by approximately 30% in 2023, driven by tightening forest resources and higher transportation costs. Energy prices, including electricity and natural gas, also saw a global increase of over 20% in 2022, particularly impacting European operations where higher energy costs could not always be passed on to customers. While input costs can stabilize, as seen with lower energy and chemical costs being offset by higher wood costs in some periods, overall sensitivity remains high.

  3. Environmental Regulations and Sustainability Trends

    As a major player in the forest products industry, International Paper faces significant risks associated with evolving environmental regulations and increasing pressure for sustainable practices. Issues such as deforestation, excessive water consumption, and the ecological impact of large-scale tree harvesting pose reputational risks and can lead to stricter regulatory scrutiny. The paper industry generates air, water, and soil pollution due to its high energy and resource consumption. Compliance with increasingly stringent environmental laws and sustainability standards, such as those in the EU prohibiting certain environmental marketing claims and considering new "Green Claims Directives," requires continuous investment in cleaner technologies and process upgrades, adding to operational complexity and capital expenditure. International Paper has set ambitious sustainability goals, including reducing water usage and greenhouse gas emissions, but has acknowledged significant challenges in achieving these, particularly in operational decarbonization and water conservation at some facilities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The increasing consumer adoption of reusable absorbent hygiene products (such as cloth diapers and washable feminine care items) poses a clear emerging threat to International Paper's Global Cellulose Fibers segment. This trend, driven by environmental consciousness and sustainability concerns, directly reduces the market demand for disposable absorbent products that utilize the fluff, market, and specialty pulps produced by International Paper, thus threatening a core application for this segment's offerings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

International Paper (IP) operates in two primary segments: Industrial Packaging and Global Cellulose Fibers. The addressable markets for these segments are as follows:

Industrial Packaging (Containerboards)

The global containerboard market size was valued at approximately USD 131.33 billion in 2025 and is projected to increase to about USD 166.23 billion by 2035. Another source indicates the global containerboard market was USD 141.43 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 175.89 billion by 2034. The Asia Pacific region holds the largest share of this market, with North America also being a significant contributor, holding 18.85% of the global market share in 2025, valued at USD 26.66 billion.

Global Cellulose Fibers (Pulp, including fluff, market, and specialty pulps)

The global cellulose fiber market size was estimated at USD 40.22 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 62.92 billion by 2030. Another estimate places the global cellulose fiber market at USD 40.9 billion in 2025, growing to USD 61.37 billion by 2034. For the broader pulp market, which includes various types of pulp such as fluff, market, and specialty pulps, the global market size was valued at USD 273.46 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach USD 415.94 billion by 2035. The Asia Pacific region dominates the cellulose fiber market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

International Paper (IP) is poised for future revenue growth over the next two to three years, driven by several strategic initiatives and market adjustments:

  1. Acquisition and Integration of DS Smith: A primary driver of growth is International Paper's acquisition of DS Smith, completed in January 2025. This strategic move is expected to significantly expand the company's global footprint and capabilities, particularly in sustainable packaging across North America and EMEA regions. The integration is projected to yield substantial operational synergies, contributing to increased revenue.
  2. Strategic Focus on Sustainable Packaging Solutions: International Paper is actively transforming its business to become a leading global provider of sustainable packaging solutions. This involves prioritizing innovation in paper-based alternatives, aligning with consumer preferences for eco-friendly products, and optimizing operations to support this core strategic direction.
  3. Operational Streamlining and Cost Reduction Initiatives: The company is undertaking significant restructuring efforts, including exiting non-core businesses such as the molded fiber segment and exploring strategic options for its Global Cellulose Fibers business. Additionally, International Paper is closing less efficient facilities and investing in higher-value packaging operations. These actions are designed to improve operational efficiency, reduce structural costs, enhance service delivery, and ultimately drive profitability, which underpins revenue growth in its core packaging segments.
  4. Targeted Capital Investments: International Paper is making targeted capital investments to modernize and enhance its manufacturing capabilities. An example includes the conversion of a machine at its Riverdale mill for containerboard production, which is expected to be operational by Q3 2026. These investments aim to improve product quality, reliability, and service delivery, supporting sustained revenue growth in its key packaging markets.
  5. Commercial Excellence and Price Adjustments: The company continues to implement commercial excellence initiatives focused on improving its product mix and margins. Despite a challenging market environment, International Paper is executing price adjustments and contract restructuring in its North American box business to enhance financial performance and contribute to revenue growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • International Paper returned $1.93 billion to shareholders in 2022, which included $1.26 billion in share repurchases.
  • In 2023, the company returned approximately $840 million to shareholders through dividends and stock repurchases.
  • Over five years, International Paper returned a total of $6.4 billion to shareholders through dividends and stock repurchases.

Share Issuance

  • International Paper's shares outstanding significantly increased in 2025 to 528 million, representing a 49.07% year-over-year increase, largely due to the all-stock acquisition of DS Smith Plc.
  • Shares outstanding were 506 million in 2025, a 42.77% increase from 2024.
  • In 2024, shares outstanding were 354 million, a 1.46% increase from 2023, following a 4.88% decline in 2023 from 2022.

Outbound Investments

  • International Paper completed the acquisition of London-listed packaging company DS Smith Plc around January 2025, an all-stock deal that created one of the world's largest sustainable packaging companies.
  • The company divested its Global Cellulose Fibers business for $1.5 billion, as part of its strategy to reposition around renewable fiber-based packaging.
  • To satisfy regulatory requirements stemming from the DS Smith acquisition, International Paper divested five European corrugated box plants to PALM Group in July 2025, including facilities in France, Portugal, and Spain.

Capital Expenditures

  • From 2021 through 2025, International Paper's total capital expenditures amounted to approximately $5.4 billion.
  • Capital expenditures in 2025 were $1.9 billion, and are planned to increase to roughly $2.0–$2.1 billion in 2026.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures includes upgrading assets, expanding capacity, investing in the box system, adding new converting lines, upgrading equipment, and opening new facilities to address capacity constraints and improve productivity, particularly in North America where spending per mill is up 50% for 2025-2027.

Better Bets vs. International Paper (IP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IPKMBPKGSWAVYMedian
NameInternat.Kimberly.Packagin.Smurfit .Avery De. 
Mkt Price30.4096.54210.6937.35156.8496.54
Mkt Cap16.232.018.719.512.018.7
Rev LTM24,96616,5569,21631,2359,00616,556
Op Inc LTM2152,4731,2351,9271,1391,235
FCF LTM5531,8377021,022841841
FCF 3Y Avg4602,279697469696696
CFO LTM2,5973,1951,5483,3611,0342,597
CFO 3Y Avg1,8253,2281,3712,1119271,825

Growth & Margins

IPKMBPKGSWAVYMedian
NameInternat.Kimberly.Packagin.Smurfit .Avery De. 
Rev Chg LTM39.5%0.1%7.9%20.9%2.9%7.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.5%-6.3%3.7%58.2%1.0%3.7%
Rev Chg Q13.4%2.7%10.6%0.7%7.0%7.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.9%0.7%2.5%0.2%1.7%1.7%
Op Inc Chg LTM-51.5%-8.8%-1.0%11.3%1.4%-1.0%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-47.1%-3.7%-2.3%32.9%4.7%-2.3%
Op Mgn LTM0.9%14.9%13.4%6.2%12.6%12.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.3%15.6%13.8%8.0%12.5%12.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%0.6%-0.6%-1.0%-0.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM10.4%19.3%16.8%10.8%11.5%11.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.3%19.3%16.1%9.5%10.6%10.6%
FCF/Rev LTM2.2%11.1%7.6%3.3%9.3%7.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.5%13.6%8.3%2.3%8.0%8.0%

Valuation

IPKMBPKGSWAVYMedian
NameInternat.Kimberly.Packagin.Smurfit .Avery De. 
Mkt Cap16.232.018.719.512.018.7
P/S0.61.92.00.61.31.3
P/Op Inc75.213.015.110.110.613.0
P/EBIT-6.513.217.313.111.213.1
P/E-4.815.125.251.417.517.5
P/CFO6.210.012.15.811.610.0
Total Yield-14.7%11.8%6.4%6.6%8.1%6.6%
Dividend Yield6.0%5.2%2.4%4.7%2.4%4.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.0%5.6%3.9%-4.7%4.3%
D/E0.60.20.20.70.30.3
Net D/E0.50.20.20.70.30.3

Returns

IPKMBPKGSWAVYMedian
NameInternat.Kimberly.Packagin.Smurfit .Avery De. 
1M Rtn-18.1%-2.3%-1.3%-10.6%-9.1%-9.1%
3M Rtn-37.5%-10.7%-14.0%-26.1%-19.5%-19.5%
6M Rtn-16.3%-4.6%8.4%12.4%-7.2%-4.6%
12M Rtn-36.8%-27.5%11.1%-16.4%-12.6%-16.4%
3Y Rtn8.8%-25.2%76.5%-13.1%-2.9%-2.9%
1M Excs Rtn-22.0%-6.2%-5.2%-14.5%-13.0%-13.0%
3M Excs Rtn-45.6%-17.3%-20.0%-33.8%-27.1%-27.1%
6M Excs Rtn-27.8%-15.2%-2.8%0.1%-20.0%-15.2%
12M Excs Rtn-61.2%-51.7%-11.9%-40.8%-37.0%-40.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-69.5%-103.8%-6.5%-92.3%-83.0%-83.0%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Packaging Solutions North America14,501    
Corporate and other4,1663,8323,8905,47512,323
Global Cellulose Fibers2,8573,3693,6253,5213,444
Packaging Solutions EMEA1,276    
Industrial Packaging 16,06016,42516,24715,951
Total22,80023,26123,94025,24331,718


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$30.40 
Market Cap ($ Bil)16.1 
First Trading Date01/02/1970 
Distance from 52W High-43.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$34.76$40.82
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-12.5%-25.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility47.0%40.2%
Downside Capture218.12129.64
Upside Capture-22.2639.70
Correlation (SPY)38.9%32.9%
IP Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.791.441.231.331.250.85
Up Beta2.092.042.061.631.710.97
Down Beta4.961.851.711.801.560.92
Up Capture-15%6%22%60%44%38%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days7142451113378
Down Capture359%201%132%137%123%93%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days14283973136370

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with IP
IP-36.2%40.0%-1.02-
Sector ETF (XLB)18.9%16.7%0.8755.3%
Equity (SPY)26.7%12.1%1.6633.2%
Gold (GLD)40.7%26.8%1.253.5%
Commodities (DBC)47.8%18.5%1.97-19.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)10.8%13.4%0.5242.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-23.9%41.9%-0.5419.1%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with IP
IP-8.7%32.2%-0.23-
Sector ETF (XLB)4.8%18.9%0.1557.3%
Equity (SPY)13.8%17.1%0.6444.0%
Gold (GLD)19.5%17.9%0.883.2%
Commodities (DBC)10.8%19.4%0.4410.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.8%0.0841.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)6.9%55.9%0.3413.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with IP
IP1.5%32.0%0.12-
Sector ETF (XLB)10.4%20.6%0.4567.1%
Equity (SPY)15.5%17.9%0.7456.2%
Gold (GLD)13.2%15.9%0.69-0.9%
Commodities (DBC)8.6%17.9%0.3919.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2149.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.3%66.9%1.0610.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity44.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 41520261.2%
Average Daily Volume8.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity531.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares8.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/30/2026-9.4%-0.2% 
1/29/2026-6.0%7.7%6.0%
10/30/2025-12.7%-17.9%-10.3%
7/31/2025-12.8%-13.6%-7.8%
4/30/2025-4.1%-6.7%1.6%
1/30/2025-1.6%-7.1%-2.0%
10/31/202413.3%20.0%21.0%
7/24/20240.8%0.0%6.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81115
# Negative17149
Median Positive1.4%4.9%6.0%
Median Negative-4.1%-6.0%-5.3%
Max Positive13.3%20.0%29.7%
Max Negative-12.8%-17.9%-10.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/27/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202407/26/202410-Q
03/31/202404/26/202410-Q
12/31/202302/16/202410-K
09/30/202310/27/202310-Q
06/30/202307/28/202310-Q
03/31/202304/28/202310-Q
12/31/202202/17/202310-K
09/30/202210/28/202210-Q
06/30/202207/29/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/30/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA520.00 Mil545.00 Mil570.00 Mil-27.3% LoweredGuidance: 750.00 Mil for Q1 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA3.20 Bil3.35 Bil3.50 Bil-6.9% LoweredGuidance: 3.60 Bil for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/29/2026

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Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Tozier, Scott DirectBuy501202631.3010,000313,009313,792Form
2Gustafsson, Anders DirectBuy312202637.8313,217500,012987,086Form
3Gustafsson, Anders DirectBuy312202638.8412,875500,024500,024Form
4Connor, Christopher M DirectBuy202202640.3725,0001,009,2501,009,250Form
5Silvernail, Andrew KChief Executive OfficerDirectBuy130202639.9850,0001,998,9651,998,965Form