Tearsheet

International Paper (IP)


Market Price (12/29/2025): $39.44 | Market Cap: $20.8 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

International Paper (IP)


Market Price (12/29/2025): $39.44
Market Cap: $20.8 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -10 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 0.0%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.2%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.09
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.0%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more.
  Key risks
IP key risks include [1] significant integration challenges and financial underperformance following its DS Smith acquisition and [2] material legal exposure from an Italian anti-competition case and a US price-fixing lawsuit.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.2%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.09
6 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -10 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 0.0%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.0%
9 Key risks
IP key risks include [1] significant integration challenges and financial underperformance following its DS Smith acquisition and [2] material legal exposure from an Italian anti-competition case and a US price-fixing lawsuit.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

IP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting why International Paper (IP) stock moved by -18.7% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 29, 2025:

1. International Paper reported disappointing second-quarter 2025 earnings on July 31, 2025, which likely influenced investor sentiment into the requested period. The company's adjusted operating earnings per share of $0.20 were significantly below the $0.55 reported in the same quarter of the previous year, with officials citing higher input costs, a heavy schedule of planned outages, and soft demand in Europe as primary reasons for reduced profitability. The stock fell 5.58% in pre-market trading following this announcement.

2. The company announced a substantial third-quarter 2025 net loss and missed Wall Street's earnings and revenue expectations on October 30, 2025. International Paper posted a net loss of $1.10 billion, or an adjusted loss of $0.43 per share, significantly underperforming the anticipated $0.56 per share profit. Revenue also fell short of analyst forecasts. This resulted in a notable drop in share price, with an 8.4% decline in premarket trading and a 10.7% fall in morning trading.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -10.9% change in IP stock from 9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -18.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
928202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)44.7739.89-10.89%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)23353.0025596.009.60%
P/S Multiple1.010.82-18.69%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)527.90528.00-0.02%
Cumulative Contribution-10.89%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
IP-10.9% 
Market (SPY)4.3%33.0%
Sector (XLB)3.8%65.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -13.9% change in IP stock from 6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -20.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
629202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)46.3439.89-13.92%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)21320.0025596.0020.06%
P/S Multiple0.950.82-13.48%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)437.60528.00-20.66%
Cumulative Contribution-17.59%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
IP-13.9% 
Market (SPY)12.6%26.8%
Sector (XLB)5.4%58.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -23.8% change in IP stock from 12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -52.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
1228202412282025Change
Stock Price ($)52.3639.89-23.81%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)17933.0025596.0042.73%
P/S Multiple1.010.82-18.87%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)347.40528.00-51.99%
Cumulative Contribution-44.40%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
IP-23.8% 
Market (SPY)17.0%52.7%
Sector (XLB)10.2%63.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 31.5% change in IP stock from 12/29/2022 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 60.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1229202212282025Change
Stock Price ($)30.3439.8931.49%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)21114.0025596.0021.23%
P/S Multiple0.510.8260.06%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)357.80528.00-47.57%
Cumulative Contribution1.74%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/29/2023 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
IP19.8% 
Market (SPY)48.4%38.9%
Sector (XLB)11.4%51.3%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
IP Return14%3%-23%10%55%-24%18%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IP Win Rate67%50%58%42%58%42% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IP Max Drawdown-42%-6%-31%-13%-9%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See IP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventIPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven121.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven207 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-42.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-90.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven913.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,413 days1,480 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

International Paper's stock fell -54.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/4/2021. A -54.9% loss requires a 121.6% gain to breakeven.

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About International Paper (IP)

International Paper Company operates as a packaging company primarily in United States, the Middle East, Europe, Africa, Pacific Rim, Asia, and rest of the Americas. It operates through two segments: Industrial Packaging and Global Cellulose Fibers. The Industrial Packaging segment manufactures containerboards, including linerboard, medium, whitetop, recycled linerboard, recycled medium, and saturating kraft. The Global Cellulose Fibers segment provides fluff, market, and specialty pulps that are used in absorbent hygiene products, such as baby diapers, feminine care, adult incontinence, and other non-woven products; tissue and paper products; and non-absorbent end applications, including textiles, filtration, construction material, paints and coatings, reinforced plastics, and other applications. It sells its products directly to end users and converters, as well as through agents, resellers, and paper distributors. The company was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

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Here are two brief analogies to describe International Paper:

  • The **Caterpillar** of packaging, providing the foundational boxes and materials that move the world's goods.
  • Like **Dow Chemical** for forest products, providing essential materials for packaging and pulp worldwide.

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  • Corrugated Packaging: Manufactures containerboard and corrugated packaging products used for shipping and protecting goods.
  • Pulp: Produces market pulp, a key ingredient for manufacturing tissue, printing, writing papers, and absorbent hygiene products.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

International Paper (IP) primarily sells its products to other companies (Business-to-Business or B2B) rather than directly to individual consumers.

Due to the diversified nature of its core products—sustainable packaging, pulp, and paper—International Paper serves a vast and varied customer base across numerous industries and geographies globally. Consequently, specific individual companies are not typically identified as "major customers" in public disclosures, as IP's revenue is generally spread across thousands of business clients rather than being concentrated with a few large ones. Therefore, while specific company names cannot be listed as "major customers" with publicly available data, the following categories represent the types of companies that are IP's primary direct and indirect customers:

  • Manufacturers of Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG): Companies that produce food, beverages, personal care items, household goods, and other consumer products rely on International Paper for corrugated packaging to protect and transport their goods. These include a wide array of public and private companies globally.
  • E-commerce and Retail Companies: Businesses involved in online retail and traditional brick-and-mortar retail utilize IP's packaging solutions for shipping, display, and logistics. This segment encompasses numerous retailers and logistics providers.
  • Industrial Manufacturers: Various industrial sectors, including automotive, electronics, and durable goods, use IP's packaging for components, finished goods, and other industrial applications.
  • Other Pulp and Paper Manufacturers: Companies that produce tissue products (e.g., facial tissue, toilet paper, paper towels), absorbent hygiene products (e.g., diapers, feminine care), and specialty papers purchase pulp from International Paper as a key raw material. Examples of companies in this sector could include large consumer goods companies (like Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) or Kimberly-Clark (NYSE: KMB)) that have their own paper converting operations, or dedicated tissue and paper manufacturers.
  • Printing and Writing Paper Distributors and Commercial Printers: These entities purchase International Paper's printing papers which are then sold to or used by businesses, publishers, schools, and individuals for various printing needs.

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Andrew Silvernail, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Andrew Silvernail joined International Paper as Chief Executive Officer on May 1, 2024, and became chairman of the Board of Directors on October 1, 2024. He brings two decades of experience leading global companies in the manufacturing and technology sectors. Prior to joining IP, Silvernail served as an executive advisor at KKR & Co., Inc., a global investment firm. He was also the Chairman and CEO of Madison Industries, a large privately held company, and before that, Chairman and CEO of IDEX Corporation from 2011 to 2020.

Lance Loeffler, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Lance Loeffler joined International Paper on April 1, 2025, to lead the company's global financial strategy and functions. Before his role at International Paper, Loeffler worked for Halliburton for over a decade, where he held increasing responsibilities in finance, including leadership positions in corporate development and investor relations. He served as CFO for Halliburton for four years and was most recently the SVP, Middle East and North Africa Region. His career also includes experience in finance, strategy, and business leadership at UBS Investment Bank and Deutsche Bank Securities.

Tim S. Nicholls, Executive Vice President and President of DS Smith, an International Paper company

Tim S. Nicholls was appointed Executive Vice President and President of DS Smith, an International Paper company, effective April 1, 2025, leading the combined business in EMEA. He has more than 30 years of industry experience, including various business and finance leadership roles. Nicholls previously served as International Paper's CFO from 2018, and also from 2007 to 2011.

Thomas Hamic, Executive Vice President and President of North American Packaging Solutions

Thomas Hamic joined International Paper in 1991 and has held various sales, marketing, finance, strategic planning, and leadership positions in the United States and Europe throughout his career. He was named a company officer in 2009 and elected senior vice president in 2018. Hamic led IP's Global Cellulose Fibers business and commercial efforts from 2020 to 2022, and in 2023, he was named senior vice president, North American Container and Chief Commercial Officer.

Clay R. Ellis, Senior Vice President, Global Cellulose Fibers

Clay R. Ellis serves as the Senior Vice President, Global Cellulose Fibers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The public company International Paper (symbol: IP) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from its recent strategic acquisition, broader market dynamics, and ongoing legal and regulatory challenges.

  1. Business Combination Risks from DS Smith Acquisition

    International Paper's recent acquisition and integration of DS Smith present significant business combination risks. These include the potential for substantial integration costs, unforeseen liabilities, and the complexities associated with managing a larger, more global enterprise. The dual listing of shares could also impact liquidity and pricing. The company has already faced integration challenges and weaker-than-expected box shipments following the acquisition, impacting cash flows. The company also reported an unexpected fourth-quarter loss and missed sales targets while working towards this acquisition, partly due to decreasing demand and rising costs.

  2. Market and Economic Volatility

    International Paper is highly susceptible to fluctuations in raw material costs, energy prices, and transportation expenses, which are exacerbated by geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures. The company has experienced financial setbacks due to decreasing demand for packaging products, lower consumer spending on goods, and customer inventory de-stocking, all of which have significantly constrained earnings. The materials sector, in which International Paper operates, is inherently subject to cyclical demand and pricing pressures, contributing to volatility in profitability.

  3. Legal, Regulatory, and Compliance Challenges

    The company faces ongoing legal, regulatory, and governmental proceedings that could materially impact its financial stability. Notably, International Paper and its DS Smith subsidiaries in Italy are involved in a case with the Italian Competition Authority concerning alleged anti-competitive behavior. Additionally, the company is a defendant in a class action lawsuit alleging price-fixing of containerboard products. Increasingly stringent environmental and data privacy regulations also pose a risk, potentially leading to higher compliance costs and liabilities.

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The accelerating global trend towards reusable and refillable packaging models, driven by both consumer demand for reduced waste and increasingly stringent environmental regulations, poses an emerging threat. While International Paper primarily produces fiber-based packaging generally viewed as more sustainable than plastic, the widespread adoption of reuse and refill systems by consumer goods companies and retailers directly reduces the overall demand for new, single-use packaging, regardless of its material composition. This fundamental shift in consumption patterns could impact the volume demand for International Paper's core packaging products over time.

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International Paper (IP) Addressable Market Sizes for Main Products/Services

International Paper's main products and services primarily fall into three categories: Industrial Packaging (containerboard and corrugated packaging), Global Cellulose Fibers (pulp), and Printing Papers.

Industrial Packaging (Containerboard and Corrugated Packaging)

  • Global Corrugated Packaging Market: The global corrugated packaging market was valued at approximately $233.8 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5% between 2025 and 2034. Other estimates place the global corrugated packaging market at $309.86 billion in 2025, expanding to $444.85 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 4.10%. The global corrugated carton market was valued at $171.37 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $230.87 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 3.77%.
  • Global Containerboard Market: The global containerboard market was estimated at $103.6 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $160.04 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 7.3%. Another report valued the global containerboard market at $138.87 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach $166.43 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 2.35%. In 2025, the market is valued at $149.97 billion and is forecast to hit $165.99 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 2.05%.
  • North America Corrugated Packaging Market: The North America corrugated packaging market size is estimated at $113.50 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately $252.42 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 9.17%. Separately, the North America corrugated packaging market is projected to reach $54.41 billion by 2034, growing from $42.77 billion in 2025, at an annual growth rate of 2.72%. The North America corrugated boxes market reached 48.2 billion square meters in 2024 and is expected to reach 52.5 billion square meters by 2033, exhibiting a growth rate of 1.0%.
  • North America Containerboard Market: This market was valued at $28.50 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 3% over the forecast period.

Global Cellulose Fibers (Pulp)

  • Global Pulp Market: The global pulp market is forecast to increase by $43.2 billion, at a CAGR of 3.8%, between 2024 and 2029. Another estimate projects the global pulp market size to grow by $38.1 billion from 2024 to 2028, at a CAGR of approximately 3.53%.
  • Global Wood Pulp Market: The global wood pulp market size was valued at $174.30 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach $223.87 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 2.68% during 2025-2033.
  • Global Pulp and Paper Market (includes pulp): This broader market was valued at $394.00 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately $551.15 billion by 2034, representing a CAGR of 3.80%. Another report indicated the global pulp and paper market was valued at $344.74 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $416.56 billion by 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 1.7%.
  • North America Pulp and Paper Market (includes pulp): This market was valued at $56.39 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow to $57.32 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 0.17%.

Printing Papers

  • Global Printing Paper Market: The global printing paper market size was valued at $115.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow from $119.69 billion in 2025 to reach $144.93 billion by 2030, expanding at a CAGR of 3.6%. Another report estimated the global printing paper market at $126.91 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach $164.95 billion by 2035, reflecting a CAGR of 2.41%.
  • Global Printing and Writing Paper Market: This market size is expected to grow by $10.88 billion from 2025-2029, expanding at a CAGR of 2.1%.
  • Northern America Printing and Writing Paper Market: The value of this market in Northern America stood at $11.4 billion in 2024 and is forecast to increase to $14 billion by 2035, at a CAGR of 1.9%.

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International Paper (IP) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives and market dynamics:

  1. Transformation Strategy and Cost Optimization: International Paper is executing a comprehensive transformation strategy that includes strategic cost initiatives, mill optimization, and exiting non-core businesses to enhance profitability and strengthen its business model. This strategy, including the "80/20 implementation strategy," focuses on prioritizing the most profitable business segments and is expected to contribute significantly to future earnings and adjusted EBITDA. The company anticipates incremental adjusted EBITDA of $600 million in 2026 from actions announced in 2025.
  2. Growth in Packaging Solutions and Market Share Gains in North America: The company's Packaging Solutions businesses, particularly in North America, have demonstrated impressive growth with increased market share and box shipments. This positive trend in North American box shipments is expected to continue into 2026. International Paper aims to outpace the market in North America in 2026.
  3. Strategic Acquisition of DS Smith: The acquisition of DS Smith, completed in January 2025, is a transformative deal that significantly expands International Paper's geographic footprint, particularly across Europe, and increases its exposure to the fresh food packaging market. This acquisition is anticipated to drive substantial synergies and market growth, with IP forecasting up to $6 billion of EBITDA and at least $2 billion of free cash flow by 2027, assuming 3-4% long-term growth in its markets.
  4. Price Realization and Product Mix Optimization: Management commentary frequently highlights "price realization" and "improved product mix" as crucial drivers for EBITDA improvement. This involves strategically aligning the Global Cellulose Fibers business by reducing exposure to lower-margin commodity grades and focusing on higher-value absorbent pulp products.

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Share Repurchases

  • As of November 1, 2024, International Paper's share repurchase program, approved in October 2022, had approximately $2.96 billion remaining in authorization.
  • In October 2021, International Paper authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $2 billion, in addition to $1.3 billion remaining from a previous authorization.
  • In 2023, International Paper returned approximately $840 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, contributing to a five-year total of $6.4 billion returned through these means.

Share Issuance

  • International Paper issued approximately 179.8 million new shares of common stock to complete the acquisition of DS Smith in January 2025.
  • In the first nine months of 2024, International Paper used 2.0 million shares of treasury stock for various incentive plans.
  • In October 2021, International Paper spun off its global papers business, distributing approximately 80.1% of Sylvamo Corporation's outstanding shares to its shareholders.

Outbound Investments

  • International Paper completed the acquisition of British packaging company DS Smith for $7.2 billion in January 2025. The deal had an implied enterprise value of approximately $9.9 billion.
  • In August 2025, International Paper announced the sale of its Global Cellulose Fibers business to private equity firm American Industrial Partners for $1.5 billion, a transaction expected to close by year-end 2025.
  • In 2023, International Paper completed the sale of its ownership interest in the Ilim joint venture in Russia.

Capital Expenditures

  • International Paper's capital expenditures averaged $858.6 million annually for the fiscal years ending December 2020 to 2024.
  • Capital expenditures in 2023 were $1.141 billion and were expected to be between $800 million and $1 billion for 2024.
  • Key areas of capital investment include a $250 million investment to convert the Riverdale mill in Selma, Alabama, to produce containerboard, and ongoing investments in the Industrial Packaging business to enhance the box system, add converting lines, and upgrade equipment.

Better Bets than International Paper (IP)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to IP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.6%7.6%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.4%-1.4%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
51.0%51.0%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
30.6%30.6%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-2.5%

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Peer Comparisons for International Paper

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IPHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameInternat.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price39.8923.2624.49305.0978.16273.4059.02
Mkt Cap21.121.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
Rev LTM25,59655,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM-103,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM-2772,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg4912,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM1,1903,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg1,6883,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

IPHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameInternat.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM42.7%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.0%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%3.2%
Rev Chg Q56.4%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%9.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM9.6%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM-0.0%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%12.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.9%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.4%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM4.6%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%14.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.4%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%17.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.1%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%11.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.8%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%12.1%

Valuation

IPHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameInternat.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap21.121.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
P/S0.80.41.04.45.410.02.7
P/EBIT-125.46.819.925.122.531.321.2
P/E-16.58.6572.736.029.941.033.0
P/CFO17.75.911.221.122.537.519.4
Total Yield-1.8%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield4.2%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.8%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%5.7%
D/E0.50.50.70.20.10.00.4
Net D/E0.40.30.60.20.00.00.3

Returns

IPHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameInternat.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn1.0%-3.6%12.7%-1.1%1.6%-2.0%-0.0%
3M Rtn-10.9%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%4.9%
6M Rtn-13.9%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%10.9%
12M Rtn-23.8%-27.0%16.2%40.5%34.5%7.5%11.8%
3Y Rtn31.5%-3.7%67.3%141.3%79.6%114.1%73.5%
1M Excs Rtn-0.5%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-1.4%
3M Excs Rtn-15.2%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%0.6%
6M Excs Rtn-26.2%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%-1.3%
12M Excs Rtn-39.8%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%-4.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-49.5%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%-6.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Industrial Packaging15,59617,45116,32614,90015,326
Global Cellulose Fibers2,8903,2272,7322,3932,551
Corporate and Intrasegment Sales430483305272208
Printing Papers    4,291
Total18,91621,16119,36317,56522,376


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Industrial Packaging9191,7421,6381,7572,076
Global Cellulose Fibers-92106-3-218-6
Printing Papers    529
Total8271,8481,6351,5392,599


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Industrial Packaging16,06016,42516,24715,95116,338
Corporate and other3,8323,8905,47512,3239,924
Global Cellulose Fibers3,3693,6253,5213,4443,733
Printing Papers    3,476
Total23,26123,94025,24331,71833,471


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$39.89 
Market Cap ($ Bil)21.1 
First Trading Date01/02/1970 
Distance from 52W High-30.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$39.88$45.43
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA0.0%-12.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility41.6%39.1%
Downside Capture138.75128.58
Upside Capture55.2581.75
Correlation (SPY)33.0%52.9%
IP Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.881.060.940.971.050.84
Up Beta0.811.351.470.921.010.88
Down Beta0.061.231.401.411.100.90
Up Capture128%22%-12%36%68%45%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days8172660122383
Down Capture85%140%119%125%116%95%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days11243563123363

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of IP With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 IPSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-23.8%9.9%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.2%
Annualized Volatility38.8%19.9%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio-0.610.360.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 63.9%53.0%-3.5%21.6%48.6%23.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of IP With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 IPSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return1.0%7.2%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility30.6%18.9%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.6%
Sharpe Ratio0.080.290.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 58.9%44.3%2.6%17.5%41.3%13.6%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of IP With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 IPSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return5.5%10.1%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility31.3%20.7%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.240.440.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 68.7%57.9%-2.9%24.4%50.5%10.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity51,805,001
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-3.2%
Average Daily Volume5,131,903
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.09
Basic Shares Quantity528,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares9.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-12.7%-17.9%-10.3%
7/31/2025-12.8%-13.6%-7.8%
4/30/2025-4.1%-6.7%1.6%
1/30/2025-1.6%-7.1%-2.0%
10/31/202413.3%20.0%21.0%
7/24/20240.8%0.0%6.0%
4/25/2024-2.6%2.5%29.7%
2/1/2024-4.1%-5.5%-0.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81114
# Negative161310
Median Positive1.4%2.5%5.0%
Median Negative-3.4%-6.5%-6.5%
Max Positive13.3%20.0%29.7%
Max Negative-12.8%-17.9%-13.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More
 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Goughnour Holly G.VP & Chief Accounting Officer5052025Sell44.857,500336,3441,413,764Form
1SULLIVAN KATHRYN D 12022024Sell58.3960035,0342,168,897Form