Tearsheet

Amcor (AMCR)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $8.31 | Market Cap: $19.2 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Amcor (AMCR)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $8.31
Market Cap: $19.2 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.0%, Dividend Yield is 5.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 78%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  Key risks
AMCR key risks include [1] increasing operational costs from specific environmental regulations like the EU's Packaging and Packaging Waste Regulation (PPWR) and [2] a notable decline in North American volumes, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.0%, Dividend Yield is 5.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 78%
5 Key risks
AMCR key risks include [1] increasing operational costs from specific environmental regulations like the EU's Packaging and Packaging Waste Regulation (PPWR) and [2] a notable decline in North American volumes, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AMCR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025, Amcor (AMCR) stock experienced a decline due to several key factors: **1. Q4 Fiscal 2025 Earnings Miss and Net Loss.** Amcor reported a net loss of $39 million for its fiscal fourth quarter of 2025, a significant deterioration compared to the prior year's profit, and its earnings per share (EPS) fell below analyst expectations. This performance, announced around mid-August 2025, served as an immediate negative catalyst at the beginning of the period. **2. High Integration Costs from Berry Global Acquisition.** The net loss in Q4 2025 was largely attributed to substantial integration costs associated with the acquisition of Berry Global. While the acquisition is anticipated to yield long-term synergies, the immediate expenses weighed heavily on the company's profitability. **3. Weak Fundamentals and Elevated Leverage.** Concerns over Amcor's financial health, including high leverage with an equity multiplier of 4.27x, a net profit margin of 5.46%, and a sluggish cash conversion cycle of 119.89 days, contributed to investor caution. These weak fundamentals were cited as reasons for the stock dropping to its lowest level since April 2020 in early September 2025. **4. Declining Packaging Volumes and Macroeconomic Headwinds.** The company experienced a decline in legacy packaging volumes during Q4 fiscal 2025, primarily driven by softer demand in North America and operational challenges within its North American beverage business. Broader macroeconomic factors, such as a contracting Chinese manufacturing sector and inflationary pressures, further exacerbated market pessimism and put downward pressure on packaging margins. **5. Analyst Downgrades and Bearish Sentiment.** Analysts trimmed their price targets for Amcor and expressed caution regarding its near-term performance as of December 2025. Concerns included the potential for slower-than-expected integration of Berry Global and persistent industry headwinds, which fostered a bearish market sentiment during the latter part of the period.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AMCR Return13%6%3%-15%3%-6%2%
Peers Return27%17%-19%0%11%0%34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMCR Win Rate58%67%42%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate62%57%47%48%53%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMCR Max Drawdown-44%-7%-9%-26%-8%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-9%-33%-20%-12%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SEE, SLGN, IP, BALL, CCK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAMCRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven147 days148 days

Compare to HI, IP, SW, AMCR, PKG


In The Past

Amcor's stock fell -37.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/6/2022. A -37.4% loss requires a 59.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Amcor (AMCR)

Better Bets than Amcor (AMCR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AMCR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.6%7.6%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.2%0.2%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
47.0%47.0%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
24.2%24.2%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.6%7.6%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.2%0.2%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
47.0%47.0%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
24.2%24.2%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Amcor

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AMCRSEESLGNIPBALLCCKMedian
NameAmcor Sealed A.Silgan Internat.Ball Crown  
Mkt Price8.3141.2340.9238.3951.98102.3941.08
Mkt Cap19.26.14.420.314.111.812.9
Rev LTM17,4015,3326,42625,59612,69412,14112,418
Op Inc LTM1,534808640-101,3621,6531,085
FCF LTM85338665-2771401,008263
FCF 3Y Avg805406243491111916449
CFO LTM1,5265793721,1905511,338884
CFO 3Y Avg1,3666245021,6888511,4521,109

Growth & Margins

AMCRSEESLGNIPBALLCCKMedian
NameAmcor Sealed A.Silgan Internat.Ball Crown  
Rev Chg LTM28.4%-1.2%11.1%42.7%7.4%3.3%9.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.5%-2.6%0.4%9.0%-4.4%-2.1%-0.9%
Rev Chg Q71.3%0.5%15.1%56.4%9.6%4.2%12.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM15.9%0.1%4.3%9.6%2.4%1.1%3.3%
Op Mgn LTM8.8%15.1%10.0%-0.0%10.7%13.6%10.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.4%15.1%10.1%2.9%9.8%12.2%9.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%0.2%-0.1%-1.4%-0.1%0.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM8.8%10.9%5.8%4.6%4.3%11.0%7.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.0%11.5%8.4%8.4%7.6%12.1%8.7%
FCF/Rev LTM4.9%7.2%1.0%-1.1%1.1%8.3%3.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.3%7.5%4.1%2.8%1.0%7.6%4.7%

Valuation

AMCRSEESLGNIPBALLCCKMedian
NameAmcor Sealed A.Silgan Internat.Ball Crown  
Mkt Cap19.26.14.420.314.111.812.9
P/S1.11.10.70.81.11.01.0
P/EBIT16.08.47.4-120.711.86.57.9
P/E33.013.413.8-15.820.712.513.6
P/CFO12.610.511.717.025.68.812.2
Total Yield8.0%8.5%9.2%-1.9%6.4%9.1%8.2%
Dividend Yield5.0%1.0%2.0%4.4%1.6%1.0%1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.1%7.9%4.5%3.8%0.9%8.2%4.8%
D/E0.80.71.10.50.50.60.6
Net D/E0.80.71.00.50.50.50.6

Returns

AMCRSEESLGNIPBALLCCKMedian
NameAmcor Sealed A.Silgan Internat.Ball Crown  
1M Rtn0.9%-1.4%6.9%7.8%8.9%6.8%6.9%
3M Rtn2.1%21.5%-3.9%-16.3%7.1%8.5%4.6%
6M Rtn-4.5%37.5%-23.4%-14.4%-6.8%-0.7%-5.7%
12M Rtn-6.4%25.7%-20.2%-26.6%-5.4%24.6%-5.9%
3Y Rtn-19.7%-12.3%-18.6%26.9%4.8%28.5%-3.7%
1M Excs Rtn-2.7%-4.8%5.2%2.6%6.8%5.2%3.9%
3M Excs Rtn0.2%22.0%-5.4%-17.9%5.1%6.7%2.6%
6M Excs Rtn-19.0%21.9%-37.9%-28.3%-21.0%-14.7%-20.0%
12M Excs Rtn-22.6%5.9%-35.2%-40.7%-21.5%8.2%-22.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-93.4%-87.1%-90.6%-52.7%-71.4%-44.5%-79.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Flexibles10,33211,15411,15110,0389,752
Rigid Packaging3,3083,5403,3932,8232,716
Other000  
Total13,64014,69414,54412,86112,468


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity113,552,287
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202520.0%
Average Daily Volume24,614,247
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.61
Basic Shares Quantity2,314,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20251.9%4.2%3.8%
8/14/2025-11.9%-13.8%-15.4%
4/30/2025-1.3%-1.0%0.4%
2/4/20255.1%5.0%6.7%
10/31/2024-7.8%-8.3%-3.8%
8/15/2024-3.7%0.7%3.6%
4/30/20249.6%13.2%11.9%
2/6/20242.2%-3.3%4.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111113
# Negative131311
Median Positive1.9%4.2%4.2%
Median Negative-3.7%-3.9%-6.0%
Max Positive9.6%13.2%13.4%
Max Negative-11.9%-13.8%-38.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025815202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024205202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024816202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023207202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023817202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022208202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022818202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021