Tearsheet

Amcor (AMCR)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $8.32 | Market Cap: $19.3 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Amcor (AMCR)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $8.32
Market Cap: $19.3 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 79%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  Key risks
AMCR key risks include [1] increasing operational costs from specific environmental regulations like the EU's Packaging and Packaging Waste Regulation (PPWR) and [2] a notable decline in North American volumes, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.0%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 79%
5 Key risks
AMCR key risks include [1] increasing operational costs from specific environmental regulations like the EU's Packaging and Packaging Waste Regulation (PPWR) and [2] a notable decline in North American volumes, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AMCR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The period requested (8/31/2025 to December 18, 2025) is in the future. Therefore, actual stock movement data for this specific period is not available. However, based on recent information and future projections, Amcor (AMCR) has been subject to several significant corporate actions and market analyses leading up to and around this time. Here are some key points based on available information up to December 18, 2025:

1. Amcor announced a 1-for-5 reverse stock split. This action, approved by shareholders on November 6, 2025, is set to become effective on January 15, 2026, and will reduce the number of outstanding ordinary shares from approximately 2.3 billion to around 461 million. This aims to reshape Amcor's share count and par value, with per-share metrics to be reported on a split-adjusted basis.

2. Amcor’s stock has shown recent declines and underperformance relative to the S&P 500. Over the past 52 weeks, AMCR declined by 17.6% and fell another 12.5% year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's gains of 12.8% and 16.1% respectively. The stock has remained below its 200-day moving average since mid-August 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AMCR Return13%6%3%-15%3%-6%1%
Peers Return27%17%-19%0%11%-0%33%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMCR Win Rate58%67%42%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate62%57%47%48%53%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMCR Max Drawdown-44%-7%-9%-26%-8%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-9%-33%-20%-12%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SEE, SLGN, IP, BALL, CCK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAMCRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven147 days148 days

Compare to HI, IP, AMCR, PKG, SW


In The Past

Amcor's stock fell -37.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/6/2022. A -37.4% loss requires a 59.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Amcor (AMCR)

Better Bets than Amcor (AMCR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AMCR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Amcor

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AMCRSEESLGNIPBALLCCKMedian
NameAmcor Sealed A.Silgan Internat.Ball Crown  
Mkt Price8.3741.3241.0538.6952.02104.3141.19
Mkt Cap19.46.14.420.414.112.013.1
Rev LTM17,4015,3326,42625,59612,69412,14112,418
Op Inc LTM1,534808640-101,3621,6531,085
FCF LTM85338665-2771401,008263
FCF 3Y Avg805406243491111916449
CFO LTM1,5265793721,1905511,338884
CFO 3Y Avg1,3666245021,6888511,4521,109

Growth & Margins

AMCRSEESLGNIPBALLCCKMedian
NameAmcor Sealed A.Silgan Internat.Ball Crown  
Rev Chg LTM28.4%-1.2%11.1%42.7%7.4%3.3%9.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.5%-2.6%0.4%9.0%-4.4%-2.1%-0.9%
Rev Chg Q71.3%0.5%15.1%56.4%9.6%4.2%12.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM15.9%0.1%4.3%9.6%2.4%1.1%3.3%
Op Mgn LTM8.8%15.1%10.0%-0.0%10.7%13.6%10.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.4%15.1%10.1%2.9%9.8%12.2%9.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%0.2%-0.1%-1.4%-0.1%0.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM8.8%10.9%5.8%4.6%4.3%11.0%7.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.0%11.5%8.4%8.4%7.6%12.1%8.7%
FCF/Rev LTM4.9%7.2%1.0%-1.1%1.1%8.3%3.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.3%7.5%4.1%2.8%1.0%7.6%4.7%

Valuation

AMCRSEESLGNIPBALLCCKMedian
NameAmcor Sealed A.Silgan Internat.Ball Crown  
Mkt Cap19.46.14.420.414.112.013.1
P/S1.11.00.71.01.10.91.0
P/EBIT15.87.27.8-145.811.46.17.5
P/E32.511.414.5-19.220.111.813.2
P/CFO12.49.012.320.624.88.312.4
Total Yield8.1%9.9%8.7%-1.6%6.6%9.6%8.4%
Dividend Yield5.1%1.1%1.9%3.6%1.6%1.1%1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.1%7.9%4.5%3.8%0.9%8.2%4.8%
D/E0.80.81.10.40.50.60.7
Net D/E0.80.81.00.40.50.50.6

Returns

AMCRSEESLGNIPBALLCCKMedian
NameAmcor Sealed A.Silgan Internat.Ball Crown  
1M Rtn0.5%-1.0%9.8%5.4%9.9%9.8%7.6%
3M Rtn2.6%22.9%-4.5%-16.6%6.5%10.1%4.5%
6M Rtn-4.7%37.1%-22.8%-14.3%-6.1%2.3%-5.4%
12M Rtn-9.0%19.0%-22.0%-27.1%-8.5%23.5%-8.8%
3Y Rtn-19.0%-12.3%-17.7%24.5%5.8%34.1%-3.3%
1M Excs Rtn-0.2%-1.7%9.1%4.7%9.2%9.0%6.9%
3M Excs Rtn0.9%19.4%-5.7%-18.2%4.8%8.4%2.8%
6M Excs Rtn-17.1%24.7%-35.2%-26.6%-18.5%-10.1%-17.8%
12M Excs Rtn-21.6%6.6%-34.9%-38.6%-20.4%8.9%-21.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-90.0%-83.8%-86.4%-47.9%-67.1%-32.4%-75.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Flexibles10,33211,15411,15110,0389,752
Rigid Packaging3,3083,5403,3932,8232,716
Other000  
Total13,64014,69414,54412,86112,468


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity113,552,287
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202520.0%
Average Daily Volume24,614,247
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.61
Basic Shares Quantity2,314,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20251.9%4.2%3.8%
8/14/2025-11.9%-13.8%-15.4%
4/30/2025-1.3%-1.0%0.4%
2/4/20255.1%5.0%6.7%
10/31/2024-7.8%-8.3%-3.8%
8/15/2024-3.7%0.7%3.6%
4/30/20249.6%13.2%11.9%
2/6/20242.2%-3.3%4.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111113
# Negative131311
Median Positive1.9%4.2%4.2%
Median Negative-3.7%-3.9%-6.0%
Max Positive9.6%13.2%13.4%
Max Negative-11.9%-13.8%-38.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025815202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024205202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024816202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023207202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023817202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022208202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022818202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021