Tearsheet

Amcor (AMCR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.48 | Market Cap: $19.6 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Amcor (AMCR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.48
Market Cap: $19.6 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 79%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.0%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 79%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AMCR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Amcor's (AMCR) stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 5, 2025: 1. Mixed Q4 2025 Earnings and EPS Miss: Amcor reported a GAAP net loss of $39 million for Q4 fiscal 2025 due to acquisition-related expenses following the Berry Global acquisition, despite a surge in revenue. The reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.20 also fell slightly below analyst estimates of $0.22. This mixed performance led to an initial dip in shares after the August 14, 2025, earnings release.

2. Analyst Price Target Reductions: Multiple analysts adjusted their price targets for Amcor downward between August and December 2025. Some targets were lowered from $11.00 to $9.00 or $10.00, influenced by factors such as slightly higher discount rate assumptions and a modestly lower future price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AMCR Return13%6%3%-15%3%-6%1%
Peers Return16%9%-8%8%13%-14%22%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMCR Win Rate58%67%42%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%47%38%42%59%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMCR Max Drawdown-44%-7%-9%-26%-8%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-5%-17%-11%-13%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HI, IP, AMCR, PKG, SW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAMCRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven147 days148 days

Compare to HI, IP, AMCR, PKG, SW


In The Past

Amcor's stock fell -37.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/6/2022. A -37.4% loss requires a 59.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Amcor (AMCR)

Better Bets than Amcor (AMCR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AMCR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Amcor

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AMCRHIIPPKGSWMedian
NameAmcor Hillenbr.Internat.Packagin.Smurfit . 
Mkt Price8.3231.7839.14196.5836.1936.19
Mkt Cap19.32.320.717.618.918.9
Rev LTM17,4012,85925,5968,77231,13817,401
Op Inc LTM1,534174-101,2962,1721,296
FCF LTM853113-277725800725
FCF 3Y Avg80598491714473491
CFO LTM1,5261551,1901,4362,9781,436
CFO 3Y Avg1,3661531,6881,3461,7921,366

Growth & Margins

AMCRHIIPPKGSWMedian
NameAmcor Hillenbr.Internat.Packagin.Smurfit . 
Rev Chg LTM28.4%-8.0%42.7%7.3%89.5%28.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.5%17.8%9.0%1.1%55.9%9.0%
Rev Chg Q71.3%-23.9%56.4%6.0%4.3%6.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM15.9%-6.2%9.6%1.5%1.1%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM8.8%6.1%-0.0%14.8%7.0%7.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.4%8.5%2.9%14.4%8.4%8.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%-0.7%-1.4%-0.1%0.8%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM8.8%5.4%4.6%16.4%9.6%8.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.0%5.4%8.4%16.3%9.3%9.0%
FCF/Rev LTM4.9%3.9%-1.1%8.3%2.6%3.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.3%3.5%2.8%8.7%2.6%3.5%

Valuation

AMCRHIIPPKGSWMedian
NameAmcor Hillenbr.Internat.Packagin.Smurfit . 
Mkt Cap19.32.320.717.618.918.9
P/S1.10.51.02.20.71.0
P/EBIT15.89.1-145.915.712.112.1
P/E32.5-78.9-19.221.829.521.8
P/CFO12.49.220.613.67.412.4
Total Yield8.1%3.2%-1.6%6.9%7.1%6.9%
Dividend Yield5.1%4.4%3.6%2.3%3.7%3.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.1%4.4%3.8%4.3%-4.3%
D/E0.81.20.40.20.60.6
Net D/E0.81.10.40.20.60.6

Returns

AMCRHIIPPKGSWMedian
NameAmcor Hillenbr.Internat.Packagin.Smurfit . 
1M Rtn7.3%0.7%8.4%-0.3%0.9%0.9%
3M Rtn2.7%24.5%-18.0%-8.8%-20.6%-8.8%
6M Rtn-5.1%63.1%-15.1%2.2%-14.1%-5.1%
12M Rtn-15.9%-4.9%-29.4%-17.4%-31.0%-17.4%
3Y Rtn-20.7%-33.2%22.8%58.4%-1.1%
1M Excs Rtn6.1%-0.6%7.1%-1.6%-0.3%-0.3%
3M Excs Rtn-4.0%16.5%-24.4%-16.0%-27.6%-16.0%
6M Excs Rtn-20.6%47.7%-30.5%-13.2%-29.4%-20.6%
12M Excs Rtn-30.1%-18.6%-43.7%-31.1%-45.0%-31.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-92.9%-102.7%-49.8%-11.4%--71.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Flexibles10,33211,15411,15110,0389,752
Rigid Packaging3,3083,5403,3932,8232,716
Other000  
Total13,64014,69414,54412,86112,468


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity94,648,205
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202514.6%
Average Daily Volume29,571,551
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.20
Basic Shares Quantity2,314,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025815202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024205202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024816202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023207202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023817202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022208202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022818202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021