Procter & Gamble (PG)


Market Price (8/7/2026): $146.8 | Market Cap: $341.9 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Personal Care Products

Procter & Gamble (PG)


Market Price (8/7/2026): $146.8
Market Cap: $341.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Personal Care Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 20 Bil, FCF LTM is 15 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 17 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable Consumption, Health & Wellness Trends, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3.9x

Key risks
PG key risks include [1] the vulnerability of its uniquely vast global supply chain, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 20 Bil, FCF LTM is 15 Bil
3 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 17 Bil
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable Consumption, Health & Wellness Trends, Show more.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3.9x
8 Key risks
PG key risks include [1] the vulnerability of its uniquely vast global supply chain, Show more.

PG in ETFs

Weight = PG's share of each fund

SPY0.52%
VOO0.53%
IVV0.52%
VTI0.49%
ITOT0.46%
DIA1.6%
IWB0.49%
RSP0.19%
+33 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/1/2026

Procter & Gamble (PG) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Procter & Gamble reported mixed results for its fiscal Q4 2026, which ended on June 30, 2026, leading to a balanced market reaction. The company's core earnings per share (EPS) of $1.43 slightly surpassed analyst consensus estimates of $1.41, but net sales of $21.2 billion missed analyst expectations of $21.38 billion by 0.82%. Additionally, diluted EPS decreased by 15% year-over-year, and organic sales were flat for the quarter. These contrasting figures likely prevented a significant upward or downward movement in the stock price.

2. Cautious fiscal year 2027 guidance, primarily due to anticipated cost headwinds, tempered investor enthusiasm. Procter & Gamble projected fiscal 2027 core EPS growth in the range of in-line to three percent (equating to $6.89 to $7.11 per share), which had a midpoint slightly below analysts' average estimate of $7.04. The company also expects all-in and organic sales growth of one to three percent, a deceleration from fiscal 2026. This outlook includes an estimated after-tax headwind of approximately $1 billion from higher raw material, energy, and transportation costs, with Q1 fiscal 2027 EPS expected to be down 5% or more year-over-year due to these factors.

Show more
Updated on 8/1/2026

Procter & Gamble (PG) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Procter & Gamble reported mixed results for its fiscal Q4 2026, which ended on June 30, 2026, leading to a balanced market reaction. The company's core earnings per share (EPS) of $1.43 slightly surpassed analyst consensus estimates of $1.41, but net sales of $21.2 billion missed analyst expectations of $21.38 billion by 0.82%. Additionally, diluted EPS decreased by 15% year-over-year, and organic sales were flat for the quarter. These contrasting figures likely prevented a significant upward or downward movement in the stock price.

2. Cautious fiscal year 2027 guidance, primarily due to anticipated cost headwinds, tempered investor enthusiasm. Procter & Gamble projected fiscal 2027 core EPS growth in the range of in-line to three percent (equating to $6.89 to $7.11 per share), which had a midpoint slightly below analysts' average estimate of $7.04. The company also expects all-in and organic sales growth of one to three percent, a deceleration from fiscal 2026. This outlook includes an estimated after-tax headwind of approximately $1 billion from higher raw material, energy, and transportation costs, with Q1 fiscal 2027 EPS expected to be down 5% or more year-over-year due to these factors.

3. Consistent and substantial shareholder returns provided a floor for the stock, offsetting some of the growth concerns. In fiscal 2026, Procter & Gamble returned over $15 billion to shareholders, comprising $10.2 billion in dividend payments and $5.0 billion in share repurchases. The company also increased its dividend in April 2026, marking its 70th consecutive year of dividend increases. This steady commitment to returning capital likely contributed to the stock's stability during the period.

4. Broader macroeconomic pressures, including persistent inflation and a challenging geopolitical environment, weighed on consumer spending and operational costs. P&G's CEO acknowledged a "very challenging geopolitical and economic environment" for fiscal 2026. The company has faced persistent inflationary pressures and higher commodity and transportation costs, exacerbated by the Middle East conflict, which have impacted margins and forced lower-income consumers to cut back on spending. These external factors, largely outside the company's direct control, contributed to a muted overall stock performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.7% change in PG stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 4.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268062026Change
Stock Price ($)146.00146.970.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)86,71887,0330.4%
Net Income Margin (%)19.2%18.4%-3.8%
P/E Multiple20.521.34.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2,3282,3290.0%
Cumulative Contribution0.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PG0.7% 
Market (SPY)6.9%-8.9%
Sector (XLP)0.9%71.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -1.7% change in PG stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -4.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120268062026Change
Stock Price ($)149.52146.97-1.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)85,25987,0332.1%
Net Income Margin (%)19.3%18.4%-4.5%
P/E Multiple21.221.30.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2,3352,3290.3%
Cumulative Contribution-1.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PG-1.7% 
Market (SPY)11.4%5.7%
Sector (XLP)2.5%71.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.5% change in PG stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 3.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120258062026Change
Stock Price ($)146.17146.970.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)83,92787,0333.7%
Net Income Margin (%)18.5%18.4%-0.1%
P/E Multiple22.121.3-3.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2,3472,3290.8%
Cumulative Contribution0.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PG0.5% 
Market (SPY)22.6%-3.6%
Sector (XLP)8.9%70.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 1.8% change in PG stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120238062026Change
Stock Price ($)144.44146.971.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)80,96887,0337.5%
Net Income Margin (%)17.7%18.4%4.2%
P/E Multiple23.821.3-10.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2,3592,3291.3%
Cumulative Contribution1.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PG1.8% 
Market (SPY)73.8%9.5%
Sector (XLP)21.1%73.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
PG Return21%-5%-1%17%-12%5%22%
Peers Return20%-16%-8%0%-3%10%-0%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PG Win Rate67%33%50%75%25%62% 
Peers Win Rate58%40%48%60%37%72% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PG Max Drawdown-12%-24%-11%-9%-20%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-12%-31%-26%-23%-30%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CL, CHD, PG, KVUE, EL. See PG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventPGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-22.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven291 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-22.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven113 days140 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-15.5%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.4%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven93 days15 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-38.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven62.6%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven799 days1085 days

Compare to CL, CHD, PG, KVUE, EL

In The Past

Procter & Gamble's stock fell -4.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventPGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-22.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven291 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-22.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven113 days140 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-38.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven62.6%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven799 days1085 days

Compare to CL, CHD, PG, KVUE, EL

In The Past

Procter & Gamble's stock fell -4.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Procter & Gamble (PG)

The Procter & Gamble Company (PG) is a global leader in branded consumer packaged goods, providing a wide array of products that people use in their daily lives. Established in 1837, P&G operates on an international scale, serving consumers across numerous regions including North and Latin America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Greater China, India, the Middle East, and Africa.

P&G's extensive product portfolio is organized into five key segments: Beauty; Grooming; Health Care; Fabric & Home Care; and Baby, Feminine & Family Care. Through these segments, the company offers a variety of essential goods such as shampoos, conditioners, skincare products, antiperspirants, deodorants, and personal cleansing items. Notable brands include Head & Shoulders, Pantene, Olay, Old Spice, Safeguard, and Secret, positioning P&G as a primary provider of household and personal care staples for a global consumer base.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Procter & Gamble:

  • It's like **General Mills**, but for personal care and cleaning products instead of food.

  • Think of it as the **Coca-Cola** of shampoos, soaps, and detergents.

  • It's the **Disney** of everyday household and personal care brands.

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  • Hair Care Products: This category includes conditioners, shampoos, styling aids, and treatments.
  • Skin & Personal Care Products: These products encompass antiperspirants, deodorants, personal cleansing items, and skin care solutions.

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The Procter & Gamble Company (PG) primarily sells its branded consumer packaged goods to individual consumers worldwide through various retail channels.

Its major customers can be broadly categorized as:

  • Individuals seeking personal hygiene and beauty solutions: This category includes consumers purchasing products for hair care (e.g., shampoos, conditioners, styling aids), skincare, body cleansing, antiperspirants, deodorants, and grooming. Examples include users of Head & Shoulders, Pantene, Olay, Old Spice, Secret, and SK-II brands.
  • Households and families requiring home and family care products: This segment comprises consumers buying products for laundry, home cleaning, baby care (e.g., diapers), and feminine hygiene. These products address the daily needs of maintaining a household and caring for family members.
  • Consumers focused on health and general wellness: This category includes individuals purchasing oral care products (e.g., toothpaste, toothbrushes, mouthwash) and other personal health items.

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The Procter & Gamble Company (symbol: PG) has a distinguished management team.

Shailesh Jejurikar - President and Chief Executive Officer

Shailesh Jejurikar will officially assume the role of President and Chief Executive Officer of Procter & Gamble on January 1, 2026, succeeding Jon Moeller. He began his career at P&G in 1989 as an assistant brand manager in India. Throughout his tenure, he has held various leadership positions across key global markets, including serving as Chief Executive Officer of P&G's Fabric & Home Care, the company's largest division. Prior to his CEO appointment, he served as Chief Operating Officer since 2021, overseeing critical markets and leading core company functions such as IT, global business services, sales, market operations, purchasing, manufacturing, and distribution. Mr. Jejurikar is also a board member of Otis Elevator Co. He is recognized for his ability to drive growth and innovation and played a significant role in advancing P&G's sustainability agenda.

Andre Schulten - Chief Financial Officer

Andre Schulten serves as the Chief Financial Officer of Procter & Gamble, a role he has held since March 2021. A native of Germany, Mr. Schulten joined P&G Germany as a Cost Analyst and Manager of Finance & Accounting in 1996. His extensive experience at P&G spans Europe, North America, and Asia, where he has led organization, supply chain, and total business restructuring and growth strategy for P&G's Feminine Care and Baby Care businesses globally. Notably, he led the systems and IT integration following P&G's acquisition of Gillette. In 2018, he expanded his experience to lead and manage the North America Baby Care business, holding full profit and loss responsibility. Mr. Schulten joined Eaton's Board in October 2024.

Jon R. Moeller - Executive Chairman of the Board

Jon R. Moeller, who previously served as President and Chief Executive Officer from November 2021 to January 2026, will transition to the role of Executive Chairman of the Board effective January 1, 2026. He joined Procter & Gamble in 1988 as a cost analyst. Throughout his career at P&G, he has held various senior leadership roles including Vice President, Treasurer, and Chief Financial Officer for more than 12 years. During his time as CFO, he oversaw finance, accounting, tax, treasury, corporate strategy, business development, and investor relations functions. Mr. Moeller also managed P&G's global Duracell, Salon Professional, Retail Hair Color, and Prestige Fragrances businesses for a multi-year period as these businesses were transitioned for sale. He led major merger and acquisition operations, including the Merck KGaA acquisition and the divestitures of P&G's coffee, snacks, pharmaceuticals, battery, and prestige beauty businesses. He served on the board of directors for Monsanto for eight years and was Chairman of that Board's Audit Committee.

Gary Coombe - Chief Executive Officer – Grooming

Gary Coombe is the Chief Executive Officer for P&G's Grooming segment. He is a member of the diverse leadership team that is shaping P&G's future with extensive knowledge, experience, and expertise.

Marc S. Pritchard - Chief Brand Officer

Marc S. Pritchard serves as P&G's Chief Brand Officer. He plays a pivotal role in shaping the company's strategic direction and ensuring operational excellence across its diverse product portfolio, contributing to driving innovation and maintaining brand integrity.

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The key risks to Procter & Gamble's business are:

  1. Macroeconomic Headwinds: Procter & Gamble faces significant risks from global economic volatility, including inflation, rising commodity costs for raw materials, energy, and transportation, which can pressure profit margins. The company is also exposed to foreign currency fluctuations due to its extensive international operations, which can adversely affect financial results. Geopolitical instability, trade tensions, tariffs, and potential decreases in consumer spending further present considerable challenges, impacting sales and earnings growth.
  2. Intense Competition: The consumer products industry is highly competitive, with Procter & Gamble vying for market share against formidable global and local rivals such as Unilever, Johnson & Johnson, Nestlé, Colgate-Palmolive, and Kimberly-Clark. This intense competition necessitates continuous innovation, strategic pricing, and effective marketing and distribution to maintain its market position and attract consumer attention.
  3. Supply Chain Disruptions: Procter & Gamble relies on a global network of suppliers for its ingredients and has a complex manufacturing and distribution infrastructure, making it susceptible to various supply chain risks. These risks include natural catastrophes, continuity issues with critical suppliers, major IT failures, and transportation disruptions, which can lead to increased costs, production delays, or product unavailability in the market, potentially causing customers to switch to competitors.

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There are two clear emerging threats for Procter & Gamble:

  • The proliferation and growing market share of Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) brands: These agile, digitally native brands leverage e-commerce, social media, and subscription models to reach consumers directly, bypassing traditional retail channels that P&G has historically dominated. Often focused on niche markets, sustainability, or specific ingredient profiles, they challenge P&G's established brands by offering alternative value propositions, innovative branding, and direct customer relationships. This trend fragments the consumer packaged goods market and intensifies competition for consumer loyalty.
  • The increasing strength and sophistication of private label and retailer-owned brands: Major retailers are significantly investing in and promoting their own store brands across various product categories where P&G operates. These private label products often offer comparable quality to national brands at lower price points, directly competing for shelf space and consumer purchases. As retailers gain more control over their ecosystems (e.g., in-store promotion, online recommendations), their ability to push their own higher-margin brands presents a substantial threat to P&G's market share and pricing power.

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The addressable markets for Procter & Gamble's main products and services are as follows:

  • Beauty:
    • Global Beauty and Personal Care Products Market: Valued at USD 601.39 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 1,232.57 billion by 2034. Other estimates include USD 557.88 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 818.42 billion by 2033, and USD 561.4 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 826.96 billion by 2033.
    • U.S. Beauty and Personal Care Products Market: Valued at USD 136.03 billion in 2024 and is expected to expand to USD 195.83 billion by 2033. The market was estimated at USD 109.56 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 196.33 billion by 2033.
    • U.S. Cosmetics Market: Estimated at USD 62.97 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 95.05 billion by 2030.
  • Grooming:
    • Global Grooming Products Market: Estimated to be valued at USD 58.4 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 89.7 billion by 2032.
    • Global Men's Grooming Products Market: Valued at USD 64.63 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 90.63 billion by 2034. Another source estimates the market at USD 61.6 billion in 2025, expected to reach USD 108 billion in 2035.
    • U.S. Male Grooming Products Market: Valued at USD 19,172 million (USD 19.17 billion) in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 28,781.48 million (USD 28.78 billion) by 2034. The market size is also expected to reach USD 97.39 billion by 2032.
  • Health Care (Consumer Healthcare):
    • Global Consumer Healthcare Market: Valued at USD 302.36 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 584.57 billion by 2033. Other estimates include approximately USD 322.58 billion in 2024, expected to reach around USD 650.15 billion by 2034, and USD 349.88 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 668.89 billion by 2034.
    • U.S. Consumer Healthcare Market: Achieved sales of more than USD 100 billion in 2024. The market size was valued at USD 136.22 billion in 2025.
  • Fabric & Home Care: null
  • Baby, Feminine & Family Care:
    • Global Baby Care Products Market: Valued at USD 104.82 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 171.17 billion by 2033. Another source states USD 98.8 billion in 2025, expected to climb to USD 214.6 billion by 2036.
    • U.S. Baby Care Products Market: Valued at USD 19.24 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 33.67 billion by 2033. The U.S. Baby Personal Care Products Market is projected to grow from USD 32.9 billion in 2024 to USD 63.52 billion by 2034.
    • Global Feminine Hygiene Products Market: Valued at USD 46.85 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 79.15 billion by 2033. Other estimates include USD 48.96 billion in 2025, predicted to increase to USD 101.80 billion by 2035.
    • U.S. Feminine Hygiene Products Market: Projected at USD 14,509.38 million (USD 14.51 billion) in 2025. The market size is projected to reach a valuation of USD 34.34 billion by 2033 from USD 15.56 billion in 2024.
    • Family Care Products: null

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Procter & Gamble Company (PG) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives:
  1. Sustained Organic Sales Growth through Pricing and Mix: P&G consistently aims for organic sales growth, which includes strategic price increases and a favorable product mix, meaning consumers are shifting towards higher-value products. For example, in fiscal year 2025, organic sales grew by 2%. The company's guidance for fiscal 2026 projects organic sales growth in the range of flat to plus 4%. This growth is often supported by flat or slightly positive volume and positive pricing and mix contributions.
  2. Product Innovation and Superiority: A core driver for P&G is its commitment to "superiority across product, package, brand communication, retail execution and value". The company continually invests in innovation, launching new products and improving existing ones to drive category expansion and market share gains. Notable examples include the successful launch of the Swiffer PowerMop, which became the largest product launch in Swiffer's history, and the premium Olay line, which has driven significant growth in offline and online channels. The Oral-B iO Power Brush is another innovation cited for driving growth in the power brush segment.
  3. E-commerce Channel Expansion: The digital storefront continues to be a significant growth area for P&G. E-commerce sales increased by 12% in fiscal year 2025, now constituting 19% of the company's total sales, indicating a robust and expanding channel for future revenue.
  4. Growth in Strategic Markets and Categories: P&G focuses on expanding in key geographic markets and prioritizing high-growth product categories. For instance, Latin America achieved 4% organic sales growth in fiscal year 2025, and Greater China's organic sales advanced by 5% in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026. Categories like Family Care and Personal Health Care demonstrated mid-single-digit growth in fiscal year 2025, with Skin and Personal Care organic sales rising by high single digits in Q1 FY2026.
  5. Strategic Portfolio Optimization and Productivity Improvements: While impacting margins, P&G's continuous productivity improvements fuel investments in innovation and demand creation, thereby indirectly supporting revenue growth. Additionally, a new restructuring program initiated in fiscal year 2026, with benefits expected to materialize from fiscal year 2027, involves product and market exits to streamline the portfolio towards higher-growth and higher-return categories and regions.

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Share Repurchases

  • Procter & Gamble returned $6.5 billion to shareholders through share repurchases in fiscal year 2025.
  • In fiscal year 2024, the company's annual share repurchases amounted to $5.006 billion.
  • P&G expects to repurchase approximately $5 billion of common shares in fiscal year 2026.

Share Issuance

  • Information on significant share issuances (e.g., primary public offerings) by Procter & Gamble over the last 3-5 years is not available; changes in outstanding shares have primarily reflected repurchases. The number of outstanding shares declined by 0.71% in 2025 to 2.454 billion and by 0.48% in 2024 to 2.472 billion, indicating the impact of repurchases.

Outbound Investments

  • Procter & Gamble acquired Wonderbelly, a "free-from" digestive wellness brand, in January 2026.
  • In March 2024, P&G acquired Rolaids, an antacid manufacturer.
  • P&G also acquired Mielle Organics, LLC, a haircare products manufacturer and retailer, in January 2023, and Tula Life, Inc., a probiotic skin care company, in January 2022.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for Procter & Gamble were $3.773 billion in fiscal year 2025, an increase of 13.6% from the prior year.
  • P&G estimates its capital spending for fiscal year 2026 to be in the range of 4% to 5% of net sales.
  • The company continuously invests in research and development for product innovation, sustainability initiatives, and capacity expansion to support its portfolio of daily-use, essential offerings.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

PGCLCHDKVUEELMedian
NameProcter .Colgate-.Church &.Kenvue Estee La. 
Mkt Price146.9793.00103.3619.1885.4993.00
Mkt Cap342.374.324.536.831.036.8
Rev LTM87,03321,0466,22915,40814,83315,408
Op Inc LTM19,7494,0581,0882,9411,5642,941
FCF LTM15,1473,8581,1151,9141,2851,914
FCF 3Y Avg15,2383,5299431,7733621,773
CFO LTM19,5564,4561,2602,3251,7982,325
CFO 3Y Avg19,0734,1121,1182,2561,8482,256

Growth & Margins

PGCLCHDKVUEELMedian
NameProcter .Colgate-.Church &.Kenvue Estee La. 
Rev Chg LTM3.3%5.2%2.7%1.8%0.3%2.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.0%4.1%3.4%-0.0%-2.2%2.0%
Rev Chg Q1.5%4.9%1.6%3.0%4.6%3.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%1.2%0.4%0.8%1.1%0.8%
Op Inc Chg LTM-3.4%-6.6%0.8%11.9%17.2%0.8%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg3.0%3.0%1.2%4.2%-3.9%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM22.7%19.3%17.5%19.1%10.5%19.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg23.5%20.9%17.9%17.6%9.2%17.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%-0.5%0.2%-0.1%0.9%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM22.5%21.2%20.2%15.1%12.1%20.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg22.4%20.2%18.3%14.7%12.3%18.3%
FCF/Rev LTM17.4%18.3%17.9%12.4%8.7%17.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg17.9%17.3%15.4%11.6%2.5%15.4%

Valuation

PGCLCHDKVUEELMedian
NameProcter .Colgate-.Church &.Kenvue Estee La. 
Mkt Cap342.374.324.536.831.036.8
P/S3.93.53.92.42.13.5
P/Op Inc17.318.322.512.519.818.3
P/EBIT16.123.323.313.960.723.3
P/E21.336.532.822.2-125.022.2
P/CFO17.516.719.415.817.217.2
Total Yield7.7%5.2%4.2%8.8%0.8%5.2%
Dividend Yield3.0%2.5%1.2%4.3%1.6%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.1%4.7%4.0%4.8%1.6%4.1%
D/E0.10.10.10.20.30.1
Net D/E0.10.10.10.20.20.1

Returns

PGCLCHDKVUEELMedian
NameProcter .Colgate-.Church &.Kenvue Estee La. 
1M Rtn-3.1%-1.6%4.5%-3.0%1.2%-1.6%
3M Rtn1.4%7.1%10.5%9.5%0.6%7.1%
6M Rtn-5.9%-0.8%3.4%8.6%-10.9%-0.8%
12M Rtn-1.0%12.7%13.2%-6.4%-3.8%-1.0%
3Y Rtn1.4%29.7%12.0%-8.9%-46.9%1.4%
1M Excs Rtn-3.3%-2.5%4.4%-3.6%1.5%-2.5%
3M Excs Rtn-4.6%1.4%4.5%5.1%-5.7%1.4%
6M Excs Rtn-16.9%-12.3%-8.6%-3.0%-40.0%-12.3%
12M Excs Rtn-21.9%-7.6%-7.5%-29.7%-27.0%-21.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-66.7%-38.3%-57.3%-77.8%-116.8%-66.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Fabric & Home Care29,61729,49528,37127,55626,014
Baby, Feminine & Family Care20,24820,27720,21719,73618,850
Beauty14,96415,22015,00814,74014,417
Health Care11,99811,79311,22610,8249,956
Grooming6,6626,6546,4196,5876,440
Corporate794601765744441
Total84,28384,04082,00680,18776,118


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2002200120001997
Fabric & Home Care2,7282,4272,318 
Baby, Feminine & Family Care1,961   
Beauty Care1,6641,4041,393 
Health Care795584540471
Food & Beverage604547566 
Paper 1,7351,817 
Laundry and cleaning   2,101
beauty care   1,066
food and beverage   542
paper   1,333
Total7,7526,6976,6345,513


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Fabric & Home Care5,8485,6874,8284,3864,622
Baby, Feminine & Family Care4,0134,0203,5453,2663,629
Beauty2,7152,9633,1783,1603,210
Health Care2,4402,2582,1252,0061,851
Grooming1,5771,4771,4611,4901,427
Corporate-527-1,430-399485-387
Total16,06614,97514,73814,79314,352


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Corporate71,36568,36665,77368,07670,481
Grooming19,08220,60120,48220,66820,589
Fabric & Home Care8,9078,6698,5678,3347,745
Baby, Feminine & Family Care8,4978,5178,4438,6668,628
Health Care8,4168,4807,8887,9767,726
Beauty6,1036,1966,0555,5875,531
Total122,370120,829117,208119,307120,700


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$146.97 
Market Cap ($ Bil)342.2 
First Trading Date01/02/1970 
Distance from 52W High-10.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$146.73$145.90
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA0.2%0.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility22.8%19.7%
Downside Capture-60.44-30.61
Upside Capture-41.46-24.50
Correlation (SPY)-15.4%-3.6%
PG Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.13-0.46-0.260.05-0.080.10
Up Beta-1.51-0.210.210.570.380.21
Down Beta1.68-0.36-0.210.020.020.05
Up Capture-34%-48%-34%-10%-15%1%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days12233466129394
Down Capture-25%-66%-48%-14%-43%16%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days10202960122357

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PG
PG0.5%19.7%-0.09-
Sector ETF (XLP)8.0%14.2%0.3170.6%
Equity (SPY)23.5%12.9%1.37-3.7%
Gold (GLD)25.3%28.3%0.795.1%
Commodities (DBC)32.4%19.8%1.30-31.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.9%13.8%0.6442.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-43.6%43.0%-1.21-14.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PG
PG3.7%18.1%0.09-
Sector ETF (XLP)6.2%13.6%0.2478.0%
Equity (SPY)13.2%17.2%0.5927.2%
Gold (GLD)17.9%18.5%0.787.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%19.6%0.31-8.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.0240.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.0%53.0%0.383.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PG
PG8.6%19.2%0.38-
Sector ETF (XLP)7.4%14.8%0.3681.5%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7344.4%
Gold (GLD)11.8%16.2%0.597.6%
Commodities (DBC)7.4%18.0%0.334.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2048.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.3%66.2%0.985.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity23.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 6302026-3.5%
Average Daily Volume9.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity2,328.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/7/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/29/2026-1.9%-0.6% 
4/24/20262.5%1.7%-0.1%
1/22/20262.6%1.6%10.9%
10/24/20250.9%-1.0%-0.2%
7/29/2025-0.3%-4.0%-0.7%
4/24/2025-3.7%-1.9%-0.4%
1/22/20251.9%3.4%4.0%
10/18/20240.0%-1.0%-1.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161413
# Negative81010
Median Positive2.2%2.5%4.0%
Median Negative-2.0%-1.5%-0.9%
Max Positive4.1%5.6%11.2%
Max Negative-6.2%-4.0%-8.5%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/29/2026-1.9%-0.6% 
4/24/20262.5%1.7%-0.1%
1/22/20262.6%1.6%10.9%
10/24/20250.9%-1.0%-0.2%
7/29/2025-0.3%-4.0%-0.7%
4/24/2025-3.7%-1.9%-0.4%
1/22/20251.9%3.4%4.0%
10/18/20240.0%-1.0%-1.0%
7/30/2024-4.8%-1.1%-0.4%
4/19/20240.5%3.3%6.6%
1/23/20244.1%5.6%8.5%
10/18/20232.6%3.1%4.2%
7/28/20232.8%3.2%0.9%
4/21/20233.5%3.7%1.5%
1/19/2023-2.1%-2.6%-5.7%
10/19/20220.9%2.7%11.2%
7/29/2022-6.2%-2.3%-3.9%
4/20/20222.7%0.8%-8.5%
1/19/20223.4%2.3%1.4%
10/19/2021-1.2%-0.4%4.0%
7/30/20212.0%2.2%2.0%
4/20/20210.8%-3.3%0.4%
1/20/2021-1.2%0.2%-2.5%
10/20/20200.4%0.1%0.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161413
# Negative81010
Median Positive2.2%2.5%4.0%
Median Negative-2.0%-1.5%-0.9%
Max Positive4.1%5.6%11.2%
Max Negative-6.2%-4.0%-8.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/04/202610-K
03/31/202604/24/202610-Q
12/31/202501/23/202610-Q
09/30/202510/24/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-K
03/31/202504/24/202510-Q
12/31/202401/22/202510-Q
09/30/202410/18/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-K
03/31/202404/19/202410-Q
12/31/202301/23/202410-Q
09/30/202310/18/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-K
03/31/202304/21/202310-Q
12/31/202201/19/202310-Q
09/30/202210/19/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/04/202610-K
03/31/202604/24/202610-Q
12/31/202501/23/202610-Q
09/30/202510/24/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-K
03/31/202504/24/202510-Q
12/31/202401/22/202510-Q
09/30/202410/18/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-K
03/31/202404/19/202410-Q
12/31/202301/23/202410-Q
09/30/202310/18/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-K
03/31/202304/21/202310-Q
12/31/202201/19/202310-Q
09/30/202210/19/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-K
03/31/202204/20/202210-Q
12/31/202101/19/202210-Q
09/30/202110/19/202110-Q
06/30/202108/06/202110-K
03/31/202104/20/202110-Q
12/31/202001/20/202110-Q
09/30/202010/20/202010-Q
06/30/202008/06/202010-K
03/31/202004/20/202010-Q
12/31/201901/23/202010-Q
09/30/201910/22/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/30/2026

Latest: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 7/29/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 All-in Sales Growth1.0%2.0%3.0%-33.3%-1.0%Lower NewGuidance: 3.0% for 2026
2027 Organic Sales Growth1.0%2.0%3.0%0.0%0.0%Same NewGuidance: 2.0% for 2026
2027 Diluted EPS Growth1.0%3.0%5.0%-14.3%-0.5%Lower NewGuidance: 3.5% for 2026
2027 Core EPS Growth0.0%1.5%3.0%-25.0%-0.5%Lower NewGuidance: 2.0% for 2026
2027 Core EPS6.8977.110.6% Higher NewGuidance: 6.96 for 2026
2027 Adjusted Free Cash Flow Productivity0.850.880.90.0%0.0%Same NewGuidance: 0.88 for 2026
2027 Dividends 10.00 Bil 0.0% Same NewGuidance: 10.00 Bil for 2026
2027 Share Repurchases 5.00 Bil 0.0% Same NewGuidance: 5.00 Bil for 2026

Prior: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 4/24/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 All-in Sales Growth1.0%3.0%5.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 3.0% for 2026
2026 Organic Sales Growth0.0%2.0%4.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 2.0% for 2026
2026 Diluted EPS Growth1.0%3.5%6.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 3.5% for 2026
2026 Core EPS Growth0.0%2.0%4.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 2.0% for 2026
2026 Core EPS6.836.967.090.0% AffirmedGuidance: 6.96 for 2026
2026 Core Effective Tax Rate20.0%20.5%21.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 20.5% for 2026
2026 Capital Spending0.040.040.05 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 0.04 for 2026
2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow Productivity0.850.880.9 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 0.88 for 2026
2026 Dividends 10.00 Bil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 10.00 Bil for 2026
2026 Share Repurchases 5.00 Bil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 5.00 Bil for 2026

Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 1/22/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 All-in Sales Growth1.0%3.0%5.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 3.0% for 2026
2026 Organic Sales Growth0.0%2.0%4.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 2.0% for 2026
2026 Diluted EPS Growth1.0%3.5%6.0% -2.5%LoweredGuidance: 6.0% for 2026
2026 Core EPS Growth0.0%2.0%4.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 2.0% for 2026
2026 Core EPS6.836.967.090.0% AffirmedGuidance: 6.96 for 2026
2026 Core Effective Tax Rate20.0%20.5%21.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 20.5% for 2026
2026 Capital Spending0.040.040.05 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 0.04 for 2026
2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow Productivity0.850.880.9 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 0.88 for 2026
2026 Dividends 10.00 Bil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 10.00 Bil for 2026
2026 Share Repurchases 5.00 Bil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 5.00 Bil for 2026

Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 10/24/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 All-in Sales Growth1.0%3.0%5.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 3.0% for 2026
2026 Organic Sales Growth0.0%2.0%4.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 2.0% for 2026
2026 Diluted EPS Growth3.0%6.0%9.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 6.0% for 2026
2026 Core EPS Growth0.0%2.0%4.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 2.0% for 2026
2026 Core EPS6.836.967.09   
2026 Core Effective Tax Rate20.0%20.5%21.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 20.5% for 2026
2026 Capital Spending0.040.040.05 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 0.04 for 2026
2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow Productivity0.850.880.9 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 0.88 for 2026
2026 Dividends 10.00 Bil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 10.00 Bil for 2026
2026 Share Repurchases 5.00 Bil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 5.00 Bil for 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 6/10/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Francisco, Ma. FatimaCEO - Baby, Fem & Family CareDirectSell3022026165.295,549917,199170,041Form
2Whaley, Susan StreetChief Legal Officer & SecyDirectSell2232026159.461,809288,4544,817,941Form
3Aguilar, Moses Victor JavierChf Rsch, Dev & Innov OfficerDirectSell2172026162.2815,1692,461,6097,259,625Form
4Moeller, Jon RExec. Chairman of the BoardDirectSell2132026162.45162,23226,354,36151,883,644Form
5Coombe, Gary ACEO - GroomingDirectSell2132026162.3336,0935,859,0025,680,566Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Francisco, Ma. FatimaCEO - Baby, Fem & Family CareDirectSell3022026165.295,549917,199170,041Form
2Whaley, Susan StreetChief Legal Officer & SecyDirectSell2232026159.461,809288,4544,817,941Form
3Aguilar, Moses Victor JavierChf Rsch, Dev & Innov OfficerDirectSell2172026162.2815,1692,461,6097,259,625Form
4Moeller, Jon RExec. Chairman of the BoardDirectSell2132026162.45162,23226,354,36151,883,644Form
5Coombe, Gary ACEO - GroomingDirectSell2132026162.3336,0935,859,0025,680,566Form
6Purushothaman, BalajiChief Human Resources OfficerDirectSell2132026160.3112,8272,056,2872,026,117Form
7Moeller, Jon RExec. Chairman of the BoardDirectSell2132026160.0011,0361,765,76051,101,598Form
8Francisco, Ma. FatimaCEO - Baby, Fem & Family CareDirectSell2042026158.008,0001,264,0001,038,250Form
9Pritchard, Marc SChief Brand OfficerDirectSell1262026151.1595,90314,495,69027,600,889Form
10Schulten, AndreChief Financial OfficerRetirement Plan TrusteeSell11122025146.3711901,005,499Form
11Janzaruk, Matthew WSVP - Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell10302025149.57725108,438146,415Form
12Schulten, AndreChief Financial OfficerDirectSell10062025152.234,252647,2898,219,298Form
13Moeller, Jon RChairman, President and CEODirectSell10062025152.2311,6841,778,67548,703,828Form
14Purushothaman, BalajiChief Human Resources OfficerDirectSell10062025152.2349074,5941,920,556Form
15Keith, R. AlexandraCEO - BeautyDirectSell10062025152.231,855282,3903,908,474Form
16Keith, R. AlexandraCEO - BeautySpouseSell10062025152.2339960,740684,541Form
17Jejurikar, ShaileshChief Operating OfficerDirectSell10062025152.233,986606,7967,139,573Form
18Davis, Jennifer LCEO - Health CareDirectSell10062025152.233,227491,2529,402,428Form
19Coombe, Gary ACEO - GroomingDirectSell10062025152.233,535538,1395,300,121Form
20Whaley, Susan StreetChief Legal Officer & SecyDirectSell10062025152.232,408366,5744,836,376Form
21Whaley, Susan StreetChief Legal Officer & SecyDirectSell8292025156.841,000156,8354,459,734Form
22Raman, Sundar GCEO-Fabric & Home CareDirectSell8222025158.169,5541,511,0506,624,721Form
23Coombe, Gary ACEO - GroomingDirectSell8222025158.1610,1941,612,2735,532,108Form
24Keith, R. AlexandraCEO - BeautyDirectSell8222025158.1610,6971,691,8274,354,039Form
25Keith, R. AlexandraCEO - BeautySpouseSell8222025158.16766121,150774,302Form
26Davis, Jennifer LCEO - Health CareDirectSell8212025157.278,5961,351,92610,221,371Form
27Whaley, Susan StreetChief Legal Officer & SecyDirectSell8202025157.276,167969,9084,629,486Form
28Schulten, AndreChief Financial OfficerDirectSell8202025157.2711,6381,830,3528,279,212Form
29Purushothaman, BalajiChief Human Resources OfficerDirectSell8202025157.2760695,3082,061,231Form
30Pritchard, Marc SChief Brand OfficerDirectSell8202025157.279,8491,548,99028,690,184Form
31Moeller, Jon RChairman, President and CEODirectSell8202025157.2740,1196,309,66850,229,356Form
32Jejurikar, ShaileshChief Operating OfficerDirectSell8202025157.2713,0392,050,6934,409,388Form
33Janzaruk, Matthew WSVP - Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell8202025157.2731950,170267,979Form
34Francisco, Ma. FatimaCEO - Baby, Fem & Family CareDirectSell8202025157.279,1001,431,1924,292,802Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 7, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Vega Investment Solutions$93.9 Mil22.4%175Hold13F
RIT Capital Partners PLC$21.6 Mil5.8%12TRIM -30.0%13F
Fundsmith Investment Services LTD.$254.3 Mil5.8%24Hold13F
Fundsmith LLP$606.6 Mil4.7%34Hold13F
Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP$49.7 Mil4.4%39ADD +31.3%13F
Hamlin Capital Management, LLC$154.2 Mil3.7%30ADD +16.7%13F
HFR Wealth Management, LLC$14.5 Mil3.6%49Hold13F
Saratoga Research & Investment Management$52.0 Mil3.0%46ADD +65.1%13F
Triodos Investment Management BV$36.8 Mil2.8%49Hold13F
Iyo Bank, Ltd.$7.6 Mil2.7%35Hold13F
SRB Corp$33.6 Mil2.1%44TRIM -12.3%13F
Ycg, LLC$16.3 Mil1.5%42Hold13F
Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance CO$5.4 Mil1.3%46New13F
Sanders Capital, LLC$975.2 Mil1.2%44Hold13F
Fidelity National Financial, Inc.$15.2 Mil0.6%21New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Fidelity National Financial, Inc.$15.2 Mil0.6%21New13F
Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance CO$5.4 Mil1.3%46New13F
Saratoga Research & Investment Management$52.0 Mil3.0%46ADD +65.1%13F
Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP$49.7 Mil4.4%39ADD +31.3%13F
Hamlin Capital Management, LLC$154.2 Mil3.7%30ADD +16.7%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Skye Global Management LP$26.3 Mil0.5%45ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Amiral Gestion$6.5 Mil2.4%27ExitedDec 31, 202513F
RIT Capital Partners PLC$21.6 Mil5.8%12TRIM -30.0%Mar 31, 202613F
SRB Corp$33.6 Mil2.1%44TRIM -12.3%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Sanders Capital, LLC$975.2 Mil1.2%44Hold13F
Fundsmith LLP$606.6 Mil4.7%34Hold13F
Fundsmith Investment Services LTD.$254.3 Mil5.8%24Hold13F
Hamlin Capital Management, LLC$154.2 Mil3.7%30ADD +16.7%13F
Vega Investment Solutions$93.9 Mil22.4%175Hold13F
Saratoga Research & Investment Management$52.0 Mil3.0%46ADD +65.1%13F
Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP$49.7 Mil4.4%39ADD +31.3%13F
Triodos Investment Management BV$36.8 Mil2.8%49Hold13F
SRB Corp$33.6 Mil2.1%44TRIM -12.3%13F
RIT Capital Partners PLC$21.6 Mil5.8%12TRIM -30.0%13F
Ycg, LLC$16.3 Mil1.5%42Hold13F
Fidelity National Financial, Inc.$15.2 Mil0.6%21New13F
HFR Wealth Management, LLC$14.5 Mil3.6%49Hold13F
Iyo Bank, Ltd.$7.6 Mil2.7%35Hold13F
Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance CO$5.4 Mil1.3%46New13F

PG Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

Neutral / Watch

CONVICTION RATIONALE

Procter & Gamble's high cash flow productivity of 100% and stable market share provide a solid foundation. However, organic sales growth has slowed to 1.5% and fiscal 2027 guidance points to further deceleration with 1-3% organic growth. The investment case now hinges on new product launches reinvigorating demand against significant cost headwinds.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Recurring Consumption / Brand Franchise

Volume of units sold x Price per unit / Mix of products sold. Productivity savings across the cost structure and favorable mix shift towards higher-margin premium products.

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INVESTMENT THESIS
Can breakthrough innovation re-accelerate growth in a value-focused market?

Evidence suggests a challenging path, but the launch of platforms like Tide Evo could reignite top-line momentum.

Mechanism: The national launch of Tide Evo, a new detergent form protected by over 50 patents, aims to drive category growth and justify premium pricing, adding to the 1% pricing contribution achieved in fiscal 2026 and defending the company's 35% share in fabric care.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Adjusted free cash flow productivity was 100% for fiscal 2026.
  • National expansion of Tide Evo is on track for this fiscal year.
  • Global aggregate market share was in line with prior year for Q4.
  • The company holds over 35% market share in fabric care.
  • Pricing added 1 percentage point to organic sales growth in fiscal 2026.
PRIMARY RISK
Slowing Demand and Competitive Pressure

Decelerating organic sales (from 3% to 1.5% last quarter) and a weak outlook (1-3% organic growth for FY27) suggest the company's premium brands are losing ground. A sharp inventory build of 8.2% versus 1.5% sales growth amplifies this concern.

Mechanism: A failure to regain market share, forcing increased promotional spending to move the excess inventory.
Supporting Evidence:
  • FY2027 organic sales growth is guided to 1% to 3%.
  • Q1 FY2027 EPS is guided to be down 5% or more.
  • Inventory grew 8.2% YoY, while revenue grew 1.5% in Q4.
  • Latest quarter organic sales growth slowed to 1.5% from 3%.
  • A peer noted a 'step-up in competitor promotions' in laundry.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Status Rationale
Organic Sales Growth1.5% year-over-year for the quarter ended 6/30/2026 - DeceleratingOrganic sales growth accelerated in the third quarter but decelerated significantly in the most recent quarter. Management attributed some of the latest quarter's weakness to a "disconnect between sell-out and sell-in" in the U.S. market, with retailer inventory reductions being a factor.
Global Market ShareGlobal aggregate market share was in line with the prior year for the quarter ended 6/30/2026. - StableThe company has stabilized its market share, holding it flat for two consecutive quarters after losing ground in Q2. However, it has not yet returned to gaining share. In the latest quarter, 23 of the top 50 category-country combinations held or grew share, a slight decrease from 26 in the prior quarter.
Global Aggregate Market Sharein line with prior year (Q4 FY2026)Indicates the company's competitive performance against a wide range of global and local competitors, including private-label brands.
Adjusted Free Cash Flow Productivity100% (Fiscal Year 2026)Market rewards The company's long-term algorithm targets 90% or greater.. Measures the company's ability to convert net earnings into cash available for dividends, share repurchases, and acquisitions. It is a key metric for evaluating senior management.
Core Investment Debate

Innovation Power vs. Consumer Value Shift

BULL VIEW

The national launch of Tide Evo and other premium innovations will prove the company's brand superiority, allowing it to take price and re-accelerate growth despite the cautious consumer environment.

CORE TENSION

Can the Tide Evo launch offset slowing organic growth (1.5% in Q4) and a weak FY27 outlook, which the market punished?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
NEUTRAL

The latest evidence favors the bears. The company's own lowered guidance for fiscal 2027 sales and earnings confirms a period of near-term weakness.

BEAR VIEW

In an inflationary environment, even superior products cannot overcome the consumer shift to value and private label, leading to market share erosion and margin pressure from increased promotions.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
10/22/2026
Negative Q1 Earnings Surprise
Watch: Whether the reported Q1 EPS decline is worse than the guided "5% or more" and the organic sales trend.
10/22/2026
Q1 2027 Earnings Report
Watch: The company's next quarterly earnings report is scheduled for release.
10/29/2026
Sustained Competitive Intensity
Watch: Peer results confirming continued promotional spending and market share pressure, providing a negative read-through for PG's categories.
11/2/2026
Peer Earnings Report
Watch: Peer Estee Lauder Companies (EL) is scheduled to report earnings.
in the second quarter of fiscal year 2027
Acquisition Integration Disruption
Watch: Announcements of closing delays, higher-than-expected integration costs, or signs of management distraction from core business priorities.
No set date
Worsening Cost Headwinds
Watch: Sustained increases in Brent crude oil prices above $90/barrel or spikes in freight costs, which could worsen the already-negative Q1 EPS outlook.
Thursday, November 19
Company Investor Day
Watch: The company will hold an Investor Day in Cincinnati.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
2026-07-29
New Chairman Appointed
Details: The company announced that President and CEO Shailesh Jejurikar was appointed Chairman of the Board, effective August 1, 2026, as Executive Chairman Jon Moeller announced his retirement.
-3.3%
$148.88 -> $143.96
2026-07-29
FY2027 Guidance Lowered
Details: Alongside Q4 results, the company issued new guidance for FY2027, lowering expectations for All-in Sales Growth, Diluted EPS Growth, and Core EPS Growth.
-3.3%
$148.88 -> $143.96
2026-07-29
Q4 FY26 Earnings Miss
Details: For Q4, organic sales were flat and core EPS was $1.43, down 3% versus prior year. The stock reacted negatively, down 3.0% over two days.
-3.3%
$148.88 -> $143.96
2026-04-24
Q3 FY26 Earnings Report
Details: The company reported net sales of $21.2 billion, an increase of seven percent year-over-year. Organic sales increased more than 3%. The two-day stock reaction was positive at 3.0%.
+2.6%
$143.55 -> $147.30
2026-02-17
Tide Evo Launch
Details: The company unveiled Tide evo, a new fiber-detergent tile, described as a world-first laundry breakthrough and a concentrated, waterless format.
-2.0%
$157.70 -> $154.54
Native Brand Reformulations
Details: The Native brand announced upgraded deodorant and body wash offerings, including a new Detoxifying Body Scrub Collection and reformulated Moisturizing Body Wash.
-
Risk Management
Position Sizing

2% - 4%

REDUCED POSITION

Sizing is volatility-based: PG trades at roughly 23% annualized options-implied volatility versus about 13% for the S&P 500 (1.7x the market), around the 85th percentile of its own trailing year. A 2% - 4% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.

Diversification Alternatives
CL - Colgate-Palmolive
Global Staples Peer

Colgate-Palmolive has demonstrated stronger recent top-line momentum, with 5.2% trailing-twelve-month revenue growth, and is taking "surgical actions" to improve its U.S. market share.

Core Thesis: A focused play on oral care and emerging markets with improving execution in the U.S.
CHD - a business partner
Value-Oriented Competitor

a business partner portfolio is better positioned for the current value-seeking consumer, as evidenced by stronger recent organic sales growth of 5.8% and share gains from its power brands.

Core Thesis: A direct beneficiary of consumer trade-down behavior with a portfolio of value and niche brands.
How Is The Market Pricing PG?

A consumer staples behemoth leveraging its scale and innovation engine to defend premium positioning in a value-conscious, slow-growth market.

Procter & Gamble operates a portfolio of dominant brands in non-discretionary categories, driving growth through a strategy of 'irresistible superiority'. This is funded by a relentless productivity program that fuels investment in innovation and marketing. The company is currently navigating a landscape of fragmented media and changing retail by focusing on strengthening its core brands (e.g., Tide liquid upgrade) and launching major new platforms (e.g., Tide Evo) to drive category growth and defend its market share.

What will confirm the thesis

A return to consistent market share gains, particularly in the U.S.; successful national launch and adoption of breakthrough innovations like Tide Evo; and margin expansion driven by productivity programs offsetting cost headwinds.

What will damage the thesis

Sustained market share losses to private label or competitors; failure of new product platforms to gain traction or drive category growth; and an inability to offset cost inflation, leading to margin erosion.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Quarter-to-quarter volatility in shipments versus consumption due to retailer inventory adjustments, as noted by management in the Q4 earnings call.

Repricing Catalyst

A successful national launch of the Tide Evo platform, which could re-accelerate growth in the critical Fabric Care segment, and a demonstrated return to sustained market share growth in the U.S. market.

What PG Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on the twelve months through fiscal Q3 2026
Fabric & Home Care
$30.3B TTM (35% of Total)
What It Is

Sells a variety of fabric care products (laundry detergents, additives, fabric enhancers) and home care products (dishwashing liquids, surface cleaners, air fresheners) to consumers through retailers. Major brands include Tide, Ariel, Downy, Cascade, Dawn, and Febreze.

Who Pays & How

Consumers purchase these products through retailers. They choose these brands for their market leadership and performance, with the company holding over a 35% market share in fabric care and over 30% in home care in the markets it competes in.

Transactional unit sales.
Competition
Competes against other branded products and retailers' private-label brands; specific primary competitors are not named in available sources.
Competitive factors include prices, promotional incentives, and trade terms for products.
Global market leadership with #1 or #2 market share positions in many categories, driven by brand strength (Tide, Ariel) and innovation.
Baby, Feminine & Family Care
$20.4B TTM (24% of Total)
What It Is

Sells baby care products (diapers, wipes), feminine care products (menstrual care, adult incontinence), and family care products (paper towels, tissues, toilet paper) to consumers. Major brands include Pampers, Luvs, Always, Tampax, Bounty, and Charmin.

Who Pays & How

Consumers purchase these products through retailers. They choose these brands for their market leadership, with P&G holding over 30% global market share in baby care and nearly 30% in feminine care.

Transactional unit sales.
Competition
Competes against other branded products and retailers' private-label brands; specific primary competitors are not named in available sources.
Competitive factors include prices, promotional incentives, and trade terms for products.
Global market leadership and significant brand equity in brands like Pampers, Always, and Bounty.
Beauty
$15.8B TTM (18% of Total)
What It Is

Sells hair care, personal care, and skin care products to consumers. Major brands include Head & Shoulders, Pantene, Old Spice, Olay, and the super-premium SK-II.

Who Pays & How

Consumers purchase these products through various retail channels. They are chosen for brand recognition and performance, with P&G holding about 20% global market share in retail hair care and personal care.

Transactional unit sales.
Competition
Competes against other branded products and retailers' private-label brands; specific primary competitors are not named in available sources.
Competitive factors include prices, promotional incentives, and trade terms for products.
A portfolio of leading global brands like Head & Shoulders and Pantene, and a strong position in the super-premium skin care segment with SK-II.
Health Care
$12.4B TTM (14% of Total)
What It Is

Sells oral care products (toothbrushes, toothpaste) and personal health care products (respiratory treatments, digestive wellness) to consumers. Major brands include Crest, Oral-B, Vicks, and Metamucil.

Who Pays & How

Consumers purchase these products through retailers and pharmacies. They are chosen for brand leadership, with P&G holding nearly 30% global market share in oral care.

Transactional unit sales.
Competition
Competes against other branded products and retailers' private-label brands; specific primary competitors are not named in available sources.
Competitive factors include prices, promotional incentives, and trade terms for products.
Leadership position in oral care with Crest and Oral-B, and strong brand equity in personal health care with Vicks.
Grooming
$6.9B TTM (8% of Total)
What It Is

Sells blades and razors, pre- and post-shave products, and appliances like electric shavers to consumers. Major brands include Gillette, Venus, and Braun.

Who Pays & How

Consumers purchase these products through retailers. They choose these brands due to P&G's global market leadership, with over 50% share in the grooming market and over 60% in blades and razors.

Transactional unit sales.
Competition
Competes against other branded products and retailers' private-label brands; specific primary competitors are not named in available sources.
Competitive factors include prices, promotional incentives, and trade terms for products.
Dominant global market share in blades and razors with the Gillette and Venus brands, supported by extensive intellectual property.
PG Evolution: Price Return by Era
2021-2025 · Steady Growth and Portfolio Stability
+18%
Based on financial data from 2021 to 2025, the company experienced steady revenue growth across all five of its major segments. The portfolio composition remained stable, with Fabric & Home Care and Baby, Feminine & Family Care consistently being the largest contributors to revenue and profit.
2024-2026 · Productivity and Portfolio Streamlining
+6%
Beginning in fiscal year 2024, the company initiated a 'limited market portfolio restructuring' in certain enterprise markets. This was followed by the announcement of a broader two-year 'portfolio and productivity plan' in June 2025, aimed at streamlining the portfolio and organization to improve cost structure and invest in growth, including a reduction of up to 7,000 non-manufacturing personnel.
Market Appears To Be Cautiously Supportive
Price structure is mildly positive. The trend shows early signs of health but hasn't fully committed. Relative to SPY: Mild underperformance and fading; relative trend is a headwind for the thesis. Volume and momentum are supportive. OBV (on-balance volume) and up/down volume character favor buyers. Earnings history is mildly supportive. The reaction or drift are positive but not both at full conviction.
① Structure
+1
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
+2
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
+1
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
4 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Consolidating · Golden Cross
2 Momentum Accelerating
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Mild Underperformance
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Mild Accumulation
5 Volatility Normal
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Falling
7 Earnings Reaction History Inconsistent
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/6/2026