Turning Point Brands (TPB)
Market Price (7/13/2026): $87.74 | Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Tobacco
Turning Point Brands (TPB)
Market Price (7/13/2026): $87.74Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Tobacco
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Adult Consumer Lifestyles. Themes include Niche Consumer Goods, Direct-to-Consumer Channels, and Heritage & Lifestyle Brands. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 95x Key risksTPB key risks include [1] substantial and increasing regulatory challenges from the FDA, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Adult Consumer Lifestyles. Themes include Niche Consumer Goods, Direct-to-Consumer Channels, and Heritage & Lifestyle Brands. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 95x |
| Key risksTPB key risks include [1] substantial and increasing regulatory challenges from the FDA, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Turning Point Brands (TPB) stock has remained largely at the same level since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Mixed segment performance led to balanced revenue impacts. Turning Point Brands experienced robust growth in its Modern Oral segment during fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), with net sales increasing by 133% to $52.0 million, comprising 42% of total company net sales. This strong performance was largely counteracted by a significant decline in the Zig-Zag segment, which saw net sales decrease by 22.4% to $36.7 million, primarily due to reduced U.S. papers and wraps shipments.
2. Increased operating expenses and negative operating cash flow tempered financial gains. Despite an overall revenue increase of 16.8% to $124.3 million in fiscal Q1 2026, the company's consolidated selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses rose by 53.2% to $55.8 million, driven by investments in the Modern Oral business. This surge in expenses resulted in a 46.2% decrease in operating income, which fell to $12.5 million, and contributed to a negative operating cash flow of $22.3 million for the quarter.
Show more
Turning Point Brands (TPB) stock has remained largely at the same level since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Mixed segment performance led to balanced revenue impacts. Turning Point Brands experienced robust growth in its Modern Oral segment during fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), with net sales increasing by 133% to $52.0 million, comprising 42% of total company net sales. This strong performance was largely counteracted by a significant decline in the Zig-Zag segment, which saw net sales decrease by 22.4% to $36.7 million, primarily due to reduced U.S. papers and wraps shipments.
2. Increased operating expenses and negative operating cash flow tempered financial gains. Despite an overall revenue increase of 16.8% to $124.3 million in fiscal Q1 2026, the company's consolidated selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses rose by 53.2% to $55.8 million, driven by investments in the Modern Oral business. This surge in expenses resulted in a 46.2% decrease in operating income, which fell to $12.5 million, and contributed to a negative operating cash flow of $22.3 million for the quarter.
3. Positive Q1 2026 earnings beat and raised guidance provided support, yet valuation concerns lingered. Turning Point Brands reported strong fiscal Q1 2026 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.76, exceeding analyst consensus estimates (e.g., $0.68 by Zacks Consensus Estimate), and revenue of $124.28 million also surpassed expectations. The company subsequently raised its full-year fiscal 2026 Modern Oral net sales guidance to a range of $210 million-$225 million. While this news initially drove a 5.09% increase in pre-market trading, some analyses suggested the stock might be overvalued, potentially limiting sustained upward movement despite positive operational outlooks.
4. The stock's performance reflects consolidation after prior volatility. From March 31, 2026, through late June 2026, TPB's stock demonstrated a relatively stable trend, with a 3-month performance (April-June 2026) showing a modest gain of 2.01% and a 1-month performance indicating a slight decrease of 1.86% by June 27, 2026. This period of leveling out followed significant volatility, including a 52-week high of $146.90 in late February 2026 and a 52-week low of $65.80 on April 1, 2026, suggesting that the market was assimilating recent financial results and strategic developments.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.1% change in TPB stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 6.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 86.70 | 87.65 | 1.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 463 | 481 | 3.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.6% | 11.5% | -8.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 28.5 | 30.4 | 6.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 19 | 19 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TPB | 1.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.1% | 8.1% |
| Sector (XLP) | 2.6% | 34.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -19.0% change in TPB stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -19.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 108.19 | 87.65 | -19.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 436 | 481 | 10.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.0% | 11.5% | -4.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 37.7 | 30.4 | -19.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 19 | -5.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -19.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TPB | -19.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.0% | 14.1% |
| Sector (XLP) | 8.9% | 37.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.1% change in TPB stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 25.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 75.52 | 87.65 | 16.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 384 | 481 | 25.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.0% | 11.5% | 4.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 31.8 | 30.4 | -4.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 19 | -7.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.1% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TPB | 16.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 23.2% | 13.0% |
| Sector (XLP) | 6.0% | 29.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 271.9% change in TPB stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 349.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 23.57 | 87.65 | 271.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 321 | 481 | 49.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.6% | 11.5% | 349.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 50.1 | 30.4 | -39.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 19 | -8.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 271.9% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TPB | 271.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 76.3% | 23.3% |
| Sector (XLP) | 22.2% | 29.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TPB Return | -15% | -42% | 23% | 130% | 81% | -19% | 106% |
| Peers Return | -3% | -20% | -13% | -2% | -10% | -9% | -46% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 101% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TPB Win Rate | 42% | 17% | 58% | 67% | 75% | 57% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 46% | 46% | 44% | 54% | 50% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 57% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TPB Max Drawdown | -40% | -48% | -24% | -16% | -22% | -51% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -44% | -34% | -35% | -39% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MO, PM, UVV, GNLN. See TPB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TPB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.1% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 33 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.9% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.4% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 38 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -10.2% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 22 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -46.2% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 86.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 639 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -36.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 44 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -32.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.1% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 51 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Turning Point Brands's stock fell -21.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | TPB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.1% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 33 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -46.2% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 86.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 639 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -36.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 44 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -32.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.1% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 51 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Turning Point Brands's stock fell -21.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Turning Point Brands (TPB)
Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) is a consumer products company that manufactures, markets, and distributes a diverse portfolio of branded goods. The company operates through three primary segments: Zig-Zag Products, Stoker's Products, and NewGen Products. This structure allows TPB to participate in various markets, from traditional tobacco to modern, non-tobacco alternatives, serving a broad base of consumers.
Its product offerings are varied. The Zig-Zag Products segment focuses on smoking accessories, including rolling papers, tubes, make-your-own cigar wraps, and finished cigars, all primarily under the well-known Zig-Zag brand. The Stoker's Products segment is dedicated to traditional tobacco, manufacturing and marketing moist snuff tobacco and loose-leaf chewing tobacco under brands like Stoker's, Beech-Nut, and Durango. The NewGen Products segment represents TPB's foray into newer markets, offering cannabidiol (CBD) isolate and liquid vapor products that are free of tobacco and/or nicotine.
TPB reaches its customers through extensive distribution channels. The company sells its products primarily to wholesale distributors, who then supply various retail merchants. These include independent and chain convenience stores, tobacco outlets, food stores, mass merchandising retailers, and drug stores. Additionally, the NewGen Products segment directly serves individual consumers through its VaporFi B2C online platform and engages with non-traditional retail channels via VaporBeast.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Turning Point Brands (TPB):
- Like Altria, but focused on smokeless tobacco, Zig-Zag rolling papers, and vaping products.
- The 'non-cigarette' tobacco and vaping company, similar to a smaller British American Tobacco that specializes in chew, cigar wraps, and e-cigarettes.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Zig-Zag Smoking Products: This segment markets and distributes rolling papers, tubes, finished cigars, and make-your-own cigar wraps under the Zig-Zag brand.
- Stoker's Tobacco Products: Manufactures and markets moist snuff tobacco and loose-leaf chewing tobacco products under various brands including Stoker's and Beech-Nut.
- NewGen CBD Products: Markets and distributes cannabidiol (CBD) isolate.
- NewGen Vapor & Nicotine-Free Products: Distributes liquid vapor products and other consumer products without tobacco and/or nicotine.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Turning Point Brands (TPB) primarily sells its products to other companies. While specific major customer names are not provided in the background information, the company distributes its products through the following types of businesses:
- Wholesale distributors
- Retail merchants, including:
- Independent and chain convenience stores
- Tobacco outlets
- Food stores
- Mass merchandising stores
- Drug stores
Additionally, for its NewGen Products segment, Turning Point Brands also sells directly to individual consumers through its VaporFi B2C online platform.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
Graham H. Purdy, Chief Executive Officer
Appointed CEO in October 2022, Graham Purdy previously served as Chief Operating Officer from 2019 to 2022. He joined Turning Point Brands in 2004 and has held various leadership positions, including President of the New Ventures Division and Senior Vice-President Sales. During his tenure, he oversaw the successful brand extensions of Zig-Zag Cigar Wraps and Stoker's MST and built an effective sales organization. Before joining TPB, he spent seven years at Philip Morris, USA, in senior sales and sales management positions.
Andrew Flynn, Chief Financial Officer
Andrew Flynn was appointed Chief Financial Officer in March 2024, with an effective date on or before April 1, 2024, succeeding Louie Reformina. Prior to joining Turning Point Brands, he served as the CFO at Connected Cannabis Co., where he was responsible for driving profitable growth, geographical expansion, and recapitalizing the company. He also held senior leadership roles at JUUL Labs, James Hardie, and Arrow Electronics.
Summer Frein, Chief Revenue Officer
Summer Frein joined Turning Point Brands as Chief Marketing Officer in early 2022 and was appointed Chief Revenue Officer in December 2022. She is responsible for leading the company's unified revenue strategy and overseeing marketing and sales functions. Before her time at Turning Point Brands, she held a variety of senior leadership roles over 15 years at Cronos Group and Altria Group, Inc.
Alicia Carrasco, Chief People Officer
Alicia Carrasco began with Turning Point Brands as Chief People Officer in 2022. Her responsibilities include ensuring that the people and culture agenda supports TPB's business objectives through strategic workforce initiatives, employee development, and engagement. Previously, she was the Vice President of Human Resources, Consumer Self-Care Americas at Perrigo Company, where she developed and implemented the human resource strategy for North America and also led Perrigo's Global Talent Management function.
David E. Glazek, Executive Chairman
David Glazek transitioned from Non-Executive to Executive Board Chairman, effective January 2023. He is confident in the CEO's ability to oversee Turning Point's brand strategy and sharpen the company's operational focus.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Turning Point Brands (TPB) primarily revolve around the highly regulated nature of its industry, intense competition, and its reliance on third-party suppliers.
- Regulatory Challenges and Shifting Consumer Preferences: Turning Point Brands operates in a heavily regulated environment, with significant oversight from entities like the FDA, particularly concerning tobacco and non-tobacco nicotine products. The company faces risks from potential federal excise tax increases and unresolved outcomes regarding flavor bans, which could impact its Stoker's moist snuff tobacco and NewGen vapor products segments. There's also a threat from declining sales of traditional tobacco products due to increasing health concerns and evolving consumer preferences. The evolving market for novel nicotine and cannabinoid products also presents uncertainty due to a rapidly changing regulatory landscape and shifting consumer demands, with the risk of tighter nicotine regulation potentially impacting future earnings.
- Intense Competition: Turning Point Brands faces substantial competition within the "other tobacco products" (OTP) industry from larger, more resource-rich "big tobacco" companies. Industry consolidation could further disadvantage TPB given its smaller scale, potentially affecting its market share and profitability. The company also faces the threat of larger Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG) companies entering the rolling papers and accessories market, especially if cannabis legalization expands. Furthermore, heavy investments to expand its modern oral products could pressure margins if growth in this segment slows or if regulations tighten.
- Reliance on Third-Party Relationships and Supply Chain Disruptions: Turning Point Brands' business model is significantly dependent on outsourced supplier relationships for product manufacturing. The company's reliance on a limited number of key suppliers, such as Swedish Match and RTI, poses a critical risk. Any disruptions in these essential relationships or broader supply chain issues could adversely affect TPB's ability to deliver products to the market and impact its overall operations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The rise of tobacco-free oral nicotine pouches directly threatening its traditional moist snuff and loose-leaf chewing tobacco products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Addressable Markets for Turning Point Brands' Main Products and Services:
-
Finished Cigars and Make-Your-Own Cigar Wraps (Zig-Zag Products):
- The U.S. cigar and cigarillos market was valued at approximately USD 13.07 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around USD 24.97 billion by 2033.
- Globally, the cigar market was estimated at USD 54.79 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 102.17 billion in 2033.
-
Rolling Papers (Zig-Zag Products):
- The U.S. rolling paper market size is projected at USD 485.74 million in 2025.
- The global rolling paper market reached an estimated US$ 745 million in value in 2023 and is projected to reach US$ 2.5 billion by 2033.
-
Moist Snuff Tobacco (Stoker's Products):
- The U.S. smokeless tobacco market, which includes moist snuff, is estimated to be US$ 4.02 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to US$ 5.3 billion by 2033.
- The global moist snuff market was estimated at USD 5.7 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach approximately USD 9.4 billion by 2032.
-
Loose-Leaf Chewing Tobacco (Stoker's Products):
- The global chewing tobacco market was valued at USD 23.18 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach nearly USD 32.01 billion by 2030.
-
Cannabidiol (CBD) Isolate (NewGen Products):
- The global CBD isolate market was valued at USD 2.8 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 9.2 billion by 2032.
- North America is currently the largest market for CBD isolate. The overall North American cannabidiol market (which includes isolates) held over 40.4% of the global market in 2024, with the global market at USD 9.81 billion in 2024.
-
Liquid Vapor Products (NewGen Products):
- The U.S. e-cigarette and vape market was valued at US$ 13.7 billion. More specifically, the U.S. e-liquid market is estimated to be approximately USD 687 million in 2024 (based on North America holding 38% of the global e-liquid market, with the U.S. contributing nearly 80% of that regional demand, and the global market being USD 2.26 billion).
- The global e-liquid market size was estimated at USD 2.26 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 4.93 billion by 2030.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Turning Point Brands (TPB)
Turning Point Brands (TPB) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives, primarily focusing on its Modern Oral segment and strategic market expansion.
- Modern Oral Nicotine Pouch Expansion: The most significant driver of future revenue growth is anticipated to come from the continued expansion and market share capture of its Modern Oral nicotine pouch brands, FRE and ALP. The company reported a 266% increase in Modern Oral net sales in Q4 2025 and provided 2026 guidance for Modern Oral gross revenue of $220-$240 million and net revenue of $180-$190 million. This growth is supported by expanding distribution to large regional and national accounts, as well as increased presence in bricks-and-mortar retail for ALP.
- Increased Sales and Marketing Investments: TPB is making significant investments in sales, marketing, and trade promotions for its Modern Oral products to capitalize on the rapidly growing nicotine pouch category and achieve a double-digit market share over time. These investments are a strategic priority to support distribution and brand building for its white pouch brands.
- International Expansion for Zig-Zag Products: The "Zig-Zag Everywhere" initiative involves geographic expansion into Western Europe and parts of South America. This strategy aims to leverage increasing international demand for rolling papers, which rose 14% year-over-year through 2024-2025.
- Growth in Legacy Stoker's Products: While Modern Oral is a primary focus, the legacy Stoker's products, particularly moist snuff tobacco (MST), continue to generate durable cash flows and have shown high-single-digit growth. This segment's stable performance provides funding for investments in future growth.
- Product Category Diversification and Strategic Acquisitions: Turning Point Brands is pursuing bolt-on acquisitions in the active ingredients space to integrate innovative brands and further diversify its product portfolio. The company also focuses on the development and launch of novel consumables with active ingredients.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Turning Point Brands reported annual share buybacks of $5.051 million in 2024.
- The company plans to amend its buyback authorization to allow for $200 million of capacity, indicating a future intent for share repurchases.
Share Issuance
- In the third quarter of 2025, Turning Point Brands raised $97.5 million in net proceeds at an average price of $98.59 per share through an "At the Market" offering program.
- The capital raised from the ATM offering program in Q3 2025 is intended to accelerate the growth of the Modern Oral segment.
- The number of voting common shares outstanding increased from 17,747,117 as of February 28, 2025, to 19,141,208 as of February 23, 2026.
Outbound Investments
- By July 2021, Turning Point Brands increased its minority stake in Turning Point Brands Canada to a 65% ownership to enhance marketing and distribution of cannabis accessories and tobacco products in Canada.
- The company is significantly investing in sales and marketing for its Modern Oral products, including preparations for the Q2 2026 launch of the ALK brand in physical retail stores.
- Turning Point Brands is committed to increasing investment in its white pouch brands, with some of this investment expected to be accounted for as contra revenue.
Capital Expenditures
- Over the past five years (as of 2024), Turning Point Brands' capital expenditures have ranged between $4.7 million and $7.7 million annually.
- Budgeted capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to be $4 million to $5 million, excluding projects for the Modern Oral business, with an additional $3 million to $5 million allocated for Modern Oral Premarket Tobacco Applications (PMTAs).
- Capital expenditures in 2025 were directed towards building infrastructure improvements, such as HVAC, electrical, and plumbing systems, to enhance operational efficiency.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 71.79 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| Rev LTM | 2,924 |
| Op Inc LTM | 211 |
| FCF LTM | 80 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 68 |
| CFO LTM | 129 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 127 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -0.2% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 4.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoker’s products | 285 | 168 | 145 | 131 | 124 |
| Zig-Zag products | 178 | 192 | 180 | 190 | 176 |
| Creative Distribution Solutions | 80 | 94 | 145 | ||
| Total | 463 | 361 | 405 | 415 | 445 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoker’s products | 109 | 68 | 62 | 53 | 52 |
| Zig-Zag products | 59 | 67 | 68 | 73 | 77 |
| Corporate unallocated | -73 | -54 | -48 | -53 | -41 |
| Creative Distribution Solutions | -0 | 2 | 2 | ||
| Total | 95 | 81 | 83 | 76 | 90 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoker’s products | 268 | 197 | 175 | 151 | 142 |
| Zig-Zag products | 257 | 224 | 177 | 226 | 228 |
| Corporate unallocated | 239 | 57 | 190 | 155 | 159 |
| Assets held for sale | 0 | 15 | |||
| Creative Distribution Solutions | 27 | 40 | 73 | ||
| Total | 764 | 493 | 569 | 572 | 602 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $87.65 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/11/2016 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -38.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $85.54 | $96.85 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 2.5% | -9.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 59.6% | 52.7% |
| Downside Capture | -6.49 | 16.52 |
| Upside Capture | 15.09 | 35.70 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 7.5% | 12.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.09 | -0.06 | 0.45 | 0.66 | 0.56 | 0.66 |
| Up Beta | 0.06 | 0.65 | 0.99 | 1.55 | 0.95 | 0.50 |
| Down Beta | 0.29 | 0.83 | 1.02 | 0.95 | 0.66 | 0.77 |
| Up Capture | -22% | -27% | -1% | -5% | 30% | 70% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 21 | 33 | 68 | 138 | 401 |
| Down Capture | -21% | -90% | 8% | 56% | 43% | 76% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 20 | 30 | 57 | 113 | 341 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TPB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPB | 21.4% | 52.5% | 0.56 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.3% | 13.5% | 0.20 | 30.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 22.1% | 12.5% | 1.31 | 12.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.5% | 27.8% | 0.75 | 5.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 23.6% | 18.7% | 0.99 | -18.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.4% | 13.9% | 0.67 | 13.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -42.5% | 42.8% | -1.17 | -2.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TPB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPB | 14.2% | 42.5% | 0.44 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.5% | 13.4% | 0.26 | 26.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 23.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.8% | 18.3% | 0.79 | 6.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.3% | 19.5% | 0.27 | -1.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 18.9% | 0.05 | 27.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 13.8% | 53.4% | 0.44 | 12.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TPB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPB | 25.1% | 47.0% | 0.65 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.3% | 14.8% | 0.36 | 26.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.6% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 28.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.6% | 16.1% | 0.59 | 6.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.0% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 10.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 29.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.6% | 66.2% | 0.99 | 11.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/10/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | 11.0% | 10.5% | 6.5% |
| 3/2/2026 | -20.8% | -33.1% | -37.0% |
| 11/5/2025 | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% |
| 8/6/2025 | 14.2% | 22.0% | 21.8% |
| 5/7/2025 | 24.8% | 8.0% | 15.1% |
| 3/6/2025 | -8.1% | -11.6% | -13.3% |
| 11/7/2024 | -2.8% | 7.8% | 25.8% |
| 8/1/2024 | 1.3% | -0.8% | 5.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 14 | 12 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 9.4% | 9.6% | 13.0% |
| Median Negative | -3.7% | -7.5% | -9.4% |
| Max Positive | 24.8% | 22.0% | 27.7% |
| Max Negative | -20.8% | -33.1% | -37.0% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | 11.0% | 10.5% | 6.5% |
| 3/2/2026 | -20.8% | -33.1% | -37.0% |
| 11/5/2025 | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% |
| 8/6/2025 | 14.2% | 22.0% | 21.8% |
| 5/7/2025 | 24.8% | 8.0% | 15.1% |
| 3/6/2025 | -8.1% | -11.6% | -13.3% |
| 11/7/2024 | -2.8% | 7.8% | 25.8% |
| 8/1/2024 | 1.3% | -0.8% | 5.2% |
| 5/2/2024 | 11.6% | 13.5% | 12.4% |
| 2/28/2024 | 7.6% | 13.8% | 27.7% |
| 11/8/2023 | 4.6% | 5.5% | 13.7% |
| 8/2/2023 | 6.5% | 10.6% | 5.8% |
| 5/3/2023 | -2.2% | -8.8% | -5.7% |
| 2/24/2023 | 11.0% | 8.8% | -4.3% |
| 10/26/2022 | -0.5% | -5.3% | -9.9% |
| 7/27/2022 | -19.6% | -19.6% | -19.6% |
| 4/27/2022 | -3.1% | -0.1% | -8.8% |
| 2/22/2022 | 5.7% | 1.0% | -0.3% |
| 10/26/2021 | -20.7% | -18.9% | -22.6% |
| 7/27/2021 | 10.5% | 14.5% | 2.9% |
| 4/27/2021 | -3.7% | -6.1% | -14.4% |
| 2/10/2021 | 4.7% | -5.6% | -3.8% |
| 10/27/2020 | 13.1% | 12.5% | 18.4% |
| 7/28/2020 | 9.4% | 7.7% | -5.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 14 | 12 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 9.4% | 9.6% | 13.0% |
| Median Negative | -3.7% | -7.5% | -9.4% |
| Max Positive | 24.8% | 22.0% | 27.7% |
| Max Negative | -20.8% | -33.1% | -37.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/02/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/06/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/15/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/26/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/02/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/06/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/15/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/26/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/11/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 10/26/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 07/27/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/19/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/27/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 07/28/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 04/28/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/12/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/04/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/01/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/12/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Modern Oral Gross Sales | 280.00 Mil | 290.00 Mil | 300.00 Mil | 26.1% | Raised | Guidance: 230.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Modern Oral Net Sales | 210.00 Mil | 217.50 Mil | 225.00 Mil | 17.6% | Raised | Guidance: 185.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 70.00 Mil | 80.00 Mil | 90.00 Mil | ||||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/2/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 24.00 Mil | 25.50 Mil | 27.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Modern Oral Gross Revenue | 220.00 Mil | 230.00 Mil | 240.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Net Revenue | 180.00 Mil | 185.00 Mil | 190.00 Mil | ||||
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/5/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 115.00 Mil | 117.50 Mil | 120.00 Mil | Raised | Guidance: 112.00 Mil for 2025 | ||
| 2025 Modern Oral Sales | 125.00 Mil | 127.50 Mil | 130.00 Mil | Raised | Guidance: 105.00 Mil for 2025 | ||
Insider Activity
Updated 5/13/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wigginton, Brian | Sr VP Finance & CAO | Direct | Sell | 5132026 | 91.67 | 4,000 | 366,680 | 846,114 | Form |
| 2 | Flynn, Andrew | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 97.57 | 2,000 | 195,140 | 921,354 | Form |
| 3 | Glazek, David Edward | Executive Chairman | Direct | Sell | 12232025 | 110.26 | 30,000 | 3,307,800 | 14,012,172 | Form |
| 4 | Diao, H.c. Charles | Direct | Sell | 12172025 | 108.20 | 2,000 | 216,400 | 1,060,793 | Form | |
| 5 | Baxter, Gregory HA | Direct | Sell | 11212025 | 98.23 | 1,500 | 147,345 | 3,823,013 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wigginton, Brian | Sr VP Finance & CAO | Direct | Sell | 5132026 | 91.67 | 4,000 | 366,680 | 846,114 | Form |
| 2 | Flynn, Andrew | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 97.57 | 2,000 | 195,140 | 921,354 | Form |
| 3 | Glazek, David Edward | Executive Chairman | Direct | Sell | 12232025 | 110.26 | 30,000 | 3,307,800 | 14,012,172 | Form |
| 4 | Diao, H.c. Charles | Direct | Sell | 12172025 | 108.20 | 2,000 | 216,400 | 1,060,793 | Form | |
| 5 | Baxter, Gregory HA | Direct | Sell | 11212025 | 98.23 | 1,500 | 147,345 | 3,823,013 | Form | |
| 6 | Usher, Stephen | Direct | Sell | 11212025 | 102.54 | 1,000 | 102,540 | 428,104 | Form | |
| 7 | Usher, Stephen | Direct | Sell | 11212025 | 101.00 | 1,000 | 101,000 | 522,675 | Form | |
| 8 | Cushman, Brittani | Sr VP, General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 11212025 | 101.66 | 15,250 | 1,550,315 | 3,526,280 | Form |
| 9 | Wexler, Lawrence | Direct | Sell | 11132025 | 99.03 | 10,401 | 1,030,011 | 27,764,843 | Form | |
| 10 | Wexler, Lawrence | Direct | Sell | 11132025 | 100.02 | 21,069 | 2,107,321 | 29,082,315 | Form | |
| 11 | Wexler, Lawrence | Direct | Sell | 11132025 | 99.89 | 15,000 | 1,498,350 | 31,483,930 | Form | |
| 12 | Wexler, Lawrence | Direct | Sell | 6182025 | 75.94 | 25,000 | 1,898,500 | 25,074,325 | Form | |
| 13 | Wigginton, Brian | Sr VP Finance & CAO | Direct | Sell | 6182025 | 75.67 | 10,800 | 817,236 | 769,640 | Form |
| 14 | Purdy, Graham | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 6132025 | 74.89 | 21,400 | 1,602,646 | 17,034,929 | Form |
| 15 | Purdy, Graham | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 6132025 | 75.03 | 30,000 | 2,250,900 | 17,066,774 | Form |
| 16 | Cushman, Brittani | Sr VP, General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 6112025 | 74.36 | 7,500 | 557,700 | 2,579,325 | Form |
| 17 | Cushman, Brittani | Sr VP, General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 6112025 | 75.89 | 7,500 | 569,175 | 2,632,396 | Form |
| 18 | Usher, Stephen | Direct | Sell | 6052025 | 75.25 | 600 | 45,150 | 464,669 | Form | |
| 19 | Wexler, Lawrence | Direct | Sell | 6042025 | 74.61 | 15,000 | 1,119,150 | 26,500,427 | Form | |
| 20 | Baxter, Gregory HA | Direct | Sell | 5092025 | 73.64 | 1,500 | 110,460 | 2,976,455 | Form | |
| 21 | Wigginton, Brian | Sr VP Finance & CAO | Direct | Sell | 5092025 | 75.75 | 3,500 | 265,125 | 770,453 | Form |
| 22 | Wexler, Lawrence | Direct | Sell | 5092025 | 76.56 | 10,000 | 765,600 | 28,346,110 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Jul 13, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank and community-bank filers are excluded.
Industry Resources
| Consumer Staples Resources |
| FoodNavigator |
| Consumer Goods Technology (CGT) |
| Beverage Digest |
| Tobacco Resources |
| Tobacco Reporter |
| Tobacco Journal International |
| CSP Daily News - Tobacco |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.