Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 36x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 50%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
 
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Adult Consumer Lifestyles. Themes include Niche Consumer Goods, Direct-to-Consumer Channels, and Heritage & Lifestyle Brands.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Adult Consumer Lifestyles. Themes include Niche Consumer Goods, Direct-to-Consumer Channels, and Heritage & Lifestyle Brands.
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 36x
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 50%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TPB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Below are key points that may have contributed to a -1.9% movement in Turning Point Brands (TPB) stock for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Increased Selling, General, and Administrative (SG&A) Expenses: In the third quarter of 2025, Turning Point Brands reported a substantial 50.5% increase in consolidated SG&A expenses compared to the prior year. This rise was attributed to increased investments in the Modern Oral segment's sales and marketing, alongside higher outbound freight costs, which could have been viewed as a short-term drag on profitability by some investors.

2. Decline in Zig-Zag Segment Net Sales: While overall consolidated net sales saw significant growth in Q3 2025, the Zig-Zag segment's net sales experienced a 10.5% decrease year-over-year. Although excluding a discontinued business, the segment showed sequential growth, the year-over-year decline in a core brand could have raised concerns among investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TPB Return57%-15%-42%23%130%63%258%
Peers Return23%44%-16%-7%18%11%84%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TPB Win Rate67%42%17%58%67%70% 
Peers Win Rate53%60%47%52%60%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TPB Max Drawdown-48%-20%-48%-7%-16%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-7%-28%-19%-29%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RGP, RILY, PM, MO, TPB. See TPB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTPBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-66.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven202.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven697 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven95.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven119 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-62.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven166.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven467 days120 days

Compare to RGP, RILY, PM, MO, TPB


In The Past

Turning Point Brands's stock fell -66.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -66.9% loss requires a 202.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Turning Point Brands (TPB)

Better Bets than Turning Point Brands (TPB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TPB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-2.1%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.2%7.2%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-2.1%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.2%7.2%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Turning Point Brands

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TPBRGPRILYPMMOMedian
NameTurning .Resource.B. Riley.Philip M.Altria  
Mkt Price97.574.853.97151.7158.4158.41
Mkt Cap1.80.20.1236.298.41.8
Rev LTM4365351,20539,99220,2591,205
Op Inc LTM932-34914,81911,96193
FCF LTM39925610,1238,728256
FCF 3Y Avg5338929,2678,71092
CFO LTM501126411,5268,876264
CFO 3Y Avg60409810,6798,88798

Growth & Margins

TPBRGPRILYPMMOMedian
NameTurning .Resource.B. Riley.Philip M.Altria  
Rev Chg LTM53.5%-10.8%-21.7%7.5%-0.2%-0.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.4%-13.4%-1.0%8.0%-0.9%-0.9%
Rev Chg Q31.2%-12.2%-22.5%9.4%0.2%0.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.9%-3.0%-6.0%2.4%0.1%0.1%
Op Mgn LTM21.4%0.3%-28.9%37.1%59.0%21.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg25.3%4.1%-4.0%35.9%57.1%25.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%-0.2%-6.2%0.7%1.7%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM11.5%2.1%21.9%28.8%43.8%21.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.4%5.8%8.0%28.7%43.5%18.4%
FCF/Rev LTM8.9%1.6%21.2%25.3%43.1%21.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.4%5.5%7.5%24.9%42.7%16.4%

Valuation

TPBRGPRILYPMMOMedian
NameTurning .Resource.B. Riley.Philip M.Altria  
Mkt Cap1.80.20.1236.298.41.8
P/S4.10.30.16.35.54.1
P/EBIT18.097.5-0.116.59.516.5
P/E34.4-0.9-0.129.312.712.7
P/CFO35.914.70.321.912.514.7
Total Yield3.2%-103.1%-806.4%6.8%14.1%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.3%9.7%37.2%3.3%6.2%6.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.8%9.7%95.2%4.9%9.8%9.7%
D/E0.20.220.30.20.20.2
Net D/E0.1-0.318.60.20.20.2

Returns

TPBRGPRILYPMMOMedian
NameTurning .Resource.B. Riley.Philip M.Altria  
1M Rtn4.2%5.2%-16.8%4.9%3.1%4.2%
3M Rtn0.7%-4.0%-26.2%-6.2%-10.9%-6.2%
6M Rtn30.4%-3.3%33.2%-14.6%1.8%1.8%
12M Rtn61.7%-38.9%-26.6%21.4%10.1%10.1%
3Y Rtn355.3%-70.7%-89.9%67.6%56.1%56.1%
1M Excs Rtn4.2%5.3%-16.7%4.9%3.1%4.2%
3M Excs Rtn-6.5%-8.2%-27.2%-10.3%-16.2%-10.3%
6M Excs Rtn15.7%-18.0%18.5%-29.3%-12.9%-12.9%
12M Excs Rtn44.7%-52.6%-45.7%4.7%-5.0%-5.0%
3Y Excs Rtn301.5%-143.3%-162.0%6.2%-8.1%-8.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Corporate unallocated1901551596589
Zig-Zag products177226228207146
Stoker’s products175151142133121
Creative Distribution Solutions2740739191
Total569572602496447


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,520,857
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-19.1%
Average Daily Volume581,255
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.62
Basic Shares Quantity18,246,722
Short % of Basic Shares8.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024306202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022315202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Wexler Lawrence 11132025Sell99.8915,0001,498,35031,483,930Form