Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)
Market Price (2/3/2026): $67.86 | Market Cap: $32.8 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Agricultural Products & Services
Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)
Market Price (2/3/2026): $67.86Market Cap: $32.8 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Agricultural Products & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1%, FCF Yield is 14% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.2% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.5% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 6.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.7 Bil | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -8.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83% | Key risksADM key risks include [1] a weakening environment for its Ag Services & Oilseeds and Carbohydrate Solutions segments due to lower crushing margins and U.S. Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1%, FCF Yield is 14% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 6.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.7 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.2% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -8.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.5% |
| Key risksADM key risks include [1] a weakening environment for its Ag Services & Oilseeds and Carbohydrate Solutions segments due to lower crushing margins and U.S. Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) exceeded analyst expectations for its third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share, reporting $0.92 against a consensus estimate of $0.89. This stronger-than-anticipated performance likely mitigated a further stock decline following an initial drop after the company lowered its full-year 2025 adjusted earnings guidance.
2. The company provided an optimistic outlook for fiscal year 2026, forecasting a significant earnings rebound. Analysts projected a 24.1% annual increase in earnings per share for 2026, reaching $4.22 per share, which contrasts with the anticipated $3.40 per share for 2025. This positive future guidance contributed to renewed investor confidence.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.4% change in ADM stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 60.02 | 68.08 | 13.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 82,776 | 83,211 | 0.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.3% | 1.4% | 7.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.4 | 27.7 | 4.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 484 | 484 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.4% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ADM | 13.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.0% | -4.0% |
| Sector (XLP) | 10.8% | 57.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 27.8% change in ADM stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 47.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 53.27 | 68.08 | 27.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 83,858 | 83,211 | -0.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.6% | 1.4% | -12.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 18.8 | 27.7 | 47.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 483 | 484 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 27.8% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ADM | 27.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.3% | -3.0% |
| Sector (XLP) | 6.6% | 40.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 38.1% change in ADM stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 109.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 49.31 | 68.08 | 38.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 87,010 | 83,211 | -4.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.1% | 1.4% | -30.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.2 | 27.7 | 109.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 482 | 484 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 38.1% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ADM | 38.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.6% | 24.1% |
| Sector (XLP) | 9.0% | 49.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.5% change in ADM stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -65.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 75.22 | 68.08 | -9.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 98,707 | 83,211 | -15.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.2% | 1.4% | -65.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.3 | 27.7 | 169.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 561 | 484 | 15.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -9.5% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ADM | -9.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 77.5% | 22.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 23.3% | 38.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ADM Return | 37% | 40% | -20% | -28% | 18% | 17% | 53% |
| Peers Return | 38% | -6% | 11% | -8% | 9% | 18% | 71% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ADM Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 33% | 25% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 52% | 55% | 42% | 48% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ADM Max Drawdown | -2% | 0% | -24% | -29% | -16% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -3% | -19% | -16% | -18% | -16% | -1% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BG, INGR, ANDE, TSN, DAR. See ADM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ADM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -36.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 165 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 435 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -68.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 215.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,112 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to BG, INGR, ANDE, TSN, DAR
In The Past
Archer-Daniels-Midland's stock fell -28.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/22/2022. A -28.9% loss requires a 40.6% gain to breakeven.
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About Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM):
- The Intel inside your food, feed, and fuel. (ADM processes raw agricultural materials into essential ingredients and products that go into many consumer goods, much like Intel provides the fundamental processor for computers.)
- Like Amazon Web Services (AWS) for the global agriculture and ingredient supply chain. (Just as AWS provides foundational infrastructure for much of the internet, ADM provides critical infrastructure and processed ingredients for the world's food, animal nutrition, and biofuel industries.)
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- Agricultural Origination and Processing: Sources, transports, stores, and processes agricultural commodities like corn, oilseeds, and wheat for further use.
- Carbohydrate Solutions: Produces starches, sweeteners, ethanol, and industrial alcohols primarily from corn and wheat.
- Oilseeds Products: Manufactures vegetable oils, protein meals, and biodiesel from various oilseeds such as soybeans, rapeseed, and sunflower seeds.
- Nutrition Ingredients: Provides specialty ingredients for human and animal nutrition, including flavors, proteins, fibers, and health & wellness solutions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) primarily sells its products and services to **other companies** rather than directly to individuals. As a major global agricultural origination and processing company, ADM supplies a wide range of ingredients, feed, and biofuels to various industries worldwide. While ADM does not publicly disclose specific individual major customers due to competitive reasons, based on its business segments and product offerings, its primary customer base consists of large-scale manufacturers and producers in the following sectors:-
Food and Beverage Manufacturers: These companies utilize ADM's extensive portfolio of ingredients, including sweeteners, starches, flours, oils, proteins, flavors, and cocoa, to produce a vast array of consumer food and beverage products.
Examples of major public companies that operate in this sector and are typical customers for ADM's ingredients include:
- PepsiCo (NASDAQ: PEP)
- Nestlé (OTC: NSRGY)
- The Kraft Heinz Company (NASDAQ: KHC)
- Unilever (NYSE: UL)
- Anheuser-Busch InBev (NYSE: BUD)
-
Animal Nutrition and Livestock Producers: ADM is a significant supplier of animal feed ingredients, premixes, and complete feed solutions for livestock, aquaculture, and pet food industries.
Examples of major public companies that operate in this sector and would be typical customers for ADM's animal nutrition products include:
- Tyson Foods, Inc. (NYSE: TSN)
-
Industrial, Biofuel, and Chemical Companies: ADM is a producer of biofuels (ethanol, biodiesel) and bio-based industrial chemicals. They supply these products as well as feedstocks to companies in the energy, chemical, and industrial sectors.
Specific customer names in this highly integrated sector are often proprietary, but ADM's partners and customers would include large energy marketers, distributors, and chemical manufacturers that utilize bio-based inputs or distribute biofuels.
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- Novozymes A/S (NZYM.B)
- DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD)
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Here is the management team for Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM):Juan R. Luciano, Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer
Juan R. Luciano joined ADM in 2011 as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, becoming President in February 2014, and Chief Executive Officer in January 2015. He assumed the role of Chairman of the Board in January 2016. Before joining ADM, Luciano had a 25-year career at The Dow Chemical Company, where he most recently served as Executive Vice President and President of the Performance division. Under his leadership, ADM has evolved into a global nutrition business through strategic growth and innovative technologies.
Ismael Roig, Interim Chief Financial Officer
Ismael Roig was appointed Interim Chief Financial Officer in January 2024, following the administrative leave of the previous CFO. He joined ADM in 2004 and has held various global operational and financial leadership positions. His previous roles at ADM include President of EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and Africa), President of Animal Nutrition, President of International Carbohydrates Solutions, and establishing Global BioSolutions, as well as President Asia-Pacific, Senior Vice President and Chief Strategy Officer, and Vice President of Planning and Business Development. Prior to his time at ADM, Roig spent 11 years with General Motors Corporation in various treasury, finance, and controller positions in international locations such as New York, Singapore, Brussels, and Sao Paulo.
Regina Jones, Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer
Regina Jones is the Senior Vice President and Chief Legal Officer of ADM, overseeing the company's global legal and regulatory affairs, compliance and integrity initiatives, security operations, and government relations. She is also a member of ADM's Executive Council. Before joining ADM, Jones served as the Chief Legal Officer for Baker Hughes, an energy technology company. Her three-decade career has included global roles in complex legal and technology environments, with assignments in Europe, Southeast Asia, and across the United States. Early in her career, she also led high-performing teams in Information Technology.
Nandha Kumar, Senior Vice President, Chief Information and Digital Officer
Nandha Kumar serves as Senior Vice President, Chief Information and Digital Officer at ADM. In this role, he is responsible for the company's information and digital strategies.
Greg A. Morris, Senior Vice President, President, Agricultural Services and Oilseeds
Greg A. Morris is Senior Vice President and President of ADM's Agricultural Services and Oilseeds business unit, and a member of the Executive Council. His responsibilities include agricultural origination, global trading, transportation, and oilseeds processing businesses. He also has strategic oversight of ADM’s operations in South America. Morris joined ADM in 1995 and has held various senior-level merchandising and management positions across the company's business units.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) are primarily centered around financial integrity, broader market dynamics, and operational stability.
- Accounting Investigation and Material Weakness in Internal Controls: ADM is currently facing significant challenges related to an internal investigation into its accounting practices, particularly concerning its nutrition reporting segment. This investigation, conducted by outside counsel and the company's audit committee, found that certain intersegment sales were not recorded at market amounts, leading to an overstatement of the Nutrition segment's operating profit by as much as 9.2%. Although the company has stated that these adjustments do not materially impact its consolidated financial statements, it has disclosed that its internal controls over financial reporting were ineffective as of December 31, 2023, due to a material weakness. This situation led to a 24% decline in ADM's share price in January, representing a loss of over $8.8 billion in shareholder value, and has resulted in the placement of its former CFO on administrative leave and subsequent resignation. The U.S. Justice Department is also reportedly probing ADM's ethanol business.
- Economic and Environmental Uncertainties: ADM's operations are vulnerable to various economic and environmental factors. These include economic downturns, shifts in consumer spending habits, and environmental challenges such as climate change. The company's ability to adapt to changes in global demand and varying weather conditions is crucial for maintaining its financial health and operational stability.
- Operational Disruptions: The company has experienced operational disruptions due to factors like low river water levels, hurricanes, and unexpected downtime at critical facilities. Such disruptions can result in reduced production volumes and increased costs, negatively affecting ADM's profitability and overall efficiency. Effective management of these risks is essential to ensure smooth operations and protect profit margins.
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The rapid advancement and commercialization of cultivated meat and precision fermentation technologies for producing proteins, fats, and other food components represent a clear emerging threat to Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM).
ADM's core business relies heavily on the origination, processing, and distribution of agricultural commodities, particularly grains and oilseeds for animal feed and plant-based ingredients. If cultivated meat scales efficiently and becomes cost-competitive, it could significantly reduce global demand for traditional animal agriculture, thereby diminishing the need for vast quantities of animal feed ingredients that are central to ADM's Ag Services and Oilseeds segment. Similarly, precision fermentation, capable of producing dairy proteins, egg proteins, fats, or other functional ingredients without traditional agricultural inputs, could displace demand for ADM's plant-based protein isolates or other processed ingredients in the food and beverage sectors, should these alternatives offer superior economics, functionality, or sustainability profiles.
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Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) operates in several large addressable markets through its main product and service segments. The key market sizes for these segments are detailed below, with market sizes generally presented as global unless otherwise specified.
-
Agricultural Origination and Processing: This segment involves the origination, merchandising, transportation, and processing of agricultural raw materials like corn and soybeans.
- For Soybean Processing, the global market size was USD 98.47 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 153.05 billion by 2030.
- More broadly, the global agribusiness market, encompassing agricultural commodities and related services, was valued at USD 3.4 trillion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 4.4 trillion by 2033.
-
Carbohydrate Solutions: This segment includes corn and wheat wet and dry milling operations, producing various sweeteners, starches, and ethanol.
- The global corn wet-milling market size was valued between USD 82.83 billion and USD 87.18 billion in 2024, with projections to reach between USD 117.16 billion by 2032 and USD 128.48 billion by 2034.
-
Nutrition: ADM's Nutrition segment provides a wide array of ingredients and solutions for both human and animal nutrition, including flavors, proteins, and specialty ingredients.
- For Animal Feed Protein Ingredients, the global market size was USD 195.2 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 315.8 billion in 2035.
- For Cocoa and Chocolate, where ADM is a manufacturer of chocolate, the global chocolate market size was valued at USD 123.05 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 184.69 billion in 2033.
- For Human Nutrition Ingredients (including specialty food ingredients, flavors, and plant-based proteins), the global food ingredients market size was valued at USD 351.42 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 561.61 billion by 2034.
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Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through a combination of strategic investments, expanding its higher-value businesses, capitalizing on sustainability trends, and enhancing operational efficiency.
-
Expansion in the Nutrition Segment and Value-Added Solutions: ADM is positioning itself as a premier global human and animal nutrition company, actively developing groundbreaking products for healthier living and innovative plant-based consumer and industrial solutions. The Nutrition segment has shown sequential growth in operating profit, with North American Flavors achieving record revenue in Q3 2025. Continued focus and investment in this area, including flavor systems and postbiotics, are expected to fuel future revenue growth.
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Growth from Biofuels and Sustainable Solutions: Anticipated clarity on biofuel policy and global trade evolution are expected to provide significant demand uplift for ADM's products. The company is a leader in sustainability, actively scaling solutions to decarbonize its industry, exemplified by the opening of the world's largest bioethanol carbon capture facility in November 2025. Investments in this sector are aimed at meeting evolving market demands for environmentally friendly products and processes.
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Strategic Capital Allocation and Portfolio Optimization: ADM plans to prioritize selective strategic investments with strong return potential, focusing on "proven winners" and laying foundations for the next wave of growth. Alongside this, the company is simplifying its portfolio through targeted actions, including potential divestitures, to better align resources with long-term sustainable growth opportunities. This strategic approach aims to enhance overall efficiency and concentrate efforts on high-growth areas.
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Enhanced Operational Performance and Efficiency: A key internal driver for ADM is the continuous improvement of its operational performance. This includes accelerating cost savings (targeting $500-$750 million over several years) and improving the reliability and efficiency of its assets. Efforts to reduce unplanned downtime in areas like North American soy assets and achieve strong crush volumes in regions such as canola, rapeseed, and LatAm are expected to lead to increased production and, consequently, higher sales volumes.
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Share Repurchases
- Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) returned over $3.3 billion to stockholders through share repurchases and dividends in the last year, as of March 2025.
- In December 2024, ADM's Board of Directors extended its share repurchase program through December 31, 2029, and authorized the repurchase of an additional 100 million shares, bringing the total authorized to 300 million shares.
- As of December 2024, approximately 114.8 million shares remained available for future repurchases under the extended program.
Share Issuance
- As of December 31, 2024, ADM had 3,994,756 shares available for issuance under the maximum payout conditions of its 2020 Incentive Compensation Plan, which includes options, restricted stock units, and performance shares.
Outbound Investments
- In January 2024, ADM acquired Trouw Nutrition, a provider of animal nutrition solutions.
- ADM strengthened its flavors portfolio with the acquisition of FDL and Revela Foods in December 2023.
- ADM completed the acquisition of Deerland Probiotics & Enzymes in November 2021, enhancing its Health & Wellness business.
- ADM announced a North American animal feed joint venture with Alltech, expected to launch in the first quarter of 2026, with Alltech contributing its Hubbard Feeds and Masterfeeds businesses.
Capital Expenditures
- ADM's capital expenditures for fiscal years ending December 2020 to 2024 averaged $1.159 billion.
- For 2025, ADM lowered its expected capital expenditure spend range to $1.3 billion to $1.5 billion, down from previous expectations of $1.5 billion to $1.7 billion.
- Year-to-date in 2025, ADM had invested $596 million in capital expenditures.
- The company's capital allocation strategy targets capital expenditures to represent 30-40% of its cash flows.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 66.91 |
| Mkt Cap | 15.0 |
| Rev LTM | 33,363 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,112 |
| FCF LTM | 511 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 582 |
| CFO LTM | 874 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,215 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 15.0 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/EBIT | 14.1 |
| P/E | 28.5 |
| P/CFO | 8.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 17.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 25.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 35.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 32.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 19.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 16.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 22.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 26.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 18.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -54.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ag Services and Oilseeds | 75,534 | 82,122 | 67,047 | 49,716 | 48,741 |
| Carbohydrate Solutions | 13,792 | 15,902 | 11,110 | 8,472 | 9,886 |
| Nutrition | 7,259 | 7,821 | 6,712 | 5,800 | 5,677 |
| Other Business | 424 | 396 | 380 | 367 | 352 |
| Intersegment revenue | -3,074 | -4,685 | |||
| Total | 93,935 | 101,556 | 85,249 | 64,355 | 64,656 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ag Services and Oilseeds | 4,067 | 4,401 | 2,775 | 2,105 | 1,935 |
| Carbohydrate Solutions | 1,375 | 1,413 | 1,283 | 717 | 644 |
| Nutrition | 427 | 668 | 691 | 574 | 418 |
| Gains on sales of assets and businesses | 47 | 77 | 83 | 12 | |
| Impairment and restructuring charges | -147 | -213 | -76 | -146 | |
| Other Business | 167 | 25 | 52 | 85 | |
| Total | 5,869 | 6,549 | 4,638 | 3,455 | 2,948 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $68.08 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 33.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/05/1983 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -0.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $61.24 | $56.63 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 11.2% | 20.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 29.7% | 29.2% |
| Downside Capture | -22.36 | -16.28 |
| Upside Capture | 56.51 | 19.10 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -4.5% | 24.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.42 | 0.32 | -0.12 | -0.10 | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| Up Beta | 0.62 | 0.46 | 0.02 | 0.56 | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| Down Beta | -0.39 | -0.45 | -0.66 | -0.05 | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| Up Capture | 268% | 132% | 45% | 6% | 12% | 6% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 23 | 36 | 67 | 126 | 381 |
| Down Capture | -71% | 24% | -24% | -98% | -24% | 57% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 18 | 25 | 58 | 125 | 370 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ADM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADM | 37.1% | 29.2% | 1.08 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 8.0% | 13.9% | 0.32 | 49.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.0% | 19.2% | 0.64 | 24.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 66.9% | 23.7% | 2.11 | 10.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.0% | 16.3% | 0.23 | 31.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 16.5% | -0.00 | 37.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -19.7% | 39.9% | -0.46 | 7.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ADM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADM | 8.5% | 27.8% | 0.31 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.6% | 13.1% | 0.37 | 40.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.1% | 17.1% | 0.66 | 31.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.9% | 16.6% | 0.97 | 8.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.4% | 18.9% | 0.49 | 29.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.5% | 18.8% | 0.15 | 32.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 20.9% | 57.6% | 0.56 | 13.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ADM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADM | 11.0% | 27.1% | 0.42 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 8.4% | 14.6% | 0.44 | 52.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.9% | 17.9% | 0.76 | 49.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.0% | 15.3% | 0.81 | 3.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 31.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.8% | 0.25 | 44.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 71.1% | 66.4% | 1.10 | 11.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 0.0% | -6.8% | -0.4% |
| 8/5/2025 | 6.0% | 7.2% | 14.5% |
| 5/6/2025 | 1.7% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| 2/4/2025 | -5.1% | -7.9% | -7.4% |
| 11/5/2024 | -6.0% | -5.3% | -5.5% |
| 7/30/2024 | -1.3% | -8.1% | -3.5% |
| 4/30/2024 | -3.3% | -0.8% | -0.3% |
| 1/22/2024 | -24.2% | -23.7% | -20.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 10 | 13 |
| # Negative | 14 | 14 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 3.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Median Negative | -3.3% | -4.7% | -4.3% |
| Max Positive | 6.0% | 11.4% | 17.0% |
| Max Negative | -24.2% | -23.7% | -20.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/18/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/12/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/24/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/25/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/25/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/14/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/25/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/26/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/26/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/17/2022 | 10-K |
Industry Resources
| Agricultural Products & Services Resources |
| AgFunder Network Partners |
| The Packer |
| CropLife |
| Agri-Pulse |
| USDA Data |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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