Tearsheet

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)


Market Price (2/3/2026): $67.86 | Market Cap: $32.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Agricultural Products & Services

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)


Market Price (2/3/2026): $67.86
Market Cap: $32.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Agricultural Products & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1%, FCF Yield is 14%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.2%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 6.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.7 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83%
Key risks
ADM key risks include [1] a weakening environment for its Ag Services & Oilseeds and Carbohydrate Solutions segments due to lower crushing margins and U.S. Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1%, FCF Yield is 14%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 6.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.7 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.2%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.5%
7 Key risks
ADM key risks include [1] a weakening environment for its Ag Services & Oilseeds and Carbohydrate Solutions segments due to lower crushing margins and U.S. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) stock has gained about 15% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) exceeded analyst expectations for its third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share, reporting $0.92 against a consensus estimate of $0.89. This stronger-than-anticipated performance likely mitigated a further stock decline following an initial drop after the company lowered its full-year 2025 adjusted earnings guidance.

2. The company provided an optimistic outlook for fiscal year 2026, forecasting a significant earnings rebound. Analysts projected a 24.1% annual increase in earnings per share for 2026, reaching $4.22 per share, which contrasts with the anticipated $3.40 per share for 2025. This positive future guidance contributed to renewed investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 13.4% change in ADM stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)103120252022026Change
Stock Price ($)60.0268.0813.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)82,77683,2110.5%
Net Income Margin (%)1.3%1.4%7.6%
P/E Multiple26.427.74.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4844840.0%
Cumulative Contribution13.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ADM13.4% 
Market (SPY)2.0%-4.0%
Sector (XLP)10.8%57.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 27.8% change in ADM stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 47.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120252022026Change
Stock Price ($)53.2768.0827.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)83,85883,211-0.8%
Net Income Margin (%)1.6%1.4%-12.3%
P/E Multiple18.827.747.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)483484-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution27.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ADM27.8% 
Market (SPY)10.3%-3.0%
Sector (XLP)6.6%40.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 38.1% change in ADM stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 109.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120252022026Change
Stock Price ($)49.3168.0838.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)87,01083,211-4.4%
Net Income Margin (%)2.1%1.4%-30.9%
P/E Multiple13.227.7109.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)482484-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution38.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ADM38.1% 
Market (SPY)16.6%24.1%
Sector (XLP)9.0%49.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -9.5% change in ADM stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -65.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120232022026Change
Stock Price ($)75.2268.08-9.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)98,70783,211-15.7%
Net Income Margin (%)4.2%1.4%-65.6%
P/E Multiple10.327.7169.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)56148415.9%
Cumulative Contribution-9.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ADM-9.5% 
Market (SPY)77.5%22.4%
Sector (XLP)23.3%38.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ADM Return37%40%-20%-28%18%17%53%
Peers Return38%-6%11%-8%9%18%71%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%1%85%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ADM Win Rate67%67%33%25%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate63%52%55%42%48%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ADM Max Drawdown-2%0%-24%-29%-16%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-3%-19%-16%-18%-16%-1% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BG, INGR, ANDE, TSN, DAR. See ADM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventADMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven165 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven435 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-68.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven215.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,112 days1,480 days

Compare to BG, INGR, ANDE, TSN, DAR

In The Past

Archer-Daniels-Midland's stock fell -28.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/22/2022. A -28.9% loss requires a 40.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company procures, transports, stores, processes, and merchandises agricultural commodities, products, and ingredients in the United States, Switzerland, Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Ag Services and Oilseeds, Carbohydrate Solutions, and Nutrition. It procures, stores, cleans, and transports agricultural raw materials, such as oilseeds, corn, wheat, milo, oats, and barley. The company also engages in the agricultural commodity and feed product import, export, and distribution; and structured trade finance activities. In addition, it offers vegetable oils and protein meals; ingredients for the food, feed, energy, and industrial customers; crude vegetable oils, salad oils, margarine, shortening, and other food products; and partially refined oils to produce biodiesel and glycols for use in chemicals, paints, and other industrial products. Further, the company provides peanuts, peanut-derived ingredients, and cotton cellulose pulp; sweeteners, corn and wheat starches, syrup, glucose, wheat flour, and dextrose; alcohol and other food and animal feed ingredients; ethyl alcohol and ethanol; corn gluten feed and meal; distillers' grains; and citric acids. Additionally, the company provides natural flavors, flavor systems, natural colors, proteins, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, and natural health and nutrition products, including probiotics, prebiotics, enzymes, and botanical extracts; and other specialty food and feed ingredients; edible beans; formula feeds, and animal health and nutrition products; and contract and private label pet treats and foods. It also offers futures commission merchant; commodity brokerage services; cash margins and securities pledged to commodity exchange clearinghouses; and cash pledged as security under certain insurance arrangements. The company was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM):

  • The Intel inside your food, feed, and fuel. (ADM processes raw agricultural materials into essential ingredients and products that go into many consumer goods, much like Intel provides the fundamental processor for computers.)
  • Like Amazon Web Services (AWS) for the global agriculture and ingredient supply chain. (Just as AWS provides foundational infrastructure for much of the internet, ADM provides critical infrastructure and processed ingredients for the world's food, animal nutrition, and biofuel industries.)

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Agricultural Origination and Processing: Sources, transports, stores, and processes agricultural commodities like corn, oilseeds, and wheat for further use.
  • Carbohydrate Solutions: Produces starches, sweeteners, ethanol, and industrial alcohols primarily from corn and wheat.
  • Oilseeds Products: Manufactures vegetable oils, protein meals, and biodiesel from various oilseeds such as soybeans, rapeseed, and sunflower seeds.
  • Nutrition Ingredients: Provides specialty ingredients for human and animal nutrition, including flavors, proteins, fibers, and health & wellness solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) primarily sells its products and services to **other companies** rather than directly to individuals. As a major global agricultural origination and processing company, ADM supplies a wide range of ingredients, feed, and biofuels to various industries worldwide. While ADM does not publicly disclose specific individual major customers due to competitive reasons, based on its business segments and product offerings, its primary customer base consists of large-scale manufacturers and producers in the following sectors:
  • Food and Beverage Manufacturers: These companies utilize ADM's extensive portfolio of ingredients, including sweeteners, starches, flours, oils, proteins, flavors, and cocoa, to produce a vast array of consumer food and beverage products.

    Examples of major public companies that operate in this sector and are typical customers for ADM's ingredients include:

    • PepsiCo (NASDAQ: PEP)
    • Nestlé (OTC: NSRGY)
    • The Kraft Heinz Company (NASDAQ: KHC)
    • Unilever (NYSE: UL)
    • Anheuser-Busch InBev (NYSE: BUD)
  • Animal Nutrition and Livestock Producers: ADM is a significant supplier of animal feed ingredients, premixes, and complete feed solutions for livestock, aquaculture, and pet food industries.

    Examples of major public companies that operate in this sector and would be typical customers for ADM's animal nutrition products include:

    • Tyson Foods, Inc. (NYSE: TSN)
  • Industrial, Biofuel, and Chemical Companies: ADM is a producer of biofuels (ethanol, biodiesel) and bio-based industrial chemicals. They supply these products as well as feedstocks to companies in the energy, chemical, and industrial sectors.

    Specific customer names in this highly integrated sector are often proprietary, but ADM's partners and customers would include large energy marketers, distributors, and chemical manufacturers that utilize bio-based inputs or distribute biofuels.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Novozymes A/S (NZYM.B)
  • DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here is the management team for Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM):

Juan R. Luciano, Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Juan R. Luciano joined ADM in 2011 as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, becoming President in February 2014, and Chief Executive Officer in January 2015. He assumed the role of Chairman of the Board in January 2016. Before joining ADM, Luciano had a 25-year career at The Dow Chemical Company, where he most recently served as Executive Vice President and President of the Performance division. Under his leadership, ADM has evolved into a global nutrition business through strategic growth and innovative technologies.

Ismael Roig, Interim Chief Financial Officer

Ismael Roig was appointed Interim Chief Financial Officer in January 2024, following the administrative leave of the previous CFO. He joined ADM in 2004 and has held various global operational and financial leadership positions. His previous roles at ADM include President of EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and Africa), President of Animal Nutrition, President of International Carbohydrates Solutions, and establishing Global BioSolutions, as well as President Asia-Pacific, Senior Vice President and Chief Strategy Officer, and Vice President of Planning and Business Development. Prior to his time at ADM, Roig spent 11 years with General Motors Corporation in various treasury, finance, and controller positions in international locations such as New York, Singapore, Brussels, and Sao Paulo.

Regina Jones, Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer

Regina Jones is the Senior Vice President and Chief Legal Officer of ADM, overseeing the company's global legal and regulatory affairs, compliance and integrity initiatives, security operations, and government relations. She is also a member of ADM's Executive Council. Before joining ADM, Jones served as the Chief Legal Officer for Baker Hughes, an energy technology company. Her three-decade career has included global roles in complex legal and technology environments, with assignments in Europe, Southeast Asia, and across the United States. Early in her career, she also led high-performing teams in Information Technology.

Nandha Kumar, Senior Vice President, Chief Information and Digital Officer

Nandha Kumar serves as Senior Vice President, Chief Information and Digital Officer at ADM. In this role, he is responsible for the company's information and digital strategies.

Greg A. Morris, Senior Vice President, President, Agricultural Services and Oilseeds

Greg A. Morris is Senior Vice President and President of ADM's Agricultural Services and Oilseeds business unit, and a member of the Executive Council. His responsibilities include agricultural origination, global trading, transportation, and oilseeds processing businesses. He also has strategic oversight of ADM’s operations in South America. Morris joined ADM in 1995 and has held various senior-level merchandising and management positions across the company's business units.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) are primarily centered around financial integrity, broader market dynamics, and operational stability.

  1. Accounting Investigation and Material Weakness in Internal Controls: ADM is currently facing significant challenges related to an internal investigation into its accounting practices, particularly concerning its nutrition reporting segment. This investigation, conducted by outside counsel and the company's audit committee, found that certain intersegment sales were not recorded at market amounts, leading to an overstatement of the Nutrition segment's operating profit by as much as 9.2%. Although the company has stated that these adjustments do not materially impact its consolidated financial statements, it has disclosed that its internal controls over financial reporting were ineffective as of December 31, 2023, due to a material weakness. This situation led to a 24% decline in ADM's share price in January, representing a loss of over $8.8 billion in shareholder value, and has resulted in the placement of its former CFO on administrative leave and subsequent resignation. The U.S. Justice Department is also reportedly probing ADM's ethanol business.
  2. Economic and Environmental Uncertainties: ADM's operations are vulnerable to various economic and environmental factors. These include economic downturns, shifts in consumer spending habits, and environmental challenges such as climate change. The company's ability to adapt to changes in global demand and varying weather conditions is crucial for maintaining its financial health and operational stability.
  3. Operational Disruptions: The company has experienced operational disruptions due to factors like low river water levels, hurricanes, and unexpected downtime at critical facilities. Such disruptions can result in reduced production volumes and increased costs, negatively affecting ADM's profitability and overall efficiency. Effective management of these risks is essential to ensure smooth operations and protect profit margins.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The rapid advancement and commercialization of cultivated meat and precision fermentation technologies for producing proteins, fats, and other food components represent a clear emerging threat to Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM).

ADM's core business relies heavily on the origination, processing, and distribution of agricultural commodities, particularly grains and oilseeds for animal feed and plant-based ingredients. If cultivated meat scales efficiently and becomes cost-competitive, it could significantly reduce global demand for traditional animal agriculture, thereby diminishing the need for vast quantities of animal feed ingredients that are central to ADM's Ag Services and Oilseeds segment. Similarly, precision fermentation, capable of producing dairy proteins, egg proteins, fats, or other functional ingredients without traditional agricultural inputs, could displace demand for ADM's plant-based protein isolates or other processed ingredients in the food and beverage sectors, should these alternatives offer superior economics, functionality, or sustainability profiles.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) operates in several large addressable markets through its main product and service segments. The key market sizes for these segments are detailed below, with market sizes generally presented as global unless otherwise specified.

  • Agricultural Origination and Processing: This segment involves the origination, merchandising, transportation, and processing of agricultural raw materials like corn and soybeans.
    • For Soybean Processing, the global market size was USD 98.47 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 153.05 billion by 2030.
    • More broadly, the global agribusiness market, encompassing agricultural commodities and related services, was valued at USD 3.4 trillion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 4.4 trillion by 2033.
  • Carbohydrate Solutions: This segment includes corn and wheat wet and dry milling operations, producing various sweeteners, starches, and ethanol.
    • The global corn wet-milling market size was valued between USD 82.83 billion and USD 87.18 billion in 2024, with projections to reach between USD 117.16 billion by 2032 and USD 128.48 billion by 2034.
  • Nutrition: ADM's Nutrition segment provides a wide array of ingredients and solutions for both human and animal nutrition, including flavors, proteins, and specialty ingredients.
    • For Animal Feed Protein Ingredients, the global market size was USD 195.2 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 315.8 billion in 2035.
    • For Cocoa and Chocolate, where ADM is a manufacturer of chocolate, the global chocolate market size was valued at USD 123.05 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 184.69 billion in 2033.
    • For Human Nutrition Ingredients (including specialty food ingredients, flavors, and plant-based proteins), the global food ingredients market size was valued at USD 351.42 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 561.61 billion by 2034.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through a combination of strategic investments, expanding its higher-value businesses, capitalizing on sustainability trends, and enhancing operational efficiency.

  1. Expansion in the Nutrition Segment and Value-Added Solutions: ADM is positioning itself as a premier global human and animal nutrition company, actively developing groundbreaking products for healthier living and innovative plant-based consumer and industrial solutions. The Nutrition segment has shown sequential growth in operating profit, with North American Flavors achieving record revenue in Q3 2025. Continued focus and investment in this area, including flavor systems and postbiotics, are expected to fuel future revenue growth.

  2. Growth from Biofuels and Sustainable Solutions: Anticipated clarity on biofuel policy and global trade evolution are expected to provide significant demand uplift for ADM's products. The company is a leader in sustainability, actively scaling solutions to decarbonize its industry, exemplified by the opening of the world's largest bioethanol carbon capture facility in November 2025. Investments in this sector are aimed at meeting evolving market demands for environmentally friendly products and processes.

  3. Strategic Capital Allocation and Portfolio Optimization: ADM plans to prioritize selective strategic investments with strong return potential, focusing on "proven winners" and laying foundations for the next wave of growth. Alongside this, the company is simplifying its portfolio through targeted actions, including potential divestitures, to better align resources with long-term sustainable growth opportunities. This strategic approach aims to enhance overall efficiency and concentrate efforts on high-growth areas.

  4. Enhanced Operational Performance and Efficiency: A key internal driver for ADM is the continuous improvement of its operational performance. This includes accelerating cost savings (targeting $500-$750 million over several years) and improving the reliability and efficiency of its assets. Efforts to reduce unplanned downtime in areas like North American soy assets and achieve strong crush volumes in regions such as canola, rapeseed, and LatAm are expected to lead to increased production and, consequently, higher sales volumes.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) returned over $3.3 billion to stockholders through share repurchases and dividends in the last year, as of March 2025.
  • In December 2024, ADM's Board of Directors extended its share repurchase program through December 31, 2029, and authorized the repurchase of an additional 100 million shares, bringing the total authorized to 300 million shares.
  • As of December 2024, approximately 114.8 million shares remained available for future repurchases under the extended program.

Share Issuance

  • As of December 31, 2024, ADM had 3,994,756 shares available for issuance under the maximum payout conditions of its 2020 Incentive Compensation Plan, which includes options, restricted stock units, and performance shares.

Outbound Investments

  • In January 2024, ADM acquired Trouw Nutrition, a provider of animal nutrition solutions.
  • ADM strengthened its flavors portfolio with the acquisition of FDL and Revela Foods in December 2023.
  • ADM completed the acquisition of Deerland Probiotics & Enzymes in November 2021, enhancing its Health & Wellness business.
  • ADM announced a North American animal feed joint venture with Alltech, expected to launch in the first quarter of 2026, with Alltech contributing its Hubbard Feeds and Masterfeeds businesses.

Capital Expenditures

  • ADM's capital expenditures for fiscal years ending December 2020 to 2024 averaged $1.159 billion.
  • For 2025, ADM lowered its expected capital expenditure spend range to $1.3 billion to $1.5 billion, down from previous expectations of $1.5 billion to $1.7 billion.
  • Year-to-date in 2025, ADM had invested $596 million in capital expenditures.
  • The company's capital allocation strategy targets capital expenditures to represent 30-40% of its cash flows.

Better Bets vs. Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to ADM.

Unique Key

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ADMBGINGRANDETSNDARMedian
NameArcher-D.Bunge Gl.IngredionAndersonsTyson Fo.Darling . 
Mkt Price68.08113.98117.3163.1865.7447.3566.91
Mkt Cap33.022.57.52.123.17.515.0
Rev LTM83,21160,1097,26211,59655,1315,84433,363
Op Inc LTM1,5191,5521,060951,1633741,112
FCF LTM4,703-1,1245462341,107476511
FCF 3Y Avg2,906101697467988428582
CFO LTM6,0875509754522,066774874
CFO 3Y Avg4,3821,3961,0356342,2268441,215

Growth & Margins

ADMBGINGRANDETSNDARMedian
NameArcher-D.Bunge Gl.IngredionAndersonsTyson Fo.Darling . 
Rev Chg LTM-4.4%10.3%-3.8%2.2%2.8%-1.1%0.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.5%-3.2%-1.8%-9.7%1.0%-0.6%-2.5%
Rev Chg Q2.2%71.6%-2.9%2.2%5.1%10.0%3.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.5%18.2%-0.7%0.5%1.3%2.5%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM1.8%2.6%14.6%0.8%2.1%6.4%2.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.0%3.5%12.8%1.3%1.9%6.9%3.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-0.4%-0.3%-0.5%-0.5%0.7%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM7.3%0.9%13.4%3.9%3.7%13.2%5.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.1%2.4%13.6%4.6%4.1%13.6%4.8%
FCF/Rev LTM5.7%-1.9%7.5%2.0%2.0%8.1%3.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.4%0.2%9.2%3.2%1.8%7.0%3.3%

Valuation

ADMBGINGRANDETSNDARMedian
NameArcher-D.Bunge Gl.IngredionAndersonsTyson Fo.Darling . 
Mkt Cap33.022.57.52.123.17.515.0
P/S0.40.41.00.20.41.30.4
P/EBIT15.29.87.912.927.224.014.1
P/E27.717.011.429.3115.769.628.5
P/CFO5.440.87.74.811.29.78.7
Total Yield5.1%6.7%11.5%4.7%2.4%1.4%4.9%
Dividend Yield1.5%0.8%2.8%1.2%1.5%0.0%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.9%1.9%8.7%25.6%4.9%7.1%7.9%
D/E0.30.80.20.40.40.60.4
Net D/E0.20.60.10.30.30.60.3

Returns

ADMBGINGRANDETSNDARMedian
NameArcher-D.Bunge Gl.IngredionAndersonsTyson Fo.Darling . 
1M Rtn15.3%23.0%6.8%19.1%13.3%25.8%17.2%
3M Rtn14.3%22.1%3.6%35.8%28.5%44.4%25.3%
6M Rtn27.4%43.7%-6.0%83.9%24.4%49.9%35.5%
12M Rtn38.1%55.0%-11.8%57.9%20.5%26.4%32.2%
3Y Rtn-8.9%27.0%24.3%75.4%14.0%-28.8%19.2%
1M Excs Rtn16.5%26.0%5.3%17.4%10.2%29.6%16.9%
3M Excs Rtn10.9%18.4%0.3%33.0%26.7%45.1%22.6%
6M Excs Rtn16.7%36.7%-17.7%71.9%15.6%38.5%26.7%
12M Excs Rtn22.0%37.0%-27.3%39.5%5.0%14.3%18.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-83.5%-47.0%-48.0%7.8%-60.4%-101.0%-54.2%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ag Services and Oilseeds75,53482,12267,04749,71648,741
Carbohydrate Solutions13,79215,90211,1108,4729,886
Nutrition7,2597,8216,7125,8005,677
Other Business424396380367352
Intersegment revenue-3,074-4,685   
Total93,935101,55685,24964,35564,656


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ag Services and Oilseeds4,0674,4012,7752,1051,935
Carbohydrate Solutions1,3751,4131,283717644
Nutrition427668691574418
Gains on sales of assets and businesses 47778312
Impairment and restructuring charges -147-213-76-146
Other Business 167255285
Total5,8696,5494,6383,4552,948


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$68.08 
Market Cap ($ Bil)33.0 
First Trading Date04/05/1983 
Distance from 52W High-0.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$61.24$56.63
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA11.2%20.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility29.7%29.2%
Downside Capture-22.36-16.28
Upside Capture56.5119.10
Correlation (SPY)-4.5%24.2%
ADM Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.420.32-0.12-0.100.370.42
Up Beta0.620.460.020.560.630.60
Down Beta-0.39-0.45-0.66-0.050.470.47
Up Capture268%132%45%6%12%6%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days14233667126381
Down Capture-71%24%-24%-98%-24%57%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days6182558125370

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ADM
ADM37.1%29.2%1.08-
Sector ETF (XLP)8.0%13.9%0.3249.7%
Equity (SPY)16.0%19.2%0.6424.1%
Gold (GLD)66.9%23.7%2.1110.2%
Commodities (DBC)7.0%16.3%0.2331.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%16.5%-0.0037.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-19.7%39.9%-0.467.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ADM
ADM8.5%27.8%0.31-
Sector ETF (XLP)7.6%13.1%0.3740.9%
Equity (SPY)14.1%17.1%0.6631.9%
Gold (GLD)19.9%16.6%0.978.9%
Commodities (DBC)11.4%18.9%0.4929.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.5%18.8%0.1532.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)20.9%57.6%0.5613.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ADM
ADM11.0%27.1%0.42-
Sector ETF (XLP)8.4%14.6%0.4452.6%
Equity (SPY)15.9%17.9%0.7649.7%
Gold (GLD)15.0%15.3%0.813.9%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%17.6%0.3931.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.8%20.8%0.2544.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)71.1%66.4%1.1011.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 12312025-1.5%
Average Daily Volume3.8 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity484.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20250.0%-6.8%-0.4%
8/5/20256.0%7.2%14.5%
5/6/20251.7%5.1%0.5%
2/4/2025-5.1%-7.9%-7.4%
11/5/2024-6.0%-5.3%-5.5%
7/30/2024-1.3%-8.1%-3.5%
4/30/2024-3.3%-0.8%-0.3%
1/22/2024-24.2%-23.7%-20.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101013
# Negative141411
Median Positive3.3%6.3%4.4%
Median Negative-3.3%-4.7%-4.3%
Max Positive6.0%11.4%17.0%
Max Negative-24.2%-23.7%-20.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202411/18/202410-Q
06/30/202407/30/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202303/12/202410-K
09/30/202310/24/202310-Q
06/30/202307/25/202310-Q
03/31/202304/25/202310-Q
12/31/202202/14/202310-K
09/30/202210/25/202210-Q
06/30/202207/26/202210-Q
03/31/202204/26/202210-Q
12/31/202102/17/202210-K