Tearsheet

Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $47.63 | Market Cap: $9.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Brewers

Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $47.63
Market Cap: $9.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Brewers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.3%
2 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.2%, FCF Yield is 12%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
2 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.2%, FCF Yield is 12%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.3%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TAP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the negative movement in Molson Coors Beverage (TAP) stock during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025: 1. Disappointing Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Revised Outlook.

Molson Coors reported its third-quarter 2025 results on November 4, 2025, revealing a U.S. GAAP net loss attributable to MCBC of $2,927.6 million, significantly impacted by a $3,645.7 million non-cash partial goodwill impairment charge and $273.9 million in non-cash intangible asset impairment charges. The company also experienced a 2.3% decrease in reported net sales and a 3.3% decrease in constant currency net sales, alongside an 11.9% decline in underlying (Non-GAAP) income before income taxes. Both revenue and underlying earnings per share missed analyst expectations. The company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 guidance but indicated performance would likely be at the lower end of previously provided ranges. 2. Growing Concerns Over GLP-1 Weight-Loss Drugs Impacting Alcohol Consumption.

Concerns escalated regarding the potential adverse effects of GLP-1 weight-loss drugs on alcohol consumption, a factor cited by Piper Sandler when they lowered their price target for Molson Coors to $50 from $52 on November 21, 2025. This sentiment contributed to a 3% drop in the stock on December 9, 2025, as caution grew among investors about these drugs dampening demand for alcoholic products. Molson Coors' former CEO had previously acknowledged these drugs as a factor impacting consumption in August 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TAP Return-15%4%14%22%-3%-15%1%
Peers Return45%-7%-11%4%-11%-10%0%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TAP Win Rate50%50%67%67%58%42% 
Peers Win Rate60%46%42%54%46%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TAP Max Drawdown-39%-3%0%-5%-18%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-21%-22%-13%-17%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BUD, STZ, SAM, KDP. See TAP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTAPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven553 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven223 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-50.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven102.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-46.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1843 days1480 days

Compare to SAM, BUD, TAP


In The Past

Molson Coors Beverage's stock fell -28.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/9/2021. A -28.3% loss requires a 39.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)

Better Bets than Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TAP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.0%7.0%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.7%-5.7%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%-5.1%
TAP_9262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09262025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-3.6%
TAP_10312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312019TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.4%-31.6%-36.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.0%7.0%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.7%-5.7%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%-5.1%
TAP_9262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09262025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-3.6%
TAP_10312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312019TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.4%-31.6%-36.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Molson Coors Beverage

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TAPBUDSTZSAMKDPMedian
NameMolson C.Anheuser.Constell.Boston B.Keurig D. 
Mkt Price47.6063.74147.42203.0329.5163.74
Mkt Cap9.4126.625.92.240.125.9
Rev LTM11,21458,6069,6241,98216,17411,214
Op Inc LTM1,66115,3173,0421583,4753,042
FCF LTM1,093-1,8482121,5991,346
FCF 3Y Avg1,202-1,6771741,3361,269
CFO LTM1,738-2,7692722,1281,933
CFO 3Y Avg1,872-2,8412401,8551,864

Growth & Margins

TAPBUDSTZSAMKDPMedian
NameMolson C.Anheuser.Constell.Boston B.Keurig D. 
Rev Chg LTM-4.0%-1.3%-5.6%-1.1%6.8%-1.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.7%0.8%0.7%-0.1%5.9%0.8%
Rev Chg Q-2.3%0.6%-15.0%-11.2%10.7%-2.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.6%0.1%-4.4%-3.3%2.6%-0.6%
Op Mgn LTM14.8%26.1%31.6%8.0%21.5%21.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.6%25.4%31.7%7.3%21.8%21.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.2%-0.1%-1.0%0.0%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM15.5%-28.8%13.7%13.2%14.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.3%-28.8%11.9%12.1%14.2%
FCF/Rev LTM9.8%-19.2%10.7%9.9%10.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.5%-17.0%8.7%8.7%9.6%

Valuation

TAPBUDSTZSAMKDPMedian
NameMolson C.Anheuser.Constell.Boston B.Keurig D. 
Mkt Cap9.4126.625.92.240.125.9
P/S0.82.02.51.22.12.0
P/EBIT5.57.811.214.512.211.2
P/E-4.319.419.424.921.919.4
P/CFO5.2-8.68.416.38.5
Total Yield-19.1%5.2%6.7%4.0%6.4%5.2%
Dividend Yield4.2%0.0%1.5%0.0%1.8%1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.6%-4.9%5.7%3.3%5.3%
D/E0.70.00.40.00.50.4
Net D/E0.60.00.4-0.10.50.4

Returns

TAPBUDSTZSAMKDPMedian
NameMolson C.Anheuser.Constell.Boston B.Keurig D. 
1M Rtn3.6%0.1%14.1%2.4%8.8%3.6%
3M Rtn-0.7%9.5%6.5%-6.3%9.3%6.5%
6M Rtn-4.0%-10.3%-9.4%-2.6%-9.2%-9.2%
12M Rtn-19.2%21.7%-36.9%-35.5%-9.4%-19.2%
3Y Rtn1.2%11.9%-33.8%-41.2%-12.7%-12.7%
1M Excs Rtn5.0%-0.6%13.4%1.4%10.0%5.0%
3M Excs Rtn-2.6%6.0%6.5%-8.8%8.1%6.0%
6M Excs Rtn-18.3%-24.5%-23.6%-16.9%-23.4%-23.4%
12M Excs Rtn-33.0%9.7%-50.8%-49.0%-22.4%-33.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-74.9%-60.9%-110.4%-117.0%-89.2%-89.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment11,70210,70110,2809,65410,579
Total11,70210,70110,2809,65410,579


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,963,934
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-5.5%
Average Daily Volume4,818,803
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.31
Basic Shares Quantity197,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20251.0%8.4%6.5%
8/5/20251.3%3.5%2.5%
5/8/2025-4.5%-2.4%-7.7%
2/13/20259.5%13.0%12.4%
11/7/20240.4%13.0%8.9%
8/6/20245.4%1.7%9.9%
4/30/2024-9.9%-9.9%-16.6%
2/13/2024-1.3%1.0%7.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121414
# Negative1199
Median Positive2.5%5.2%8.1%
Median Negative-4.5%-6.8%-9.3%
Max Positive9.5%13.3%42.2%
Max Negative-11.2%-18.4%-33.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Molson Andrew Thomas11122025Buy46.797,500350,9241,059,978Form
1Coors David S.11062025Buy44.472,24599,8241,360,006Form