Tearsheet

Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $46.0 | Market Cap: $9.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Brewers

Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $46.0
Market Cap: $9.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Brewers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TAP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Molson Coors Beverage reported disappointing third-quarter 2025 financial results, missing analyst expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company reported $1.67 EPS against an estimated $1.72, and revenue of $2.97 billion compared to analyst estimates of $3.02 billion. Furthermore, Molson Coors revised its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting to perform at the lower end of its previously stated range.

2. The company recorded a substantial non-cash partial goodwill impairment charge of $3.6 billion in the third quarter of 2025. This significant write-down of assets indicates a re-evaluation of the value of its acquisitions and intangible assets, which can negatively impact investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TAP Return-15%4%14%22%-3%-17%-1%
Peers Return45%-19%-7%12%-13%-9%-3%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TAP Win Rate50%50%67%67%58%30% 
Peers Win Rate58%42%44%61%47%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TAP Max Drawdown-39%-3%0%-5%-18%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-27%-23%-8%-22%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SAM, BUD, TAP. See TAP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTAPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven553 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven223 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-50.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven102.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-46.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1843 days1480 days

Compare to SAM, BUD, TAP


In The Past

Molson Coors Beverage's stock fell -28.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/9/2021. A -28.3% loss requires a 39.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TAP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
TAP_9262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09262025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-3.6%
TAP_10312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312019TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.4%-31.6%-36.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
TAP_9262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09262025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-3.6%
TAP_10312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312019TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.4%-31.6%-36.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Molson Coors Beverage

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TAPSAMBUDMedian
NameMolson C.Boston B.Anheuser. 
Mkt Price----
Mkt Cap----
Rev LTM----
Op Inc LTM----
FCF LTM----
FCF 3Y Avg----
CFO LTM----
CFO 3Y Avg----

Growth & Margins

TAPSAMBUDMedian
NameMolson C.Boston B.Anheuser. 
Rev Chg LTM----
Rev Chg 3Y Avg----
Rev Chg Q----
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM----
Op Mgn LTM----
Op Mgn 3Y Avg----
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM----
CFO/Rev LTM----
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg----
FCF/Rev LTM----
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg----

Valuation

TAPSAMBUDMedian
NameMolson C.Boston B.Anheuser. 
Mkt Cap----
P/S----
P/EBIT----
P/E----
P/CFO----
Total Yield----
Dividend Yield----
FCF Yield 3Y Avg----
D/E----
Net D/E----

Returns

TAPSAMBUDMedian
NameMolson C.Boston B.Anheuser. 
1M Rtn----
3M Rtn----
6M Rtn----
12M Rtn----
3Y Rtn----
1M Excs Rtn----
3M Excs Rtn----
6M Excs Rtn----
12M Excs Rtn----
3Y Excs Rtn----

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment11,70210,70110,2809,65410,579
Total11,70210,70110,2809,65410,579


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,893,435
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.8%
Average Daily Volume3,870,608
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.36
Basic Shares Quantity197,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Molson Andrew Thomas11122025Buy46.797,500350,9241,059,978Form
1Coors David S.11062025Buy44.472,24599,8241,360,006Form