Mama's Creations (MAMA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.68 | Market Cap: $440.2 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Mama's Creations (MAMA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.68Market Cap: $440.2 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.8%, Dist 3Y High is -1.8% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 52x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 38x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 69x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Online Grocery Platforms, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Online Grocery Platforms, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.8%, Dist 3Y High is -1.8% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 52x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 38x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 69x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MAMA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the period between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, Mama's Creations (MAMA) stock experienced a significant upward movement of 46.2%, driven by several key factors.
1. Strong Analyst Ratings and Positive Price Targets. As of December 1, 2025, Mama's Creations received a "Strong Buy" consensus rating from analysts, with 100% of four analysts recommending it. The average price target set by analysts was $14.25, with some forecasts reaching as high as $18.00 by November 25, 2025, indicating a significant potential upside from the then-current trading prices. This robust positive sentiment from the analyst community likely boosted investor confidence and contributed to the stock's appreciation.
2. Anticipation of Strong Q3 Fiscal 2026 Earnings. News released on December 1, 2025, highlighted that Mama's Creations was expected to announce its Q3 fiscal 2026 results (for the quarter ending October 31, 2025) on December 8, 2025. Analysts projected revenues of approximately $43.21 million for the quarter. The positive anticipation surrounding these upcoming earnings, especially after the company had beaten estimates in the prior quarter, likely acted as a catalyst for stock price growth.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MAMA Return | 48% | 12% | -11% | 174% | 62% | 49% | 882% |
| Peers Return | 3% | 10% | 10% | -15% | 2% | -20% | -13% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MAMA Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 33% | 83% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 32% | 35% | 48% | 30% | 45% | 38% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MAMA Max Drawdown | -30% | 0% | -50% | -21% | -12% | -29% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -10% | -4% | -5% | -25% | -12% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: K, GIS, FLO, WEST, MEHA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MAMA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -68.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 221.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 214 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 32 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -79.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 384.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 269 days | 120 days |
Compare to K, GIS, FLO, WEST, MEHA
In The Past
Mama's Creations's stock fell -68.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/14/2021. A -68.8% loss requires a 221.0% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Would You Still Hold Mama's Creations Stock If It Fell 30%? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MAMA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Mama's Creations
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.37 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.3 |
| Rev LTM | 3,107 |
| Op Inc LTM | 163 |
| FCF LTM | 165 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 257 |
| CFO LTM | 230 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 384 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.3 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 8.7 |
| P/E | 14.2 |
| P/CFO | 10.4 |
| Total Yield | 7.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -13.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -27.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -40.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -28.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -40.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -110.6% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9082025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6032025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 4082025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12162024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9102024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6112024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 4242024 | 10-K 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12122023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9122023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6132023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 4262023 | 10-K 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12122022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9142022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6142022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 5272022 | 10-K 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12142021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |