Tearsheet

Casey's General Stores (CASY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $555.0 | Market Cap: $20.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Retail

Casey's General Stores (CASY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $555.0
Market Cap: $20.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Food Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.8%, Dist 3Y High is -2.8%
 
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Online Grocery Platforms, Show more.
  
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Online Grocery Platforms, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.8%, Dist 3Y High is -2.8%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CASY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for Casey's General Stores (CASY) stock movement, from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. As an AI, I cannot provide an explanation for a specific past stock movement (12.4%) within a future timeframe. However, the search results provide some analyst forecasts and company outlooks for fiscal year 2025 and 2026, which may influence future stock performance. Here are some key points from the available information that could generally drive stock performance, though not specifically explaining a 12.4% move in the requested future period:

1. Strong Financial Performance and Growth Plans: Casey's General Stores reported strong fiscal year 2025 results, with diluted EPS up 9% to $14.64 and EBITDA rising 13% to $1.2 billion. The company also announced a strategic plan for FY24-FY26, aiming for 8-10% annual EBITDA growth and an expansion of approximately 500 stores through new builds and acquisitions. In fiscal 2025 alone, Casey's built or acquired a total of 270 stores, with 198 added through the acquisition of Fikes Wholesale and its CEFCO stores. For fiscal year 2026, Casey's expects to open at least 80 new stores.

2. Exceeding Earnings Expectations: In Q4 2025, Casey's posted earnings per share of $2.63, significantly exceeding the expected $2.03, and revenue of $3.99 billion against a forecast of $3.95 billion. Additionally, for Q1 fiscal 2026 (ended July 31, 2025), diluted EPS was $5.77, up 19.5% from the prior year, with net income at $215.4 million and EBITDA at $414.3 million, also up 19.5% and 19.8% respectively.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CASY Return13%11%14%23%45%44%270%
Peers Return2%61%34%7%11%10%187%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CASY Win Rate58%75%67%67%75%60% 
Peers Win Rate58%70%55%53%48%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CASY Max Drawdown-24%-1%-13%-8%-1%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-3%-8%-15%-10%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MPC, MUSA, WMK, IMKTA, KR. See CASY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCASYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-24.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven233 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven152 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven100 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-41.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven208 days1480 days

Compare to MPC, MUSA, WMK, IMKTA, KR


In The Past

Casey's General Stores's stock fell -24.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2021. A -24.1% loss requires a 31.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Casey's General Stores (CASY)

Better Bets than Casey's General Stores (CASY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CASY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Casey's General Stores

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CASYMPCMUSAWMKIMKTAKRMedian
NameCasey's .Marathon.Murphy U.Weis Mar.Ingles M.Kroger  
Mkt Price555.30189.43390.4167.2777.6366.20133.53
Mkt Cap20.657.47.61.71.543.814.1
Rev LTM16,410133,26219,4794,8955,363147,00017,945
Op Inc LTM8504,734740120823,925795
FCF LTM6664,276365-382,212515
FCF 3Y Avg4768,29844441602,268460
CFO LTM1,1827,3918342081676,0181,008
CFO 3Y Avg98710,7838311952346,114909

Growth & Margins

CASYMPCMUSAWMKIMKTAKRMedian
NameCasey's .Marathon.Murphy U.Weis Mar.Ingles M.Kroger  
Rev Chg LTM8.7%-6.1%-8.0%2.2%-8.0%-2.1%-4.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.9%-8.3%-2.7%2.9%-1.1%0.7%-0.2%
Rev Chg Q11.5%-0.8%-8.2%4.4%-3.4%0.1%-0.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.9%-0.2%-2.2%1.1%-0.9%0.0%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM5.2%3.6%3.8%2.4%1.5%2.7%3.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.8%6.0%3.8%2.6%3.5%2.4%3.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.4%0.1%-0.2%-0.1%0.0%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM7.2%5.5%4.3%4.2%3.1%4.1%4.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.4%7.4%4.0%4.0%4.1%4.1%4.1%
FCF/Rev LTM4.1%3.2%1.9%-0.1%0.2%1.5%1.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.1%5.7%2.1%0.9%1.0%1.5%1.8%

Valuation

CASYMPCMUSAWMKIMKTAKRMedian
NameCasey's .Marathon.Murphy U.Weis Mar.Ingles M.Kroger  
Mkt Cap20.657.47.61.71.543.814.1
P/S1.20.40.40.40.20.30.4
P/EBIT22.38.510.914.912.811.912.4
P/E32.620.316.217.821.317.419.0
P/CFO16.07.99.58.67.27.98.2
Total Yield3.5%6.9%6.7%7.6%5.7%7.6%6.8%
Dividend Yield0.4%1.9%0.5%2.0%1.0%1.9%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.5%14.3%5.6%2.2%4.3%6.0%4.9%
D/E0.20.60.30.10.50.50.4
Net D/E0.10.50.3-0.00.20.40.2

Returns

CASYMPCMUSAWMKIMKTAKRMedian
NameCasey's .Marathon.Murphy U.Weis Mar.Ingles M.Kroger  
1M Rtn8.1%-2.8%6.1%5.5%8.5%4.9%5.8%
3M Rtn11.3%6.4%5.3%-6.4%11.7%-2.4%5.8%
6M Rtn24.2%22.0%-7.3%-8.1%28.7%0.8%11.4%
12M Rtn33.6%24.5%-27.5%-4.4%8.2%12.6%10.4%
3Y Rtn141.1%71.0%37.4%-18.6%-20.9%48.8%43.1%
1M Excs Rtn8.1%-2.7%6.1%5.5%8.5%4.9%5.8%
3M Excs Rtn6.2%1.0%-0.7%-11.7%5.0%-7.2%0.2%
6M Excs Rtn9.4%7.3%-22.0%-22.9%14.0%-13.9%-3.3%
12M Excs Rtn19.0%10.5%-41.9%-19.4%-7.5%-3.0%-5.2%
3Y Excs Rtn62.1%-6.9%-39.7%-89.7%-93.0%-27.8%-33.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment14,86315,09412,9538,7079,175
Total14,86315,09412,9538,7079,175


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment502447   
Total502447   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity732,679
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-9.8%
Average Daily Volume267,997
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.73
Basic Shares Quantity37,148,383
Short % of Basic Shares2.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025908202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025623202510-K 4/30/2025
1312025311202510-Q 1/31/2025
103120241209202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024904202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024624202410-K 4/30/2024
1312024311202410-Q 1/31/2024
103120231211202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023911202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023623202310-K 4/30/2023
1312023307202310-Q 1/31/2023
103120221206202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022907202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022624202210-K 4/30/2022
1312022308202210-Q 1/31/2022
103120211207202110-Q 10/31/2021