Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.5%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cannabis Market Growth & Legalization. Themes include Cannabis Retail & Distribution, Cannabis E-commerce, and Health & Wellness Cannabis Products.
 
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cannabis Market Growth & Legalization. Themes include Cannabis Retail & Distribution, Cannabis E-commerce, and Health & Wellness Cannabis Products.
3 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HITI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

High Tide (HITI) experienced a stock movement of -18.8% during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 14, 2025, due to several contributing factors: 1. Q3 2025 Revenue Report Miss: While High Tide reported strong Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS), one report indicated that quarterly revenue was $108.04 million, falling below analyst consensus estimates of $146 million. This potential revenue shortfall, despite positive EPS, could have fueled investor concern.

2. Bearish Short-Term Forecasts and Technical Sentiment: Towards the end of the period, particularly in early December 2025, several market forecasts and technical indicators pointed to a bearish outlook for HITI's stock. Predictions suggested a downward trend, with one forecast anticipating a -7.70% dip by December 14, 2025, and another projecting a -14.53% drop by January 8, 2026. Technical analysis also indicated a general bearish sentiment, with more bearish signals than bullish ones. Another forecast for the next 30 days was generally negative, projecting a potential -45.09% decrease from the price of $2.8245.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HITI Return-40%5083%-64%6%90%-15%1835%
Peers Return-47%-4%-55%-57%-13%-18%-93%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HITI Win Rate8%25%42%50%67%42% 
Peers Win Rate37%25%27%40%35%35% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HITI Max Drawdown-53%0%-69%-32%0%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-76%-20%-57%-66%-31%-52% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TLRY, SNDL, CGC, ACB, OGI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHITIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-88.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven765.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-66.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven196.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven441 days148 days

Compare to HITI, WGRX, PETS, SCNX


In The Past

High Tide's stock fell -88.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/2/2021. A -88.4% loss requires a 765.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About High Tide (HITI)

Better Bets than High Tide (HITI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HITI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.0%7.0%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.7%-5.7%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.0%7.0%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.7%-5.7%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for High Tide

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HITITLRYSNDLCGCACBOGIMedian
NameHigh TideTilray B.SNDL Canopy G.Aurora C.Organigr. 
Mkt Price2.9212.152.211.745.401.922.56
Mkt Cap0.21.30.60.50.30.30.4
Rev LTM568831952279367224468
Op Inc LTM13-89-11-56-29-17-23
FCF LTM20-9658-96-18-17-18
FCF 3Y Avg20-5427-261-77-43-49
CFO LTM29-6170-88232
CFO 3Y Avg28-2437-253-58-17-20

Growth & Margins

HITITLRYSNDLCGCACBOGIMedian
NameHigh TideTilray B.SNDL Canopy G.Aurora C.Organigr. 
Rev Chg LTM11.2%2.3%4.4%-0.7%23.9%51.3%7.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg25.1%11.0%29.3%-10.8%18.5%31.7%21.8%
Rev Chg Q13.7%4.7%3.1%5.9%11.4%72.4%8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.3%1.2%0.8%1.3%2.6%15.3%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM2.3%-10.7%-1.2%-20.3%-7.9%-7.6%-7.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.0%-17.2%-6.5%-50.2%-24.5%-22.0%-19.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%2.4%-0.0%2.6%-4.5%2.5%1.2%
CFO/Rev LTM5.1%-7.3%7.3%-31.7%0.6%1.2%0.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.4%-2.5%4.0%-86.6%-22.6%-10.4%-6.5%
FCF/Rev LTM3.5%-11.6%6.1%-34.5%-5.0%-7.6%-6.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.8%-6.4%2.8%-89.3%-28.7%-25.6%-16.0%

Valuation

HITITLRYSNDLCGCACBOGIMedian
NameHigh TideTilray B.SNDL Canopy G.Aurora C.Organigr. 
Mkt Cap0.21.30.60.50.30.30.4
P/S0.31.60.81.40.90.80.9
P/EBIT40.6-0.1-7.8-1.2-7.4-10.6-4.3
P/E-19.1-0.6-7.7-1.0-5.623.3-3.3
P/CFO6.4-21.210.2-4.5150.065.68.3
Total Yield-5.2%-166.7%-12.9%-96.4%-17.7%4.3%-15.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.4%-32.0%3.9%-52.2%-30.5%-32.4%-31.3%
D/E0.41.80.20.60.30.10.4
Net D/E0.10.3-0.1-0.10.0-0.2-0.0

Returns

HITITLRYSNDLCGCACBOGIMedian
NameHigh TideTilray B.SNDL Canopy G.Aurora C.Organigr. 
1M Rtn1.7%7.5%30.0%58.2%23.0%24.7%23.8%
3M Rtn-14.9%8.5%-8.3%27.0%10.9%15.7%9.7%
6M Rtn28.1%200.7%71.3%17.6%-7.7%37.1%32.6%
12M Rtn-8.5%2.1%24.2%-44.1%25.3%29.7%13.1%
3Y Rtn93.4%-88.2%-6.8%-93.9%-50.9%-48.0%-49.5%
1M Excs Rtn-1.0%-0.9%23.8%46.6%19.5%19.6%19.6%
3M Excs Rtn-23.9%-0.2%-14.8%22.0%5.4%9.1%2.6%
6M Excs Rtn13.8%186.5%57.1%3.3%-21.9%22.9%18.4%
12M Excs Rtn-25.7%-18.2%5.7%-63.1%10.4%11.5%-6.3%
3Y Excs Rtn14.8%-161.8%-90.5%-168.2%-125.8%-125.1%-125.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Bricks-and-Mortar432    
E-commerce56    
Corporate 000 
Retail 35217475 
Wholesale 478 
Single segment    10
Total4883571818310


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Bricks-and-Mortar-9    
E-commerce-32    
Corporate -24-15-4 
Retail -47-34 
Wholesale -2-1-1 
Total-41-72-190 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Bricks-and-Mortar186    
E-commerce48    
Corporate  1517 
Retail  22347 
Wholesale  86 
Total233 24670 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,550,006
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-6.1%
Average Daily Volume518,984
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.84
Basic Shares Quantity81,315,970
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
731202591520256-K 7/31/2025
430202561620256-K 4/30/2025
131202531720256-K 1/31/2025
10312024129202540-F 10/31/2024
731202491620246-K 7/31/2024
430202461320246-K 4/30/2024
131202431520246-K 1/31/2024
10312023129202440-F 10/31/2023
430202361420236-K 4/30/2023
131202331720236-K 1/31/2023
10312022131202340-F 10/31/2022
731202291420226-K 7/31/2022
430202261420226-K 4/30/2022
131202231720226-K 1/31/2022
10312021202202240-F 10/31/2021
731202191420216-K 7/31/2021