Tearsheet

Seneca Foods (SENEA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $117.61 | Market Cap: $806.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Seneca Foods (SENEA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $117.61
Market Cap: $806.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 34%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, and Vegan Products.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 34%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, and Vegan Products.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SENEA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

**1. Increased Net Sales and Return to Profitability:** Seneca Foods reported a substantial turnaround in its fiscal 2025 fourth quarter, achieving a net income of $601,000 (earnings per share of $0.09), a significant improvement from a net loss in the prior year. The company's net sales for fiscal year 2025 also saw an increase, reaching $1,578.9 million, driven by higher sales volumes, increased selling prices, and a favorable product mix.

**2. Significant Reduction in Net Debt:** Seneca Foods successfully reduced its net debt by $297 million year-over-year. This was largely a result of increased sales volumes and robust operating cash flow, indicating improved financial health and operational efficiency.

**3. Strong Sales Volume Growth:** The company experienced higher sales volumes consistently across the fourth quarter and the full fiscal year 2025, suggesting strong demand for its products despite challenging market conditions.

**4. Noteworthy Institutional Investment:** In the fourth quarter of 2024, preceding the specified period but influencing market sentiment, EDGE CAPITAL GROUP, LLC, a significant institutional investor, increased its holdings in Seneca Foods (SENEA) by over $5.9 million, reflecting confidence in the company's prospects.

**5. Positive Outlook Despite Margin Pressures:** Despite facing challenges such as a rainy growing season, increasing costs, and fluctuating tariffs, which impacted gross margins, the company's President and CEO, Paul Palmby, stated that fiscal 2025 was strong and anticipated continued revenue growth, suggesting a resilient business outlook.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SENEA Return-2%20%27%-14%51%51%194%
Peers Return4%13%13%-19%2%-25%-17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SENEA Win Rate50%50%58%50%67%70% 
Peers Win Rate40%44%60%38%56%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SENEA Max Drawdown-31%-9%-7%-46%-15%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-5%-6%-31%-15%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: K, GIS, FLO, WEST, BRBF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSENEAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-51.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven105.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven495 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven140 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven217 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-49.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven239 days1480 days

Compare to K, GIS, FLO, WEST, BRBF


In The Past

Seneca Foods's stock fell -51.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/6/2022. A -51.3% loss requires a 105.3% gain to breakeven.

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About Seneca Foods (SENEA)

Better Bets than Seneca Foods (SENEA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SENEA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Seneca Foods

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SENEAKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameSeneca F.KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
Mkt Price118.2683.1446.2011.074.15-46.20
Mkt Cap0.828.825.02.30.4-2.3
Rev LTM1,60612,64319,1565,1351,07803,370
Op Inc LTM921,8553,141320-34-1206
FCF LTM2546502,096325-151-0290
FCF 3Y Avg428952,300257-192-1149
CFO LTM2931,3052,691451-53-0372
CFO 3Y Avg851,5123,003384-431235

Growth & Margins

SENEAKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameSeneca F.KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
Rev Chg LTM8.3%-1.4%-3.3%0.3%28.9%-100.0%-0.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.8%1.5%0.1%3.0%10.0%-2.8%
Rev Chg Q8.1%0.3%-6.8%3.0%60.7%-3.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.2%0.1%-1.7%0.7%14.2%-0.7%
Op Mgn LTM5.7%14.7%16.4%6.2%-3.2%-6.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.3%12.1%16.9%5.7%-2.1%-5.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%-0.4%-0.5%-0.5%0.8%--0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM18.2%10.3%14.0%8.8%-4.9%-10.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.3%12.2%15.2%7.5%-4.6%-7.5%
FCF/Rev LTM15.8%5.1%10.9%6.3%-14.0%-6.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.5%7.2%11.7%5.0%-21.1%-5.0%

Valuation

SENEAKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameSeneca F.KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
Mkt Cap0.828.825.02.30.4-2.3
P/S0.52.31.50.50.4-0.5
P/EBIT7.115.18.78.5-11.2-8.5
P/E12.421.39.614.2-5.0-12.4
P/CFO2.521.810.46.1-8.8-6.1
Total Yield8.1%7.5%15.2%14.6%-19.9%-8.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.8%4.7%7.5%0.0%-2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.6%3.6%6.6%7.0%-32.4%-3.6%
D/E0.40.20.50.81.3-0.5
Net D/E0.40.20.50.81.2-0.5

Returns

SENEAKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameSeneca F.KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
1M Rtn13.4%0.8%-0.5%-4.6%-6.7%--0.5%
3M Rtn4.3%5.9%-6.0%-21.3%-22.1%--6.0%
6M Rtn28.4%3.0%-13.3%-29.7%-38.1%--13.3%
12M Rtn62.7%6.1%-27.1%-47.4%-46.6%--27.1%
3Y Rtn76.3%32.1%-40.4%-57.2%-69.3%--40.4%
1M Excs Rtn13.5%0.8%-0.5%-4.6%-6.7%--0.5%
3M Excs Rtn-0.2%-0.0%-11.1%-26.6%-28.8%--11.1%
6M Excs Rtn13.7%-11.8%-28.0%-44.4%-52.8%--28.0%
12M Excs Rtn50.5%-7.6%-40.6%-61.2%-61.9%--40.6%
3Y Excs Rtn14.9%-37.6%-110.6%-129.4%-139.4%--110.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Vegetable1,326    
Fruit and Snack101    
Other32    
Last-in, first-out (LIFO) Impact0    
Fruit and Vegetable 1,4661,3451,3631,203
Others 31282217
Prepared Foods 0072105
Snack Products 13121111
Total1,4591,5091,3851,4681,336


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Vegetable1,604    
Fruit and Snack101    
Other4    
Last-in, first-out (LIFO) Impact-325    
Assets held for sale-discontinued operations    0
Fruit and Vegetable    853
Noncurrent assets held for sale-discontinued operations    1
Others    1
Prepared Foods    52
Snack Products    2
Total1,384   909


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity169,727
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.8%
Average Daily Volume122,396
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.39
Basic Shares Quantity6,858,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025612202510-K 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-Q 12/28/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024613202410-K 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-Q 12/30/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023613202310-K 3/31/2023
12312022208202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022811202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022610202210-K 3/31/2022
12312021210202210-Q 1/1/2022

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data