Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF)
Market Price (4/23/2026): $65.55 | Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Distributors
Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF)
Market Price (4/23/2026): $65.55Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Food Distributors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Key risksCHEF key risks include [1] intense competitive pressure on its low profit margins and [2] vulnerability to supply chain cost volatility, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Key risksCHEF key risks include [1] intense competitive pressure on its low profit margins and [2] vulnerability to supply chain cost volatility, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Q4 2025 Earnings Beat Not Leading to Sustained Upside. Chefs' Warehouse reported robust financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025 on February 11, 2026, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.68, exceeding analyst consensus estimates of $0.62 by $0.06. Quarterly revenue also surpassed expectations, reaching $1.14 billion, a 10.5% year-over-year increase, and the company achieved over $4 billion in annual revenue for the first time in its history. However, despite this strong performance, the stock experienced a pre-market dip of 1.15% following the earnings announcement, suggesting that the positive news may have been largely anticipated or that other factors prevented sustained upward momentum beyond a temporary peak.
2. Fiscal Year 2026 Guidance and Ongoing Inflationary Pressures. The company issued preliminary financial guidance for fiscal year 2026, projecting net sales between $4.35 billion and $4.45 billion, representing 6-8% revenue growth, and adjusted EBITDA in the range of $276 million to $286 million. This outlook, while indicating continued growth, also factors in an assumed inflation rate of 2-4%. The persistent inflationary environment, even at moderate levels, suggests potential cost pressures that could temper the growth in profitability, thereby limiting aggressive upward revaluation of the stock.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.2% change in CHEF stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 8.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 62.33 | 65.56 | 5.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,041 | 4,150 | 2.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.8% | 1.7% | -5.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 32.2 | 35.1 | 8.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 39 | 39 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 5.2% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CHEF | 5.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 22.3% |
| Sector (XLP) | 5.7% | 40.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 12.4% change in CHEF stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 58.33 | 65.56 | 12.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,951 | 4,150 | 5.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.8% | 1.7% | -0.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 32.6 | 35.1 | 7.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 39 | 39 | 0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 12.4% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CHEF | 12.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 20.2% |
| Sector (XLP) | 5.6% | 24.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 20.4% change in CHEF stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 19.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 54.46 | 65.56 | 20.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,794 | 4,150 | 9.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.5% | 1.7% | 19.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 37.4 | 35.1 | -6.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 38 | 39 | -1.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 20.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CHEF | 20.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 33.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 2.7% | 28.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 92.5% change in CHEF stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 64.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 34.05 | 65.56 | 92.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,613 | 4,150 | 58.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.1% | 1.7% | 64.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 45.7 | 35.1 | -23.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 37 | 39 | -3.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 92.5% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CHEF | 92.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 37.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | 18.6% | 25.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CHEF Return | 30% | -0% | -12% | 68% | 26% | 5% | 154% |
| Peers Return | 54% | 1% | -2% | 37% | 10% | 16% | 167% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 3% | 88% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CHEF Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 75% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 46% | 50% | 52% | 69% | 56% | 75% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CHEF Max Drawdown | -3% | -19% | -46% | -3% | -1% | -8% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -20% | -23% | -15% | -14% | -5% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SYY, PFGC, USFD, UNFI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/22/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CHEF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 265 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -90.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 999.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 831 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 120 days |
Compare to SYY, PFGC, USFD, UNFI
In The Past
Chefs' Warehouse's stock fell -56.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/27/2022. A -56.1% loss requires a 127.6% gain to breakeven.
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About Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF):
- Sysco for fine dining and specialty ingredients.
- A Whole Foods Market for restaurants and professional chefs.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Specialty Food Products: A diverse range of high-quality artisan ingredients, including charcuterie, cheeses, unique oils and vinegars, truffles, caviar, chocolate, and pastry items.
- Center-of-the-Plate Products: Premium protein options such as custom-cut beef, fresh seafood, and hormone-free poultry.
- General Food Products: Essential kitchen staples like cooking oils, butter, eggs, milk, and flour.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) primarily sells its specialty food and center-of-the-plate products to other businesses. The company's description does not identify specific major customer companies by name or public symbol. Instead, it details the various categories of businesses that constitute its customer base, which include:
- Menu-driven independent restaurants
- Fine dining establishments
- Country clubs
- Hotels
- Caterers
- Culinary schools
- Bakeries
- Patisseries
- Chocolatiers
- Cruise lines
- Casinos
- Specialty food stores
Additionally, the company markets some of its center-of-the-plate products directly to consumers through a mail and e-commerce platform, serving individuals, but its primary focus is on the aforementioned business categories.
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Christopher Pappas, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Christopher Pappas is the founder of The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. and has served as its Chief Executive Officer since 1985. He has also been a director on the Board and the Board chairman since the company's IPO, and previously served as a director and chairman of the board of its predecessor company, Chefs' Warehouse Holdings, LLC. Prior to founding the company, Mr. Pappas played professional basketball in Europe for several years. He also serves as President, Chief Executive Officer, and Director at Dairyland USA Corp. and Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer at Qzina Specialty Foods, Inc.
James Leddy, Chief Financial Officer and Assistant Secretary
James Leddy serves as the Chief Financial Officer and Assistant Secretary for The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. Previously, Mr. Leddy held corporate risk and treasury management positions at First Union National Bank and Dai-ichi Kangyo Bank.
John Pappas, Vice Chairman and Chief Operating Officer
John Pappas is a co-founder of The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. and currently serves as its Vice Chairman and Chief Operating Officer. He has held the position of Vice Chairman since March 1, 2011, and Chief Operating Officer since February 24, 2022, having previously served as Chief Operating Officer from the company's founding in 1985 until March 1, 2011. Mr. Pappas has over 35 years of leadership experience in logistics, facility management, and global procurement, overseeing the company's entire network of distribution centers in North America.
Alexandros Aldous, General Counsel, Corporate Secretary, Chief Government Relations Officer & Chief Administrative Officer
Alexandros Aldous joined The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. in March 2011. His prior work experience includes serving as an attorney with Barclays Capital, the investment banking division of Barclays Bank PLC, in London, where he focused primarily on mergers and acquisitions and capital markets. Before that, he worked as an attorney with Shearman & Sterling LLP in New York, specializing in mergers and acquisitions. He is also an adjunct Professor of Law at the Washington College of Law, American University.
Christina Polychroni, Chief Human Resources Officer
Christina Polychroni became the Chief Human Resources Officer of The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. on December 31, 2022. Prior to this role, she served as the company's Chief Talent Officer from November 1, 2021, through December 30, 2022.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) faces several key risks inherent in the specialty food distribution industry.The most significant risk to the business is cost inflation and volatility in critical inputs. The company is highly exposed to fluctuating costs in commodities, fuel, and labor, which can significantly pressure its operating margins in the foodservice distribution sector.
Secondly, the company operates within a low-margin business model, highly sensitive to general economic conditions and consumer discretionary spending. Given that its primary customers are menu-driven independent restaurants, fine dining establishments, and hotels, a downturn in the economy or changes in consumer dining habits can directly lead to reduced sales and profitability for Chefs' Warehouse.
A third key risk stems from its reliance on third-party suppliers and potential supply chain disruptions. The Chefs' Warehouse depends on a vast network of external suppliers for its specialty food products. This reliance exposes the company to risks such as supply interruptions, unexpected cost increases, and the challenge of maintaining product availability, especially since the company does not utilize financial instruments to hedge against market fluctuations in food prices.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat for Chefs' Warehouse is the increasing adoption of digital B2B marketplaces and direct-to-chef platforms in the food industry. These platforms facilitate direct sourcing of specialty food products from producers to restaurants, potentially disintermediating traditional distributors like Chefs' Warehouse. This shift empowers chefs with greater transparency, direct access to a wider array of unique products, and potentially more competitive pricing or specific origin traceability, challenging the conventional distribution model.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for The Chefs' Warehouse (symbol: CHEF), a distributor of specialty food products and center-of-the-plate items primarily to foodservice establishments and specialty food stores in the United States and Canada, are substantial.Specialty Food Market:
- In 2025, the North American gourmet food market reached approximately USD 150.63 billion.
- The U.S. gourmet food market alone was estimated to be USD 126.11 billion in 2025.
- The global gourmet food market size was valued at USD 542.43 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 931.15 billion by 2034. Other estimates place the global gourmet food market at US$ 481.6 billion in 2026, projected to reach US$ 728.9 billion by 2033, or USD 523.47 billion in 2025, growing to USD 702.11 billion by 2030.
- The specialty food stores market in Canada is estimated at USD 7.0 billion in 2025.
Foodservice Distribution Market:
- The North America foodservice market size was valued at USD 1,087.43 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow from USD 1,164.80 billion in 2025 to USD 1,886.64 billion by 2032.
- The U.S. foodservice distribution industry posted sales of USD 382 billion in 2022. An earlier analysis from early 2025 noted the U.S. foodservice distribution market as very large at USD 354 billion, providing ample scope for growth.
- The United States foodservice market is expected to grow from US$ 846 billion in 2024 to US$ 1,970.47 billion in 2033.
- The Canada foodservice market size is expected to grow from USD 135.63 billion in 2025 to USD 583.47 billion by 2034.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (NASDAQ: CHEF) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of organic expansion, strategic acquisitions, geographic market penetration, and technology-driven initiatives. The company forecasts 2026 revenue growth of 6-8%, with net sales projected between $4.35 billion and $4.45 billion.
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Organic Sales Growth: A primary driver of revenue growth is the continued expansion of organic sales. The Chefs' Warehouse achieved 9.7% organic net sales growth in Q4 2025 and 9.1% for the full year 2025. This growth is fueled by a healthy demand from its core customer base of upscale-casual and fine-dining restaurants, alongside efforts to increase its unique customer count in the mid-to-high single digits and expand product categories for existing clients.
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Strategic Acquisitions: Acquisitions are a consistent contributor to the company's revenue growth. In Q4 2025, acquisitions accounted for approximately 0.8% of sales growth. The acquisition of companies like Atalco is intended to help The Chefs' Warehouse gain market share in new regions and complement its high-end product catalog.
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Geographic Expansion and Facility Investments: The Chefs' Warehouse is actively investing in new and existing markets to foster long-term growth. Significant facility and team investments have been made in regions such as Florida, California, and Richmond, VA, yielding positive returns. The company is also in the "first inning" of growth opportunities in Texas following an acquisition and is expanding its operating capacity in the Middle East, a region experiencing "nice double-digit growth."
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Technology Initiatives: The implementation of technology, including artificial intelligence (AI), is anticipated to enhance revenue generation. The company is deploying AI for dynamic pricing strategies and customer behavior analysis. Furthermore, increasing digital penetration among specialty product customers, which was already over 60% in Q3 2025, and arming sales representatives with real-time data, are expected to improve customer experience and drive sales efficiency.
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Pricing Power and Inflation Management: The Chefs' Warehouse operates in a resilient luxury market segment, allowing for strong pricing power. While protein margins saw a year-over-year decrease in Q3 2025, the company achieved good gross profit dollar growth by strategically passing on price increases to customers. Management's 2026 outlook assumes a 2-4% inflation rate, suggesting that controlled price increases will continue to be a component of revenue growth.
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Share Repurchases
- The company completed a share repurchase program, buying back 667,433 shares for $32.4 million in early 2026.
- The forecast for diluted share count for fiscal year 2026 assumes no future share repurchases.
- Management indicates it is actively weighing share repurchases against potential accretive acquisitions as part of its capital allocation strategy.
Share Issuance
- The projected full-year diluted share count for fiscal year 2026 includes approximately 6.5 million shares that could be issued upon the conversion of the company's senior convertible notes due in 2028.
Outbound Investments
- The Chefs' Warehouse acquired Italco Food Products for $16.5 million, issuing an $11.0 million unsecured note in connection with the acquisition in October 2025.
- In November 2022, the company acquired Chef Middle East, a specialty food distributor operating in the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, and Oman.
- The company has been actively expanding its distribution network and product offerings through strategic acquisitions like Hardie's, integral for growth and operational leverage, and continually evaluates new accretive, low-risk opportunities.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 amounted to $41.426 million.
- Expected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 are projected to be between $45.0 million and $55.0 million, excluding acquisitions.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures includes investments in facilities, technology, and expanding distribution capacity, such as consolidating operations in Dallas with a new facility for Hardie's, retrofitting the Italco facility, and planning new facilities in New England and for Sid Wainer & Son, as well as facility expansions in Texas and the Middle East.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03272026 | MZTI | Marzetti | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -1.1% |
| 03202026 | KHC | Kraft Heinz | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.3% | 4.3% | -1.7% |
| 03202026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.8% | -1.8% | -1.9% |
| 03202026 | MKC | McCormick | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 75.53 |
| Mkt Cap | 14.3 |
| Rev LTM | 39,424 |
| Op Inc LTM | 857 |
| FCF LTM | 793 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 657 |
| CFO LTM | 1,287 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,079 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 9.8% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 21.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 14.3 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/Op Inc | 16.6 |
| P/EBIT | 17.0 |
| P/E | 30.2 |
| P/CFO | 13.8 |
| Total Yield | 2.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 9.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 21.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 79.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 6.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -13.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 7.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Center-of-the-Plate | 1,455 | 1,352 | 1,126 | 877 | 534 |
| Dry Goods | 604 | 545 | 380 | 239 | 151 |
| Produce | 535 | 445 | 279 | 121 | 81 |
| Pastry | 465 | 411 | 286 | 178 | 136 |
| Cheese and Charcuterie | 272 | 253 | 216 | 143 | 108 |
| Dairy and Eggs | 255 | 229 | 153 | 80 | 38 |
| Oils and Vinegars | 131 | 129 | 113 | 71 | 40 |
| Kitchen Supplies | 76 | 70 | 59 | 37 | 24 |
| Total | 3,794 | 3,434 | 2,613 | 1,746 | 1,112 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $65.56 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/28/2011 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -9.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $64.20 | $62.60 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 2.1% | 4.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 35.8% | 35.1% |
| Downside Capture | -0.01 | 0.15 |
| Upside Capture | 0.41 | 49.13 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 18.9% | 15.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.73 | 0.51 | 0.61 | 0.53 | 0.64 | 0.91 |
| Up Beta | 6.04 | 2.97 | 2.05 | 1.18 | 0.73 | 0.83 |
| Down Beta | 1.86 | 0.10 | -0.08 | 0.17 | 0.63 | 0.96 |
| Up Capture | -158% | 16% | 65% | 56% | 44% | 91% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 23 | 31 | 68 | 136 | 402 |
| Down Capture | 86% | 35% | 70% | 52% | 61% | 98% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 19 | 32 | 58 | 114 | 343 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CHEF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHEF | 18.3% | 34.8% | 0.54 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 3.5% | 12.4% | -0.00 | 22.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.7% | 12.5% | 1.77 | 18.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 38.9% | 27.4% | 1.19 | 1.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 23.5% | 16.2% | 1.32 | -16.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 15.6% | 13.6% | 0.82 | 12.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -12.8% | 42.6% | -0.21 | 3.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CHEF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHEF | 12.8% | 39.9% | 0.41 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.1% | 13.2% | 0.25 | 28.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 10.5% | 17.1% | 0.48 | 42.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.5% | 17.8% | 0.99 | 4.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.7% | 18.8% | 0.47 | 7.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.6% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 34.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.8% | 56.4% | 0.29 | 16.7% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CHEF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHEF | 11.8% | 59.6% | 0.45 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.3% | 14.7% | 0.36 | 26.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.66 | 44.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.9% | 15.9% | 0.73 | 4.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.1% | 17.6% | 0.38 | 18.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 43.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.1% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 13.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/11/2026 | -1.9% | 6.0% | -2.1% |
| 10/29/2025 | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% |
| 7/30/2025 | 8.7% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| 4/30/2025 | 6.9% | 14.7% | 20.4% |
| 2/12/2025 | 9.4% | 20.4% | -4.4% |
| 7/31/2024 | 0.9% | -9.6% | 2.3% |
| 5/1/2024 | 5.6% | 17.1% | 16.4% |
| 2/14/2024 | 7.6% | 8.5% | 13.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 14 | 13 |
| # Negative | 6 | 8 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 7.7% | 8.2% | 12.3% |
| Median Negative | -5.0% | -7.7% | -7.7% |
| Max Positive | 12.9% | 20.4% | 62.3% |
| Max Negative | -16.6% | -20.0% | -21.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/24/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/26/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/27/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/11/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 4.35 Bil | 4.40 Bil | 4.45 Bil | 7.3% | Higher New | Actual: 4.10 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Gross profit | 1.05 Bil | 1.06 Bil | 1.08 Bil | 7.4% | Higher New | Actual: 991.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 276.00 Mil | 281.00 Mil | 286.00 Mil | 12.4% | Higher New | Actual: 250.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/29/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Revenue | 4.08 Bil | 4.10 Bil | 4.12 Bil | 1.7% | Raised | Guidance: 4.03 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Gross Profit | 987.00 Mil | 991.00 Mil | 995.00 Mil | 2.0% | Raised | Guidance: 971.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 247.00 Mil | 250.00 Mil | 253.00 Mil | 2.0% | Raised | Guidance: 245.00 Mil for 2025 | |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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