Tearsheet

Andersons (ANDE)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $54.02 | Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Distributors

Andersons (ANDE)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $54.02
Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Food Distributors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 17%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -13%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.7%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Future of Freight. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 17%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Future of Freight. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -13%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.7%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ANDE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the movement of The Andersons (ANDE) stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Performance: The Andersons reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 4, 2025, with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.84, significantly beating analyst consensus estimates of $0.46. This positive earnings surprise likely contributed to an uptick in the stock's performance.

2. Positive Analyst Upgrades and Increased Price Targets: Around November and December 2025, analysts provided favorable outlooks for ANDE. Notably, BMO Capital Markets upgraded the stock to "outperform" and raised its price target to $65.00. The consensus rating for Andersons was "Moderate Buy" with an average target price of $58.33, indicating strong analyst confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ANDE Return1%61%-8%67%-29%32%136%
Peers Return-3%54%29%-7%-11%25%100%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ANDE Win Rate67%67%50%67%33%67% 
Peers Win Rate52%67%63%42%40%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ANDE Max Drawdown-55%-6%-23%-4%-30%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-50%-1%-6%-21%-17%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADM, BG, NTR, VLO, CF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventANDES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-49.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven531 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven124.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven233 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-60.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven864 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-78.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven361.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1151 days1480 days

Compare to SYY, CHEF, CVGW, MTEX, FIT


In The Past

Andersons's stock fell -49.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/14/2022. A -49.1% loss requires a 96.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Andersons (ANDE)

Better Bets than Andersons (ANDE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ANDE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.0%7.0%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.7%-5.7%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.0%7.0%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.7%-5.7%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Andersons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ANDEADMBGNTRVLOCFMedian
NameAndersonsArcher-D.Bunge Gl.Nutrien Valero E.CF Indus. 
Mkt Price54.0260.0792.8162.63168.5579.0870.86
Mkt Cap1.828.918.330.452.112.723.6
Rev LTM11,59683,21160,10926,624123,0716,73643,366
Op Inc LTM951,5191,5523,5783,0852,0971,824
FCF LTM2344,703-1,1242,1323,9601,7101,921
FCF 3Y Avg4672,9061012,4496,9891,5742,012
CFO LTM4526,0875504,1534,8392,6333,393
CFO 3Y Avg6344,3821,3964,7897,9262,6093,495

Growth & Margins

ANDEADMBGNTRVLOCFMedian
NameAndersonsArcher-D.Bunge Gl.Nutrien Valero E.CF Indus. 
Rev Chg LTM2.2%-4.4%10.3%0.3%-8.5%12.6%1.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-9.7%-5.5%-3.2%-10.6%-10.3%-13.5%-10.0%
Rev Chg Q2.2%2.2%71.6%12.3%-2.2%21.1%7.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.5%0.5%18.2%2.5%-0.6%4.5%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM0.8%1.8%2.6%13.4%2.5%31.1%2.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.3%3.0%3.5%13.7%5.3%33.2%4.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%-0.1%-0.4%2.0%0.8%1.9%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM3.9%7.3%0.9%15.6%3.9%39.1%5.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.6%5.1%2.4%17.0%5.7%38.5%5.4%
FCF/Rev LTM2.0%5.7%-1.9%8.0%3.2%25.4%4.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.2%3.4%0.2%8.7%5.0%22.3%4.2%

Valuation

ANDEADMBGNTRVLOCFMedian
NameAndersonsArcher-D.Bunge Gl.Nutrien Valero E.CF Indus. 
Mkt Cap1.828.918.330.452.112.723.6
P/S0.10.30.31.10.42.10.4
P/EBIT8.1-7.08.822.46.58.1
P/E18.524.312.115.735.210.517.1
P/CFO3.04.829.16.810.95.56.2
Total Yield7.4%5.8%9.4%10.1%5.5%11.9%8.4%
Dividend Yield2.0%1.7%1.2%3.7%2.7%2.3%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg28.2%-1.0%9.0%14.6%10.1%10.1%
D/E0.6-1.10.50.20.20.5
Net D/E0.5-0.90.50.10.10.5

Returns

ANDEADMBGNTRVLOCFMedian
NameAndersonsArcher-D.Bunge Gl.Nutrien Valero E.CF Indus. 
1M Rtn9.6%2.5%-2.6%5.5%-7.3%-7.0%-0.1%
3M Rtn34.9%-1.6%14.5%11.0%8.2%-7.1%9.6%
6M Rtn49.6%17.5%15.8%1.5%27.5%-19.9%16.7%
12M Rtn22.4%19.1%16.2%35.6%34.6%-9.5%20.8%
3Y Rtn67.4%-28.4%4.8%-5.2%54.1%-10.3%-0.2%
1M Excs Rtn8.7%4.4%-2.6%4.5%-4.1%-6.3%0.9%
3M Excs Rtn38.0%-3.1%13.2%7.5%4.4%-10.0%6.0%
6M Excs Rtn35.4%3.2%1.6%-12.7%13.3%-34.1%2.4%
12M Excs Rtn7.0%6.7%0.3%21.4%18.2%-22.0%6.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-12.7%-102.6%-67.4%-80.3%-19.9%-89.1%-73.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Trade10,42613,0489,3046,1416,145
Renewables3,3813,1792,4411,2601,212
Nutrient & Industrial9431,099867663647
Rail    167
Total14,75017,32512,6128,0658,170


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Trade2,1653,1673,1152,4862,012
Renewables763836784667691
Other493 15368120
Nutrient & Industrial435531453375384
Rail 75  694
Assets of discontinued operations  64676 
Total3,8554,6084,5694,2723,901


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity679,903
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.0%
Average Daily Volume270,650
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.51
Basic Shares Quantity34,010,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20254.5%10.9%7.8%
8/4/2025-0.1%10.4%17.2%
5/6/2025-9.8%4.1%-2.1%
2/18/202517.3%8.2%7.4%
11/4/2024-5.3%5.9%2.5%
8/6/2024-1.0%0.5%2.9%
5/7/2024-8.4%-6.7%-10.0%
2/20/20245.5%1.6%5.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101716
# Negative1478
Median Positive5.0%5.9%6.5%
Median Negative-8.8%-13.6%-9.0%
Max Positive17.3%16.5%17.2%
Max Negative-26.8%-28.7%-29.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021