MGP Ingredients (MGPI)
Market Price (8/10/2026): $17.5 | Market Cap: $375.1 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Distillers & Vintners
MGP Ingredients (MGPI)
Market Price (8/10/2026): $17.5Market Cap: $375.1 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Distillers & Vintners
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.8% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -124%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -156% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 96% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -66% Key risksMGPI key risks include [1] exceptionally high financial leverage, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -124%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -156% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 96% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -66% |
| Key risksMGPI key risks include [1] exceptionally high financial leverage, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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MGP Ingredients (MGPI) stock has lost about 10% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Significant decline in Distilling Solutions segment sales due to weakened whiskey demand.
MGP Ingredients experienced a substantial 42% year-over-year decrease in sales for its Distilling Solutions segment, which generated $29.2 million in Q2 fiscal year 2026 (ending June 30, 2026). This was primarily driven by a 59% drop in brown goods sales, reflecting lower demand for both aged and new distillate whiskey. The company had previously paused operations at two Kentucky distilling facilities in May 2026 to manage inventory levels, signaling the impact of this weakening demand.
2. Overall consolidated revenue missed analyst expectations and saw a year-over-year decline.
For the second fiscal quarter of 2026, MGP Ingredients reported consolidated revenue of $124.36 million, which fell 14.5% compared to the prior year and missed analyst consensus estimates of $125.16 million. Despite an adjusted EPS beat, the overall revenue performance was a key negative factor contributing to the stock's trend.
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MGP Ingredients (MGPI) stock has lost about 10% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Significant decline in Distilling Solutions segment sales due to weakened whiskey demand.
MGP Ingredients experienced a substantial 42% year-over-year decrease in sales for its Distilling Solutions segment, which generated $29.2 million in Q2 fiscal year 2026 (ending June 30, 2026). This was primarily driven by a 59% drop in brown goods sales, reflecting lower demand for both aged and new distillate whiskey. The company had previously paused operations at two Kentucky distilling facilities in May 2026 to manage inventory levels, signaling the impact of this weakening demand.
2. Overall consolidated revenue missed analyst expectations and saw a year-over-year decline.
For the second fiscal quarter of 2026, MGP Ingredients reported consolidated revenue of $124.36 million, which fell 14.5% compared to the prior year and missed analyst consensus estimates of $125.16 million. Despite an adjusted EPS beat, the overall revenue performance was a key negative factor contributing to the stock's trend.
3. Deterioration in Ingredient Solutions segment's gross margin.
While the Ingredient Solutions segment saw a modest 2% increase in sales to $35.5 million, its gross profit decreased significantly by 53%, and the gross margin declined from 21.7% in the prior year to 10.1% in Q2 fiscal year 2026. This was attributed to higher waste starch stream costs, impacting profitability in this segment.
4. Multiple analyst price target reductions during the period.
Several financial analysts revised their price targets downward for MGPI between April and July 2026. For example, TD Cowen reduced its price objective from $20.00 to $18.00 in June 2026, and Wells Fargo & Company lowered its price objective from $24.00 to $21.00 in early July 2026, reflecting concerns about the company's future performance.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -11.5% change in MGPI stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -7.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 8092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.81 | 17.53 | -11.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 521 | 500 | -4.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.8 | 0.8 | -7.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 21 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -11.5% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MGPI | -11.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.6% | -14.2% |
| Sector (XLP) | 1.0% | 52.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -28.7% change in MGPI stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -17.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 8092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.58 | 17.53 | -28.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 579 | 500 | -13.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.9 | 0.8 | -17.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 21 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -28.7% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MGPI | -28.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.1% | -1.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | 2.5% | 34.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -36.6% change in MGPI stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -22.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 8092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 27.66 | 17.53 | -36.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 609 | 500 | -18.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.0 | 0.8 | -22.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 21 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -36.6% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MGPI | -36.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 23.4% | 4.8% |
| Sector (XLP) | 8.9% | 31.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -84.0% change in MGPI stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -75.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312023 | 8092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 109.69 | 17.53 | -84.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 788 | 500 | -36.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.1 | 0.8 | -75.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 22 | 21 | 2.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -84.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MGPI | -84.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.9% | 18.1% |
| Sector (XLP) | 21.1% | 30.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MGPI Return | 82% | 26% | -7% | -60% | -37% | -28% | -61% |
| Peers Return | 7% | 4% | 5% | -4% | -17% | 3% | -5% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MGPI Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 38% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 53% | 53% | 45% | 42% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MGPI Max Drawdown | -22% | -17% | -32% | -60% | -44% | -40% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -26% | -21% | -23% | -30% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: STZ, ADM, INGR, SAM, TAP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MGPI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -18.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.3% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 30 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -10.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -27.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.3% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -11.3% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.8% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -11.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 62 days |
In The Past
MGP Ingredients's stock fell -18.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.3% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | MGPI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -27.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.3% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 105 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -41.5% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.0% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 973 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -28.7% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.2% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 122 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -95.1% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1949.0% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 649 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -29.2% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.2% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2642 days | 47 days |
In The Past
MGP Ingredients's stock fell -18.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About MGP Ingredients (MGPI)
MGP Ingredients (MGPI) is a diversified company that produces and supplies a range of distilled spirits, branded spirits, and food ingredients. The company operates through three primary segments: Distillery Products, Branded Spirits, and Ingredient Solutions, showcasing its broad reach across the beverage and food industries.
Its Distillery Products segment is a significant supplier of food-grade alcohol, including whiskeys like bourbon and rye, grain neutral spirits such as vodka and gin, and industrial alcohol used in foods, personal care, and pharmaceuticals. This segment also produces fuel-grade alcohol and offers warehousing and blending services. The Branded Spirits segment focuses on developing and marketing its own portfolio of branded distilled spirits, spanning ultra-premium to value price points. Lastly, the Ingredient Solutions segment provides specialty wheat starches and proteins for various food applications, including resistant starches and gluten-free textured pea proteins, alongside commodity wheat products.
MGP Ingredients primarily serves manufacturers, processors of finished packaged goods, and bakeries. Sales occur directly or through distributors, with key markets including the United States, United Kingdom, Japan, Thailand, Mexico, and Canada.
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Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe MGP Ingredients:
- MGP Ingredients is like the "Intel Inside" for many distilled spirits brands, producing the core alcohol for others, while also selling their own branded liquor.
- Separately, they are also a specialty food ingredient supplier, similar to a smaller Ingredion.
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- Distilled Spirits: Produces various food-grade alcohols for beverage applications like bourbon, rye whiskey, vodka, and gin.
- Industrial Alcohol: Manufactures food-grade industrial alcohol for use in foods, personal care, cleaning solutions, and pharmaceuticals.
- Fuel Alcohol: Supplies fuel-grade alcohol for blending with gasoline.
- Distillers Co-products: Offers distillers feed and corn oil, which are by-products of the distilling process.
- Warehouse and Blending Services: Provides barrel storage, retrieval, and blending services for spirits.
- Branded Spirits: Sells its own portfolio of ultra-premium, premium, mid, and value branded distilled spirits.
- Specialty Wheat Starches: Produces specialized wheat starches such as Fibersym and Resistant Starch for food applications.
- Specialty Wheat Proteins: Provides specialty wheat proteins like Arise and Proterra for various food applications.
- Gluten-Free Textured Pea Proteins: Offers gluten-free textured pea proteins for food applications.
- Commodity Wheat Products: Supplies commodity wheat starch and wheat proteins for both food and non-food uses.
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MGP Ingredients (MGPI) primarily sells its products to other companies. Based on the provided description, its major customer categories are:
- Food and Beverage Manufacturers and Processors: This includes companies that purchase MGP Ingredients' distilled spirits (such as bourbon, rye whiskeys, and grain neutral spirits), branded spirits, and a wide array of food ingredients (including specialty wheat starches, proteins, and gluten-free textured pea proteins) for use in their finished packaged goods. This category also encompasses bakeries, which are specifically mentioned as direct customers.
- Industrial, Personal Care, and Pharmaceutical Companies: These customers utilize MGP Ingredients' food-grade industrial alcohol as a key ingredient in various products, including personal care items, cleaning solutions, and pharmaceuticals.
- Fuel/Energy Companies: This category includes companies that purchase MGP Ingredients' fuel-grade alcohol for blending with gasoline.
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Julie Francis, President and Chief Executive Officer
Ms. Francis became President and Chief Executive Officer of MGP Ingredients and a member of its board of directors in July 2025. She oversees the company's global business strategy and operations, bringing over three decades of experience in the branded food and beverage industries. Prior to joining MGP, Ms. Francis served as Chief Operating Officer at Schwan's Company, a prominent frozen foods provider. Her responsibilities there encompassed consumer brands, food service, operations, supply chain, global R&D, and marketing functions. Before Schwan's Company, she held the position of Senior Vice President of Commercial and Category Development for Constellation Brands' Total Beverage Alcohol platform. Ms. Francis also worked at The Coca-Cola Company as Chief Commercial Officer for Coca-Cola Refreshments USA and in various leadership capacities at Coca-Cola Enterprises. She played a key role in integrating the U.S. segments of these two companies to form the Coca-Cola Refreshments (U.S.) subsidiary. Ms. Francis currently serves as a director and member of the Compensation & Corporate Governance Committee for Ascend Wellness Holdings (AAWH).
Brandon Gall, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Gall has served as Chief Financial Officer of MGP since 2019 and as Treasurer since 2023. In these roles, he is responsible for the company's accounting, business development, financial planning and analysis, treasury, investor relations, tax, and IT functions. Notably, Mr. Gall also served as the company's Interim President and CEO during 2025. He joined MGP in 2012 and progressed through several leadership positions, including Director of Financial Planning and Analysis, Director of Supply Chain Finance, Director of Business Development, and Corporate Controller.
Chris Wiseman, Senior Vice President, Operations
Mr. Wiseman joined MGP as Senior Vice President, Operations in October 2025, overseeing all aspects of operations across the organization. He brings nearly two decades of extensive manufacturing and supply chain expertise, cross-functional leadership skills, and a proven track record of operational excellence. Before joining MGP, Mr. Wiseman was the Vice President of Manufacturing at Schwan's Company from 2017 to 2025, where he held increasingly responsible roles. Prior to his tenure at Schwan's, he managed multiple facilities for Bimbo Bakeries USA from 2012 to 2017.
Matias Bentel, Chief Marketing Officer
Mr. Bentel was appointed Chief Marketing Officer of MGP Ingredients in October 2025, reporting to the President and CEO. He oversees all marketing initiatives, including brand strategy, innovation, consumer engagement, and digital marketing. Mr. Bentel brings extensive leadership, marketing, and general management experience, having most recently served as the Executive Vice President, Chief Brands Officer at Brown-Forman Corporation. Before his time at Brown-Forman, he held various marketing roles at Diageo and Allied Domecq.
Dr. Viswas Ghorpade, Vice President of Research & Development
Dr. Ghorpade joined MGP Ingredients in July 2024 as the Vice President of Research & Development, where he is responsible for the R&D efforts within the Ingredient Solutions business. He possesses extensive expertise in ingredient functionality, product development, extrusion processing, and co-manufacturing management. Prior to joining MGP, Dr. Ghorpade served as Vice President of Commercialization at Black Sheep Foods from 2021 to 2024, leading the operation and commercialization functions.
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Key Risks to MGP Ingredients (MGPI)
- Volatility in Raw Material Costs and Availability: MGP Ingredients relies heavily on agricultural commodities such as corn for its distilled spirits production and wheat for its ingredient solutions. Significant fluctuations in the prices of these raw materials, or disruptions in their supply due to factors like weather events, geopolitical issues, or changes in agricultural policies, could substantially increase the company's cost of goods sold and negatively impact profitability across its Distillery Products and Ingredient Solutions segments.
- Evolving Consumer Tastes and Dietary Trends: The company operates in both the distilled spirits and food ingredient markets, which are highly susceptible to changes in consumer preferences. Shifts in drinking habits (e.g., preferences for different spirit categories or non-alcoholic options) could affect its Branded Spirits and Distillery Products segments. Similarly, evolving dietary trends, such as increased demand for plant-based proteins or a decline in wheat-based consumption, could impact its Ingredient Solutions segment, despite the company's efforts to adapt with products like gluten-free textured pea proteins.
- Regulatory and Excise Tax Changes: MGP Ingredients operates in heavily regulated industries, particularly in the production and sale of distilled spirits. Changes in alcohol regulations, such as new licensing requirements, restrictions on marketing and distribution, or increases in excise taxes at federal, state, or international levels, could significantly impact the profitability, sales volume, and competitive landscape for its Distillery Products and Branded Spirits segments.
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The accelerating global shift to electric vehicles (EVs) poses a clear emerging threat to MGPI's fuel-grade alcohol business, as demand for gasoline-blended fuels is projected to decline significantly over the coming decades. This trend mirrors historical disruptions where a new technology (EVs) fundamentally undermines an existing market (gasoline/ethanol).
The increasing consumer trend towards non-alcoholic and low-alcoholic beverages represents an emerging threat to demand for traditional distilled spirits. This developing market for substitute products could impact both MGPI's Distillery Products segment, as a supplier of alcohol for beverages, and its Branded Spirits segment.
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MGP Ingredients (MGPI) operates in diverse markets related to distilled spirits and food ingredients. The addressable market sizes for its main products and services vary by product type and geographic region.
Distillery Products Segment
- Distilled Spirits (overall): The global distilled spirits market was valued at approximately USD 209.74 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach about USD 271.94 billion by 2032. Another estimate placed the global market at USD 424.82 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 641.84 billion by 2033. In the United States, the distilled spirits market, based on supplier sales, totaled USD 37.2 billion in 2024. The U.S. distilled spirits market is also estimated at USD 32.46 billion in 2025, with an expectation to grow to USD 41.58 billion by 2032.
- Rye Whiskeys: The global rye whiskey market was estimated at USD 5.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 9.1 billion by 2033. North America, a key region for rye whiskey, accounted for approximately 58% of the total market revenue in 2024, representing a market size of USD 3.0 billion.
- Vodka: The global vodka market size was estimated at USD 28.07 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 40.25 billion by 2030. Another source valued the global vodka market at USD 30.51 billion in 2025, with a forecast to grow to USD 54.1 billion by 2034. North America held the largest share of the vodka market, accounting for 34.90% in 2024. The U.S. vodka market alone recorded sales of USD 7.2 billion in 2024.
- Gin: The global gin market size reached USD 16.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 23.9 billion by 2033. Another valuation set the global market at USD 25.64 billion in 2024, anticipating growth to USD 45.63 billion by 2032.
- Food-Grade Industrial Alcohol: The global industrial alcohol market was valued at USD 152.12 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 376.69 billion by 2033. The North American industrial alcohol market was valued at USD 32.12 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 82.84 billion by 2033. The U.S. industrial alcohol market is projected to reach USD 73.15 billion by 2027.
- Fuel-Grade Alcohol (Ethanol): The global fuel ethanol market size was valued at USD 100.9 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 144.3 billion by 2030. Another estimate for the global market size was USD 88.51 billion in 2024. In the United States, the ethanol fuel market was valued at USD 27.6 billion in 2024, with expectations to reach USD 42.1 billion by 2032. The U.S. market accounted for 48.4% of the global market in 2023.
Ingredient Solutions Segment
- Specialty Wheat Starches and Proteins: null
- Gluten-Free Textured Pea Proteins: The global textured pea protein market size was valued at USD 819.57 million in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 1,356.39 million by 2033. Another report indicated the market was USD 2.572 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 7.808 billion by 2035. North America is the largest market for textured pea protein, holding approximately 45% of the global share. The overall U.S. pea protein market (which includes textured pea proteins) was estimated at USD 482.9 million in 2023, and is expected to reach USD 1,127.5 million by 2030.
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- Expansion of the Premium-Plus Branded Spirits Portfolio: MGP Ingredients is placing a high emphasis on expanding its high-end U.S. whiskey, tequila, and gin offerings, such as Penelope Bourbon, Yellowstone Bourbon, and Dos Primos Tequila. This premium-plus portfolio has demonstrated strong growth and higher margins, with the company aiming to add new high-quality branded spirits to its collection.
- Broadening Branded Spirits Distribution and Marketing: To support its premiumization strategy, MGP Ingredients plans to expand its distribution channels to increase brand availability. Concurrently, the company intends to invest in targeted marketing initiatives to enhance brand awareness and connect with consumers across various platforms.
- New Product Innovation in Branded Spirits: Innovation is a focus for the Branded Spirits segment, with plans to explore new flavors, packaging formats, and consumer experiences. Recent successful launches, like Penelope Wheated and Penelope Ready-to-Pour cocktails, illustrate the potential for growth through new product introductions.
- Growth in High-Margin Specialty Wheat Products within Ingredient Solutions: The company is strategically shifting its Ingredient Solutions sales towards higher-priced, higher-margin specialty wheat products, including dietary fibers, plant proteins (e.g., Arise and Proterra), and clean-label starches (e.g., Fibersym and FiberRite RW Resistant Starch). This pivot caters to increasing consumer demand for plant-based and nutritional foods.
- Operational Improvements and New Customer Commercialization in Ingredient Solutions: MGP Ingredients anticipates a recovery and growth in its Ingredient Solutions segment, driven by sustained commercial tailwinds and expected operational improvements. The segment is also seeing growth from the commercialization of new domestic customers, particularly in extrusion protein sales.
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Share Repurchases
- MGP Ingredients' board of directors approved a share repurchase program of up to $100.0 million of its common stock on February 29, 2024.
- The company's buyback yield for fiscal years ending December 2021 to 2025 averaged 1.2%.
- MGP Ingredients' buyback yield peaked in December 2024 at 5.6%.
Share Issuance
- As part of the Luxco acquisition completed in April 2021, Luxco shareholders received 5.0 million shares of MGP common stock, valued at approximately $238 million as of January 11, 2021.
- The average shares outstanding for the full year 2025 were approximately 21.44 million.
- Weighted average basic shares outstanding are expected to be approximately 21.4 million for 2026.
Outbound Investments
- MGP Ingredients completed the acquisition of Luxco, Inc. on April 1, 2021, which significantly diversified the business and established the Branded Spirits segment.
- In 2023, the company acquired Penelope Bourbon for a total consideration of up to $215.8 million, consisting of an upfront payment of $105.0 million and potential earn-out payments of up to $110.8 million contingent on performance.
- An earn-out payment of $111 million related to the Penelope acquisition is anticipated in the second quarter of 2026.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for 2025 totaled $32 million, representing a decline of over 50% from the prior year.
- Capital expenditures were $71 million in 2024, $55 million in 2023, and $45 million in 2022.
- Expected capital expenditures for 2026 are approximately $20 million.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 90.46 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.4 |
| Rev LTM | 8,177 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,202 |
| FCF LTM | 840 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 970 |
| CFO LTM | 1,391 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,497 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -3.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -14.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branded Spirits | 233 | 241 | 254 | 238 | 184 |
| Distilling Solutions | 181 | 332 | 451 | 428 | 353 |
| Ingredient solutions | 122 | 131 | 132 | 116 | 91 |
| Corporate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 536 | 704 | 837 | 782 | 627 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2005 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Distilling Solutions | 65 | 137 | 122 | 122 | |
| Ingredient solutions | 11 | 21 | 41 | 28 | |
| Corporate | -43 | -35 | -48 | -34 | |
| Branded Spirits | -128 | -48 | 34 | 33 | |
| Distillery Products | 9 | ||||
| Ingredients | -1 | ||||
| Total | -95 | 74 | 149 | 149 | 8 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branded Spirits | 734 | 862 | 911 | 699 | 659 |
| Distilling Solutions | 342 | 382 | 369 | 350 | 315 |
| Ingredient solutions | 134 | 132 | 89 | 64 | 43 |
| Corporate | 25 | 29 | 24 | 45 | 25 |
| Total | 1,236 | 1,406 | 1,392 | 1,158 | 1,041 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $17.53 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/26/1990 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -40.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $17.14 | $20.73 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 2.3% | -15.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 39.1% | 41.3% |
| Downside Capture | -29.89 | 67.86 |
| Upside Capture | -70.69 | 3.43 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -16.3% | 3.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -1.08 | -0.54 | -0.38 | -0.00 | 0.19 | 0.50 |
| Up Beta | -4.62 | -1.60 | -0.73 | -0.49 | -0.42 | 0.47 |
| Down Beta | 0.55 | -0.28 | -0.32 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.45 |
| Up Capture | -47% | -30% | -46% | -23% | 2% | 2% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 19 | 28 | 56 | 113 | 349 |
| Down Capture | -69% | -36% | -7% | 52% | 80% | 99% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 23 | 34 | 69 | 137 | 401 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MGPI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGPI | -35.4% | 41.1% | -0.95 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.5% | 14.1% | 0.21 | 32.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.3% | 12.8% | 1.36 | 4.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 28.5% | 28.4% | 0.87 | 4.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 32.9% | 19.8% | 1.32 | -4.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.2% | 13.8% | 0.72 | 25.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -43.7% | 43.0% | -1.21 | -6.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MGPI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGPI | -21.0% | 39.7% | -0.48 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.2% | 13.6% | 0.24 | 29.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.2% | 0.61 | 25.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.6% | 18.6% | 0.81 | 1.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 19.6% | 0.31 | 5.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.3% | 18.9% | 0.02 | 33.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.0% | 53.0% | 0.36 | 11.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MGPI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGPI | -7.7% | 43.0% | -0.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.3% | 14.8% | 0.36 | 29.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 28.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.2% | 0.61 | 2.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 18.0% | 0.33 | 7.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 30.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.4% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 8.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 8/7/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 7/29/2026 | 0.9% | -8.6% | |
| 4/29/2026 | -5.2% | -1.2% | -8.1% |
| 2/25/2026 | -21.2% | -28.3% | -27.3% |
| 10/29/2025 | 4.3% | 5.0% | -2.9% |
| 7/31/2025 | -3.7% | -5.7% | 0.4% |
| 5/1/2025 | 4.8% | 7.2% | 0.2% |
| 2/26/2025 | -1.1% | -0.7% | -10.8% |
| 10/17/2024 | -24.2% | -29.4% | -39.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 17 | 14 | 13 |
| # Negative | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 5.1% | 5.0% | 10.5% |
| Median Negative | -5.2% | -7.1% | -7.9% |
| Max Positive | 12.4% | 12.0% | 27.2% |
| Max Negative | -24.2% | -29.4% | -39.0% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 7/29/2026 | 0.9% | -8.6% | |
| 4/29/2026 | -5.2% | -1.2% | -8.1% |
| 2/25/2026 | -21.2% | -28.3% | -27.3% |
| 10/29/2025 | 4.3% | 5.0% | -2.9% |
| 7/31/2025 | -3.7% | -5.7% | 0.4% |
| 5/1/2025 | 4.8% | 7.2% | 0.2% |
| 2/26/2025 | -1.1% | -0.7% | -10.8% |
| 10/17/2024 | -24.2% | -29.4% | -39.0% |
| 8/1/2024 | 5.6% | 2.6% | 11.0% |
| 5/2/2024 | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.7% |
| 2/22/2024 | -14.9% | -11.9% | -7.8% |
| 11/2/2023 | 3.4% | 2.7% | -5.4% |
| 8/3/2023 | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| 5/4/2023 | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% |
| 2/23/2023 | 10.5% | 3.4% | -2.5% |
| 11/3/2022 | 5.8% | 4.9% | 17.4% |
| 8/4/2022 | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
| 5/5/2022 | 1.0% | -1.6% | 2.5% |
| 2/24/2022 | 3.9% | 9.5% | 14.0% |
| 11/3/2021 | 12.4% | 7.6% | 27.2% |
| 8/4/2021 | 11.3% | 12.0% | 13.4% |
| 5/5/2021 | 0.5% | 2.2% | 20.1% |
| 2/25/2021 | -4.4% | -9.3% | -12.8% |
| 10/29/2020 | 6.9% | -0.5% | 10.5% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 17 | 14 | 13 |
| # Negative | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 5.1% | 5.0% | 10.5% |
| Median Negative | -5.2% | -7.1% | -7.9% |
| Max Positive | 12.4% | 12.0% | 27.2% |
| Max Negative | -24.2% | -29.4% | -39.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 07/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 04/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 07/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 04/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/24/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/03/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/04/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/25/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/29/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 07/30/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 04/30/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/26/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 10/31/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/30/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/29/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Sales | 480.00 Mil | 490.00 Mil | 500.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 490.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 90.00 Mil | 94.00 Mil | 98.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 94.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted basic EPS | 1.5 | 1.65 | 1.8 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.65 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Capital expenditures | 20.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 20.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Effective tax rate | 23.0% | ||||||
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/29/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 480.00 Mil | 490.00 Mil | 500.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 490.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 90.00 Mil | 94.00 Mil | 98.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 94.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted basic EPS | 1.5 | 1.65 | 1.8 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.65 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 20.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 20.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 480.00 Mil | 490.00 Mil | 500.00 Mil | -7.5% | Lower New | Guidance: 530.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 90.00 Mil | 94.00 Mil | 98.00 Mil | -16.4% | Lower New | Guidance: 112.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 1.5 | 1.65 | 1.8 | -38.3% | Lower New | Guidance: 2.67 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 20.00 Mil | -38.5% | Lower New | Guidance: 32.50 Mil for 2025 | |||
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/29/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Sales | 525.00 Mil | 530.00 Mil | 535.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 530.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 110.00 Mil | 112.50 Mil | 115.00 Mil | 2.3% | Raised | Guidance: 110.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted basic EPS | 2.6 | 2.67 | 2.75 | 2.9% | Raised | Guidance: 2.6 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Effective tax rate | 25.0% | ||||||
| 2025 Basic weighted average shares outstanding | 21.40 Mil | ||||||
| 2025 Capital expenditures | 32.50 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 32.50 Mil for 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Updated 8/6/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaplan, Caroline Lux | Trust | Sell | 5282026 | 18.18 | 30,000 | 545,373 | 8,561,593 | Form | |
| 2 | Kaplan, Caroline Lux | Trust | Sell | 5282026 | 17.82 | 30,000 | 534,675 | 8,928,324 | Form | |
| 3 | Seaberg, Karen | by Seaberg MGP Holdings | Sell | 12102025 | 25.84 | 81,616 | 2,108,791 | 911,692 | Form | |
| 4 | Seaberg, Karen | by GST Trust for LM | Sell | 12102025 | 24.22 | 2,451 | 59,363 | 906,240 | Form | |
| 5 | Seaberg, Karen | by Trust | Sell | 12102025 | 24.22 | 11,976 | 290,059 | 1,756,870 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaplan, Caroline Lux | Trust | Sell | 5282026 | 18.18 | 30,000 | 545,373 | 8,561,593 | Form | |
| 2 | Kaplan, Caroline Lux | Trust | Sell | 5282026 | 17.82 | 30,000 | 534,675 | 8,928,324 | Form | |
| 3 | Seaberg, Karen | by Seaberg MGP Holdings | Sell | 12102025 | 25.84 | 81,616 | 2,108,791 | 911,692 | Form | |
| 4 | Seaberg, Karen | by GST Trust for LM | Sell | 12102025 | 24.22 | 2,451 | 59,363 | 906,240 | Form | |
| 5 | Seaberg, Karen | by Trust | Sell | 12102025 | 24.22 | 11,976 | 290,059 | 1,756,870 | Form | |
| 6 | Seaberg, Karen | by Seaberg MGP Holdings | Sell | 12102025 | 24.24 | 166,668 | 4,040,032 | 2,833,680 | Form | |
| 7 | Seaberg, Karen | by GST Trust for LM | Sell | 12102025 | 24.15 | 12,133 | 293,012 | 962,812 | Form | |
| 8 | Seaberg, Karen | by Trust | Sell | 12102025 | 24.16 | 29,691 | 717,335 | 2,041,858 | Form | |
| 9 | Kaplan, Caroline Lux | Trust | Sell | 11202025 | 23.28 | 30,000 | 698,340 | 12,359,632 | Form | |
| 10 | Kaplan, Caroline Lux | Trust | Sell | 11202025 | 23.85 | 30,000 | 715,514 | 13,379,116 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Consumer Staples Resources |
| FoodNavigator |
| Consumer Goods Technology (CGT) |
| Beverage Digest |
| Distillers & Vintners Resources |
| Just Drinks |
| Wine Business Monthly |
| Beverage Dynamics |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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