Church & Dwight (CHD)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $83.905 | Market Cap: $20.5 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Household Products
Church & Dwight (CHD)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $83.905Market Cap: $20.5 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Household Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CHD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, Church & Dwight (CHD) stock experienced a decline of 9.6%. This movement can be attributed to several key factors, including analyst rating adjustments, concerns about future growth, and ongoing market pressures. 1. Consistent Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions: Throughout this period, multiple investment firms reduced their price targets for Church & Dwight stock and, in some cases, issued "underweight," "sell," or "neutral" ratings. Notable examples include Barclays setting an "underweight" rating and lowering its price target to $82 on November 4, 2025, and JPMorgan Chase & Co. cutting its price target to $92 with an "underweight" rating on August 4, 2025. Other firms like Oppenheimer, Citigroup, Bank of America, UBS Group, Wells Fargo & Company, and Evercore ISI also lowered their price objectives during this timeframe. 2. Analyst Expectations of Slower Sales Growth: Despite Church & Dwight reporting stronger-than-expected Q3 2025 results, some analyst projections for 2025 indicated anticipated slower sales growth. These concerns contributed to a more cautious outlook on the company's future financial performance and could have tempered investor enthusiasm. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CHD Return | 25% | 19% | -20% | 19% | 12% | -19% | 27% |
| Peers Return | 9% | 4% | -30% | -18% | -1% | -21% | -49% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CHD Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 53% | 39% | 39% | 58% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CHD Max Drawdown | -14% | -10% | -30% | -1% | -1% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -10% | -6% | -42% | -32% | -18% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OLPX, LGM, MXRX, CL, KMB. See CHD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CHD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 522 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -21.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 85 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 241 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 344 days | 1480 days |
Compare to OLPX, LGM, MXRX, CL, KMB
In The Past
Church & Dwight's stock fell -32.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/27/2022. A -32.1% loss requires a 47.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Church & Dwight Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can Church & Dwight Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Church & Dwight vs Alphabet: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Church & Dwight vs Philip Morris International: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Church & Dwight vs Interparfums: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does Church & Dwight Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than CHD Stock: Pay Less Than Church & Dwight To Get More From PM, DIS | |||
| Better Bet Than CHD Stock: Pay Less Than Church & Dwight To Get More From PM, USFD | |||
| CHD YTD Stock Return Of -9.9% Outperforms OLPX by 16% and Underperforms YSG by -32% | Return | ||
| Church & Dwight (CHD) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| How Will Church & Dwight Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings? | October 30th, 2025 | ||
| S&P 500 Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | October 29th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CHD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| 09302022 | CHD | Church & Dwight | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.6% | 29.9% | -1.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| 09302022 | CHD | Church & Dwight | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.6% | 29.9% | -1.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Church & Dwight
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Domestic | 4,571 | 4,131 | 3,942 | 3,768 | 3,303 |
| Consumer International | 976 | 896 | 912 | 828 | 756 |
| Specialty Products Division (SPD) | 321 | 348 | 336 | 300 | 299 |
| Corporate | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 5,868 | 5,376 | 5,190 | 4,896 | 4,358 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Domestic | 930 | 499 | 908 | 885 | 707 |
| Consumer International | 104 | 46 | 135 | 113 | 82 |
| Specialty Products Division (SPD) | 24 | 52 | 35 | 32 | 52 |
| Corporate | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 1,057 | 598 | 1,079 | 1,030 | 840 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |