Tearsheet

US Foods (USFD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $77.08 | Market Cap: $17.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Distributors

US Foods (USFD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $77.08
Market Cap: $17.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Food Distributors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.7%
Key risks
USFD key risks include [1] intense pricing and market share pressure from major national and regional competitors.
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Automation & Robotics, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Supply Chain Digitization, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.7%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Automation & Robotics, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Supply Chain Digitization, Show more.
3 Key risks
USFD key risks include [1] intense pricing and market share pressure from major national and regional competitors.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

USFD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

During the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, US Foods (USFD) experienced a slight stock movement of -0.6%. This minor decline can be attributed to a combination of factors that created cautious market sentiment despite generally positive earnings.

1. Mixed Market Response to Q3 2025 Earnings: While US Foods surpassed adjusted earnings per share estimates and raised its full-year profit guidance on November 6, 2025, its third-quarter financial results presented a "mixed performance against analyst expectations." The company's revenue of $10.19 billion, although a 4.8% year-over-year increase, reportedly fell slightly short of some market forecasts, leading to a "cautious market response in pre-market trading."

2. Tightened Fiscal Year 2025 Case Volume Growth Guidance: In its Q3 2025 earnings call on November 8, 2025, US Foods adjusted its fiscal year 2025 total case volume growth outlook. The guidance was narrowed to a range of 1% to 2% from the previous 1% to 3%, primarily due to "continued lower restaurant foot traffic and dynamic macro environment." This slight reduction in the upper end of volume growth expectations could have contributed to investor caution.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
USFD Return-20%5%-2%33%49%13%83%
Peers Return8%60%1%-13%41%15%148%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
USFD Win Rate50%50%42%50%83%50% 
Peers Win Rate44%50%50%52%62%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
USFD Max Drawdown-77%-10%-24%0%-1%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-67%-7%-19%-34%-16%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SYY, PFGC, UNFI, CHEF. See USFD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventUSFDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven57.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven237 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-76.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven331.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,177 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven303 days120 days

Compare to SYY, PFGC, CHEF, UNFI, HFFG


In The Past

US Foods's stock fell -36.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/29/2021. A -36.6% loss requires a 57.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About US Foods (USFD)

Better Bets than US Foods (USFD)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to USFD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
14.0%14.0%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.5%7.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-5.1%
USFD_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020USFDUS FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
24.8%115.2%-20.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
14.0%14.0%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.5%7.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-5.1%
USFD_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020USFDUS FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
24.8%115.2%-20.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for US Foods

Peers to compare with:

Financials

USFDSYYPFGCUNFICHEFMedian
NameUS Foods Sysco Performa.United N.Chefs' W. 
Mkt Price77.1175.7594.8233.1364.2475.75
Mkt Cap17.436.314.72.32.514.7
Rev LTM39,11582,03564,95931,7534,04139,115
Op Inc LTM1,2023,081826137148826
FCF LTM9781,59952334487523
FCF 3Y Avg8511,92451124136511
CFO LTM1,3592,5431,0115421281,011
CFO 3Y Avg1,1812,76591552487915

Growth & Margins

USFDSYYPFGCUNFICHEFMedian
NameUS Foods Sysco Performa.United N.Chefs' W. 
Rev Chg LTM4.8%2.9%10.6%1.5%8.9%4.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.6%4.8%5.6%2.5%19.9%5.6%
Rev Chg Q4.8%3.2%10.8%-0.4%9.6%4.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%0.8%2.6%-0.1%2.3%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM3.1%3.8%1.3%0.4%3.7%3.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.9%3.9%1.4%0.3%3.2%2.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%-0.0%-0.0%0.1%0.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM3.5%3.1%1.6%1.7%3.2%3.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.2%3.5%1.5%1.7%2.3%2.3%
FCF/Rev LTM2.5%1.9%0.8%1.1%2.1%1.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.3%2.4%0.8%0.8%0.9%0.9%

Valuation

USFDSYYPFGCUNFICHEFMedian
NameUS Foods Sysco Performa.United N.Chefs' W. 
Mkt Cap17.436.314.72.32.514.7
P/S0.40.50.20.10.60.4
P/EBIT16.513.119.5-15.215.8
P/E31.021.749.7-22.630.230.2
P/CFO12.715.516.04.217.515.5
Total Yield3.2%7.2%2.0%-4.4%3.3%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.4%5.2%4.1%-0.9%4.7%
D/E0.30.40.5-0.40.4
Net D/E0.30.30.5-0.40.4

Returns

USFDSYYPFGCUNFICHEFMedian
NameUS Foods Sysco Performa.United N.Chefs' W. 
1M Rtn8.2%0.8%0.8%-5.6%11.3%0.8%
3M Rtn-2.1%-7.5%-12.8%9.1%-4.7%-4.7%
6M Rtn2.4%3.8%11.6%54.2%5.5%5.5%
12M Rtn12.8%-0.3%8.5%17.7%31.3%12.8%
3Y Rtn117.5%4.4%56.6%-16.0%87.5%56.6%
1M Excs Rtn7.5%0.1%0.1%-6.3%10.6%0.1%
3M Excs Rtn-3.0%-8.3%-13.6%6.2%-5.0%-5.0%
6M Excs Rtn-10.0%-8.6%-0.8%41.9%-6.9%-6.9%
12M Excs Rtn-0.1%-13.7%-4.1%5.2%20.7%-0.1%
3Y Excs Rtn50.5%-69.6%-11.5%-84.5%18.3%-11.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Meats and seafood11,95312,37511,2458,1319,313
Dry grocery products6,4075,7584,9793,9314,427
Refrigerated and frozen grocery products6,0535,2534,4533,5834,253
Dairy3,7273,5642,8012,3942,685
Equipment, disposables and supplies3,5713,5363,0902,4552,483
Beverage products1,9711,7311,4651,1861,403
Produce1,9151,8401,4541,2051,375
Total35,59734,05729,48722,88525,939


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,406,997
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202545.6%
Average Daily Volume2,411,898
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.14
Basic Shares Quantity225,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-3.6%-1.6%1.0%
8/7/2025-5.3%-7.1%-8.0%
5/8/20253.9%8.4%12.5%
2/13/20251.7%2.5%-6.3%
11/7/20241.2%1.6%9.4%
8/8/20240.4%9.4%11.8%
5/9/20244.6%5.1%2.0%
2/15/20243.5%8.5%15.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131513
# Negative11911
Median Positive3.5%7.6%10.4%
Median Negative-3.0%-4.0%-6.3%
Max Positive10.4%20.6%57.0%
Max Negative-5.4%-11.8%-35.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023511202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022811202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022512202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021217202210-K 1/1/2022