Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Consumer Product Evolution. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, and Alternative Nicotine Products.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Consumer Product Evolution. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, and Alternative Nicotine Products.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Altria's stock experienced a significant decline, including a plummet of 14.25% in November 2025, following the release of its third-quarter 2025 earnings report. 2. A substantial factor contributing to this negative movement was an 11.7% drop in Marlboro shipment volumes, which placed pressure on the company's core cigarette business.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MO Return-10%24%4%-4%41%18%87%
Peers Return28%18%-19%-9%19%3%37%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MO Win Rate50%58%75%42%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%50%43%43%52%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MO Max Drawdown-37%-1%-10%-8%-2%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-7%-31%-27%-30%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PM, TPB, UVV, XXII, MO. See MO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-27.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven870 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-38.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven364 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-48.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven448.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to PM, TPB, UVV, XXII, MO


In The Past

Altria's stock fell -27.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/6/2022. A -27.2% loss requires a 37.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Altria (MO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
MO_9302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302020MOAltriaDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
37.5%26.7%-6.6%
MO_2292020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02292020MOAltriaDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.3%18.0%-22.3%
MO_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018MOAltriaDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.5%7.9%-14.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
MO_9302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302020MOAltriaDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
37.5%26.7%-6.6%
MO_2292020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02292020MOAltriaDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.3%18.0%-22.3%
MO_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018MOAltriaDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.5%7.9%-14.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Altria

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MOPMTPBUVVXXIIMedian
NameAltria Philip M.Turning .Universal22nd Cen. 
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Growth & Margins

MOPMTPBUVVXXIIMedian
NameAltria Philip M.Turning .Universal22nd Cen. 
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Valuation

MOPMTPBUVVXXIIMedian
NameAltria Philip M.Turning .Universal22nd Cen. 
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Returns

MOPMTPBUVVXXIIMedian
NameAltria Philip M.Turning .Universal22nd Cen. 
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Smokeable products21,75622,47622,86623,08921,996
Oral tobacco products2,6672,5802,6082,5332,367
All other604045-8358
Wine 0494614689
Total24,48325,09626,01326,15325,110


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Smokeable products10,67010,68810,3949,9859,009
Oral tobacco products1,7221,6321,6591,7181,580
All other-74-36-97-172-16
Amortization of intangibles-128-73-72-72-44
General corporate expenses-643-292-345-227-199
Wine 021-360-3
Corporate asset impairment and exit costs   1-1
Total11,54711,91911,56010,87310,326


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity40,224,798
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.0%
Average Daily Volume8,726,580
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.61
Basic Shares Quantity1,684,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021