Tearsheet

Brown-Forman (BF-B)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $28.82 | Market Cap: $13.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Distillers & Vintners

Brown-Forman (BF-B)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $28.82
Market Cap: $13.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Distillers & Vintners

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.7%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.4%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 29%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.7%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 29%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BF-B Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -2.2% movement in Brown-Forman (BF-B) stock during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Lower-than-expected Fiscal Q2 2026 Financial Performance: Brown-Forman reported a 5.4% year-over-year decrease in net sales to $1 billion and a 14.5% decline in diluted earnings per share (EPS) to $0.47 for its second quarter of fiscal year 2026, which ended October 31, 2025. These results, announced on December 4, 2025, contributed to a drop of more than 1% in the stock price on the day of the announcement. 2. Persistent Industry Headwinds and Weak Consumer Demand: The company continued to face a challenging operating environment in the fourth quarter of 2025. The broader spirits industry experienced headwinds such as reduced consumer spending due to the high cost of living, evolving preferences towards moderation and abstinence, and competition from alternative adult beverages. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BF-B Return19%-6%-9%-12%-32%-17%-50%
Peers Return41%13%-0%6%-21%-28%-4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BF-B Win Rate58%42%50%42%33%67% 
Peers Win Rate56%50%58%56%46%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BF-B Max Drawdown-31%-15%-15%-19%-33%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-16%-17%-11%-28%-36% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: STZ, TAP, SAM, MGPI. See BF-B Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBF-BS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven147 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven243 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-41.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven500 days1480 days

Compare to KO, PEP, KDP, STZ, AGCC


In The Past

Brown-Forman's stock fell -34.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/3/2021. A -34.6% loss requires a 53.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Brown-Forman (BF-B)

Better Bets than Brown-Forman (BF-B)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BF-B. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-11.7%-6.6%-22.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-11.7%-6.6%-22.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Brown-Forman

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BF-BSTZTAPSAMMGPIMedian
NameBrown-Fo.Constell.Molson C.Boston B.MGP Ingr. 
Mkt Price28.84139.7248.06198.3225.0748.06
Mkt Cap12.824.69.52.20.59.5
Rev LTM3,8899,62411,2141,9825793,889
Op Inc LTM1,1243,0421,6611581101,124
FCF LTM6101,8481,09321262610
FCF 3Y Avg4291,6771,20217437429
CFO LTM7612,7691,738272121761
CFO 3Y Avg6202,8411,87224098620

Growth & Margins

BF-BSTZTAPSAMMGPIMedian
NameBrown-Fo.Constell.Molson C.Boston B.MGP Ingr. 
Rev Chg LTM-4.7%-5.6%-4.0%-1.1%-21.5%-4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.9%0.7%1.7%-0.1%-7.9%-0.1%
Rev Chg Q-5.4%-15.0%-2.3%-11.2%-18.9%-11.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.5%-4.4%-0.6%-3.3%-5.0%-3.3%
Op Mgn LTM28.9%31.6%14.8%8.0%18.9%18.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg27.5%31.7%14.6%7.3%20.4%20.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%-0.1%-0.2%-1.0%-1.5%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM19.6%28.8%15.5%13.7%20.9%19.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.4%28.8%16.3%11.9%14.6%15.4%
FCF/Rev LTM15.7%19.2%9.8%10.7%10.7%10.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.7%17.0%10.5%8.7%5.8%10.5%

Valuation

BF-BSTZTAPSAMMGPIMedian
NameBrown-Fo.Constell.Molson C.Boston B.MGP Ingr. 
Mkt Cap12.824.69.52.20.59.5
P/S3.32.50.81.20.91.2
P/EBIT-11.25.514.544.412.9
P/E15.819.4-4.324.9-34.215.8
P/CFO16.88.65.28.44.38.4
Total Yield9.7%6.7%-19.1%4.0%-2.4%4.0%
Dividend Yield3.3%1.5%4.2%0.0%0.5%1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.9%10.6%5.7%4.9%5.3%
D/E-0.40.70.00.50.5
Net D/E-0.40.6-0.10.50.5

Returns

BF-BSTZTAPSAMMGPIMedian
NameBrown-Fo.Constell.Molson C.Boston B.MGP Ingr. 
1M Rtn4.6%6.7%6.4%2.3%1.9%4.6%
3M Rtn6.0%5.8%3.6%-12.0%-8.6%3.6%
6M Rtn14.2%-11.5%0.4%-1.6%-17.0%-1.6%
12M Rtn-30.5%-38.5%-15.9%-35.6%-41.8%-35.6%
3Y Rtn-53.4%-36.2%3.3%-42.4%-76.8%-42.4%
1M Excs Rtn3.9%6.0%5.7%1.5%1.2%3.9%
3M Excs Rtn4.4%4.5%2.2%-12.6%-10.1%2.2%
6M Excs Rtn1.8%-23.9%-11.9%-14.0%-29.4%-14.0%
12M Excs Rtn-45.0%-51.3%-29.5%-48.1%-54.7%-48.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-123.9%-108.3%-68.6%-113.2%-146.4%-113.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Whiskey2,8322,9152,7562,7442,671
Ready-to-Drink520509431  
Rest of portfolio43391676447
Tequila306320290299275
Non-branded and bulk8788615875
Vodka 9910990109
Wine 206219206186
Total4,1784,2283,9333,4613,363


Price Behavior

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/4/2025-1.3%1.8% 
8/28/2025-4.9%-6.7%-10.3%
6/5/2025-17.9%-16.5%-13.6%
3/5/202510.1%10.9%6.2%
12/5/202410.7%10.3%-9.7%
8/29/20241.3%1.3%8.3%
6/5/2024-5.9%-5.1%-6.9%
3/6/2024-7.3%-10.3%-15.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1076
# Negative141718
Median Positive4.0%4.7%6.2%
Median Negative-4.5%-5.5%-8.1%
Max Positive10.7%12.0%8.3%
Max Negative-17.9%-16.5%-17.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251204202510-Q 10/31/2025
7312025828202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025613202510-K 4/30/2025
1312025305202510-Q 1/31/2025
103120241205202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024829202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024614202410-K 4/30/2024
1312024306202410-Q 1/31/2024
103120231206202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023830202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023616202310-K 4/30/2023
1312023308202310-Q 1/31/2023
103120221207202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022831202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022617202210-K 4/30/2022
1312022303202210-Q 1/31/2022