Brown-Forman (BF-B)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $30.1 | Market Cap: $14.2 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Distillers & Vintners
Brown-Forman (BF-B)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $30.1Market Cap: $14.2 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Distillers & Vintners
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BF-B Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining Brown-Forman's (BF-B) stock movement during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Brown-Forman reported its First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 results on August 28, 2025, just prior to the specified period, where the company missed consensus earnings per share (EPS) estimates by $0.01, reporting $0.36 against an expected $0.37. However, quarterly revenue of $924 million surpassed analyst estimates of $911.02 million.
2. The company announced a significant leadership change on August 25, 2025, with Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Leanne Cunningham, retiring after 30 years.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BF-B Return | 19% | -6% | -9% | -12% | -32% | -20% | -51% |
| Peers Return | 9% | 13% | 2% | -1% | -1% | -6% | 15% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BF-B Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 33% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 45% | 42% | 43% | 40% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BF-B Max Drawdown | -31% | -15% | -15% | -19% | -33% | -31% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -7% | -8% | -11% | -6% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KO, PEP, KDP, STZ, AGCC. See BF-B Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BF-B | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -35.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 147 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -23.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 243 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -41.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 500 days | 1480 days |
Compare to KO, PEP, KDP, STZ, AGCC
In The Past
Brown-Forman's stock fell -34.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/3/2021. A -34.6% loss requires a 53.0% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BF-B. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| 05312025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -11.7% | -8.9% | -22.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| 05312025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -11.7% | -8.9% | -22.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Brown-Forman
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 8282025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6132025 | 10-K 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3052025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12052024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8292024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6142024 | 10-K 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3062024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12062023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8302023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6162023 | 10-K 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3082023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12072022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 8312022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6172022 | 10-K 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3032022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12082021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
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