Village Super Market (VLGEA)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $42.45 | Market Cap: $433.0 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
Village Super Market (VLGEA)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $42.45Market Cap: $433.0 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 3.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 14% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 3.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 14% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Earnings Performance: Village Super Market reported Q1 2026 earnings of $17.9 million, representing a 48.9% increase from the previous quarter, as announced on January 24, 2026. This was followed by Q2 2026 earnings per share of $1.21 on $640.96 million in revenue, reported on March 4, 2026.
2. Consistent Dividend Declarations: The company demonstrated its commitment to shareholder returns by declaring quarterly cash dividends of $0.25 per Class A share and $0.1625 per Class B share on both December 12, 2025, and again on March 13, 2026. These consistent payouts represent an annualized yield of 2.4%.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 23.4% change in VLGEA stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 23.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 34.32 | 42.36 | 23.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,321 | 2,387 | 2.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.4% | 2.4% | -2.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.2 | 7.6 | 23.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 10 | 10 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 23.4% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VLGEA | 23.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.1% | -26.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | 6.8% | 40.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 18.4% change in VLGEA stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 17.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 35.79 | 42.36 | 18.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,299 | 2,387 | 3.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.4% | 2.4% | -3.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.5 | 7.6 | 17.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 10 | 10 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 18.4% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VLGEA | 18.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | -9.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 5.6% | 30.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 38.1% change in VLGEA stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 27.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 30.67 | 42.36 | 38.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,258 | 2,387 | 5.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.0 | 7.6 | 27.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 10 | 10 | -0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 38.1% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VLGEA | 38.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.4% | 6.3% |
| Sector (XLP) | 4.0% | 35.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 110.5% change in VLGEA stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 61.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.13 | 42.36 | 110.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,087 | 2,387 | 14.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.5% | 2.4% | 61.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.5 | 7.6 | 17.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 10 | 10 | -3.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 110.5% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VLGEA | 110.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 73.4% | 15.7% |
| Sector (XLP) | 26.5% | 24.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VLGEA Return | 9% | 4% | 18% | 26% | 15% | 13% | 119% |
| Peers Return | 63% | 8% | 7% | 34% | -8% | 6% | 149% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VLGEA Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 58% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 57% | 52% | 53% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VLGEA Max Drawdown | -4% | -15% | -10% | -4% | -4% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -3% | -13% | -13% | -12% | -14% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KR, ACI, WMK, IMKTA, SFM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VLGEA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 431 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -26.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 298 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -33.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 177 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to KR, ACI, WMK, IMKTA, SFM
In The Past
Village Super Market's stock fell -26.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/10/2021. A -26.6% loss requires a 36.2% gain to breakeven.
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About Village Super Market (VLGEA)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- A regional Kroger or Albertsons for the Northeastern U.S.
- A regional Kroger that also owns high-end specialty markets like Whole Foods or Wegmans.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Groceries and Everyday Essentials: A broad selection of food items, household goods, and general merchandise typically found in a supermarket.
- Specialty Foods: Offerings include natural and organic foods, ethnic and international foods, and various prepared foods.
- Baked Goods: Freshly made items from on-site bakeries.
- Deli Items: A wide assortment of meats, cheeses, and prepared dishes from an expanded delicatessen.
- Pharmacy Services: Prescription fulfillment and over-the-counter medications provided through in-store pharmacies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Village Super Market (VLGEA) primarily sells to individual consumers through its chain of supermarkets.
Its major customer categories include:
- Everyday Grocery Shoppers: Individuals and families seeking a wide range of products for their regular household grocery needs, primarily served by its ShopRite supermarkets.
- Specialty and Gourmet Food Enthusiasts: Customers interested in natural, organic, ethnic, international, and prepared food offerings, often found at its Fairway Markets and Gourmet Garage specialty stores.
- Convenience-Seeking Consumers: Individuals looking for quick meal solutions from prepared food sections or utilizing in-store pharmacy services.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Wakefern Food Corp.
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The clear emerging threat for Village Super Market is the accelerating shift in consumer preferences towards online grocery shopping, including home delivery and curbside pickup services. This trend, driven by the increasing sophistication and convenience offered by dedicated online grocers (e.g., Amazon Fresh), third-party delivery platforms (e.g., Instacart, DoorDash expanding into groceries), and large big-box retailers with robust e-commerce capabilities (e.g., Walmart Grocery), directly challenges the traditional brick-and-mortar supermarket model. This technological and logistical disruption is analogous to Netflix's impact on Blockbuster, as it alters the fundamental method by which consumers acquire groceries, potentially eroding in-store foot traffic and requiring significant investment in digital infrastructure and fulfillment capabilities to remain competitive.
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nullLatest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Village Super Market Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| With Village Super Market Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to VLGEA.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | BRBR | BellRing Brands | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | STZ | Constellation Brands | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -1.7% |
| 02062026 | AVO | Mission Produce | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.1% | 1.1% | -2.7% |
| 01022026 | CALM | Cal-Maine Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.0% | 12.0% | -7.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 70.77 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.8 |
| Rev LTM | 7,113 |
| Op Inc LTM | 428 |
| FCF LTM | 295 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 218 |
| CFO LTM | 476 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 415 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 4.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.8 |
| P/S | 0.3 |
| P/EBIT | 11.5 |
| P/E | 15.7 |
| P/CFO | 7.5 |
| Total Yield | 7.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 33.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 11.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -35.8% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Center Store | 1,338 | 1,300 | |||
| Fresh | 806 | 788 | |||
| Pharmacy | 82 | 72 | 68 | 67 | 69 |
| Other | 10 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| Bakery | 56 | 49 | 38 | ||
| Dairy and Frozen | 352 | 349 | 309 | ||
| Deli and Prepared Food | 167 | 156 | 134 | ||
| Groceries | 709 | 705 | 648 | ||
| Liquor | 19 | 22 | 13 | ||
| Meats | 200 | 199 | 179 | ||
| Non-Foods | 148 | 142 | 143 | ||
| Produce | 274 | 268 | 215 | ||
| Seafood | 62 | 65 | 52 | ||
| Total | 2,237 | 2,167 | 2,061 | 2,030 | 1,805 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $42.36 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/27/1990 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $37.45 | $35.98 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 13.1% | 17.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 29.4% | 28.9% |
| Downside Capture | -94.76 | 3.48 |
| Upside Capture | -36.60 | 31.52 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -30.8% | 8.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.78 | -0.32 | -0.47 | -0.11 | 0.13 | 0.31 |
| Up Beta | -0.40 | 0.12 | -0.12 | 0.22 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
| Down Beta | -1.45 | -0.54 | -0.65 | -0.73 | -0.17 | 0.05 |
| Up Capture | 28% | 3% | -3% | 20% | 22% | 14% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 20 | 33 | 63 | 125 | 380 |
| Down Capture | -190% | -77% | -104% | -2% | 13% | 40% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 21 | 28 | 60 | 125 | 366 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VLGEA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VLGEA | 31.4% | 28.8% | 0.94 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 8.4% | 13.9% | 0.34 | 36.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.6% | 18.9% | 0.81 | 8.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 71.9% | 26.3% | 2.05 | -1.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.3% | 17.3% | 0.89 | -6.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.2% | 16.3% | 0.19 | 25.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -15.3% | 44.2% | -0.25 | 1.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VLGEA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VLGEA | 14.5% | 26.5% | 0.51 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 8.1% | 13.1% | 0.40 | 31.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.0% | 0.61 | 22.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 17.3% | 1.14 | 0.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 0.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 26.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.3% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 9.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VLGEA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VLGEA | 9.6% | 28.2% | 0.37 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.8% | 14.7% | 0.40 | 33.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 27.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.77 | -0.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 4.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 25.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 7.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/10/2023 | 0.0% | -0.5% | 1.3% |
| 10/7/2022 | 1.2% | 4.9% | 14.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| # Negative | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Median Positive | 0.6% | 4.9% | 8.0% |
| Median Negative | -0.5% | ||
| Max Positive | 1.2% | 4.9% | 14.6% |
| Max Negative | -0.5% | ||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 01/31/2026 | 03/04/2026 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 10/09/2025 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/04/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 10/10/2024 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 10/11/2023 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 10/13/2022 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/08/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Begley, Kevin | Direct | Sell | 4282025 | 35.61 | 2,000 | 71,214 | 1,672,140 | Form | |
| 2 | Begley, Kevin | Direct | Sell | 4282025 | 35.19 | 3,000 | 105,579 | 1,547,119 | Form | |
| 3 | Sumas, Robert | Direct | Sell | 4182025 | 35.28 | 3,000 | 105,828 | 2,996,026 | Form | |
| 4 | Sumas, Robert | Direct | Sell | 4162025 | 35.59 | 2,700 | 96,088 | 3,182,670 | Form | |
| 5 | Sumas, Robert | Direct | Sell | 4162025 | 35.81 | 1,500 | 53,722 | 3,149,249 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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