Tearsheet

Alico (ALCO)


Market Price (11/8/2025): $33.03 | Market Cap: $252.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Agricultural Products & Services

Alico (ALCO)


Market Price (11/8/2025): $33.03
Market Cap: $252.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Agricultural Products & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -218 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -492%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 5.7x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -38%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -67%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -218 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -492%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 5.7x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -38%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -67%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ALCO Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALCO Return-12%25%-33%23%-10%26%3%
Peers Return23%12%-3%10%-7%97%165%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALCO Win Rate50%58%50%50%33%70% 
Peers Win Rate38%33%45%47%48%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALCO Max Drawdown-36%-8%-35%-5%-16%-0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-3%-12%-11%-20%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BG, DAR, LMNR, AFRI, DTCK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/7/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALCOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven90.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven659 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven227 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-68.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven215.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to BG, DAR, LMNR, AFRI, DTCK


In The Past

Alico's stock fell -47.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/19/2022. A -47.4% loss requires a 90.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Alico (ALCO)

Better Bets than Alico (ALCO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALCO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CLX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.5%-4.5%-5.5%
IPAR_10032025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10032025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.5%-7.5%-7.5%
TAP_9262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09262025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-3.6%
GIS_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025GISGeneral MillsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.2%-5.2%-7.1%
SMPL_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025SMPLSimply Good FoodsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-26.3%-26.3%-29.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CLX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.5%-4.5%-5.5%
IPAR_10032025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10032025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.5%-7.5%-7.5%
TAP_9262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09262025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-3.6%
GIS_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025GISGeneral MillsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.2%-5.2%-7.1%
SMPL_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025SMPLSimply Good FoodsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-26.3%-26.3%-29.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Alico

Financials

ALCOBGDARLMNRAFRIDTCKMedian
NameAlico Bunge Gl.Darling .LimoneiraForafric.Davis Co. 
Mkt Price32.9594.7232.5313.899.411.4123.21
Mkt Cap0.318.75.20.2--2.7
Rev LTM4460,1095,844161--3,002
Op Inc LTM-2181,552374-14--180
FCF LTM5-1,124476-13---4
FCF 3Y Avg-21101428-11--45
CFO LTM11550774-0--281
CFO 3Y Avg-61,396844-0--422

Growth & Margins

ALCOBGDARLMNRAFRIDTCKMedian
NameAlico Bunge Gl.Darling .LimoneiraForafric.Davis Co. 
Rev Chg LTM-4.7%10.3%-1.1%-15.0%---2.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-15.7%-3.2%-0.6%-3.0%---3.1%
Rev Chg Q-38.4%71.6%10.0%-25.0%---7.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-10.6%18.2%2.5%-9.0%---3.2%
Op Mgn LTM-492.2%2.6%6.4%-8.7%---3.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-219.7%3.5%6.9%-8.4%---2.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-100.9%-0.4%0.7%-6.6%---3.5%
CFO/Rev LTM25.0%0.9%13.2%-0.2%--7.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-13.2%2.4%13.6%-0.3%--1.1%
FCF/Rev LTM12.3%-1.9%8.1%-7.9%--3.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-47.1%0.2%7.0%-6.4%---3.1%

Valuation

ALCOBGDARLMNRAFRIDTCKMedian
NameAlico Bunge Gl.Darling .LimoneiraForafric.Davis Co. 
Mkt Cap0.318.75.20.2--2.7
P/S5.70.30.91.5--1.2
P/EBIT-1.38.116.5-25.2--3.4
P/E-1.614.147.8-27.1--6.3
P/CFO22.833.96.7-681.3--14.7
Total Yield-62.3%8.1%2.1%-1.5%--0.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.0%0.0%2.2%--0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.8%1.0%7.2%-4.0%---1.5%
D/E0.31.00.80.3--0.6
Net D/E0.20.80.80.3--0.5

Returns

ALCOBGDARLMNRAFRIDTCKMedian
NameAlico Bunge Gl.Darling .LimoneiraForafric.Davis Co. 
1M Rtn-1.7%14.9%3.1%-5.6%9.7%78.8%6.4%
3M Rtn2.7%15.2%6.2%-9.6%21.4%76.5%10.7%
6M Rtn13.4%24.6%-4.4%-9.6%20.0%123.8%16.7%
12M Rtn24.8%13.0%-19.4%-50.3%-9.3%20.6%1.8%
3Y Rtn4.5%-1.1%-60.1%9.2%-11.2%--1.1%
1M Excs Rtn-1.6%16.6%3.9%-6.4%9.5%86.4%6.7%
3M Excs Rtn-3.7%10.6%3.8%-16.6%15.1%77.0%7.2%
6M Excs Rtn-5.5%5.7%-23.3%-28.5%1.1%105.0%-2.2%
12M Excs Rtn11.8%-0.7%-35.1%-64.4%-26.7%11.8%-13.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-71.6%-74.7%-137.1%-64.6%-87.6%--74.7%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity206,641
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-5.6%
Average Daily Volume16,975
Days-to-Cover Short Interest12.17
Basic Shares Quantity7,641,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/12/20250.4%-0.5%2.7%
5/13/20253.9%6.4%7.1%
2/12/20250.8%-2.0%-3.8%
12/2/2024-1.3%3.7%-3.1%
8/5/20244.5%-2.0%4.8%
4/29/2024-2.2%0.6%-9.0%
12/6/20232.5%5.1%-2.8%
8/3/2023-4.4%-5.2%-9.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10911
# Negative9108
Median Positive2.2%3.7%6.8%
Median Negative-2.2%-2.1%-6.3%
Max Positive4.5%8.6%9.8%
Max Negative-9.5%-15.2%-9.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241202202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023207202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231206202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022206202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221213202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211207202110-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0SLACK HENRY R8272025Sell34.562,913100,6751,338,743Form
1SLACK HENRY R8192025Sell32.8324,789813,7781,367,262Form