Alico (ALCO)


Market Price (8/24/2026): $40.32 | Market Cap: $299.1 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Agricultural Products & Services

Alico (ALCO)


Market Price (8/24/2026): $40.32
Market Cap: $299.1 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Agricultural Products & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more.

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -139%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 18x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 86x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 195x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -61%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4%

Key risks
ALCO key risks include [1] successfully executing its fundamental strategic transformation from citrus operations to land management and [2] overcoming the substantial revenue gap created by the loss of its primary business and its single largest customer, Show more.

0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -139%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 18x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 86x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 195x
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -61%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4%
7 Key risks
ALCO key risks include [1] successfully executing its fundamental strategic transformation from citrus operations to land management and [2] overcoming the substantial revenue gap created by the loss of its primary business and its single largest customer, Show more.

ALCO in ETFs

Weight = ALCO's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.01%
IWN0.01%
VTWO0.01%
DFAS0.01%
IWO0.00%
DFAC0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/17/2026

Alico (ALCO) stock has lost about 5% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Persistent overvaluation concerns despite positive earnings.

Despite Alico (ALCO) beating analyst estimates for both fiscal Q2 2026 (ended March 31, 2026) and fiscal Q3 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), the stock has faced downward pressure due to significant overvaluation. While Alico reported Q3 2026 EPS of $0.29, beating consensus by $1.03, and Q3 revenue of $9.04 million, exceeding estimates by $6.29 million, the GF Value™ analysis still indicates the stock is significantly overvalued by 338.7%, with a GF Value™ of $9.64 compared to a current price of $42.29.

2. Mixed analyst sentiment and future outlook for fiscal Q4 2026.

The period saw an initial downgrade of Alico to "Hold" by Roth/MKM on May 13, 2026, with a price target of $44.00, which likely contributed to early pressure on the stock. Although Freedom Broker upgraded the stock to "Buy" on August 12, 2026, with a raised price target of $45.00, management's guidance for fiscal Q4 2026 (ending September 30, 2026) projects it to be an "EBITDA usage quarter," implying weaker performance on a run-rate basis following strong Q3 results.

Show more
Updated on 8/17/2026

Alico (ALCO) stock has lost about 5% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Persistent overvaluation concerns despite positive earnings.

Despite Alico (ALCO) beating analyst estimates for both fiscal Q2 2026 (ended March 31, 2026) and fiscal Q3 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), the stock has faced downward pressure due to significant overvaluation. While Alico reported Q3 2026 EPS of $0.29, beating consensus by $1.03, and Q3 revenue of $9.04 million, exceeding estimates by $6.29 million, the GF Value™ analysis still indicates the stock is significantly overvalued by 338.7%, with a GF Value™ of $9.64 compared to a current price of $42.29.

2. Mixed analyst sentiment and future outlook for fiscal Q4 2026.

The period saw an initial downgrade of Alico to "Hold" by Roth/MKM on May 13, 2026, with a price target of $44.00, which likely contributed to early pressure on the stock. Although Freedom Broker upgraded the stock to "Buy" on August 12, 2026, with a raised price target of $45.00, management's guidance for fiscal Q4 2026 (ending September 30, 2026) projects it to be an "EBITDA usage quarter," implying weaker performance on a run-rate basis following strong Q3 results.

3. Shifting agricultural market dynamics.

While the CME Group Agriculture Index showed a monthly return of 2.36% in July 2026, driven by gains in grains and oilseeds, some segments experienced declines. Notably, cattle futures retreated, and the August 2026 USDA WASDE report lowered cattle price forecasts, which could impact segments of Alico's diversified land management operations.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -3.0% change in ALCO stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -41.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020268232026Change
Stock Price ($)41.5640.31-3.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2917-41.3%
P/S Multiple10.917.560.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)873.1%
Cumulative Contribution-3.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALCO-3.0% 
Market (SPY)6.5%-10.6%
Sector (XLP)2.0%30.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -2.2% change in ALCO stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -61.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120268232026Change
Stock Price ($)41.2140.31-2.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4417-61.3%
P/S Multiple7.117.5145.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)873.0%
Cumulative Contribution-2.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALCO-2.2% 
Market (SPY)11.0%2.0%
Sector (XLP)3.5%29.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 25.5% change in ALCO stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 253.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258232026Change
Stock Price ($)32.1140.3125.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4917-65.5%
P/S Multiple5.017.5253.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)872.9%
Cumulative Contribution25.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALCO25.5% 
Market (SPY)22.2%9.5%
Sector (XLP)10.0%29.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 58.7% change in ALCO stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 434.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238232026Change
Stock Price ($)25.4040.3158.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5917-71.0%
P/S Multiple3.317.5434.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)872.4%
Cumulative Contribution58.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALCO58.7% 
Market (SPY)73.2%24.2%
Sector (XLP)22.3%20.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ALCO Return25%-33%23%-10%41%9%43%
Peers Return56%-18%19%1%-24%5%23%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALCO Win Rate58%50%50%33%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%42%53%58%39%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALCO Max Drawdown-10%-45%-19%-20%-15%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-39%-27%-22%-33%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FPI, LAND, LMNR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/21/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventALCOS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-15.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.4%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven127 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-23.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1111 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-36.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven58.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven456 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-13.6%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven245 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-52.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven108.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven2248 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-41.2%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven70.0%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven1435 days15 days

Compare to FPI, LAND, LMNR

In The Past

Alico's stock fell -4.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventALCOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-23.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1111 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-36.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven58.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven456 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-52.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven108.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven2248 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-41.2%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven70.0%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven1435 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-25.1%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.4%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven252 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-23.1%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.0%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven223 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-45.3%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven82.9%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven1367 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-20.9%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.4%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven2669 days47 days

Compare to FPI, LAND, LMNR

In The Past

Alico's stock fell -4.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Alico (ALCO)

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Alico, Inc. (ALCO) operates primarily as an agribusiness and land management company based in Florida. Its business model is structured around two main segments: cultivating citrus and managing its extensive landholdings. Founded in 1960, the company leverages its substantial presence in multiple Florida counties to generate revenue from both agricultural products and various land-use activities.

The Alico Citrus segment focuses on the cultivation of citrus trees across its vast groves. From these operations, the company produces citrus fruit, which is then delivered to two distinct markets: the processed citrus market, primarily for use in juices and other products, and the fresh citrus market, where fruit is sold directly for consumption. This dual approach allows Alico to serve a broad spectrum of demand within the citrus industry.

Complementing its citrus operations, the Land Management and Other Operations segment involves owning and actively managing approximately 83,000 acres of land spread across eight counties in Florida. This land is a significant asset from which Alico derives revenue through various leasing activities. It serves customers seeking land for recreational purposes, grazing, conservation efforts, and mining activities, effectively monetizing its substantial real estate portfolio beyond agricultural use.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a couple of analogies for Alico (ALCO):

  • Think of it as a Weyerhaeuser that grows citrus instead of timber on its vast Florida lands.
  • It's like a large-scale Sunkist, but also a significant real estate and land management company in Florida.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Citrus Products: Cultivates citrus trees to produce citrus for both fresh and processed markets.
  • Land Leasing: Leases its extensive land holdings for recreational, grazing, conservation, and mining activities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Alico (ALCO) primarily sells its products and services to other companies, not directly to individual consumers. While the company's public filings indicate a concentration of sales with a limited number of customers in its Alico Citrus segment, it does not publicly disclose the specific names of these major customer companies.

Based on the company's business segments, Alico's major customers generally fall into the following categories:

  • For the Alico Citrus Segment:
    • Juice Processors: Companies that purchase citrus fruit for processing into various juice products.
    • Fresh Fruit Packers and Distributors: Companies involved in packing and distributing fresh citrus fruit to retail markets and other buyers.
  • For the Land Management and Other Operations Segment:
    • Agricultural and Ranching Businesses: Companies or individuals that lease land for grazing and other agricultural purposes.
    • Mining Companies: Entities that lease land for mining activities.
    • Conservation and Environmental Organizations/Agencies: Groups or governmental bodies that lease land for conservation, water storage, and mitigation banking purposes.
    • Recreational Lessees: This could include companies, groups, or individuals leasing land for hunting, fishing, or other recreational activities.

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  • Wedgworth’s Inc.
  • Wedgworth’s Service Inc.

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John E. Kiernan, President and Chief Executive Officer

John E. Kiernan became President and CEO of Alico in July 2019, having previously served as the company's CFO starting in June 2015. Before joining Alico, he was the CFO of Greenwich Associates, a private global research-based consulting firm. He also served as Treasurer and Senior Vice President for Capital Markets & Risk Management for Global Crossing until its $3 billion sale to Level 3 in 2011. His career also includes roles as VP of Investor Relations for Misys plc and Director of Corporate Development for IBM. Earlier in his career, Mr. Kiernan spent 12 years as an investment banker specializing in IPOs and M&A for technology companies at Bear Stearns, where he held the title of Managing Director.

Bradley Heine, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Bradley Heine was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Alico effective August 16, 2023. Prior to Alico, he served as the Corporate Controller of Wejo Group Limited, a connected vehicle data solutions company. He also held the position of VP of Accounting at IAC InterActiveCorp. Mr. Heine spent 12 years at Avis Budget Group, a global car rental company, where his roles included Vice President of External Reporting and Technical Accounting and Financial Controller for the EMEA region. He began his career as an auditor with Deloitte & Touche.

Mitch Hutchcraft, Executive Vice President, Real Estate

Mitch Hutchcraft serves as the Executive Vice President of Real Estate for Alico. Before his tenure at Alico, he worked for 17 years as the Vice President of Real Estate for King Ranch, where he was involved in land acquisition, protection of assets from changing regulations, long-term value enhancement of real estate assets, public policy, and operational enhancement through real estate projects. Mr. Hutchcraft led King Ranch's legal, entitlement, and strategic planning activities for the property now known as "Kingston" for almost eight years.

James E. Sampel, Chief Information Officer

James E. Sampel has been the Chief Information Officer of Alico, Inc. since December 2015. Before joining Alico, he was CIO and Managing Director Global Operations of Greenwich Associates, a research-based consulting firm for the financial services industry. His prior experience also includes serving as Director of Information Technology for 454 Life Sciences Corporation and Manager of Advanced and Emerging Technology for Perkin Elmer. He earned his M.B.A. in Information Systems from Pace University and his B.S. in Electronics Engineering Technology from DeVry University.

Mary Molina, Chief Administrative Officer

Mary Molina serves as the Chief Administrative Officer of Alico.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Alico (ALCO) is undergoing a significant strategic transformation, shifting from its historical focus on citrus cultivation to primarily a land management and real estate development company. This transition drives the primary risks to the business. Here are the key risks to Alico's business: 1.

Strategic Transformation and Real Estate Development Risks

The most significant risk stems from Alico's ongoing strategic shift away from citrus farming to land management and real estate development. This involves inherent uncertainties in securing the necessary regulatory approvals and permits for its major land development projects, such as the Corkscrew Grove Villages project, which is crucial for unlocking the value of its land holdings. The successful execution of this transition requires effective resource management, the ability to attract skilled personnel for real estate ventures, and the successful entitlement of land for commercial and residential use, which hinges on navigating complex land use and zoning regulations in Florida. Furthermore, the land development business is highly competitive, and there is no assurance that the company will realize the anticipated revenues and profits from this new strategy, or that it won't incur higher-than-expected costs during this transition. The company's decision to wind down citrus operations has also involved a significant workforce reduction, and there is a risk that this may not result in intended outcomes or could yield unintended consequences and additional costs. 2.

Environmental and Weather-Related Risks

While Alico is moving away from citrus production, its extensive land holdings in Florida remain susceptible to adverse weather conditions, including hurricanes and other extreme weather events. Such events can disrupt land development activities, damage existing infrastructure, and negatively impact the value of remaining agricultural lands. Additionally, the company faces ongoing environmental regulations and potential liabilities, particularly concerning water use and the need to comply with best management practices for water quality on its agricultural land holdings. Environmental opposition and potential litigation also pose risks to its development projects. 3.

Interest Rate and Macroeconomic Risks

Alico's real estate development strategy is exposed to risks related to fluctuating interest rates and broader macroeconomic conditions. Elevated interest rates could deter developers from acquiring new land or lead to negotiations for lower prices, thereby impacting the profitability and pace of Alico's land sales and development projects. General macroeconomic headwinds, such as inflation, geopolitical instability, and supply chain disruptions, could also adversely affect the company's financial performance and strategic initiatives in the real estate market. The company also has variable rate debt, exposing it to interest rate risks that could lead to higher interest expenses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Alico, Inc. (ALCO) is strategically transforming from primarily a citrus agribusiness to a diversified land management and real estate development company in Florida. Consequently, the addressable markets for its main products and services are shifting away from citrus production towards its land holdings and their various uses.

Land Management and Leasing Market (Florida)

The Land Leasing industry in Florida is estimated to be worth approximately $2.5 billion in 2026. This market includes the leasing of real estate without permanent buildings, encompassing manufactured home sites, vacant lots, and grazing land. The industry has experienced an average annual growth rate of 2.3% from 2020 to 2025.

Alico's land management programs include fee-generating or revenue-sharing agreements with various operators, such as citrus growers, cattle operators, mining operators, sugarcane producers, and sod farming and leasing. Florida also has over 4 million acres of conservation land, with the state allocating more than $567 million to land conservation in 2024.

Real Estate Development Market (Florida)

Alico is also focusing on real estate development, with management estimating its current landholdings, comprising approximately 53,371 acres, could be valued between $650 million and $750 million. Approximately 25% of these holdings have potential for commercial and residential development. In 2024, more than 72,000 acres of agricultural land in Florida were converted for residential, solar, and commercial developments, highlighting the significant demand for land in the state due to population growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Alico (ALCO)

  • Strategic Land Sales and Monetization: Alico is actively executing a strategy to unlock value from its extensive land portfolio through strategic land sales. The company has reported significant land sales, with $7.7 million in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 and a total of $34.5 million year-to-date through January 2026, including an additional $26.8 million sale post-quarter. Alico's outlook for fiscal year 2025 anticipated land sales potentially exceeding $50 million. This ongoing land monetization is a primary driver of future revenue as the company transitions its business model.
  • Increased Land Leasing for Diversified Agricultural Operations: As Alico winds down its citrus operations, it is shifting its focus to leasing its farmable land for diversified agricultural partnerships. The company achieved 97% utilization of its approximately 32,500 farmable acres through new lease agreements in January 2026, which is expected to provide more stable and predictable revenue streams.
  • Growth in Rock and Sand Royalties and Other Land Management Activities: Revenue from the Land Management and Other Operations segment has shown significant growth, increasing by 77% in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026. This growth is primarily attributed to higher rock and sand royalties and an increase in leasing income.
  • Real Estate Development Initiatives: Alico is advancing key real estate development projects, such as the "Corkscrew Grove Villages" master-planned community. This project involves the entitlement process, with a significant decision from Collier County anticipated in 2026, indicating the potential for long-term, high-value development to contribute to future revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • Alico's Board of Directors authorized a stock repurchase program of up to $50 million on March 25, 2025.
  • As of September 30, 2025, no shares had been repurchased under this program.
  • The repurchase program is scheduled to expire on April 1, 2028.

Share Issuance

  • In July 2025, Alico granted shares of common stock to directors Adam H. Putnam (930 shares), Katherine R. English (596 shares), and Toby K. Purse (633 shares) under the company's Amended and Restated Stock Incentive Plan of 2015.
  • These share issuances were made with no cash consideration.
  • The number of outstanding shares increased from 7,628,639 at September 30, 2024, to 7,645,360 at September 30, 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Alico is undergoing a strategic transformation to wind down its citrus production after the 2024/2025 harvest and shift its focus to diversified land usage and real estate development.
  • The company announced the creation of Corkscrew Grove Villages, a master-planned development on approximately 4,660 acres, which includes over 6,000 acres of permanent conservation areas.
  • In 2025, Alico supported the Corkscrew Grove Stewardship District's partnership with the Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT) through approximately $5 million in financing for wildlife corridor infrastructure.

Better Bets vs. Alico (ALCO)

Peer Outperformance in Agricultural Products & Services

ALCO has outperformed 70% of its 10 Agricultural Products & Services peers over 5Y. Agricultural Products & Services ranks 7th of 12 industries in Consumer Staples by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Agricultural Products & Services constituents that ALCO has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
55%
of 11 industry peers · 16.2% return
3Y
91%
of 11 industry peers · 71.6% return
5Y
70%
of 10 industry peers · 20.0% return
No Agricultural Products & Services peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten ALCO by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Staples sector, ranked by 5Y. Agricultural Products & Services is ALCO's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail 12 3.7%48.4%56.7% NGVC 186% · VLGEA 142% · PSMT 123%
Tobacco 6 -15.5%13.6%52.1% PM 136% · MO 102% · TPB 80%
Food Retail 6 -14.9%70.6%39.3% CASY 326% · SFM 234% · KR 41%
Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages 12 -5.3%-10.1%23.1% COKE 398% · BRFH 202% · CCHGY 114%
Food Distributors 9 3.7%39.0%22.4% CHEF 273% · USFD 225% · ANDE 140%
Brewers 3 -15.2%-23.9%4.1% BUD 40% · TAP 4% · SAM -69%
Agricultural Products & Services ← 11 4.1%1.9%-11.5% BG 71% · ADM 55% · INGR 41%
Household Products 19 1.2%-4.0%-23.7% ACU 76% · IPAR 76% · CL 32%
Personal Care Products 4 -7.6%-14.8%-25.8% ELF 242% · PG 15% · COTY -66%
Packaged Foods & Meats 48 -19.6%-26.1%-34.0% MAMA 540% · LWAY 377% · SENEA 288%
Distillers & Vintners 6 -39.1%-63.9%-76.3% STZ -31% · BF-B -55% · MGPI -70%
Drug Retail 3 -43.9%-84.2%-93.0% HITI -66% · PETS -93% · SCNX -99%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1Alico Earnings Notes12/16/2025
2Is Alico Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback?10/17/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALCOFPILANDLMNRMedian
NameAlico Farmland.Gladston.Limoneira 
Mkt Price40.3110.168.6513.8512.00
Mkt Cap0.30.40.40.20.3
Rev LTM17518813270
Op Inc LTM-242322-29-1
FCF LTM-41825-337
FCF 3Y Avg-141421-131
CFO LTM-01828-189
CFO 3Y Avg-51428-17

Growth & Margins

ALCOFPILANDLMNRMedian
NameAlico Farmland.Gladston.Limoneira 
Rev Chg LTM-61.4%-6.4%21.6%-25.0%-15.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-16.9%-4.6%0.3%-9.8%-7.2%
Rev Chg Q7.7%-5.7%3.2%-31.9%-1.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.0%-1.1%0.4%-7.8%-0.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM89.1%-0.6%10.5%-687.0%5.0%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-117.6%-1.8%-12.0%-278.8%-64.8%
Op Mgn LTM-138.6%45.7%24.6%-21.8%1.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-243.5%44.1%29.7%-12.1%8.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM204.7%1.9%0.0%-2.6%0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM-2.2%35.8%31.4%-13.8%14.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-9.9%26.2%32.7%-1.5%12.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-20.8%35.8%28.0%-25.1%3.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-34.7%26.2%24.6%-9.2%7.7%

Valuation

ALCOFPILANDLMNRMedian
NameAlico Farmland.Gladston.Limoneira 
Mkt Cap0.30.40.40.20.3
P/S17.58.64.21.96.4
P/Op Inc-12.618.817.0-8.64.2
P/EBIT85.712.129.0-5.020.6
P/E195.217.2-57.4-6.15.5
P/CFO-780.823.913.4-13.6-0.1
Total Yield1.0%10.4%4.2%-14.6%2.6%
Dividend Yield0.5%4.6%6.0%1.6%3.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.1%3.0%5.1%-4.7%-0.9%
D/E0.30.51.30.40.4
Net D/E0.10.51.20.40.4

Returns

ALCOFPILANDLMNRMedian
NameAlico Farmland.Gladston.Limoneira 
1M Rtn4.4%5.8%2.0%6.0%5.1%
3M Rtn-2.3%-1.7%-8.7%8.3%-2.0%
6M Rtn-2.0%-13.1%-18.2%-1.6%-7.5%
12M Rtn16.2%-3.3%0.5%-15.2%-1.4%
3Y Rtn71.6%13.3%-35.9%-5.3%4.0%
1M Excs Rtn-0.5%2.7%-1.5%2.1%0.8%
3M Excs Rtn-4.3%-5.1%-10.8%5.0%-4.7%
6M Excs Rtn-13.1%-24.1%-29.3%-12.6%-18.6%
12M Excs Rtn-0.3%-21.7%-17.0%-30.7%-19.4%
3Y Excs Rtn0.3%-60.5%-111.6%-78.6%-69.5%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Alico Citrus41453890106
Land Management and Other Operations32223
Total44474092109


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20032001199919981997
Citrus45   
Ranch22   
Sugarcane13   
General Corporate -5444
Agriculture  5116
Real Estate  4111
Total84131621


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Alico Citrus174384415396419
Land Management and Other Operations2613121113
Other Corporate Assets22221
Total202399428409433


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$40.31 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.3 
First Trading Date05/03/1973 
Distance from 52W High-9.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$40.09$39.29
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA0.5%2.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility22.9%23.9%
Downside Capture-25.6010.11
Upside Capture-32.9925.41
Correlation (SPY)-14.0%8.5%
ALCO Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.38-0.29-0.230.020.180.48
Up Beta0.63-0.28-0.050.050.290.35
Down Beta0.74-0.49-0.07-0.17-0.000.49
Up Capture-47%-43%-46%-2%20%27%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days7172762132388
Down Capture91%1%-16%20%16%78%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days15263663118358

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALCO
ALCO19.8%23.9%0.69-
Sector ETF (XLP)5.5%14.3%0.1530.0%
Equity (SPY)21.1%12.9%1.228.4%
Gold (GLD)37.5%28.8%1.107.6%
Commodities (DBC)43.2%20.2%1.66-1.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.9%13.8%0.6423.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-31.6%44.1%-0.736.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALCO
ALCO3.7%30.2%0.15-
Sector ETF (XLP)6.1%13.6%0.2322.7%
Equity (SPY)12.9%17.2%0.5728.1%
Gold (GLD)20.6%18.6%0.907.6%
Commodities (DBC)10.4%19.6%0.4113.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.0232.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.4%52.8%0.3817.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALCO
ALCO5.4%32.0%0.24-
Sector ETF (XLP)7.4%14.9%0.3628.1%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7235.8%
Gold (GLD)12.7%16.2%0.646.7%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%18.0%0.3617.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2036.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.1%66.1%1.0312.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7152026-1.4%
Average Daily Volume0.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity7.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/19/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/10/20266.0%0.0% 
5/11/20261.3%-1.0%1.9%
2/4/2026-0.5%-0.0%-2.0%
11/24/20254.9%17.9%16.2%
8/12/20250.4%-0.5%2.7%
5/13/20253.9%6.4%7.1%
2/12/20250.8%-2.0%-3.8%
12/2/2024-1.3%3.7%-3.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131011
# Negative121513
Median Positive2.6%2.7%4.8%
Median Negative-3.1%-2.0%-4.9%
Max Positive6.0%17.9%16.2%
Max Negative-9.5%-15.2%-9.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/10/20266.0%0.0% 
5/11/20261.3%-1.0%1.9%
2/4/2026-0.5%-0.0%-2.0%
11/24/20254.9%17.9%16.2%
8/12/20250.4%-0.5%2.7%
5/13/20253.9%6.4%7.1%
2/12/20250.8%-2.0%-3.8%
12/2/2024-1.3%3.7%-3.1%
8/5/20244.5%-2.0%4.8%
5/6/2024-9.4%-6.0%-8.9%
2/7/20242.6%1.2%-3.7%
12/6/20232.5%5.1%-2.8%
8/3/2023-4.4%-5.2%-9.3%
5/4/2023-2.9%-2.2%4.7%
2/6/2023-3.3%-3.1%-6.1%
12/13/2022-9.5%-15.2%-9.0%
8/3/2022-8.5%-7.9%-5.1%
5/9/20223.5%7.8%9.8%
2/3/2022-5.4%-7.6%-4.9%
12/7/2021-1.4%-1.2%6.8%
8/5/20212.0%1.1%0.9%
5/5/20213.0%1.7%7.7%
2/4/2021-0.4%-1.2%-1.8%
12/8/20201.6%0.7%0.5%
8/6/2020-0.8%-0.8%-7.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131011
# Negative121513
Median Positive2.6%2.7%4.8%
Median Negative-3.1%-2.0%-4.9%
Max Positive6.0%17.9%16.2%
Max Negative-9.5%-15.2%-9.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/10/202610-Q
03/31/202605/11/202610-Q
12/31/202502/04/202610-Q
09/30/202511/24/202510-K
06/30/202508/12/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202402/12/202510-Q
09/30/202412/02/202410-K
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202302/07/202410-Q
09/30/202312/06/202310-K
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/06/202310-Q
09/30/202212/13/202210-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/10/202610-Q
03/31/202605/11/202610-Q
12/31/202502/04/202610-Q
09/30/202511/24/202510-K
06/30/202508/12/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202402/12/202510-Q
09/30/202412/02/202410-K
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202302/07/202410-Q
09/30/202312/06/202310-K
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/06/202310-Q
09/30/202212/13/202210-K
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q
12/31/202102/03/202210-Q
09/30/202112/07/202110-K
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/05/202110-Q
12/31/202002/04/202110-Q
09/30/202012/08/202010-K
06/30/202008/06/202010-Q
03/31/202005/11/202010-Q
12/31/201902/06/202010-Q
09/30/201912/05/201910-K

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/11/2026

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 8/10/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted EBITDA 15.00 Mil 7.1% RaisedGuidance: 14.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Cash 48.00 Mil 20.0% RaisedGuidance: 40.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Net Debt 37.36 Mil -17.7% LoweredGuidance: 45.37 Mil for 2026
2026 Total Debt 85.36 Mil    

Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 5/11/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted EBITDA 14.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 14.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Cash 40.00 Mil -20.0% LoweredGuidance: 50.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Net Debt 45.37 Mil 29.6% RaisedGuidance: 35.00 Mil for 2026

Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted EBITDA 14.00 Mil    
2026 Cash 50.00 Mil    
2026 Net Debt 35.00 Mil    

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 11/24/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Operating Expenses      

Insider Activity

Updated 8/21/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Speron, Eric H DirectBuy821202639.731,25049,66591,781Form
2Slack, Henry RDirectSell827202534.293,548121,6701,206,684Form
3Slack, Henry RDirectSell827202534.562,913100,6751,338,743Form
4Slack, Henry RDirectSell819202532.8324,789813,7781,367,262Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Speron, Eric H DirectBuy821202639.731,25049,66591,781Form
2Slack, Henry RDirectSell827202534.293,548121,6701,206,684Form
3Slack, Henry RDirectSell827202534.562,913100,6751,338,743Form
4Slack, Henry RDirectSell819202532.8324,789813,7781,367,262Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 24, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Gate City Capital Management, LLC$53.0 Mil20.6%16Hold13F
Active Manager
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Gate City Capital Management, LLC$53.0 Mil20.6%16Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/23/2026