Tearsheet

Alico (ALCO)


Market Price (12/11/2025): $37.3 | Market Cap: $285.2 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Agricultural Products & Services

Alico (ALCO)


Market Price (12/11/2025): $37.3
Market Cap: $285.2 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Agricultural Products & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -204 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -463%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.0x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -204 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -463%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.0x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ALCO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Alico (ALCO) experienced a 10.2% stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 12, 2025, driven by several key factors.

1. Successful Strategic Transformation to a Diversified Land Company. Alico officially announced the successful completion of its strategic transformation from a traditional citrus producer to a diversified land company by the end of fiscal year 2025. This shift aims to unlock value from its extensive land holdings and was a continuous theme providing a long-term positive outlook for the company.

2. Exceeded Land Sales and Adjusted EBITDA Guidance in Q4 2025. Despite reporting a significant net loss for the full fiscal year 2025, Alico surpassed its guidance for both Adjusted EBITDA, reaching $22.5 million against a $20 million target, and land sales, generating $23.8 million, also exceeding its $20 million target. These operational achievements signaled effective execution of its new land management strategy.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALCO Return-12%25%-33%23%-10%46%19%
Peers Return2%46%-15%15%9%-13%40%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALCO Win Rate50%58%50%50%33%67% 
Peers Win Rate56%58%46%50%56%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALCO Max Drawdown-36%-8%-35%-5%-16%-0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-4%-25%-16%-19%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FPI, LAND, LMNR, FDP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/11/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALCOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven90.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven659 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven227 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-68.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven215.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to BG, DAR, LMNR, AFRI, AGRZ


In The Past

Alico's stock fell -47.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/19/2022. A -47.4% loss requires a 90.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Alico (ALCO)

Better Bets than Alico (ALCO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALCO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.5%-7.5%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.2%8.2%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.1%-1.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.5%-7.5%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.2%8.2%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.1%-1.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Alico

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALCOFPILANDLMNRFDPMedian
NameAlico Farmland.Gladston.LimoneiraFresh De. 
Mkt Price37.309.989.0014.9338.2014.93
Mkt Cap0.30.40.30.31.80.3
Rev LTM4453681614,31668
Op Inc LTM-2042216-1416216
FCF LTM15171-1317615
FCF 3Y Avg-191320-1113113
CFO LTM20178-023017
CFO 3Y Avg-61329-018413

Growth & Margins

ALCOFPILANDLMNRFDPMedian
NameAlico Farmland.Gladston.LimoneiraFresh De. 
Rev Chg LTM-5.5%-9.3%-23.2%-15.0%0.9%-9.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-15.0%-3.7%-7.2%-3.0%-0.8%-3.7%
Rev Chg Q-14.2%-15.5%-21.2%-25.0%0.2%-15.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.3%-3.8%-6.6%-9.0%0.1%-3.8%
Op Mgn LTM-462.7%42.3%22.9%-8.7%3.8%3.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-206.0%42.8%32.6%-8.4%3.9%3.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM29.5%-0.6%-4.2%-6.6%-0.4%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM45.7%31.8%11.7%-0.2%5.3%11.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-11.8%23.7%33.2%-0.3%4.3%4.3%
FCF/Rev LTM33.2%31.8%1.0%-7.9%4.1%4.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-42.7%23.7%21.9%-6.4%3.0%3.0%

Valuation

ALCOFPILANDLMNRFDPMedian
NameAlico Farmland.Gladston.LimoneiraFresh De. 
Mkt Cap0.30.40.30.31.80.3
P/S6.08.94.91.70.44.9
P/EBIT-5.810.9-28.313.58.4
P/E-1.86.833.6-30.521.06.8
P/CFO13.227.941.6-766.17.213.2
Total Yield-55.6%28.3%9.1%-1.3%4.8%4.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%13.6%6.1%1.9%0.0%1.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.7%3.9%-4.0%8.9%3.3%
D/E-0.41.50.20.20.3
Net D/E-0.31.40.20.10.3

Returns

ALCOFPILANDLMNRFDPMedian
NameAlico Farmland.Gladston.LimoneiraFresh De. 
1M Rtn12.1%2.4%-9.9%9.6%2.8%2.8%
3M Rtn9.4%-8.1%2.6%-3.1%7.6%2.6%
6M Rtn18.6%-12.3%-9.3%-6.1%17.2%-6.1%
12M Rtn40.6%-8.4%-16.6%-45.7%16.5%-8.4%
3Y Rtn37.8%-8.3%-46.2%24.9%58.1%24.9%
1M Excs Rtn11.3%1.6%-10.7%8.8%2.0%2.0%
3M Excs Rtn5.1%-12.7%-1.7%-6.5%3.3%-1.7%
6M Excs Rtn4.5%-26.4%-23.4%-20.3%3.1%-20.3%
12M Excs Rtn25.7%-21.7%-30.5%-57.5%4.4%-21.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-30.5%-84.3%-122.8%-53.3%-19.2%-53.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Alico Citrus384415396419407
Land Management and Other Operations1312111315
Other Corporate Assets22212
Total399428409433424


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity200,204
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.0%
Average Daily Volume21,389
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.36
Basic Shares Quantity7,645,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/24/20254.9%17.9% 
8/12/20250.4%-0.5%2.7%
5/13/20253.9%6.4%7.1%
2/12/20250.8%-2.0%-3.8%
12/2/2024-1.3%3.7%-3.1%
8/5/20244.5%-2.0%4.8%
4/29/2024-2.2%0.6%-9.0%
12/6/20232.5%5.1%-2.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111011
# Negative9109
Median Positive2.5%4.4%6.8%
Median Negative-2.2%-2.1%-6.3%
Max Positive4.9%17.9%9.8%
Max Negative-9.5%-15.2%-9.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251124202510-K 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241202202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023207202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231206202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022206202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221213202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0SLACK HENRY R8272025Sell34.562,913100,6751,338,743Form
1SLACK HENRY R8192025Sell32.8324,789813,7781,367,262Form