Alico (ALCO)
Market Price (4/7/2026): $43.1 | Market Cap: $329.8 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Agricultural Products & Services
Alico (ALCO)
Market Price (4/7/2026): $43.1Market Cap: $329.8 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Agricultural Products & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 77%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.8% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -202 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -694% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -41%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -26%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -89% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 89% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -47% Key risksALCO key risks include [1] successfully executing its fundamental strategic transformation from citrus operations to land management and [2] overcoming the substantial revenue gap created by the loss of its primary business and its single largest customer, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 77%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -202 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -694% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -41%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -26%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -89% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 89% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -47% |
| Key risksALCO key risks include [1] successfully executing its fundamental strategic transformation from citrus operations to land management and [2] overcoming the substantial revenue gap created by the loss of its primary business and its single largest customer, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Successful Execution of Land Monetization Strategy: Alico significantly advanced its strategic transformation from citrus operations to land monetization. The company completed $7.7 million in land sales during the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended December 31, 2025) and an additional $26.8 million in January 2026, bringing total year-to-date fiscal 2026 land sales to $34.5 million. These sales generated a gain of approximately $4.9 million in Q1 2026, demonstrating the company's ability to unlock substantial value from its land portfolio.
2. Improved Financial Performance and Positive EBITDA: Despite a substantial decline in revenue by 88.8% to $1.89 million in Q1 2026 due to the wind-down of citrus operations, Alico reported a narrower net loss of $3.5 million ($0.45 per diluted share), an improvement from a $9.2 million net loss ($1.20 per share) in the prior year period. Crucially, the company achieved positive EBITDA of $2.4 million, a significant turnaround from negative $6.7 million in the same period last year. Management also provided fiscal year 2026 guidance, projecting Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $14 million.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 18.8% change in ALCO stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 80.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 36.29 | 43.09 | 18.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 44 | 29 | -34.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.3 | 11.3 | 80.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 18.8% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALCO | 18.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 15.6% |
| Sector (XLP) | 6.4% | 37.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 24.6% change in ALCO stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 89.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 34.57 | 43.09 | 24.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 44 | 29 | -34.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.0 | 11.3 | 89.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 24.6% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALCO | 24.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 14.9% |
| Sector (XLP) | 6.3% | 35.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 45.2% change in ALCO stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 148.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 29.67 | 43.09 | 45.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 50 | 29 | -41.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.6 | 11.3 | 148.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 45.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALCO | 45.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 25.0% |
| Sector (XLP) | 3.4% | 31.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 81.7% change in ALCO stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 449.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 23.71 | 43.09 | 81.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 87 | 29 | -66.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.1 | 11.3 | 449.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 81.7% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALCO | 81.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 27.0% |
| Sector (XLP) | 19.4% | 18.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALCO Return | 25% | -33% | 23% | -10% | 41% | 16% | 53% |
| Peers Return | 46% | -15% | 15% | 9% | -15% | 13% | 51% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -4% | 75% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALCO Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 46% | 50% | 56% | 42% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALCO Max Drawdown | -8% | -35% | -5% | -16% | -0% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -4% | -25% | -16% | -19% | -24% | -1% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FPI, LAND, LMNR, FDP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ALCO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 90.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 659 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 227 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -68.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 215.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to FPI, LAND, LMNR, FDP
In The Past
Alico's stock fell -47.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/19/2022. A -47.4% loss requires a 90.2% gain to breakeven.
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About Alico (ALCO)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a couple of analogies for Alico (ALCO):
- Think of it as a Weyerhaeuser that grows citrus instead of timber on its vast Florida lands.
- It's like a large-scale Sunkist, but also a significant real estate and land management company in Florida.
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- Citrus Products: Cultivates citrus trees to produce citrus for both fresh and processed markets.
- Land Leasing: Leases its extensive land holdings for recreational, grazing, conservation, and mining activities.
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Alico (ALCO) primarily sells its products and services to other companies, not directly to individual consumers. While the company's public filings indicate a concentration of sales with a limited number of customers in its Alico Citrus segment, it does not publicly disclose the specific names of these major customer companies.
Based on the company's business segments, Alico's major customers generally fall into the following categories:
- For the Alico Citrus Segment:
- Juice Processors: Companies that purchase citrus fruit for processing into various juice products.
- Fresh Fruit Packers and Distributors: Companies involved in packing and distributing fresh citrus fruit to retail markets and other buyers.
- For the Land Management and Other Operations Segment:
- Agricultural and Ranching Businesses: Companies or individuals that lease land for grazing and other agricultural purposes.
- Mining Companies: Entities that lease land for mining activities.
- Conservation and Environmental Organizations/Agencies: Groups or governmental bodies that lease land for conservation, water storage, and mitigation banking purposes.
- Recreational Lessees: This could include companies, groups, or individuals leasing land for hunting, fishing, or other recreational activities.
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- Wedgworth’s Inc.
- Wedgworth’s Service Inc.
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John E. Kiernan, President and Chief Executive Officer
John E. Kiernan became President and CEO of Alico in July 2019, having previously served as the company's CFO starting in June 2015. Before joining Alico, he was the CFO of Greenwich Associates, a private global research-based consulting firm. He also served as Treasurer and Senior Vice President for Capital Markets & Risk Management for Global Crossing until its $3 billion sale to Level 3 in 2011. His career also includes roles as VP of Investor Relations for Misys plc and Director of Corporate Development for IBM. Earlier in his career, Mr. Kiernan spent 12 years as an investment banker specializing in IPOs and M&A for technology companies at Bear Stearns, where he held the title of Managing Director.
Bradley Heine, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Bradley Heine was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Alico effective August 16, 2023. Prior to Alico, he served as the Corporate Controller of Wejo Group Limited, a connected vehicle data solutions company. He also held the position of VP of Accounting at IAC InterActiveCorp. Mr. Heine spent 12 years at Avis Budget Group, a global car rental company, where his roles included Vice President of External Reporting and Technical Accounting and Financial Controller for the EMEA region. He began his career as an auditor with Deloitte & Touche.
Mitch Hutchcraft, Executive Vice President, Real Estate
Mitch Hutchcraft serves as the Executive Vice President of Real Estate for Alico. Before his tenure at Alico, he worked for 17 years as the Vice President of Real Estate for King Ranch, where he was involved in land acquisition, protection of assets from changing regulations, long-term value enhancement of real estate assets, public policy, and operational enhancement through real estate projects. Mr. Hutchcraft led King Ranch's legal, entitlement, and strategic planning activities for the property now known as "Kingston" for almost eight years.
James E. Sampel, Chief Information Officer
James E. Sampel has been the Chief Information Officer of Alico, Inc. since December 2015. Before joining Alico, he was CIO and Managing Director Global Operations of Greenwich Associates, a research-based consulting firm for the financial services industry. His prior experience also includes serving as Director of Information Technology for 454 Life Sciences Corporation and Manager of Advanced and Emerging Technology for Perkin Elmer. He earned his M.B.A. in Information Systems from Pace University and his B.S. in Electronics Engineering Technology from DeVry University.
Mary Molina, Chief Administrative Officer
Mary Molina serves as the Chief Administrative Officer of Alico.
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Alico (ALCO) is undergoing a significant strategic transformation, shifting from its historical focus on citrus cultivation to primarily a land management and real estate development company. This transition drives the primary risks to the business. Here are the key risks to Alico's business: 1.Strategic Transformation and Real Estate Development Risks
The most significant risk stems from Alico's ongoing strategic shift away from citrus farming to land management and real estate development. This involves inherent uncertainties in securing the necessary regulatory approvals and permits for its major land development projects, such as the Corkscrew Grove Villages project, which is crucial for unlocking the value of its land holdings. The successful execution of this transition requires effective resource management, the ability to attract skilled personnel for real estate ventures, and the successful entitlement of land for commercial and residential use, which hinges on navigating complex land use and zoning regulations in Florida. Furthermore, the land development business is highly competitive, and there is no assurance that the company will realize the anticipated revenues and profits from this new strategy, or that it won't incur higher-than-expected costs during this transition. The company's decision to wind down citrus operations has also involved a significant workforce reduction, and there is a risk that this may not result in intended outcomes or could yield unintended consequences and additional costs. 2.Environmental and Weather-Related Risks
While Alico is moving away from citrus production, its extensive land holdings in Florida remain susceptible to adverse weather conditions, including hurricanes and other extreme weather events. Such events can disrupt land development activities, damage existing infrastructure, and negatively impact the value of remaining agricultural lands. Additionally, the company faces ongoing environmental regulations and potential liabilities, particularly concerning water use and the need to comply with best management practices for water quality on its agricultural land holdings. Environmental opposition and potential litigation also pose risks to its development projects. 3.Interest Rate and Macroeconomic Risks
Alico's real estate development strategy is exposed to risks related to fluctuating interest rates and broader macroeconomic conditions. Elevated interest rates could deter developers from acquiring new land or lead to negotiations for lower prices, thereby impacting the profitability and pace of Alico's land sales and development projects. General macroeconomic headwinds, such as inflation, geopolitical instability, and supply chain disruptions, could also adversely affect the company's financial performance and strategic initiatives in the real estate market. The company also has variable rate debt, exposing it to interest rate risks that could lead to higher interest expenses.AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Alico, Inc. (ALCO) is strategically transforming from primarily a citrus agribusiness to a diversified land management and real estate development company in Florida. Consequently, the addressable markets for its main products and services are shifting away from citrus production towards its land holdings and their various uses.
Land Management and Leasing Market (Florida)
The Land Leasing industry in Florida is estimated to be worth approximately $2.5 billion in 2026. This market includes the leasing of real estate without permanent buildings, encompassing manufactured home sites, vacant lots, and grazing land. The industry has experienced an average annual growth rate of 2.3% from 2020 to 2025.
Alico's land management programs include fee-generating or revenue-sharing agreements with various operators, such as citrus growers, cattle operators, mining operators, sugarcane producers, and sod farming and leasing. Florida also has over 4 million acres of conservation land, with the state allocating more than $567 million to land conservation in 2024.
Real Estate Development Market (Florida)
Alico is also focusing on real estate development, with management estimating its current landholdings, comprising approximately 53,371 acres, could be valued between $650 million and $750 million. Approximately 25% of these holdings have potential for commercial and residential development. In 2024, more than 72,000 acres of agricultural land in Florida were converted for residential, solar, and commercial developments, highlighting the significant demand for land in the state due to population growth.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Alico (ALCO)
- Strategic Land Sales and Monetization: Alico is actively executing a strategy to unlock value from its extensive land portfolio through strategic land sales. The company has reported significant land sales, with $7.7 million in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 and a total of $34.5 million year-to-date through January 2026, including an additional $26.8 million sale post-quarter. Alico's outlook for fiscal year 2025 anticipated land sales potentially exceeding $50 million. This ongoing land monetization is a primary driver of future revenue as the company transitions its business model.
- Increased Land Leasing for Diversified Agricultural Operations: As Alico winds down its citrus operations, it is shifting its focus to leasing its farmable land for diversified agricultural partnerships. The company achieved 97% utilization of its approximately 32,500 farmable acres through new lease agreements in January 2026, which is expected to provide more stable and predictable revenue streams.
- Growth in Rock and Sand Royalties and Other Land Management Activities: Revenue from the Land Management and Other Operations segment has shown significant growth, increasing by 77% in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026. This growth is primarily attributed to higher rock and sand royalties and an increase in leasing income.
- Real Estate Development Initiatives: Alico is advancing key real estate development projects, such as the "Corkscrew Grove Villages" master-planned community. This project involves the entitlement process, with a significant decision from Collier County anticipated in 2026, indicating the potential for long-term, high-value development to contribute to future revenue growth.
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Share Repurchases
- Alico's Board of Directors authorized a stock repurchase program of up to $50 million on March 25, 2025.
- As of September 30, 2025, no shares had been repurchased under this program.
- The repurchase program is scheduled to expire on April 1, 2028.
Share Issuance
- In July 2025, Alico granted shares of common stock to directors Adam H. Putnam (930 shares), Katherine R. English (596 shares), and Toby K. Purse (633 shares) under the company's Amended and Restated Stock Incentive Plan of 2015.
- These share issuances were made with no cash consideration.
- The number of outstanding shares increased from 7,628,639 at September 30, 2024, to 7,645,360 at September 30, 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Alico is undergoing a strategic transformation to wind down its citrus production after the 2024/2025 harvest and shift its focus to diversified land usage and real estate development.
- The company announced the creation of Corkscrew Grove Villages, a master-planned development on approximately 4,660 acres, which includes over 6,000 acres of permanent conservation areas.
- In 2025, Alico supported the Corkscrew Grove Stewardship District's partnership with the Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT) through approximately $5 million in financing for wildlife corridor infrastructure.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Alico Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Is Alico Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03272026 | MZTI | Marzetti | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -1.1% |
| 03202026 | KHC | Kraft Heinz | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.3% | 4.3% | -1.7% |
| 03202026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.8% | -1.8% | -1.9% |
| 03202026 | MKC | McCormick | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 13.10 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 88 |
| Op Inc LTM | 23 |
| FCF LTM | 17 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 15 |
| CFO LTM | 17 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 15 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -10.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -5.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | -3.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| P/S | 4.4 |
| P/EBIT | 11.7 |
| P/E | 15.5 |
| P/CFO | 14.8 |
| Total Yield | 4.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 16.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 18.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 27.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 21.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 18.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -27.5% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $43.09 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/03/1973 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $40.41 | $35.69 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 6.6% | 20.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 26.1% | 23.5% |
| Downside Capture | -0.06 | 0.12 |
| Upside Capture | 93.67 | 56.43 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 14.8% | 22.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.36 | 0.29 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.55 |
| Up Beta | -1.69 | -0.13 | -0.26 | 0.53 | 0.17 | 0.37 |
| Down Beta | -0.14 | -0.08 | -0.03 | 0.13 | 0.35 | 0.52 |
| Up Capture | 72% | 50% | 96% | 59% | 49% | 45% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 73 | 138 | 392 |
| Down Capture | 61% | 44% | 33% | 16% | 43% | 86% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 15 | 23 | 51 | 109 | 351 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ALCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALCO | 40.2% | 23.7% | 1.36 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 3.6% | 13.9% | 0.02 | 32.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 19.0% | 0.64 | 25.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 49.6% | 28.0% | 1.44 | 6.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 15.5% | 17.7% | 0.74 | 16.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.1% | 16.5% | 0.01 | 30.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -19.0% | 44.0% | -0.35 | 13.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ALCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALCO | 10.1% | 30.5% | 0.35 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.2% | 13.1% | 0.26 | 22.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.7% | 17.0% | 0.53 | 29.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.8% | 17.8% | 1.01 | 7.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.8% | 0.50 | 15.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 31.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.0% | 56.5% | 0.27 | 18.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ALCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALCO | 6.2% | 32.4% | 0.27 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.4% | 14.7% | 0.37 | 27.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 36.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.0% | 15.9% | 0.73 | 6.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 18.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 36.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 65.9% | 66.9% | 1.05 | 13.1% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/4/2026 | -0.5% | -0.0% | -2.0% |
| 11/24/2025 | 4.9% | 17.9% | 16.3% |
| 8/12/2025 | 0.4% | -0.5% | 2.7% |
| 5/13/2025 | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% |
| 2/12/2025 | 0.8% | -2.0% | -3.8% |
| 12/2/2024 | -1.3% | 3.7% | -3.1% |
| 8/5/2024 | 4.5% | -2.0% | 4.8% |
| 4/29/2024 | -2.2% | 0.6% | -9.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| # Negative | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.8% |
| Median Negative | -1.8% | -2.0% | -5.1% |
| Max Positive | 4.9% | 17.9% | 16.3% |
| Max Negative | -9.5% | -15.2% | -9.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/04/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 12/02/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 12/06/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 12/13/2022 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 14.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Cash | 50.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Net Debt | 35.00 Mil | ||||||
Industry Resources
| Agricultural Products & Services Resources |
| AgFunder Network Partners |
| The Packer |
| CropLife |
| Agri-Pulse |
| USDA Data |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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