Alico (ALCO)
Market Price (2/5/2026): $40.96 | Market Cap: $313.4 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Agricultural Products & Services
Alico (ALCO)
Market Price (2/5/2026): $40.96Market Cap: $313.4 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Agricultural Products & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 77%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.9%, Dist 3Y High is -2.9% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -202 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -694% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.2% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -9.5% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -41%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -26%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -89% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more. | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 79% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -50% | ||
| Key risksALCO key risks include [1] successfully executing its fundamental strategic transformation from citrus operations to land management and [2] overcoming the substantial revenue gap created by the loss of its primary business and its single largest customer, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 77%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.2% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.9%, Dist 3Y High is -2.9% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -9.5% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -202 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -694% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -41%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -26%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -89% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 79% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -50% |
| Key risksALCO key risks include [1] successfully executing its fundamental strategic transformation from citrus operations to land management and [2] overcoming the substantial revenue gap created by the loss of its primary business and its single largest customer, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strategic Transformation to a Diversified Land Company. Alico (ALCO) has been undergoing a significant strategic shift, transitioning from large-scale citrus production to a diversified land management company. The company announced the substantial conclusion of its citrus operations and the completion of its final major citrus harvest around November 2025. This strategic pivot aims to unlock the value of its extensive land holdings for future development and is seen as a long-term positive for the company.
2. Strong Q4 2025 Revenue Exceeding Expectations. Despite reporting a net loss for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025 (ended September 30, 2025), Alico significantly surpassed revenue forecasts. The company reported revenues of $0.8 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 167.33% and the forecast by 166.67%. This substantial revenue beat, even with the reported loss being primarily due to non-cash charges related to the strategic transition, was a positive indicator for investors.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.5% change in ALCO stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 77.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 35.16 | 40.96 | 16.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 44 | 29 | -34.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.1 | 10.8 | 77.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.5% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALCO | 16.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -0.7% | 21.2% |
| Sector (XLP) | 13.9% | 43.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 27.3% change in ALCO stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 116.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 32.19 | 40.96 | 27.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 49 | 29 | -41.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 5.0 | 10.8 | 116.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 27.3% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALCO | 26.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.5% | 19.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | 9.7% | 30.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 33.4% change in ALCO stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 114.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 30.70 | 40.96 | 33.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 47 | 29 | -37.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 5.0 | 10.8 | 114.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 33.4% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALCO | 32.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.6% | 29.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | 12.2% | 30.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 57.9% change in ALCO stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 403.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.94 | 40.96 | 57.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 92 | 29 | -68.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.1 | 10.8 | 403.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 57.9% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALCO | 57.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 72.9% | 28.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | 26.8% | 19.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALCO Return | 25% | -33% | 23% | -10% | 41% | 13% | 48% |
| Peers Return | 46% | -15% | 15% | 9% | -15% | 16% | 54% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 83% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALCO Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 46% | 50% | 56% | 42% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALCO Max Drawdown | -8% | -35% | -5% | -16% | -0% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -4% | -25% | -16% | -19% | -24% | -1% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FPI, LAND, LMNR, FDP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/5/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ALCO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 90.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 659 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 227 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -68.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 215.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to FPI, LAND, LMNR, FDP
In The Past
Alico's stock fell -47.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/19/2022. A -47.4% loss requires a 90.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Alico (ALCO)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Alico (ALCO):
- A Weyerhaeuser of citrus: Alico is like Weyerhaeuser (NYSE: WY), a major timberland owner and manager, but for orange groves. Both companies own and manage vast tracts of land, cultivating a biological resource (trees for timber, oranges for juice) that is harvested and sold as a commodity.
- The Vale of oranges: Think of Alico as the agricultural equivalent of Vale S.A. (NYSE: VALE), a dominant mining company primarily known for iron ore. Both are capital-intensive producers of a specific natural commodity (oranges for Alico, iron ore for Vale) that serves as a fundamental input for larger industries.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Citrus Fruit: Produces and sells citrus fruit, primarily oranges for processing into juice concentrate.
- Cattle: Engages in cattle ranching, raising and selling cattle for beef production.
- Land Management Services: Manages and leases its extensive landholdings for various purposes, including recreational hunting, grazing, and environmental mitigation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Alico (ALCO) primarily sells its products to other companies.
Its major customer is:
- Citrus World, Inc. (doing business as Florida's Natural Growers) - This is a cooperative and is not a publicly traded company. Citrus World, Inc. purchases substantially all of Alico's citrus fruit production for processing into juice. Alico's annual reports indicate that a significant majority of its citrus segment revenues are derived from sales to Citrus World, Inc.
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html
John Kiernan, President and Chief Executive Officer
John Kiernan leads Alico as its President and CEO, having previously served as its CFO. Before joining Alico, he was the CFO of Greenwich Associates, a private global research-based consulting firm. He also served as Treasurer and Senior Vice President for Capital Markets & Risk Management for Global Crossing, until its $3 billion sale to Level 3 in 2011. His career also includes roles as VP of Investor Relations for Misys plc and Director of Corporate Development for IBM. Earlier, he spent 12 years as an investment banker at Bear Stearns, specializing in IPOs and M&A for technology companies, where he achieved the title of Managing Director. He also created Alley Capital, an early-stage investment bank, with capital from an IPO client.
Brad Heine, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Brad Heine became Alico's Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer in August 2023. Prior to Alico, he served as the Senior Vice President - Corporate Controller of Wejo Group Limited, a connected vehicle data solutions organization. He also held the position of Vice President - Accounting at IAC InterActiveCorp, a holding company comprising media and internet companies. Mr. Heine spent 12 years at Avis Budget Group, a global car rental company, where he held various positions of increasing responsibility, including VP of External Reporting and Technical Accounting and Financial Controller for the EMEA region, overseeing a $2 billion revenue business unit. He began his career as an auditor with Deloitte & Touche and also worked at AT&T.
Mitch Hutchcraft, Executive Vice President of Real Estate
Before joining Alico, Mr. Hutchcraft served for 17 years as the Vice President of Real Estate for King Ranch. His responsibilities included land acquisition, protecting assets from changing regulations, enhancing the long-term value of real estate assets, public policy, and operational improvements through real estate projects. For nearly eight years, he spearheaded King Ranch's legal, entitlement, and strategic planning activities for the property now known as "Kingston."
James E. Sampel, Chief Information Officer
Prior to his role at Alico, Mr. Sampel was the CIO and Managing Director Global Operations of Greenwich Associates, a research-based consulting firm. He also served as the Director of Information Technology for 454 Life Sciences Corporation, an early-stage life sciences equipment manufacturing company. Earlier in his career, he was the Manager of Advanced and Emerging Technology for Perkin Elmer, a Fortune 200 manufacturer of life sciences and laboratory equipment, where his previous roles included Manager of Global Infrastructure, Senior Network Architect, Senior Systems Analyst, Software Support Supervisor, and Field Service Engineer.
Mary Molina, Chief Administrative Officer & Corporate Secretary
Mary Molina serves as Alico's Chief Administrative Officer and Corporate Secretary.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to Alico (ALCO)
- Risks related to the Strategic Transformation: Alico is undergoing a fundamental shift in its business model, moving away from its historical citrus operations towards a land management and real estate development focus. This transformation involves significant risks, including the ability to successfully execute the new strategy, secure necessary regulatory approvals for land development, effectively manage resources, and attract skilled personnel. The transition itself has already resulted in substantial financial disruption, including significant net losses and asset impairments.
- Loss of Historical Revenue and Customer Concentration: Historically, Alico's citrus operations generated the vast majority of its operating revenues, with a significant portion attributed to a single customer, Tropicana. The mutual termination of contracts with Tropicana and the winding down of the citrus division remove a business that provided 93.8% of operating revenues in 2025 and 87.2% of consolidated revenue from a single customer. This creates a substantial revenue gap that the new land management and real estate development strategy must successfully fill, posing a significant financial risk during the transition.
- Agricultural Risks: Despite the planned wind-down of citrus operations, Alico's business remains exposed to inherent agricultural risks during the transition period and for any ongoing farming or land management activities. These risks include adverse weather conditions like hurricanes and freezes, the impact of diseases such as citrus greening and canker, fluctuations in commodity prices due to supply and demand, and changes in water regulations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Alico (ALCO) operates primarily in citrus production and land management, which includes cattle ranching and leasing activities in Florida, United States.
The addressable markets for Alico's main products and services are:
- Citrus Production (United States): The market size of the Orange & Citrus Groves industry in the United States is estimated at $3.2 billion in 2025. The value of the 2023-24 United States citrus crop was $2.98 billion. Alico focuses on cultivating citrus groves, predominantly oranges for the processed juice market in Florida.
- Cattle Ranching (United States): The Beef Cattle Production industry in the United States is projected to reach an estimated $95.9 billion in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.0% between 2020 and 2025. In 2022, U.S. cattle and calf sales totaled $89.4 billion.
- Sod Production (United States): The U.S. natural grass sod industry was valued at $2.2 billion in 2022 and is expected to continue growing.
While Alico also engages in broader land management activities, including conservation and leasing its extensive land holdings in Florida, a specific addressable market size for these diversified land management activities beyond cattle ranching and sod production is not readily quantifiable as a distinct market.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Alico (ALCO) is undergoing a strategic transformation from a citrus-focused agribusiness to a diversified land management and development company, which is expected to drive its future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years. The key drivers include:
- Monetization of Land Holdings through Sales: Alico is actively selling portions of its extensive land portfolio. The company has raised its land sales outlook to potentially exceed $50 million for fiscal year 2025. This strategy involves unlocking the value of its substantial real estate assets.
- Real Estate Development Projects: A significant long-term driver is the development of its land for residential and commercial purposes, notably the Corkscrew Grove Villages project in Southwest Florida. This master plan includes two villages with residential and commercial spaces, alongside permanent conservation areas. Approval for the East Village is anticipated in 2026, with potential construction beginning as early as 2028.
- Growth in Diversified Agricultural and Other Land Management Revenues: As Alico winds down its capital investment in traditional citrus operations, it is pivoting to other agricultural revenue streams. This includes leasing land for various crops, cattle, or vegetables, and expanding operations in areas such as sod production and sand mining. Revenue from Land Management and Other Operations has already shown significant increases, driven by higher rock and sand royalty income and sod sales.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Alico's Board of Directors authorized a stock repurchase program of up to $50 million of its common stock on March 25, 2025, which is set to expire on April 1, 2028.
- The company did not repurchase any common stock under its Rule 10b5-1 plan during the fiscal year ended September 30, 2022.
- An investor presentation from January 6, 2025, indicated $9.9 million in "Regular Buybacks" and $25.6 million from a "2018 Tender Offer" as part of $87 million in capital returned since fiscal year 2021.
Share Issuance
- There were 7,642,085 shares of common stock outstanding at June 30, 2025, an increase from 7,628,639 shares outstanding at September 30, 2024.
- The number of common shares outstanding increased from 7,592,937 at December 9, 2022, to 7,633,069 as of November 26, 2024.
Capital Expenditures
- Alico committed approximately $5 million towards the design and construction of a wildlife underpass, with construction anticipated to begin before the end of 2025 and conclude in 2027.
- Management expects lower capital expenditures following the company's strategic transformation and workforce reduction.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Alico Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Is Alico Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 14.11 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 68 |
| Op Inc LTM | 16 |
| FCF LTM | 17 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 13 |
| CFO LTM | 17 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 13 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -16.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -4.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -15.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -3.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -4.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| P/S | 5.9 |
| P/EBIT | 6.1 |
| P/E | 7.2 |
| P/CFO | 14.1 |
| Total Yield | 4.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 14.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 20.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 7.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 9.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 16.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 18.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 4.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -53.4% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $40.80 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/03/1973 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -2.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $37.70 | $33.75 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 8.2% | 20.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 28.1% | 23.9% |
| Downside Capture | 16.41 | 35.90 |
| Upside Capture | 148.14 | 61.78 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 21.9% | 29.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.21 | 0.34 | 0.55 | 0.42 | 0.37 | 0.58 |
| Up Beta | -0.06 | 0.21 | 0.89 | 1.09 | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| Down Beta | -0.14 | -0.02 | 0.27 | 0.14 | 0.40 | 0.56 |
| Up Capture | 191% | 147% | 108% | 62% | 50% | 45% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 22 | 34 | 70 | 130 | 385 |
| Down Capture | -92% | -31% | 16% | -0% | 49% | 89% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 18 | 26 | 54 | 117 | 360 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ALCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALCO | 34.1% | 23.8% | 1.17 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 12.7% | 14.0% | 0.62 | 31.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.6% | 19.3% | 0.54 | 29.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 69.7% | 24.7% | 2.11 | 5.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.1% | 16.6% | 0.24 | 21.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.4% | 16.5% | 0.09 | 36.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -26.6% | 40.5% | -0.66 | 13.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ALCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALCO | 9.0% | 30.5% | 0.32 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 8.9% | 13.1% | 0.46 | 22.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.4% | 17.0% | 0.67 | 29.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.8% | 16.9% | 1.01 | 7.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.7% | 18.9% | 0.50 | 15.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 18.8% | 0.18 | 32.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 16.0% | 57.4% | 0.49 | 19.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ALCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALCO | 4.8% | 32.9% | 0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 8.5% | 14.6% | 0.45 | 27.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 36.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.4% | 15.5% | 0.83 | 5.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.9% | 17.6% | 0.37 | 18.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.0% | 20.7% | 0.26 | 36.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 69.0% | 66.5% | 1.08 | 12.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/4/2026 | |||
| 11/24/2025 | 4.9% | 17.9% | 16.3% |
| 8/12/2025 | 0.4% | -0.5% | 2.7% |
| 5/13/2025 | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% |
| 2/12/2025 | 0.8% | -2.0% | -3.8% |
| 12/2/2024 | -1.3% | 3.7% | -3.1% |
| 8/5/2024 | 4.5% | -2.0% | 4.8% |
| 4/29/2024 | -2.2% | 0.6% | -9.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.8% |
| Median Negative | -2.2% | -2.1% | -6.3% |
| Max Positive | 4.9% | 17.9% | 16.3% |
| Max Negative | -9.5% | -15.2% | -9.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/04/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 12/02/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 12/06/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 12/13/2022 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Industry Resources
| Agricultural Products & Services Resources |
| AgFunder Network Partners |
| The Packer |
| CropLife |
| Agri-Pulse |
| USDA Data |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.