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Philip Morris International (PM)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $148.58 | Market Cap: $231.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Tobacco

Philip Morris International (PM)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $148.58
Market Cap: $231.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Tobacco

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.3x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, CFO LTM is 12 Bil, FCF LTM is 10 Bil
 
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Consumer Lifestyle Transformation. Themes include Tobacco Harm Reduction, Next-Generation Nicotine Products, Smoke-Free Product Innovation, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, CFO LTM is 12 Bil, FCF LTM is 10 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Consumer Lifestyle Transformation. Themes include Tobacco Harm Reduction, Next-Generation Nicotine Products, Smoke-Free Product Innovation, Show more.
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.3x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Philip Morris International (PM) experienced a decline in its stock price, moving by approximately -10.3% during the period from late August to early December 2025. This movement can be attributed to several key factors:

1. Disappointment Despite Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Philip Morris International's stock fell significantly on October 21, 2025, dropping as much as 10% in a single trading session. This occurred even though the company's third-quarter sales and earnings surpassed expectations, and it raised its full-year guidance targets.

2. Higher Investor Expectations
The stock's decline was largely driven by some investors who had anticipated an even more robust performance outlook for both earnings and the volumes of smoke-free products than what the company ultimately reported.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PM Return4%21%12%-2%34%27%135%
Peers Return28%18%-19%-9%19%2%36%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PM Win Rate42%67%50%58%67%70% 
Peers Win Rate52%50%43%43%52%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PM Max Drawdown-28%-5%-9%-10%-5%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-7%-31%-27%-30%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MO, TPB, UVV, XXII, PM. See PM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven664 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven360 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2076 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-42.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven566 days1480 days

Compare to MO, TPB, UVV, XXII, PM


In The Past

Philip Morris International's stock fell -25.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2022. A -25.8% loss requires a 34.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Philip Morris International (PM)

Better Bets than Philip Morris International (PM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopicDate
0DASHBOARDS  
1Day 7 of Gains Streak for Philip Morris International Stock with 8.6% Return (vs. 34% YTD) [11/11/2025]TREFISDASHNotification 
2Day 6 of Gains Streak for Philip Morris International Stock with 7.4% Return (vs. 32% YTD) [11/10/2025]TREFISDASHNotification 
3Day 5 of Gains Streak for Philip Morris International Stock with 6.1% Return (vs. 31% YTD) [11/7/2025]Notification 
4Day 5 of Gains Streak for Philip Morris International Stock with 6.1% Return (vs. 31% YTD) [11/7/2025]Notification 
5Day 5 of Gains Streak for Philip Morris International Stock with 6.1% Return (vs. 31% YTD) [11/7/2025]Notification 
6PM Capital Return Hits $75 Bil  
7With Philip Morris International Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk?Return 
8Day 5 of Gains Streak for Philip Morris International Stock with 5.6% Return (vs. 47% YTD) [8/21/2025]Notification 
9Philip Morris International vs Southern Copper: Which Is A Better Investment?Counter-Intuitive Comparisons 
10How Does Philip Morris International Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers?Peer Comparison 
11ARTICLES  
12Philip Morris International Stock 7-Day Winning Spree: Stock Climbs 8.6% November 12th, 2025
13Philip Morris International Stock 6-Day Winning Spree: Stock Climbs 7.4% November 11th, 2025
14Philip Morris International Stock Rockets 6.1% With 5-Day Winning Streak November 8th, 2025
15Ten-Year Tally: Philip Morris International Stock Delivers $75 Bil Gain November 6th, 2025
16Buy or Sell Philip Morris Stock Ahead of Its Upcoming Earnings? October 17th, 2025

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-2.1%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.2%7.2%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.1%
PM_5312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312019PMPhilip Morris InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.9%1.3%-17.2%
PM_8312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield08312018PMPhilip Morris InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.7%-2.0%-12.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-2.1%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.2%7.2%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.1%
PM_5312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312019PMPhilip Morris InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.9%1.3%-17.2%
PM_8312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield08312018PMPhilip Morris InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.7%-2.0%-12.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Philip Morris International

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PMMOTPBUVVXXIIMedian
NamePhilip M.Altria Turning .Universal22nd Cen. 
Mkt Price148.5858.3498.6852.251.0558.34
Mkt Cap231.398.21.81.30.01.8
Rev LTM39,99220,2594362,98792,987
Op Inc LTM14,81911,96193249-13249
FCF LTM10,1238,72839157-14157
FCF 3Y Avg9,2678,7105379-3979
CFO LTM11,5268,87650202-14202
CFO 3Y Avg10,6798,88760139-36139

Growth & Margins

PMMOTPBUVVXXIIMedian
NamePhilip M.Altria Turning .Universal22nd Cen. 
Rev Chg LTM7.5%-0.2%53.5%3.0%-41.9%3.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.0%-0.9%6.4%7.9%-39.1%6.4%
Rev Chg Q9.4%0.2%31.2%6.1%-49.8%6.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.4%0.1%6.9%1.5%-20.0%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM37.1%59.0%21.4%8.3%-145.5%21.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg35.9%57.1%25.3%8.2%-156.9%25.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%1.7%-0.2%-0.5%-37.5%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM28.8%43.8%11.5%6.8%-156.1%11.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg28.7%43.5%18.4%5.1%-196.6%18.4%
FCF/Rev LTM25.3%43.1%8.9%5.3%-158.2%8.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg24.9%42.7%16.4%3.0%-210.9%16.4%

Valuation

PMMOTPBUVVXXIIMedian
NamePhilip M.Altria Turning .Universal22nd Cen. 
Mkt Cap231.398.21.81.30.01.8
P/S6.35.54.10.50.04.1
P/EBIT16.59.518.05.6-0.09.5
P/E29.312.734.412.5-0.012.7
P/CFO21.912.535.96.9-0.012.5
Total Yield6.8%14.1%3.2%13.7%-19,578.3%6.8%
Dividend Yield3.3%6.2%0.3%5.8%0.0%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%9.8%7.8%6.7%-5,876.7%6.7%
D/E0.20.20.20.966.20.2
Net D/E0.20.20.10.828.60.2

Returns

PMMOTPBUVVXXIIMedian
NamePhilip M.Altria Turning .Universal22nd Cen. 
1M Rtn0.6%1.8%3.7%1.7%-18.6%1.7%
3M Rtn-6.9%-11.0%-0.1%-3.4%-36.4%-6.9%
6M Rtn-17.0%1.6%32.3%-11.1%-93.8%-11.1%
12M Rtn18.1%10.9%56.6%-1.4%-99.6%10.9%
3Y Rtn65.4%57.4%364.0%11.9%-100.0%57.4%
1M Excs Rtn-0.6%0.5%2.4%0.4%-19.9%0.4%
3M Excs Rtn-13.0%-16.7%-7.9%-10.2%-44.4%-13.0%
6M Excs Rtn-32.4%-13.9%16.8%-26.6%-109.3%-26.6%
12M Excs Rtn4.2%-3.9%49.4%-16.2%-113.1%-3.9%
3Y Excs Rtn1.8%-11.2%297.7%-60.9%-173.3%-11.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Combustible tobacco22,33421,57222,06721,86724,218
Smoke-free12,84010,1909,338  
Reduced-risk products   6,8275,587
Total35,17431,76231,40528,69429,805


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,645,717
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.8%
Average Daily Volume5,353,053
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.11
Basic Shares Quantity1,557,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251024202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025725202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Dahlgren LarsPres. Smoke-Free Oral Products3072025Sell152.963,679562,7404,103,611Form
1Andolina MassimoPresident, Europe Region2252025Sell156.0517,5002,730,87513,535,309Form
2Dobrowolski ReginaldoVice President and Controller2132025Sell149.885,000749,4003,117,354Form