Tearsheet

Philip Morris International (PM)


Market Price (12/26/2025): $162.4 | Market Cap: $252.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Tobacco

Philip Morris International (PM)


Market Price (12/26/2025): $162.4
Market Cap: $252.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Tobacco

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.3x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37%
Key risks
PM key risks include [1] targeted regulatory and legal challenges against its core smoke-free products like IQOS and Zyn, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, CFO LTM is 12 Bil, FCF LTM is 10 Bil
 
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Consumer Lifestyle Transformation. Themes include Tobacco Harm Reduction, Next-Generation Nicotine Products, Smoke-Free Product Innovation, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, CFO LTM is 12 Bil, FCF LTM is 10 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Consumer Lifestyle Transformation. Themes include Tobacco Harm Reduction, Next-Generation Nicotine Products, Smoke-Free Product Innovation, Show more.
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.3x
6 Key risks
PM key risks include [1] targeted regulatory and legal challenges against its core smoke-free products like IQOS and Zyn, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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Philip Morris International (PM) experienced a -1.8% stock movement in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 26, 2025, influenced by several key factors.

1. Q3 2025 Earnings: Strong Results, but Short-Term Strain and Investor Sentiment. Philip Morris International reported strong Q3 2025 earnings with adjusted EPS of $2.24 and revenues of approximately $10.85 billion, exceeding analyst expectations. This growth was driven by its expanding smoke-free product portfolio. Despite the positive earnings, the stock experienced a decline of around 0.76% in pre-market trading immediately following the announcement on October 30, 2025, and a larger fall of 8.86% in regular trading after the October 21, 2025 report. This negative reaction was attributed to rising costs, increased investments in the U.S., and inventory normalization efforts, which introduced near-term margin pressures, tempering investor sentiment despite overall strong performance.

2. Impact of Exaggerated Investor Expectations. The significant decline in share price following the Q3 2025 earnings report was partly due to previously exaggerated investor expectations. Even after the drop, PM shares were trading at a relatively high price-to-earnings ratio, suggesting that the market had already priced in considerable growth.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.1% change in PM stock from 9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 2.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
925202512252025Change
Stock Price ($)162.47162.640.10%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)39058.0039992.002.39%
Net Income Margin (%)21.08%21.57%2.36%
P/E Multiple30.7329.35-4.49%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1557.001557.000.00%
Cumulative Contribution0.10%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025
ReturnCorrelation
PM0.1% 
Market (SPY)4.9%-21.2%
Sector (XLP)0.5%45.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -8.4% change in PM stock from 6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -19.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
626202512252025Change
Stock Price ($)177.64162.64-8.44%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)38386.0039992.004.18%
Net Income Margin (%)19.80%21.57%8.98%
P/E Multiple36.3729.35-19.31%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1556.001557.00-0.06%
Cumulative Contribution-8.44%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025
ReturnCorrelation
PM-8.4% 
Market (SPY)13.1%-16.4%
Sector (XLP)-1.9%31.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 37.3% change in PM stock from 12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 56.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1225202412252025Change
Stock Price ($)118.48162.6437.27%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)37219.0039992.007.45%
Net Income Margin (%)26.42%21.57%-18.33%
P/E Multiple18.7429.3556.63%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1555.001557.00-0.13%
Cumulative Contribution37.27%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025
ReturnCorrelation
PM37.3% 
Market (SPY)15.8%6.7%
Sector (XLP)0.2%44.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 81.9% change in PM stock from 12/26/2022 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 85.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1226202212252025Change
Stock Price ($)89.39162.6481.94%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)31714.0039992.0026.10%
Net Income Margin (%)27.57%21.57%-21.75%
P/E Multiple15.8529.3585.22%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1550.001557.00-0.45%
Cumulative Contribution81.93%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/26/2023 to 12/25/2025
ReturnCorrelation
PM87.9% 
Market (SPY)48.3%5.8%
Sector (XLP)14.4%46.7%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PM Return4%21%12%-2%34%38%156%
Peers Return�������
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PM Win Rate42%67%50%58%67%75% 
Peers Win Rate������ 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PM Max Drawdown-28%-5%-9%-10%-5%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown������ 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: . See PM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven664 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven360 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,076 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-42.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven566 days1,480 days

Compare to

In The Past

Philip Morris International's stock fell -25.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2022. A -25.8% loss requires a 34.8% gain to breakeven.

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About Philip Morris International (PM)

Philip Morris International Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cigarettes, other nicotine-containing products, smoke-free products, and related electronic devices and accessories. The company offers IQOS smoke-free products, including heated tobacco and nicotine-containing vapor products under the HEETS, HEETS Creations, HEETS Dimensions, HEETS Marlboro, HEETS FROM MARLBORO, Marlboro Dimensions, Marlboro HeatSticks, and Parliament HeatSticks brands, as well as under the Fiit and Miix licensed brands. It also sells its products under the Marlboro, Parliament, Bond Street, Chesterfield, L&M, Lark, and Philip Morris brands. In addition, the company owns various cigarette brands, such as Dji Sam Soe, Sampoerna A, and Sampoerna U in Indonesia; and Fortune and Jackpot in the Philippines. It markets and sells its products in the European Union, Eastern Europe, the Middle East, Africa, South and Southeast Asia, East Asia, Australia, Latin America, and Canada. Philip Morris International Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Coca-Cola of the global tobacco industry.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the major products of Philip Morris International (PM):

  • Marlboro Cigarettes: Their flagship and globally recognized international brand of traditional combustible cigarettes.
  • IQOS/HEETS: A line of heated tobacco systems where tobacco is heated rather than burned, producing a nicotine-containing aerosol.
  • ZYN Nicotine Pouches: Oral, smoke-free pouches containing nicotine, designed for adult smokers and nicotine users.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Philip Morris International (PM) is a global tobacco company that manufactures and sells cigarettes, as well as smoke-free products, devices, and accessories. While PM distributes its products through a network of wholesalers and retailers globally, its ultimate end-users are individual consumers. Given the nature of its products, PM's business model is fundamentally geared towards serving adult consumers.

Therefore, we will describe up to three categories of individual customers that Philip Morris International serves:

  1. Adult Smokers of Traditional Cigarettes: This category represents the historical core customer base for PM. These are adult consumers (typically aged 18/21+, depending on local regulations) who purchase and consume combustible tobacco products, primarily cigarettes like Marlboro, L&M, Parliament, Chesterfield, and other brands within PM's extensive portfolio. This segment includes both daily and occasional smokers across various demographics and geographies.
  2. Adult Smokers Transitioning to Smoke-Free Products: This is a strategically critical and growing customer segment for PM. These are adult smokers who are seeking alternatives to traditional cigarettes and are interested in or have already transitioned to PM's smoke-free product offerings, such as heated tobacco products (e.g., IQOS, HEETS). This segment is often driven by a desire for potentially less harmful alternatives compared to continued smoking.
  3. Adult Nicotine Users (Other Nicotine Products): Expanding beyond heated tobacco, PM also serves adult consumers who use other nicotine-containing products. Through its acquisition of Swedish Match, this category includes users of oral nicotine pouches (e.g., ZYN) and other modern oral products. This segment comprises adults seeking nicotine satisfaction without tobacco combustion or even traditional tobacco products, representing a broader approach to nicotine consumption.

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Jacek Olczak, Chief Executive Officer

Jacek Olczak was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Philip Morris International (PMI) in May 2021. He began his career with PMI in 1993, holding finance and general management positions across Europe, including Managing Director of PMI's markets in Poland and Germany, and President of the European Union Region. Mr. Olczak served as PMI's Chief Financial Officer from 2012 to 2018, and then as Chief Operating Officer from 2018 until his appointment as CEO. Prior to joining PMI, he worked for BDO Binder in London and Warsaw. Mr. Olczak holds a master's degree in economics from the University of Lodz, Poland.

Emmanuel Babeau, Chief Financial Officer

Emmanuel Babeau became Chief Financial Officer in May 2020 and will become Group Chief Financial Officer effective January 1, 2026. Before joining PMI, he spent over a decade at Schneider Electric, where he served as Deputy CEO in charge of Finance and Legal Affairs. He joined Schneider Electric in 2009 as Executive Vice President, Finance, and a member of the Management Board. From 1993 to 2009, Mr. Babeau worked at Pernod Ricard, initially as an Internal Auditor, and later as Chief Financial Officer and Group Deputy Managing Director, where he helped grow the company through significant acquisitions. He started his career at Arthur Andersen in 1990. Mr. Babeau sits on the boards of Davide Campari-Milano N.V., Sodexo S.A., and Sanofi S.A.

Massimo Andolina, President, Europe Region

Massimo Andolina serves as the President of the Europe Region at Philip Morris International. His previous roles within the company include Vice President, PMI Business Transformation, and Senior Vice President, Operations.

Michele Cattoni, Senior Vice President, Research & Development

Michele Cattoni holds the position of Senior Vice President, Research & Development at Philip Morris International.

Reginaldo Dobrowolski, Vice President and Controller

Reginaldo Dobrowolski became Vice President and Controller in August 2021. He previously served as Vice President, Corporate Financial Planning and Reporting. Mr. Dobrowolski joined PMI Brazil as an intern in the accounting department in 1996 and has held various finance roles within the company, including Manager, Financial Planning and CapEx, and Controller for the Eastern Europe, Middle East, and Africa region.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Philip Morris International (PM) are primarily centered on the evolving regulatory landscape for tobacco and nicotine products, significant investments in smoke-free alternatives, and intense market competition.

  1. Regulatory Challenges and Shifting Landscape: Philip Morris International faces substantial and increasing regulatory hurdles globally. Governments are enacting stricter regulations on nicotine products, including heated tobacco products (HTPs) like IQOS, which are central to PMI's growth strategy. These challenges include potential bans on advertising, expansion of smoke-free zones to encompass HTPs, and legal battles over marketing claims. For instance, the company has faced legal action in the UK over IQOS advertising violating existing tobacco promotion acts. There's a growing trend to subject HTPs to traditional tobacco regulations, which could hinder market access, negatively impact product image, and lead to increased taxes. Historically, PMI has also encountered legal challenges from national governments regarding anti-smoking legislation such as graphic health warnings and plain packaging, which can set precedents for future regulatory actions. The company is also facing legal claims regarding the marketing of its Zyn nicotine pouches as "tobacco-free," with allegations of misleading consumers about addiction risks.
  2. Margin Pressures from Smoke-Free Product Investments: Philip Morris International's strategic pivot towards a "smoke-free" future, heavily reliant on products like IQOS and Zyn, necessitates significant capital expenditure and operational investments. These substantial investments, particularly in the U.S. market and in building infrastructure for smoke-free products, have led to increased operational costs and near-term margin pressures. For example, the net profit margin declined in Q3 2025 due to these strategic investments. The company's ability to ensure the growth of its smoke-free portfolio outpaces the decline in traditional cigarette sales, while justifying these heavy investments, remains a core risk to its profitability. Should regulatory challenges intensify, the assumed minimal regulatory pushback in PMI's valuation could prove inaccurate, further compressing profit margins.
  3. Intense Competition in Tobacco and Smoke-Free Markets: The company faces significant competition across both its traditional tobacco and burgeoning smoke-free product segments. Competitors, such as British American Tobacco, have demonstrated strong adoption of their heated tobacco devices in certain regions and maintain a broader portfolio of nicotine products, potentially challenging PMI's market share. New entrants in the non-combustible product category could also impact consumer perception and market dynamics through various marketing strategies and product offerings. PMI's substantial reliance on IQOS makes it more susceptible to localized regulatory shocks compared to competitors with more diversified product lines.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The rapid global growth and increasing consumer adoption of oral nicotine pouches represent a clear emerging threat. These tobacco-free, smoke-free, and spit-free products offer an alternative nicotine delivery system that directly competes with Philip Morris International's traditional cigarette portfolio and its core reduced-risk product offerings, particularly heated tobacco products like IQOS. The expansion of this product category, often championed by competitors, could divert a significant portion of consumers who might otherwise transition to PM's preferred heated tobacco alternatives or continue to use traditional cigarettes.

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Philip Morris International (PM) operates in the global tobacco and nicotine market, with its main products categorized into combustible products (cigarettes) and smoke-free products (also known as reduced-risk products or RRPs), which include heated tobacco products, e-vapor products, and oral nicotine products like pouches and snus.

Addressable Markets for Philip Morris International's Main Products:

  • Cigarettes (Combustible Products)
    • The global cigarette market was valued at approximately USD 1,143.4 billion in 2024.
    • This market is projected to reach USD 1,380.2 billion by 2033.
    • The Asia Pacific region accounted for the largest market share, at 40.6% in 2024.
    • Philip Morris International's global market share for cigarettes (excluding China and the U.S.) was 25.3% in 2024.
  • Heated Tobacco Products (HTPs), such as IQOS
    • The global heated tobacco products market was valued at USD 49.14 billion in 2024.
    • It is projected to reach USD 898.86 billion by 2030, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 63.2% from 2025 to 2030.
    • Another estimate placed the market at USD 33.3 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 207.4 billion by 2033.
    • Asia Pacific held a dominant revenue share of 68.9% in the global market for heated tobacco products in 2024.
    • Japan remains a leading market for HTPs, with an estimated market value of $11.13 billion in 2023.
    • Philip Morris International holds a significant lead in this category, with 78% of the volume share.
  • E-cigarette and Vape Products (E-vapor products like VEEV)
    • The global e-cigarette and vape market was estimated at USD 28.17 billion in 2023.
    • This market is projected to reach USD 182.84 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 30.6% from 2024 to 2030.
    • Other sources indicate the global e-cigarette market was around USD 13.4 billion in 2024, expected to grow to USD 61.6 billion by 2034.
    • North America dominated the global market with a share of over 40% in 2022, and the U.S. generated USD 4.4 billion in revenue in 2024.
  • Reduced-Risk Products (RRPs) - Broader Market
    • The global Reduced Risk Products market, which encompasses heated tobacco, e-cigarettes, and nicotine pouches, is expected to reach USD 71.2 billion by 2035, up from USD 29.2 billion in 2024 (and USD 31.5 billion in 2025).
    • Philip Morris International holds an estimated 35-40% share of the global RRP market.
  • Nicotine Pouches (e.g., ZYN)
    • While a specific global market size for nicotine pouches alone isn't consistently provided, ZYN, a key PMI brand, saw its U.S. shipment volume increase from 4 million cans in 2017 to 581 million cans in 2024.
    • U.S. shipments of ZYN reached nearly 165 million cans in Q4 2024, a growth of almost 42% year-over-year.
    • As of June 30, 2025, Philip Morris International estimated that 6.5 million adults used their oral smoke-free products globally.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Philip Morris International (PM) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven primarily by its continued transformation towards a smoke-free portfolio and strategic market initiatives. The company's projections indicate an organic net revenue growth of 6-8% for the 2024-2026 period. The key drivers include: * Growth of Smoke-Free Product Portfolio: The expansion and strong performance of its smoke-free brands, particularly IQOS, ZYN nicotine pouches, and VEEV, are central to PMI's revenue growth strategy. IQOS continues to strengthen its position as the second-largest nicotine brand in markets where it's available, driving the global heat-not-burn category. ZYN nicotine pouches have shown significant growth, especially in the U.S., with substantial increases in shipment volumes. The smoke-free business accounted for 41% of total net revenues in the first nine months of 2025 and is expected to contribute over two-thirds of total net revenues by 2030. * Geographic Expansion and Multi-Category Deployment: Philip Morris International is expanding the availability of its smoke-free products, which are now present in 100 markets globally. The company is also increasingly deploying a multi-category strategy, offering at least two of its flagship smoke-free brands (IQOS, ZYN, and VEEV) in nearly half of these markets to enhance growth. Global Travel Retail is also highlighted as an important growth driver. * Strategic Pricing Power: The company consistently leverages strong pricing across its product categories, including both smoke-free and combustible products. This pricing power has been a significant contributor to organic net revenue and gross profit growth. * Increasing Total Shipment Volumes: While combustible cigarette volumes are expected to see low single-digit declines, the substantial growth in smoke-free product shipment volumes is projected to result in overall positive total shipment volume growth for PMI. The company targets smoke-free volume growth between 12% and 14%. This overall volume increase, combined with favorable product mix towards higher-margin smoke-free offerings, is a crucial driver. * Resilience of the Combustible Business: Despite the focus on smoke-free alternatives, the traditional combustible tobacco business continues to contribute to revenue and gross profit. This is achieved through robust pricing strategies and ongoing efficiency improvements, which help offset volume declines and ensure continued financial performance.

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Share Repurchases

  • A share repurchase program of up to $7 billion was authorized in June 2021, with a target spending of $5 billion to $7 billion over a three-year period.
  • The company repurchased approximately $1.0 billion in shares between July 2021 and March 2022.
  • The program was suspended in May 2022 due to the Swedish Match acquisition and no share repurchases were made in 2023, 2024, or are expected in 2025.

Share Issuance

  • No significant dollar amount of common shares was issued in the trailing twelve months ended June 2025.

Outbound Investments

  • In March 2022, Philip Morris International acquired an 82.59% stake in Swedish Match for $16 billion to strengthen its position in smokeless products, including the Zyn nicotine pouch brand.
  • In 2021, PMI acquired Vectura for approximately £1 billion (or $1.2 billion) and Fertin Pharma for DKK 5.1 billion (or $820 million), alongside Otitopic for an undisclosed sum, to accelerate its "Beyond Nicotine" strategy in inhaled and oral therapeutics.
  • PM Equity Partner (PMEP), PMI's corporate venture capital arm, allocated an additional $200 million in November 2021 for minority investments in early and growth-stage companies across life sciences, industrial technologies, product technologies, and consumer engagement.

Capital Expenditures

  • Philip Morris International forecasts capital expenditures of approximately $1.5 billion to $1.6 billion for the full year 2025, primarily focused on investments supporting its smoke-free business, including ZYN capacity in the U.S.
  • Over a three-year period (likely 2023-2025), the company projected $3.5 billion to $3.7 billion in total capital expenditures, with about 75% allocated to smoke-free products.
  • Since 2008, PMI has invested over $14 billion to develop and commercialize innovative smoke-free products.

Better Bets than Philip Morris International (PM)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to PM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.5%-6.5%-7.4%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.1%-8.1%-9.2%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.2%13.2%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.3%-5.3%-6.0%
PM_5312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312019PMPhilip Morris InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.9%1.3%-17.2%
PM_8312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield08312018PMPhilip Morris InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.7%-2.0%-12.8%

Recent Active Movers

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Peer Comparisons for Philip Morris International

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PMMedian
NamePhilip M. 
Mkt Price162.64162.64
Mkt Cap253.2253.2
Rev LTM39,99239,992
Op Inc LTM14,81914,819
FCF LTM10,12310,123
FCF 3Y Avg9,2679,267
CFO LTM11,52611,526
CFO 3Y Avg10,67910,679

Growth & Margins

PMMedian
NamePhilip M. 
Rev Chg LTM7.5%7.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.0%8.0%
Rev Chg Q9.4%9.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.4%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM37.1%37.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg35.9%35.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM28.8%28.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg28.7%28.7%
FCF/Rev LTM25.3%25.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg24.9%24.9%

Valuation

PMMedian
NamePhilip M. 
Mkt Cap253.2253.2
P/S6.36.3
P/EBIT16.516.5
P/E29.329.3
P/CFO22.022.0
Total Yield6.7%6.7%
Dividend Yield3.3%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%4.9%
D/E0.20.2
Net D/E0.20.2

Returns

PMMedian
NamePhilip M. 
1M Rtn3.3%3.3%
3M Rtn0.1%0.1%
6M Rtn-8.4%-8.4%
12M Rtn37.3%37.3%
3Y Rtn81.9%81.9%
1M Excs Rtn4.3%4.3%
3M Excs Rtn-4.9%-4.9%
6M Excs Rtn-21.3%-21.3%
12M Excs Rtn18.9%18.9%
3Y Excs Rtn4.7%4.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Combustible tobacco22,33421,57222,06721,86724,218
Smoke-free12,84010,1909,338  
Reduced-risk products   6,8275,587
Total35,17431,76231,40528,69429,805


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$162.64 
Market Cap ($ Bil)253.2 
First Trading Date03/17/2008 
Distance from 52W High-10.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$153.98$162.56
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA5.6%0.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility24.2%26.5%
Downside Capture-49.84-28.33
Upside Capture-37.827.22
Correlation (SPY)-21.7%6.6%
PM Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.12-0.40-0.48-0.350.100.21
Up Beta-0.37-0.05-0.100.470.190.18
Down Beta0.11-0.99-0.77-0.660.240.28
Up Capture51%-30%-46%-41%2%8%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days11193165141417
Down Capture-48%-20%-41%-48%-29%23%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days8213059105328

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of PM With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 PMSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return38.1%0.7%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.1%
Annualized Volatility26.4%13.9%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio1.19-0.190.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 44.3%6.8%12.2%-0.6%24.9%-3.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of PM With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 PMSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return19.5%5.8%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.7%
Annualized Volatility21.4%13.0%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.780.240.700.970.510.170.60
Correlation With Other Assets 53.9%26.2%14.9%8.1%36.6%6.8%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of PM With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 PMSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return11.5%7.1%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.3%
Annualized Volatility23.8%14.7%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.470.360.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 63.9%43.6%9.2%17.0%47.6%9.2%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity17,624,958
Short Interest: % Change Since 113020254.0%
Average Daily Volume5,795,855
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.04
Basic Shares Quantity1,557,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/2025-3.8%-3.1%-1.4%
7/22/2025-8.4%-12.6%-6.5%
4/23/20252.4%3.7%6.4%
2/6/202510.9%14.4%15.2%
10/22/202410.5%9.7%8.9%
7/23/20242.2%6.7%11.0%
4/23/20243.8%1.6%6.6%
2/8/2024-2.7%-2.4%1.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131314
# Negative111110
Median Positive2.7%6.7%7.0%
Median Negative-3.1%-2.5%-5.0%
Max Positive10.9%14.4%15.2%
Max Negative-8.4%-12.6%-14.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251024202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025725202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Dahlgren LarsPres. Smoke-Free Oral Products3072025Sell152.963,679562,7404,103,611Form
1Andolina MassimoPresident, Europe Region2252025Sell156.0517,5002,730,87513,535,309Form
2Dobrowolski ReginaldoVice President and Controller2132025Sell149.885,000749,4003,117,354Form