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Philip Morris International (PM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $149.55 | Market Cap: $232.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Tobacco

Philip Morris International (PM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $149.55
Market Cap: $232.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Tobacco

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Consumer Lifestyle Transformation. Themes include Tobacco Harm Reduction, Next-Generation Nicotine Products, Smoke-Free Product Innovation, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Consumer Lifestyle Transformation. Themes include Tobacco Harm Reduction, Next-Generation Nicotine Products, Smoke-Free Product Innovation, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -8.4% stock movement for Philip Morris International (PM) between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025: 1. Q3 2025 Margin Pressures and Rising Costs: Despite reporting strong Q3 2025 earnings driven by growth in smoke-free products, investor sentiment was tempered by rising costs and short-term margin pressures. The company experienced a decline in its net profit margin, falling to approximately 21.5% from 26.3% in the prior year.

2. Increased U.S. Investments and Inventory Normalization: Increased investments, particularly within the U.S. market, coupled with efforts toward inventory normalization, introduced near-term pressures on the company's margins. These operational factors contributed to a decrease in the stock price.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PM Return4%21%12%-2%34%32%144%
Peers Return28%18%-19%-9%19%3%37%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PM Win Rate42%67%50%58%67%70% 
Peers Win Rate52%50%43%43%52%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PM Max Drawdown-28%-5%-9%-10%-5%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-7%-31%-27%-30%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MO, TPB, UVV, XXII, PM. See PM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven664 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven360 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2076 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-42.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven566 days1480 days

Compare to MO, TPB, UVV, XXII, PM


In The Past

Philip Morris International's stock fell -25.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2022. A -25.8% loss requires a 34.8% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Philip Morris International (PM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
PM_5312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312019PMPhilip Morris InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.9%1.3%-17.2%
PM_8312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield08312018PMPhilip Morris InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.7%-2.0%-12.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
PM_5312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312019PMPhilip Morris InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.9%1.3%-17.2%
PM_8312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield08312018PMPhilip Morris InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.7%-2.0%-12.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Philip Morris International

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PMMOTPBUVVXXIIMedian
NamePhilip M.Altria Turning .Universal22nd Cen. 
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Growth & Margins

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Valuation

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Returns

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Combustible tobacco22,33421,57222,06721,86724,218
Smoke-free12,84010,1909,338  
Reduced-risk products   6,8275,587
Total35,17431,76231,40528,69429,805


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,645,717
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.8%
Average Daily Volume5,353,053
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.11
Basic Shares Quantity1,557,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251024202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025725202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Dahlgren LarsPres. Smoke-Free Oral Products3072025Sell152.963,679562,7404,103,611Form
1Andolina MassimoPresident, Europe Region2252025Sell156.0517,5002,730,87513,535,309Form
2Dobrowolski ReginaldoVice President and Controller2132025Sell149.885,000749,4003,117,354Form