Kenvue (KVUE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $16.95 | Market Cap: $32.5 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Personal Care Products
Kenvue (KVUE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $16.95Market Cap: $32.5 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Personal Care Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
KVUE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Kenvue's Q3 2025 financial results showed revenue below forecasts and full-year 2025 earnings per share guidance lagging analyst expectations. This revenue shortfall and lower guidance contributed to a sell-off in the stock.
2. Concerns arose regarding the Kimberly-Clark acquisition agreement. Although the initial announcement of the acquisition by Kimberly-Clark in November 2025 led to a stock price increase, subsequent investor unease about the deal price being significantly higher than current trading levels, as well as uncertainties surrounding execution risk and the closing timeline, led to a stock decline later in November.
3. Analyst ratings and outlook for Kenvue shifted to a more cautious stance. Analysts revised their price targets downward, citing factors such as a high payout ratio and weak liquidity, with the consensus rating moving to "Hold" from "Moderate Buy."
4. The company experienced declining sales volume in key segments. Kenvue reported a volume decline, notably in its Skin Health and Beauty and Self Care segments, which contributed to an overall decrease in net sales.
5. Pressure on gross margins and increased brand investment negatively impacted profitability. Historically, Kenvue's gross margins face pressure in the fourth quarter due to maintenance costs, and increased brand investment has been noted to impact the operating income margin.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KVUE Return | - | - | - | - | 3% | -18% | -15% |
| Peers Return | 13% | 28% | 2% | 33% | -17% | -17% | 35% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KVUE Win Rate | - | - | - | 43% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 53% | 35% | 54% | 45% | 36% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KVUE Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -16% | -32% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -35% | -9% | -30% | -16% | -29% | -38% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PG, EL, KVUE, ELF, COTY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
KVUE has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Staples sector ETF (XLP) in its place.
| Event | XLP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -17.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 682 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -24.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 154 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -16.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 404 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -33.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 605 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -17.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -17.5% loss requires a 21.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| With Kenvue Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | Return | ||
| Triggers That Could Ignite the Next Rally In Kenvue Stock | |||
| Why Kenvue Stock Moved: KVUE Stock Has Lost 18% Since 2024 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Unfavorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | |||
| Kenvue (KVUE) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kenvue (KVUE) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kenvue (KVUE) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kenvue (KVUE) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kenvue (KVUE) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Kenvue Stock vs Competition: Who Wins? | November 8th, 2025 | ||
| What Could Send Kenvue Stock Soaring | November 7th, 2025 | ||
| S&P 500 Movers | Winners: IDXX, KVUE, INCY | Losers: DD, KMB, MRNA | November 4th, 2025 | ||
| Buy The Dip In Kenvue Stock? | October 24th, 2025 | ||
| S&P 500 Movers | Winners: JBHT, MU, ON | Losers: KVUE, FFIV, HPE | October 17th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KVUE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Kenvue
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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| FCF LTM | - |
| FCF 3Y Avg | - |
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Growth & Margins
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| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
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| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
| FCF/Rev LTM | - |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
Valuation
| Median | |
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| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | - |
| P/S | - |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | - |
| P/CFO | - |
| Total Yield | - |
| Dividend Yield | - |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | - |
| D/E | - |
| Net D/E | - |
Returns
| Median | |
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| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | - |
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| 3Y Rtn | - |
| 1M Excs Rtn | - |
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| 12M Excs Rtn | - |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | - |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Self Care | 6,451 | 6,030 | 5,643 | 5,235 | 4,820 |
| Essential Health | 4,615 | 4,570 | 4,870 | 4,782 | 4,896 |
| Skin Health and Beauty | 4,378 | 4,350 | 4,541 | 4,450 | 4,608 |
| Total | 15,444 | 14,950 | 15,054 | 14,467 | 14,324 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Self Care | 2,299 | 2,088 | 1,952 | 1,702 | 1,410 |
| Essential Health | 1,011 | 1,111 | 1,224 | 1,014 | 921 |
| Skin Health and Beauty | 679 | 708 | 878 | 1,281 | 1,177 |
| Other operating expense (income), net | 10 | 23 | -15 | -3,871 | -618 |
| Impairment charges | 0 | ||||
| Founder Shares | -9 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Restructuring and operating model optimization initiatives | -32 | -100 | -116 | ||
| Conversion of stock-based awards | -55 | 0 | 0 | ||
| General corporate/unallocated expenses | -296 | -298 | -272 | -277 | -258 |
| Depreciation | -305 | -296 | -317 | ||
| Amortization of intangible assets | -322 | -348 | -414 | ||
| Separation-related costs | -468 | -213 | 0 | ||
| Depreciation and amortization | -746 | -709 | |||
| Restructuring expense | -82 | -77 | |||
| Total | 2,512 | 2,675 | 2,920 | -979 | 1,846 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/28/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/29/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/29/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/29/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3012024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 10/1/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 7/2/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6022023 | 10-Q 4/2/2023 |
| 12312022 | 5042023 | 424B4 12/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032023 | S-1/A 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |